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SNP just slowly sinking into meltdown.
Do they REALLY think they will get any Glasgow seats when it comes down to it??0 -
I wonder If Jim Murphy will challenge Sturgeon to rule out another referendum in the next few years when we get to the challenge bit of the show.0
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Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).0
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@EdwardDebi: Better Together folks seem to have had at hand a "once in a lifetime" video of Nicola Sturgeon from during #indyref #ScotDebates
@blairmcdougall: Nicola Sturgeon said #indyref was "once in a lifetime". What changed?
vine.co/v/Oq6KMgdnFaD0 -
She's ruling it in.Artist said:I wonder If Jim Murphy will challenge Sturgeon to rule out another referendum in the next few years when we get to the challenge bit of the show.
And why not. 60% of Scotland wants another within 10 years.
Remember the audience is selected on a basis of "current polls and last election results", it's not reflective of Scotland by design.0 -
@HTScotPol: No suprise Sturgeon leaving indyref2 option open for 2016 manifesto - SNP would implode ottherwise. But #scotdebates audience v unhappy0
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Not offensive at all since they didn't, it is quite an accurate argument. They didn't even represent UK very well either if at all.Scott_P said:@Markfergusonuk: SNP argument is offensive to all who have ever been elected Scottish MPs in the past. Implies Cook, Brown or Dewar didn’t represent Scotland
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@johnmcternan: When was last time @NicolaSturgeon was laughed at by an audience? Lost a lot of ground by not coming clean on 2nd referendum #Scotdebates0
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Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
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Well I fear a Lab revival in Scotland after this.0
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The people that Labour need to win back are people who they angered in the referendum. That won't happen if they, you know, keep asking if there will be another referendum.0
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It seems the only thing people will remember out of this debate will be the fake mustache.0
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Saltire No, Sturgeon will just leave the option open, no way she will hold another referendum unless certain of victory in the next few years, a second No win would kill off independence for good0
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She was talking about for the people the will die between 2014-16.Scott_P said:@EdwardDebi: Better Together folks seem to have had at hand a "once in a lifetime" video of Nicola Sturgeon from during #indyref #ScotDebates
@blairmcdougall: Nicola Sturgeon said #indyref was "once in a lifetime". What changed?
vine.co/v/Oq6KMgdnFaD0 -
Are they confusing the deficit and the debt?geoffw said:Sturgeon sounds like Balls: yes, reduce the deficit, but not so fast as the wicked Tories.
Audience in Edinburgh not with her.0 -
Davidson's throwing her good work away by getting het up.0
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Ruth to Rennie
"You voted for the same amount of cuts".0 -
Monkeys Nope they are in the SNP camp, they need to win over any No voters voting SNP and also some Tory and LD voters0
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Good question, will the SNP retain their majority in Holyrood after 2016?Saltire said:
Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
If UKIP or the Greens get more that 5-6% in 2016 then the SNP would lose it.0 -
Paul Ryan @pjryan51
Jim Murphy " I'm going to stand back let these two(Ruth and Nicola) fight it out". Thats the problem Jim. Sitting on fence. #ScotDebates
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I don't think there is a stomach for a second referendum. Lets not forget the promise of the Tories to have one on the EU. Murphy would be a nutter to challenge Sturgeon on that.0
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Greens pro-independence, and yes, there will be several new Greens in 2016.Speedy said:
Good question, will the SNP retain their majority in Holyrood after 2016?Saltire said:
Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
If UKIP or the Greens get more that 5-6% in 2016 then the SNP would lose it.0 -
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
Jim Murphy says that Ruth Davidson is saying there’s no difference between Tories/Labour, she responds yes there is you crashed the economy
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@JGForsyth: Jim Murphy says that Ruth Davidson is saying there’s no difference between Tories/Labour, she responds yes there is you crashed the economy0
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Dean Wood @DeanW1
Ruth Davidson just destroyed Rennie there "We voted for the same cuts" #ScotDebates
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@KayBurley: You crashed the economy I'm trying to rebuild it says Ruth Davidson to Jim Murphy #ScotDebates0
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I found that a very interesting and balanced post, thanks.foxinsoxuk said:
I have always been a dissenter! I do know a few on the list. Some are the usual suspects (Allyson Pollack wrote NHS Plc about the privatisation of the NHS under the last Labour Government) others I have great respect for including Clare Gerada and Raymond Tallis (probably the most intelligent doctor on the planet).Smarmeron said:@foxinsoxuk
Not in the upper leagues, or just a dissenter?
