politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And before the big Question Time event here’s Marf
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Sorry, the Guardian blog has the video.0
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I think Mike did a poll of PBers last year. LDs were rather overrepresented but actually fairly evenly split between the parties.Greenwich_Floater said:
Can't really agree. probably a small majority of tories, granted. Don't mistake people who think the current Labour franchise as being absolutely shocking as automatically Tory.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
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Great movie. Didn't he get power by pushing PM off oil rig?weejonnie said:If Ed did slip - hope it wasn't as bad as in "The Rise and Rise of Michael Rimmer" - where the PM slips and falls through a backdrop during a live political broadcast.
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Really, Plato- I remember at the 2005 election the site being quite balanced with a reasonable abundance of liberals. I think Tim's presence single handedly upped the lefties by about twenty fold.Plato said:@Sean_Fear used to be a lone Tory voice once. It's a reflection of the mood - look how many SNPers and Kippers we have...
tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
And really, read the threads. Labour posters rarely do any ramping.
BTW- I thought Cameron did alright, and so did Ed considering the hostility at the start. And Clegg is really quite good at these things- by far the smoothest.
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Could have easily had Farage on for the next half hour..0
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Now for Nicola on BBC Scotland0
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Clegg reminded me why I used to like him so much. For my money it was a toss up between Clegg and Ed. But I would think that. It's hard to like someone who you think looks insincere0
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test0
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what channel for farage0
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Nightly YouGov poll in 60 minutes. Following the present trend, I'm looking for a Tory 2% lead.0
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The thing is, it's true. We went into the global financial crisis with rather low debt, and spending a lot during it was exactly the right thing to do.Philip_Thompson said:
That and Ed's shocking denial about overspending. Ed seems to be living in denial - he should have acknowledged a mistake, drawn a line and moved on rather than denying anything was wrong in the first place.Monty said:The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.
But fighting the dumbed down morality tale of overspending is probably bad political tactics0 -
He's going to be on later. BBC 1, 10.50pm.Artist said:Could have easily had Farage on for the next half hour..
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b05t1wnj
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Con led by ONE person last night - which rounded to a 1% lead.peter_from_putney said:Nightly YouGov poll in 60 minutes. Following the present trend, I'm looking for a Tory 2% lead.
Any Con lead would be a surprise.
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So that's not him on BBC 4?0
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Cameron was terrible. Ed surprisingly statesmanlike. But Clegg easily the most impressive of the three. Disappointed personally but it looks more likely than ever that Miliband gets to number 10.0
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Because the Tories don't want to have a referendum, and a coalition with the LDs would give them a cover story?JamesM said:Is Clegg saying the Lib Dems won't support a Conservative EU referendum plan? If so how can they go in to coalition together? Will this help them in SW England?
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Watching Clegg is like having last year's losing cup finalists relive their past failure.
Clegg is Hull City.0 -
JackW Scores on The Doors :
Dave 7/10 .. Ed 5/10 .. Nick 7/100 -
Bad news for Cameron.Tykejohnno said:QPR chairman -
Tony Fernandes @tonyfernandes
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David Cameron was excellent in tonight’s #BBCQT - very strong, a great leader”. I was impressed. We need more leaders like this in asean
With endorsements like Tony Fernandes, who needs...0 -
Sorry, but nurse!trublue said:Cameron was terrible. Ed surprisingly statesmanlike. But Clegg easily the most impressive of the three. Disappointed personally but it looks more likely than ever that Miliband gets to number 10.
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Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
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Artist And then Bennett and Sturgeon and Wood etc, they are all going to be on at some point tonight on the BBC (though not Bennett, although she was on ITV at 7.30pm)0
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The weekly phone that Clegg has been doing on LBC for two years has been really great preparation for an event last week. There's nothing that can be flung at him that he hasn't had to deal with before. Whether it makes any difference or not I don't know.trublue said:Cameron was terrible. Ed surprisingly statesmanlike. But Clegg easily the most impressive of the three. Disappointed personally but it looks more likely than ever that Miliband gets to number 10.
