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I'll be glad when it's over. At this point I'm pretty much resigned to Ed being PM in an unstable partnership with the SNP and other leftist parties. Hopefully it will give the Tories a chance to regroup in opposition and actually start to make the party fit for the modern era.0
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3. Same as below - but I still think that there may be a chance of a 1992.0
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40
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It´s like the count tomorrow evening....0
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60
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And more importantly, we'll be able to bet on their next leader.MaxPB said:I'll be glad when it's over. At this point I'm pretty much resigned to Ed being PM in an unstable partnership with the SNP and other leftist parties. Hopefully it will give the Tories a chance to regroup in opposition and actually start to make the party fit for the modern era.
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Is this a rehearal for the Slab molification?0
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Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.0
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Yes Southam - you will be adding to your terrible tipping history
And you should take me out for that dinner you owe me0 -
I should have had money on next Tory leader well before now - presumably the odds will begin to move around quite a bit fairly soon.0
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All about the ground game now.0
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Well, I have been summoned to fly tomorrow night to Northern Ireland for my other half's 50th birthday. I will not be allowed to watch much election coverage and I certainly won't be allowed to spend time on a computer betting (my other half disapproves of this).
My other half's disapproval of betting does not, however, extend to the proceeds. He has bought himself a car today.0 -
According to the FT - Labour are going to be flooding marginals like Hornsey and Woodgreen with ..... 1,600 activists
One thousand six hundred
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7bf86804-f25a-11e4-892a-00144feab7de.html#axzz3ZO6khkJS0 -
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
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@PanelbaseMD: Final #GE2015 @panelbase GB poll: LAB 33% (-1), CON 31% (-1%), UKIP 16% (-1), LD 8% (NC), GRN 5% (+1), SNP 5%, OTH 2. Tables very shortly.0
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Good cartoon Marf!
Well here we go, tomorrow's the day and no-one seems to have any idea of what the result might be!
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They should stick some of them on a bus to Stevenage/Milton Keynes/Peterborough instead.IOS said:According to the FT - Labour are going to be flooding marginals like Hornsey and Woodgreen with ..... 1,600 activists
One thousand six hundred
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7bf86804-f25a-11e4-892a-00144feab7de.html#axzz3ZO6khkJS0 -
See Strangford and die.antifrank said:Well, I have been summoned to fly tomorrow night to Northern Ireland for my other half's 50th birthday. I will not be allowed to watch much election coverage and I certainly won't be allowed to spend time on a computer betting (my other half disapproves of this).
My other half's disapproval of betting does not, however, extend to the proceeds. He has bought himself a car today.
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The big question with these polls - is the Green vote being squeezed or not? ICM says yes, Panelbase says no.
What's that? Will it impact the result? Don't be silly.0 -
Postal vote mess in Hackney.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-england-32607289
20,000 registrations in one week?????
The new Tower Hamlets.0 -
Do the Tories even have 1,600 people canvassing across London - let alone in one seat.0
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Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick
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Everyone seems very confident of what the result won't be, with precious few people expecting a majority of any kind, except of votes for the SNP in Scotland.Sandpit said:Good cartoon Marf!
