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Nadine & Moggsy – the two Johnson uber-loyalists – politicalbetting.com
Nadine & Moggsy – the two Johnson uber-loyalists – politicalbetting.com
One feature that really has been interesting in the past few weeks has been which cabinet members have always been there to support the Prime Minister during his recent troubles. As Steerpike in the Speccie notes this really has been down to just two – Dorries and Rees-Mogg.
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Inert acting, laborious screenplay, terrible “plot”, no drama, insane non-existent twists, nice costumes, no wit, no fun, fucking hell
I get that the original material is possibly a bit shit. But jeez. The theme is so fertile?
This is what happens when a company like Netflix has all the money and zero ideas
I love The Guardian, they've followed my lead and realised there is no distinction between people from Newcastle and Sunderland.
Ambushed by a cake!
It was about whether Nadine Dorries might be the Tory leader and/or PM.
I couldn't finish it because I was that upset that this is what my party has come to.
https://twitter.com/DalgetySusan/status/1487304450947624964?s=20&t=sX4Wi2DTk8p_AwcMDjTang
Sorry if you've already done this one.
Um, no. You argued that Labour is seeing structural shifts away from its vote since 2005 at least.
Although Labour has lost some of its old support, it has gained some more in the middle classes, otherwise it wouldn't be polling in the high 30s.
So what is your argument? That the polls are wrong? That the polls will change?
They may very well change, but they also might not.
I think Johnson is going down on a vonc and we'll all say we knew it all asking
Fuck knows how that awful script got a green light. I suspect Covid desperation. They wanted material - anything to fill the slots and keep people subbing
EDIT: The "anti-Bozo rejoiners" isn't my suggestion of the name - it's just the best way to describe you lot at the moment. We need a catchy name.
After Major's landslide 1997 defeat the Tories returned to increasingly Thatcherite leaders anyway under Hague, IDS and Howard
The current state of affairs is an unexpected bonus. As the memory of Partygate fades I predict nip and tuck parity, but after April it could be less than optimal for the Conservatives, unless Putin can help them along.
Thought Jeremy Irons was good, mind.
Certainly better than some of the other stuff on Netflix
Out and about today - very pleasant pub lunch in the depths of Kent and given the spring-like weather, plenty of people out and about.
The London Underground continues to confuse - trains are busy but there aren't many of them on some lines. My part of the District line was running an 8-minute service this morning which is curious as more people are travelling at weekends than on weekdays irrespective of the so-called "great return" to work.
Vaguely on topic, we have of course a small but vocal number of Uber-loyalists to the Prime Minister on here. I can think of five or six who seem wiling to die in the ditch with the Prime Minister so we'll see if they stay uberly-loyal (probably not a word) once the various reports emerge (though I suspect dealing with the next Ice Age may be a more immediate concern).
Frankly, the party is a shambles much like Boris
It's basically about two university friends, one German and one English, and how they get caught up in 1930s politics - which is a slow and confused story that jumps around - with no real payoff. German guy: he's pro, and then he becomes anti, because he realises the Nazis really mean business with the Jews, and then we belatedly find out his girlfriend was one all along? Eh? The drama of the conference and the high politics of the situation is only flirted with, and you're left never really understanding why Hitler wanted to deal or why.
That said it at least shows another side to Chamberlain towards the end, which is something.
@rcs1000 stated even if the Tories lost only 10% of the 2019 vote, they would be in trouble. I pointed out Labour was seeing structural shifts away from it that could offset that impact.
You then made the point that the opinion polls were showing Labour in a lead. I pointed out a few months back we were asking whether Labour would see a poll lead. Namely, polls change quickly.
So, yes, the point is that polls can change. 6 months ago, we were writing off SKS. Now we are writing off BJ. A bit unwise.
It is understood that he acted after visiting the family flat and finding highly classified “STRAP” material, easily identifiable because it is printed on pink paper, lying around where it could be read by any visitor. It was also found in the upstairs quarters at Chequers.
One source compared the scene, where Carrie Johnson entertained friends, to “a frat house”.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/is-boris-johnson-wriggling-free-of-partygate-hn9rlbkrw
One ally even speculated last week that the best plan for the prime minister would be for his wife and family to move out of Downing Street altogether. Another pronounced this a “total non-starter” for security reasons. “The protection squad would veto it.”
A purge could be made easier by claims in Whitehall that Gray has discovered that several of Carrie Johnson’s friends had the access Pin code to the private flat above 11 Downing Street so they could come and go at will.
