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A Tory coronation? – politicalbetting.com

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,122
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Killer question from Rishi asking Liz which she regretted more 'having been a LD or voted Remain'

    Now, Mr HY, you’ve been a remainer and you voted Plaid Cymru….
    I am not running for Tory leader now and I was never a member of another party nor did I ever not vote for Tory candidates on the ballot paper at every election I have voted in
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,986
    Soft question to Penny but an unconvincing answer
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    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    Mordaunt getting laughed at by Tugendhat, momentarily looks like she'd like to murder him.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,359
    Badenoch really going for a broader audience here - attacking fraud. Truss also quite interesting as someone who used not to be a Tory. Sunak keeps trying to talk over the moderator, but now looks confident. Mordaunt shakier and playing the victim card.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,196
    Liz going for the Macron approach re Putin.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,302
    Truss the only one who will meet Putin.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955
    Tom was in combat? When was this?
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790

    lolol - you were a LibDem and a remainer, which do you regret most?

    But she answered it well and got a dig in about Sunak’s privilege.
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Truss: Faced down Lavrov over Rostov on Don
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 2,977
    Hard to see beyond Rishi being the right candidate here tbh
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955

    Mordaunt also asks her question to Sunak. Do they all see him as the one to beat? It’s a good tactic to go after the frontrunner, but it also gives Sunak more screen time.

    Ah, but Tugendhat asks his question to Mordaunt! His is the least interesting question. The others went for the jugular.

    (You wouldn’t know Truss is younger than Mordaunt.)

    They see that being seen to be the one to beat him is important to get into the final two.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,307

    Mordaunt also asks her question to Sunak. Do they all see him as the one to beat? It’s a good tactic to go after the frontrunner, but it also gives Sunak more screen time.

    Ah, but Tugendhat asks his question to Mordaunt! His is the least interesting question. The others went for the jugular.

    (You wouldn’t know Truss is younger than Mordaunt.)

    Its desperation. Sunak head and shoulders above the lot of them, and they keep giving him more time to bat away their whines.

    Come on Tories, just get this done. Smack Sunak up to 200 votes and end the contest.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,611
    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955
    Liz with a nuanced answer on climate committments, whereas Kemi looks a bit dishonest as she clearly wanted to say no.
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,682
    Tug-End mentions CCS, but gets his facts wrong.
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790
    Badenoch the only one soft on net zero. Not a good look this week.
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    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ouch, that's a truly nasty question from Sunak, very spiteful.

    Truss trying to get back over education, overlooking that she was a Lib Dem at uni.

    FFS, mentioning the maths gcse though, that's been an absolute catastrophe. Doesn't work on any level at all, including setting up for further study. Also not reliable in the marking. Never mention that as it's a serious black mark.

    Truss was schooled, mainly, under the Tories as well. So any lack of opportunity is down to them.
    Comprehensive schoolgirl from a Labour Council, with a Labour LEA.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,359
    Tugendhat evades net zero question. Badenoch and Truss too, but more subtly. Sunak the only one to say yes.
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    DavidL said:

    MikeL said:

    Everyone asking their Q to Rishi!

    Not the TiT. He remains determinedly irrelevant.
    He is fighting for the bottom rung not the top

    Error sunak talking about his children's inheritance
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    TazTaz Posts: 11,283

    Tug-End mentions CCS, but gets his facts wrong.

    Tap turns on the water !
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,122
    All candidates rule out an imminent general election
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955
    edited July 2022
    Lame question about a GE - it's not a requirement and Tory members and MPs won't care, none of them were going to say yes.
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,500
    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    No-one's died. Liz Truss might have stopped her backers drifting away; I doubt she's attracted any more.
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    IMO

    Truss, Mordaunt better tonight

    Sunak solid though had some rough moments

    Tom fairly quiet

    Kemi was poor
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    My preferred candidate good others rubbish
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,307
    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    Liz didn't shreddie herself despite looking pale and sweaty.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    MikeL said:

    Truss the only one who will meet Putin.

