There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
If you argue that the Europeans are insular and unreliable allies then it's arguable, in that the US wouldn't expect any help from the Europeans in the Pacific either way and so fuck 'em.
But I tend to think that helping Ukraine to win would (a) create a new ally in Ukraine who could help the US in the future and, (b) free up Britain, at least, from the worries of European defence to help the US in the Pacific. Plus generally build confidence in democracies that they can stand up to dictatorships and win.
Maybe (b) is not so much a factor, because Britain's aircraft carriers aren't much use defending against Russia, so they will be available to become a missile target in the Pacific either way for all the good that will achieve.
I think the most important benefit of a Ukrainian victory with US assistance would be that it would create deterrence value against China attacking Taiwan. That even makes a case for the US air force intervening directly in the Ukraine War to achieve a rapid victory.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
If you argue that the Europeans are insular and unreliable allies then it's arguable, in that the US wouldn't expect any help from the Europeans in the Pacific either way and so fuck 'em.
But I tend to think that helping Ukraine to win would (a) create a new ally in Ukraine who could help the US in the future and, (b) free up Britain, at least, from the worries of European defence to help the US in the Pacific. Plus generally build confidence in democracies that they can stand up to dictatorships and win.
Maybe (b) is not so much a factor, because Britain's aircraft carriers aren't much use defending against Russia, so they will be available to become a missile target in the Pacific either way for all the good that will achieve.
I think the most important benefit of a Ukrainian victory with US assistance would be that it would create deterrence value against China attacking Taiwan. That even makes a case for the US air force intervening directly in the Ukraine War to achieve a rapid victory.
Ask yourself what your opponent doesn't want you to do. In the case of China I don't think they want the US to support Ukraine and defeat Russia. That does create opportunities for them but a Russia that is no longer a bulwark against the west leaves China isolated.
- Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL.
"Mr. Kellogg’s feelings about the Russians had been forged in the depths of the Cold War. Serving in U.S. Special Forces, he had led a Green Light team, soldiers trained to parachute behind Soviet lines with tactical nuclear weapons strapped between their legs. He also harbored a suspicion that the Russians had once tried to kill him. In 2000, while on the Army staff at the Pentagon, he had just left an event at the Russian embassy when he felt a sharp pain in his right elbow. Later, at dinner with friends, his wife noticed the swelling. The next day, he was rushed to the hospital, where doctors nearly had to amputate his arm to keep a staph infection from spreading."
Bloody hell, would the Russians have really tried to kill him in Washington DC? It's not like he was a major player, was he?
You can tell who is the PO in the header photo. Edit: and not just the rank badge.
I'm obscurely reminded of my father's tales of when his ship was in Pompey at holiday time when the rest of the crew were given just enough leave to go home if they lived somewhere godforsaken but easy like Tooting or Gosport. The residue from Scotland, Isle of Man, etc. had to stay on board but were given extra good meals by the remaining hash-slingers who felt it was in their own interests to do their best.
I told both Google AI and Grok about when I stayed in Gan. In the morning I walked to Lourdes and crossed the river Neez. Not long after I walked past an apiary; I saw the Neez Bees
Both of the AIs got the (real life) joke immediately, and told me how clever I was to make it at that moment (which I shared on PB)
I reckon that's quite good AI, to get the sound of a nonsensical Spoonerism of the Bees Knees
I watched the first of a twenty four part series about the Iron Curtain earlier. It was on the BBC in 1998, and narrated by Kenneth Branagh. One thing that struck me immediately was the use of the past tense to describe what had happened, rather than the modern trend of using the present, which I find really irritating
That's a really good series. I still use it today when teaching the Cold War, especially the episodes on Berlin (1948/61) Korea and Cuba.
The one on the break up of Yugoslavia that was broadcast in 1995 is excellent as well.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
If you argue that the Europeans are insular and unreliable allies then it's arguable, in that the US wouldn't expect any help from the Europeans in the Pacific either way and so fuck 'em.
But I tend to think that helping Ukraine to win would (a) create a new ally in Ukraine who could help the US in the future and, (b) free up Britain, at least, from the worries of European defence to help the US in the Pacific. Plus generally build confidence in democracies that they can stand up to dictatorships and win.
Maybe (b) is not so much a factor, because Britain's aircraft carriers aren't much use defending against Russia, so they will be available to become a missile target in the Pacific either way for all the good that will achieve.
I think the most important benefit of a Ukrainian victory with US assistance would be that it would create deterrence value against China attacking Taiwan. That even makes a case for the US air force intervening directly in the Ukraine War to achieve a rapid victory.
I think there are two reasonable self-interested positions for the United States on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. One is to see it as an attack on liberal democracy and the rule of law and therefore an attack on American hegemony. The US in this case should directly support Ukraine against Russia.
