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In the VI polling, there’s been a marked shift to LAB – politicalbetting.com

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Comments

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,286
    JACK_W said:

    The Queen retains the right to refuse a peerage I think?

    In theory yes. The monarch is the fountain of all honour. However should a proposed honour pass the scrutiny committee then the likelihood of the Queen refusing is as small as TSE donating his red shoes to the Jeremy Corbyn Fund For Distressed Democratic Socia*ists.

    Cover your eyes Lord W.

    @Leon is doing "pussy" and "cock" talk... You being here with such vulgarity is like watching porn with your parents... it's just not right!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720

    According to the Times, Boris proposed to put Nadine in the House of Lords.

    By-election in Bedfordshire klaxon.

    By election in Selby & Ainsty as well.

    Nigel Adams, whom enemies accuse of persuading Johnson to employ Pincher, a drinking partner of his, has been telling friends he will get a peerage. Nadine Dorries is also expected to go to the Lords and revert to writing novels.

    I would fear for the very foundations of the British constitution if an outgoing, raging-against-the-dying-of-the-light, PM did not promote a few slavish cult flunkies to the HoL.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720
    If Mad Nad is in HoL she can't try and destroy Antiques Roadshow any more.

    Result.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821

    I've got this joke about Midas and Oedipus.

    It is motherfucking gold.

    Did you hear about the scarecrow wot became a psephologist?

    He specialised in Straw Polls.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103

    My concern for Mordaunt would be over her non-married status. It wouldn't bother me but it would be an issue for a fair number of ordinary voters.

    Really? How often do we even hear about the partners of politicians? Unless there's some juicy gossip scandal they might as well be all single or committed but unmarried for all we know about it.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,567

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    Where’s Big G with the Opinium, and Big Owl with “Starmer fans please explain”

    MoonRabbit please explain :)
    No that’s all wrong. After the first two do their part of the ceremony you have to post your no Tory lead since, count. 🤦‍♀️
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720
    JACK_W said:

    The Queen retains the right to refuse a peerage I think?

    In theory yes. The monarch is the fountain of all honour. However should a proposed honour pass the scrutiny committee then the likelihood of the Queen refusing is as small as TSE donating his red shoes to the Jeremy Corbyn Fund For Distressed Democratic Socia*ists.

    Good to hear from you our @JACK_W

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103

    kle4 said:

    The fact that the Chancellor is under investigation by the HMRC (and previously the SFO); and that this was known by Boris, is a new low for the United Kingdom.

    I think we've had worse lows, but it's not good.
    Do elaborate.
    I don't have specific examples to hand, but I know we've had some right dodgy figures in our illustrious parliamentary history, a Chancellor being investigated is bad but I doubt an unprecendented low.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821

    Where’s Big G with the Opinium, and Big Owl with “Starmer fans please explain”

    MoonRabbit please explain :)
    No that’s all wrong. After the first two do their part of the ceremony you have to post your no Tory lead since, count. 🤦‍♀️
    SHIT!

    I'm three days late in posting "NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS!"
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,309
    GIN1138 said:

    Leon said:



    I was talking earlier about how my ex wife - with my keen consent - experimented with lesbianism (as long as I could watch). She did it, and she had fun, but at the end she said “Nope, I don’t like pussy, I want cock” - sorry to be so vulgar but it’s hard to avoid it. My ex wife is probably the most experimental, open minded person I’ve met (she married me FFS) but she is hard wired to be hetero. Nothing to do with “absorbed prejudices”

    Gosh, we're getting down to the nitty gritty now aren't we? Get another glass...
    Ok then!



  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    pm215 said:


    Egged on by what one insider called the “lunatics”, Johnson also began to voice the view that Sunak had been engaged in a plot lasting months to destabilise him, in cahoots with Dominic Cummings, his former aide, and Gove. “He observed that there was a lot to come out about that,” a witness said. “Someone has filled his head with it. He won’t say who he wants to succeed him, but Rishi is the one he doesn’t want to succeed him.”

    ...but who has been working Boris up into this state of paranoia? Surely suspicion must fall on the only person who sees him once a week with no others ever present :-)
    Lord Lebedev?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103

    According to the Times, Boris proposed to put Nadine in the House of Lords.

    By-election in Bedfordshire klaxon.

    By election in Selby & Ainsty as well.

    Nigel Adams, whom enemies accuse of persuading Johnson to employ Pincher, a drinking partner of his, has been telling friends he will get a peerage. Nadine Dorries is also expected to go to the Lords and revert to writing novels.

