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What would Ronald Reagan think? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 43,049
    The war is over. We won. Oh, BTW...

    @jenniferjjacobs.bsky.social‬

    New: The USS George H.W. Bush aircraft carrier will deploy to U.S. Central Command’s area of responsibility, the major combatant command overseeing American military operations against Iran, sources told @JimLaPorta @ellee_watson and me. @cbsnews.com
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,906
    Trump: "It's sort of finished, but it's not finished."

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 55,789
    edited March 27

    Foxy said:

    MelonB said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    "Badenoch considers burka ban

    Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/

    Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny

    Kemi is right. Ban them

    It would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
    Kemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions.

    Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
    And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countries

    So what exactly is your objection?
    Catching up,

    If there is no evidence of a basis for implementing a policy, then it is a matter of prejudice - which is not how we seek to operate as a society. There are only perhaps 1% of Muslim women who wear a full-face veil; that should be their choice.

    I see from the Telegraph article that Kemi suggests that she views this as a low priority.

    The thing that I find most startling in the survey is that 76% of the respondents want to ban "exclusion of women from religious leadership". Would you support that? That would ban the male only Roman Catholic priesthood, and male only Episcopates.



    Gift link:
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a5ca0614bc035101
    I saw a woman in a full face veil yesterday. I reckon I see maybe one or two a year. I live in inner London.

    Women in veils are roughly as rare, and roughly as obsessed about, as trans women. In fact almost certainly substantially rarer.
    Veils are very common here in Ilford.
    Not unusual in Leicester either.

    I find them more comical than threatening, per se.
    I don't find them either.

    I think it is misogynistic, even if willingly worn, but I wouldn't ban it. People are allowed to make poor decisions.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 70,976
    US service members injured at Saudi Arabia base
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 43,049
    @JenniferJJacobs
    BREAKING via
    @CBSNews
    : About a dozen U.S. service members were injured in an attack on Prince Sultan airbase in Saudi Arabia, according to multiple U.S. officials. A small number sustained very serious injuries; others were considered seriously injured.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,578

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2037648523361923527

    Trump: "I want to thank the entire kingdom of Saudi Arabia. You've been very helpful, unlike NATO."

    Time for Trump to take a one-person, one-way state visit to Venus.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,425
    After tonight’s deranged rant from Trump I fear a load of US troops will end up getting killed because the stain on humanity wants his stupid fxcking name printed on a map.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 58,691
    dixiedean said:

    DavidL said:

    https://x.com/visegrad24/status/2037631705780015396

    Russia announces its banning the export of gasoline

    This could be either domestic shortages or reducing supply to put further pressure on oil importing nations’ economies.
    Filled my tank this morning. This is coming.
    Christ! You got a tank?
    The futures bleaker than I'd imagined.
    Has HYUFD been informed?
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 8,070

    MelonB said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    "Badenoch considers burka ban

    Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/

    Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny

    Kemi is right. Ban them

    It would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
    Kemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions.

    Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
    And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countries

    So what exactly is your objection?
    Catching up,

    If there is no evidence of a basis for implementing a policy, then it is a matter of prejudice - which is not how we seek to operate as a society. There are only perhaps 1% of Muslim women who wear a full-face veil; that should be their choice.

    I see from the Telegraph article that Kemi suggests that she views this as a low priority.

    The thing that I find most startling in the survey is that 76% of the respondents want to ban "exclusion of women from religious leadership". Would you support that? That would ban the male only Roman Catholic priesthood, and male only Episcopates.



    Gift link:
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a5ca0614bc035101
    I saw a woman in a full face veil yesterday. I reckon I see maybe one or two a year. I live in inner London.

    Women in veils are roughly as rare, and roughly as obsessed about, as trans women. In fact almost certainly substantially rarer.
    Veils are very common here in Ilford.
    It's so you can't see Ilford
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 458

    Oh!



    Steven Swinford
    @Steven_Swinford
    Exclusive:

    Angela Rayner is contesting claims that she failed to pay enough stamp duty on the purchase of her £800,000 flat in Hove, East Sussex

    ...


