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As big dog Gromit quits Wallace is who Tory members want to replace him – politicalbetting.com

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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,089
    Tour De France is just one rolling advert for France's architecture and rolling countryside. Passing a very pretty Notre Dame d'avioth.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    Would one of those who thinks Putin secretly loves Johnson, and is only pretending to hate him, please explain how Putin convinced Zelensky to go along with the pretence by claiming to love Johnson?
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,963
    edited July 2022
    Pulpstar said:

    TOPPING said:

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.

    Say what?
    I'll second that. He's obviously bothered about NATO being a huge military bloc facing Russia, but how on God's green earth does Scottish independence remotely worry him ?
    GIUK gap.

    A non-nuclear independent Scotland replacing the UK as being responsible for the GIUK gap would be great news for Putin.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,728
    edited July 2022

    I just read this from Mordaunt ( I love it!): In June 2020, in response to vandalism of war memorials, Mordaunt stated: "I would like to suggest that for some found guilty of vandalising such memorials they might benefit from some time spent with our service personnel – perhaps at a battle camp. That might give them a new appreciation of just what these people go through for their sakes."

    Trouble is that the Forces would hate that; conscription of the unwilling is something they were very glad to do without back in the 1960s. And treating them as short-term borstal wardens won't improve matters. So I don't think much of her for saying that. It [edit] bespeaks either an ignorance or a deliberate mendacity, to pander to her red meat-craving audience.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,289

    image

    BBC headline "Kremlin glee as world reacts to Johnson endgame"
    President Putin's spokesman says "he doesn't like us and we don't like him either"

    Since this is something that Putin wanted and is happy about, then presumably @Nigel_Foremain will call for Boris now to stay on afterall.

    Or is doing the right thing for the country worth doing, even if it is something that Putin wanted?

    Putin loves him. He is just trolling you. Please accept The Gullibility Award Of Moscow (Third Class). Putin is unable to award it to you in person, but I believe Jeremy Corbyn might oblige.

    I also award you third place in the PB Award for Outstanding Boris Johnson Apologist (also known as The Amorality Award by Association Cup).
    Putin loathes him, and Putin was never that bothered about Brexit. Brexit is your obsession, not Putin's.

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.
    You are so in denial. Of course he wanted Brexit. You are one of his little helpers and you know it. You are also an apologist for Johnson, the worst PM in our otherwise glorious history, and his election also pleased Vlad.

    Try as you might "Barty" you cannot spoil my day. I am so delighted that the twat that you with your so so so poor judgement thought was good (you were fawning over him for years) is out of office. I know very well that you are disappointed and I am laughing at you and all his other apologists.

    He was/is shit and totally unfit for office. Only someone who still believes in the fantasy world of Brexit and the "benefits" (guffaw) thereof would ever been gullible enough to think that that fat incompetent oaf was suitable to be PM.

    Now excuse me, as unlike you, I have work to do. Have a thoroughly miserable day, and don't cry too much about the humiliating defenestration of your idol.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,936
    Andy_JS said:

    Nigelb said:

    Well that's one vote at least.

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1545026016623616000
    Damian Green declares for Tom Tugendhat as the “fresh start” candidate - he tells @SophyRidgeSky “you can take it that Tom is going to run”

    Bad news for Jeremy Hunt. Damian Green is the sort of MP who might have supported him.
    The circumstances don't really favour Hunt.
    It wouldn't entirely surprise me if he didn't run, but instead angled for a senior cabinet post.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,764
    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    https://twitter.com/RhonddaBryant/status/1544992265420115969


    Chris Bryant
    @RhonddaBryant
    I have checked the FCDO published transparency records for ministers’ meetings. Johnson did NOT register the meeting with Alexander Lebedev. He cannot have notified his officials.
    11:30 AM · Jul 7, 2022
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    Right. So we now have an absolutely clear, neutral, candidate for interim PM, if Johnson is forced out.

    That helps.
    https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/1545035231404740615
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,805

    Leon said:

    Weirdly it was covid that brought down Boris

    Without covid no Partygate. And no Dom Cummings eye test. Everything else he could have shrugged off

    While that's undeniably true, his essential flaw would get him in the end - he does not tell the truth, and he lacks the capacity to do detail. I think you can get away with lying to some extent, if you keep on top of the lies you have told, but not both.

    And morally - someone who lies as easily as he does should not be running a whelk stall, let alone the country.
    Nah, think he would make an excellent whelk stall manager. Cheery bluster on a sunny afternoon would be great for sales.
    Maybe - but if you were employing him?
    I might opt for cashless and lots of cctv.....
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Pulpstar said:

    TOPPING said:

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.

    Say what?
    I'll second that. He's obviously bothered about NATO being a huge military bloc facing Russia, but how on God's green earth does Scottish independence remotely worry him ?
    Nowhere to keep our subs I am guessing

    NOT supporting the thesis btw
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Pro_Rata said:

    In terms of confidence in Boris for the next few weeks, I'd expect Conservative MPs to be making their views known to the 1922 if they want a replacement now, and if soundings are that Boris is not welcome, the act of getting a caretaker in place would be via that internal process rather than riding on the back of a parliamentary VONC.

    I suspect given staying on until successor is the standard, there will be grumblings but ultimately it will be a dog that didn't bark.

    But, if not, the 22 need to manage Boris activating his crash pad plan, lining Raab or whoever up and doing the internal coordination of the process

    Which brings us back to cabinet and juniors. Those payroll posts need to be adequately covered in the next few weeks, and those who resigned have now got what they wanted. With some banging together of heads, the 22 should suggest, both to Boris/caretaker and to the resignees, that it is time to get many of the junior ministers back into post.

