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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And before the big Question Time event here’s Marf

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  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,983
    What has anyone learnt from this thread?

    That nearly everyone on here is a devoted Tory..... and that Jack is the only poster who has made a comment which has been objective and therefore worth reading

  • Millsy said:

    Not watching, but shocked to find that on PB all righties think Ed is doing badly and all lefties think he is doing well. Whoever would have thought it?

    Just wait for the after-show poll... (if there is one)
    There's an ICM.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,774
    Fenster said:

    geoffw said:

    Ed has modelled his q&a style on Blair.

    Blair was the undisputed master at this stuff ...

    Cameron is better as we've just seen.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    IOS said:

    Clegg seems kinda irrelevant

    No boos and very few claps, the audience seem almost disinterested but pissed off with Clegg.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Not watching, but shocked to find that on PB all righties think Ed is doing badly and all lefties think he is doing well. Whoever would have thought it?

    I don't have the down on Ed or a gee up for Cameron, but it seems clear that Cameron won this in all honesty

    Then again, when I was saying the debates were a must, the Tories said they were irrelevant and no one watched, so I guess it doesn't matter anyway!
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    Con Most Seats now 1.27.

    In from 1.30 pre 8pm.
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346

    Not watching, but shocked to find that on PB all righties think Ed is doing badly and all lefties think he is doing well. Whoever would have thought it?

    Check out the worm - no contest Ed was poor
    Pfffft! The worm is voodoo bollocks as any file kno
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Economy section was hard for Ed and he isn't naturally great at this so Cammo did better. But it wasn't a bloodbath
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    that timeplot only seems to go up to 08:34 so miliband
    had hardly started. he'll be trending now tho for being so bad.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Is this live? Sun worm showing Cameron timeline 8 - 8.30 but Milibands timeline is 7.30 - 8pm
  • JackW said:

    So far ....

    Cam 7/10 .. Ed 5/10

    Agree with Ed 5/10 - he got 3 of them in the last 5 minutes which were infinitely better than the preceding 25.

    Gave cam 8/10
  • SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Plato said:

    I'm getting the impression from EdM that he's getting pissed off with this. Not a good look - his voice rises and gets very emphatic. Not reassuring, annoyed.

    His voice it what puts people off and his policies and his manner of eating burgers!
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Very good and tough format this (for everyone). Farage is probably fortunate not to be here after how he reacted to a tough audience last time.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300

    dr_spyn said:

    Ed is unemployable. If this was for a junior office role, you'd be calling for the next interviewee.

    He is that most dangerous person to have in any company - arrogance matched with stupidity.

    I divide my officers into four groups. There are clever, diligent, stupid, and lazy officers. Usually two characteristics are combined. Some are clever and diligent -- their place is the General Staff. The next lot are stupid and lazy -- they make up 90 percent of every army and are suited to routine duties. Anyone who is both clever and lazy is qualified for the highest leadership duties, because he possesses the intellectual clarity and the composure necessary for difficult decisions. One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent -- he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will always cause only mischief.

    Kurt von Hammerstein-Equord
    Nice quote, Sir!
    Your quote made me look for it again.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    Clear win for Cameron. He will have won over some Kippers with his vow on the EU referendum, something Miliband ruled out. Also hit home on welfare and immigration and allayed concerns on the NHS. Many undecided voters will also waver over casting their ballots for Labour after Miliband refused to say Labour spent too much. On Scotland too his refusal to do any deal with the SNP is also the final nail in the coffin for Labour as it has no prospect of a majority without a deal. A few good points for Miliband on zero hours but his slip at the end of his half hour summed up his night
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900

    Millsy said:

    Not watching, but shocked to find that on PB all righties think Ed is doing badly and all lefties think he is doing well. Whoever would have thought it?

    Just wait for the after-show poll... (if there is one)
    There's an ICM.
    (Bearing in mind TV audiences are slightly more likely to be Labour voters)
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Tyke

    I think that is probably a fair summary. Ed did very well considering the outright hostility at times. I think the SNP stuff will help him. H
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    edited April 2015


    tom bradby ✔ @tombradby

    Ed is impressively calm and confident, but I am not sure he has got through this entirely unscathed. Really hard questions

    'We didn't overspend'.

    That will be plastered everywhere for the next seven days - it will seriously harm him & his party. In things like this it's the 7-second soundbites that matter.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Oh dear.... ed did a kinnock nearly falling over... If that goes viral
  • MontyMonty Posts: 346
    The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    Clegg gets chance for free hit on Con re welfare.