    The Times has been told that she has subsequently taken new legal advice which argues that she did not need to pay the higher rate of stamp duty. The new advice has been submitted to HMRC. It is understood to highlight “complexities” surrounding the trust

    https://x.com/Steven_Swinford/status/2037635051924697312

    Bring your greed back into the headlines Angie. That'll work
    Dense? Greedy? Entitled? Short of readies? AOTA?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,906
    scampi25 said:

    Oh!



    Steven Swinford
    @Steven_Swinford
    Exclusive:

    Angela Rayner is contesting claims that she failed to pay enough stamp duty on the purchase of her £800,000 flat in Hove, East Sussex

    ...


    The Times has been told that she has subsequently taken new legal advice which argues that she did not need to pay the higher rate of stamp duty. The new advice has been submitted to HMRC. It is understood to highlight “complexities” surrounding the trust

    https://x.com/Steven_Swinford/status/2037635051924697312

    Bring your greed back into the headlines Angie. That'll work
    Dense? Greedy? Entitled? Short of readies? AOTA?
    Not short. She has been booking lucrative speaking gigs with global banks for £20K a shot apparently.
  • isamisam Posts: 43,898
    I’m asking @attorneygeneral Lord Richard Hermer to refer this sentence to the Court of Appeal as an Unduly Lenient Sentence.

    https://x.com/harrietharman/status/2037610349781016935?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,906



    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar
    ·
    25m
    Trump: "You know, when I didn't get the Nobel Peace Prize. You gotta understand, I don't care. Norway has lost so credible. I stopped 8 wars. Stopping wars -- I think I do it the best. President Putin called me, he said, 'I can't believe you stopped this one!'"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2037654983949025361
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 1,701
    Mary Rand Rip at 86

    Britains first female Gold Medalist in Athletics I believe?

    A little before my time but both my parents were keen Athletes at Wolverhampton and Bilston AC

    One of my early memories was my mom crying when the News came on that Lillian Board had died of cancer in her 20s, I wasn't very old at the time.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 29,169

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2037648523361923527

    Trump: "I want to thank the entire kingdom of Saudi Arabia. You've been very helpful, unlike NATO."

    He's referring to the grift.
  • Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.
  • MelonBMelonB Posts: 16,965
    edited March 27
    Bonkers Westerly wind burst going on in the tropical Pacific at the moment. Gale force Westerly winds in a region that should have Easterlies. Those winds are collapsing the usual piled up hot ocean surface in the West and sending it to the other side of the basin in a Kelvin wave, cutting off upwelling.

    We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:

    - Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
    - Drought in SE Asia (rice)
    - Drought in Southern Africa
    - Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
    - Floods in East Africa
    - Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
    - Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)



    Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).
  • isamisam Posts: 43,898

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    What does “Strong odds” mean?
  • isam said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    What does “Strong odds” mean?
    I reckon anything over 1.5 is value
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 58,691
    MelonB said:

    Bonkers Westerly wind burst going on in the tropical Pacific at the moment. Gale force Westerly winds in a region that should have Easterlies. Those winds are collapsing the usual piled up hot ocean surface in the West and sending it to the other side of the basin in a Kelvin wave, cutting off upwelling.

    We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:

    - Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
    - Drought in SE Asia (rice)
    - Drought in Southern Africa
    - Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
    - Floods in East Africa
    - Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
    - Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)



    Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).

    Brace??
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,906
    MelonB said:

    Bonkers Westerly wind burst going on in the tropical Pacific at the moment. Gale force Westerly winds in a region that should have Easterlies. Those winds are collapsing the usual piled up hot ocean surface in the West and sending it to the other side of the basin in a Kelvin wave, cutting off upwelling.

    We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:

    - Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
    - Drought in SE Asia (rice)
    - Drought in Southern Africa
    - Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
    - Floods in East Africa
    - Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
    - Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)



    Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).