"NHS
More than 100 top doctors attack government record on NHS "
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2015/apr/07/more-than-100-top-doctors-attack-government-record-on-nhs
But Doctors are a very diverse bunch. I thought the Lansley reforms could have been done better, and the BCT fund sorted a few years back, but on the other hand putting Doctors rather than pen pushers on the Commissioning boards is a definite improvement. To be honest, I do not think there is much difference between the parties on the NHS. Both Labour and Tories use it as a political football.
The only two posters I can recall posting in much detail about the Lansley plans from a position of understanding at the time they were being put together were tim and Seth O'Logue/Avery Lympe-Pole (and I suspect only the latter had actually read the plans through in full). Needless to say their opinions were polar opposites! And neither being health professionals.0 -
Very argumentative by Ruth Davidson but she is effective.0
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I think Murphy just did in Sturgeon a fair bit then.0
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If they want another one before 2021 they will have to put it their manifesto otherwise I doubt a British government would agree to one.HYUFD said:Saltire No, Sturgeon will just leave the option open, no way she will hold another referendum unless certain of victory in the next few years, a second No win would kill off independence for good
I think that it will be there but I do agree with you that they will decline to hold one if they think they would lose it0 -
None of you seem to be posting @AngrySalmond tweets. I do not think you are taking the debate seriously.0
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@OliverCooper: "Conservatives don't believe in raising taxes on one single person." Willie Rennie does a good job of selling Conservatives. #ScotDebates0
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She says in the video that it's "probably a once in a lifetime opportunity". That seems a fair assessment, as another one would require indy-supporting parties to have another majority at Holyrood.Scott_P said:@EdwardDebi: Better Together folks seem to have had at hand a "once in a lifetime" video of Nicola Sturgeon from during #indyref #ScotDebates
@blairmcdougall: Nicola Sturgeon said #indyref was "once in a lifetime". What changed?
vine.co/v/Oq6KMgdnFaD0 -
Currently the Holyrood polls suggest that the SNP will get around 55 seats, 10 short of a majority, while the Greens and UKIP at around 7-8 seats each, still not enough for an SNP-GRN coalition.Monkeys said:
Greens pro-independence, and yes, there will be several new Greens in 2016.Speedy said:
Good question, will the SNP retain their majority in Holyrood after 2016?Saltire said:
Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
If UKIP or the Greens get more that 5-6% in 2016 then the SNP would lose it.
So the SNP is facing in 2016 what Labour and the Tories are facing this year (poetic justice?), whatever happens not even a coalition will have enough seats for a majority.0 -
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?
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Marcus Buist @marcus_buist
Ruth Davidson nails Murphy for saying Tories are like Labour. The @ScotTories are the only alternative to extreme socialism #ScotDebates
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@JGForsyth: Will be fascinating to see what Miliband and Balls say about Jim Murphy’s line that Labour might not have to cut more in 20160
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That old stereotypical Ukip supporter again
“He’s our hero, he’s the best person we’ve ever met,” a group of giddy teenagers exclaimed after getting a selfie with their idol this afternoon.
You would have thought these 14-year-old teenage girls had met a member of One Direction, but the hero they were referring to was Nigel Farage.'
He’s just the best person I’ve ever met in my life,” said Sophie, one of the 14-year-old girls. “It’s made our Easter holidays and when I go back to school I’m going to tell all my friends that I met Nigel Farage.”