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Monty
A claim that this was sheffield 92 was particularly amusing.0 -
Maybe it's just you've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?Monty said:
Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
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The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes.
I don't think this one will either,0 -
If anybody wants to complain about unbalanced audiences it should be the SNP. Only 25% of the audience tonight are nationalist supporters somewhat understating the current position of the polls!0
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Osborne looks very chipper0
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Hull have just pulled off an unlikely late recovery and look set to survive.Mimus said:Watching Clegg is like having last year's losing cup finalists relive their past failure.
Clegg is Hull City.0 -
Didn't like some of the QT audience. You don't have to be aggressive or rude to ask tough questions.
Wish Prescott had been taking the questions.0 -
Re: Panelbase.
Does anyone know why their UKIP share tends to be higher? Is it weighting?0 -
Fancies he's got a shot at LoO.Slackbladder said:Osborne looks very chipper
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Monty and Tyson and any left of centre friends, are you canvassing. Any sense of whether your voters bouyed up for next week?0
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Hopefully someone will shove him in a deep fat frier.Slackbladder said:Osborne looks very chipper
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The usual.Alanbrooke said:
Maybe it's just yoiu've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?Monty said:
Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
Standing up for the less fortunate.
Equality.
Fairness.
Redistribution of wealth.
Holding the rich and powerful to account.
You should try it sometime. It's refreshing.
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When the SNP puts up candidates outside Scotland - you'll have a point.Saltire said:
If anybody wants to complain about unbalanced audiences it should be the SNP. Only 25% of the audience tonight are nationalist supporters somewhat understating the current position of the polls!
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Let me guess that by Tuesday you'll be so disillusioned with Dave that with the most heartfelt sadness that this loyal 'trublue's' vote will be going to Ed.trublue said:Cameron was terrible. Ed surprisingly statesmanlike. But Clegg easily the most impressive of the three. Disappointed personally but it looks more likely than ever that Miliband gets to number 10.
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Don't be silly. If you can be bothered to navigate back to the leaders' debate you will find thattyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
the (accurate) consensus was that both ed and cameron did an adequate but uninspiring job. There was very little ramping other than by a couple of short-lived tory trolls who seem to have vanished again. I was seriously worried that ed would turn in a good performance tonight, and I can promise you that if I thought he had I would have said so. He didn't, not by a long chalk.0 -
Thirteen years in power. You should have tried some of that sometime. It would have been refreshing....Monty said:
The usual.Alanbrooke said:
Maybe it's just yoiu've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?Monty said:
Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
Standing up for the less fortunate.
Equality.
Fairness.
Redistribution of wealth.
Holding the rich and powerful to account.
You should try it sometime. It's refreshing.0 -
The Staggers calls it for Dave...
@georgeeaton: No one dazzled tonight - but Cameron held up best on the torture rack. #bbcqt0 -
@pollycurtis: Guardian/ICM poll: David Cameron on top 44% of viewers that Cameron was “best on the night”, compared to 38% for Miliband and 19% for Clegg0
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That may be so, but this was BBC prime time with 7 days until polling day.TheScreamingEagles said:The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes.
I don't think this one will either,
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I miss Phil Us Blues Roberts.JohnO said:
Let me guess that by Tuesday you'll be so disillusioned with Dave that with the most heartfelt sadness that this loyal 'trublue's' vote will be going to Ed.trublue said:Cameron was terrible. Ed surprisingly statesmanlike. But Clegg easily the most impressive of the three. Disappointed personally but it looks more likely than ever that Miliband gets to number 10.
No one will ever match that0 -
Concanvasser
I am and yes Lab voters are very excited - but to be honest we are looking to go into government so we should be.0 -
Alanbrooke
"Maybe it's just you've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?"
Sex drugs and hard working families0 -
Did Milliband really confirm that he'd rather see Cameron in Downing Street than be in Coalition with Lib Dems?0
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Paxman on the Last Leg at 2200.TheScreamingEagles said:The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes.
I don't think this one will either,0 -
Loving The Sun twitter worm giving it to Miliband.0
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Miliband was asked the wrong question.
