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Starmer still has a 30%+ net approval lead over Johnson – politicalbetting.com

This means that Johnson has a net MINUS 33% with Starmer net MINUS 1%. So the LAB leader has a margin of 32%
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https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1497664514946478082?t=etezeFWOPIjWYWBrIYJq4w&s=19
But I'm not willing to go *that* far.
Russian airforce failing to to achieve air supremacy
Whole convoys of Russian vehicles being abandoned due to a lack of fuel just days and tens of kms in.
Support and light arms convoys being sent right into set defences with NLAWs
Russian generals running low on rockets, despite supposedly having many stockpiled.
The airforce killing a good portion of the VDV by either flying troop transporters into SAM defences, or right into the sea.
Russia supposedly having no real battle plan and failing to get allied help.
Some of these are surely disinfo (1, 2, 3 are all proven fact), but there's enough to point to a seriously dysfunctional command structure who are unprepared for the war they started.
It would suggest they are stupid. But we're slowly being forced to that conclusion anyway.
@visegrad24·20m
"We are shocked that the Ukrainians have so many weapons.
We have no desire to fight against the Ukrainian people,"
Chechen leader Kadyrov
Commentators say Kadyrov means he wouldn’t fight against the Ukrainian people but would with “Neo-Nazi Ukrainians”
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1497666363871182850
We are clear – Russia must be isolated diplomatically and financially. I welcome increased willingness to exclude Russia from SWIFT.
https://twitter.com/BorisJohnson/status/1497671476295745538
*That was meant to be 'miles' but I like the autocorrect so much I'm leaving it in.
I don't know, it's probably just wishful thinking on my part, but maybe - just maybe - they are a lot weaker than their previous quick wins making modest gains from puny opponents (the Georgians; the Ukrainians themselves eight years ago) made them appear.
It would be entirely fitting of Putin to focus on the phallicism of weaponry and troop numbers, whilst being very dismissive of combined arms and integrated C&C techniques believing his own rhetoric instead about innate Russian superiority.
However, the Russians aren't stupid and can learn quickly.
Absolutely NO ONE wants this war, except Putin himself
So kill him, and the problem goes away
CNN's Frederik Pleitgen reports on the Russians moving a TOS-1 heavy flamethrower that shoots thermobaric rockets near Kharkiv, Ukraine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GCsycTW8mGc
LAB: 38% (+1)
CON: 34% (=)
LDM: 11% (=)
GRN: 6% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)
Via @OpiniumResearch, 23-25 Feb.
Changes w/ 9-11 Feb.
SKS fans please explain?
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1497663508179083264?s=20&t=QQpxdql6skhkyPIL2AKUcQ
The more he loses without a coup happening, the more likely we’re heading for the latter.
Someone in the Kremlin needs to do something very brave. The prize is saving at least a country, at most an entire hemisphere.
https://twitter.com/flightradar24/status/1497655240690180101?s=20&t=N7jB51R046s3YvWxfV2VVQ
Killing Muslims or Africans or whatever (to be brutal) that's, sadly, not so hard. But butchering Orthodox Slavs who suffered USSR communism just like you, and who can argue with you in your own language?
Could Mancunian troops be easily persuaded to open fire on the peaceful, unthreatening people of Dundee or Glasgow, for all of HYUFD's urging? I really really doubt it
This, no doubt is why the Evil Putin is bringing in the rockets and the Chechens
747 is the jumbo jet.
However, I think I will reserve judgment about this based on random tweets, when so much misinformation flying about.
https://youtu.be/rwyfOOTJNpE?t=4
There may not be that much time to spare.
The first sign of trouble and they'll be wondering what the hell this is for, like just about everyone except Putin.
Meanwhile...
@pritipatel This is important. Please clarify.
If Home Office has lifted income/language requirements & restrictions to closest relatives that wd be first step.
But website says they all still apply & that’s what people are being told.
Ukraine is in crisis. We need simple sanctuary route https://twitter.com/YvetteCooperMP/status/1497672366133952515/photo/1
I still think the Russians are digging in and trying to resupply but I would have expected more 'shock and awe.'
A generous offer from the West, and they might easily switch sides
@IAPonomarenko
What I can say is that 🇺🇦Ukraine’s military have been demonstrating outstanding anti-tank effectiveness. I’m just losing count of Russian armor convoys slaughtered every several hours across the country.
https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1497670726891020294
He was attacked on his way to work and beaten up, and his bicycle thrown in the river. He also had to arm himself with an iron bar when the mob were attacking their own buildings and stand in an office corridor where "they could only come at me one at a time".
I don't think anyone should have been squeamish about beating the pickets up.
I certainly hope so.
Who will be brave enough to take any crucial step, I wonder.
In a way that could be the most optimistic view of all.
Get a grip
Lufthansa halts flights to Russia for a week
German airline Lufthansa on Saturday said it will cancel all flights to Russia and will cease using Russian airspace for the coming week, citing the "emerging regulatory situation".
"Flights that are in Russian airspace will leave it again shortly," a spokesperson for the company said, adding that the company was in close contact with national and international authorities and would continue to monitor the situation closely.
Prime Minister GR
@PrimeministerGR
10 innocent civilians of Greek origin killed today by Russian air strikes close to Mariupol. Stop the bombing now!
https://twitter.com/PrimeministerGR/status/1497677174924529670
Throughout the whole of the Second World War, Germany consistently lost LESS men than the Soviet Union throughout the whole of the 1941 to 1944 period.
Put simply, I don't think Russia is actually very good at warfare. They win by steamrolling their opponents.
On a separate note, in almost all of the videos I've seen so far (the exception are the VDV from the airport), captured Russians have been either senior officers, or 17-23 year olds.
Young conscripts (technically volunteers, but they were conscripts coerced into signing contracts just before crossing the border) fighting a brother nation are not going to be motivated, or have key experience. There's a reason why most countries have moved towards professional armies.
Perhaps the notion of attempting to resist and dying fighting appeals more than being crushed under the heel of Tsar Vladimir's jackboot forever?