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/general-election-2015-dreams-come-true-for-these-teenage-girls-as-they-meet-their-hero--nigel-farage-10160619.html?cmpid=facebook-post0 -
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And the polls for 2016 currently show the SNP/Greens will have a decent size majority...rullko said:
She says in the video that it's "probably a once in a lifetime opportunity". That seems a fair assessment, as another one would require indy-supporting parties to have another majority at Holyrood.Scott_P said:@EdwardDebi: Better Together folks seem to have had at hand a "once in a lifetime" video of Nicola Sturgeon from during #indyref #ScotDebates
@blairmcdougall: Nicola Sturgeon said #indyref was "once in a lifetime". What changed?
vine.co/v/Oq6KMgdnFaD0 -
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?0 -
James Dubhthaigh @JamesDubhthaigh
Wow, Ruth Davidson just absolutely destroyed Jim Murphy. #ScotDebates
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Edward Mayes @eljmayes
Ruth Davidson is doing very, very well in this debate. Passion and substance, Cameron take note! #ScotDebates
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Indeed austerity ends in 2016 if EICIPM on 8th May 2015Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?0 -
Mr speedy ,you watching it ?Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?
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Saltire Indeed, they will just leave themselves the option for 10
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They say one thing to a Scottish audience and another to the southern audiences and probably something else in Wales.Tykejohnno said:
Dan Hodges ✔ @DPJHodges
Is Jim Murphy now saying Labour will not cut anything at all?
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@JournoStephen: Scottish voters just applauded @RuthDavidsonMSP's call for the middle class to pay for prescriptions. Have they been reading @chrisdeerin?0
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Monkeys In straight SNP-Labour seats many Tories may well vote tactically Labour on the constituency vote, Tory on regional list0
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Did Murphy just try and claim Labour abolished university tuition fees?0
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That is when the miracle of magic money trees flourish using the French socialist model?bigjohnowls said:
Indeed austerity ends in 2016 if EICIPM on 8th May 2015Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?
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They have been claiming that for some time Alistair.Alistair said:Did Murphy just try and claim Labour abolished university tuition fees?
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TitterTCPoliticalBetting said:
That is when the miracle of magic money trees flourish using the French socialist model?bigjohnowls said:
Indeed austerity ends in 2016 if EICIPM on 8th May 2015Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?0 -
Ruth Davidson has understood the huge advantage that outsiders have in debates and it sounds as if she has used it well. I doubt the Conservatives will see any benefit in the polls.
It may, however, subdue any tactical Tory voting in Labour's favour.0 -
Impressionable 16- and 17-year-olds bad, impressionable 14-year-olds, fine.isam said:That old stereotypical Ukip supporter again
“He’s our hero, he’s the best person we’ve ever met,” a group of giddy teenagers exclaimed after getting a selfie with their idol this afternoon.
You would have thought these 14-year-old teenage girls had met a member of One Direction, but the hero they were referring to was Nigel Farage.'
He’s just the best person I’ve ever met in my life,” said Sophie, one of the 14-year-old girls. “It’s made our Easter holidays and when I go back to school I’m going to tell all my friends that I met Nigel Farage.”
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/general-election-2015-dreams-come-true-for-these-teenage-girls-as-they-meet-their-hero--nigel-farage-10160619.html?cmpid=facebook-post0 -
No IFS say Tories more in need of MMT to pay for tax cutsTCPoliticalBetting said:
That is when the miracle of magic money trees flourish using the French socialist model?bigjohnowls said:
Indeed austerity ends in 2016 if EICIPM on 8th May 2015Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?
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SNP got 53 FPTP seats with 45% of the vote. They are now on 51% of the vote and will get almost all the 73 FPTP seats. They could get a majority just on FPTP seats. With the "SNP Seat, Green List" message, the Greens will get 12+ seats. Pro-Indy will have 80+ seats.Speedy said:
Currently the Holyrood polls suggest that the SNP will get around 55 seats, 10 short of a majority, while the Greens and UKIP at around 7-8 seats each, still not enough for an SNP-GRN coalition.Monkeys said:
Greens pro-independence, and yes, there will be several new Greens in 2016.Speedy said:
Good question, will the SNP retain their majority in Holyrood after 2016?Saltire said:
Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
If UKIP or the Greens get more that 5-6% in 2016 then the SNP would lose it.