Should have been "Will you vote against a Tory Queen's Speech?"0 -
I think that is probably fair, but I would up it to 8,8 and 7 for Ed. Ed loses one point because he kept his hands in his pocket, otherwise I would score drawer it.JackW said:JackW Scores on The Doors :
Dave 7/10 .. Ed 5/10 .. Nick 7/10
I am incredibly impressed by the three of them and their back teams. No game changers I'm afraid.0 -
Yeah those are the words but it's not what you've actually done is it ?Monty said:
The usual.Alanbrooke said:
Maybe it's just yoiu've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?Monty said:
Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
Standing up for the less fortunate.
Equality.
Fairness.
Redistribution of wealth.
Holding the rich and powerful to account.
You should try it sometime. It's refreshing.
Under Labour there was greater wealth inequality, rampant corporatism, workers pensions got screwed and the rich and powerful funded the party.
So aside from empty slogans what does the left stand for ?0 -
Cameron takes a MOE win with ICM though0
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ICM:
Cameron 44
Miliband 380 -
One of the steps. As the Sun said (in the Movie) "There's Gold in them there drills". IIRC he becomes PM, makes everyone give their advice on every topic under the sun so that eventually they vote to let him make all the decisions. Can't remember how it ends exactly - but think an ex colleague (Arthur Lowe?) tries to assassinate him at the same time as another person does - and fails.Toffeenose said:
Great movie. Didn't he get power by pushing PM off oil rig?weejonnie said:If Ed did slip - hope it wasn't as bad as in "The Rise and Rise of Michael Rimmer" - where the PM slips and falls through a backdrop during a live political broadcast.
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IOS No, the Sun worm records twitter reaction and by the end Cameron and Miliband were tied despite the fact twitter leans left
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Nonsense. That just reflects the pre-existing prejudices - the popularity of the leaders/parties. Clegg only half as good as Miliband??Scott_P said:@pollycurtis: Guardian/ICM poll: David Cameron on top 44% of viewers that Cameron was “best on the night”, compared to 38% for Miliband and 19% for Clegg
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No we went in with spending far too high relative to the size of the economy because Gordon Brown foolishly thought he had eliminated boom and bust. When the bust did come it left us with a structural deficit of over 8% of GDP. Labour = economic ruin.William_H said:
The thing is, it's true. We went into the global financial crisis with rather low debt, and spending a lot during it was exactly the right thing to do.Philip_Thompson said:
That and Ed's shocking denial about overspending. Ed seems to be living in denial - he should have acknowledged a mistake, drawn a line and moved on rather than denying anything was wrong in the first place.Monty said:The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.
But fighting the dumbed down morality tale of overspending is probably bad political tactics0 -
Remember the previous debate had more Lab viewers.
So Cameron win may be bigger than headline numbers suggest.0 -
@SunNation: #SUNNATION EXCLUSIVE: We reveal the man responsible for Ed slipping off the stage... http://t.co/WZ7bITsezb http://t.co/gd42tw4Tgc0
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100% agree...KentRising said:
Nonsense. That just reflects the pre-existing prejudices - the popularity of the leaders/parties. Clegg only half as good as Miliband??Scott_P said:@pollycurtis: Guardian/ICM poll: David Cameron on top 44% of viewers that Cameron was “best on the night”, compared to 38% for Miliband and 19% for Clegg
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Off-topic:
An interesting article on Grany Shapps and Wikipedia:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2015/04/30/grant_shapps_may_not_have_been_wiki_fiddling/
The comments are interesting, for mostly sad reasons.0 -
Kent
Scores are so close that it matters little to anything.0 -
Eagle
"The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes."
It probably won't but I'd be surprised if the unaligned don't find Ed a much more attractive personality than they'd thought before. I certainly did0 -
Desperate hatchet job by BBC Scotland on Nicola Sturgeon.0
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0
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test0
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The two big differences are that firstly it is very close to the actual vote, and secondly there are lots of playable soundbites from this - they are mostly bad for EM & good for DC.TheScreamingEagles said:The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes.
