politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on the Copenhagen shootings and the day’s first poll s
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No, I'm not angry with voters at all, although I'm sorry for their sakes that they may be heading for a big mistake.Casino_Royale said:Translation: you're angry that the public aren't willing to vote Conservative in overwhelming numbers, and think it's their problem. Not the fault of the Conservatives.
Good luck with that.
I am disappointed with ex-Conservatives who should know better, but then for a large chunk of the last twenty-five years the Conservatives have been self-harming, so it's nothing new. It does seem that we may be returning to the bad old pre-2007 days in that respect.
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If you compare today's Ashcroft with the one that was coincident with the January ICM, we find the following change in shares:
Con +1
Lab +3
UKIP +1
Lib nc
Grn -3
So at least you can say that they both agree that the two-party share of Con & Lab has increased.0 -
There are so many caveats with the labour share in any poll for me
How many of these guys have even registered to vote....How many are Ant and Dec labour (ie supporters but Ed Miliband...no thanks)....How much is the score propped up by fantasy land assumptions on what will happen in Scotland etc. How many are ashamed kippers...
Hey ho.
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We shall see!MarqueeMark said:
And it will make for a fun ELBOW....GIN1138 said:
Lefties cheering on The Gord Lord and criticizing ICM will be funny!TheScreamingEagles said:Latest Ashcroft poll
Con 30 (-4) Lab 31 (nc) LD 9 (nc) UKIP 16 (+2) Greens 8 (+2)
#megapollingmonday0 -
The last month before the election should be interesting. Not for the campaign because I, and I suspect many more, just screen it out, but because of the possibility of grey or even black swans.
Ed will make a few more promises of goodies, Tories will shriek with dismay at the stupidity of it. Ed will claim 36 hours to save the NHS and the voters will yawn. Greens may pick up a couple of points, but it's the Kipper vote that could be the key.
I expected a gradual decline but that depends on a couple of factors. Europe has to behave itself. No doubt, there will be another Jihadist atrocity but that's almost factored in already. So it's the greater exposure and the possibility of a Grexit or something similar that may change things.
Hmm .. that's just a long-winded way to say that I'd prefer to see a 'highlights' edition only or take a long holiday somewhere else.0 -
It's one of London's more interesting seats, Mike.MikeK said:
Still nice to see that the Hampstead Lefties wont have it all there own way. My granddaughter says she might vote Labour, but then she's coming off a Lib/Dem binge.Peter_the_Punter said:
Well, I can't see him taking too many votes off the Lefties there, Antifrank - or indeed off anybody else.antifrank said:Meanwhile, another interesting UKIP candidate steps forward:
http://www.hamhigh.co.uk/news/politics/hampstead_and_kilburn_ukip_candidate_my_great_aim_is_to_licence_the_mosques_1_3956520
Labour hold.
I might have been more interested in it for betting purposes had Labour picked a strange candidate to replace the blessed Glenda, but they haven't. They also have a large LD vote to plunder, so this time it should be a fairly comfortable hold.
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It is the same in France. And if we get attacks here I expect we will get the same reaction here too.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, that is horrendous. Quite how Denmark, of all countries, got to that state is hard to comprehend.Cyclefree said:On the Today programme this morning there was an interview with a prominent Danish Jew and he was saying that they had got used to going out without anything which might identify them as Jewish i.e. no Star of David or kippah. And it was the phrase "they had got used to this" which really got to me.
It happened because (a) we let in people who were either taught that Jews were like apes and pigs, as part of their religion, or came from countries where, to put it mildly, dislike of Jews was widespread; and (b) this was not challenged over here. Indeed, some people - dishonourably - seemed to blame Jews for the predicament they were in. So anti-Semitism - a virus which has always been latent in Europe (and which we thought had largely vanished in the post-war decades) has been reintroduced and reinvigorated.
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France is a bit different, Cyclefree.Cyclefree said:
It is the same in France. And if we get attacks here I expect we will get the same reaction here too.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, that is horrendous. Quite how Denmark, of all countries, got to that state is hard to comprehend.Cyclefree said:On the Today programme this morning there was an interview with a prominent Danish Jew and he was saying that they had got used to going out without anything which might identify them as Jewish i.e. no Star of David or kippah. And it was the phrase "they had got used to this" which really got to me.
It happened because (a) we let in people who were either taught that Jews were like apes and pigs, as part of their religion, or came from countries where, to put it mildly, dislike of Jews was widespread; and (b) this was not challenged over here. Indeed, some people - dishonourably - seemed to blame Jews for the predicament they were in. So anti-Semitism - a virus which has always been latent in Europe (and which we thought had largely vanished in the post-war decades) has been reintroduced and reinvigorated.
There really are parts that would have preferred the Nazis to have won WW2.0 -
Because the money will simply be spent elsewhere.Luckyguy1983 said:
I agree, so why not ditch Trident and spend the money on conventional forces?Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Zims, Defence was one of the few departments not splurged on by Labour during their misrule. It's been stretched too thin for too long, and we must retain sufficient resources to protect or, if necessary, reclaim British territory overseas.
We should slash Aid, not Defence.0 -
Scott_P said:
Never mind lads, Ed has been on the telly again today. That should move his numbers...
@JoeWatts_: Cash-in-hand row overshadows Ed Miliband's apprenticeships announcement... http://t.co/qigdo9gY7h by @JoeMurphyLondon
The numbers may move in a way not necessarily to Ed's advantage0 -
Of course today was the day Labour said we need to be more like France ....... (more taxation, more unemployment and less growth)Scott_P said:Never mind lads, Ed has been on the telly again today. That should move his numbers...
@JoeWatts_: Cash-in-hand row overshadows Ed Miliband's apprenticeships announcement... http://t.co/qigdo9gY7h by @JoeMurphyLondon
Wonder how that will go down.
Is Baldrick coming up with their economic plan?0 -
Amazing that the NHS is people's number one policy concern. Strange also that the people haven't quite come round to the idea that the basic model doesn't work and that spaying yet more money at it will not work.
The number one problem facing Britain, though most seem unaware of it, is the looming terrorist war on the streets.
There's a great analysis about how a full on terrorist war is likely on the streets of Britain with not only Islamists but also English nationalists murdering away.
The government has closed down free speech and made protesting Islamism illegal.
What remains to do for somebody who's not prepared to see their country disappear
without a fight?
It's called "Warmonger" at:
http://john-moloney.blogspot.com/2015/02/warmonger.html
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But it does reinforce the point you made earlier - the movement it between Tories and others.TheScreamingEagles said:Latest Ashcroft poll
Con 30 (-4) Lab 31 (nc) LD 9 (nc) UKIP 16 (+2) Greens 8 (+2)0
