"Surely that can’t really be Ed and Justine’s kitchen? All that lovely huge, fancy house, and that is where they do their cooking?
I hope for their sake that it’s actually their utility room, and that some bossy spin doctor has shoved them in there to make their £2 million-plus townhouse in North London’s trendy Kentish Town look less fabulous and to bolster Ed’s man-o’-the-people image."
Why were Ed and Justine hiding in the butler's pantry?
To keep the expensive family kitchen off our TV screens, and give the false impression that they live in a normal home rather than a £multi-million smart London townhouse?
Excellent! Any plans for the winnings? More punts??
Not till I lose some of the alcohol from my bloodstream. Mind you Mrs BJ supped me under the table. Could be my lucky night if she is still conscious by the time we get home.
It's a seat they could lose, so it's extraordinary that they don't even have a candidate yet. In fact, they don't even seem to have got to the shortlist stage.
Andrea Parma retweeted James Reed @JamesReedYP 1h1 hour ago #Labour selection panel has decided #Halifax will be an all-woman shortlist #electionyorks
To think that women campaigned and in some cases died for equal rights only for it to be undone by rediculous policies such as all women shortlists.
Quite relevant to today as the best candidate should be selected for the job regardless of sex, race, disability, etc.
Andrea Parma retweeted James Reed @JamesReedYP 1h1 hour ago #Labour selection panel has decided #Halifax will be an all-woman shortlist #electionyorks
All woman, or all women?
Don't know if someone is waiting for the operation...
However another London councillor/assembly member is looking for a seat.
My train manager just told us the next station.is Bristol New Street. I thought I was the one who has been on the lash all afternoon
During The Festival Week, a couple of years ago, whilst waiting at Bristol Temple Meads, I saw First Great Western staff helping some befuddled and confused racegoers who were disappointed that they hadn't arrived at the subterranean pit that is Birmingham New St. They had boarded their train at the wrong platform at Cheltenham.
Lab 4 points up with Ipsos-mori all voters,is that right?has cameron taken down his curtains yet?
Not sure if you can read, they are actually down 2.
Ok 4 points Lab lead over Con,all VI,is that Ok?
Yeah, noticed my mistake and posted again. I'd be interested to see how well the MORI all voters figure just prior to 2010 actually compared with the results.
'Ashcroft & ICM link back to 2010 vote but dilute it to take account of false recall. That is their primary means of political weighting. Are you saying that they might as well make it up?'
What I do find strange is we get told the Lib Dems have done private polling that shows they are 'competitive' in seats like Solihull,two weeks later the data still isn't published and then Survation who apparently carried out the poll,but without any input on the questions, then appear to distance themselves from it.
Bedford has its own religion, the Panaceans, when the rapture comes the world will be destroyed except for Bedford and 30 miles around it which will be saved and go onto a higher existence.
Andrea Parma retweeted James Reed @JamesReedYP 1h1 hour ago #Labour selection panel has decided #Halifax will be an all-woman shortlist #electionyorks
Andrea Parma retweeted James Reed @JamesReedYP 1h1 hour ago #Labour selection panel has decided #Halifax will be an all-woman shortlist #electionyorks
The uncertainty around this election and the possibility of no one being able to form a viable government maybe all three leaders will go and someone will have to form a grand coalition but who.
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
That's just the L&N model. I dont think Rod has said which model he is going with for this GE yet? (And iirc the L&N model was producing the best numbers for the Tories?)
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Chance of EICIPM?
Less than your chances tonight if Mrs BJO catches up with your earlier posts.
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Chance of EICIPM?
Less than your chances tonight if Mrs BJO catches up with your earlier posts.
LOL she is asleep I think.Unless my unconscious forecast is as accurate as my EICIPM onez
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
That's just the L&N model. I dont think Rod has said which model he is going with for this GE yet? (And iirc the L&N model was producing the best numbers for the Tories?)