The other is to decide Europe is not our circus, not our monkeys. Europe can sort out the Ukraine mess itself. China is the US' biggest threat so it focuses its efforts there. The US supports the Europeans diplomatically and with intelligence but isn't otherwise involved.
Undermining its erstwhile allies for no benefit to itself is not in the US interest in my view.
..On December 27, 2025, numerous media outlets—Ukrainian, Russian, and international sources (e.g., Wikipedia, Euromaidan Press, Kyiv Independent, Russian propaganda channels)—reported the death of the commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK), Denis Kapustin (also known as Denis Nikitin or White Rex). He was reportedly killed in combat in the Zaporizhzhia region by a Russian FPV drone attack. The RDK itself initially confirmed this in an official statement.
Today, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense (GUR) released a video in which Kyrylo Budanov (head of the GUR) personally greets Denis Kapustin with the words, "Congratulations on your return!" and congratulates him and the GUR team.
According to the official statement from the GUR (Ukrainian Special Forces), this was a planned disinformation operation, prepared over a month in advance:
- Russian special services had offered a reward of $500,000 for the assassination of Kapustin (Kapustin is considered a terrorist in Russia and has been sentenced to life imprisonment multiple times in absentia).
- The GUR team (under the command of "Timur") successfully deceived the Russians, staged the assassination, and collected the money. 😂😂😂
- Kapustin is alive, safe in Ukraine, and preparing for further operations.
- The identities of the Russian masterminds and executors were revealed.
Budanov praised the operation as a complete success: The Russian services were "fooled," and the money received will now be used to strengthen Ukrainian special forces... https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/2006715072047976774
Yes, @rcs1000. Me, @viewcode . Years ago. It's one of the better of his (China Mieville) standalone novels, although I think his best remains "The City And The City" in that regard. I remember liking it (Embassytown) but for the life of me I can't remember why.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Vance is just an arse. That's all.
An interesting party game is to identify if there's anything, anything at all, that JD Vance, dogmatist always willing to share an opinion, actually believes in, unless it's to progress his career.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Yes, Vance has a real hillbilly sized chip on his shoulder when dealing with Europeans. He is jealous of a class above him, which may be why he got on so well with Lammy. Vance doesn't see Lammy as part of that European elite, and I think Lammy has a similar chip on his shoulder.
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
I watched the first of a twenty four part series about the Iron Curtain earlier. It was on the BBC in 1998, and narrated by Kenneth Branagh. One thing that struck me immediately was the use of the past tense to describe what had happened, rather than the modern trend of using the present, which I find really irritating
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Yes, Vance has a real hillbilly sized chip on his shoulder when dealing with Europeans. He is jealous of a class above him, which may be why he got on so well with Lammy. Vance doesn't see Lammy as part of that European elite, and I think Lammy has a similar chip on his shoulder.
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Yes, Vance has a real hillbilly sized chip on his shoulder when dealing with Europeans. He is jealous of a class above him, which may be why he got on so well with Lammy. Vance doesn't see Lammy as part of that European elite, and I think Lammy has a similar chip on his shoulder.
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
Yes, @rcs1000. Me, @viewcode . Years ago. It's one of the better of his (China Mieville) standalone novels, although I think his best remains "The City And The City" in that regard. I remember liking it (Embassytown) but for the life of me I can't remember why.
I loved Perdido Street Station, really liked The Scar, and loved the premise of The City and The City, but felt it didn't quite achieve its potential as a novel.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
If you argue that the Europeans are insular and unreliable allies then it's arguable, in that the US wouldn't expect any help from the Europeans in the Pacific either way and so fuck 'em.
But I tend to think that helping Ukraine to win would (a) create a new ally in Ukraine who could help the US in the future and, (b) free up Britain, at least, from the worries of European defence to help the US in the Pacific. Plus generally build confidence in democracies that they can stand up to dictatorships and win.
Maybe (b) is not so much a factor, because Britain's aircraft carriers aren't much use defending against Russia, so they will be available to become a missile target in the Pacific either way for all the good that will achieve.
I think the most important benefit of a Ukrainian victory with US assistance would be that it would create deterrence value against China attacking Taiwan. That even makes a case for the US air force intervening directly in the Ukraine War to achieve a rapid victory.
Ask yourself what your opponent doesn't want you to do. In the case of China I don't think they want the US to support Ukraine and defeat Russia. That does create opportunities for them but a Russia that is no longer a bulwark against the west leaves China isolated.
Yes, @rcs1000. Me, @viewcode . Years ago. It's one of the better of his (China Mieville) standalone novels, although I think his best remains "The City And The City" in that regard. I remember liking it (Embassytown) but for the life of me I can't remember why.
I notice the Guardian has chose this moment to publish a piece by the Iranian foreign minister. I wonder if they will give a right of reply to an Iranian dissident.
