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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Scottish debate was superb – the question now is
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Scottish debate was superb – the question now is whether it will change votes
With what happens in Scotland likely to play a big part in the May 7th outcome the big event tonight was the STV Scottish leaders’ debate. It was powerful and passionate and on a totally different level from the sterile event last Thursday.
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Wednesday's Guardian front page:
‘We’ll end non-dom tax status’ - Miliband
#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/oV5xi1nrqk
This is going to be interesting how he makes that legal and water tight.
The feasibility is irrelevant.
You are dreaming. Murphy was by far the worst of the performers - totally disliked by the audience, uselessly agressive and looks well just weird.
I hope there is an assessment poll on the night so that our completely diverse opinions can be tested. However I would place a lot of money if a book was available on Murphy being judged fourth. I thought his performance near disastrous.
@suttonnick: Wednesday's Daily Mail front page:
Blair's toxic embrace
#tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers
#GE2015 http://t.co/9N7wNWwzjA
BBC: SNP will make Miliband PM.
Tory bias, obviously.
There were only three panelists right?
https://twitter.com/EN_Somat/status/585550665130323969?lang=en-gb
Seems odd when 4 weeks still to go to the GE.
Scotslass is wrong though, he was not disliked by the audience.
More seriously, I am waiting for post Easter.
Are we allowed to mention that or will it be weaponising the NHS
NHS temporary staff costs up 27% in a year.
Are we allowed to mention that or will it be weaponising the NHS
50% more people waiting over 18 weeks than in 2010
Are we allowed to mention that or will it be weaponising the NHS
Cancer targets missed for 5th successive quarter
Are we allowed to mention that or will it be weaponising the NHS
80% of Acute Hospitals in deficit compared to 1% in 2010
Are we allowed to mention that or will it be weaponising the NHS
That's worth about £30 right now
By the way that 35-33 is the same result as 2005.
EICIPM
Britain Elects @britainelects 2m2 minutes ago
Latest YouGov poll (06 - 07 Apr):
LAB - 35% (+2)
CON - 33% (-1)
UKIP - 14% (+1)
LDEM - 8% (-2)
GRN - 5% (+1)
What about the Outcomes?
The Tories policies so far so minor like porn age verification I think most people had forgotten an hour after it was announced.
And the Lib Dems, tumbleweed....
Will be int to see if Bliar's intervention backfires as much as the Red Tops suggest it will. If so, has Blair deliberately shafted Miliband? Sadly he's not that humble. He genuinely believes the guff he spouts.
There is less than THIRTY days to go. Labour leads shouldn't even be featuring.
Ex-Pat is the tax hit needed.
Any UK citizen should be required to declare tax in the UK (net of any tax paid in their residency). Just like the US does.
Have fun living in Monaco or working in Dubai. But while you're a British Citizen and your family get UK Health and Education and other services, you pay full UK tax.
£20bn a year easy.
In 2010 she almost lost her deposit.
Wait until post easter bank holiday. Polls from next Monday.
Having said that, there have been big outlier polls over Easter / Bank holidays in the past - and neither Populus or YouGov show anything dramatic. Just one more Con voter and Populus would have only been a 1% Lab lead.
But even so, Con really need better polls over the next 7 days.
An empty vessel makes the most noise.
Over here we had to wait half an hour tops to get 3 post debate polls.
It wont make any difference to voting intentions.
Davidson was the best on the night. Murphy needed to do more but then the BBCs anointed one was never going to cut it. SLAB just doesn't have the talent to put up in a debate in Scotland.
Anyone who has to cite the KennyFarq is getting almost as desperate as Jim Murphy.
The only person booed was Murphy when he refused to answer the question on voting against the Tories - an exchange worth watching by the way.
But the way to judge a debate in the absence of polls - which unfortunately don't seem to be available - is by audience applause at the end.
On that basis there was only one winner tonight and it was not Mr Murphy who was a clear fourth.
Good luck with that arguement.
Give it up the Tories have lost the NHS argument from the day Lansley reforms were implemented
But I also think we will go backwards under a labour Government.
The online polls are generally favourable to LAB.
I was on the knock yesterday in North London - a through and through Labour area - a quarter of respondents had people in the house on holiday. It's Easter, It's half term.
Normality starts next week.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3029468/Father-six-imam-assassinated-London-street-Syrian-hit-squad-Fierce-critic-Assad-regime-slumped-car-chest-wounds-daylight-attack.html
Yougov has a 2% LAB lead, Populus has a 2% LAB lead, Survation has a 2% LAB lead.
You think the 27% rise in Agency is down to lifestyle choice not money though don;t you?
Why do you think your Trust and 80% of Acutes are in deficit compared to 1% in 2010?
Or are you an empty vessel in respect of explaining this.
Yes of course the Daily Telegraph - that bastion of journalism. Get a grip. The audience were on Murphy's back on the one debate that matters. Will Labour work with the SNP. Murphy prevaricated and the audience forced him to answer.
Now, it's due *from* Monday 13th April. Less than 4 weeks before polling day, and when some people will already have started receiving their ballot papers.
I don't doubt the Tories will pull ahead on votes on the day, but they've totally failed to win the values and brand argument with Labour. That will cost us all very, very heavily.
20 years ago,tories might have had a chance for this seat.
1)Do you have a massive war chest as claimed.
2)Are you struggling with the number of volunteers as compared to previous elections?
What's half a voodoo?
"I'll wait until after the Blair Witch Project goes away."
There's no downside for Labour with Blair's intervention (unless of course the Hague police turn up). He was very good and reminded me quite how mediocre and feeble Cameron is next to someone impressive
I will not mind looking a fool for saying the Tories have almost no chance if I am proven wrong, as of the options I would prefer a Cameron premiership, but the 'just you wait' argument is starting to run out of steam I think.
How is Labour going to meet the 4 hr target with attendences going up each year?
How is Labour going to spend the BCT fund?
How is Labour going to meet the cancer target?
How is Labour going to reduce the number of agency staff?
No answers... just a running down of hard working NHS staff by BJO.
I think that Sturgeon will be glad that she will have support of the Greens and the comedy act of Colburn to take away some of the focus of the attacks from the other 3 parties.
Still think Lab most seats at greater than 3.0 in a coin toss is good though
A "sod the lot" of you result, with the Tories and Labour very close in seats, but neither able to form a stable government or do very much with it even if they do.
The sunlit uplands of a blue dawn are looking more and more distant