So the SNP is facing in 2016 what Labour and the Tories are facing this year (poetic justice?), whatever happens not even a coalition will have enough seats for a majority.0 -
SCOTTISH TORY SURGETykejohnno said:
Edward Mayes @eljmayes
Ruth Davidson is doing very, very well in this debate. Passion and substance, Cameron take note! #ScotDebates
#calledit0 -
Where can you follow the scottish debate if you are in England. We do have a vested interest as we seem to be paying for most of the Scottish government's expenditure0
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I know a lot of Tories who voted SNP in 2011 because the SNP promised to freeze the Council Tax. Tories aren't daft enough to vote Labour when they know that Labour will kill them on the Council Taxes. Behave.HYUFD said:Monkeys In straight SNP-Labour seats many Tories may well vote tactically Labour on the constituency vote, Tory on regional list
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http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/auo5bkkble/SunResults_150331_WelshVI_website_V1.pdf
Tories move 9 points clear with Welsh pensioners and now lead in West, Mid and North Wales.0 -
Well, in the unlikely event that the result reflects polls a year before the election, and the SNP and Greens both advocate a second referendum in their Holyrood campaigns, then the answer to Blair McDougall's question, "what's changed?", would be "people voted for it".Saltire said:
And the polls for 2016 currently show the SNP/Greens will have a decent size majority...0 -
http://player.stv.tv/live/franklyn said:Where can you follow the scottish debate if you are in England. We do have a vested interest as we seem to be paying for most of the Scottish government's expenditure
Looks like you can just register, but I haven't myself.0 -
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Yep ,two seats ;-)Grandiose said:
SCOTTISH TORY SURGETykejohnno said:
Edward Mayes @eljmayes
Ruth Davidson is doing very, very well in this debate. Passion and substance, Cameron take note! #ScotDebates
#calledit
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the more you follow this debate the more you realise that Labour are going to spend the next 2 days explaining and costing Murphy's promises.Alistair said:Did Murphy just try and claim Labour abolished university tuition fees?
The debates really are NOT the opportunity some thought it would be.
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Oh did someone say they should be able to vote then? Missed thatGrandiose said:
Impressionable 16- and 17-year-olds bad, impressionable 14-year-olds, fine.isam said:That old stereotypical Ukip supporter again
“He’s our hero, he’s the best person we’ve ever met,” a group of giddy teenagers exclaimed after getting a selfie with their idol this afternoon.
You would have thought these 14-year-old teenage girls had met a member of One Direction, but the hero they were referring to was Nigel Farage.'
He’s just the best person I’ve ever met in my life,” said Sophie, one of the 14-year-old girls. “It’s made our Easter holidays and when I go back to school I’m going to tell all my friends that I met Nigel Farage.”
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/general-election-2015-dreams-come-true-for-these-teenage-girls-as-they-meet-their-hero--nigel-farage-10160619.html?cmpid=facebook-post0 -
Monkeys Same applies for SNP-Labour seats at election 20150
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None yo biz. just keep sending the readies and keep yer nose out.franklyn said:Where can you follow the scottish debate if you are in England. We do have a vested interest as we seem to be paying for most of the Scottish government's expenditure
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So the SNP are right and Labour are too scared to say it.Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?0 -
http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/p30qrdyv00/Sun_Results_Scotland_150331_Website_V1.pdf
SNP third among UK born Scottish residents born outside Scotland.
Clearly, the mass movement of the English would kill independence forever.0 -
Keep forgetting Willie Rennie is there. Nice guy but in with 3 sharks here.0
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David Greig @DavieGreig
Got to hand it to Ruth Davidson. She's the leader of the opposition in Scotland now
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Itwasrigged Well the SNP have promised to back all other Labour tax increases, and SNP plans for a local income tax could well lead to cost increases0
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blockquote class="Quote" rel="bigjohnowls">
Why do you think 80% of Acute Trusts are in deficit compared to 1% in 2010?Nemtynakht said:Oxfordsimon - Yet another do as I say not as I do from Labour
Then 2010 - Labour "Current levels of spending are sufficient, and spending not protected"
Now 2015 - "spending has been insufficient even though it has increased"
In government - mid staffs crisis
Out of government - record satisfaction with NHS
Labour's weaponisation of the NHS would be sad if it were not so blantantly dishonest.