    Dear God, please, no.
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,085
    Tories clearly scared of big man Starmer
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,122
    Rishi promises to send all children to Winchester it seems in his closing statement, quite a commitment
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,611

    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    Liz didn't shreddie herself despite looking pale and sweaty.
    I wonder whether she's got COVID.
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,872
    Rishi’s set pieces are fucking cringe.
    Empty suit.
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790
    Mordaunt pulls it out of the bag for her closing statement.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,307
    Poor Penny, her speech didn't appear on the autocue.
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    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    Sunak didn't get the "be concise" memo.
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    EabhalEabhal Posts: 5,917
    Pen-bot
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,196
    So after tonight, I’d prefer Truss over Mordaunt. That’s how bad Penny is.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    They've all been pretty bad. Sunak probably the best of them again.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955
    Oh come on Penny, I know you have a slogan about leaderhship being about the ship, but the contest is about the leader, so of course the debate was about you!
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,365

    Mordaunt also asks her question to Sunak. Do they all see him as the one to beat? It’s a good tactic to go after the frontrunner, but it also gives Sunak more screen time.

    Ah, but Tugendhat asks his question to Mordaunt! His is the least interesting question. The others went for the jugular.

    (You wouldn’t know Truss is younger than Mordaunt.)

    Its desperation. Sunak head and shoulders above the lot of them, and they keep giving him more time to bat away their whines.

    Come on Tories, just get this done. Smack Sunak up to 200 votes and end the contest.
    I agree that Sunak is the adult in the room. But he also needs to win against someone in the party. Or he will be weaker going forward. No coronation but a comfortable win with the membership.
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    Lizzie not even pretending to talk to non-members here
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790

    Poor Penny, her speech didn't appear on the autocue.

    The pause gave her a certain weightiness.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,307
    Why is Truss reading from paper? Were the others memorised? Or on an autocue?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    edited July 2022

    Lizzie not even pretending to talk to non-members here

    Does it matter? First they're not listening and second, they won't decide this election.

    I'll criticise her any time because she's more useless than Amanda Spielman, but that's a slightly unfair comment.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,611
    Just watching the closing statements. Rishi was good, Penny not so good, Tommy Tug a bit bland, Liz definitely playing the experience card against Kemi, Kemi playing the kids card - shitting on Penny I guess, bit bland otherwise.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,781

    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ouch, that's a truly nasty question from Sunak, very spiteful.

    Truss trying to get back over education, overlooking that she was a Lib Dem at uni.

    FFS, mentioning the maths gcse though, that's been an absolute catastrophe. Doesn't work on any level at all, including setting up for further study. Also not reliable in the marking. Never mention that as it's a serious black mark.

    Truss was schooled, mainly, under the Tories as well. So any lack of opportunity is down to them.
    Comprehensive schoolgirl from a Labour Council, with a Labour LEA.
    Got into Oxford and into Parliament though, so perhaps was well taught after all.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,986
    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    Smooth from Rishi
    Better from Truss
    Good from Tom
    Average from Badenoch.
    Poor from Penny

    That's my opinion anyway
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    kle4 said:

    Oh come on Penny, I know you have a slogan about leaderhship being about the ship, but the contest is about the leader, so of course the debate was about you!

    I think she's a sinking ship now.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,500
    Having now seen more of all of the candidates I’m afraid I’m coming to the conclusion that they are going to have to go with Rishi and see how the cards fall

    Truss cannot win over the country. Badenoch is too green. Penny is likeable, but lacks incisiveness and grit.

    Sunak at least gives the impression of being able to manage the business of government and being able to present to the public , even though he is a deeply flawed candidate.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,359
    Final statements: Sunak strong and professional. Modaunt freezes and then says something brief I've already forgotten. Truss solid but full fat Conservative. Badenoch quite touching.
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790
    Truss still doesn’t know what to do with her hands.

    Badenoch’s “I can be the change” rings hollow when it’s vague what her views are.

    Should I watch the first half on ITV1+1?
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    nico679nico679 Posts: 4,960
    Penny looks like she’d connect well with the public .
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    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,631

    ydoethur said:

    Am I the only one who finds Truss' speaking manner really, really irritating? Whiny and a poor voice.

    I said earlier Truss sounds French with her short phrases of regular length, interspersed with pauses. But there might be another explanation: is she a smoker who gets short of breath?
    That'll happen IF you hit the bong bit too frequently.