Well here we go, tomorrow's the day and no-one seems to have any idea of what the result might be!0 -
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?0 -
Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?0 -
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
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I could see the tories accepting voting reform.Tykejohnno said:Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick
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Ed's in favour of voting reform isn't he? So that should be an easy ask.Tykejohnno said:Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick0 -
Panelbase EICIPM! Lol loving this0
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Jim Pickard @PickardJE ·
Panelbase: how many "decided" voters may yet change minds? Just 7% of SNP voters, 18% of Tories, 21% of Labour, 25% of UKIP, 31% of LibDems
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@Survation: POLL ALERT: Multiple poll releases tonight. All will become clear following us & @damiansurvation for press releases: http://t.co/DKJOzF1mr00
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Ha, very good Mike, I did think of adding that we didn't have PB in 1974!MikeSmithson said:
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
BTW, will we be getting a donate button, as I'm hoping to win some money in the next couple of days and would like to contribute to your hosting bill? I'm sure I'm not the only one either!0 -
Saw that on C4 News.kle4 said:
Ed's in favour of voting reform isn't he? So that should be an easy ask.Tykejohnno said:Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick
Chuka Umunna dissed it.0 -
That ICM had 15% don't knows and a further 9% refused to say. That's 24% that we just don't know about. I'd like to know whether that is typical of polls - for instance what the 'don't know' quotient of ICM before the 2010 election was.0
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I think 2010 was much more fun, this one has had two dreadful campaigns with each party locked into a competition over the worst one. The Lib Dems have been hilarious in their disowning of government policy on one side but then claiming others as their own. UKIP have basically been sidelined (possibly for their own good) and the Green leader is terrible and Australian to boot which people don't like (being lectured by an aussie on how to live has definitely not helped the Greens).Sandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
Neither leader has really managed to give any amount of confidence that they would be a decent PM over the next cycle, Ed seems far too eager to be in No 10 and Dave the exact opposite.
Honestly, for all the hype and almost years of build up, this has to be one of the most disappointing elections since 2001. Even 2005 had the knifing of IDS in the build up and the horrible "are you thinking what we're thinking" strapline from the Tories.0 -
Covering their bases! Good on themTheScreamingEagles said:@Survation: POLL ALERT: Multiple poll releases tonight. All will become clear following us & @damiansurvation for press releases: http://t.co/DKJOzF1mr0
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And the Angus Reid prize goes to...TheScreamingEagles said:
@PanelbaseMD: Final #GE2015 @panelbase GB poll: LAB 33% (-1), CON 31% (-1%), UKIP 16% (-1), LD 8% (NC), GRN 5% (+1), SNP 5%, OTH 2. Tables very shortly.
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Ah yes, the Who Governs Britain election (answer: well, anyone but you, Ted).MikeSmithson said:
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
I remember it like yesterday.....pretty well everyone (including Harold Wilson) expected Heath to win, although the Enoch Powell 'Vote Labour' speech the Saturday before polling day added more than a spice of uncertainty. The Tory campaigned was also derailed by the confusion over miners' pay through the relativities commission and other mishaps.
And of course the other imponderable was the Liberal surge with Thorpe's popularity as the 'voice of moderation' increasing as the camapign progressed,
At the close of poll, the BBC unveiled a some exit polls from individual seats and they all showed a swing to Labour.....which the results proper confirmed.0 -
They are pouring into wasted rock solid Labour constituencies like Hampstead and Kilburn, Battersea, and Yarmouth.NoEasyDay said:Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?0 -
It's a secret that actually every poster on here is 25 years old or younger, hence the excitability combined with certainty of opinion.Sandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
In all honesty, I too would be interested to know what it was like.
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If your SNP bets come in you can buy him the Isle of Skye.antifrank said:Well, I have been summoned to fly tomorrow night to Northern Ireland for my other half's 50th birthday. I will not be allowed to watch much election coverage and I certainly won't be allowed to spend time on a computer betting (my other half disapproves of this).
My other half's disapproval of betting does not, however, extend to the proceeds. He has bought himself a car today.0 -
Just tallying up my betting before the big day and I have a fiver left on Will Hill anyone want to offer me a hot tip?0
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You can still get 17.5 tory majority.
imho thats a value punt.0 -
I get the feeling the pollsters really, really don't want to be stung by a late surge. Though it must be the newspapers funding it too?0
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Lib Dems hold GordonAlistair said:Just tallying up my betting before the big day and I have a fiver left on Will Hill anyone want to offer me a hot tip?