Clue Lansley reforms are a conflict of interest.
Providers who commission do not belong to the Acute Sector
Unsure what your point is - if there isn't enough money now then Labour planned to spend less.
Having used the NHS extensively over the last few years. I cannot see a problem with Acute not being in charge. For a complicated condition one family member saw various specialists across the region in various specialist units who all diagnosed their own specialism incorrectly. It was only the persistance of our GP that finally allowed a correct diagnosis0 -
Not shouting it from the rooftops yet are they.Dair said:
So the SNP are right and Labour are too scared to say it.Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?0 -
@SamCoatesTimes: I'm feeling like Ruth Davidson is the winner of tonight's debate and Bernard Ponsonbury is the loser. As for Sturgeon v Murphy? Who knows...0
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You are forgetting the electoral system in scotland is not FPTP.Dair said:
SNP got 53 FPTP seats with 45% of the vote. They are now on 51% of the vote and will get almost all the 73 FPTP seats. They could get a majority just on FPTP seats. With the "SNP Seat, Green List" message, the Greens will get 12+ seats. Pro-Indy will have 80+ seats.Speedy said:
Currently the Holyrood polls suggest that the SNP will get around 55 seats, 10 short of a majority, while the Greens and UKIP at around 7-8 seats each, still not enough for an SNP-GRN coalition.Monkeys said:
Greens pro-independence, and yes, there will be several new Greens in 2016.Speedy said:
Good question, will the SNP retain their majority in Holyrood after 2016?Saltire said:
Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
If UKIP or the Greens get more that 5-6% in 2016 then the SNP would lose it.
So the SNP is facing in 2016 what Labour and the Tories are facing this year (poetic justice?), whatever happens not even a coalition will have enough seats for a majority.
They use an Additional Members System which is approximately proportional.
Also the SNP is not on 51% but 39-42% in the latest polls for the list and 44-46% for the constituencies.0 -
The questions on a hung parliament could all be quite meaningless in 4 weeks time if something happens to move opinion polls by a couple percentage points...0
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I'd put them both in the "bad" category myself. It shouldn't be difficult to impress a load of 14-year-olds, whatever your political persuation. Indeed the world's youth have always been the early adopters of most demagogues.isam said:
Oh did someone say they should be able to vote then? Missed thatGrandiose said:
Impressionable 16- and 17-year-olds bad, impressionable 14-year-olds, fine.isam said:That old stereotypical Ukip supporter again
“He’s our hero, he’s the best person we’ve ever met,” a group of giddy teenagers exclaimed after getting a selfie with their idol this afternoon.
You would have thought these 14-year-old teenage girls had met a member of One Direction, but the hero they were referring to was Nigel Farage.'
He’s just the best person I’ve ever met in my life,” said Sophie, one of the 14-year-old girls. “It’s made our Easter holidays and when I go back to school I’m going to tell all my friends that I met Nigel Farage.”
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/general-election-2015-dreams-come-true-for-these-teenage-girls-as-they-meet-their-hero--nigel-farage-10160619.html?cmpid=facebook-post0 -
If these people are so smart, why are they engaged in academia at the IFS?bigjohnowls said:No IFS say Tories more in need of MMT to pay for tax cuts
They would all be millionaires if they were able to accurately foretell economics.