    Also would explain much beyond her breathing.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,561

    Truss still doesn’t know what to do with her hands.

    Badenoch’s “I can be the change” rings hollow when it’s vague what her views are.

    Should I watch the first half on ITV1+1?

    No.
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    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,085
    Well that’s an hour of my life I wont get back
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    Foxy said:

    Taz said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ouch, that's a truly nasty question from Sunak, very spiteful.

    Truss trying to get back over education, overlooking that she was a Lib Dem at uni.

    FFS, mentioning the maths gcse though, that's been an absolute catastrophe. Doesn't work on any level at all, including setting up for further study. Also not reliable in the marking. Never mention that as it's a serious black mark.

    Truss was schooled, mainly, under the Tories as well. So any lack of opportunity is down to them.
    Comprehensive schoolgirl from a Labour Council, with a Labour LEA.
    Got into Oxford and into Parliament though, so perhaps was well taught after all.

    Only in PPE though.
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    ITV as smooth as ever

    Dorries should nationalise it…
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,380
    I still fancy Penny the most :blush:
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,781

    MaxPB said:

    Didn't watch it, who's been good/bad?

    Liz didn't shreddie herself despite looking pale and sweaty.
    She does look rather like a zombie.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,307
    DavidL said:

    Mordaunt also asks her question to Sunak. Do they all see him as the one to beat? It’s a good tactic to go after the frontrunner, but it also gives Sunak more screen time.

    Ah, but Tugendhat asks his question to Mordaunt! His is the least interesting question. The others went for the jugular.

    (You wouldn’t know Truss is younger than Mordaunt.)

    Its desperation. Sunak head and shoulders above the lot of them, and they keep giving him more time to bat away their whines.

    Come on Tories, just get this done. Smack Sunak up to 200 votes and end the contest.
    I agree that Sunak is the adult in the room. But he also needs to win against someone in the party. Or he will be weaker going forward. No coronation but a comfortable win with the membership.
    If this drags on into August two things happen which are bad for the party:
    1. Weeks of internal infighting which will get nastier than ever.
    2. Bonzo Dog continues to lead the Doodah Band in not governing.

    A long spell of no government despite the growing crises whilst the party says "you must wait, we are too busy trying to kill each other". And then will try and claim unity and majesty and responsibility.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955
    In order of debate performance

    Sunak - mostly because he spoke the most and had to counter questions and attacks more, and largely did so well
    Truss - Confident, direct, painted it as her vs Rishi
    Kemi - Quieter, but when speaking mostly did well
    Tugendhat - had some moments, but largely irrelevant
    Mordaunt - Made no real impact

    In order of debate winners

    Truss - more substantial a figure than Mordaunt, and though she had some bad answers from my POV, nothing to sink her. From this I'd think she can overtake Mordaunt.
    Sunak - Still comes across well, and dealt with attacks mostly ok. Solidified his position with MPs I think.
    Tugendhat - was going nowhere and still is, so no change.
    Kemi - did not grab attention, felt like a bystander
    Mordaunt - eclipsed massively by Truss, had no standout moments.
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Tories clearly scared of big man Starmer

    Starmer is sooo boring and unscary. Billed as forensic prosecutor which always looked a weird boast for a LOTO. By a 10000 to 1 chance it turned out to be relevant and he still screws up. Not gonna be relevant again. And he is off making publicity videos at the Berlin holocaust memorial. Plank.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955

    Well that’s an hour of my life I wont get back

    I enjoyed it.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,365
    edited July 2022
    I thought that was a better debate than Friday. More substantive. At least touched on policy. Much, much better from Liz, not as much room for Kemi. TT annoyingly irrelevant. Rishi dominating. I'm sure that Penny was there, it just kind of slips my mind.
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    TazTaz Posts: 11,283
    Kemi and TT shook hands at the end.

    Which was nice.