    I would fear for the very foundations of the British constitution if an outgoing, raging-against-the-dying-of-the-light, PM did not promote a few slavish cult flunkies to the HoL.
    So much for all that 'the loyalists(in fact, new rebels) will fight on and Boris make a comeback' talk if he is going to install current MPs into the Lords.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103

    Where’s Big G with the Opinium, and Big Owl with “Starmer fans please explain”

    MoonRabbit please explain :)
    No that’s all wrong. After the first two do their part of the ceremony you have to post your no Tory lead since, count. 🤦‍♀️
    SHIT!

    I'm three days late in posting "NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS!"
    I was about to ask if you were ok.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720
    GIN1138 said:

    Leon said:



    I was talking earlier about how my ex wife - with my keen consent - experimented with lesbianism (as long as I could watch). She did it, and she had fun, but at the end she said “Nope, I don’t like pussy, I want cock” - sorry to be so vulgar but it’s hard to avoid it. My ex wife is probably the most experimental, open minded person I’ve met (she married me FFS) but she is hard wired to be hetero. Nothing to do with “absorbed prejudices”

    Gosh, we're getting down to the nitty gritty now aren't we? Get another glass...
    I detect a whiff of nostalgia from our travelling friend.

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,286
    Leon said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Leon said:



    I was talking earlier about how my ex wife - with my keen consent - experimented with lesbianism (as long as I could watch). She did it, and she had fun, but at the end she said “Nope, I don’t like pussy, I want cock” - sorry to be so vulgar but it’s hard to avoid it. My ex wife is probably the most experimental, open minded person I’ve met (she married me FFS) but she is hard wired to be hetero. Nothing to do with “absorbed prejudices”

    Gosh, we're getting down to the nitty gritty now aren't we? Get another glass...
    Ok then!



    Wish I was there. x
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    You could have two effects . One of relief adding a bit and another at the horror of it all taking some off . Either way Opinium seems to have decided to use a methodology that no other pollster uses .
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Opinium net approvals

    KEIR -7
    BORIS -44
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720
    kle4 said:

    According to the Times, Boris proposed to put Nadine in the House of Lords.

    By-election in Bedfordshire klaxon.

    By election in Selby & Ainsty as well.

    Nigel Adams, whom enemies accuse of persuading Johnson to employ Pincher, a drinking partner of his, has been telling friends he will get a peerage. Nadine Dorries is also expected to go to the Lords and revert to writing novels.

    I would fear for the very foundations of the British constitution if an outgoing, raging-against-the-dying-of-the-light, PM did not promote a few slavish cult flunkies to the HoL.
    So much for all that 'the loyalists(in fact, new rebels) will fight on and Boris make a comeback' talk if he is going to install current MPs into the Lords.
    Ah, good point.

    The fact that it seems only 20 cultists are heading onto the red benches probably tells us a lot about the depth of Johnsonism.

  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    nico679 said:

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    You could have two effects . One of relief adding a bit and another at the horror of it all taking some off . Either way Opinium seems to have decided to use a methodology that no other pollster uses .
    The raw figures were 21 Con 29 Lab 9 LD before weightings, dont knows etc
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,497

    kle4 said:

    The fact that the Chancellor is under investigation by the HMRC (and previously the SFO); and that this was known by Boris, is a new low for the United Kingdom.

    I think we've had worse lows, but it's not good.
    Do elaborate.
    Once the selectorate has had time to think they will put character, reputation, risk assessment, personal history right at the top. Another PM giving months or years of stories for the media will be catastrophic.

    This, I think, after time for reflection, will stop the Rishi campaign dead. There are two big factors: Non-dom, Green Card and the sorts of issues that arise from fabulous wealth, + the FPN associated with his staying on after Paterson, partygate, and all that, until the very last moment. That was months. He should have gone in January.

    The wealth thing isn't fair; but the rest is absolutely fair game for SKS.

    If the Tories want to risk it, OK, but I think it will be problematic. Bet accordingly.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,309

    GIN1138 said:

    Leon said:



    I was talking earlier about how my ex wife - with my keen consent - experimented with lesbianism (as long as I could watch). She did it, and she had fun, but at the end she said “Nope, I don’t like pussy, I want cock” - sorry to be so vulgar but it’s hard to avoid it. My ex wife is probably the most experimental, open minded person I’ve met (she married me FFS) but she is hard wired to be hetero. Nothing to do with “absorbed prejudices”

    Gosh, we're getting down to the nitty gritty now aren't we? Get another glass...
    I detect a whiff of nostalgia from our travelling friend.

    More than that. It feels like a previous life
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,831
    kle4 said:

    My concern for Mordaunt would be over her non-married status. It wouldn't bother me but it would be an issue for a fair number of ordinary voters.