    Neither Cameron nor Miliband had much chance for uninterrupted attacking.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Interesting that the twitter worm is giving it to Ed.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    that timeplot only seems to go up to 08:34 so miliband
    had hardly started. he'll be trending now tho for being so bad.
    I did say if it means anything and it seems it doesn't.

  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478

    Toms said:

    "overpromise and under-deliver"---nice riff

    It was a good ending, but he struggled
    We think what we think. I like it because, to my mind, it nails DC.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Slack

    I really don't believe that ANYONE is going to change their vote on that!
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited April 2015

    Oh dear.... ed did a kinnock nearly falling over... If that goes viral

    Just saw that on twitter...

    If he had stacked it that would have been so awful really.. but he didn't so I don't reckon it will matter
  • Clegg seems a bit undercooked to me. He is stuttering a bit.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Clegg will get points for seeming more honest on the coalition-making stuff.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I thought the bearded young blond guy who said "So you'll never be in government then if you won't deal with the SNP" I can see that pinging about a lot.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Plato

    I bloody hope so! That could save us around 30 seats in Scotland!!
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Monty said:

    The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.

    That and Ed's shocking denial about overspending. Ed seems to be living in denial - he should have acknowledged a mistake, drawn a line and moved on rather than denying anything was wrong in the first place.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    In fact Plato if that does happen it will be the best thing that could possibly happen for Labour.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Clegg doing well. The only one being honest. Best PM the country will never have
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Dan Hodges ✔ @DPJHodges

    OK from Ed. But less confident than Cameron

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    @TSE - that stage makes me nervous. A real trip hazard.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,780
    Bored with clegg... Going back to watching Arrow
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,516
    edited April 2015

    Monty said:

    The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.

    That and Ed's shocking denial about overspending. Ed seems to be living in denial - he should have acknowledged a mistake, drawn a line and moved on rather than denying anything was wrong in the first place.
    He was honest about what he believed and stated that the infrastructure built with that money is worth the investment. Like it or not, that does go down well with some people like myself.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    Freggles said:

    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position

    I disagree. He might not have had nearly so much flak, but the Lib Dems would still be much lower in the polls.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Tyke

    Ok is good enough for now. Millions have voted and we are heading into power if the polls don't shift.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Plato said:

    I thought the bearded young blond guy who said "So you'll never be in government then if you won't deal with the SNP" I can see that pinging about a lot.

    That could be worth a try for Labour.. "If you vote SNP you will get a Tory govt"
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826


    Dan Hodges ✔ @DPJHodges

    OK from Ed. But less confident than Cameron

    "OK from Ed" from Hodges? Has something come over him, that's uncharacteristically generous to Ed.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    Clegg doing well. The only one being honest. Best PM the country will never have

    Clegg will do well in these things because love him or hate him he does come across as a normal person.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Have you tried DareDevil on Netflix? I loved it -
    Arrow bores me nowadays and only watch as a filler.

    Bored with clegg... Going back to watching Arrow

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,516
    BOLLOCKS

    just finished season 4 Game of Thrones box set this evening so sod all to watch now.

    Has this crappy election improved in the last 2 weeks ?:
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Monty said:

    The most important item from this evening is Miliband's statement about cooperation with the SNP.

    That and Ed's shocking denial about overspending. Ed seems to be living in denial - he should have acknowledged a mistake, drawn a line and moved on rather than denying anything was wrong in the first place.
    He was honest about what he believed and stated that the infrastructure built with that money is worth the investment. Like it or not, that does go down well with some people like myself.

    What infrastructure?

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,706
    SeanT said:

    Not watching, but shocked to find that on PB all righties think Ed is doing badly and all lefties think he is doing well. Whoever would have thought it?

    I'm no Cameron fan, but he really did put on his best performance. Miliband started badly (verging on awful) improved at the end, but he was mediocre.

    I'll wager that most pundits, left and right, agree.
    Ed's questioners by far the most aggressive. Thought Ed did well to take them on calmly. Most people would have got angry.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    SeanT said:

    Clegg shouldn't be here, his party is going to come fourth in seats, and fourth or even fifth in votes.

    Where's Mebyon Kernow???

    OTOH this gives me time to get takeaway sashimi

    So far

    Cameron 8/10
    Miliband 6/10

    and...

    BBC 10/10 for a good format and a fair (!!) audience

    Perhaps the Farage rant last time regarding a biased audience has hit home.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    IOS said:

    Tyke

    Ok is good enough for now. Millions have voted and we are heading into power if the polls don't shift.

