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The June 23rd by-elections – what happened at GE2019 – politicalbetting.com

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  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,950
    Andy_JS said:

    Yes, they could have slightly reduced the increase in pensions instead of pressing ahead with it regardless.
    It was unforced. They could have filed it as to be announced later. They keep putting off what the NHS and teachers will be offered. They could have done the same. They just aren't very competent. Simple.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    dixiedean said:

    When Mick Lynch stares into the abyss, the abyss sheepishly averts its gaze.

    I fear Mick is leading his supporters into the abyss I don't know about anything else... ;)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,570
    dixiedean said:

    It was unforced. They could have filed it as to be announced later. They keep putting off what the NHS and teachers will be offered. They could have done the same. They just aren't very competent. Simple.
    It's less about competence and more about Big Dog's continuous drive to throw stuff out that might get a good tabloid/Mail headline.

    This is government by press release like no other.

    So, in the witches coven that is No 10 strategy, they thought a quick positive hit about pensions would help against strikes and cost of living headlines.







  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,950
    edited June 2022
    GIN1138 said:

    I fear Mick is leading his supporters into the abyss I don't know about anything else... ;)
    He's leading them into a well below inflation pay agreement that he can paint as a victory. What do you think the settlement will be?
    Anything above 3% is a win. Do you think it will be below that?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,570
    dixiedean said:

    IF the rumours of Mandelson/Campbell are true then we won't be wanting for any repetition of a slogan or narrative.
    Anywhere. Ever
    Intriguing, please add more?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,570
    dixiedean said:

    He's leading them into a well below inflation pay agreement that he can paint as a victory. What do you think the settlement will be?
    I doubt anyone who strikes will get the full fat inflation rise which could be 11% by September.

    I would guess a lot of fudging over future years pay and so on and a figure around 6 or 7%
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    dixiedean said:

    He's leading them into a well below inflation pay agreement that he can paint as a victory. What do you think the settlement will be?
    Anything above 3% is a win. Do you think it will be below that?
    I still think long term, technology will make the vast majority of rail workers redundant and he is probably hastening the demise of their jobs...
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867

    Very best of luck, GIN.
    Thanks Nick. :)
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,678

    Could you be more precise, please? :)
    Sounds right but a bit closer, I suspect - 43-39-6? The Tories seem to have given up in Wakefield, unless it's just the media not bothering that far north, so perhaps 48-36 or thereabouts there.
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,286
    edited June 2022
    HYUFD said:

    Given Major lost 2 by elections in one day in 1991 and won in 1992 I doubt even a double loss on Thursday is fatal for Boris

    The two seats were lost on swings of 11.4% (K&D to the Lib Dems) and 3.6% (Langbaurgh to Labour). Indeed, the latter swing wasn't all that much larger than the 2% General Election swing to Labour nationally five months later.

    They were rightly seen at the time as actually reasonably positive results for the Tories, who had lost Monmouth to Labour on a much bigger 12.6% swing in May, and Ribble Valley to the Lib Dems on a 24.7% swing in March 1991.

    People will be looking at direction of travel. Birmingham Erdington was a 4.5% swing to Labour in March, and Old Bexley a 10.2% swing in December (although neither seat changed hands). North Shropshire was a 34.2% swing to the Lib Dems in December, and Chesham & Amersham 24.7% last June.

    Those are the benchmarks. If Labour is in the 7-10% swing range, and Lib Dems 25-30%, that feels like "no change, no chance" for the Tories.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,224
    Betfair has in the last few hours swung back towards the LibDems taking Tiverton & Honiton: 1.25 vs 3.95 Con. Unibet still offers 4/11 against the LibDems.

    In Wakefield, Betfair has 1.01 Labour vs 85 Conservative. Betvictor is as short as 1/500.

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Morning all, happy by-elections day!
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,466
    its a tricky day for Tory MPs.... both seats represent very different bases of BJ's support, a narrow Lib Dem win will and a defeat in Wakefield seems a reasonable outcome for BJ *although a Tory win-win is eviidently preferred. Wakefield's majority/Labour vote will be perhaps the most interesting as Lib Dems winning byelections is nothing new, is how KS cuts through that counts.
    FWIW I have money on a Wakefield Lab and Tiverton staying Blue (most attractive odds as opposed to what I think)
    an interesting night beckons, is it an overnight count?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,224

    its a tricky day for Tory MPs.... both seats represent very different bases of BJ's support, a narrow Lib Dem win will and a defeat in Wakefield seems a reasonable outcome for BJ *although a Tory win-win is eviidently preferred. Wakefield's majority/Labour vote will be perhaps the most interesting as Lib Dems winning byelections is nothing new, is how KS cuts through that counts.
    FWIW I have money on a Wakefield Lab and Tiverton staying Blue (most attractive odds as opposed to what I think)
    an interesting night beckons, is it an overnight count?

    The Times suggests yes, with results expected between 4 and 6am.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,224
    GCSE removes Wilfred Owen and Larkin in diversity push

    OCR, one of the three main exam boards, has removed works by John Keats, Thomas Hardy, Wilfred Owen and Larkin from its English literature syllabus from this September.

