Categories
Can that elusive CON poll lead come in June or July? – politicalbetting.com
Can that elusive CON poll lead come in June or July? – politicalbetting.com
With the most recent Opinium survey having the CON lead down to just 2% it opens up a chance that a CON lead in June or July might just be worth a punt.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Depends on Honiton
Too late for this week’s RMT strike but likely to be in force by mid-July
Quite the briefing here from an ally of Trade Sec Anne-Marie Trevelyan on reports she could be for the chop in a future reshuffle.
From @g_lanktree https://twitter.com/e_casalicchio/status/1538783112582373377/photo/1
It's important to remember, however, that my Sainz bet came off yesterday.
[Only a tiny bit green, but I'll take it].
Had the safety car been 5-6 laps later I think he would've had the win.
Edited extra bit: also, pre-weekend, he was 16 for the win, each way available. had a tiny sum on that.
This is how trains and planes work, the rules in those industries being written in blood over many years.
And come the next round of strikes with that law in place the problem will become Bozo’s rather than anyone elses - after all Bozo said this law fixes the problem..
So your Transpennine Express service from Newcastle to Manchester will need several driver changes along the route.
With the inevitable consequences...
He can't move Rishi, Liz or any other biggish beast. He's on thinnish ice with the party as it is, and he can't really afford to have any more of those bastards out there. So if he wants to reward his new stooges, it can only be at the expense of his current stooges.
Couldn't happen to a nicer group of people.
I hate Cummings but whenever I see the trolley emoji I laugh haha
https://mobile.twitter.com/ChrisGiles_/status/1538772071920152583
The economic evidence of the harms of Brexit are mounting
No one wants to talk about it
Big read with @GeorgeWParker
And it must be much worse for drivers in inner-city areas, with lots of low bridges.
(I believe one of these double-decker versus low bridge incidents a few years ago was due to roadworks, and the signed diversion not being suitable for all vehicles, and the signage not saying so. The driver was still at fault, as the bridge was signed, although not clearly, but the council were also seen as being culpable. One of these cases where there were many causal factors.)
David Canzini among No 10 staff pushing for more selective schools.
“There’s more of an open door on grammars than there has been in years,” a minister said.
Out. Of. Ideas.
Quoting 2 paragraphs
In late 2017, civil servants at the Foreign Office advised Johnson to appoint a chief of staff. Installing somebody of the highest competence would, they believed, ease their collective post-Brexit burden. This suggestion seemed at first to fall on deaf ears.
But by the beginning of the following year, Johnson seemed keener on the plan. The person he had in mind for the plum, six-figure role? Carrie Symonds.
https://stainestownfootballclub.co.uk/club-statement-june-2022/
STFC had been provided with vast amounts of evidence, that Downing LLP, were involved through some of its holdings, in the financing of Environmental Crimes, Price Fixing, Deforestation, Forced Evictions, Human Rights Abuses, Child Labour, Slavery, Gender Discrimination and Murder.
The others however are striking and those strikes will continue - the announcement of ticket office closures will ensure the strikes continue all summer..
Remember massive opposition when we canvassed on proposal
Pro-Brexit cabinet member to @GeorgeWParker @ChrisGiles_ on fixing #brexit damage. “we’ve got to find a way of doing it without it looking like we’re running up the white flag and we’re compromising on sovereignty.”
Still 🦄 hunting then.
(train drivers are paid by the train companies who have an incentive to pay their staff to work). Network rail didn't have the same incentive to increase the wages of other staff...
Clown B comes up with solution that doesn't work but implements it.
Two months later strikes continue and the solution turns out to be crap...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LS37SNYjg8w
...Critics of government Brexit policy are routinely derided. Suella Braverman, attorney-general, last week accused the ITV presenter Robert Peston of “Remainiac make-believe” after he challenged her over the government’s unilateral plan to rip up the Brexit treaty relating to Northern Ireland. Braverman claimed the so-called Northern Ireland protocol had left the region “lagging behind the rest of the UK”. In fact, Northern Ireland (the only area of the UK to remain in the EU’s single market for goods) is the best performing part of the country, apart from London...