    Not if you won't do a deal with the SNP you aren't...
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    And the bloke in the audience proves my point. The Lib Dems were dead in the water the moment they went in with the Tories.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Yup

    Absolutely. No ifs, no buts. Vote SNP - get Tory!
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Clegg still really good at this, but a bit pointless
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,706
    Clegg just compared the UK economy to Greece. What an arse.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800
    edited April 2015
    Plato said:

    Have you tried DareDevil on Netflix? I loved it -
    Arrow bores me nowadays and only watch as a filler.

    Bored with clegg... Going back to watching Arrow

    Check out The Tunnel.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Clegg playing a bad hand of cards very well.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,672
    SeanT said:

    Not watching, but shocked to find that on PB all righties think Ed is doing badly and all lefties think he is doing well. Whoever would have thought it?

    I'm no Cameron fan, but he really did put on his best performance. Miliband started badly (verging on awful) improved at the end, but he was mediocre.

    I'll wager that most pundits, left and right, agree.

    Fair enough. Dave is certainly a far better performer than Ed.

  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    IOS said:

    Yup

    Absolutely. No ifs, no buts. Vote SNP - get Tory!


    In Scotland; vote SNP, get SNP.

  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    What I have to say - and I don't like it - is that the British Governments love - or even like - of majority governments is over.

    Coalitions all the way from now on.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    tlg86 said:

    Freggles said:

    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position

    I disagree. He might not have had nearly so much flak, but the Lib Dems would still be much lower in the polls.
    Why so?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Very strong of Clegg then in his "never apologise" passion.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Clegg playing a bad hand of cards very well.

    Agreed, he is good at this stuff.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Mark

    Yeah - but we have got to try something.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    QPR chairman -

    Tony Fernandes @tonyfernandes
    ·
    David Cameron was excellent in tonight’s #BBCQT - very strong, a great leader”. I was impressed. We need more leaders like this in asean

  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Will do - I loved Mr Selfridge.

    Plato said:

    Have you tried DareDevil on Netflix? I loved it -
    Arrow bores me nowadays and only watch as a filler.

    Bored with clegg... Going back to watching Arrow

    Check out The Tunnel.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    Freggles said:

    tlg86 said:

    Freggles said:

    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position

    I disagree. He might not have had nearly so much flak, but the Lib Dems would still be much lower in the polls.
    Why so?
    Because your average lefty voter is unreasonable. Clegg, quite rightly, tried to reason with the bloke in the audience that the result of the election meant a deal with Labour would have been very difficult. But most of the people who voted Lib Dem did so because they don't like the Tories. So they were never going to give the Lib Dems credit for anything they did in power.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,712
    Clegg is polished. But you can tell no matter how well he does, it won't make any difference.
  • Clegg - great answer to the bloke who whinged about voting Lib Dem and getting a Tory / Lib Dem coalition.

    Typical thicko Red Lib
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    The elephant in the room: people who don't like the current level of immigration don't care if the migrants are claiming benefits or not - they just don't want them here.
  • JamesMJamesM Posts: 221
    Clegg is doing alright but the event has lost its energy; so too have the audience; they don't seem too fussed about Clegg.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Freggles said:

    tlg86 said:

    Freggles said:

    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position

    I disagree. He might not have had nearly so much flak, but the Lib Dems would still be much lower in the polls.
    Why so?
    Because "tuition fees" is just a hook for people to vent their real anger which is the LD getting off the fence. LDs got both left and right wing protest voters disillusioned in the main left and right wing parties.

    By getting off the fence and choosing a side, the Lib Dems abandoned people on the other side of the fence. Tuition fees are an example but not the real problem.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited April 2015

    Clegg playing a bad hand of cards very well.

    Agreed, he is good at this stuff.
    I suppose that is why there has not been a serious challenger.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,117
    Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    JamesM said:

    Clegg is doing alright but the event has lost its energy; so too have the audience; they don't seem too fussed about Clegg.

    Bet the viewership slumped at 9pm. Other programmes on.
  • MimusMimus Posts: 56
    Mili did OK, but waffly. Surely the line about Labour not overspending in the past is going to come back to bite him. Seemed very off message.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    IOS said:

    Yup

    Absolutely. No ifs, no buts. Vote SNP - get Tory!

    Lol, only if Ed Miliband decides to let the Tories govern.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Jonathan said:

    Clegg just compared the UK economy to Greece. What an arse.

    He compared the economy Brown left to Greece. Quite rightly too, Labour left an economy with Greece-style problems that Clegg has had to deal with. Why shouldn't he mention it?
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    @Sean_Fear used to be a lone Tory voice once. It's a reflection of the mood - look how many SNPers and Kippers we have...
    tyson said:

    Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.