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No way. No indications of a late swing, no rabble rousing speech from Dave. Nothing. He has been absolutely useless as a field marshal.Purseybear said:You can still get 17.5 tory majority.
imho thats a value punt.0 -
After all these polls and many calling it for labour spin has gone out to 25. Seems strange0
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Is it just me or has the Conservative-Labour spread just notched up to 25?0
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Battersea's rock solid tory #confusedEPG said:
They are pouring into wasted rock solid Labour constituencies like Hampstead and Kilburn, Battersea, and Yarmouth.NoEasyDay said:Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?0 -
Someone always knows. Someone always tells.Big_G_NorthWales said:After all these polls and many calling it for labour spin has gone out to 25. Seems strange
Watch SPIN like a hawk and you'll know more than by reading polls0 -
One thousand six hundred ...... in one seat.
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If spin is right DC would be PM0
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Hampstead and Kilburn the old witch had 10% lead athe last election will be closer to twenty this time round....still just one seat.EPG said:
They are pouring into wasted rock solid Labour constituencies like Hampstead and Kilburn, Battersea, and Yarmouth.NoEasyDay said:Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?
But many more Labour votes.0 -
I just know after all this the shy Tory factor or SOMETHING will ruin it all.
Still, consolation prize is a severely weakened Tory minority and Clegg comeuppance0 -
Spin only screwed it up by around a hundred seats last time :-)0
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Why would either main party go for voting reform when both could get around 42% of the votes on 33% of the vote under FPTP? The SNP would also lose out.Tykejohnno said:
I could see the tories accepting voting reform.Tykejohnno said:Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick
Switching to PR would see UKIP and Greens benefit massively while Lab Con and SNP would be losers
Switching to STV would see UKIP and Green gain but to a lesser extent (partly depending on the constituency sizes)
AV would probably benefit the big 2 (although this has been rejected by the electorate)
Instant runoff would benefit the big 2
It would be quite amusing if PR came in and the result was a Con-UKIP coalition in 2020.0 -
She won by 43 votes.....NoEasyDay said:
Hampstead and Kilburn the old witch had 10% lead athe last election will be closer to twenty this time round....still just one seat.EPG said:
They are pouring into wasted rock solid Labour constituencies like Hampstead and Kilburn, Battersea, and Yarmouth.NoEasyDay said:Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?
But many more Labour votes.0 -
Still just one seat, but many more votes.dyedwoolie said:
She won by 43 votes.....NoEasyDay said:
Hampstead and Kilburn the old witch had 10% lead athe last election will be closer to twenty this time round....still just one seat.EPG said:
They are pouring into wasted rock solid Labour constituencies like Hampstead and Kilburn, Battersea, and Yarmouth.NoEasyDay said:Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?
But many more Labour votes.0 -
Don't agree. I think the outcome was clear for pretty much every other election I've experienced from 79 onwards (even 2010, where a hung parliament was obvious - though most of us thought it would be due to a LD surge). The sheer unpredictability of this one makes it absolutely fascinating, despite the uninspiring nature of the campaigns.MaxPB said:
I think 2010 was much more fun, this one has had two dreadful campaigns with each party locked into a competition over the worst one. The Lib Dems have been hilarious in their disowning of government policy on one side but then claiming others as their own. UKIP have basically been sidelined (possibly for their own good) and the Green leader is terrible and Australian to boot which people don't like (being lectured by an aussie on how to live has definitely not helped the Greens).Sandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
Neither leader has really managed to give any amount of confidence that they would be a decent PM over the next cycle, Ed seems far too eager to be in No 10 and Dave the exact opposite.