    Some poems by Hardy and Keats will remain, but there will be no poetry by Larkin, Seamus Heaney or Owen, whose Anthem for Doomed Youth is on the present syllabus.

    The “conflict” section of the anthology contains none of the best known First World War poets, such as Siegfried Sassoon, Rupert Brooke and Robert Graves.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/gcse-removes-wilfred-owen-and-larkin-in-diversity-push-9s5d788ld (£££)

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10944067/Keats-Hardy-axed-diversity-drive-GCSEs-introduce-exciting-voices-teaching.html

    tbh I'd have thought 45 poems for GCSE sounds a bit OTT in the first place.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    Tres said:

    Because train driving is more dangerous?
    Lol
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,224
    Now students call for LESS free speech... and one in ten wants to BAN Tory party from campuses, study shows
    University students have become less tolerant in the past six years
    One in ten want to ban the Conservative Party from campuses, a study showed
    More than a third think academics should be fired if they 'teach material that heavily offends some students'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10944075/Now-students-call-free-speech-one-ten-wants-BAN-Tory-party-campuses.html
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163

    GCSE removes Wilfred Owen and Larkin in diversity push

    OCR, one of the three main exam boards, has removed works by John Keats, Thomas Hardy, Wilfred Owen and Larkin from its English literature syllabus from this September.

    Some poems by Hardy and Keats will remain, but there will be no poetry by Larkin, Seamus Heaney or Owen, whose Anthem for Doomed Youth is on the present syllabus.

    The “conflict” section of the anthology contains none of the best known First World War poets, such as Siegfried Sassoon, Rupert Brooke and Robert Graves.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/gcse-removes-wilfred-owen-and-larkin-in-diversity-push-9s5d788ld (£££)

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10944067/Keats-Hardy-axed-diversity-drive-GCSEs-introduce-exciting-voices-teaching.html

    tbh I'd have thought 45 poems for GCSE sounds a bit OTT in the first place.

    The idea of set texts for a literature exam is pretty dispiriting, regardless of which texts are chosen. It seems like a good example of a subject poorly suited to assessment by exam, compared to something like Maths.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    edited June 2022

    Thursday's Express: "It's only fair! Rishi defends £1,000 boost to pensions"

    Aha, we locked down to save them and our student loans get jacked up 11%, fuck off you twat

    Pay the money you borrowed and stop whining. You either benefitted with a good job of you leave the poor to pick up your tab for years pissing it up at uni wasting pensioners hard earned pittance. Stop blaming other people for your uselessness
  • swing_voterswing_voter Posts: 1,466
    malcolmg said:

    Pay the money you borrowed and stop whining. You either benefitted with a good job of you leave the poor to pick up your tab for years pissing it up at uni wasting pensioners hard earned pittance. Stop blaming other people for your uselessness
    Are the student loans running at 11%?.... thats horrendous.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,538
    edited June 2022
    Completely mad:

    https://news.sky.com/story/amp/maradona-eight-doctors-and-nurses-who-cared-for-footballer-face-homicide-charges-12638816

    Maradona: Eight doctors and nurses who cared for footballer face homicide charges

    The star, who underwent surgery for a subdural haematoma a few weeks prior to his death, died due to cardiac arrest.

    Prosecutors now claim his death was the result of "omissions" by his caregivers.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited June 2022

    Now students call for LESS free speech... and one in ten wants to BAN Tory party from campuses, study shows
    University students have become less tolerant in the past six years
    One in ten want to ban the Conservative Party from campuses, a study showed
    More than a third think academics should be fired if they 'teach material that heavily offends some students'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10944075/Now-students-call-free-speech-one-ten-wants-BAN-Tory-party-campuses.html

    A famous philosopher/polemicist recently suggested that Universities are becoming seminaries for woke propogandists.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Good morning.

    I suspect a lot of you, and the markets, are going to be surprised at the size of the LibDem win in Tiverton & Honiton.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163

    Are the student loans running at 11%?.... thats horrendous.
    They were going to be 12% this September, but HMG has capped them at 7.3%

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/student-loan-interest-rates-capped
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    edited June 2022

    Now students call for LESS free speech... and one in ten wants to BAN Tory party from campuses, study shows
    University students have become less tolerant in the past six years
    One in ten want to ban the Conservative Party from campuses, a study showed
    More than a third think academics should be fired if they 'teach material that heavily offends some students'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10944075/Now-students-call-free-speech-one-ten-wants-BAN-Tory-party-campuses.html

    If you strip out all the Daily Mail nonsense you're left with a couple of fair ideas.

    One is that hatred shouldn't be taught on campus

    The other is to ban the Conservative Party.

