Liz Truss – the Tory gift to Keir Starmer – politicalbetting.com
Liz Truss – the Tory gift to Keir Starmer – politicalbetting.com
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Liz Truss – the Tory gift to Keir Starmer – politicalbetting.com
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But more substantively, the one question I have about all of this is whether the Tory leadership rules allow LizT to be VoNC-ed in her first year of office, as I've seen suggested here. If that's the case then they'll need to change the rules as well as get the requisite number of letters in, which (a) takes time (thus leaving them even more open to the charge of not concentrating on the job of running the country), and (b) makes it less certain to succeed (would the 1922 Committee change the rules if they only just had 15% of MPs writing in?).
I've even downloaded the Tory Party Leadership Election Rules to try and find out -- though granted I've not read them from cover to cover. I may rue my insomnia, but there are limits...
Liz Truss approval rating:
Wales -9
London -16
North West -26
Yorkshire & Humber -29
South East -31
East Midlands -33
West Midlands -36
North East -42
South West -43
Eastern -44
Scotland -51
GB -33
(the same R&W Mike posted)
It is very hard to see this change. She is as she is and the party is stuck with her.
Upon retirement, her successor must be elected instantly, unopposed. The party simply cannot afford another catastrophic leadership election. Mind-bogglingly introspective and decadent, and an unwelcome insight into the brain-dead membership.
The MPs must pick someone who will salvage as many seats as possible.
The 1922 committee is a huge hindrance to the Tories. It should be de-fanged.
Not this time.
The Daily Express and Daily Mail have a smidgen of equivocation but it's really surprising to see the reaction of the others. The Times leads with tory election wipeout and the Telegraph really puts the boot in about income tax rises. The i and Metro are also critical fronts.
https://www.tomorrowspapers.co.uk/
The British press can turn quickly when they see a loser. They will be sounding out their readership who have turned on the tories in general and Truss in particular.
Mohammed bin Salman is the second best argument for decarbonisation (after the world baking to death,) and it's a close-run thing.
Can you imagine meeting someone who says they're a member of the Conservative Party? How wide a berth would you give them
One thing that’s bugging me is her anecdote about going on a plane as a child and being given an “air hostess in training” badge, as opposed to her brothers who were given a “pilot in training” badge. Or something.
It seems to have offended her, but frankly, she comes across as entitled and ungrateful.
She comes across as unreasonable and frankly, nasty, towards people who tried to do something nice for her.
Her parents. Her teachers. Some air hostess trying to be nice.
The woman clearly has issues and projects them onto the world.
I don’t like people like that. I don’t think other people do, either.
That society has changed since then - or was it another hurdle she overcame like her deprived childhood being educated at a failing school ?
https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1577809666733744128
Russia is apparently in the position of the Jews facing the Holocaust - and should just kill everyone.
https://snyder.substack.com/p/how-does-the-russo-ukrainian-war?
Though maybe they were just there because the hall was a free warm space ?
"You are wooden Prime Minister" someone must have told her. Because suddenly she has this pisstake huge grin on her face half the time which looks not just totally fake but entirely inappropriate with what she is saying.
And then we have the arms. I commented during her LK interview on Sunday morning that her left arm looked like it was being operated by Frank Oz via a stick. Now it is both arms. Held out front. Moved up and down together.
Do you remember when BBC News mistook a person who went for a job interview for a pundit and stuck him on air? The poor guy blustered his way through some answers to try not to embarrass people but clearly wasn't who they assumed he was?
That's Liz Truss that is. Wooden. Inauthentic. Clearly not the Prime Minister because bonkers and embarrassing for anyone who understands politics to look at. But despite being a walking talking parody she IS the PM because giffers were put in the position of choosing and they chose *that*
SNP 52 seats (+4)
SLab 3 seats (+2)
SLD 2 seats (nc)
SCon 0 seats (-6)
(YouGov/The Times; SNP45, Lab31, Con12, LD7)
SNP 52 seats (+4)
SLab 3 seats (+2)
SLD 2 seats (nc)
SCon 0 seats (-6)
(Savanta ComRes/The Scotsman; SNP46, Lab30, Con15, LD8)
The new boundaries are incredibly cruel to the Unionist parties.