Honestly, for all the hype and almost years of build up, this has to be one of the most disappointing elections since 2001. Even 2005 had the knifing of IDS in the build up and the horrible "are you thinking what we're thinking" strapline from the Tories.0 -
Are you expecting a conservative landslide thenIOS said:Spin only screwed it up by around a hundred seats last time :-)
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Kilburn - Easy Lab Hold
Batersea - Easy Con Hold0 -
You mean Con 388 to Lab 163 is nailed on?! Golly!IOS said:Spin only screwed it up by around a hundred seats last time :-)
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Jean Marie Le Pen considers setting up a party of the right of the Front National
http://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/le-scan/decryptages/2015/05/06/25003-20150506ARTFIG00221-jean-marie-le-pen-peut-il-creer-un-nouveau-parti-a-la-droite-du-fn.php0 -
And Hampstead Labour by just 42 votes...Purseybear said:
Battersea's rock solid tory #confusedEPG said:
They are pouring into wasted rock solid Labour constituencies like Hampstead and Kilburn, Battersea, and Yarmouth.NoEasyDay said:Now we had thread the other day on Mikes meeting with the high and mighty of polling. The high and mighty said that the Tory wasted vote syndrome no longer existed. Mike could see little evidence of this.
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?0 -
You want racism? I'll show you racism!Alanbrooke said:
Jean Marie Le Pen considers setting up a party of the right of the Front National
http://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/le-scan/decryptages/2015/05/06/25003-20150506ARTFIG00221-jean-marie-le-pen-peut-il-creer-un-nouveau-parti-a-la-droite-du-fn.php
Tw@t of a man0 -
Nick Sutton @suttonnick ·
Thursday's Daily Mirror front page:
Send 'em Packing
#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #GE2015
The class war continues with the leftwing rag.0 -
Was 10 at that election and dont recall the details. Remember doing a speech in favour of joining the EEC at junior school the year before. If only id known.........kle4 said:
It's a secret that actually every poster on here is 25 years old or younger, hence the excitability combined with certainty of opinion.Sandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
In all honesty, I too would be interested to know what it was like.0 -
Less politics more family bust updyedwoolie said:
You want racism? I'll show you racism!Alanbrooke said:
Jean Marie Le Pen considers setting up a party of the right of the Front National
http://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/le-scan/decryptages/2015/05/06/25003-20150506ARTFIG00221-jean-marie-le-pen-peut-il-creer-un-nouveau-parti-a-la-droite-du-fn.php
Tw@t of a man0 -
Just got in. Missed lots of erm excitement and there's no hope of catching up on comments :-(
Not exactly upcheering polls tonight. Oh, well.
A propos, WTF are the stupid berks at the Sun thinking? (Let us pass quickly over that gruesomse FP baby thing. Come back Kelvin, all is forgiven.)
Doesn't anyone in that office know the first rule of competition: NEVER re-broadcast your competitor's advertising?
http://www.sunnation.co.uk/the-labour-supporting-press-are-getting-desperate/
/facepalm
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The population of the UK hasn't increased 10% in the "last few years" it went up 7% between 2001 and 2011. It's mostly been driven by births rather than immigration. Read the 2011 census for the facts.NoEasyDay said:
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?
Most of the immigration that has occurred has taken place from the EU, EU citizens can't vote.
You're pretty much wrong about everything0 -
GarethoftheVale2 said:
Why would either main party go for voting reform when both could get around 42% of the votes on 33% of the vote under FPTP? The SNP would also lose out.Tykejohnno said:
I could see the tories accepting voting reform.Tykejohnno said:Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick
Switching to PR would see UKIP and Greens benefit massively while Lab Con and SNP would be losers
Switching to STV would see UKIP and Green gain but to a lesser extent (partly depending on the constituency sizes)
AV would probably benefit the big 2 (although this has been rejected by the electorate)
Instant runoff would benefit the big 2
It would be quite amusing if PR came in and the result was a Con-UKIP coalition in 2020.