The Iranian FM's call to the West to engage with Iran might suddenly be topical, but not necessarily in the way his regime would like.
In the least surprising news ever, Usman Khawaja has announced he will be retiring after the Sydney Test.
As the current series has been disappointingly short, I've been trying to watch highlights of the 2010/11 series on YouTube. The available vids aren't great, annoyingly jumping large segments. Overall impression is that the standard of test batting has deteriorated dramatically in 15 years.
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Yes, Vance has a real hillbilly sized chip on his shoulder when dealing with Europeans. He is jealous of a class above him, which may be why he got on so well with Lammy. Vance doesn't see Lammy as part of that European elite, and I think Lammy has a similar chip on his shoulder.
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
It will be great if they exposed in the banishment. "I am- and always have been - a traitor" as the Traitors' jaws drop. But then - does Claudia get to pick a replacement from amongst the Faithful? (Secret Traitor - or die...)
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Yes, Vance has a real hillbilly sized chip on his shoulder when dealing with Europeans. He is jealous of a class above him, which may be why he got on so well with Lammy. Vance doesn't see Lammy as part of that European elite, and I think Lammy has a similar chip on his shoulder.
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
Above all, try to persuade Vance that Ukraine is where white people originate from.
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Yet the village has been demonstrably better off without its twat.
The site runs from full-on 1980s style Tory to full-on 1980s style Labour, with a healthy dose of Scots nationalism thrown in for good measure. It’s a sign of the times that all of this can be dismissed as centrist; if Max is in want of extremist bile, he won’t find the rest of the internet lacking in places to partake.
I just had a very interesting discussion with Grok about my upcoming walk down the west of France. It gave me plenty of useful looking advice, similar to a recent chat with Google AI
I told it my holiday motto*, and that I like to drink beer while walking. It gave me a whole load more advice, centred around beer. And a cracking suggestion: put that motto on a T-shirt; people might buy you beer
Well done Grok. All of my T-shirts will say that!
*Je marche partout, et je bois comme un trou. In case you didn’t know
I hope Grok said that.
ChatGPT was entirely incapable of creating a ribald limerick about Blow Job Bob earlier. It was like bloody Youtube's maiden aunt, and the limericks did not even scan.
Also with rice, chips, Peshwari naan and mango chutney.
Is there a particular reason for the combination of meats?
I had a chicken breast left over that I didn’t know what to do with.
God that's carby.
I had a lamb rigatoni via Hello Fresh, plus a chicken breast on the side and very pleasant balsamic red cabbage, and I take their amount of pasta, make 3 meals out of 2, and still reduce it some more.
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy New Year Max, and I'll be genuinely glad to see you back around.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ? You can do better than that crap.
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Funny, I always saw Southam Observer as the ultimate centrist dad, now I discover he was ‘actual left’. I recollect he was quite a Starmer fan, it’d be interesting to see where he is now.
“Did you believe you had sufficient evidence to obtain and sustain a conviction against Donald Trump for interference with the lawful transfer of power?”
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy New Year Max, and I'll be genuinely glad to see you back around.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ? You can do better than that crap.
Centrists have it worse than anyone, hated by left and right.
Fortunately we have our smugness to see us through it.
“Did you believe you had sufficient evidence to obtain and sustain a conviction against Donald Trump for interference with the lawful transfer of power?”
I just had a very interesting discussion with Grok about my upcoming walk down the west of France. It gave me plenty of useful looking advice, similar to a recent chat with Google AI
I told it my holiday motto*, and that I like to drink beer while walking. It gave me a whole load more advice, centred around beer. And a cracking suggestion: put that motto on a T-shirt; people might buy you beer
Well done Grok. All of my T-shirts will say that!
*Je marche partout, et je bois comme un trou. In case you didn’t know
I hope Grok said that.
ChatGPT was entirely incapable of creating a ribald limerick about Blow Job Bob earlier. It was like bloody Youtube's maiden aunt, and the limericks did not even scan.
I shit you not. Grok said it should be a t-shirt, and I heartily agree
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy New Year Max, and I'll be genuinely glad to see you back around.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ? You can do better than that crap.
Is "centrist" code for "people I don't agree with"?
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Funny, I always saw Southam Observer as the ultimate centrist dad, now I discover he was ‘actual left’. I recollect he was quite a Starmer fan, it’d be interesting to see where he is now.
Incredibly, someone has written a serious repost to @MaxPB before his pixels were even dry:
“Did you believe you had sufficient evidence to obtain and sustain a conviction against Donald Trump for interference with the lawful transfer of power?”
He actually seemed to move pretty quickly, as these things go, once he was appointed, but it took way too long to do so.
Smith was, and remains excellent. It's simply that the capacity to legally stall, and the fact that Judge Cannon was utterly corrupt, made a successful prosecution impossible.