    Really? How often do we even hear about the partners of politicians? Unless there's some juicy gossip scandal they might as well be all single or committed but unmarried for all we know about it.
    I know. It may not be an issue for you and me but come election time they're often encouraged to talk about their family status. The husband/wife and kids.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,103

    kle4 said:

    My concern for Mordaunt would be over her non-married status. It wouldn't bother me but it would be an issue for a fair number of ordinary voters.

    Really? How often do we even hear about the partners of politicians? Unless there's some juicy gossip scandal they might as well be all single or committed but unmarried for all we know about it.
    I know. It may not be an issue for you and me but come election time they're often encouraged to talk about their family status. The husband/wife and kids.
    Very briefly. It's a boilerplate 'I care about family, I'm a normal person' and that's it for most of them.

    So clearly they think it is important, but how much are the public really being influenced by it? The public might well assume someone has a family if the politician does not mention it.

    In which case it'd have to be a pretty low opponent who would need to surreptitiously bring it up.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,220

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    I know Opinium have got a lot of damping in the way they turn polls into percentages, but that seems overcooked.
  • I just asked my Tory MP to vote for Kemi.

    Has anyone else been advising their MP on this?
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720

    Opinium net approvals

    KEIR -7
    BORIS -44

    It's the Kemi - Keir numbers we want now frankly
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    Where’s Big G with the Opinium, and Big Owl with “Starmer fans please explain”

    MoonRabbit please explain :)
    No that’s all wrong. After the first two do their part of the ceremony you have to post your no Tory lead since, count. 🤦‍♀️
    SHIT!

    I'm three days late in posting "NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS!"
    I feel like I am herding cats on here sometimes, to get the ceremony right,
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405

    Tres said:
    It’s literally a clip of Boris explaining why a job was *not* found for one of his flings, but it’s deeply unsavoury nonetheless. Boris sounds full of pathetic excuses and self-pity.
    Wow. Fecking bombshell stuff.

    VONC now.
    To what end? The Tories will not vote for it. New leader coming, recess approaching.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720
    Mordaunt and Truss are level on BF at 6.6

  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,526

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    Opinium's anticipated swingback is a brave pollig experiment. If it's accurate, we should see the other polls swing into line with it as the election approaches. The problem is that each election is different and I'm not sure one can predict th epresence and size of swingback from the limited sample of recent elections.
  • nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    Boris has turned things round....
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    They build swingback into Mark. Never had a Labour lead more than 4 on one of those, I think, so this is new territory.

    I think looking at this Opinium, the actual average Labour lead has to be much more than 6 at this moment.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,402

    Tres said:
    It’s literally a clip of Boris explaining why a job was *not* found for one of his flings, but it’s deeply unsavoury nonetheless. Boris sounds full of pathetic excuses and self-pity.
    Wow. Fecking bombshell stuff.

    VONC now.
    To what end? The Tories will not vote for it. New leader coming, recess approaching.
    To have the HofC discuss the extremely serious allegations which have come to light in the past 48 hours for one.
    To get everyone on record that they are prepared to tolerate it.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,220

    I think the first candidate - Mordaunt? - that comes out on an anti-Boris clean-up ticket wins.

    Hasn't Badenoch already done that with her focus on telling the truth?
    No, her truth seems to be about refusing to give in to critical race theory cancellers.

    Nobody has come out and say, actually we now need to clean up.
    Obligatory Yes Minister Wisdom;

    Clean up a dunghill, and you're left with nothing! Except the man who did the cleaning is covered with dung.

    What is the best thing for the party? Getting it all out in the open now feels like the moral thing to do (plus it discredits Dead Dog), but it won't be as neat as that, will it?
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.


  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    edited July 2022
    A bunch of people have just announced for Hunt. He’s now second equal with Truss, Braverman and Zahawi.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,863
    MrEd said:

    I think Braverman is picking up votes because, for the ERG faction, that's not really anyone else they trust. Definitely not Truss, Sunak or Zahawi.

    MrEd said:

    So:

    - Hunt - basically out
    - Sunak - about to get taken down with his comments about the working class already circulating
    - Zahawi - taken down
    - Truss - struggling to get momentum
    - Badenoch - surprisingly getting some momentum from the RW crowd but can it be sustained.

    This is going to be a great contest from a betting standpoint

    ps please let Nadine run - it would be hilarious.


    dixiedean said:

    Putting a bloke being investigated by HMRC in charge of the Treasury surely tops everything else Boris has done by a country mile, doesn't it?

    Edit:

    Makes Zahawi's behaviour entirely explicable.