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@JoeWatts_: Davidson asks rhetorically why SNP stood against towering Lab ppl like John Smith, but is desperate to get EdMili into power #ScotDebates0
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@iainmartin1: The Nats should get Alex Salmond back. That wasn't very good from Nicola Sturgeon tonight. #ScotDebates0
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Oooh touchy!Grandiose said:
I'd put them both in the "bad" category myself. It shouldn't be difficult to impress a load of 14-year-olds, whatever your political persuation. Indeed the world's youth have always been the early adopters of most demagogues.isam said:
Oh did someone say they should be able to vote then? Missed thatGrandiose said:
Impressionable 16- and 17-year-olds bad, impressionable 14-year-olds, fine.isam said:That old stereotypical Ukip supporter again
“He’s our hero, he’s the best person we’ve ever met,” a group of giddy teenagers exclaimed after getting a selfie with their idol this afternoon.
You would have thought these 14-year-old teenage girls had met a member of One Direction, but the hero they were referring to was Nigel Farage.'
He’s just the best person I’ve ever met in my life,” said Sophie, one of the 14-year-old girls. “It’s made our Easter holidays and when I go back to school I’m going to tell all my friends that I met Nigel Farage.”
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/generalelection/general-election-2015-dreams-come-true-for-these-teenage-girls-as-they-meet-their-hero--nigel-farage-10160619.html?cmpid=facebook-post
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I didn't even know you could get indigestion of the Penis. Let alone there was a Scottish politician named after the remedy.DavidL said:Keep forgetting Willie Rennie is there. Nice guy but in with 3 sharks here.
Gets coat0 -
You are forgetting the Scottish system IS FPTP to start with - then fiddled by Labour under Mr Dewar to give the losers seats under the list system. Dair is pointing out that if the FPTP element does well enough, that is a long way to an absolute majority.Speedy said:
You are forgetting the electoral system in scotland is not FPTP.Dair said:
SNP got 53 FPTP seats with 45% of the vote. They are now on 51% of the vote and will get almost all the 73 FPTP seats. They could get a majority just on FPTP seats. With the "SNP Seat, Green List" message, the Greens will get 12+ seats. Pro-Indy will have 80+ seats.Speedy said:
Currently the Holyrood polls suggest that the SNP will get around 55 seats, 10 short of a majority, while the Greens and UKIP at around 7-8 seats each, still not enough for an SNP-GRN coalition.Monkeys said:
Greens pro-independence, and yes, there will be several new Greens in 2016.Speedy said:
Good question, will the SNP retain their majority in Holyrood after 2016?Saltire said:
Yes it depends on voters views, if voters put them in power 2016 they will know they will be voting for another indyref.HYUFD said:Saltire No, she ruled it out after the Westminster election but said they would draw up their manifesto for Holyrood in 2016, she also said it would depend on voters views (ie if 55%+ in the polls were voting Yes, yesterday's yougov had 47%).
If UKIP or the Greens get more that 5-6% in 2016 then the SNP would lose it.
So the SNP is facing in 2016 what Labour and the Tories are facing this year (poetic justice?), whatever happens not even a coalition will have enough seats for a majority.
They use an Additional Members System which is approximately proportional.
Also the SNP is not on 51% but 44%-46% in the latest polls.
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If they did they might lock the SNP out by winning a majority from E&W alone.bigjohnowls said:
Not shouting it from the rooftops yet are they.Dair said:
So the SNP are right and Labour are too scared to say it.Speedy said:
He might be factually correct, in that Labour might not need to cut further than the Tories plan.Tykejohnno said:
James Forsyth @JGForsyth
I might have misheard but I think Jim Murphy just said that the IFS have said Labour might not have to make further cuts. Did I mishear?0 -
Labour - do as i say not as I doItwasrigged said:
They say one thing to a Scottish audience and another to the southern audiences and probably something else in Wales.Tykejohnno said:
Dan Hodges ✔ @DPJHodges
Is Jim Murphy now saying Labour will not cut anything at all?0 -
LDs on 12% in Mid & West Wales.chestnut said:http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/auo5bkkble/SunResults_150331_WelshVI_website_V1.pdf
Tories move 9 points clear with Welsh pensioners and now lead in West, Mid and North Wales.
What does that mean for Brecon & Radnor and Ceredigion?0 -
That was considerably better than last week0