    Combined with a lack of fertiliser and we are in #brace #brace

  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 22,423

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
  • MelonBMelonB Posts: 16,965

    MelonB said:

    Bonkers Westerly wind burst going on in the tropical Pacific at the moment. Gale force Westerly winds in a region that should have Easterlies. Those winds are collapsing the usual piled up hot ocean surface in the West and sending it to the other side of the basin in a Kelvin wave, cutting off upwelling.

    We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:

    - Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
    - Drought in SE Asia (rice)
    - Drought in Southern Africa
    - Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
    - Floods in East Africa
    - Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
    - Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)



    Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).

    Brace??
    Already showing up in agricultural commodity futures, though mixed in with the Trump premium.
  • Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 22,423

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
  • isamisam Posts: 43,898

    isam said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    What does “Strong odds” mean?
    I reckon anything over 1.5 is value
    Most seats?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 55,789
    MelonB said:

    Bonkers Westerly wind burst going on in the tropical Pacific at the moment. Gale force Westerly winds in a region that should have Easterlies. Those winds are collapsing the usual piled up hot ocean surface in the West and sending it to the other side of the basin in a Kelvin wave, cutting off upwelling.

    We’re heading for a very pronounced El Niño this coming year. That means:

    - Drought in Eastern Australia (Wheat)
    - Drought in SE Asia (rice)
    - Drought in Southern Africa
    - Drought in NE Brazil (soy)
    - Floods in East Africa
    - Floods in Peru and collapsing sardine catch
    - Floods in California (hopefully no wildfires)



    Not unprecedented. But we’ve not seen this for a long time. Planetary warming if anything has encouraged La Niña conditions. It’ll mean the warmest year in record by miles in 2027 (and probably this year too).

    The temperatures in the USA and Mexico this month are quite the warning.

    16 STATES WITH THE MARCH HOTTEST DAY IN HISTORY

    112 California
    112 Arizona
    108 Texas
    106 Nevada
    106 Oklahoma
    104 Kansas
    103 New Mexico
    99 Nebraska
    99 Colorado
    97 Iowa
    97 Utah
    97 Missouri
    97 South Dakota
    90 Wyoming
    88 Minnesota
    86 Idaho

    And bad in Mexico too:

    45C AGAIN IN MEXICO: That's 113F folk.
    Nearly 2 weeks constantly above records, often above those of April and sometimes above those of May.
    Every single day.
    And tonight record of March warmest night were smashed again:

    Min 21.8C Culiacan and 21.1C Choix In Sinaloa.

    https://bsky.app/profile/extremetemps.bsky.social/post/3mi2mwu6bgc2q

  • isam said:

    isam said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    What does “Strong odds” mean?
    I reckon anything over 1.5 is value
    Most seats?
    I was thinking being the government of the day but I guess most seats is closest
  • Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
    With those ratings? I think it’s impossible.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 19,616
    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    "Badenoch considers burka ban

    Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/

    Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny

    Kemi is right. Ban them

    It would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
    Kemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions.

    Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
    And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countries

    So what exactly is your objection?
    Catching up,

    If there is no evidence of a basis for implementing a policy, then it is a matter of prejudice - which is not how we seek to operate as a society. There are only perhaps 1% of Muslim women who wear a full-face veil; that should be their choice.

    I see from the Telegraph article that Kemi suggests that she views this as a low priority.

    The thing that I find most startling in the survey is that 76% of the respondents want to ban "exclusion of women from religious leadership". Would you support that? That would ban the male only Roman Catholic priesthood, and male only Episcopates.



    Gift link:
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a5ca0614bc035101
    More people also want to ban (male) circumcision.
  • 'It's not a minor typo, it's a fundamental fact.'

    'It's a minor typo!'