    I've been surprised with how well Braverman has done. I am not a supporter, but even if her endorsements stop now, she's not done badly.
    Baker explained it on LBC at lunchtime. She’s the only one who voted the ERG line on all the votes on May’s deal.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,286

    Mordaunt and Truss are level on BF at 6.6

    In Liz We Truss Vs Spend A Penny - Together We'll Piss All Over The Labour Party
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited July 2022

    🚨LATEST @OpiniumResearch / @ObserverUK poll 🚨

    Our latest poll shows Labour's lead rising from 3 points to 5 points.

    Con 33% (-1)
    Lab 38% (+1)
    Lib Dem 12% (+1)
    Green 6% (No change)

    Fieldwork 6-8 July, changes on 22-24 June. https://t.co/Nu8VqwNPIV

    After a week like THAT? Remarkable.....
    Opinium's anticipated swingback is a brave pollig experiment. If it's accurate, we should see the other polls swing into line with it as the election approaches. The problem is that each election is different and I'm not sure one can predict th epresence and size of swingback from the limited sample of recent elections.
    Yes, although the raw figures, weighted to 2019 vote before dont knows snd eont votes are removed were 29 labour 21 Con 9 LD, so not a massive lead regardless of swingback. Maybe equivalent of 10% or so?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839
    Leon said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Leon said:



    I was talking earlier about how my ex wife - with my keen consent - experimented with lesbianism (as long as I could watch). She did it, and she had fun, but at the end she said “Nope, I don’t like pussy, I want cock” - sorry to be so vulgar but it’s hard to avoid it. My ex wife is probably the most experimental, open minded person I’ve met (she married me FFS) but she is hard wired to be hetero. Nothing to do with “absorbed prejudices”

    Gosh, we're getting down to the nitty gritty now aren't we? Get another glass...
    Ok then!



    What fish??
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821

    Where’s Big G with the Opinium, and Big Owl with “Starmer fans please explain”

    MoonRabbit please explain :)
    No that’s all wrong. After the first two do their part of the ceremony you have to post your no Tory lead since, count. 🤦‍♀️
    SHIT!

    I'm three days late in posting "NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS!"
    I feel like I am herding cats on here sometimes, to get the ceremony right,
    NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS AND THREE DAYS!
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,380
    Very bad news for those supporting Penny Mordaunt.

    You've got Michael Fabricant for company.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,402
    edited July 2022
    Luis Echeverria has died. He of the massacres and "dirty war" of the late 60's and 70's in Mexico has died.
    Amazed he was still alive tbh.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    A bunch of people have just announced for Hunt. He’s now second equal with Truss and Braverman.

    Hunt has no chance . Probably wants a future cabinet job if he decides to go forward and that’s really all I can see .
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    I think the first candidate - Mordaunt? - that comes out on an anti-Boris clean-up ticket wins.

    Hasn't Badenoch already done that with her focus on telling the truth?
    No, her truth seems to be about refusing to give in to critical race theory cancellers.

    Nobody has come out and say, actually we now need to clean up.
    Obligatory Yes Minister Wisdom;

    Clean up a dunghill, and you're left with nothing! Except the man who did the cleaning is covered with dung.

    What is the best thing for the party? Getting it all out in the open now feels like the moral thing to do (plus it discredits Dead Dog), but it won't be as neat as that, will it?
    Either that or suffer as Labour bring up various new scandals every month until the election.

    Tories need a clean break with Boris.
    They need to go outside Cabinet.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,720
    IanB2 said:

    MrEd said:

    I think Braverman is picking up votes because, for the ERG faction, that's not really anyone else they trust. Definitely not Truss, Sunak or Zahawi.

    MrEd said:

    So:

    - Hunt - basically out
    - Sunak - about to get taken down with his comments about the working class already circulating
    - Zahawi - taken down
    - Truss - struggling to get momentum
    - Badenoch - surprisingly getting some momentum from the RW crowd but can it be sustained.

    This is going to be a great contest from a betting standpoint

    ps please let Nadine run - it would be hilarious.


    dixiedean said:

    Putting a bloke being investigated by HMRC in charge of the Treasury surely tops everything else Boris has done by a country mile, doesn't it?

    Edit:

    Makes Zahawi's behaviour entirely explicable.

    I've been surprised with how well Braverman has done. I am not a supporter, but even if her endorsements stop now, she's not done badly.
    Baker explained it on LBC at lunchtime. She’s the only one who voted the ERG line on all the votes on May’s deal.
    Purists.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,635

    Very bad news for those supporting Penny Mordaunt.

    You've got Michael Fabricant for company.

    All the cool and clever kids are backing Tom Tugendhat.
  • nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Opinium state no shift seen Con to Lab but 6% more Con 2019 have moved to 'not voting/unsure'
    Fieldwork before and after resignation

    As predicted. And Opinium's methodology should mitigate the effect of this much more than other pollsters, right?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839
    edited July 2022

    kle4 said:

    My concern for Mordaunt would be over her non-married status. It wouldn't bother me but it would be an issue for a fair number of ordinary voters.