    The machinery of government has shown itself very aware in the past of the need for the continuity of government. Surely then they are talking to Raaaaab to ascertain if he understands that he may be Prime Minister very quickly should the '22 move to remove Johnson now.

    This is all about consent. Johnson has ceased to be leader of the Conservative Party. He remains in place only by the consent of the party. They can withdraw it.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,764
    Endillion said:

    Would one of those who thinks Putin secretly loves Johnson, and is only pretending to hate him, please explain how Putin convinced Zelensky to go along with the pretence by claiming to love Johnson?

    The Invasion gave Boris a useful distraction from his domestic troubles over the last six months.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    I don't pretend to know what Putin actually believes, but the position seems to be that no matter what is said or done Boris is unable to prove he is not one?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,709
    Pulpstar said:

    TOPPING said:

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.

    Say what?
    I'll second that. He's obviously bothered about NATO being a huge military bloc facing Russia, but how on God's green earth does Scottish independence remotely worry him ?
    It doesn't, Russia expanding into the old USSR states like Ukraine again while the West falls apart is ideal for him. See also why Russia and China like Western Woke divisions
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Andy_JS said:

    John Major says Johnson shouldn't be able to stay in office until a new leader is selected.

    Agreeing with.....er.....Dominic Cummings in that respect.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    https://twitter.com/RhonddaBryant/status/1544992265420115969


    Chris Bryant
    @RhonddaBryant
    I have checked the FCDO published transparency records for ministers’ meetings. Johnson did NOT register the meeting with Alexander Lebedev. He cannot have notified his officials.
    11:30 AM · Jul 7, 2022
    Doesn't stink at all

    definitely no Johnson pension sitting in an offshore bank account, either. But I do hope the next Labour PM sets up a whole new police department with unlimited funding, just to put any such suspicion to rest.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,476

    If Johnson was a Putin stooge, then Putin got a very, very poor deal out of it. If he did, then it was a failed gamble; money wasted.

    It doesn't mean he didn't try, though ...

    Brexit; increased strain on the union, with both Scotland and Northern Ireland looking a bit dicey; continued army cuts; Lebedev; continued selling off of British defence and technology companies.
    Aside from Brexit and the odd inclusion of Lebedev, those are just continuation of long-term trends.

    The counter argument is much more persuasive: continued sanctions on Russia after Salisbury, continuation of the training scheme for Ukrainian troops; the way Johnson led the world (yes, really) in helping Ukraine at the start of this mess.

    It would have been really easy for Johnson to have stopped or reduced the training scheme, called for the loosening of sanctions ("for peace"), not provided Ukraine with NLAWS, and not been as strident against Russia back in February.

    That's where the argument for Johnson being a Putin stooge really falls down. His major actions were the opposite, and hurt Russia.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    In Important "Alistair Digs up Old Posts" news we have this timeless cracker from @MarqueeMark extracted from a timeless PB thread.

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/2723636/#Comment_2723636

    Nicola Sturgeon does sound quite fed up. If she's no longer interested, it's probably a bad sign.
    Broken.

    By.

    Boris.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    Andrea Jenkyns, a Johnson loyalist, shouts at the booing crowds:

    “He who laughs last, laughs the loudest. Wait and see!”

    What does Boris Johnson’s inner circle have planned?

    https://twitter.com/tompeck/status/1545026053642473472/video/1
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,507
    Well now



  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    MISTY said:

    Andy_JS said:

    John Major says Johnson shouldn't be able to stay in office until a new leader is selected.

    Agreeing with.....er.....Dominic Cummings in that respect.
    And me and SKS and anyone else above the bottom decile intellect wise
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,728
    edited July 2022
    Alistair said:

    In Important "Alistair Digs up Old Posts" news we have this timeless cracker from @MarqueeMark extracted from a timeless PB thread.

    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/2723636/#Comment_2723636


    Nicola Sturgeon does sound quite fed up. If she's no longer interested, it's probably a bad sign.
    Broken.

    By.

    Boris.


    I had to check the date of that (though obvs 2019 at earliest) given how often PB Tories have written off the SNP and its leaders. Feb 2020.

    About the time he made one of his very, very, very few trips to Scotland and even fewer when he actually had the courtesy to call in on her. Such body language on his part on the steps of Bute House.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,502

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    No. Not in the way YOU mean. Not a question of taking orders, but of moving along parallel lines, mutual aid, and all that.

    Like Hitler and Mussolini. The former took the later for his role model, but certain neither was the puppet of the other.

    World is not as simplistic as you would like it to be, for ideological purposes.

    Vlad the Mad, BJx2, 45, Orban, Modi, Bolasano = League of Their Own
    No doubt in the 1930s you'd have been calling Stanley Baldwin a fascist too.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,842

    Pulpstar said:

    TOPPING said:

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.

    Say what?
    I'll second that. He's obviously bothered about NATO being a huge military bloc facing Russia, but how on God's green earth does Scottish independence remotely worry him ?
    GIUK gap.

    A non-nuclear independent Scotland replacing the UK as being responsible for the GIUK gap would be great news for Putin.
    They are worried about the migratory route for the Northern Wheatear?

    Oh you mean the strategic significance. Do you think that Scotland, which has said it wants to join the EU and is a happy (according to polls of the SNP) in NATO would somehow give Putin a free ride?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,089
    Brexit was helpful in the round to Russia, but the delusion that ol' Vlad had a direct hand in it are the stuff of fantasy.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038

    UK debt is on an "unsustainable path" unless spending is tightened and taxes are raised, the government's independent forecaster has warned.

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said soaring energy prices and pressures from an ageing population risked tipping the UK into a recession.

    Moving away from fossil fuel vehicles to electric ones could also hit tax revenues, the OBR said.

    It forecast debt levels could more than treble in 50 years' time.

    "Moving away from fossil fuel vehicles to electric ones could also hit tax revenues, the OBR said."

    I suspect that as soon as enough people have electric cars, taxation on electricity will suddenly change.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    I don't know , you tell us. It would be nice to know what he was up to but one thing is certain I won't be believing a word of Johnson's explanation if he is ever forced into supplying one.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    Pro_Rata said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    [snip!]
    Which brings us back to cabinet and juniors. Those payroll posts need to be adequately covered in the next few weeks, and those who resigned have now got what they wanted. With some banging together of heads, the 22 should suggest, both to Boris/caretaker and to the resignees, that it is time to get many of the junior ministers back into post.

    Are they supposed to un-resign?

    They've got what they wanted - 22 to ask people to make themselves available for re-appointment and for Boris to damn well re-appoint them.

    If that cannot be done, it will be one strong indicator that a caretaker is needed.

    Procedurally, it would not be un-resigning as they are already gone, it's not like they were giving notice.
    But they are all supposed to troop back in to the office and work for a man they stuck the political knife into less than 24 hours ago?

    No chance!
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,922
    Farooq said:

    Here's another fruitloop

    https://twitter.com/tompeck/status/1545026053642473472

    What a fucking binfire

    Our own wee Marjorie Taylor Greene, without the intellectual gravitas.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    rcs1000 said:

    UK debt is on an "unsustainable path" unless spending is tightened and taxes are raised, the government's independent forecaster has warned.

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said soaring energy prices and pressures from an ageing population risked tipping the UK into a recession.

    Moving away from fossil fuel vehicles to electric ones could also hit tax revenues, the OBR said.

    It forecast debt levels could more than treble in 50 years' time.

    "Moving away from fossil fuel vehicles to electric ones could also hit tax revenues, the OBR said."

    I suspect that as soon as enough people have electric cars, taxation on electricity will suddenly change.
    Road pricing is the obvious solution....but the public won't be happy with that.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    Raab not running. So no reason not to dump the liar now and replace him with his depute.
  • Scott_xP said:

    Allegra Stratton, Boris Johnson’s former press secretary who quit over lockdown parties, has accused the prime minister of “arrogance”.

    In her first interview since her tearful resignation in December, she said Johnson would have had a “bullishness [...] to the bitter end”
    https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1545039101866348544/photo/1

    It is, with hindsight, absolutely amazing that Johnson spent several million on a suite intended to host DAILY press briefings.

    Virtually every day would have been lines from the PM that immediately unravelled in the face of the most basic fact-checking.

    Very much plays into the arrogance point - how on earth did he would get away with it? (I mean ultimately he didn't, but daily press briefings would have accentuated the problem to say the very least).
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,310
    kle4 said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    I don't pretend to know what Putin actually believes, but the position seems to be that no matter what is said or done Boris is unable to prove he is not one?
    Well that's what happens with serial unashamed liars - people can say and think what they like of them and it can't be rebutted.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,728
    edited July 2022

    Raab not running. So no reason not to dump the liar now and replace him with his depute.

    Raab C. Brexit for PM (temporary acting)!!

    I might buy him a string semmit (Anglice, vest).
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    Oh come on now @williamglenn, you can think of a better conspiracy theory.

    How about Johnson encouraged Putin (via Lebedev) to invade Ukraine so he (Johnson) could become a popular war leader. Putin's reaction to Johnson's departure is because he feels tricked by him.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,502
    Scott_xP said:

    Right. So we now have an absolutely clear, neutral, candidate for interim PM, if Johnson is forced out.

    That helps.
    https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/1545035231404740615

    If ruling yourself out is tantamount to declaring your candidacy to be interim PM, we'll end up with a parallel contest.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    You jest. Now try coming up with a non-comedy explanation.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955

    It is, with hindsight, absolutely amazing that Johnson spent several million on a suite intended to host DAILY press briefings.

    Virtually every day would have been lines from the PM that immediately unravelled in the face of the most basic fact-checking.

    Very much plays into the arrogance point - how on earth did he would get away with it? (I mean ultimately he didn't, but daily press briefings would have accentuated the problem to say the very least).

    All true, but it will be interesting to see if any future PM tries it.

    And if they do, and it works, it might act as a break on future BoZos
  • TOPPING said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TOPPING said:

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.

    Say what?
    I'll second that. He's obviously bothered about NATO being a huge military bloc facing Russia, but how on God's green earth does Scottish independence remotely worry him ?
    GIUK gap.

    A non-nuclear independent Scotland replacing the UK as being responsible for the GIUK gap would be great news for Putin.
    They are worried about the migratory route for the Northern Wheatear?

    Oh you mean the strategic significance. Do you think that Scotland, which has said it wants to join the EU and is a happy (according to polls of the SNP) in NATO would somehow give Putin a free ride?
    I think the Royal Navy has been able to control access between Europe and the Atlantic, thanks to control over the GIUK gap and Gibraltar, for centuries.

    I think strategically even if an indy Scotland joined NATO an indy Scotland Navy isn't going to be anything like the Royal Navy. And if the divorce isn't amicable ...

    Strategically Russia gains nothing from Brexit other than the BS of "we are divided", but the division came from Remainders not accepting they'd lost the vote. And democracies are always divided on something or other.

    Strategically Russia gains a lot from Scottish independence. The Royal Navy loses the GIUK Gap, loses Faslane, need I go on?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    No. Not in the way YOU mean. Not a question of taking orders, but of moving along parallel lines, mutual aid, and all that.

    Like Hitler and Mussolini. The former took the later for his role model, but certain neither was the puppet of the other.

    World is not as simplistic as you would like it to be, for ideological purposes.

    Vlad the Mad, BJx2, 45, Orban, Modi, Bolasano = League of Their Own
    No doubt in the 1930s you'd have been calling Stanley Baldwin a fascist too.
    Good grief.

    Show me ONE example of Stanley Baldwin acting in the accustomed style & manner of Adolf Hitler.

    Whereas it is NOT difficult to find Boris Johnson acting in style and manner Mad Vlad. Curbed, of course, by the British Constitution - or what's left of it. As with 45 in USA.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,886
    OllyT said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    I don't know , you tell us. It would be nice to know what he was up to but one thing is certain I won't be believing a word of Johnson's explanation if he is ever forced into supplying one.
    He held multiple meetings. As both Foreign Secretary and Prime Minister. Out of sight and off-record of officials. With his friend the former KGB man. Whose son owns major newspapers. The same son who was ennobled by BlowJo as Lord KGB of Siberia despite the security services say "Christ don't do that!!!". All linked into Putin whose various former friends and associates money still flows into the Conservative Party in large quantities.

    I agree with @williamglenn - nothing to see here. Move along.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,476
    Pulpstar said:

    Brexit was helpful in the round to Russia, but the delusion that ol' Vlad had a direct hand in it are the stuff of fantasy.

    I'm not arguing that he had a direct hand; just that a few quid chucked at various people and groups could have made the internal arguments more fierce. And if aimed at small groups it would be virtually untraceable. Small groups or people who make a lot of noise in the media.

    It's a very cheap way of causing division amongst your enemy.

    Hey, for all you know I might be receiving the Russian rouble... ;)
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,953
    IshmaelZ said:

    biggles said:

    I note with amusement that all those who criticised anyone who supported Boris as doing the Kremlin’s bidding now have to accept that getting rid of him is what the Kremlin wanted.

    Keep the non sequiturs coming
    That’s my point. I’m taking the opportunity to make a silly point which is no more silly than all the people who told me that voting for Brexit meant I was doing Putin’s bidding.

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,606
    Boris needs to actually go. It's not the same situation as May or Cameron. The whole point is that he's not fit for office.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,773

    If Johnson was a Putin stooge, then Putin got a very, very poor deal out of it. If he did, then it was a failed gamble; money wasted.

    It doesn't mean he didn't try, though ...

    Brexit; increased strain on the union, with both Scotland and Northern Ireland looking a bit dicey; continued army cuts; Lebedev; continued selling off of British defence and technology companies.
    Aside from Brexit and the odd inclusion of Lebedev, those are just continuation of long-term trends.

    The counter argument is much more persuasive: continued sanctions on Russia after Salisbury, continuation of the training scheme for Ukrainian troops; the way Johnson led the world (yes, really) in helping Ukraine at the start of this mess.

    It would have been really easy for Johnson to have stopped or reduced the training scheme, called for the loosening of sanctions ("for peace"), not provided Ukraine with NLAWS, and not been as strident against Russia back in February.

    That's where the argument for Johnson being a Putin stooge really falls down. His major actions were the opposite, and hurt Russia.
    I think "stooge" might be a straw man, though keep an eye on whether Starmer runs with Lebedev that was getting Labour excited in the Commons this morning, but we do know Boris has done things which suited Russia, so perhaps a Leninist useful idiot is the other end of the scale. We also know Russia does interfere with foreign politics; that the KGB attempted to recruit David Cameron; that Russians continue to fund the Conservative Party. But it is probably a step too far to claim Boris follows daily orders from the Kremlin.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    Wholesale gas £3.07/therm.

    Doubled in a month.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cxwdwz5d8gxt/natural-gas

    This is not good very bad for the October price cap. Over £3k/typical now nailed on, I recon.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,502
    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    You jest. Now try coming up with a non-comedy explanation.
    He likes socialising with the rich and connected. It's certainly no more suspicious than George Osborne being hosted on Deripaska's yacht.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    Oh come on now @williamglenn, you can think of a better conspiracy theory.

    How about Johnson encouraged Putin (via Lebedev) to invade Ukraine so he (Johnson) could become a popular war leader. Putin's reaction to Johnson's departure is because he feels tricked by him.
    BTW, when is the last time that the Tribune of Ukrainian Freedom raised the topic in public?

    Perhaps he's lost interest? Or internal polling showed it was no longer persuading Brits to back Big Dog in order to defend & support Ukraine?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,606
    ping said:

    Wholesale gas £3.07/therm.

    Doubled in a month.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cxwdwz5d8gxt/natural-gas

    This is not good very bad for the October price cap. Over £3k/typical now nailed on, I recon.

    When you read stuff like this, you begin to wonder if soon the Tory party will soon look back on the Boris era as the good old days when things were easy.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,922

    TOPPING said:

    Pulpstar said:

    TOPPING said:

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.

    Say what?
    I'll second that. He's obviously bothered about NATO being a huge military bloc facing Russia, but how on God's green earth does Scottish independence remotely worry him ?
    GIUK gap.

    A non-nuclear independent Scotland replacing the UK as being responsible for the GIUK gap would be great news for Putin.
    They are worried about the migratory route for the Northern Wheatear?

    Oh you mean the strategic significance. Do you think that Scotland, which has said it wants to join the EU and is a happy (according to polls of the SNP) in NATO would somehow give Putin a free ride?
    I think the Royal Navy has been able to control access between Europe and the Atlantic, thanks to control over the GIUK gap and Gibraltar, for centuries.

    I think strategically even if an indy Scotland joined NATO an indy Scotland Navy isn't going to be anything like the Royal Navy. And if the divorce isn't amicable ...

    Strategically Russia gains nothing from Brexit other than the BS of "we are divided", but the division came from Remainders not accepting they'd lost the vote. And democracies are always divided on something or other.

    Strategically Russia gains a lot from Scottish independence. The Royal Navy loses the GIUK Gap, loses Faslane, need I go on?
    So rUK will hold all the cards -1?
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,280

    If Johnson was a Putin stooge, then Putin got a very, very poor deal out of it. If he did, then it was a failed gamble; money wasted.

    It doesn't mean he didn't try, though ...

    Brexit; increased strain on the union, with both Scotland and Northern Ireland looking a bit dicey; continued army cuts; Lebedev; continued selling off of British defence and technology companies.
    Aside from Brexit and the odd inclusion of Lebedev, those are just continuation of long-term trends.

    The counter argument is much more persuasive: continued sanctions on Russia after Salisbury, continuation of the training scheme for Ukrainian troops; the way Johnson led the world (yes, really) in helping Ukraine at the start of this mess.

    It would have been really easy for Johnson to have stopped or reduced the training scheme, called for the loosening of sanctions ("for peace"), not provided Ukraine with NLAWS, and not been as strident against Russia back in February.

    That's where the argument for Johnson being a Putin stooge really falls down. His major actions were the opposite, and hurt Russia.
    The truth is, just as Vlad's apparatus loves to play both sides of an argument, so did Boris with influence. So he certainly courted opaque oligarchic money in a more opaque and industrial fashion and traded influence to people who batted both for and against Putin. And I'm guessing looked for cakeist ways to continue that even in the last few months.

    But on the policy, I have no reservations that his policy responses to Salisbury, Ukraine and the like, were unambiguously anti-Kremlin and there is little sign of double play in his key actions.

  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,737
    edited July 2022

    Tom Tughenhadt seems to be getting support … effective operation?

    Will be a very interesting candidate. Politically savvier than Rory was, might squeak into the top 2 and then do a Cameron.

    I work on the basis that Hunt doesn’t think he has a realistic shot at winning and Wallace doesn’t want it. You can imagine his pal Wallace lining up next to Tugenhardt as continuity Defence, thereby completely monopolising the national security vote. They need to balance the ticket on economic competence and Brexit somehow. Hunt brings the former but not the latter. Dare I say, Hunt as Chancellor and Gove in Hunt’s old job at the Foreign Office? All you need then is another credible Brexit person at Home and you sweep the board.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    edited July 2022

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    You jest. Now try coming up with a non-comedy explanation.
    He likes socialising with the rich and connected. It's certainly no more suspicious than George Osborne being hosted on Deripaska's yacht.
    Georgie is also a big mate with Lebedev. I mean he was made editor of one of his newspapers with zero previous experience, who then became very anti-Boris.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,953
    Nigelb said:

    Well that's one vote at least.

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1545026016623616000
    Damian Green declares for Tom Tugendhat as the “fresh start” candidate - he tells @SophyRidgeSky “you can take it that Tom is going to run”

    Surely it implies two votes, assuming he’d also vote for himself.

    Sorry I know I’m a pedant.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,038

    image

    BBC headline "Kremlin glee as world reacts to Johnson endgame"
    President Putin's spokesman says "he doesn't like us and we don't like him either"

    Since this is something that Putin wanted and is happy about, then presumably @Nigel_Foremain will call for Boris now to stay on afterall.

    Or is doing the right thing for the country worth doing, even if it is something that Putin wanted?

    Putin loves him. He is just trolling you. Please accept The Gullibility Award Of Moscow (Third Class). Putin is unable to award it to you in person, but I believe Jeremy Corbyn might oblige.

    I also award you third place in the PB Award for Outstanding Boris Johnson Apologist (also known as The Amorality Award by Association Cup).
    Putin loathes him, and Putin was never that bothered about Brexit. Brexit is your obsession, not Putin's.

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.
    Putin was very interested in Brexit, because it caused arguments within his enemy. And that's his MO: if we're arguing amongst ourselves, then we're weaker.

    That doesn't mean Brexit was wrong; just that he would have smiled when the vote went the way it did.
    He would have backed Brexiteers during the Referendum, and the FBPE (or whatever they're called) after it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994
    Televising Cabinet today?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,402

    Raab not running. So no reason not to dump the liar now and replace him with his depute.

    Apart from the fact that it would leave Raab with some responsibilities. And he might have to make decisions!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    NEW: Is Johnson holding on so he can keep Chequers over the summer? https://twitter.com/kitty_donaldson/status/1545044250416410626/photo/1
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,936
    biggles said:

    Nigelb said:

    Well that's one vote at least.

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1545026016623616000
    Damian Green declares for Tom Tugendhat as the “fresh start” candidate - he tells @SophyRidgeSky “you can take it that Tom is going to run”

    Surely it implies two votes, assuming he’d also vote for himself.

    Sorry I know I’m a pedant.
    I did wonder how long it would take. :smile:
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    This defieant I'm still here and these are the policies letter from @BorisJohnson 's policy chief @griffitha underlines the problems the lingering Zombie Cabinet is going to cause as Conservatives try to choose a new leader. https://twitter.com/griffitha/status/1545039633943171074
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,142
    edited July 2022
    Andy_JS said:

    Nigelb said:

    Well that's one vote at least.

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1545026016623616000
    Damian Green declares for Tom Tugendhat as the “fresh start” candidate - he tells @SophyRidgeSky “you can take it that Tom is going to run”

    Bad news for Jeremy Hunt. Damian Green is the sort of MP who might have supported him.
    Green was Hancock's proposer in the 2019 leadership election.

    So, yes, he might have supported Hunt but by absolutely no means a banker for him (and he's not that brilliant a judge).

    This will take a while to shake down. There could be several rounds with minor candidates showing a level of support as part of making the case for a cabinet role in future, before the serious business of choosing the final three from among the big boys and girls gets underway.

    This is a prediction that no doubt will come back to haunt me, but colour me sceptical about candidates (like Tugendhat) who've not held a major cabinet job at some point. The Conservative Party is selecting a PM, not a leader in opposition, and these characters look like they are jockeying for cabinet position rather than the top job.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    You jest. Now try coming up with a non-comedy explanation.
    He likes socialising with the rich and connected. It's certainly no more suspicious than George Osborne being hosted on Deripaska's yacht.
    GO was in opposition at the time. No breach of protocol, no failure to declare at the time, no prevarication later.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,953

    Scott_xP said:

    Right. So we now have an absolutely clear, neutral, candidate for interim PM, if Johnson is forced out.

    That helps.
    https://twitter.com/johnestevens/status/1545035231404740615

    If ruling yourself out is tantamount to declaring your candidacy to be interim PM, we'll end up with a parallel contest.
    I would like to be clear that I am also not running, and therefore available as PM.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    Boris has, you guessed it, spoken to Volodymyr Zelenskiy... https://twitter.com/michaelsavage/status/1545044548505575425/photo/1
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    mwadams said:

    Sandpit said:

    mwadams said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Mrs Sandpit is genuinely upset this afternoon.

    All candidates need to make it clear that the Ukraine policy will be continued.

    Ukraine is fortunately/unfortunately in the position of being his current devotion and having not yet been let down by him.
    So long as the weapons and training keep coming, the Ukranians will be happy.
    I think that this will be another nail in Johnson's self image. Those who come after will be equally lauded by Zelensky when they continue to do the same thing.

    Not that it wasn't the right thing to do, just that Johnson is not some international colossus, working miracles. He (for once) didn't do the *wrong* thing.
    Despite his image at home, his image abroad is one of the savior of Ukraine, from foreign journalists.
    Exactly - but I suspect that may dissipate in his absence, when his successor continues to implement the policy.
    A policy started under Cameron and continued under May - who if anything was most hawkish on Putin’s Russia than Johnson. Johnson was a good front man for an already well established and long running policy. There’s a reason 2022 was not a repeat of 2014 - training, in which the UK played a key role.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,502

    rcs1000 said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    What' your explanation for the lebedev meetings without officials?
    What's yours? Do you think he was picking up instructions from his handler?
    Oh come on now @williamglenn, you can think of a better conspiracy theory.

    How about Johnson encouraged Putin (via Lebedev) to invade Ukraine so he (Johnson) could become a popular war leader. Putin's reaction to Johnson's departure is because he feels tricked by him.
    BTW, when is the last time that the Tribune of Ukrainian Freedom raised the topic in public?

    Perhaps he's lost interest? Or internal polling showed it was no longer persuading Brits to back Big Dog in order to defend & support Ukraine?
    Today in his resignation speech.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,476
    rcs1000 said:

    image

    BBC headline "Kremlin glee as world reacts to Johnson endgame"
    President Putin's spokesman says "he doesn't like us and we don't like him either"

    Since this is something that Putin wanted and is happy about, then presumably @Nigel_Foremain will call for Boris now to stay on afterall.

    Or is doing the right thing for the country worth doing, even if it is something that Putin wanted?

    Putin loves him. He is just trolling you. Please accept The Gullibility Award Of Moscow (Third Class). Putin is unable to award it to you in person, but I believe Jeremy Corbyn might oblige.

    I also award you third place in the PB Award for Outstanding Boris Johnson Apologist (also known as The Amorality Award by Association Cup).
    Putin loathes him, and Putin was never that bothered about Brexit. Brexit is your obsession, not Putin's.

    Putin is far more bothered about NATO, and Scottish Independence, than he ever cared about Brexit.
    Putin was very interested in Brexit, because it caused arguments within his enemy. And that's his MO: if we're arguing amongst ourselves, then we're weaker.

    That doesn't mean Brexit was wrong; just that he would have smiled when the vote went the way it did.
    He would have backed Brexiteers during the Referendum, and the FBPE (or whatever they're called) after it.
    Yep, that's my point. He (probably) did not care for Brexit in itself; it was inconsequential to him compared to other matters. What he cared about was the division the arguments caused, both within the UK and between the UK and Europe.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,089
    Raab ruling himself out so quickly ups his chances of being next PM.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Not sure if mentioned but Redfield have a poll out at 5 conducted entirely this morning described by Election Maps UK who has seen it as 'expectedly spicy'
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Scott_xP said:

    NEW: Is Johnson holding on so he can keep Chequers over the summer? https://twitter.com/kitty_donaldson/status/1545044250416410626/photo/1

    No doubt Carrie has got a full schedule planned of high-class (or at least high-roller) socializing?

    Plus Boris needs the Tree House more than ever. Dilyn being unwilling to give up the Dog House.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,953
    edited July 2022
    Presumably at times like this BT rues the day mobile phones were invented, since no candidate now needs extra phone lines.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    biggles said:

    Nigelb said:

    Well that's one vote at least.

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1545026016623616000
    Damian Green declares for Tom Tugendhat as the “fresh start” candidate - he tells @SophyRidgeSky “you can take it that Tom is going to run”

    Surely it implies two votes, assuming he’d also vote for himself.

    Sorry I know I’m a pedant.
    Is that something we're supposed to apologise for? Oh dear... 😁
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,089

    Not sure if mentioned but Redfield have a poll out at 5 conducted entirely this morning described by Election Maps UK who has seen it as 'expectedly spicy'

    Think all polling is a bit redundant till we know who the new (wo)man is in No 10.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,297
    Views on contenders:

    Sunak - no
    Javid: hmmm
    Mordaunt: no - said daft things about Brexit, organised that ludicrous Leadsom March and got utterly pawned by Mumsnet the other day
    Truss: absolutely not
    Tugendhat: maybe depending on his team
    Braverman: please God no
    Wallace: possibly
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,955
    Pulpstar said:

    Raab ruling himself out so quickly ups his chances of being next PM.

    Nope.

    BoZo stays until they elect a new leader, which won't be Raab
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    Raab ruling himself out so quickly ups his chances of being next PM.

    As is only right and proper!
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    biggles said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    biggles said:

    I note with amusement that all those who criticised anyone who supported Boris as doing the Kremlin’s bidding now have to accept that getting rid of him is what the Kremlin wanted.

    Keep the non sequiturs coming
    That’s my point. I’m taking the opportunity to make a silly point which is no more silly than all the people who told me that voting for Brexit meant I was doing Putin’s bidding.

    But it is a non point. Putin wants various things. To say that in some cases he positively intervenes to make them happen, in others not, is surely in principle true. So what is your point?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,476

    If Johnson was a Putin stooge, then Putin got a very, very poor deal out of it. If he did, then it was a failed gamble; money wasted.

    It doesn't mean he didn't try, though ...

    Brexit; increased strain on the union, with both Scotland and Northern Ireland looking a bit dicey; continued army cuts; Lebedev; continued selling off of British defence and technology companies.
    Aside from Brexit and the odd inclusion of Lebedev, those are just continuation of long-term trends.

    The counter argument is much more persuasive: continued sanctions on Russia after Salisbury, continuation of the training scheme for Ukrainian troops; the way Johnson led the world (yes, really) in helping Ukraine at the start of this mess.

    It would have been really easy for Johnson to have stopped or reduced the training scheme, called for the loosening of sanctions ("for peace"), not provided Ukraine with NLAWS, and not been as strident against Russia back in February.

    That's where the argument for Johnson being a Putin stooge really falls down. His major actions were the opposite, and hurt Russia.
    I think "stooge" might be a straw man, though keep an eye on whether Starmer runs with Lebedev that was getting Labour excited in the Commons this morning, but we do know Boris has done things which suited Russia, so perhaps a Leninist useful idiot is the other end of the scale. We also know Russia does interfere with foreign politics; that the KGB attempted to recruit David Cameron; that Russians continue to fund the Conservative Party. But it is probably a step too far to claim Boris follows daily orders from the Kremlin.
    " but we do know Boris has done things which suited Russia,"

    And some really, really important and immediate things that really went against Russia's interests. That's where your argument fails.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,502

    Valdimir Putin proclaiming his hatred of Boris Johnson = Boris Johnson proclaiming his love for Barack Obama.

    Lying liars lying as per usual for usual reasons that lying liars lie.

    Are you still sticking to the idea that Johnson was a Putin stooge?
    No. Not in the way YOU mean. Not a question of taking orders, but of moving along parallel lines, mutual aid, and all that.

    Like Hitler and Mussolini. The former took the later for his role model, but certain neither was the puppet of the other.

    World is not as simplistic as you would like it to be, for ideological purposes.

    Vlad the Mad, BJx2, 45, Orban, Modi, Bolasano = League of Their Own
    No doubt in the 1930s you'd have been calling Stanley Baldwin a fascist too.
    Good grief.

    Show me ONE example of Stanley Baldwin acting in the accustomed style & manner of Adolf Hitler.

    Whereas it is NOT difficult to find Boris Johnson acting in style and manner Mad Vlad. Curbed, of course, by the British Constitution - or what's left of it. As with 45 in USA.
    Can you tell me who Johnson has had bumped off? Which countries he's invaded? Which political opponents he's had imprisoned? Which businesses he's expropriated? Which warlords he's bankrolled?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,728
    Pulpstar said:

    Not sure if mentioned but Redfield have a poll out at 5 conducted entirely this morning described by Election Maps UK who has seen it as 'expectedly spicy'

    Think all polling is a bit redundant till we know who the new (wo)man is in No 10.
    Mr Johnson (the poller not the ex-pol-to-be) has already thought of that.

    "Asked to choose between potential Tory candidates and Keir Starmer, Starmer leads all of them apart from Rishi Sunak."
    https://twitter.com/jamesjohnson252/status/1545033843480084482
    https://twitter.com/jamesjohnson252/status/1545033847305379842?cxt=HHwWhIC9qaSGiPEqAAAA
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited July 2022
    Pulpstar said:

    Not sure if mentioned but Redfield have a poll out at 5 conducted entirely this morning described by Election Maps UK who has seen it as 'expectedly spicy'

    Think all polling is a bit redundant till we know who the new (wo)man is in No 10.
    It is but interesting to see if its resignation relief rally (almost certainly not) or Labour surge due to chaos (surely). How much damage has the last 72 hours done them?
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304

    What, so he has to clean up afterwards?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,728

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304

    Who's she marrying?!
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,737

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304

    That is a fairly mutually exclusive take to many other people on Twitter’s assessment of their marriage
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,759
    edited July 2022
    This is the sort of problem that the new government is going to have to wrestle with: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-62079052

    UK debt is on an unsustainable path unless there are cuts in spending AND increases in taxes. This is why Sunak was so keen to keep a hold of his tax increases in NI and CT. We are living massively and unsustainably beyond our means.

    Anyone wanting to cut taxes to defuse either the CoL crisis or even inflation has really got to come to terms with the fact that the government cannot really afford to do either.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,507
    You are fucking kidding me?

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304?s=21&t=ZFQFJRlKH4B0ggI8naNrqg
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,281
    Pulpstar said:

    Not sure if mentioned but Redfield have a poll out at 5 conducted entirely this morning described by Election Maps UK who has seen it as 'expectedly spicy'

    Think all polling is a bit redundant till we know who the new (wo)man is in No 10.
    There will be a lot of hypothetical Starmer vs Random Tory polling which might be influential if enough MPs have faith in opinion polls.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Views on contenders:

    Sunak - no
    Javid: hmmm
    Mordaunt: no - said daft things about Brexit, organised that ludicrous Leadsom March and got utterly pawned by Mumsnet the other day
    Truss: absolutely not
    Tugendhat: maybe depending on his team
    Braverman: please God no
    Wallace: possibly

    Curious why you say absolutely not about Truss?

    I believe you've been very positive about her in the past on her role for Equalities and Women's issues which I know is an issue close to your heart?

    So I'm wondering what she's said or done to make her absolutely not, despite that?
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,454

    Raab not running. So no reason not to dump the liar now and replace him with his depute.

    Apart from the fact that it would leave Raab with some responsibilities. And he might have to make decisions!
    Wasn’t that the case when the Boris formerly known as Prime Minister was in hospital with Covid?

    So the point of a deputy PM is to stand in and make decisions if the PM can’t so I don’t really see an issue with it.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,326
    Carnyx said:

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304

    Who's she marrying?!
    I thought they were married? What was all that hoohah about Catholicism etc?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,994

    You are fucking kidding me?

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304?s=21&t=ZFQFJRlKH4B0ggI8naNrqg

    I'm upset not to be invited too, but not as much as you I guess.
  • EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    Cyclefree said:

    Views on contenders:

    Sunak - no
    Javid: hmmm
    Mordaunt: no - said daft things about Brexit, organised that ludicrous Leadsom March and got utterly pawned by Mumsnet the other day
    Truss: absolutely not
    Tugendhat: maybe depending on his team
    Braverman: please God no
    Wallace: possibly

    Javid is basically discount Sunak, so I don't really get why one is a no and one isn't.

    Other than still holding on to some residual Sunak-love long after it should have gone, I basically agree with this.

    Also, it's pwned, not pawned.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,288
    edited July 2022

    You are fucking kidding me?

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304?s=21&t=ZFQFJRlKH4B0ggI8naNrqg

    Surely you of all people can imagine this exact scenario.

    The only thing strange about it is I thought we all thought Carrie had returned to Zac...
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,734

    Andy_JS said:

    Nigelb said:

    Well that's one vote at least.

    https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1545026016623616000
    Damian Green declares for Tom Tugendhat as the “fresh start” candidate - he tells @SophyRidgeSky “you can take it that Tom is going to run”

    Bad news for Jeremy Hunt. Damian Green is the sort of MP who might have supported him.
    Green was Hancock's proposer in the 2019 leadership election.

    So, yes, he might have supported Hunt but by absolutely no means a banker for him (and he's not that brilliant a judge).

    This will take a while to shake down. There could be several rounds with minor candidates showing a level of support as part of making the case for a cabinet role in future, before the serious business of choosing the final three from among the big boys and girls gets underway.

    This is a prediction that no doubt will come back to haunt me, but colour me sceptical about candidates (like Tugendhat) who've not held a major cabinet job at some point. The Conservative Party is selecting a PM, not a leader in opposition, and these characters look like they are jockeying for cabinet position rather than the top job.
    Whenever I mention Tom Tugendhat as a potential runner to politically-less-engaged friends/colleagues/family/casually aquaintances, their reaction is always the same: surely that can't be his name?
    I wonder what sort of a barrier this will be? When did we last have a PM with a name that peculiar?
    Penny Mordaunt, btw, carries a related handicap: how does one pronounce 'Mordaunt'? I'm hoping it's 'Mordant', or 'Mordunt'. Please tell me it's not 'Mordarnt'? That will put everyone north of Birmingham off.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    Doing my best to help the underpopulation crisis. A collapsing birth rate is the biggest danger civilization faces by far.

    https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1545046146548019201?s=20&t=MKqDfWi87A-3lQCIwY3HNQ
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,737
    You lot know more about politics than most. Does anyone know anything about Wallace’s politics other than his resolute stance on national security and the Russian War?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,728

    Pulpstar said:

    Not sure if mentioned but Redfield have a poll out at 5 conducted entirely this morning described by Election Maps UK who has seen it as 'expectedly spicy'

    Think all polling is a bit redundant till we know who the new (wo)man is in No 10.
    There will be a lot of hypothetical Starmer vs Random Tory polling which might be influential if enough MPs have faith in opinion polls.
    Alread happening. See my post a little earlier.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    You are fucking kidding me?

    EXCL: Boris Johnson and wife Carrie are planning big wedding bash at Chequers within weeks - with sources saying it's part of reason he wants to stay as caretaker.

    https://twitter.com/pippacrerar/status/1545045540244578304?s=21&t=ZFQFJRlKH4B0ggI8naNrqg

    Maybe if we all club together we can get them to hold it at Gleneagles instead, if that helps free things up. I'd happily contribute 10% of my 'Raab as next PM' winnings to get things started.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,813
    Johnson is the third PM to fall in six years because there is no solution to the deep economic and environmental crisis we face that picks our pockets and steals our future.

    Real change isn't a new Tory PM but a new politics to redistribute wealth and power.

    https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/1545038685917237248?s=20&t=MKqDfWi87A-3lQCIwY3HNQ

    Jezza better form a new party then.
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