Current forecast 2015 Tory leads from various models (with change on last month)
2009-2010 repeat: -1.8% down Byelection swingback: -0.5% n/c Fisher: 2.9% up Hanretty: 3.4% up Prosser: 5.0% n/c L&N: 7.9% up
The big mover is the 2009-2010 repeat, now moving to a Labour lead. But that "model" has the least statistical justification, imho... (not a model at all, just a random benchmark, really)
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
Yup.
He's going to get a lot of hassle over 'two kitchen ed' I would expect
71-year-old man interviewed on Thursday by detectives from Operation Yewtree is publicist Max Clifford, BBC understands
I highly recommend watching the old Louis Theroux documentaries with the likes of Clifford, Savile, etc, they are really eye opening.
The old Andrew Neil interview with Savile is also of interest.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-mJ4a0ODPBM
Very interesting thanks. Brillo looks younger now 20 years on. Wow Savile was a complicated and clever person,he could certainly play an audience,very interesting knowing what we do now.
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Do we think the Sun are currently locked in a big brain storming meeting about what pun to use for the front page? Two Microwave Miliband or could it be Two Aga Ed?
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
Didn't see the puff piece so don't know if both kitchens were shown - I would be very surprised if the 'main' kitchen was not well appointed and more fitting for a £2 million home with a family of four. - I wonder why he choose to be filmed there?
Do we think the Sun are currently locked in a big brain storming meeting about what pun to use for the front page? Two Microwave Miliband or could it be Two Aga Ed?
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0% Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7% Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3% Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election... https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Chance of EICIPM?
About the same as the chance of a:-
Lab/SNP/LD + Allsorts coalition?
We're you wrong about January crossover or is it still too early to tell?
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
Didn't see the puff piece so don't know if both kitchens were shown - I would be very surprised if the 'main' kitchen was not well appointed and more fitting for a £2 million home with a family of four. - I wonder why he choose to be filmed there?
The problem with the BBC piece on his family only showed a utility - kitchenette and no indication that it wasn't their main kitchen. The revelation it was not their main kitchen was revealed on Guido and it seems very disingenuous to use a kitchenette rather than the kitchen
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
Didn't see the puff piece so don't know if both kitchens were shown - I would be very surprised if the 'main' kitchen was not well appointed and more fitting for a £2 million home with a family of four. - I wonder why he choose to be filmed there?
The problem with the BBC piece on his family only showed a utility - kitchenette and no indication that it wasn't their main kitchen. The revelation it was not their main kitchen was revealed on Guido and it seems very disingenuous to use a kitchenette rather than the kitchen
Actually it wasn't Staines, Jenni Russell, friends of Miliband, dropped them in it, trying to defend Miliband's over bitchy article by Sarah Vine in the Mail.
It is all a bit pathetic tbh, but again like tax avoidance, Miliband has been rather pious about photo ops and spin.
Cages about to be rattled, BBC News coverage of SYP & Sheffield City Council, implies things were worse than Rotherham, goes back at least 10 years.
I saw that, on Look North. They had an interview with a police officer who said, on camera, that his bosses knew about the exploitation, but told him to inform the victims they would not prosecute the alleged culprits. They also had some quotes from the South Yorkshire police which, to me, seemed pretty dismissive.
I don't recall any mention of Sheffield City Council in the report, but if the allegations are confirmed they'll have to explain what they knew when.
Is it really true that Ed Miliband has two kitchens and showed the kitchenette rather than a more grand kitchen in the recent BBC interview with his family.
Didn't see the puff piece so don't know if both kitchens were shown - I would be very surprised if the 'main' kitchen was not well appointed and more fitting for a £2 million home with a family of four. - I wonder why he choose to be filmed there?
The problem with the BBC piece on his family only showed a utility - kitchenette and no indication that it wasn't their main kitchen. The revelation it was not their main kitchen was revealed on Guido and it seems very disingenuous to use a kitchenette rather than the kitchen
Actually it wasn't Staines, Jenni Russell, friends of Miliband, dropped them in it, trying to defend Miliband's over bitchy article by Sarah Vine in the Mail.
It is all a bit pathetic tbh, but again like tax avoidance, Miliband has been rather pious about photo ops and spin.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
Thanks for that. Also worth bearing in mind that in 1970 the 8 Ulster Unionists were included in the Tory total.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
It loooks to me like the Tories will get pretty close to 300 seats now.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
It loooks to me like the Tories will get pretty close to 300 seats now.
Looking more like a floor than a ceiling, to me...
This talk of two kitchens reminds me of Cameron's amnesia about exactly how many houses he owns? This is a bit different from having a family kitchen and a kitchenette, lots of older houses have that feature.The larger kitchens were sometimes called 'morning rooms.' Poor old Sarah Vine must be scratching around for material if that is all she has to write about, poor woman.
Back from two 11-hour flights in 3 days to find things much as before. O/T must give a plug to the Seoul Asiana staff - after the airport bus took forever (the chauffeur got out twice to do physical exercises!), two of them literally sprinted to whisk me through security and get me to the plane with a couple of minutes to spare. The plane over was amazingly empty about 85% of seats free, so economy class felt luxurious), though the return journey was packed. Asiana is much cheaper than British Airways for Korea and the service seems more or less indistinguishable.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
It loooks to me like the Tories will get pretty close to 300 seats now.
Looking more like a floor than a ceiling, to me...
Perhaps. I'd want to see consistent 4-5% Tory leads before I believe that. If we have that by the end of the month then, yes, possibly.
Really interesting article and again shows that countries acting alone in this globalized world wont be able to really change much when it comes to the uber wealthy.
Guido Fawkes retweeted Giles Coren @gilescoren 24m24 minutes ago Ed: "where are my fucking car keys?" Justine: "in the kitchen!" Ed: "which fucking kitchen?"
This talk of two kitchens reminds me of Cameron's amnesia about exactly how many houses he owns? This is a bit different from having a family kitchen and a kitchenette, lots of older houses have that feature.The larger kitchens were sometimes called 'morning rooms.' Poor old Sarah Vine must be scratching around for material if that is all she has to write about, poor woman.
One nation, two kitchens, we're all in it together
This talk of two kitchens reminds me of Cameron's amnesia about exactly how many houses he owns? This is a bit different from having a family kitchen and a kitchenette, lots of older houses have that feature.The larger kitchens were sometimes called 'morning rooms.' Poor old Sarah Vine must be scratching around for material if that is all she has to write about, poor woman.
One nation, two kitchens, we're all in it together
If you can't stand the heat then get out of the kitchen.
If the 2013 boundaries had been passed I'd agree the Tories would be in with a very good chance of a majority. Losing that vote really was a big deal for them.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
It loooks to me like the Tories will get pretty close to 300 seats now.
Looking more like a floor than a ceiling, to me...
Perhaps. I'd want to see consistent 4-5% Tory leads before I believe that. If we have that by the end of the month then, yes, possibly.
I agree with that. Consistent 4-5% leads across the pollsters will surely signify CON most seats & sniffing a majority.
Real problem for blues are the LD seats they have to pick up and defending at least 2 seats where serious campaign going on.
how is it Ed Miliband has four one hour programs on BBC3, surely this is against BBC impartiality rules?? along with the interview with his wife, the bias is blatant
Don't Tories understand the difference between nationality and race?
Although perhaps it is this that has got them spitting feathers. Farage in the Indy:
I’m afraid that what this incident has really shown us is that the mainstream establishment, including the press and the media, are perhaps racist themselves. Because when I said “British” they heard “white”, and set a course for the media narrative to pretend I made a distinction between people of different skin colours. This is their own, inbuilt racism. And it’s shameful.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
It loooks to me like the Tories will get pretty close to 300 seats now.
Looking more like a floor than a ceiling, to me...
Perhaps. I'd want to see consistent 4-5% Tory leads before I believe that. If we have that by the end of the month then, yes, possibly.
I agree with that. Consistent 4-5% leads across the pollsters will surely signify CON most seats & sniffing a majority.
Real problem for blues are the LD seats they have to pick up and defending at least 2 seats where serious campaign going on.
But to make a point that you have alluded to yourself, if Labour were to be 4 - 5% adrift of the Tories in GB as a whole it would still tend to imply a Con to Lab swing in England of about 2.5% - if we assume that a collapse in Scotland has knocked 1.5% off its national vote share. Such a swing could still hand Labour 30 or so Tory seats - plus 6 - 10 LibDem seats.
Don't Tories understand the difference between nationality and race?
Although perhaps it is this that has got them spitting feathers. Farage in the Indy:
I’m afraid that what this incident has really shown us is that the mainstream establishment, including the press and the media, are perhaps racist themselves. Because when I said “British” they heard “white”, and set a course for the media narrative to pretend I made a distinction between people of different skin colours. This is their own, inbuilt racism. And it’s shameful.
Is it possible for RodCrosby to tell us what the outcome of the 1970 election would have been on the basis of L&N? I ask that simply because I recall that as an election when Wilson ran very strongly in relation to Heath.
Yes, according to L&N's original paper, the Tories did a little better than "forecast"* in 1970. About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
It loooks to me like the Tories will get pretty close to 300 seats now.
Looking more like a floor than a ceiling, to me...
Perhaps. I'd want to see consistent 4-5% Tory leads before I believe that. If we have that by the end of the month then, yes, possibly.
I agree with that. Consistent 4-5% leads across the pollsters will surely signify CON most seats & sniffing a majority.
Real problem for blues are the LD seats they have to pick up and defending at least 2 seats where serious campaign going on.
What do you think the two are, Mike? Watford and OW&A?
I see on a local forum this post from one bemused recipient of the long campaign direct mail blitz:
"Talking about spending money on fancy leaflets!! We have had 4 addressed leaflets through the post today from the conservatives!! One leaflet would have sufficed! Shiny or otherwise!"
Is there any research on the point (if any) at which DMs and leaflets are actually overkill and put people off?
Comments
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2990810/Why-kitchen-tells-need-know-mirthless-Milibands-s-suggest-Ed-Justine-not-fact-aliens.html
"Surely that can’t really be Ed and Justine’s kitchen? All that lovely huge, fancy house, and that is where they do their cooking?
I hope for their sake that it’s actually their utility room, and that some bossy spin doctor has shoved them in there to make their £2 million-plus townhouse in North London’s trendy Kentish Town look less fabulous and to bolster Ed’s man-o’-the-people image."
http://www.yorkshirepost.co.uk/news/election-politics/politics-and-election-news/labour-row-with-union-is-blamed-for-halifax-delay-1-7145238
http://www.halifaxcourier.co.uk/news/calderdale/departing-halifax-mp-s-warning-to-labour-chiefs-1-7151951
It's a seat they could lose, so it's extraordinary that they don't even have a candidate yet. In fact, they don't even seem to have got to the shortlist stage.
Quite relevant to today as the best candidate should be selected for the job regardless of sex, race, disability, etc.
However another London councillor/assembly member is looking for a seat.
http://labourlist.org/2015/03/halifax-selection-will-be-an-all-women-shortlist/
Have a good evening.
@Nigel_Farage
You can't disparage Farage,
he'll only grow and grow
The more they try
The more they'll cry
Chicken Cameron's got to go!
still.. all voters include those that won't actually vote. So shouldn't be drawing too much comfort from those.
Shall we have the leader ratings from this poll in the thread header? x
Strictly the least unpopular as they are all in negative territory.
(Central forecast)
Con vote lead 7.9%
Con seat lead 67 seats
(10000 Monte Carlo simulations)
Chance of a Tory vote lead: 100.0%
Chance of a Tory seat lead: 98.9%
Chance of a Hung Parliament: 60.7%
Chance of a Tory majority: 39.3%
Chance of a Labour majority: 0.0%
Looking at the graph, it looks as if the Tories would - had they had the option - have been in a stronger position for a majority with an Autumn or Winter election...
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13331381/L&N.PNG
However, a majority cannot yet be ruled out.
Apply some broad assumptions, and the Tories look set for the 310-320 band. Labour 245-255.
Looking like an ARSE/MonteCarlo axis.
Con vote lead 7.9%
Con seat lead 67 seats
John Rentoul @JohnRentoul · 30m30 minutes ago
EdM knows what it's like not to know where your next meal is coming from.
An interesting Scotland crossbreak with this poll
SNP 42 Lab 14 Con 29 LD 12 Grn 1
YouGov Prediction:
Lab Lead 2% - EICIPM
2009-2010 repeat: -1.8% down
Byelection swingback: -0.5% n/c
Fisher: 2.9% up
Hanretty: 3.4% up
Prosser: 5.0% n/c
L&N: 7.9% up
The big mover is the 2009-2010 repeat, now moving to a Labour lead. But that "model" has the least statistical justification, imho... (not a model at all, just a random benchmark, really)
98% chance of ....... winning Gold Cup
Lab/SNP/LD + Allsorts coalition?
Eh?
It is all a bit pathetic tbh, but again like tax avoidance, Miliband has been rather pious about photo ops and spin.
I don't recall any mention of Sheffield City Council in the report, but if the allegations are confirmed they'll have to explain what they knew when.
About 1% larger vote lead, and 11 seats greater seat lead.
*of course the model wasn't in existence in 1970, but they used "out-of-sample" techniques to simulate the "forecast".
http://www.bristolpost.co.uk/Dad-buys-Tesco-bananas-infested-spiders-bite/story-26159702-detail/story.html
Really interesting article and again shows that countries acting alone in this globalized world wont be able to really change much when it comes to the uber wealthy.
Giles Coren @gilescoren 24m24 minutes ago
Ed: "where are my fucking car keys?"
Justine: "in the kitchen!"
Ed: "which fucking kitchen?"
On the L&N figures you'd still have a 43% chance of regaining Broxtowe...
(^_-)
But which one ?
#askmiliband your mum must be very proud of her successful son. Does that ever make you jealous?
Q Do you regret stabbing your brother in the back?
A That's not the way I'd describe it #AskMiliband
its going well...
Real problem for blues are the LD seats they have to pick up and defending at least 2 seats where serious campaign going on.
On more than Nige!
'Goebbels would be proud!' Tory fury over Nigel Farage's call to discriminate between workers
David Cameron leads condemnation of UKIP leader, who insists call for more discrimination has been misinterpreted
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/nigel-farage/11468717/Goebbels-would-be-proud-Tory-fury-over-Nigel-Farages-call-to-discriminate-between-workers.html
Don't Tories understand the difference between nationality and race?
Although perhaps it is this that has got them spitting feathers. Farage in the Indy:
I’m afraid that what this incident has really shown us is that the mainstream establishment, including the press and the media, are perhaps racist themselves. Because when I said “British” they heard “white”, and set a course for the media narrative to pretend I made a distinction between people of different skin colours. This is their own, inbuilt racism. And it’s shameful.
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/its-not-me-whos-ignorant--its-everyone-who-took-against-what-i-said-about-racial-discrimination-10104043.html
I'm sure Goebbels would have been proud of the Tory conflation........
Of course, the Telegraph is (perhaps willfully) misreporting the matter when it states that Farage was calling for discrimination.
"Talking about spending money on fancy leaflets!! We have had 4 addressed leaflets through the post today from the conservatives!! One leaflet would have sufficed! Shiny or otherwise!"
Is there any research on the point (if any) at which DMs and leaflets are actually overkill and put people off?