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Funny, I always saw Southam Observer as the ultimate centrist dad, now I discover he was ‘actual left’. I recollect he was quite a Starmer fan, it’d be interesting to see where he is now.
He’s at the ‘if they’re losing people like me’ stage of self importance
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
If you argue that the Europeans are insular and unreliable allies then it's arguable, in that the US wouldn't expect any help from the Europeans in the Pacific either way and so fuck 'em.
But I tend to think that helping Ukraine to win would (a) create a new ally in Ukraine who could help the US in the future and, (b) free up Britain, at least, from the worries of European defence to help the US in the Pacific. Plus generally build confidence in democracies that they can stand up to dictatorships and win.
Maybe (b) is not so much a factor, because Britain's aircraft carriers aren't much use defending against Russia, so they will be available to become a missile target in the Pacific either way for all the good that will achieve.
I think the most important benefit of a Ukrainian victory with US assistance would be that it would create deterrence value against China attacking Taiwan. That even makes a case for the US air force intervening directly in the Ukraine War to achieve a rapid victory.
I expect that Taiwan have been talking to Ukraine about sea drones for some time now.
Keir Starmer's former No 10 Director of Strategy has hit out at the "Stakeholder State"
He says Civil Servants mentioned the case of Alaa Abd el-Fattah with "such regularity" that it became a "running joke" inside No 10 about Whitehall's "sheer weirdness"
"We are only seeing a tiny part of it. Like an iceberg, the vast mass remains hidden from view, buttressed in silence"
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy New Year Max, and I'll be genuinely glad to see you back around.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ? You can do better than that crap.
Is "centrist" code for "people I don't agree with"?
Oh, I'm fine with that - I'm happy to return the insult in kind, or just ignore it. It's the "censorship" schtick which is tedious.
Keir Starmer's former No 10 Director of Strategy has hit out at the "Stakeholder State"
He says Civil Servants mentioned the case of Alaa Abd el-Fattah with "such regularity" that it became a "running joke" inside No 10 about Whitehall's "sheer weirdness"
"We are only seeing a tiny part of it. Like an iceberg, the vast mass remains hidden from view, buttressed in silence"
“Did you believe you had sufficient evidence to obtain and sustain a conviction against Donald Trump for interference with the lawful transfer of power?”
He actually seemed to move pretty quickly, as these things go, once he was appointed, but it took way too long to do so.
Smith was, and remains excellent. It's simply that the capacity to legally stall, and the fact that Judge Cannon was utterly corrupt, made a successful prosecution impossible.
The transfer of power case was before a DC judge who was moving things along at a fair clip, aided by Smith only charging Trump (unlike the Georgia prosecutors) though the Supreme Court nixed most of it by declaring even most things not connected to presidential acts immune. But IIRC the case had to go back to the DC judge to consider in light of that judgement, so something would have likely moved forward.
I watched the first of a twenty four part series about the Iron Curtain earlier. It was on the BBC in 1998, and narrated by Kenneth Branagh. One thing that struck me immediately was the use of the past tense to describe what had happened, rather than the modern trend of using the present, which I find really irritating
There is a quite good 'of the moment' Timewatch episode just called "A Cold War" from 1991. Worth tracking down for it's version of history right as the Soviet empire was collapsing.
Stuff is certainly going on in Iran. Will it be enough to overturn the regime, though ?
I hope so, even if that would bring its own risks.
Many regimes have just enough strength to get by, and when they reach a tipping point of odiousness that pushes things over the edge they collapse, for better or worse. Unfortuantely there's also a lot of genuinely strong odious regimes in the world - which also assist each other whatever their disparate ideologicical pretexts - with sufficient control or base level support to continue on with no clear end, who can sadly weather many storms.
“Did you believe you had sufficient evidence to obtain and sustain a conviction against Donald Trump for interference with the lawful transfer of power?”
He actually seemed to move pretty quickly, as these things go, once he was appointed, but it took way too long to do so.
Smith was, and remains excellent. It's simply that the capacity to legally stall, and the fact that Judge Cannon was utterly corrupt, made a successful prosecution impossible.
The transfer of power case was before a DC judge who was moving things along at a fair clip, aided by Smith only charging Trump (unlike the Georgia prosecutors) though the Supreme Court nixed most of it by declaring even most things not connected to presidential acts immune. But IIRC the case had to go back to the DC judge to consider in light of that judgement, so something would have likely moved forward.
If the Dems get back in, Jack Smith is a possible shout for Attorney General. The DoJ will need some fundamental reforms, having been thoroughly politicised / corrupted. Smith has wide experience, including 5 years at the ICC on investigations and prosecuting war crimes concerning Kosovo.
The DOJ have lost a large chunk - thousands - of their experienced attorneys.