I don't think this one will either,0 -
Sorry I was referring to Sturgeon's Q&A on BBC ScotlandPlato said:When the SNP puts up candidates outside Scotland - you'll have a point.
Saltire said:If anybody wants to complain about unbalanced audiences it should be the SNP. Only 25% of the audience tonight are nationalist supporters somewhat understating the current position of the polls!
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Yes, Tony. This month both you and David will be relegated.Tykejohnno said:QPR chairman -
Tony Fernandes @tonyfernandes
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David Cameron was excellent in tonight’s #BBCQT - very strong, a great leader”. I was impressed. We need more leaders like this in asean0 -
Initial thoughts on the ICM poll is that Tories will be disappointed to not have a wider edge over Labour and the LibDems pleased with a score double their poll rating.0
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Is Nicola being shown outside Scotland?Plato said:When the SNP puts up candidates outside Scotland - you'll have a point.
Saltire said:If anybody wants to complain about unbalanced audiences it should be the SNP. Only 25% of the audience tonight are nationalist supporters somewhat understating the current position of the polls!
Edit this is irrelevant already0 -
It'd be nice to see a bit more intervention by our OGH to counter the Tory bias here, but I guess he's liberal and not minded to. He gave Casino a nicely aimed cuff the other night though which was quite pleasing.Monty said:
Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
I just can't be bothered to take them on. It's like fighting mozzies on a balmy Florentine evening. They're just too many of the bugars and once you swat one away there are a zillion others taking their place.
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Here it is again folks:
https://twitter.com/bbcvideo/status/593878630264012800?lang=en-gb0 -
@ToryTreasury: Expectations were so low for Miliband, all he had to do was not trip over himself. Well... #BBCQT
The Quiet Bat People team should have spent more hours practicing walking...0 -
Well that's you out then Roger, you're more a comfy slippers and Countryfile kind of guyRoger said:Alanbrooke
"Maybe it's just you've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?"
Sex drugs and hard working families0 -
IOS its a great time of year to be outside regardless of which colour rossette you fon. The blossom has been incredibly good this year and the country looking particularly beautiful.0
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We went in with low debt due to legacy from before 2002. We did not go into it with a surplus or low deficit, we had a deficit from 2002 onwards. When do you think the crisis started?William_H said:
The thing is, it's true. We went into the global financial crisis with rather low debt, and spending a lot during it was exactly the right thing to do.Philip_Thompson said:
That and Ed's shocking denial about overspending. Ed seems to be living in denial - he should have acknowledged a mistake, drawn a line and moved on rather than denying anything was wrong in the first place.Monty said:The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.
But fighting the dumbed down morality tale of overspending is probably bad political tactics
Why do you think we had a 3% deficit before the crisis? Cyclical (Keynesian) spending is that you save in the good times and spend in the bad, we were maxing out spending in the good times so we had no chance when the bad times inevitably hit.0 -
A six point lead in an event where the prequels had significantly less favourable demographics than the wider electorate is fairly significant.IOS said:Cameron takes a MOE win with ICM though
Besides the important stuff starts now: the news teams start to spin; that's where the votes will shift.0 -
YouGov say it was a score draw - ICM beg to differ.0
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Only infantile idiots pay any attention to the worms. They're a hideous carbuncle on democracy.IOS said:Loving The Sun twitter worm giving it to Miliband.
(and before anyone says, that is a view I've had well before this GE, and is based on SCIENCE !!!!!!)
;-)0 -
Ha, no. Even Tony Blair couldn't persuade me to vote Labour. There's not a chance Ed Miliband would ever get me to vote red. I'll be voting Conservative and praying we can win enough seats to keep Red Ed out. But I'm growing more pessimistic by the day as you can probably tell.JohnO said:
Let me guess that by Tuesday you'll be so disillusioned with Dave that with the most heartfelt sadness that this loyal 'trublue's' vote will be going to Ed.0 -
I honestly think he's a first rate political performer. Strategically a total idiot of course meaning he's got no way back now.MikeSmithson said:
The weekly phone that Clegg has been doing on LBC for two years has been really great preparation for an event last week. There's nothing that can be flung at him that he hasn't had to deal with before. Whether it makes any difference or not I don't know.trublue said:Cameron was terrible. Ed surprisingly statesmanlike. But Clegg easily the most impressive of the three. Disappointed personally but it looks more likely than ever that Miliband gets to number 10.