It's not dramatic and it's more anti-Tory than pro-Labour, but I've been around enough to recognise a shift in mood.
There is a good film to be made one day over the drift to war, and the futile efforts to stop it, but this isn't it.
Army needs to step in
Has the law changed Mr Lawyer @TheScreamingEagles ?
He doesn’t give a shit
The difference is that Labour are nowhere near where they were under Blair. Also, they haven't fully modernised and addressed their weaknesses: immigration and identity politics is Labour's Achilles heel amongst many floating voters - and it's clear to me that turning it up to 11 is one of the first things they'll do - but if the economy goes down the tubes or people are taxed/priced into oblivion they might still get in regardless.
Cummings and Martin Reynolds, Johnson’s principal private secretary, agreed the prime minister should only be given sensitive papers for signature in his office. “Cummings spoke to the PPS and they agreed on new protocols to stop sensitive STRAP material going to the flat or upstairs at Chequers,” one former No 10 source said. “Instead material was to be shown to the PM downstairs in No 10 or Chequers then immediately returned to safekeeping.”
A third source said Johnson’s ministerial box was left outside the door of the flat on Saturdays. “It would be there in the morning and often still there in the evening,” the official said. “He wouldn’t have touched it.”
https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1487484232066912257
Shagger on the pull, amazing what a captainess of industry will do for a peerage
Wall to wall Boris hatred
I'm already balls deep in gone by end Q1, but 5 looks tremendous value (smarkets, no liquidity, mind)
Always worth imagining what prominent present-day politicians would do if transplanted back to some shocking autocracy of the past or present.
I have no difficulty imagining JRM being in charge of packing them off to the camps/gulags/re-education facilities.
CH 4 have a handy, if long guide on all this, but obviously it is aimed at film clips rather than newspapers:
https://www.channel4.com/producers-handbook/c4-guidelines/fair-dealing-guidelines
Still lurking and well, thanks.
And quite right - we all must demand the full report now and sack Dick if necessary
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-60183030
If there's a Cummings/PPS conv reported by a former DS source, and the PPS is a current DS source, that does narrow it down though
I met both of them; Hurst was a really nice guy and a good constituency MP.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/01/29/prioritising-animals-humans-evacuation-afghanistan-disgusting/
Caused a few difficulties late in his premiership when he had the early stages of dementia and couldn't always remember who he was posing as when he leaked things. Or indeed that he had leaked things.
I'm now finding myself in agreement with Richard Burgon *And* Sir Christopher Chope.
This is just awful.
This is wrong and an abuse of the electorate
@jamesjohnson252
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21m
Our focus groups are not mellowing on Boris - if anything they’re getting worse
https://twitter.com/jamesjohnson252/status/1487492357977260040
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Time and tide, Sunak. Time and tide...
Mid Bedfordshire is comfortably in the top 150 safest Tory seats now and remember even in 1997 165 Tory MPs held on
Can anyone seriously tell me any more that Boris doesn't have acute, uncontrolled, DSM-V adult ADD, and not content with embracing the worst angels of it as his identity, has entirely surrounded himself with people who feed those worst angels.
There were ways of operating that could have seen him succeed much better than this in number 10, but he was either oblivious to the possibility or chose not to.
Of course, some of his political talent comes from the same place, and letting Boris be Boris played its part in getting him here in the first place, so perhaps he feared being constrained by a more structured set up.
But, good grief, the extent of the lack of constraint is more extraordinary by the day.
Living in Nippy's semi-autonomous paradise I'm not sure I will be able to consider Sir Keir's party for much longer-
https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/keir-starmer-says-more-powers-26079744
Le'ts just hope you're not Borderline.
One of the most remarkable aspects of 1997 was not the fact or the size of the Conservative defeat which were both well sign posted but the way in which the Conservative political campaigning machine had atrophied after years in Government. Accounts from David Cameron, George Osborne and William Hague all speak of a desperately outdated and antiquated organisational structure at CCHQ certainly in contrast to the operation Peter Mandelson was running out of Millbank at the time.
The other side of it is parties who have been in power for a long time have often forgotten the art of Opposition - they literally don't know how to oppose effectively (and it's even harder to be effective when you're facing a 179-seat majority).
That said, the start of the fight back (which for the Conservatives was on May 2nd 1997 locally) would be the re-election of a new generation of Conservative councillors who might then be prospective Parliamentary candidates down the line.
We must demand Dick backs off and the full report is published by Sue Gray
https://www.channel4.com/now/C4