    @andytwelves
    and
    @GoodwinMJ
    clash over the sourcing of quotes and information in his latest book.

    https://x.com/GBNEWS/status/2037596386498117700

    MattGPT is not for real hahahaha
  • isamisam Posts: 43,898

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    What does “Strong odds” mean?
    I reckon anything over 1.5 is value
    Most seats?
    I was thinking being the government of the day but I guess most seats is closest
    It’s 3.75, so about a 40% edge. Probably the bet of the century if you really think it should be 1.5. I think it’s a decent bet at that price myself
  • isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    What does “Strong odds” mean?
    I reckon anything over 1.5 is value
    Most seats?
    I was thinking being the government of the day but I guess most seats is closest
    It’s 3.75, so about a 40% edge. Probably the bet of the century if you really think it should be 1.5. I think it’s a decent bet at that price myself
    Gonna stick a tenner on
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,665
    isam said:

    I’m asking @attorneygeneral Lord Richard Hermer to refer this sentence to the Court of Appeal as an Unduly Lenient Sentence.

    https://x.com/harrietharman/status/2037610349781016935?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    This is the first time I've ever agreed with Harriet Harman.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,840
    edited March 27

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
    Keir Starmer would make an excellent Foreign Secretary.
    He is effective and respected among world leaders.
    I think he'd enjoy it more than his current job.
    And as PM, Angela would be able to focus on domestic matters, and leave Keir to do the foreign stuff.
  • Barnesian said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
    Keir Starmer would make an excellent Foreign Secretary.
    He is effective and respected among world leaders.
    I think he'd enjoy it more than his current job.
    And as PM, Angela would be able to focus on domestic matters, and leave Keir to do the foreign stuff.
    Rayner is a totally unserious candidate. She would be Labour’s Truss.

    Put it this way, I will vote against Labour.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,840

    Barnesian said:

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
    Keir Starmer would make an excellent Foreign Secretary.
    He is effective and respected among world leaders.
    I think he'd enjoy it more than his current job.
    And as PM, Angela would be able to focus on domestic matters, and leave Keir to do the foreign stuff.
    Rayner is a totally unserious candidate. She would be Labour’s Truss.

    Put it this way, I will vote against Labour.
    Angela may not notice the absence of your vote.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,665
    It's possible Trump's recent actions could help to bring about the collapse the repulsive regime in Cuba. Let's hope so.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 22,423

    Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
    With those ratings? I think it’s impossible.
    Things can turn around. Thatcher looked doomed in 1981. Major shouldn't have been able to win in 1992.
  • Sir Keir is safe as houses now.

    His ratings improve a bit. Labour up to about parity with Reform.

    He quits 2028. New leader. Election late 2028.

    Labour led government. Strong odds I reckon.

    Why are you so sure he will quit? Being on is a powerful drug. Hard to give it up.
    Because he knows he cannot win again.
    Does he? It's not impossible.
    With those ratings? I think it’s impossible.
    Things can turn around. Thatcher looked doomed in 1981. Major shouldn't have been able to win in 1992.
    Okay, do you think he can turn it around?
  • Andy_JS said:

    It's possible Trump's recent actions could help to bring about the collapse the repulsive regime in Cuba. Let's hope so.

    Andy are you okay?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 58,484
    French presidential election polling - Bardella beats all comers

    https://x.com/frelects/status/2037656139769254182
  • RogerRoger Posts: 22,694
    Rory the Tory not optimistic

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/lCjWLFSPl5Y
  • Roger said:

    Rory the Tory not optimistic

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/lCjWLFSPl5Y

    Greatest PM we never had without doubt.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,938
    Scott_xP said:

    @anderseide.bsky.social‬

    Ukraine is working efficiently.

    40 percent of russia’s oil exporting capacity has been knocked out, forcing putin to ban gasoline exports from 1 April. Bye bye export revenues.

    The russian warship may finally be about to sink.

    https://bsky.app/profile/anderseide.bsky.social/post/3mi2vsv3m7c2z

    Russian warship, go fuck yourself.