    Really? How often do we even hear about the partners of politicians? Unless there's some juicy gossip scandal they might as well be all single or committed but unmarried for all we know about it.
    I know. It may not be an issue for you and me but come election time they're often encouraged to talk about their family status. The husband/wife and kids.
    Andrea Leadsom waves hello.

    PS: just to be clear:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36752865

    'The Times headlined its front-page lead story: "Being a mother gives me edge on May - Leadsom."

    It quoted the energy minister as saying Mrs May "possibly has nieces, nephews, lots of people.

    "But I have children who are going to have children who will directly be part of what happens next".'
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,309
    Carnyx said:

    Leon said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Leon said:



    I was talking earlier about how my ex wife - with my keen consent - experimented with lesbianism (as long as I could watch). She did it, and she had fun, but at the end she said “Nope, I don’t like pussy, I want cock” - sorry to be so vulgar but it’s hard to avoid it. My ex wife is probably the most experimental, open minded person I’ve met (she married me FFS) but she is hard wired to be hetero. Nothing to do with “absorbed prejudices”

    Gosh, we're getting down to the nitty gritty now aren't we? Get another glass...
    Ok then!



    What fish??
    Sea bream. Delicious
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    If Mad Nad is in HoL she can't try and destroy Antiques Roadshow any more.

    Result.

    She would “be” Antiques Roadshow! 😆
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    You supported a crook and liar for PM right up until it became unfashionable to do so.

    Sucks to be you.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1545850475840503811?t=QinvuBmCpkKug0vT0ciGgA&s=19

    Leader potential scores

    And..... Starmer leads 28 to 20 on best PM........ versus Boris, after this week, lmfao
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902

    A bunch of people have just announced for Hunt. He’s now second equal with Truss, Braverman and Zahawi.

    Is Hunt running?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,839

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    Oh, come off it. "We had to make Johnson leader because Corbyn." Absolute and utter gonads.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507
    edited July 2022

    Where’s Big G with the Opinium, and Big Owl with “Starmer fans please explain”

    MoonRabbit please explain :)
    No that’s all wrong. After the first two do their part of the ceremony you have to post your no Tory lead since, count. 🤦‍♀️
    SHIT!

    I'm three days late in posting "NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS!"
    I feel like I am herding cats on here sometimes, to get the ceremony right,
    NO TORY POLL LEADS FOR SEVEN MONTHS AND THREE DAYS!
    That’s better 😌

    But it’s polite to wait for Big Owls to embarrass himself first, not appreciating the swingback built in. Owls is probably still in pub beer garden, but it’s okay as MarqueeMark has stepped in for him.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298

    A bunch of people have just announced for Hunt. He’s now second equal with Truss, Braverman and Zahawi.

    Is Hunt running?
    Not formally announced yet, no.
    Neither have Mordaunt, Javid or Patel (rumoured).
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,902

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    Indeed. There is a difference:
    Corbyn: Wanted to corrupt the country for Russia
    Boris: Corrupted the country to Russia for himself
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited July 2022
    Applicant said:

    Opinium state no shift seen Con to Lab but 6% more Con 2019 have moved to 'not voting/unsure'
    Fieldwork before and after resignation

    As predicted. And Opinium's methodology should mitigate the effect of this much more than other pollsters, right?
    Yes, tweet convos with Chris Curtis seem to be saying short term opiniums methodology should be more reliable as it will smooth out the pearl clutching knee jerks
    They seem to be saying their key takeaway is still not seeing direct switchers to any great extent. Its all about the 2019 Tory voter strike
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821
    Applicant said:

    Opinium state no shift seen Con to Lab but 6% more Con 2019 have moved to 'not voting/unsure'
    Fieldwork before and after resignation

    As predicted. And Opinium's methodology should mitigate the effect of this much more than other pollsters, right?
    Or it could just be a bloody outlier.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,220

    I think the first candidate - Mordaunt? - that comes out on an anti-Boris clean-up ticket wins.

    Hasn't Badenoch already done that with her focus on telling the truth?
    No, her truth seems to be about refusing to give in to critical race theory cancellers.

    Nobody has come out and say, actually we now need to clean up.
    Obligatory Yes Minister Wisdom;

    Clean up a dunghill, and you're left with nothing! Except the man who did the cleaning is covered with dung.

    What is the best thing for the party? Getting it all out in the open now feels like the moral thing to do (plus it discredits Dead Dog), but it won't be as neat as that, will it?
    Either that or suffer as Labour bring up various new scandals every month until the election.