The Scotsman publishes a seat projection for Westminster, which shows that the SNP would be His Majesty’s Official Opposition:
Labour 519 seats
Scottish National Party 53 seats
Conservatives 37 seats
Liberal Democrats 17 seats
(Based on the two latest Savanta ComRes polls: UK and Scottish)
https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/scottish-tories-heading-for-total-wipeout-as-labour-gains-exclusive-poll-shows-3869122
I heard the speech yesterday, rather than saw it - was in the car. Wondered whether she would be less weird without the visual cues, but she still sounded really odd. Maybe in part because I could imagine the visuals of the delivery, but I don't think it was just that.
The pace of Russia's defeat is accelerating. So is the point of total humiliation for some desperate people. And the maximum danger to the planet.
She has always been a Tory, but used to be fairly mainstream, liking John Major, but my folks disappeared down the rabbit hole after Brexit and now watch GB News. I no longer talk to them about politics.
If it is unconscionable to give pensioners and other benefits claimants less than inflation increases, why is it fine to give nurses and other state workers less than half inflation increases?
I don't get it. Give them all broadly the same, slightly bigger rises for the poorest/lowest earners and a bit less for the richest/highest earners.
Is it the skinniness? The false bravado? The naïveté? The sense that she is practicing rather than doing? The faltering voice? The agonising gaps as she tries to come up with the right answer? The crush on her favourite teacher Miss Brodie Mrs Thatcher, who she hasn’t realised is in love with Benito? The string of fails in all her subjects? The experimentation? The casual nastiness? The inappropriate arm and face movements?
Adolescence is awkward. Ask Fibber Johnson.
Spitting Image, Private Eye or Viz ought to consider a ‘Behind the Bike Shed’ feature with Pretty Liz and her sidekick Beefy Coffey trying out fags to impress the boys. Kalamity Kwasi is seen sneaking off sheepishly, sniffing his fingers.
Oh, you didn’t mean @Leon …
But fun in the same kind of way the Hitler Youth had fun smashing windows on Kristallnacht.
Some pre-deployment entertainment for newly mobilised soldiers at Yekaterinburg's military camp No32
https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1577903655373737984
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6086353/TUI-slammed-sexist-stickers-saying-future-captain-future-cabin-crew.html
Jizzy Lizzy probably has great difficulty distinguishing between stories in the Daily Mail and reality.
That seems unlikely...
If it gets too bad I expect she will be tapped quietly on the shoulder and she'll walk. When power drains away, it goes fast and completely. Whatever the rules say, she will know there is no point in carrying on.
I don't think it was right of them. I don't think Liz would be good cabin crew. She would spend all her time in first class giving out English fizz, while sneering at the cattle class, telling them to earn more next time.
One is to keep going as she has, in which case her Premiership self-destructs by Candlemas.
(Probably by Advent, since she has to say what her spending plans are.)
The other is to accept that she is trapped in office but with minimal power. Perhaps she stays on as PM but the party chooses a different leader to fight the next election.
The third possiblity is that she is vindicated, but that seems pretty unlikely.
Much of the war has so far been economic. We sanction this, they cut off that. We withdraw banking, they demand payment in roubles, etc. If we are lurching towards a sovereign debt crisis, if some of the big investment banks and pension funds are (as rumoured) one bad day on the markets away from a Lehman-style event, then the damage done to the markets by a single battlefield nuke could be enough to devastate the entire western economy.
If I were Putin, and I hope he doesn't read this site, because I don't want to give him ideas, I would detonate a battlefield nuke either on the edge of Russian territory, or over the Black Sea, as an "operational test" - somewhere with no casualties and small enough that any literal fallout would be negligible - though the fallout on the markets would be catastrophic.
It would also be very hard for the west to respond by escalating directly if, say, the test was done on his own soil and there were zero casualties.