    Oh, you have?
  • japcjapc Posts: 6
    Hmm. A US - Russia deal might sort out the World, rather than start WW3. We can only hope.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 135,037
    edited 12:33AM

    French presidential election polling - Bardella beats all comers

    https://x.com/frelects/status/2037656139769254182

    He only beats Philippe by 4% though in a second round
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 58,484
    edited 12:35AM
    Kaboom

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037678215473287187

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (-2)
    GRN: 20% (+7)
    CON: 18% (-3)
    LAB: 15% (-3)
    LDM: 14% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @VerianGroup , 20-23 Mar.
    Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 8,579

    Kaboom

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037678215473287187

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (-2)
    GRN: 20% (+7)
    CON: 18% (-3)
    LAB: 15% (-3)
    LDM: 14% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @VerianGroup , 20-23 Mar.
    Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.

    Formerly Kantar.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 135,037

    Kaboom

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037678215473287187

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (-2)
    GRN: 20% (+7)
    CON: 18% (-3)
    LAB: 15% (-3)
    LDM: 14% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @VerianGroup , 20-23 Mar.
    Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.

    Posted earlier and overrates the Greens and underrates Labour relative to the BMG poll carried out a few days later

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037596648059044086?s=20
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,665

    Kaboom

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037678215473287187

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (-2)
    GRN: 20% (+7)
    CON: 18% (-3)
    LAB: 15% (-3)
    LDM: 14% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @VerianGroup , 20-23 Mar.
    Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.

    Things are starting to get a bit serious for the establishment parties.
  • Andy_JS said:

    Kaboom

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037678215473287187

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (-2)
    GRN: 20% (+7)
    CON: 18% (-3)
    LAB: 15% (-3)
    LDM: 14% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @VerianGroup , 20-23 Mar.
    Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.

    Things are starting to get a bit serious for the establishment parties.
    Andy are you okay?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,938
    japc said:

    Hmm. A US - Russia deal might sort out the World, rather than start WW3. We can only hope.

    Well, yes - if the "deal" is that Russia is told by America to piss off back within its borders.

    We can only hope.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,679
    Here you go:


  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 87,602
    Explains a lot.

    Trump: I hang out with losers because it makes be feel better. I hate guys that are very, very successful and you have to listen to their success stories. I like people that like to listen to my success.
    https://x.com/Acyn/status/2037662805558517844W
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 4,300
    japc said:

    Hmm. A US - Russia deal might sort out the World, rather than start WW3. We can only hope.

    Oh great- a fascist diktat- that will go well...
  • Nigelb said:

    Explains a lot.

    Trump: I hang out with losers because it makes be feel better. I hate guys that are very, very successful and you have to listen to their success stories. I like people that like to listen to my success.
    https://x.com/Acyn/status/2037662805558517844W

    He’s just such a bellend.
  • BattlebusBattlebus Posts: 2,792

    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @fintwitter.bsky.social‬

    GERMAN CHANCELLOR MERZ: US AND ISRAEL HAVE NO STRATEGY ON WHAT THEY WANT

    Half true

    America has no strategy

    Israel, by contrast, is forensically focused on fucking up Iran as much as possible, for as long as possible, and hopefully turning it into a failed state that can't bake a loaf let alone build a nuke. And they intend to do this by dragging America deeper into the mire
    Some truth in this I fear.

    Bibi is looking at himself in a historical context (like VVP).

    He is already the longest serving PM in Israeli history (18 years, and counting) and as a war leader could transform the Middle East by extending Israel's geographical footprint, destroying her historic enemies, and delivering regime change in Iran, which might lead to an effective alliance with the Saudis and Iran, underpinned by client states in Jordan and Lebanon.

    And he gets to avoid being prosecuted.

    Not a bad legacy from his POV.
    Like all 'legacies' built on a pile of dead bodies and destruction.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 28,083
    dixiedean said:

    DavidL said:

    https://x.com/visegrad24/status/2037631705780015396

    Russia announces its banning the export of gasoline

    This could be either domestic shortages or reducing supply to put further pressure on oil importing nations’ economies.
    Filled my tank this morning. This is coming.
    Christ! You got a tank?
    The futures bleaker than I'd imagined.
    Part of the 1st HYUFD irregular battalion. Poised to invade Edinburgh at a moments notice. Deploys special anti-mime and anti-satiric-poetry munitions. Captures the haggises from the locals and sets them free. A terror, I tell thee.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,938
    Another 1,300 Russian soldiers and 80 artillery pieces/MLRS not reporting for duty in Ukraine today.