    Tories need a clean break with Boris.
    They need to go outside Cabinet.

    Ideally, the Conservatives would take a gap year and get their heads together. Under someone present-but-not-involved; a sort of Conservative Starmer (hence the enthusiasm for Wallace?). One thing to do that in opposition, another in government. Like it or not, they have to keep the show on the road, which limits the ability to push 2019-22 down the memory hole.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842

    I think the first candidate - Mordaunt? - that comes out on an anti-Boris clean-up ticket wins.

    Hasn't Badenoch already done that with her focus on telling the truth?
    No, her truth seems to be about refusing to give in to critical race theory cancellers.

    Nobody has come out and say, actually we now need to clean up.
    Obligatory Yes Minister Wisdom;

    Clean up a dunghill, and you're left with nothing! Except the man who did the cleaning is covered with dung.

    What is the best thing for the party? Getting it all out in the open now feels like the moral thing to do (plus it discredits Dead Dog), but it won't be as neat as that, will it?
    Either that or suffer as Labour bring up various new scandals every month until the election.

    Tories need a clean break with Boris.
    They need to go outside Cabinet.
    Please don't faint...

    But I agree with your final two sentences
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,900
    algarkirk said:

    kle4 said:

    The fact that the Chancellor is under investigation by the HMRC (and previously the SFO); and that this was known by Boris, is a new low for the United Kingdom.

    I think we've had worse lows, but it's not good.
    Do elaborate.
    Once the selectorate has had time to think they will put character, reputation, risk assessment, personal history right at the top. Another PM giving months or years of stories for the media will be catastrophic.

    This, I think, after time for reflection, will stop the Rishi campaign dead. There are two big factors: Non-dom, Green Card and the sorts of issues that arise from fabulous wealth, + the FPN associated with his staying on after Paterson, partygate, and all that, until the very last moment. That was months. He should have gone in January.

    The wealth thing isn't fair; but the rest is absolutely fair game for SKS.

    If the Tories want to risk it, OK, but I think it will be problematic. Bet accordingly.

    Boris was actually born in America and held dual citizenship until Uncle Sam asked him to pay tax. Voters just don't care about this stuff.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,393

    A bunch of people have just announced for Hunt. He’s now second equal with Truss, Braverman and Zahawi.

    Is Hunt running?
    No, because he would be STANDING!
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,900

    A bunch of people have just announced for Hunt. He’s now second equal with Truss, Braverman and Zahawi.

    Is Hunt running?
    14 from 26 on Betfair.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,567

    Very bad news for those supporting Penny Mordaunt.

    You've got Michael Fabricant for company.

    The more the merrier.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,835
    Just saw Somerset break the record for domestic cricket at 265-5. In the midde of this absolute carnage Scrimshaw got 2-16 off 4 overs. Why isn't he playing for England???
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    Applicant said:

    Opinium state no shift seen Con to Lab but 6% more Con 2019 have moved to 'not voting/unsure'
    Fieldwork before and after resignation

    As predicted. And Opinium's methodology should mitigate the effect of this much more than other pollsters, right?
    Or it could just be a bloody outlier.
    I do seem to predict this one quite accurately, with my run of luck.
  • nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    You supported a crook and liar for PM right up until it became unfashionable to do so.

    Sucks to be you.
    I stopped supporting him beginning of September last year, which was before it became unfashionable. Tories were still well in the lead at that time.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,380

    Very bad news for those supporting Penny Mordaunt.

    You've got Michael Fabricant for company.

    All the cool and clever kids are backing Tom Tugendhat.
    Who are you backing then?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 21,298
    Kemi has come out against net zero.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    The Men's Doubles Final is still going on after 4 hours.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 11,064

    algarkirk said:

    kle4 said:

    The fact that the Chancellor is under investigation by the HMRC (and previously the SFO); and that this was known by Boris, is a new low for the United Kingdom.

    I think we've had worse lows, but it's not good.
    Do elaborate.
    Once the selectorate has had time to think they will put character, reputation, risk assessment, personal history right at the top. Another PM giving months or years of stories for the media will be catastrophic.

    This, I think, after time for reflection, will stop the Rishi campaign dead. There are two big factors: Non-dom, Green Card and the sorts of issues that arise from fabulous wealth, + the FPN associated with his staying on after Paterson, partygate, and all that, until the very last moment. That was months. He should have gone in January.

    The wealth thing isn't fair; but the rest is absolutely fair game for SKS.

    If the Tories want to risk it, OK, but I think it will be problematic. Bet accordingly.

    Boris was actually born in America and held dual citizenship until Uncle Sam asked him to pay tax. Voters just don't care about this stuff.
    Johnson’s dual citizenship wasn’t a choice that reaped him tax benefits. He was just born with it.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821

    Applicant said:

    Opinium state no shift seen Con to Lab but 6% more Con 2019 have moved to 'not voting/unsure'
    Fieldwork before and after resignation

    As predicted. And Opinium's methodology should mitigate the effect of this much more than other pollsters, right?
    Or it could just be a bloody outlier.
    I do seem to predict this one quite accurately, with my run of luck.
    "In my experience, there's no such thing as luck!" - Obi-Wan Kenobi in Star Wars (1977).
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1545850475840503811?t=QinvuBmCpkKug0vT0ciGgA&s=19

    Leader potential scores

    And..... Starmer leads 28 to 20 on best PM........ versus Boris, after this week, lmfao

    Wasn’t this a rather close 3 points in the last Opinium, and we asked is that a raw figure or swingback built in as well?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,835
    Andy_JS said:

    The Men's Doubles Final is still going on after 4 hours.

    Maybe it just feels that way.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821
    Andy_JS said:

    The Men's Doubles Final is still going on after 4 hours.

    Great stuff, too!
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Carnyx said:

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    Oh, come off it. "We had to make Johnson leader because Corbyn." Absolute and utter gonads.
    Nope, they had to make Boris leader because he was best placed to break the Remainer obstructionism in Parliament led by Bercow and SKS.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,309
    I know I’m banging on but I can’t praise Montenegro highly enough

    This apartment is costing me £70 a night. So if you’re a couple that’s CHEAP. It’s very luxurious. You walk out into the sea. Which is warm. Everyone does it. I’m by Kotor bay but it’s the quiet side of the bay. A little fishing village. 2
    minutes walk to eat that sea bream

    There isn’t much to do but swim and drink and contemplate the mountains

    But if you want drama the wild mountains are 40 minutes drive away and you can find entire mighty rivers in the sun with no tourists - plus chic little towns and ancient forts

    The tiny airport is 10’ minutes from here. Direct flights from Gatwick








  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Andy_JS said:

    The Men's Doubles Final is still going on after 4 hours.

    And it ends in an anticlimax.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,393
    edited July 2022

    Very bad news for those supporting Penny Mordaunt.

    You've got Michael Fabricant for company.

    The more the merrier.
    It's really unhelpful that all the nutters are endorsing different candidates. Cummings with Sunak, Fabricant with Mordaunt, Rees-Mogg with (presumably) Truss, and Braverman and Shapps with themselves.

    Why couldn't they all rally behind one candidate so we could get rid of them fast?
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,679
    Applicant said:

    Carnyx said:

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    Oh, come off it. "We had to make Johnson leader because Corbyn." Absolute and utter gonads.
    Nope, they had to make Boris leader because he was best placed to break the Remainer obstructionism in Parliament led by Bercow and SKS.
    I seem to remember it was the Tories doing most of the obstructing. How many of them voted against the Brexit policy of their own government?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914

    According to the Times, Boris proposed to put Nadine in the House of Lords.

    By-election in Bedfordshire klaxon.

    By election in Selby & Ainsty as well.

    Nigel Adams, whom enemies accuse of persuading Johnson to employ Pincher, a drinking partner of his, has been telling friends he will get a peerage. Nadine Dorries is also expected to go to the Lords and revert to writing novels.

    Chief of staff available. No job too big or small. Apply LORD Guto Harri
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,459

    Kemi has come out against net zero.

    What is her alternative?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,393
    Applicant said:

    Carnyx said:

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    Oh, come off it. "We had to make Johnson leader because Corbyn." Absolute and utter gonads.
    Nope, they had to make Boris leader because he was best placed to break the Remainer obstructionism in Parliament led by Bercow and SKS. would have kept destabilising the government until he got what he wanted, which was power.
    FTFY.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    edited July 2022

    Applicant said:

    Carnyx said:

    nico679 said:

    nico679 said:

    Sunak is the sanest of the Leavers but admittedly has some baggage . All the cabinet members have the issue of supporting Johnson for 2 and a half years . Equally I suppose they could accuse Starmer of being willing to put Corbyn in no 10.

    Corbyn was very flawed but not a pathological liar so perhaps that’s a possible riposte !

    Which is worse, supporting a liar or supporting someone honestly engaging in antisemitism?
    I’m not excusing Corbyn but Johnson has done huge damage to the office of PM.
    I see no moral difference between Corbyn and Johnson. The idea that there is one is self-exculpatory nonsense from Johnson-cucks.

    Utter unmitigated bollocks.
    Oh, come off it. "We had to make Johnson leader because Corbyn." Absolute and utter gonads.
    Nope, they had to make Boris leader because he was best placed to break the Remainer obstructionism in Parliament led by Bercow and SKS.
    I seem to remember it was the Tories doing most of the obstructing. How many of them voted against the Brexit policy of their own government?
    You remember incorrectly - more Labour MPs voted wilfully for impasse than Tory MPs.

    But then, you wouldn't remember things unhelpful to your side as an extremist Eurozealot.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited July 2022

    https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1545850475840503811?t=QinvuBmCpkKug0vT0ciGgA&s=19

    Leader potential scores

    And..... Starmer leads 28 to 20 on best PM........ versus Boris, after this week, lmfao

    Wasn’t this a rather close 3 points in the last Opinium, and we asked is that a raw figure or swingback built in as well?
    Boris was ahead 28 27 last time
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,507

    Applicant said:

    Opinium state no shift seen Con to Lab but 6% more Con 2019 have moved to 'not voting/unsure'
    Fieldwork before and after resignation

    As predicted. And Opinium's methodology should mitigate the effect of this much more than other pollsters, right?
    Or it could just be a bloody outlier.
    I do seem to predict this one quite accurately, with my run of luck.
    "In my experience, there's no such thing as luck!" - Obi-Wan Kenobi in Star Wars (1977).
    I might be a Jedi? Obi Wan Jade 🤗
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,835

    Kemi has come out against net zero.

    What is her alternative?
    I'm guessing more than zero?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,393
    DavidL said:

    Kemi has come out against net zero.

    What is her alternative?
    I'm guessing more than zero?
    She sees it as a positive.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,999
    SeaShantyIrish2 (and anyone else interested in the chemistry of sexual attraction): There are ways MHCs could be used to test compatibility. For instance, a match-making site could provide "scratch-and-sniff" strips to their customers.

    Which, since I live a few blocks from a major Google operation, led me to this disturbing thought: I believe it would be technically possible to collect scents as people walk by -- which might make possible very personalized ads, offering links to people with very different MHCs than what you have.

    Possibly, dogs could be trained to identify matches.

    As always with new technology, we should think about how it could be used in frauds. For example, a gigolo might target a wealthy woman by disguising his scent with one she would prefer.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    kle4 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    kle4 said:

    no contest unless there is a vacancy

    Says who?

    The rulebook doesn't say that.

    BoZo explicitly didn't say it.

    He said "there will be a contest". He didn't say "I am resigning so there will be a contest"
    This is a common mistake people make about rulebooks - they assume every single scenario under the sun must be covered within them and if it is not set out carved into stone something is permissable, but that really is not the case because it is impossible to cover everything. Common sense is actually a big part of administration.

    There shall be a Leader of the Party (referred to in this Constitution as “the Leader”) drawn from those elected to the House of Commons, who shall be elected by the Party Members and Scottish Party Members in accordance with the provisions of Schedule 2

    The Board (which 'have the power to do anything which in its opinion releates to the management and administration of the power') is responsible for 'the overseeing of the procedure for the election of the Leader in accordance with the provisions of Schedule 2'

    Schedule 2 is categorical a leader 'resigning' from the leadership is not eligible. But let's play this out and say resigning is not necessarily a trigger.

    Point 3 states

    Upon the initiation of an election for the Leader, it shall be the duty of the 1922 Committee to present to the Party, as soon as reasonably practicable, a choice of candidates for election as Leader. The rules for deciding the procedure by which the 1922 Committee selects candidates for submission for election shall be determined by the Executive Committee of the 1922 Committee after consultation of the Board

    So let's say Boris argfues the process has been 'initiated' without him resigning - the 1922 still gets to decide how the candidates are selected, and can say the current PM, in this case, is not eligible, based on his statements.

    You can argue the toss about him trying to play fast and loose with the rules, but if he does that they have the tools to stymie him - this is only happening because as he acknowledged the will of the parliamentary party was that he not be leader. So he will not be allowed to be eligible, I am very confident of that.

    Because it is not a question of what he can do - the will to remove him is there, so a way will be found. As noted, if he is saying he has not resigned then Brady and the committee can surely say well then no contest can happen until we settle if there is a vacancy or not.

    Edit: chrisb makes the same point in about 1/10 of the space.
    “… shall be elected by the Party Members and Scottish Party Members…”

    Why the distinction?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Kemi has come out against net zero.

    What is her alternative?
    Best guess: judging policies on all their benefits, not just against an arbitrary target (which is, in any case, rendered pointless by the behaviour of much of the rest of the world).
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,434

    Kemi has come out against net zero.

    What is her alternative?
    Taking a wild stab, reducing our (already comparatively very low) carbon emissions at a speed that doesn't impoverish the citizenry and wreck the economy. Weren't you complaining about the cost of living the other day? Join the dots.
This discussion has been closed.