Given DC will quit at end of term even if he wins, I could see him taking it.Tykejohnno said:
I could see the tories accepting voting reform.Tykejohnno said:Tim Bouverie @TimPBouverie ·
EXCLUSIVE: Union bosses tell Miliband: Offer Lib Dems voting reform to keep Cameron out http://news.channel4.com/election2015/05/06/ … by @MichaelLCrick
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@TSEofPB: Latest Sheffield Hallam Lib Dem leaflet http://t.co/2cYwiD31HW0
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I didn't even have a phone in 1974.MikeSmithson said:
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?0 -
I have three nephews voting for the first time. All conservative. They aren't particularly engaged with politics but they tell me they don't have to be to justify their position. If any of their friends challenge them they just respone with "Ed Milliband" and that quells any criticism.0
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Great game Barcelona v Bayern - very open - good to watch0
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Tactical voting comes full circle. It was Labour votes that gifted the seat to the LDs in 1997 (when the Tory defeat was a major surprise).TheScreamingEagles said:@TSEofPB: Latest Sheffield Hallam Lib Dem leaflet http://t.co/2cYwiD31HW
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For Artist.Stevenage will have more than enough members and supporters out tomorrow0
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BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****
The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to the JNN the contents of the eve of poll SUPER ARSE with added SUPER APLOMB 2015 General Election and "JackW Dozen" Projections. (Changes From 5th May Projection) :
Con 302 (-2) .. Lab 251 (+2) .. LibDem 28 (NC) .. SNP 42 (NC) .. PC 3 .. NI 18 .. UKIP 3 .. Respect 1 .. Green 1 .. Ind 0 .. Speaker 1
Conservatives 24 seats short of a majority
Turnout Projection .. 68% (+0.5)
......................................................................................
"JackW Dozen" - 13 seats that will shape the General Election result :
Bury North - Con Hold
Pudsey - Likely Con Hold
Broxtowe - Likely Lab Gain
Warwickshire North - Likely Con Hold
Cambridge - LibDem Hold
Ipswich - Con Hold
Watford - TCTC - Con Hold
Croydon Central - Con Hold
Enfield North - Likely Lab Gain
Cornwall North - Likely LibDem Hold
Great Yarmouth - Con Hold
Vale of Glamorgan - Con Hold
Ochil and South Perthshire - SNP Gain
Changes From 5 May - Watford moves from TCTC to TCTC Con Hold
TCTC - Too Close To Call - Less than 500 votes
Likely Hold/Gain - 500 - 2500 votes
Gain/Hold - Over 2500
.......................................................................................
ARSE is sponsored by Auchentennach Fine Pies (Est 1745)
WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
JNN - Jacobite News Network
ARSE - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors
APLOMB - Auchentennach Pies Leading Outsales Mainland Britain0 -
Brave.JackW said:BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****
The breaking news is that WIND is reporting to the JNN the contents of the eve of poll SUPER ARSE with added SUPER APLOMB 2015 General Election and "JackW Dozen" Projections. (Changes From 5th May Projection) :
Con 302 (-2) .. Lab 251 (+2) .. LibDem 28 (NC) .. SNP 42 (NC) .. PC 3 .. NI 18 .. UKIP 3 .. Respect 1 .. Green 1 .. Ind 0 .. Speaker 1
Conservatives 24 seats short of a majority
Turnout Projection .. 68% (+0.5)
......................................................................................
"JackW Dozen" - 13 seats that will shape the General Election result :
Bury North - Con Hold
Pudsey - Likely Con Hold
Broxtowe - Likely Lab Gain
Warwickshire North - Likely Con Hold
Cambridge - LibDem Hold
Ipswich - Con Hold
Watford - TCTC - Con Hold
Croydon Central - Con Hold
Enfield North - Likely Lab Gain
Cornwall North - Likely LibDem Hold
Great Yarmouth - Con Hold
Vale of Glamorgan - Con Hold
Ochil and South Perthshire - SNP Gain
Changes From 5 May - Watford moves from TCTC to TCTC Con Hold
TCTC - Too Close To Call - Less than 500 votes
Likely Hold/Gain - 500 - 2500 votes
Gain/Hold - Over 2500
.......................................................................................