Keir Starmer's former No 10 Director of Strategy has hit out at the "Stakeholder State"
He says Civil Servants mentioned the case of Alaa Abd el-Fattah with "such regularity" that it became a "running joke" inside No 10 about Whitehall's "sheer weirdness"
"We are only seeing a tiny part of it. Like an iceberg, the vast mass remains hidden from view, buttressed in silence"
"...The...question this raises is how a government elected on a vast parliamentary majority, at a time of mounting public impatience, with fundamental problems to fix, allows itself to become distracted by this sort of political folderol....[The answer is] What we are witnessing is...the supremacy of the Stakeholder State. The Stakeholder State is not a single phenomenon. Instead, it is the...shift of politics and power away from voters and towards groups with the time, money and institutional access to make themselves too important to ignore..."
Keir Starmer's former No 10 Director of Strategy has hit out at the "Stakeholder State"
He says Civil Servants mentioned the case of Alaa Abd el-Fattah with "such regularity" that it became a "running joke" inside No 10 about Whitehall's "sheer weirdness"
"We are only seeing a tiny part of it. Like an iceberg, the vast mass remains hidden from view, buttressed in silence"
"...The...question this raises is how a government elected on a vast parliamentary majority, at a time of mounting public impatience, with fundamental problems to fix, allows itself to become distracted by this sort of political folderol....[The answer is] What we are witnessing is...the supremacy of the Stakeholder State. The Stakeholder State is not a single phenomenon. Instead, it is the...shift of politics and power away from voters and towards groups with the time, money and institutional access to make themselves too important to ignore..."
There is something in it, a lot of our processes hold up decision-making a little too much I think, and we certainly incentivize those with the time, energy, and access to moan the most, though I think it's a bit weird for any politician to complain when they set up that kind of approach, and also it probably isn't a simple fix, since it is a matter of rebalancing rather than just going back in time to a point when there were fewer obstacles to unfettered discretion of ministers or whatever.
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy New Year Max, and I'll be genuinely glad to see you back around.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ? You can do better than that crap.
Is "centrist" code for "people I don't agree with"?
Think of it as a normal distribution. When you're the sort of person who thinks there is a grand conspiracy by university professors to persuade women not to have children, you're well into the 99th percentile. Therefore the large majority of people who occupy the middle of the distribution are going to appear centrist from that perspective.
I appreciate that it must feel oppressive facing down the vast bulk of centrist opinion, but it probably does reflect how the nation thinks more than the more maverick opinions do. PB has obvious biases but I think most people are aware of them - e.g. a collective intense dislike of Trump, but the site also understood there was a high likelihood he would get re-elected.
Happy new year everyone! Hope 2026 is better than 2025. I think I'll be posting a lot less over the next year, this place isn't the same without some of the characters we've lost. I've realised that PB has simply become a haven of "centrist dad" opinion and we've lost actual left and right wing commenters like @SouthamObserver, @Leon and others either to apathy or bans and it's the debate is worse for it overall. As a result the quality of understanding of how the nation is actually thinking has declined drastically.
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Happy New Year Max, and I'll be genuinely glad to see you back around.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ? You can do better than that crap.
Is "centrist" code for "people I don't agree with"?
Think of it as a normal distribution. When you're the sort of person who thinks there is a grand conspiracy by university professors to persuade women not to have children, you're well into the 99th percentile. Therefore the large majority of people who occupy the middle of the distribution are going to appear centrist from that perspective.
I appreciate that it must feel oppressive facing down the vast bulk of centrist opinion, but it probably does reflect how the nation thinks more than the more maverick opinions do. PB has obvious biases but I think most people are aware of them - e.g. a collective intense dislike of Trump, but the site also understood there was a high likelihood he would get re-elected.
I do think it is important to reflect that whilst most of the time the answer between two extremes probably lies somewhere in the middle, there will be times that one side or the other will be more correct though. Hence some people having a mixture of somewhat inconsistent left and right ideas, imperfect as those labels are (or even when adding authoritarian/libertarian axis to the analysis).
"The downstream effects of your phone-based life means that, for all your gains in physical health in 2026, insofar as you resemble the average British person you will be more solitary, sadder and stupider than you were last year. A record 40 per cent of adults are single, rising to 63 per cent of men under 30; according to demographer Alice Evans, by keeping us separate smartphones may be driving down fertility rates. Strong social bonds underpin wellbeing, so unsurprisingly mental health problems are up, particularly among teens. New evidence shows plateauing IQ scores and declining verbal and numerical reasoning among Westerners, with smartphones a likely culprit. The online world may even be changing our personalities, making us less conscientious and more neurotic." (£)
There goes Trump's morally depraved "hemispheres of influence" strategy.
China Signals It Won’t Give an Inch to the U.S. in Latin America—Beijing doubles down on its ambitions for the region just as Trump tries to assert dominance over the Western Hemisphere https://x.com/JChengWSJ/status/2006666961476858215
There goes Trump's morally depraved "hemispheres of influence" strategy.