Obviously then she will then confidently pop up on our screens give a speech and launch a policy and remind us all why she is unfit for office.
The dam is a very important point as it is the last crossing of the Dnipro before Kherson itself. The bridge at Kherson is out of action due to HIMARs strikes. The dam can't be taken out in the same way for obvious reasons. If the Ukrainians take the dam then the Russians in Kherson are completely cut off.
With 🇺🇦 advancing all over NE Kherson, and steadily closing in on Nova Khakova with the dam over the Dnipro river. Questions arise where could 🇷🇺 retreating forces try to make a stand. We have been monitoring this area and have seen an increase in activity around the dam.
https://twitter.com/NLwartracker/status/1577906456149508096
Who is Scryver ?
I bet it's been done on-and-off as long as there have been scheduled mass flights.
https://youtu.be/JdR_EfRMveM?t=1316s
It seems the situation with these change regularly though - the other day I heard of a video claiming there were three ferries, and another saying the pontoon bridge is out of action.
Also, ferries are *not* ideal as queues inevitably form on one side or both - and queues of stationary vehicles are a nice, juicy target.
I despise that man. Of all the New Labour people, he was the worst. Even worse than McBride.
He was also exceptionally competent.
Because her appalling delivery and people skills are going to stop her getting any of it done and will probably be an albatross round the Conservative Party's neck for the next decade or two.
That's sort of the point.
In the 80s, I was attending a local government conference as a journalist and when I went to a press drinks reception given by the Conservatives, I was asked if I was the barmaid. Perhaps Liz could mention this in her next conference speech - if she has one.
Good morning one and all!
Worse than that. She crashed the economy by going back on Tory doctrine on borrowing and stuffing the hyper riches pockets with cash.
You end up losing Tories and everyone else.
Truss's entire pitch was ContonuityBoJo (which is why she got the endorsements from BoJovians lile JRM and Dorries) so she has just continued the slide. She's no as an adroit liar as BoJo so its goong worse for her.
We were discussing her merits compared to other Tory leadership candidates and she mentioned this as an example of where she had impressed her. My friend's view was that Liz Truss is committed to and sound on Diversity/Equality, and bonkers on everything else.
The problem is that most children are very inexperienced. Ms Truss also gives the impression that she is inexperienced. This is most evident by her lack of experience at answering akward questions. That is a fatal characteristic for someone who leads a country.
And now we have Mistress Truss. Who killed the Queen. Crashed the pound. Exploded gilt yields and nearly took our pensions with them. Announced a vast inflationary borrowing binge for hedgie tax cuts imperilling anyone with a mortgage.
And all through this its lie after lie after lie. Won't accept even now hat her plan was a disaster. Or that they did a massive uturn. Then they did a further uturn on part of it to go back to plan A which itself is part responsible for the economic FUBAR. Refuses to admit she is axing public spending and benefits. Despite it being blatantly obvious to all. Using the excuse "we can't reveal the budget" despite secnds before committing to the pensions triple lock.
Its built on the wreckage of Boris. Only far stupider and more dangerous lies. The only way is down, because even when they drag her from office shortly the downward momentum will be hard to arrest.
The Prime Minister might blame the media (or her own party) for garbling Trussonomics but she and her Chancellor have yet to spell out the precise mechanism by which unfunded tax cuts lead to growth which will shortly cover their costs and reduce government debt.
clearly unfit to be Prime Minister. Fortunately enough voters thought the same to get rid of him. His nasty little shit trick of reducing the Prime Minister's salary was typical of the man.
"I wish they all could be Caledonian girls"
And, I thought, 'damn, BCal really did run that advert, didn't they!'
EDIT: yes, they did
https://youtu.be/SLpXKUIU9zs
There is only one way this is going and it is not in favour of Sturgeon as Scots return to their labour roots now they have an electable leader
People expect a Labour government next time by 52-28.
I understand nurses are to strike for inflation plus 5% pay rise and it will be interesting just to see how Starmer reacts and how Sturgeon and Drakeford deal with effectively a 15% wage demand from them
Here's from a recent missive: