I’m sorry I haven’t a clue about this poll – politicalbetting.com
I’m sorry I haven’t a clue about this poll – politicalbetting.com
TPSI poll | 6/8 LVUS Senate Maine 2026?Susan Collins 43.7% (incumbent)?Graham Platner 43.1%Undecided 13.2%—When voters are informed of Graham Platner’s scandals?Graham Platner 48.2%?Susan Collins 40.1% (incumbent)Undecided 11.7%Link to poll:… pic.twitter.com/VUMaJ0tQMS
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Collins is a known quantity; Platner, until quite recently, a complete unknown.
I linked a piece the other day speculating people want more 'human' candidates, but it comes with risks. Even if bizarrely this poll at least says the scandal helps.
It'll be a miracle if HR don't launch an investigation.
He’s an actual Nazi, with a severe women problem, who went back to Afghanistan as a privateer because he “enjoys killing people”.
She said she's looking forward to an enormous poll turn out.
The Democratic establishment tried to run someone born in 1947, and the voters said no thanks.
Platner is a sui generis populist, which comes with an upside and a (potentially very large) downside.
He acknowledges past failings, and claims to be a changed man. That remains to be seen, either way.
TSE always pulls it off.
How the tears of frustration welled up in his eyes during their Italian tour at not being allowed the use of his mouth to finish off Two Gentlemen of Verona.
1) dodgy tattoo - he has claimed he didn’t know what it meant and has since had it covered
2) allegation of abuse - he’s categorically denied this (and I’d assume from AI that it’s word against word)
3) marital infidelity - he’s acknowledged making mistakes but that he and his wife have worked through them
4) offensive past comments
I can very easily see how people deem this as a witch hunt / evidence of him reforming his ways. In that context I can see why people might say “is that all” when they dig into the details
It might be right and it might be wrong. We'll find out soon enough.
The GOP say they have loads more to come on Platner, they’re over the moon that he won the primary.
Now you are finding that the sacrifice required is people you care about.
Simple version - give the democratic politicians more. Give the Men Of Violence less.
Sure they’ll be upset. But is your response to the EDL violence just to give them what they want?
The immigrants will be out of the neighbourhoods in question within days. Once again, violence will have been given what it wants.
So there will be more violence.
(yes I know it's the wrong show but I want to shoehorn it in. Fnarr, fnarr)
https://x.com/osinttechnical/status/2064569145245503919
We also have an oil refinery in Samara, smoking a little more than usual today.
https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/2064570360972861800
I didn’t meet anyone with a good word to say about Starmer (though a lot of people found it hard to articulate exactly why) but also a lot of doubts raised about Farage. Lowe was described more often as an anti-establishment figure. Again I found this surprising!
As Pb said at the time, Farage taking a load of Tories will I think come to be seen as a major misstep.
Reform extend their voting intention lead to 10pts this week, with Labour and the Tories tied for second place.
➡️ REF UK 30% (+1)
🌹 LAB 20% (-2)
🌳 CON 20% (-1)
🔶 LIB DEM 12% (nc)
🌍 GREEN 11% (+1)
❓OTH 3% (+1)
🟡 SNP 3% (+1)
N = 2,087 | Fieldwork 5-9/6 | Changes w/ 1/6
There is much, much, much less violence in Northern Ireland since the Peace Process than before. Other approaches to the Troubles that didn’t involve talking to the men of violence had not produced a resolution.
It’s great that PB is somewhere that people can challenge the orthodoxy. If you’re going to challenge the orthodoxy, I suggest you come up with more than one half-arsed analogy.
Allowing Jenrick to join Reform creates a whole set of very hard to answer questions because so often it comes down to Jenrick was the person responsible for that disaster
Which is surprising given where his head was at a couple of years ago when he first entered the Senate.
It is not “half arsed” to suggest that protecting the civic institutions at the expense of some terrorists getting explody is a worthwhile trade.
If you want peace at any price, then you want immigrants burnt out of their homes. Own it. Love it. You made it. You.
The truth is that he's completely unvetted, and no one really knows whether it's just smoke, or a blazing dumpster.
It's a big risk as far as the Democrats are concerned, but that's what the voters chose.
So far, it just doesn't matter.
And why did the Democratic primary voters utterly reject their popular former governor ?
That explanation doesn't wash.
Reform are clearly well below their peak when it comes average polling.
On that score, here's Platner:
..As you can all probably tell, I got a lot of criticisms about the way this government functions. But in order for us to make it functional, we’re gonna have to do stuff,” Platner said. “And you can’t just go down there and be John Fetterman and ... just sort of be an a**hole.”..
Does this mean the Rep candidate is the sane one here? Who do MAGA-types vote for then? And who does Trump endorse?
ETA: Maybe that explains the polling. Initial split on party lines, but when told he's a bad'un the more MAGA-intense Reps start to break for the Dem?
It's two main criminal gangs with smaller splinter groups who've run it in that time in symbiosis, with sectarianism as an excuse for their violent acts, there was a moderate peace movement from which came the Good Friday agreement and less violence, since when the electorate have largely abandoned the moderate parties. It seems they have opted for the extremists but less violence, blame the electorate.
Of course people predicting decline once they’ve started to slip in the polls is wisdom after the event.
There is no sense of a common accepted reality in the US anymore, so the default assumption is that a scandal is fake news from the other side to undermine one of the good guys on your side. A really big scandal - such as Cuomo - will come to be accepted when it is reported by trusted sources on your own side of the partisan divide.
So the response is, I haven't heard about this scandal, it must be faked by the Trumpers, I should support this guy from these fake attacks.
It's really not a healthy place for a democracy.
Given the complete lack of polling reaction to Farage's secret £5m crypto gift, you can see that Britain is well on the road to heading in the same direction.
..Police have confirmed the suspect crossed the Irish border in February 2023 having flown to Dublin from Paris. He then claimed asylum upon arrival and in September 2023 was granted leave to remain in the UK until 2028...
Still Jenrick, though ?
Assuming Burnham doesn’t completely cock it up in the first month - and all he has to do is not be Keir Starmer - Labour will get some kind of uplift and as soon as they start looking like winners again the Green vote will collapse.
Not unreasonable in my view to see that they poll 30% again
Another oil pumping station (in Vladimir region) is on fire too, and something in Sevastopol is producing quantities of smoke.
There have been lots of attacks recently on oil pumping stations on the pipelines to Moscow and to the Black Sea oil export terminals.
I can’t really see a path for him going forward.
TV programme.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyp1ekd584o
But in a further sign of the different relationship between leader ratings and voting intention in multi party politics Farage’s personal net approval ratings drop to their lowest since the General Election on -20. Starmer is on -47, Polanski -25, Davey -10 and Badenoch - 8
Bye bye Farage
They won’t trouble the overall statistics but you don’t need more than one a week for the narrative to maintain or gain momentum. Labour have done a decent job on hotels and overall immigration but this is now baked in.
Morning Greetings everyone!
https://x.com/TomSteyer/status/2064502978325651884
...I have always been an optimist, and today, I remain an optimist. Nothing this campaign fought for is far off. These dreams we dreamt together are not too big. Californians deserve a life they can afford, and they deserve for it to be in California. My commitment to this fight didn’t start last November, and it doesn’t end today. Because the work of winning a better, fairer California is not the work of a campaign. It is the work of my life.
For now, we must stay focused. Donald Trump is the embodiment of the corporations’ craven, soulless, profit-first model of politics, and it is absolutely essential that his handpicked candidate does not hold the keys to California. It would be a travesty for Steve Hilton to win the governorship, and Californians must unite behind Xavier Becerra to ensure he does not.
To my supporters: Thank you for everything. When I promised to fight for you, that was not a campaign promise. It was just a promise. And I am a man of my word. I’m on your team forever. I wasn’t born a billionaire, I won’t die a billionaire, and I’ll spend the rest of my life working alongside you to dismantle a system that only benefits billionaires.
Today, my message to you is simple: Pay attention. Know what you deserve, and know who is on your side. Understand who the villains are, and say their names out loud. Continue to demand more from your leaders and your government, until they give you the California – and the country – you know you deserve. I will be with you all the way.
With gratitude,
Tom
First, we need to condemn without reservation the mob violence in Belfast last night. It's a strange world where we think two wrongs make a right and whatever happened with the attack which by the way was heinous and, if proven, the perpetrator needs to feel the full weight of the law, doesn't in any way justify or condone forcing people out of their homes and burning said properties.