    Liz Truss would not be a wise choice for the Tories. Rishi came over pretty well.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,611
    Penny really does have nothing to say, just a very empty vessel. But she presents that emptiness well. I don't think she's going to make the final two at this rate. Taking too many hits and still doesn't stand for anything really at all.
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,500
    edited July 2022

    Betfair next prime minister
    2.76 Rishi Sunak 36%
    2.9 Penny Mordaunt 34%
    6.6 Liz Truss 15%
    7.6 Kemi Badenoch 13%
    95 Tom Tugendhat
    130 Dominic Raab

    To make the final two
    1.09 Rishi Sunak 92%
    1.5 Penny Mordaunt 67%
    3.05 Liz Truss 33%
    5.3 Kemi Badenoch 19%
    48 Tom Tugendhat

    Next PM
    2.58 Rishi Sunak 39%
    3.3 Penny Mordaunt 30%
    4.7 Liz Truss 21%
    8.4 Kemi Badenoch 12%
    110 Dominic Raab
    110 Tom Tugendhat

    Next Con leader
    2.58 Rishi Sunak 39%
    3.45 Penny Mordaunt 29%
    4.8 Liz Truss 21%
    8.2 Kemi Badenoch 12%
    100 Tom Tugendhat

    To make the final two
    1.07 Rishi Sunak 93%
    1.55 Penny Mordaunt 65%
    2.62 Liz Truss 38%
    5.8 Kemi Badenoch 17%
    90 Tom Tugendhat

    ETA we've mentioned this before but it is worth noting there is not enough money in these markets for the bot-writers to link them, so occasionally odd gaps open up.
    Pre-debate Betfair.

    Next PM
    2.54 Rishi Sunak 39%
    3.25 Penny Mordaunt 31%
    5.7 Liz Truss 18%
    8.8 Kemi Badenoch 11%
    100 Tom Tugendhat
    150 Dominic Raab

    Next Con Leader
    2.5 Rishi Sunak 40%
    3.15 Penny Mordaunt 32%
    5.5 Liz Truss 18%
    8.6 Kemi Badenoch 12%
    110 Tom Tugendhat

    To make the final two
    1.08 Rishi Sunak 93%
    1.66 Penny Mordaunt 60%
    2.64 Liz Truss 38%
    5.6 Kemi Badenoch 18%
    60 Tom Tugendhat
    End of debate. Raab's drifted!

    Next PM
    2.4 Rishi Sunak 42%
    3.35 Penny Mordaunt 30%
    4.9 Liz Truss 20%
    11 Kemi Badenoch 9%
    100 Tom Tugendhat
    230 Dominic Raab

    Next Con Leader
    2.4 Rishi Sunak 42%
    3.15 Penny Mordaunt 32%
    4.9 Liz Truss 20%
    12.5 Kemi Badenoch 8%
    130 Tom Tugendhat

    To make the final two
    1.07 Rishi Sunak 93%
    1.51 Penny Mordaunt 66%
    2.52 Liz Truss 40%
    6 Kemi Badenoch 17%
    60 Tom Tugendhat
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790
    MaxPB said:

    Just watching the closing statements. Rishi was good, Penny not so good, Tommy Tug a bit bland, Liz definitely playing the experience card against Kemi, Kemi playing the kids card - shitting on Penny I guess, bit bland otherwise.

    Final statements: Sunak strong and professional. Modaunt freezes and then says something brief I've already forgotten. Truss solid but full fat Conservative. Badenoch quite touching.

    My reaction was completely different. I thought Mordaunt came over best in the closing statements. She seemed serious and with a message.

    Truss OK, but still doesn’t know what to do with her hands. Sunak came over as too slick.
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    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    edited July 2022
    MaxPB said:

    Just watching the closing statements. Rishi was good, Penny not so good, Tommy Tug a bit bland, Liz definitely playing the experience card against Kemi, Kemi playing the kids card - shitting on Penny I guess, bit bland otherwise.

    RS was polished but I'm not sure that helps him. His problem is that he is seem as arrogant and self-righteous. Nothing from tonight is going to change that view of him.
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    squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,367
    Lots of "shill-"ing going on. The more Mordaunt is slagged off the more determined I am to vote for her.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,781
    Rishi the only one looking capable of being PM. The others all too lightweight, which is a pity. I am green all round but least on Sunak.
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    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    I still fancy Penny the most :blush:

    Why don't you put her in charge?
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    TazTaz Posts: 11,283

    Truss still doesn’t know what to do with her hands.