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Cham
Bit of paranioa there. just as favourable to Dave as Ed before hand.0 -
I think that's pretty much a fair score and one which more than anything reflects the order of appearance rather than anything that came out of their mouths.JackW said:Initial thoughts on the ICM poll is that Tories will be disappointed to not have a wider edge over Labour and the LibDems pleased with a score double their poll rating.
Clegg was the best, he was the best in the debate too. But people have stopped listening to him.
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Well you would say that since your man lost.IOS said:Kent
Scores are so close that it matters little to anything.0 -
Grow some spine, man!trublue said:
Ha, no. Even Tony Blair couldn't persuade me to vote Labour. There's not a chance Ed Miliband would ever get me to vote red. I'll be voting Conservative and praying we can win enough seats to keep Red Ed out. But I'm growing more pessimistic by the day as you can probably tell.JohnO said:
Let me guess that by Tuesday you'll be so disillusioned with Dave that with the most heartfelt sadness that this loyal 'trublue's' vote will be going to Ed.0 -
Sturgeon doing quite well in Pacific Quay.0
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It would be nice if there was a political party that did so.Monty said:
The usual.Alanbrooke said:
Maybe it's just yoiu've nothing much worth saying. What does the left stand for these days ?Monty said:
Particularly bad this evening. Very few of us lefties can be bothered.tyson said:Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
Standing up for the less fortunate.
Equality.
Fairness.
Redistribution of wealth.
Holding the rich and powerful to account.
You should try it sometime. It's refreshing.
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A 6 point win for Cameron in the final debate, though not overwhelming, gives him the momentum going into the last week, with few other events likely to shift the votes now. Clegg also may have saved a little furniture with a 19% rating0
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As you hadn't the courage to say at the time. If the left has nothing to offer but apathetic aftertiming of this kind, is it any wonder that the right dominates? We can't write your posts for you, you know.IOS said:Monty
A claim that this was sheffield 92 was particularly amusing.0 -
@KennyFarq: So she doesn't know if there will be indyref2, and doesn't know what would bring one about, but won't rule one out. Not convincing. #bbcqtJonathan said:Sturgeon doing quite well in Pacific Quay.
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You are just as bad as IOS..Roger said:Eagle
"The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes."
It probably won't but I'd be surprised if the unaligned don't find Ed a much more attractive personality than they'd thought before. I certainly did0 -
The way BBC Scotland have tried to hang her out to dry is risible, that she's standing up to the barrage and such an unrepresentative audience is telling.Jonathan said:Sturgeon doing quite well in Pacific Quay.
The number of interrupts from BBC Scotland's Labourite stooge presenter is utterly disgraceful.0 -
The unaligned didnt watch.Roger said:Eagle
"The Paxo debates, didn't shift any votes, the 7 way didn't shift any votes, the 4 way debate didn't shift any votes."
It probably won't but I'd be surprised if the unaligned don't find Ed a much more attractive personality than they'd thought before. I certainly did0 -
OK, so how was Cameron "terrible"?trublue said:
Ha, no. Even Tony Blair couldn't persuade me to vote Labour. There's not a chance Ed Miliband would ever get me to vote red. I'll be voting Conservative and praying we can win enough seats to keep Red Ed out. But I'm growing more pessimistic by the day as you can probably tell.JohnO said:
Let me guess that by Tuesday you'll be so disillusioned with Dave that with the most heartfelt sadness that this loyal 'trublue's' vote will be going to Ed.0 -
TBH tuned in late and missed that key point, she seemed quite relaxed.Scott_P said:
@KennyFarq: So she doesn't know if there will be indyref2, and doesn't know what would bring one about, but won't rule one out. Not convincing. #bbcqtJonathan said:Sturgeon doing quite well in Pacific Quay.
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