  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Plato

    Are you kidding me! What year what that?
  • JamesMJamesM Posts: 221
    edited April 2015
    Is Clegg saying the Lib Dems won't support a Conservative EU referendum plan? If so how can they go in to coalition together? Will this help them in SW England?
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Freggles said:

    tlg86 said:

    Freggles said:

    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position

    I disagree. He might not have had nearly so much flak, but the Lib Dems would still be much lower in the polls.
    Why so?
    Because "tuition fees" is just a hook for people to vent their real anger which is the LD getting off the fence. LDs got both left and right wing protest voters disillusioned in the main left and right wing parties.

    By getting off the fence and choosing a side, the Lib Dems abandoned people on the other side of the fence. Tuition fees are an example but not the real problem.
    I disagree. People understand you dropping the small print, but tuition fees was beyond totemic, it was practically synonymous with Lib Dems in the public mind. It was personal not just political.
    Of course you'd get many people annoyed that they shacked up with the Tories but not beyond the normal lefty political clique
  • MillsyMillsy Posts: 900
    I think Cameron got lucky going first and Clegg drew the short straw going last, I imagine most people are bored now
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Clegg is polished. But you can tell no matter how well he does, it won't make any difference.

    Think he should have swerved it to be honest.. this will just remind people of the lies he told last time, not to mention the fact it is ludicrous that he is on the same bill as Dave & Ed
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,706

    Jonathan said:

    Clegg just compared the UK economy to Greece. What an arse.

    He compared the economy Brown left to Greece. Quite rightly too, Labour left an economy with Greece-style problems that Clegg has had to deal with. Why shouldn't he mention it?
    Because it's complete and utter bollocks.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Mimus said:

    Mili did OK, but waffly. Surely the line about Labour not overspending in the past is going to come back to bite him. Seemed very off message.

    As it should do: this is the potential next PM saying the government of 1997-2010 didn't spend too much. Shocking.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,223
    If that is the main focus after tonight Ed's done very well!
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    edited April 2015

    Is there a YouTube clip of that? I cannot view Twitter one.

  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    tyson said:

    Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.

    I'm a fan of Cameron. Many right-wingers here can't stand him normally. This site often has as much Kipper as Tory voices on the right who are hostile to Cam.
  • Greenwich_FloaterGreenwich_Floater Posts: 389
    edited April 2015
    tyson said:

    Blinking heckers- just reading the thread- I know this site is mostly populated by Tory cheerleaders, but reading this thread, I didn't realise just how much. I've been posting here for 10 years, but it really is essentially a Tory site, apart from a couple of stubborn lefty dieharders.

    Can't really agree. probably a small majority of tories, granted. Don't mistake people who think the current Labour franchise as being absolutely shocking as automatically Tory.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,987
    tyson Even twitter says Cameron won tonight, and twitter leans left, many if not most of the Tories and kippers on here are not great Cameron fans either
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Cleggers went around being photographed for publicity shots with a pledge not to raise tuition fees. He did it many times in many seats.

    No wonder it exploded all over him.
    Freggles said:

    Freggles said:

    tlg86 said:

    Freggles said:

    Imagine if Clegg hadnt reneged on tuition fees. He would be in such a stronger position

    I disagree. He might not have had nearly so much flak, but the Lib Dems would still be much lower in the polls.
    Why so?
    Because "tuition fees" is just a hook for people to vent their real anger which is the LD getting off the fence. LDs got both left and right wing protest voters disillusioned in the main left and right wing parties.

    By getting off the fence and choosing a side, the Lib Dems abandoned people on the other side of the fence. Tuition fees are an example but not the real problem.
    I disagree. People understand you dropping the small print, but tuition fees was beyond totemic, it was practically synonymous with Lib Dems in the public mind. It was personal not just political.
    Of course you'd get many people annoyed that they shacked up with the Tories but not beyond the normal lefty political clique
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    If Ed did slip - hope it wasn't as bad as in "The Rise and Rise of Michael Rimmer" - where the PM slips and falls through a backdrop during a live political broadcast.

  • Is there a YouTube clip of that? I cannot view Twitter one.

    Not yet
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,774
    Clegg replies with a "so ..." Ugh
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507

    The elephant in the room: people who don't like the current level of immigration don't care if the migrants are claiming benefits or not - they just don't want them here.

    i think there's a lot of truth in that. they might not want benefits but they'll want housing that almost everyone agrees there isnt enough of.
  • SmarmeronSmarmeron Posts: 5,099
    It's on the beeb live page.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    HYUFD

    The Sun worm says Miliband won it!!
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    Clegg good on terrorism.
This discussion has been closed.