The above chart from Wikipedia makes the point simply and clearly – Westminster by-elections can produce outcomes with massive swings that can be hard to predict. It is one of the reasons why I love them and my only current regret is that the media seems to be giving less attention than they used to.
Comments
Really freaked out the Tories.
Hi
I gave up trying to plead my sanity to the authorties after I had a Compulsary Treatment Order given to me by a Mental Health Tribunal.
In one of the four occasions I was sectioned I admit I did have some strange thoughts in my head - but I'd already been sectioned 3 times by then.
'a county where they used to have a seat and it is a brave punter who goes against them.'
They held Ludlow, a very different seat from North Shropshire, for four years from 2001 to 2005.
That's the only time they've held a seat in Shropshire (excluding the double defection of Paul Marsden) since 1906.
It would be a very brave punter who would bet in favour of them.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_by-election_records#Seats_with_more_than_one_by-election_in_a_single_Parliament
My family has experience of serious mental health issues, and it is so important that you do know help is available and everyone on here should be supportive
All the very best
Think Bobby Sands was the only hunger striker. And lasted 25 days. The shortest ever.
Edit. See @ydoethur covered the first bit.
Or more recently, Witney.
Max Verstappen called to the stewards for allegedly not respecting double waved yellow flags at the end of qualifying
https://twitter.com/andrewbensonf1/status/1462114140152115203
I have to say that my current view of the LDs is very negative. Davey is awful. There's some light in that Hobhouse is good.
The LDs are going to let the Greens eat them up and destroy them. It should be Labour that is so mired.
Not accelerating. Signs the mini-blip might be running out of steam.
Tony Blair, the former Labour prime minister, was mentioned by one figure at a recent shareholders’ meeting as someone who would be a suitable candidate. Another source implied that the Premier League could also look overseas for a potential replacement, citing how the Bank of England appointed the Canadian Mark Carney as its governor in 2013.
Blair, not that it will happen, is seen as the level of figure they need to go to during their search for a new chair. They need someone who can galvanise the 20 clubs and bring them all back together, while also knowing how to keep key stakeholders satisfied.
But given Hoffman’s perceived lack of understanding when it came to knowing how the football industry operates, there would be an expectation that his successor — if they are from overseas — will need to know the inner machinations of how to handle a global sporting organisation. “Definitely not another banker!” a club executive joked.
https://theathletic.com/2965668/2021/11/20/hoffman-resignation-what-comes-next-premier-league-chairman/
On the substantive point, can you justify the statement I quoted, which as I pointed out was technically true but somewhat misleading?
The last time the Liberals won this seat was in 1904. They have come second once since the merger with the SDP. This is a seat where demography has been steadily moving against them, as their voters were mainly Welsh-speaking chapel goers who have declined in number to the extent it took a long time on an earlier thread to convince people that they existed at all.
Why do you think that will change?
(And actually she was. Far better than the Long-Baileys or Burgons)
She was Louise *Bagshawe*.
I was making an awesome pun over Sandpit's typo on her name.
Next time I shall not bother with subtlety.
MENSCH has posted here.
This comment by @Foxy stood out:
"Well quite often people have blind spots on specific issues, including [anti-Semitism]. While obviously wrong, it doesn't cancel them completely in my eyes. To restrict politics to those of some impossible standard of being perfect on all measures would make it very difficult to populate Parliaments."
This after he said that it was only anti-Semitism after all.
Time to roll out David Baddiel's book again:
Jews Don’t Count is a searing look at why anti-Semitism is often seen as a lesser form of racism, with a particular focus on the political left. To be Jewish, explains Baddiel, is to be subject to the contradictory belief that “Jews are somehow both sub-human and humanity’s secret masters”. Anti-semitic tropes are everywhere – yet, he argues, few of those who consider themselves alert to racism notice, let alone care.
Presumably FIFA are learning from the FIA about how big events go down in small Gulf states, and the FIA are learning standards of propriety and excellence in sporting governance from FIFA…
I guess when you exit politics there's always going to be someone who's trust you trample on a bit.
Sajid Javid is working with his American counterpart, Xavier Becerra, on introducing new international standards to ensure that medical devices have been tested on all races before they are allowed to be sold.
He has commissioned the review after research showed that oximeters, which monitor oxygen levels in the blood and are used to assess whether Covid-19 patients need lifesaving treatment, are less accurate on people with darker skin.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/sajid-javid-orders-racial-bias-review-after-covid-deaths-wxtsbsxdc
Is there any county where the Liberal Democrats have never won a seat?
Offhand I can think of Staffordshire and Durham.
I always weirdly wonder if she was too “attractive” or “cool” (not in a trad sense of cool”) as she didn’t fit the mould of a “typical” female politician. To female voters I imagine (from maybe a totally sexist perspective that needs Re-education) she was good looking, articulate, had a life outside politics and so an existential threat. To certain male voters maybe they would never take her seriously because she was young and “hot”.
I imagine her life is infinitely better and more enjoyable outside politics but I think compared to most who are in it it’s a loss to us she left.
Sunday times suggesting olexit imminent.
Emergency board meeting @7pm to discuss compensation terms.
I thought, and I still think, that she was a good politician, and that it was a shame she retreated. I'd certainly hope that she's happy in whatever she's doing now.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/manchester-united-board-call-emergency-meeting-to-discuss-ole-gunnar-solskjaers-future-as-manager-gr0j9v5ht
I'm thinking incidentally that's the only south coast county not to have returned a Liberal Democrat MP.
But did you see how much turf was flying up behind buzz? It was like me enjoying myself in puddles in my boots. Can you explain it?
All the much tighter favourites were beaten quite soundly in the race at Haydock, I think it wasn’t run fast enough for them.