As some of you will know we have spent the weekend in Leeds viewing our granddaughter's new student accommodation and moving her into it
We left on Saturday from Llandudno and travelled via the A55, M6, M62, and M60, and the traffic was dreadful throughout most of the journey. The area around the Thelwall Viaduct and interchange with the M62, in both directions, and especially southbound was near complete standstill and for most every road sign the rail strike dates with warnings not to travel were perfectly clear and in Wales were bilingual as you would expect
Coming home yesterday was better as we returned by the east and south of Manchester along the M56 avoiding the Thelwell viaduct
However, if this is how our motorways were last Saturday, how on earth the country avoids total travel paralysis this week I really do not know
On the strikes themselves, it is at a time like this that I support a conservative government to look after taxpayers interests and not buckle to the strength of the public sector unions who will need to settle for a sensible pay increase which will no doubt be in the region of 4% or we face a summer of discontent which I believe may well strengthen HMG position
We really do not need a class war and as I have said before, with the exception of the lower paid and vulnerable who do need support the rest of us are simply going to be poorer
“Russia has now forcibly deported 300,000 Ukrainian children to its own territory in order to assimilate them.”
This is Hitler-esque in terms of evil intent. One can only shudder at what is intended for the parents and extended families.
Hard not to draw some pretty unpalatable historic parallels for those dragging their heels on weapons shipments and sanctions. Or those like Kissinger, calling for a “negotiated settlement”.
Most of the problems come when something out of the ordinary happens, and the people in the loop don’t think it through properly. Maybe it’s an unserviceable vehicle, or a diversion to the route. Maybe a route is only ever used by single-decker buses, and the very occasional, perhaps unofficial, double-decker in an emergency - but the diversion plan for the closed road forgot that both types of buses *might* run that route, and forgot that the double-deckers couldn’t.
Then the holes in the cheese line up one day, and an unusual double-decker bus, driven by someone who usually drives single-deckers, gets sent on a diversion to the usual route, misses the dirty sign on the approach to the bridge - and we end up with a tourist bus conversion!
Compare Scotland where there has been an agreement of about that level.
What on earth did they expect would happen?
Also how does relative tyre wear work. If a driver pits 7 laps after another, they'll have tyres
1 lap older vs 8 laps
10 vs 17
20 vs 27 etc
Does the gap between older and newer tyres increase or decrease ?
Perhaps if they'd actually talk to the Union an agreement along that lines might be possible.
In this case DRS had insufficient effect.
Note even Leclerc, probably more accomplished than Sainz at clearing traffic, had his own struggles at times.
The Ferrari is set up to be a front runner - fastest over a lap, but somewhat handicapped in traffic. Works when you're on pole ...
I've never heard of problems when Unipol are involved - I've heard a lot of nightmares from Leeds when other firms are used.
The Red Bull is mighty in a straight line and the Ferrari is not, which is why Leclerc struggled at times to pass cars, such as the Alpine of Ocon, despite being clearly faster.
This is the future and for the RMT to demand no redundancies and object to increased use of technology and practices fit for the new post covid environment then there is little HMG can agree to
Thatcher changed the culture Successive Governments have championed that change.
I fully understand that the government wants to buck the market, and effectively say that they are going to pay 8 - 10 percent less in real terms for the staff it employs, whether directly or indirectly. They have a fair bit of power to set prices in most public sector fields.
But that power isn't infinite. The government can keep these services going, but it's gonna cost 'em.
My par expectations for both right now are a 13% swing in Wakefield, and a 5000 LD majority in T&H.
Thank you for your advice though
Perhaps they should try doing something, they seem to assume that Brexit and Johnson is what wins them elections. I am not convinced with Corbyn gone
A Labour source said: “Keir recognises that it’s time to put a line in the sand and stop any speculation about what our position on immigration might be.”
And the Red Wall returns
As you say, it is perfectly Hitlerian. Hitler did exactly the same to blonde “Aryan” Polish kids. Simply stole them
Like you, I do not see how we can ever compromise with this, in the medium-long term
That was the average as it varied between19-38% (averaging 32%). It commenced in 1979 and was fully implemented by April 1980.
Gabriel Milland
@gabrielmilland
Support for more grammar schools among the general population: 29%.
Among over 65s: 46%
Among those of the most common parenting age (25-49): 24%
https://twitter.com/gabrielmilland/status/1538790827899596800
People are talking about rationing in Europe. Not sure what the practicalities of that are.
Millions on zero hours crap with no guarantee of work also.
That is the reality of where we are
But a 32% pay rise given to public sector workers would be make even a socialist's eyes water.
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2022/06/putin-russian-history-nationalism-kyrgyzstan/661214/
Have you ever visited ?
As it happens, I don't think this kind of strike, where the objectives are very poorly defined in the public messaging, has any effect on a government (and by extension the operators) who don't give a fig about providing the actual service.
ETA: two figs in one post. A rare confection.
Starmer is showing the kind of political nous which will win him power.
He could always alter the policy later. After all, lying is now apparently part and parcel of the job.