    All good student stuff. The country would be a better place if it followed suit ;)
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398

    Are the student loans running at 11%?.... thats horrendous.
    What is quite amazing how completely and utterly useless young people are at asserting themselves politically. They don't seem to even realise that they are being screwed over. The NI increase went through without a murmur of dissent. Whack up taxes, change the terms of student loans, keep giving bungs to pensioners so they vote tory.... Zero opposition (or even interest) from young people. It is astonishing.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107

    Are the student loans running at 11%?.... thats horrendous.
    Most never pay a penny though
  • JonWCJonWC Posts: 289
    rcs1000 said:

    Sounds reasonable
    I wouldn't really argue with this but I think Labour may do a little better. I don't think their vote has been squeezed as much as it might. The Greens have been utterly invisible but I suppose their core is resilient.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    It's very typical of the Daily Mail to be stoking a campus culture war. Students have often been revolting. It's part of the point.

    I mean back in the day, student protest was an actual thing. Kind-of agree with @darkage below therefore.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    malcolmg said:

    Most never pay a penny though
    Evidence?
  • JonWCJonWC Posts: 289
    Also turnout will be interesting. You'd generally expect a seat like this to be high by by-election standards, but the campaign has been very low key. Plus many Tories are going to show their feelings by deliberately staying at home rather than switching.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    darkage said:

    What is quite amazing how completely and utterly useless young people are at asserting themselves politically. They don't seem to even realise that they are being screwed over. The NI increase went through without a murmur of dissent. Whack up taxes, change the terms of student loans, keep giving bungs to pensioners so they vote tory.... Zero opposition (or even interest) from young people. It is astonishing.
    That is because most are useless. They spend a few years at uni and think they are big shots when in fact they mainly struggle to wipe their own arses. They then whine incessantly about only earning 50k while complaining that all all those nasty pensioners who worked and paid taxes for 50 years are living high on the hog on their 9k pensions.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Andy_JS said:

    True but still this is my final prediction for Tiverton & Honiton:

    Conservative 39.3%
    Way too high for the tories there. In my humble opinion.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    Heathener said:

    It's very typical of the Daily Mail to be stoking a campus culture war. Students have often been revolting. It's part of the point.

    I mean back in the day, student protest was an actual thing. Kind-of agree with @darkage below therefore.

    The student protests when I was at QMW in 1991 to 1994 were rather pathetic. There was a student sit-in with some students boasting that they'd had sex on the principal's desk.

    It wasn't exactly rage against the machine, more like incoherent stropping.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    Heathener said:

    If you strip out all the Daily Mail nonsense you're left with a couple of fair ideas.

    One is that hatred shouldn't be taught on campus

    The other is to ban the Conservative Party.

    All good student stuff. The country would be a better place if it followed suit ;)
    "One is that hatred shouldn't be taught on campus"

    Well, hatred should not be 'taught'. And I doubt any UK university is teaching hate. But the problem with that is that 'hate' is a nebulous concept, especially when it comes to speech. Just because you do not like what someone is saying, does not make it 'hate'.

    "Ban the Conservative Party."

    Hence showing you are nothing more than a troll. ;)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    Let's ban the Labour Party from universities.

    After all, 'labour' implies work, and we all know students don't work. ;)

    (runs for cover)
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    edited June 2022
    Heathener said:

    Evidence?
    F off and get it yourself
    Ps, 77% don't pay it back
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163
    JonWC said:

    I wouldn't really argue with this but I think Labour may do a little better. I don't think their vote has been squeezed as much as it might. The Greens have been utterly invisible but I suppose their core is resilient.
    My experience has been that the Green vote is generally very open to the idea of voting tactically, but they surprised me by increasing their vote in North Shropshire, and only losing about a third of their vote in Chesham & Amersham.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    malcolmg said:

    F off and get it yourself
    None, in other words.

    Just your usual foul-mouthed Gammon rant.

    No wonder people like you are disdained by young people. And normal people.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085

    Let's ban the Labour Party from universities.

    After all, 'labour' implies work, and we all know students don't work. ;)

    (runs for cover)

    Oh but according to the Daily Mail Labour isn't working either
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    Heathener said:

    None, in other words.

    Just your usual foul-mouthed Gammon rant.

    No wonder people like you are disdained by young people. And normal people.
    How old are you?
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085

    The student protests when I was at QMW in 1991 to 1994 were rather pathetic. There was a student sit-in with some students boasting that they'd had sex on the principal's desk.

    It wasn't exactly rage against the machine, more like incoherent stropping.
    Was kind-of referring to the real student protest movement of the sixties and seventies.

    A former colleague of mine organised one of the sit-ins. All good stuff.

    I think it was all a lot more lively when students were spaffing other people's money. Soon as it was their own purse the climate changed.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    Heathener said:

    None, in other words.

    Just your usual foul-mouthed Gammon rant.

    No wonder people like you are disdained by young people. And normal people.
    You have fingers you pompous lazy git. Only 23% pay it back currently. Stick that up your pipe and smoke it.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    malcolmg said:

    Most never pay a penny though
    You over-stated your case to create board strife. Unsurprisingly.

    The current pay back is 23% and expected to rise in 2023/4 to more than 50%.