We know Northern Ireland has a history of "ethnic cleansing" in this manner and it's something with which the authorities need to take control and stop.
A "long hot summer" then it seems with anyone looking at anyone else in a funny way liable to bring the mobs out on the streets for a bit of impromptu street entertainment. That's the way it is now, apparently? People get angry at the slightest thing radicalised no doubt by the misinformation and disinformation on X and elsewhere and out they come thinking somehow, well, what are they thinking?
Murders were investigated. So were bank robberies.
As the Peace Process progressed, the Men Of Peace were discarded by London & Dublin. Trimble and Hume were expected to obey, to sacrifice.
So this taught the electorate that the Men Of Peace were the Weak Horse. They backed the people who could deliver change for them. Empower them.
That was the system that was built.
Now *you* own it. You, personally. You.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/05/21/falling-migration-is-still-a-winning-issue-for-nigel-farage/
Reminder that nobody has to speculate on whether Graham Platner is a Nazi from a muddy tattoo he got to look like a badass when he was a 22 year old Marine.
We have years of his anonymous Reddit posts - like this one - before he ever got into politics. They are consistently anti-fascist and anti-Nazi.
In fact the original Republican attack line on him was that he was excessively Antifa. It was only after that didn't work that they switched to the "tattoo nazi" line.
https://x.com/MarcusMStanley/status/2064344945327063171
For anyone who can be bothered (not me):
Read our full archive of Graham Platner’s deleted Reddit comments
https://themainemonitor.org/platner-reddit-comments/
The Peace Process is the ultimate good. Surely, if a few murders, bank robberies, drug and extortion empires are the price for Peace, what’s a few people burnt out of their homes?
What will happen next is that the immigrants will be rehoused elsewhere, within days.
Another victory for The Peace Process.
Bet Tommy is drooling.
Until the number of immigrants in the UK starts to decrease (which requires negative net migration) then this will continue to be an electoral problem for any government.
In particular until the number of the 'wrong type' of immigrants starts to decrease this will continue to be an electoral problem for the government.
Farage, Mahmood, Badenoch are vile. Lets hope the KoN sacks Mahmood and defeats Farage and Badenoch
The Tories weren’t able to achieve it and seemingly neither are Labour.
He is though a very good speaker and his backstory seems to resonate . The GOP really should STFU up with their outrage given they are happy to fellate Trump .
This doesn’t excuse Platners past behaviour but sadly the choice is another term for Collins and her faux concern over the destruction of US democracy or voting for Platner .
The stakes are high as Maine was seen as crucial if the Dems had any chance of winning the senate and with the possibility of a seat becoming vacant in SCOTUS I’m afraid some of the Dems need to also STFU and stop clutching their pearls .
Get behind Platner and stop helping the GOP.
Ukrainians, Hong Kongers, Nigerian Christians, MENA asylum seekers etc.
Claiming to have sorted out immigration because there are no longer Ukrainians and Hong Kongers moving here is not going to impress voters.
In the 2024 congressional elections it voted 54.70% to 42.75% for the Democrats.
Collins has very successfully cosplayed as an independent.
Not so great for people who don’t think that gangsters should be running the streets.
During the Troubles the army would have been out last night.
So why the pogrom?
It's a different matter in Belfast. I'm not saying it's right, but it's a bit like "if you owe the bank £100 you're in trouble, owe them £100m and the bank is in trouble." The authorities won't do anything in Belfast because of the potential for escalation.
https://www.thelugarcenter.org/ourwork-Bipartisan-Index.html
Now if you want to see someone cosplaying as an independent then there is the other Maine senator Angus King.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/05/21/falling-migration-is-still-a-winning-issue-for-nigel-farage/
Obviously the violence is disgraceful (and obviously terrorism, if we’re being consistent with PA), but there is a serious underlying issue here where we our system is regularly importing violent maniacs and rapists, and then is apparent unable to deport them.
1. Anyone found to be in the country illegally should be removed, no ifs, and or buts.
2. Asylum and legal immigration should be like probation. Conviction of a serious crime and your asylum/immigrant status is revoked and you
out of the county. Again no ifs, ands or buts. I know this treats this category of person differently to UK born citizens but, to me, if someone
is granted the privilege to settle in another country that comes with obligations. Fail to meet those obligations and you are out.
I just wish Labour would adopt that stance!