China Signals It Won’t Give an Inch to the U.S. in Latin America—Beijing doubles down on its ambitions for the region just as Trump tries to assert dominance over the Western Hemisphere https://x.com/JChengWSJ/status/2006666961476858215
China can say they will reenact the Treaty of Tordesillas, with the USA having influence over everything East of the line, and see if he goes for it.
There goes Trump's morally depraved "hemispheres of influence" strategy.
China Signals It Won’t Give an Inch to the U.S. in Latin America—Beijing doubles down on its ambitions for the region just as Trump tries to assert dominance over the Western Hemisphere https://x.com/JChengWSJ/status/2006666961476858215
There goes Trump's morally depraved "hemispheres of influence" strategy.
China Signals It Won’t Give an Inch to the U.S. in Latin America—Beijing doubles down on its ambitions for the region just as Trump tries to assert dominance over the Western Hemisphere https://x.com/JChengWSJ/status/2006666961476858215
Morally depraved? That's a bit strong.
Why?
I suppose context is everything. Mind you, there is plenty of context.
Betfair 2026 local election winner market looks interesting. To be settled on number of elected mayors / head of local govt. 6 London mayors, number of London councils and a large number of councils where only 1/3 are up for election... Not much money in the market but Reform very short odds. The mayor part is clear, head of local govt presumably means overall party control? Can't see Reform winning control of any councils with only 1/3 of councillors up for election. What happens with NOC councils?
Neil Kinnock to Alan Rusbridger about Keir Starmer
“...I think there are elements in and around the Labour party encouraging... [becoming Reform-lite] as a way of responding to Reform, and they are fundamentally, 100 per cent, 22-carat wrong...Appeasers get eaten...It’s very important to remember that if people are offered two versions of a particular political brand, they will always choose the genuine one...If people are offered two conservative parties, they will choose a genuine one. If a progressive party is trying to use the vocabulary of isolationism or segregation or division, it’s the same. It is silly to do that. It isn’t evil, but it is very, very silly - maybe mortally stupid....”
There is another excellent long article for SMO enthusiasts in the NYT this morning - available via the paywall busting technology of your choice.
It's doesn't tell much that seasoned observers of matters in the Donyetskiy Bassein didn't already know but it's well written and entertaining.
- Hegseth is a craven fucking bootlicker who just wants to please Trump even when it's not apparent what exactly would please Trump. - Kellog is a cold war dinosaur who should have been pensioned off and let nowhere near the SMO. I didn't know the Russians had tried to assassinate him at an embassy dinner with a lethal injection. Fucking LOL. - Zelenskiy, as we already know, doesn't listen to anybody and sporadically fucks himself and by extension Ukraine by not doing so. - All of Trump's court eunuchs (Lutnick, that lanky cum stain Jared, etc.) run independent and competing foreign policies. - Trump is Trump. - The only person who seems to have a clear eyed strategy in the whole farrago is Just Dance. He thinks aiding Ukraine only helps Europe and is a complete misallocation of resources that should be going to the Pacific. He's probably right in strictly instrumental terms.
Is the JD view correct? Because right now, the only winner from the Ukraine war is China, which is increasingly reducing Russia to vassal status
JD Vance is not correct. His policy on Ukraine, Russia and Europe generally serves no purpose except he takes pleasure in humiliating Europeans. At least Trump is transactional. He and his family expect to make a lot of money out of Russia.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
Yes, Vance has a real hillbilly sized chip on his shoulder when dealing with Europeans. He is jealous of a class above him, which may be why he got on so well with Lammy. Vance doesn't see Lammy as part of that European elite, and I think Lammy has a similar chip on his shoulder.
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
Vance is apparently good friends with George Osborne? The Lammy friendship surprises me because I've always seen Lammy as quite 'woke'/keen on DEI/reparations etc.
Maybe Vance just likes the UK and doesn't see it as Europe.
Comments
But I tend to think that helping Ukraine to win would (a) create a new ally in Ukraine who could help the US in the future and, (b) free up Britain, at least, from the worries of European defence to help the US in the Pacific. Plus generally build confidence in democracies that they can stand up to dictatorships and win.
Maybe (b) is not so much a factor, because Britain's aircraft carriers aren't much use defending against Russia, so they will be available to become a missile target in the Pacific either way for all the good that will achieve.
I think the most important benefit of a Ukrainian victory with US assistance would be that it would create deterrence value against China attacking Taiwan. That even makes a case for the US air force intervening directly in the Ukraine War to achieve a rapid victory.
If I can just learn how to say the new motto..
https://www.royalnavy.mod.uk/careers/roles/catering-services-rating
Bloody hell, would the Russians have really tried to kill him in Washington DC? It's not like he was a major player, was he?