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn01079/
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,292
    malcolmg said:

    That is because most are useless. They spend a few years at uni and think they are big shots when in fact they mainly struggle to wipe their own arses. They then whine incessantly about only earning 50k while complaining that all all those nasty pensioners who worked and paid taxes for 50 years are living high on the hog on their 9k pensions.
    Yep, they shouldn't go to uni. Better off with a secure job and good income, such as working on the railways.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814

    Now students call for LESS free speech... and one in ten wants to BAN Tory party from campuses, study shows
    University students have become less tolerant in the past six years
    One in ten want to ban the Conservative Party from campuses, a study showed
    More than a third think academics should be fired if they 'teach material that heavily offends some students'

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10944075/Now-students-call-free-speech-one-ten-wants-BAN-Tory-party-campuses.html

    By what year will these numpties hold the levers of power? 2040? I’m going to be the grumpiest old man ever I think.

  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085

    How old are you?
    Not old enough, and of the wrong gender, to be called a gammon.

    Am trying to vote on theT&H result via that Andy J link but sign-up has to be approved by a moderator. A little tedious. I reckon the tories are in for a very bad time. Just a hunch but I've had some feelers out in the area too.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    moonshine said:

    2040? I’m going to be the grumpiest old man ever I think.

    You have a lot of competition on here ;)
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    Heathener said:

    You over-stated your case to create board strife. Unsurprisingly.

    The current pay back is 23% and expected to rise in 2023/4 to more than 50%.

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn01079/
    Expected you dummy, bollox in other words. Bit like me expecting you to post sensible stuff in 2023, never going to happen.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,085
    Foxy said:

    Yep, they shouldn't go to uni. Better off with a secure job and good income, such as working on the railways.
    I think I shall bid you all good day.

    The forum is more than normally populated by grumpy old, white, men this morning. I shall leave you all to dribble with anger into your cornflakes.

    xx
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    Heathener said:

    Not old enough, and of the wrong gender, to be called a gammon.

    Am trying to vote on theT&H result via that Andy J link but sign-up has to be approved by a moderator. A little tedious. I reckon the tories are in for a very bad time. Just a hunch but I've had
    some feelers out in the area too.
    Why is ok to spout the word gammon as an insult at a particular racial grouping? I’d rightly be banned if I called another poster by the N word.

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,292

    My experience has been that the Green vote is generally very open to the idea of voting tactically, but they surprised me by increasing their vote in North Shropshire, and only losing about a third of their vote in Chesham & Amersham.
    Yes, I am on Greens for 3rd place in Wakefield, currently 5 with Smarkets.
  • JonWCJonWC Posts: 289

    My experience has been that the Green vote is generally very open to the idea of voting tactically, but they surprised me by increasing their vote in North Shropshire, and only losing about a third of their vote in Chesham & Amersham.
    I can see the mechanism here. There are Tory voters who are very unimpressed with the government but who care very much about the environment in a conservation rather than blistering authoritarian kind of way. Tiverton and Honiton is a beautiful place to live and there are a lot of that kind of Tory here and maybe they will switch to Green as a gentle protest. Perhaps the Greens even keep their deposit, though you wouldn't know they are on the ballot paper.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163
    This BBC Russian service news article on Russian volunteers receiving only 3-7 days of training before being sent to the front line is startling.

    https://bbc.global.ssl.fastly.net/russian/features-61848550
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,292
    Heathener said:

    I think I shall bid you all good day.

    The forum is more than normally populated by grumpy old, white, men this morning. I shall leave you all to dribble with anger into your cornflakes.

    xx
    I was being tongue in cheek, echoing the PB perennial of too many of other people's children going to university, with the notion that they would be better getting proper jobs.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    This BBC Russian service news article on Russian volunteers receiving only 3-7 days of training before being sent to the front line is startling.

    https://bbc.global.ssl.fastly.net/russian/features-61848550

    Many of them ‘got volunteered’, spent a week in training, got put in a 60-year-old T-64 tank, and sent into Ukraine to meet the NLAWs.

    It’s quite sad what Putin is doing to his own people.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,575

    The idea of set texts for a literature exam is pretty dispiriting, regardless of which texts are chosen. It seems like a good example of a subject poorly suited to assessment by exam, compared to something like Maths.
    You have similar problems in politics. For example, among the listed philosophers on feminism, you have bell hooks (sic) but not Mary Wollstonecraft. She's been shoehorned into Liberalism, which somehow overlooks Jeremy Bentham as a result.

    Basically the problem with most of our exams is that they're written by complete idiots who don't have a clue what they're talking about, and actively rejected input from those who did I.e. teachers and academics.

    Also your comment on an overstuffed curriculum is depressingly true. When Edexcel tried to persuade me that the History GCSE could be taught in 120 hours I pointed out they had listed 165 separate topics, all of which would take at least a lesson of an hour to cover. I estimated in fact that 200 hours to teach it all would be more like it.

    That's not in fact as bad as OCR's attempt to say you could choose any historic site you liked for your exam and didn't need to inform the examiner as to what it was or anything about it, as they would intuitively know it all already, but it was exasperating.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,581
    moonshine said:

    Why is ok to spout the word gammon as an insult at a particular racial grouping? I’d rightly be banned if I called another poster by the N word.

    Whilst it isn't a word I'd use, and I think you are right to call out the poster for personal insults, there is clearly no equivalence here for the simple fact that old white men haven't been on the wrong side of systematic discrimination for centuries.

    A better comparison would be with a word like fascist.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,575
    maxh said:

    Whilst it isn't a word I'd use, and I think you are right to call out the poster for personal insults, there is clearly no equivalence here for the simple fact that old white men haven't been on the wrong side of systematic discrimination for centuries.

    A better comparison would be with a word like fascist.
    We don't want to go down that route.

    All other considerations aside, Heathener might find Hot Fuzz quoted at her...
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    maxh said:

    Whilst it isn't a word I'd use, and I think you are right to call out the poster for personal insults, there is clearly no equivalence here for the simple fact that old white men haven't been on the wrong side of systematic discrimination for centuries.

    A better comparison would be with a word like fascist.
    Some people on here jump to Heathener's defence, saying she gets called names and treated badly. I'd just like to point out her posts this morning to show that she actually trolls people to get the reactions she does.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    malcolmg said:

    Expected you dummy, bollox in other words. Bit like me expecting you to post sensible stuff in 2023, never going to happen.
    What on Earth is wrong with you today? Why are you always so unspeakably rude? At his most frosty, even Leon doesn’t post in such a disgraceful manner. You’re behaving like a drunken pub boor. It is eminently reasonable for working age people to contest that an inflation indexed pensions rise (which will add significantly to national expenditure) is acceptable while they themselves are not receiving anything like that, and may be paying significant student loan repayments (the terms of which can change at a whim). If you disagree, make your arguments rather than ranting away at those who disagree.

    Is there any wonder that the PB memetic pool is narrowing if this is the standard of ad-hominem argumentation which is tolerated? Do you want an echo chamber of elderly, overmonied men who just want to complain about whatever the yoof are up to now? Then there are alternatives. I started posting again because, occasionally, PB produces genuinely insightful debate in a way that only old fashioned forums do and I actually value that, even if you don’t.

    Or, to TLDR all of that, I got knocked off my bike on Tuesday and it was less painful than reading your pish. Bloody well behave.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    Foxy said:

    I was being tongue in cheek, echoing the PB perennial of too many of other people's children going to university, with the notion that they would be better getting proper jobs.
    Do you not think there's a point to be made there? Why is 50% of people going to university the magic number? Why not 90%? 20%?

    My nephew got the grades to go to uni, but chose instead to go into the Wonderful World of Work. He's now on a significantly higher salary than his friends who went to uni, and has a house (with mortgage).

    One of the great education sins of the last 30 yeas has been this idea that kids must go to uni, and that kids who do not are somehow inferior.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163
    Sandpit said:

    Many of them ‘got volunteered’, spent a week in training, got put in a 60-year-old T-64 tank, and sent into Ukraine to meet the NLAWs.

    It’s quite sad what Putin is doing to his own people.
    The T-64s are apparently not so bad, particularly if they've been subsequently updated. It turns out that the more common T-72s and T-80s are derivations of the T-64 where the design was modified to be easier to manufacture (rather than better in combat).

    A modernised T-64 is a lot better than a T-72A. It's the T-62s that were recently seen being sent towards the Luhansk front that are the real relics.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    The T-64s are apparently not so bad, particularly if they've been subsequently updated. It turns out that the more common T-72s and T-80s are derivations of the T-64 where the design was modified to be easier to manufacture (rather than better in combat).

    A modernised T-64 is a lot better than a T-72A. It's the T-62s that were recently seen being sent towards the Luhansk front that are the real relics.
    The T-64 is old but ok. The T-62 they’re dragging out of storage on the other hand…
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,802

    Some people on here jump to Heathener's
    defence, saying she gets called names and
    treated badly. I'd just like to point out her
    posts this morning to show that she actually
    trolls people to get the reactions she does.
    Heathener seems to have settled well into the PB habit of dropping by, trading insults and invective, and departing again.
    I don't see all much difference from the rest of us gammons...

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,802
    Can @ydoethur shed any light in what is going on here ?

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/2022/jun/23/english-schools-warn-of-acute-teacher-shortages-without-inflation-plus-pay-deal
    ...In its submission in December, Zahawi asked the STRB to raise the starting salaries of new teachers to £30,000 – a Conservative manifesto commitment – over the next two years. But the DfE’s submission had salaries for more experienced teachers and school leaders rising much more slowly, by between 2% and 3%, with all pay increases coming from existing school budgets...
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,292
    edited June 2022

    Do you not think there's a point to be made there? Why is 50% of people going to university the magic number? Why not 90%? 20%?

    My nephew got the grades to go to uni, but chose instead to go into the Wonderful World of Work. He's now on a significantly higher salary than his friends who went to uni, and has a house (with mortgage).

    One of the great education sins of the last 30 yeas has been this idea that kids must go to uni, and that kids who do not are somehow inferior.
    I don't think 50% is a magic number, but nearly all our international competitors have similar tertiary education rates, and even places like Mexico or Indonesia manage 15-20%.

    A lot of our university courses are poorly taught, poorly designed and overpriced, but that is the fault of the system not of the students aspirations.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    Do you not think there's a point to be made there? Why is 50% of people going to university the magic number? Why not 90%? 20%?

    My nephew got the grades to go to uni, but chose instead to go into the Wonderful World of Work. He's now on a significantly higher salary than his friends who went to uni, and has a house (with mortgage).

    One of the great education sins of the last 30 yeas has been this idea that kids must go to uni, and that kids who do not are somehow inferior.
    Surely the point is that people have the choice. Get the grades, go if you want. Personally I would encourage people to get an education and see the world before locking themselves into he tedious world of work, nappies and mortgages. You’ll spend decades doing that.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,860
    maxh said:

    Whilst it isn't a word I'd use, and I think you are right to call out the poster for personal insults, there is clearly no equivalence here for the simple fact that old white men haven't been on the wrong side of systematic discrimination for centuries.

    A better comparison would be with a word like fascist.
    How is "gammon" describing a "particular racial grouping" in the first place? Is "bald white man who gets as angry as his head goes red" a racial group?

    I've used gammon as a descriptor, and so what. Branding it racist is absurd. Its *insulting* and thats the point in using it. We're *trying* to be insulting at these small minded angry stupid men. But it doesn't describe all white people or all men or all white men or all working class people or all working class white men or all bald people or any combination of those you want to name.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    Andy_JS said:

    Yes, they could have slightly reduced the increase in pensions instead of pressing ahead with it regardless.
    Or sell it with, “Look, we just killed off ten percent of pensioners, so a ten percent increase to the pensions of those remaining won’t be inflationary; it’s the same amount at the end of the day.”

  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    Jonathan said:

    Surely the point is that people have the choice. Get the grades, go if you want. Personally I would encourage people to get an education and see the world before locking themselves into he tedious world of work, nappies and mortgages. You’ll spend decades doing that.
    You also genuinely can’t do some lines of work without some sort of tertiary education. We don’t have enough engineers in the labour force, and that’s a career that needs a degree. You can start as a technician and get an accelerated degree later, but you still need to go do it. It’s the challenge of a service based economy innt? If you want high value service with a side order of high value manufacturing you need highly educated workers. That isn’t to say there isn’t any role for skilled manual or trades work, the guy who valets my car probably earns more than me, but on an economic level it makes sense to have a lot of university graduates. As Foxy said, poor courses do not help this.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,031
    OnboardG1 said:

    What on Earth is wrong with you today? Why are you always so unspeakably rude? At his most frosty, even Leon doesn’t post in such a disgraceful manner. You’re behaving like a drunken pub boor. It is eminently reasonable for working age people to contest that an inflation indexed pensions rise (which will add significantly to national expenditure) is acceptable while they themselves are not receiving anything like that, and may be paying significant student loan repayments (the terms of which can change at a whim). If you disagree, make your arguments rather than ranting away at those who disagree.

    Is there any wonder that the PB memetic pool is narrowing if this is the standard of ad-hominem argumentation which is tolerated? Do you want an echo chamber of elderly, overmonied men who just want to complain about whatever the yoof are up to now? Then there are alternatives. I started posting again because, occasionally, PB produces genuinely insightful debate in a way that only old fashioned forums do and I actually value that, even if you don’t.

    Or, to TLDR all of that, I got knocked off my bike on Tuesday and it was less painful than reading your pish. Bloody well behave.
    Good morning

    Sorry to hear you were knocked off your bike, but rebuking @malcolmg is his raison d'etre and has been for years

    He is part of the wide mosaic of posters and if he annoys you best to just move past his post
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    Good morning

    Sorry to hear you were knocked off your bike, but rebuking @malcolmg is his raison d'etre and has been for years

    He is part of the wide mosaic of posters and if he annoys you best to just move past his post
    Thank you, I got away with a few bumps and bruises so no real harm done, apart from to my poor bike.

    I’m normally happy to move on (particularly from impacts with bumpers) but this was particularly aggressive, unnecessary, lacking in empathy and curmudgeonly and I didn’t feel it should pass without comment.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,580
    Morning all. Bit cloudy here this morning.

    You're up and about early this morning Malc! On the other hand we don't seem to have settled down to a steady argument about anything; bit bitty! I suppose we're waiting for tomorrow and the by-election results.

    Incidentally I am now dictating this but having to correct it afterwards; for example 'bitty' in the previous paragraph came out as 'bitchy! Should I have left it unchanged?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,031
    I know this is off topic but this tragedy should not happen at sea today and the report is shocking

    Nicola Faith fishing boat tragedy due to 'unsafe' practices at sea, report finds

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/nicola-faith-fishing-boat-tragedy-24297778#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,860
    Talking about by-elections, have we talked about more "nothing to see here" Russian money influencing the Tory party? https://twitter.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/1539586676766527489
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,401
    Jonathan said:

    Surely the point is that people have the choice. Get the grades, go if you want. Personally I would encourage people to get an education and see the world before locking themselves into he tedious world of work, nappies and mortgages. You’ll spend decades doing that.
    This is exactly the sort of issue I mean. Firstly, the idea that they don't have an education if they don't go to uni. Secondly, that not going to uni means they won't see the world. Thirdly, that work has to be tedious (with the implication that uni is all fun and laughter).

    Uni is not, and should not be, an extended childhood. It should be a way of people getting skills that will improve their job prospects and enrich their lives. If they have fun doing so, fair enough. But (whispers quietly) working your people can have fun as well.

    There is so much crummy disdain for people who do not go to uni. It's especially funny when it comes from people on the left, who decry classism and create their own class where they are the snobs, looking down on the inferior people who did not go to uni.

    (I don't mean you in that last para)
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    Heathener said:

    I think I shall bid you all good day.

    The forum is more than normally populated by grumpy old, white, men this morning. I shall leave you all to dribble with anger into your cornflakes.

    xx
    Racist as well assuming people are all white
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    OnboardG1 said:

    You also genuinely can’t do some lines of work without some sort of tertiary education. We don’t have enough engineers in the labour force, and that’s a career that needs a degree. You can start as a technician and get an accelerated degree later, but you still need to go do it. It’s the challenge of a service based economy innt? If you want high value service with a side order of high value manufacturing you need highly educated workers. That isn’t to say there isn’t any role for skilled manual or trades work, the guy who valets my car probably earns more than me, but on an economic level it makes sense to have a lot of university graduates. As Foxy said, poor courses do not help this.
    Good point.

    I am conscious that this debate is old as the hills. .

    Not that long ago, some challenged whether secondary education was valuable and necessary for all kids. Before that, some challenged whether a full primary education was necessary for some kids. Same debate.

    Personally, I believe that university education should be an option for all kids with the grades and that kids without a history of education in their family need support to make that informed choice.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    Morning all. Bit cloudy here this morning.

    You're up and about early this morning Malc! On the other hand we don't seem to have settled down to a steady argument about anything; bit bitty! I suppose we're waiting for tomorrow and the by-election results.

    Incidentally I am now dictating this but having to correct it afterwards; for example 'bitty' in the previous paragraph came out as 'bitchy! Should I have left it unchanged?

    There’s a nice argument about percentages of uni educated workers to be had if you fancy chipping in. I need to find some suntan lotion because it’s roasting here and I’m deploying equipment in a field.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107

    Morning all. Bit cloudy here this morning.

    You're up and about early this morning Malc! On the other hand we don't seem to have settled down to a steady argument about anything; bit bitty! I suppose we're waiting for tomorrow and the by-election results.

    Incidentally I am now dictating this but having to correct it afterwards; for example 'bitty' in the previous paragraph came out as 'bitchy! Should I have left it unchanged?

    Morning OKC, yes up early and having to deal with certain idiots , still gets me ready for the day ahead.
  • It probably should. The whole point of the 2nd Amendment was to allow the people to overthrow the government if the government descended into tyranny.
    A US government of the late 18th century would only have muskets in its army, so allowing private citizens the same put them on an equal footing.
    Now the US army has nuclear weapons, the only real way for the citizens to effectively fight the US army (should it be needed) is to allow them the same weapons.

    So really, yes, private US citizens should be allowed to buy tactical and strategic nuclear weapons, along with the delivery system.
    They could put them in their back yards.
    Except was that actually the point of the 2nd Amendment?

    That is the line beloved of NRA types, but the less mentioned "well regulated militia" part of the Amendment rather suggests otherwise.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,487
    Good morning, everyone.

    Been having some problems with my Firefox browser (closing itself). Any recommendations?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,224

    I know this is off topic but this tragedy should not happen at sea today and the report is shocking

    Nicola Faith fishing boat tragedy due to 'unsafe' practices at sea, report finds

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/nicola-faith-fishing-boat-tragedy-24297778#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare

    Two tragedies. The story refers to a second accident:-
    The report was released just 24 hours after the publication of a similar investigation into the loss of Newhaven-based Joanna C, a scallop dredger that sank in the English Channel on November 21, 2020, with the loss of two lives.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    edited June 2022

    This is exactly the sort of issue I mean. Firstly, the idea that they don't have an education if they don't go to uni. Secondly, that not going to uni means they won't see the world. Thirdly, that work has to be tedious (with the implication that uni is all fun and laughter).

    Uni is not, and should not be, an extended childhood. It should be a way of people getting skills that will improve their job prospects and enrich their lives. If they have fun doing so, fair enough. But (whispers quietly) working your people can have fun as well.

    There is so much crummy disdain for people who do not go to uni. It's especially funny when it comes from people on the left, who decry classism and create their own class where they are the snobs, looking down on the inferior people who did not go to uni.

    (I don't mean you in that last para)
    I just want a university education to be a choice whatever you background. There’s is more to life than work and taking time out to study is a rich part of life. You can learn things at a university that you cannot learn on the job.

    Once tied into the obligations of kids and mortgages it’s hard to find the time not to work. So it’s an import choice at an important moment,
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    OnboardG1 said:

    What on Earth is wrong with you today? Why are you always so unspeakably rude? At his most frosty, even Leon doesn’t post in such a disgraceful manner. You’re behaving like a drunken pub boor. It is eminently reasonable for working age people to contest that an inflation indexed pensions rise (which will add significantly to national expenditure) is acceptable while they themselves are not receiving anything like that, and may be paying significant student loan repayments (the terms of which can change at a whim). If you disagree, make your arguments rather than ranting away at those who disagree.

    Is there any wonder that the PB memetic pool is narrowing if this is the standard of ad-hominem argumentation which is tolerated? Do you want an echo chamber of elderly, overmonied men who just want to complain about whatever the yoof are up to now? Then there are alternatives. I started posting again because, occasionally, PB produces genuinely insightful debate in a way that only old fashioned forums do and I actually value that, even if you don’t.

    Or, to TLDR all of that, I got knocked off my bike on Tuesday and it was less painful than reading your pish. Bloody well behave.
    Another greedy grasping no-user who feels entitled and wants to rob poor pensioners. Wait till you have paid shedloads of tax for 50 years sunshine before trying your bollox mince on me. Probably cutting someone up and got your just desserts and then try to blame the driver.
    Whine whine whine, poor me let's abuse a poor pensioner.

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    Jonathan said:

    Surely the point is that people have the choice. Get the grades, go if you want. Personally I would encourage people to get an education and see the world before locking themselves into he tedious world of work, nappies and mortgages. You’ll spend decades doing that.
    We have enough freeloaders thank you.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163
    OnboardG1 said:

    You also genuinely can’t do some lines of work without some sort of tertiary education. We don’t have enough engineers in the labour force, and that’s a career that needs a degree. You can start as a technician and get an accelerated degree later, but you still need to go do it. It’s the challenge of a service based economy innt? If you want high value service with a side order of high value manufacturing you need highly educated workers. That isn’t to say there isn’t any role for skilled manual or trades work, the guy who valets my car probably earns more than me, but on an economic level it makes sense to have a lot of university graduates. As Foxy said, poor courses do not help this.
    I think our problem is that we're bad at the important technical courses that the economy is short of, but we have lots of people doing degree courses that have less benefit, who end up in jobs where the degree makes little difference.

    My sister has recently been appointed head of global HR at a company - she's the only one of my siblings not to have a degree. Would she really be better at her job if she'd spent three years at university?

    While one of my wife's brothers (in Ireland) ended up doing a degree-level course in welding (and more besides) which almost certainly has helped him a great deal.

    The problem, as so much in Britain, comes back to the legacy of our class system. In Britain university has been seen as the way to gain an "education" and thereby a nice middle class white collar job in an office.

    This means that a lot of working class people have been disdainful of education, as explicitly looking down on them, and it also means that a degree-level education that leads to blue-collar work simply doesn't fit with our conception of what university is.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    Good morning, everyone.

    Been having some problems with my Firefox browser (closing itself). Any recommendations?

    I think there is some concerted action being taken against Firefox, I have had to stop using it for many Microsoft functions such as Sharepoint as it will not open in it.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    malcolmg said:

    Another greedy grasping no-user who feels entitled and wants to rob poor pensioners. Wait till you have paid shedloads of tax for 50 years sunshine before trying your bollox mince on me. Probably cutting someone up and got your just desserts and then try to blame the driver.
    Whine whine whine, poor me let's abuse a poor pensioner.

    Have a nice morning too.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,487
    Ms. Hughes, interesting, may try Chrome in the short term then. Cheers.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,107
    Jonathan said:

    I just want a university education to be a choice whatever you background. There’s is more to life than work and taking time out to study is a rich part of life. You can learn things at a university that you cannot learn on the job.

    Once tied into the obligations of kids and mortgages it’s hard to find the time not to work. So it’s an import choice at an important moment,
    Pity the poor woman ever saddled with you and your "obligations".
  • malcolmg said:

    We have enough freeloaders thank you.
    Aye. The boomers that went to university all expenses paid and chose to break the earnings link for pensioners when they were working, so they didn't have to pay much to pensioners when they were working . . . then whinge about how poor pensions are when they're the ones claiming it and shaft the young.

    Truly the most selfish generation that shafted their own parents and their own grandchildren, but keep repeating the bollocks about how much tax you paid.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    malcolmg said:

    Pity the poor woman ever saddled with you and your "obligations".
    Bad porridge this morning? We share our obligations. It’s 2022.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,334

    This BBC Russian service news article on Russian volunteers receiving only 3-7 days of training before being sent to the front line is startling.

    https://bbc.global.ssl.fastly.net/russian/features-61848550

    This is British state propaganda obviously intended for consumption inside Russia. Why assume it's gospel?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Aye. The boomers that went to university all expenses paid and chose to break the earnings link for pensioners when they were working, so they didn't have to pay much to pensioners when they were working . . . then whinge about how poor pensions are when they're the ones claiming it and shaft the young.

    Truly the most selfish generation that shafted their own parents and their own grandchildren, but keep repeating the bollocks about how much tax you paid.
    Bit politics of envy there Bart. What would you have done, gone to university but insisted on paying? And it wasn't a "generation" that broke the earnings link it was your beloved Maggie.
This discussion has been closed.