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The June 23rd by-elections – what happened at GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
The June 23rd by-elections – what happened at GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
You have to go back to November 7th 1991 to find a day when the Tories lost two Westminster by-elections on the same day. These were the LAB gain of Langbaurgh and the LD gain of Kincardine and Deeside. These were the last by-elections of the 1987-1992 Parliament. John Major went to the country five months later and won a surprise small majority winning back these two seats in the process.
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Don't start any of that nonsense, OGH.
Unfortunately for the RMT, demand for railways hasn't been lower for many, many years now.
It's hard to disagree with Mick Lynch, indeed he has a flair for pithy sayings:
The railways are not in high demand. Instead of making the railways even less in-demand, maybe the RMT could be co-operative and aim to help ensure people want to use the railways again, instead of railway staff being considered surplus to requirements?
Honiton LD Maj loads and they will lose it back at next GE.
Wakefield yes LAB will win a by election for first time since 2012 and given CON maj is only about 9% will probably hold it at next GE.
Long way to go to GE. Government is useless but lots of people still not convinced by LAB.
Paedophiles to be blinded by hot poker?
Dixon of Dock Green to return to our screens?
One pound notes to return?
Now that Londoners can work from home though, will the RMT be able to maintain the pressure for a resolution to be sought? Or will it be a case of people thinking "cool, I get to work from home today" and they move on? While the rest of the nation moves on, as we always have.
Yet demand should be 30-40% lower due to working from home.
Leisure and longer journeys are at levels way higher than before covid.
Ministers could be on brink of escalating dispute with new plans to curb overtime for strikers https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1539723234815385601/video/1
From last thread:
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/politics-betting-2378961
Perhaps frozen wages and 10% inflation would do the trick?
Any odds on that?
Eastbourne was October 18th 1990 - Howe resigned two weeks later. The fact is backbenchers could see what might happen if Thatcher remained their leader and how they might be "saved" with another leader first Heseltine and then Major.
The difference between then and now (as you will no doubt point out) is none of the potential successors to Johnson appears to poll any better than the Prime Minister and some would make matters much worse for the Conservatives so they will stick with Boris Johnson for now or until it becomes clear there's an alternative who would be more likely to preserve the seats of backbenchers.
A medieval English law dating back nearly seven centuries is now at the heart of the most important US Supreme Court gun case in a decade.
The case - which stems from a New York legal battle - challenges a state law that requires that gun users who want a concealed carry permit first prove they have a valid reason.
To help them determine how broad the rights of America's many gun owners go, the country's nine supreme court judges are also looking back to the 1328 Statute of Northampton, which dates back to the reign of Edward III...
In a separate 2008 Supreme Court case that struck down strict Washington DC handgun laws, the late Justice Antonin Scalia argued that the Second Amendment to the US constitution codified "a pre-existing right" from England.
He added that by the time the United States was founded in 1776, the "right to have arms had become fundamental for English subjects."
Some historians, however, have disagreed with that assessment, noting that by the late 1200s, English authorities had passed laws restricting the right to carry weapons while traveling in public or in London.
The later 1328 Statute of Northampton - which predates the first recorded use of a firearm in Europe by several decades - declared that nobody "except the King's servants in his presence" will "go nor ride armed by night nor by day" in fairs, markets "nor in no part elsewhere"...
In a brief for the Supreme Court, attorney Paul Clement - who represents Mr Nash, Mr Koch and the New York Rifle and Pistol Association - wrote that the statute was only meant to control "unusual weapons" that would frighten the public
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-59158248
It would be interesting to see a chart of the odds in the 48 hours before the North Shropshire result.
They didn't get to fight the glorious battles of the past, so create them here in the present!
One of the reasons that Maggie won in 1984/5 was that she went to considerable effort to prepare the ground. There were big enough stockpiles of coal in the right places to make sure that a miner's strike was endurable- which is roughly what happened.
If the government was serious about crushing the RMT, it needed to be backing, evangelising, supporting WFH. For it's own reasons, it decided not to. They have picked a fight without appearing to have a plan for how to win it.
So as soon as the money issue is solved (which seems to be the bit Shapps is talking about) the next problem will all be about safety
A note today that the mail was talking about people not being able to work on different lines - yep it’s like planes, you don’t want engineers who know how a Boeing 747 works working on an airbus 320 without some prior training.
You don’t want people working on a different track when it has signals and power from a different supplier. Now that problem was something that network rail wanted to standardise years ago but prior Tory Governments but the Kabosh on that plan
"Yes, and you could be General Galtieri, Prime Minister."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ox2IY0hmAO0
https://twitter.com/Rachael_Swindon/status/1539706505846464513
The Shadow Attorney looks on wistfully as she watches someone finally take on this shower of clowns with gusto.
As it is, the government is more like a dog chasing a car, it wouldn't know what to do if it caught one, it just does things.
In July 1991 Major had been PM for considerably less than a year. Here Johnson is nearing three.
Major could ride it out as still needing time to bed in. Johnson has no such excuse.
Aha, we locked down to save them and our student loans get jacked up 11%, fuck off you twat
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10939973/Russian-gives-30-000-Tories-wine-tasting-tour-fundraising-dinner.html
Daily Mail journalists, you should really keep on digging......
Actually. He's got a great name for his role full stop.
Branded. Like Boris. Or Tony Blair. Or indeed John Major. Name for the situation. How important is that?
Sir Kier Starmer doesn't cut it,.I'm afraid.
This is sometimes referred to as 'Pay To Fly' or P2F
Liberal Democrats 46.9%
Conservative 39.3%
Labour 5.8%
Green 3.4%
Reform UK 3.1%
Heritage Party 0.7%
UKIP 0.5%
For Britain 0.3%
You'd have thought the same might apply to train drivers.
or https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2021/12/15/con-ahead-in-the-betting-on-the-eve-of-north-shropshire/
...
I will always remember the Dunfermline and West Fife by-election, where Labour was at 1.01-1.02 on Betfair as the returning officer got up to speak... And the Libdems had won.
Maggie (& Lawson & Howe) knew a strike was coming and knew they had to be prepared.
Nurses, doctors, Uber drivers, barristers now joining the strike. Public opinion is only going one way IMHO
This despite countless examples revealing that they can be just as clueless as the rest of us. Sure, they get it right sometimes, but that's a coin toss basically.
The sports corollary is the 'He must know it over the line/he hit it', no matter that is has been proven people get both wrong all the time.
A US government of the late 18th century would only have muskets in its army, so allowing private citizens the same put them on an equal footing.
Now the US army has nuclear weapons, the only real way for the citizens to effectively fight the US army (should it be needed) is to allow them the same weapons.
So really, yes, private US citizens should be allowed to buy tactical and strategic nuclear weapons, along with the delivery system.
They could put them in their back yards.
Then again I hope the rumours the UKs were guarded by bike locks is not true.
That isn't widely known.
Since it's formation the Tories have been in power for the majority of the NHS's life and it's still going strong from what I can see....
It's limping along, with huge differences of performance and outcomes, many postcode related and so on.
Ram it home. Totally. Make our ears bleed with the repition.
Anywhere. Ever