ARSE is sponsored by Auchentennach Fine Pies (Est 1745)
WIND - Whimsical Independent News Division
JNN - Jacobite News Network
ARSE - Anonymous Random Selection of Electors
APLOMB - Auchentennach Pies Leading Outsales Mainland Britain0 -
Thank you for the suggestions but I've decided to cover Lib Dems 11-30 seats at a 15% return0
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25-1 on an dead-heat on seat nos between Con and Lab.Alistair said:Just tallying up my betting before the big day and I have a fiver left on Will Hill anyone want to offer me a hot tip?
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The Lib Dems are unlikely to have enough MPs to give either side a majority with a coalition, and so they are unlikely to be able to demand voting reform. I also expect that they will be wary of having another referendum on voting reform after the roaring success of the last one.
I think we're more likely to have a grand coalition than we are to have voting reform.0 -
I guess that's why Ukip has a chance in Boston and Skegness. Do we have voter registration numbers yet? I'd be interested to see the numbers in areas of the country with large numbers of EU immigrants.asjohnstone said:
The population of the UK hasn't increased 10% in the "last few years" it went up 7% between 2001 and 2011. It's mostly been driven by births rather than immigration. Read the 2011 census for the facts.NoEasyDay said:
The population of the UK has increased by approx 10% in the last few years most of working/ voting age. We know 8 out 10 immigrants vote Labour. And even if they don't vote they can take part in polls. Where are all these folks registered to vote, well I doubt its Kensington and Chelsea. They will buy and rent where the housing is cheapest which is solidly working class areas. Labour constituencies, rock solid Labour constituencies. Labour wasted vote syndrome anybody ?
Most of the immigration that has occurred has taken place from the EU, EU citizens can't vote.
You're pretty much wrong about everything0 -
JackW do you take bets?!0
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In them days we was glad to have the price of a cup o' tea.Toffeenose said:
I didn't even have a phone in 1974.MikeSmithson said:
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?0 -
Kevin Maguire @Kevin_Maguire ·
Mirror election day front page: "Mirror Removals...Send 'Em Packing" Eton, Chipping Norton, Westminster
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I didn't even have a mortal existence.Toffeenose said:
I didn't even have a phone in 1974.MikeSmithson said:
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?0 -
Whilst disappointed with the result I would rate it way above this one for the quality of the arguments and campaigning. Heath called an Election because he thought he would walk it and see the Miners off unfortunately half way through a report came out backing up the miners wage claim! Nevertheless the result was still a shock to many and we had the undignified sight of Heath clinging on whilst not even being the largest Party. We then all came back for a re run in October with just as inconclusive a result.kle4 said:
It's a secret that actually every poster on here is 25 years old or younger, hence the excitability combined with certainty of opinion.Sandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
In all honesty, I too would be interested to know what it was like.
I think this has been quite the worst GE I can remember for the paucity of arguments in any meaningful sense. Friday morning we will all have been served a right dogs breakfast.
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Seems I got home just in time for the big one:
BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS **** BREAKING WIND NEWS ****
Phew.0 -
Stig Abell @StigAbell 23m23 minutes ago
Tories to lead coalition on weekdays; Labour at weekends and on holidays. Shared custody of Nick Clegg, obviously.
YouGov is definitely looking like a 10,000 sample tie.0 -
Tea? You were lucky.dr_spyn said:
In them days we was glad to have the price of a cup o' tea.Toffeenose said:
I didn't even have a phone in 1974.MikeSmithson said:
We didn't have Twitter or even smart phonesSandpit said:
Quite. This is the election of a lifetime.Casino_Royale said:
I think we all will be at this rate.SouthamObserver said:Should I drink alcohol tomorrow evening? I am sorely tempted.
Do any of the site's more esteemed contributors have memories of February 1974 and what that was like to live through?
We used to live in a paper bag in middle of t'road.0 -
I have a bad feeling it's going to turn out about as bad as possible for the torires - i.e. a narrow non-win
CON 282
Lab 264
LD 31
SNP 49
PC 4
UKIP 2
NIre 180