    Badenoch’s “I can be the change” rings hollow when it’s vague what her views are.

    Should I watch the first half on ITV1+1?

    See comment from @Gallowgate a few posts down from yours !
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790
    Badenoch keeps saying she’ll tell me the truth… so, what is this truth she wants to tell me??? (I’m on the +1.)
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    JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,215
    kle4 said:

    In order of debate performance

    Sunak - mostly because he spoke the most and had to counter questions and attacks more, and largely did so well
    Truss - Confident, direct, painted it as her vs Rishi
    Kemi - Quieter, but when speaking mostly did well
    Tugendhat - had some moments, but largely irrelevant
    Mordaunt - Made no real impact

    In order of debate winners

    Truss - more substantial a figure than Mordaunt, and though she had some bad answers from my POV, nothing to sink her. From this I'd think she can overtake Mordaunt.
    Sunak - Still comes across well, and dealt with attacks mostly ok. Solidified his position with MPs I think.
    Tugendhat - was going nowhere and still is, so no change.
    Kemi - did not grab attention, felt like a bystander
    Mordaunt - eclipsed massively by Truss, had no standout moments.

    Yep, agree with everything you wrote. Tugendhat is beginning to grate.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    jonny83 said:

    Mordaunt has had a better debate tonight.

    How did you get there?

    I thought she was awful
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    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,376
    BBC News leading on none of them raising a hand for the liar clown
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    SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,631

    I still fancy Penny the most :blush:

    Thankfully she IS trained to repel boarders - arrrggghh!
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955

    ydoethur said:

    One thing I think we can all agree on, this moderator is crap compared to KGM last Friday.

    God, no. She was much better.

    Kept order and held them to account for answering questions whilst being polite and respectful.

    Julie Etchingham is a class act.
    Agreed, felt more natural, made her asides without disrupting things, even if she could not stop Rishi from droning on.
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    MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    ydoethur said:

    kle4 said:

    Oh come on Penny, I know you have a slogan about leaderhship being about the ship, but the contest is about the leader, so of course the debate was about you!

    I think she's a sinking ship now.
    Agreed. Was quite a weak performance. TBH, I thought TT wasn't that great either - too much about his army career and he over-detailed on some of the climate stuff.

    I'll probably put some money on Rishi as a covering bet but I think this contest remains wide open, although I think for the final two vs Sunak, it's now between Badenoch and Truss.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,611

    Badenoch keeps saying she’ll tell me the truth… so, what is this truth she wants to tell me??? (I’m on the +1.)

    She's not cutting taxes.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    edited July 2022

    ydoethur said:

    One thing I think we can all agree on, this moderator is crap compared to KGM last Friday.

    God, no. She was much better.

    Kept order and held them to account for answering questions whilst being polite and respectful.

    Julie Etchingham is a class act.
    If 'interrupting every five seconds' and 'never giving them a chance to answer' is your idea of 'being polite and respectful,' you and I have very different definitions of good manners. She came across as rude, arrogant and ineffectual.

    Edit - although I suppose the mere fact you don't agree shows my original comment is wrong.
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    geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,176
    Updating my prior preferences:
    Positive: Sunak, Badenoch,
    Neutral: Truss, Tugendhat
    Negative: Mordaunt
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261

    jonny83 said:

    Mordaunt has had a better debate tonight.

    How did you get there?

    I thought she was awful
    I could say the same about how people thought Kemi had an ok to good debate

    It's all opinions at the end of the day.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 91,955
    I really do worry about a Sunak vs Truss contest.

    Not because I think he is the bee's knees or anything, but because Truss knows she is not as good at answering things and presenting herself, so she will just go hard on how she is the true Brexiter and belittle any attempt to discuss detail, as he will probably out debate her on such matters.
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,851
    Good evening. I've missed both debates. Tried to watch the Channel 4 one on their catch-up service and it said "not available".
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    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,500

    Just on personality, I'd say

    1. Badenoch - talks human appealingly, can actually see her reaching some non-Conservative voters.
    2. Sunak. Consummate professional, but a little technocratic and a little defensive.
    3. Truss. Much better than last time. Might reassure members who want a solid Tory with no compromise.
    4. Modaunt. Seemed ill at ease, struggled to say anything memorable.
    5. Tugendhat. Really played the army card so often it got tedious.