I'm obscurely reminded of my father's tales of when his ship was in Pompey at holiday time when the rest of the crew were given just enough leave to go home if they lived somewhere godforsaken but easy like Tooting or Gosport. The residue from Scotland, Isle of Man, etc. had to stay on board but were given extra good meals by the remaining hash-slingers who felt it was in their own interests to do their best.
I’m off to bed to watch the darts.
Both of the AIs got the (real life) joke immediately, and told me how clever I was to make it at that moment (which I shared on PB)
I reckon that's quite good AI, to get the sound of a nonsensical Spoonerism of the Bees Knees
I am sure I have told you I am the only living man who has ever burned a salad.
Yes, really.
Several times.
It's odd.
Both deeply ludicrous, and at the same time, strangely credible.
So a bit like F1.
I wouldn't say the Russian invasion of Ukraine is a win for China. It wasn't what they wanted but they have so far avoided being dragged into it.
That's all.
The other is to decide Europe is not our circus, not our monkeys. Europe can sort out the Ukraine mess itself. China is the US' biggest threat so it focuses its efforts there. The US supports the Europeans diplomatically and with intelligence but isn't otherwise involved.
Undermining its erstwhile allies for no benefit to itself is not in the US interest in my view.
Secret Traitor is a super addition.
And Roxy and Jade are gorgeous.
..On December 27, 2025, numerous media outlets—Ukrainian, Russian, and international sources (e.g., Wikipedia, Euromaidan Press, Kyiv Independent, Russian propaganda channels)—reported the death of the commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK), Denis Kapustin (also known as Denis Nikitin or White Rex). He was reportedly killed in combat in the Zaporizhzhia region by a Russian FPV drone attack. The RDK itself initially confirmed this in an official statement.
Today, the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense (GUR) released a video in which Kyrylo Budanov (head of the GUR) personally greets Denis Kapustin with the words, "Congratulations on your return!" and congratulates him and the GUR team.
According to the official statement from the GUR (Ukrainian Special Forces), this was a planned disinformation operation, prepared over a month in advance:
- Russian special services had offered a reward of $500,000 for the assassination of Kapustin (Kapustin is considered a terrorist in Russia and has been sentenced to life imprisonment multiple times in absentia).
- The GUR team (under the command of "Timur") successfully deceived the Russians, staged the assassination, and collected the money. 😂😂😂
- Kapustin is alive, safe in Ukraine, and preparing for further operations.
- The identities of the Russian masterminds and executors were revealed.
Budanov praised the operation as a complete success: The Russian services were "fooled," and the money received will now be used to strengthen Ukrainian special forces...
https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/2006715072047976774
Yatata
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l9W0kG138IA
Pause
This is probably not as helpful as you wanted. Still, here's a quick BookTube review by a woman in skull pyjamas: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1KyXbqQF9WA
I am the Secret Traitor.
But Slebs + Secret Traitor will be fun!
Vance is a chameleon in human form, a sort of Talented Mr Ripley. I think he is even more susceptible to flattery than Trump. Getting him onside is probably mostly a matter of getting him some red carpet type treatment next time he comes here.
https://x.com/DPMcBride/status/2006830800994750546?s=20
https://x.com/DPMcBride/status/2006830835203477524?s=20
That might inter alia be good news for Ukraine
I got bored with Iron Council.
I can't decide on Railsea or Embassytown next.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/dec/30/iran-donald-trump-real-talks-both-win
To your point, I should add I doubt many dissidents would disagree with his argument.
Overall impression is that the standard of test batting has deteriorated dramatically in 15 years.
It will be great if they exposed in the banishment. "I am- and always have been - a traitor" as the Traitors' jaws drop. But then - does Claudia get to pick a replacement from amongst the Faithful? (Secret Traitor - or die...)
I used to see PB as a barometer of how the nation was feeling and it was a fairly reliable leading indicator and we had people who campaigned on the ground giving their honest view of how things were going, now it's not like that and all we've ended up with is overwhelming number of "centrist" posters drowning out how the 80% who aren't in the centre are thinking and feeling.
Along with what seems like an overly harsh interpretation of the consequences of the OSA and a lack of diverse opinions from particularly left wingers who give as good as they get this place isn't what it used to be. The robustness and the honesty has been replaced by boring centrists who enforce censorship on the rest of us.
I'll still be around and may even come up with a header or two if Robert is happy to put them up but it won't be as much as 2025. Life, kids, a new job, moving house, my wife is going back to work, we're talking about number four(!) are my priorities for the year and I think with all that and it not being an election year means my focus is just going to be elsewhere. I hope that everyone else on PB is able to take a step back too and realise that whatever is happening in Westminster, Washington or anywhere else - family and the people around us are more important.
With that I'll return to our Mexican adventure (which is less than ideal with a baby under one!).