    The totals will be 1.3m and 39,000 respectively at some point next week.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 127,125

    NEW THREAD

  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,508
    ...
    carnforth said:

    Kaboom

    https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2037678215473287187

    Westminster Voting Intention:

    RFM: 25% (-2)
    GRN: 20% (+7)
    CON: 18% (-3)
    LAB: 15% (-3)
    LDM: 14% (+1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @VerianGroup , 20-23 Mar.
    Changes w/ 12-15 Dec.

    Formerly Kantar.
    Who seem to have kept most of their polling people by the looks of it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,508

    French presidential election polling - Bardella beats all comers

    https://x.com/frelects/status/2037656139769254182

    Slight missed opportunity for a 'Lionel Blair exhausted after beating off Two Gentlemen of Verona.' double entendre there.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 32,771
    RobD said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    "Badenoch considers burka ban

    Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/

    Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny

    Kemi is right. Ban them

    It would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
    Kemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions.

    Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
    And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countries

    So what exactly is your objection?
    Catching up,

    If there is no evidence of a basis for implementing a policy, then it is a matter of prejudice - which is not how we seek to operate as a society. There are only perhaps 1% of Muslim women who wear a full-face veil; that should be their choice.

    I see from the Telegraph article that Kemi suggests that she views this as a low priority.

    The thing that I find most startling in the survey is that 76% of the respondents want to ban "exclusion of women from religious leadership". Would you support that? That would ban the male only Roman Catholic priesthood, and male only Episcopates.



    Gift link:
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/a5ca0614bc035101
    Who knows, we might have a woman Bishop of Rome before long.
    As I pointed out before, we have a female Apostle in the New Testament - so there is no reason why not other than Roman Catholic medievallism, plus some of the silly dogmas with which they are hamstring.

    Constantine's era has a lot to answer for.
  • isam said:

    Leon said:

    MattW said:

    Leon said:

    "Badenoch considers burka ban

    Tories understood to be ‘looking closely’ at merits of veto on face coverings as part of a review of Islamism"


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/03/27/kemi-badenoch-conservatives-burka-ban/

    Poignantly, I saw a woman in a full burqa today, not far from my flat. I cannot know her inner state but her body language expressed great unhappiness. Weighed down by these hideous deathly black shrouds. I do not believe any woman under 60 - if any - would voluntarily wear these appalling garments, They are symbols of misogyny and TOOLS of misogyny

    Kemi is right. Ban them

    It would outflank Labour on closer alignment with Europe on the issues that people care about.
    Kemi imputes that she knows how many thousands of people think, and evaluates them according to her personal opinions.

    Kemi is a knee-jerking fool. This is no better than Farage or Anderson.
    And yet this ban is what a vast majority of Brits want, according to polls. And several European countries - not notably Nazi - have banned them. And they are banned in multiple Muslim countries

    So what exactly is your objection?
    It would be interesting to see the left’s reaction if all Reform voters wives were suddenly dressed from head to toe in black sackcloths, except for when they were at home with the Reform male. I doubt it would be tossed aside as ‘their freedom to wear whatever they liked’
    "Reform voters wives" sounds like the world's worst pornographic magazine.
    Like the average Reform voter, it would suffer from poor circulation.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,749
    edited 12:22PM
    AnneJGP asked: "Aren't ballots secret anyway?"

    Not necessarily, in some parts of the US. Voting by mail allows voters to share their choices -- and in some cases to be intimidated into voting the "right" way.

    Vote fraud is not a large problem in the US, but it does occur, and when it does it is almost always done with mailed ballots. (I was charmed some years ago when I learned that there were problems with vote fraud in parts of eastern Kentucky, which did not involve mailed ballots. So those bribing voters felt able to trust those they bribed, without seeing the ballots they were buying.)
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