    Tugendhat also needs to practise talking at a constant volume. He kept dropping his voice two thirds of the way through each sentence.
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    WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,503
    edited July 2022
    Once again I think Sunak and Mordaunt did best, and once again I think they're still the frontrunners. Sunak with his direct condfidence and ease, Mordaunt with her unusual capacity among politicians to relate emotionally. Not much has changed.
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    FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,781

    Badenoch keeps saying she’ll tell me the truth… so, what is this truth she wants to tell me??? (I’m on the +1.)

    The truth is that she is The Change Candidate, though she won't tell what that Change will be.
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,790
    MaxPB said:

    Badenoch keeps saying she’ll tell me the truth… so, what is this truth she wants to tell me??? (I’m on the +1.)

    She's not cutting taxes.
    But she just said she’s cutting taxes.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,334
    kle4 said:

    In order of debate performance

    Sunak - mostly because he spoke the most and had to counter questions and attacks more, and largely did so well
    Truss - Confident, direct, painted it as her vs Rishi
    Kemi - Quieter, but when speaking mostly did well
    Tugendhat - had some moments, but largely irrelevant
    Mordaunt - Made no real impact

    In order of debate winners

    Truss - more substantial a figure than Mordaunt, and though she had some bad answers from my POV, nothing to sink her. From this I'd think she can overtake Mordaunt.
    Sunak - Still comes across well, and dealt with attacks mostly ok. Solidified his position with MPs I think.
    Tugendhat - was going nowhere and still is, so no change.
    Kemi - did not grab attention, felt like a bystander
    Mordaunt - eclipsed massively by Truss, had no standout moments.

    I'm going to assume whoever 'off topiced' this had fat finger syndrome. Because if that's off topic we're all in trouble.
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    numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 5,500
    I hope we still get Rishi and Penny as the final two because at least it keeps Liz Truss away from the membership. I suspect that Rishi would be able to mount a successful campaign against Penny now, given she hasn’t been able to clearly articulate her big picture. I worry about Rishi v Truss. I think she’d win.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    ydoethur said:

    kle4 said:

    Oh come on Penny, I know you have a slogan about leaderhship being about the ship, but the contest is about the leader, so of course the debate was about you!

    I think she's a sinking ship now.
    I've seen enough evidence from these debates to conclude Penny Mordaunt would be a disaster as PM, even worse than Truss, even though she's far more likeable and relatable.
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    GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 20,872

    Just on personality, I'd say

    1. Badenoch - talks human appealingly, can actually see her reaching some non-Conservative voters.
    2. Sunak. Consummate professional, but a little technocratic and a little defensive.
    3. Truss. Much better than last time. Might reassure members who want a solid Tory with no compromise.
    4. Modaunt. Seemed ill at ease, struggled to say anything memorable.
    5. Tugendhat. Really played the army card so often it got tedious.

    Tugendhat also needs to practise talking at a constant volume. He kept dropping his voice two thirds of the way through each sentence.
    As that is the last we’ll see of him, perhaps he doesn’t need to worry now.
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    bigglesbiggles Posts: 4,370
    kle4 said:

    I really do worry about a Sunak vs Truss contest.

    Not because I think he is the bee's knees or anything, but because Truss knows she is not as good at answering things and presenting herself, so she will just go hard on how she is the true Brexiter and belittle any attempt to discuss detail, as he will probably out debate her on such matters.

    If that’s the final two, I think it’s 50/50 Truss will drop a clanger and drop out.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    One thing I think we can all agree on, this moderator is crap compared to KGM last Friday.

    God, no. She was much better.

    Kept order and held them to account for answering questions whilst being polite and respectful.

    Julie Etchingham is a class act.
    If 'interrupting every five seconds' and 'never giving them a chance to answer' is your idea of 'being polite and respectful,' you and I have very different definitions of good manners. She came across as rude, arrogant and ineffectual.

    Edit - although I suppose the mere fact you don't agree shows my original comment is wrong.
    I heard good and clear answers from all the candidates, and she challenged them when they were not.
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