Before crossing the road?
You could be an LLM run by @Leon…
The site runs from full-on 1980s style Tory to full-on 1980s style Labour, with a healthy dose of Scots nationalism thrown in for good measure. It’s a sign of the times that all of this can be dismissed as centrist; if Max is in want of extremist bile, he won’t find the rest of the internet lacking in places to partake.
ChatGPT was entirely incapable of creating a ribald limerick about Blow Job Bob earlier. It was like bloody Youtube's maiden aunt, and the limericks did not even scan.
I had a lamb rigatoni via Hello Fresh, plus a chicken breast on the side and very pleasant balsamic red cabbage, and I take their amount of pasta, make 3 meals out of 2, and still reduce it some more.
But the "boring centrist censorship" schtick ?
You can do better than that crap.
I recollect he was quite a Starmer fan, it’d be interesting to see where he is now.
“Did you believe you had sufficient evidence to obtain and sustain a conviction against Donald Trump for interference with the lawful transfer of power?”
JACK SMITH: “Yes.”
https://x.com/TheTNHoller/status/2006495840769290699
Fortunately we have our smugness to see us through it.
- i) Contributions from left-wing people who give as good as they get drown out the discourse, leading to a lack of diversity, or
- ii) Contributions from left-wing people who give as good as they get are lacking, leading to a lack of diversity
PS don't go. I need somebody to patronise because they think Ed Miliband is a Communist, and if you go there won't be enough left...Incredibly, someone has written a serious repost to @MaxPB before his pixels were even dry:
https://bristoliver.substack.com/p/in-defence-of-centrism
It's simply that the capacity to legally stall, and the fact that Judge Cannon was utterly corrupt, made a successful prosecution impossible.
Keir Starmer's former No 10 Director of Strategy has hit out at the "Stakeholder State"
He says Civil Servants mentioned the case of Alaa Abd el-Fattah with "such regularity" that it became a "running joke" inside No 10 about Whitehall's "sheer weirdness"
"We are only seeing a tiny part of it. Like an iceberg, the vast mass remains hidden from view, buttressed in silence"
It's the "censorship" schtick which is tedious.
“Liz Truss was right”????!!!???
https://youtu.be/-egMduicE3A
Will it be enough to overturn the regime, though ?
I hope so, even if that would bring its own risks.
The DOJ have lost a large chunk - thousands - of their experienced attorneys.
Shades of @Malmesbury 's Process State
Shit, that was pretty centrist of me, wasn't it?
Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social
It's New Year, so time to look back and forward. These are 10 things I think we need to recognise in 2026.
Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social
1. Russia isn’t winning in Ukraine.
If your military capacity relies on DPRK and Iran, and you've turned yourself into a dependent of China, you’re not a great power.
https://bsky.app/profile/ruthdeyermond.bsky.social/post/3mbetvcokp22t
I appreciate that it must feel oppressive facing down the vast bulk of centrist opinion, but it probably does reflect how the nation thinks more than the more maverick opinions do. PB has obvious biases but I think most people are aware of them - e.g. a collective intense dislike of Trump, but the site also understood there was a high likelihood he would get re-elected.
I wish the forces of freedom in Iran well, as I have done for years. This evil regime must go.
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/society/2026/01/dry-january-wont-save-you
China Signals It Won’t Give an Inch to the U.S. in Latin America—Beijing doubles down on its ambitions for the region just as Trump tries to assert dominance over the Western Hemisphere
https://x.com/JChengWSJ/status/2006666961476858215
No, you're right, that's a ludicrous idea.
I suppose context is everything. Mind you, there is plenty of context.
To be settled on number of elected mayors / head of local govt. 6 London mayors, number of London councils and a large number of councils where only 1/3 are up for election...
Not much money in the market but Reform very short odds.
The mayor part is clear, head of local govt presumably means overall party control?
Can't see Reform winning control of any councils with only 1/3 of councillors up for election. What happens with NOC councils?
There are reports of casualties as young as 15 (at 1:30am). Decor seems to be rustic wooden boards / upholstery, and soft furnishings.
40 dead, 115 injured.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2pmyyeg78o
“...I think there are elements in and around the Labour party encouraging... [becoming Reform-lite] as a way of responding to Reform, and they are fundamentally, 100 per cent, 22-carat wrong...Appeasers get eaten...It’s very important to remember that if people are offered two versions of a particular political brand, they will always choose the genuine one...If people are offered two conservative parties, they will choose a genuine one. If a progressive party is trying to use the vocabulary of isolationism or segregation or division, it’s the same. It is silly to do that. It isn’t evil, but it is very, very silly - maybe mortally stupid....”
https://alanrusbridger.substack.com/p/neil-kinnock-labour-is-100-per-cent
The tools bookmakers use to block data-savvy gamblers, and how to get round them" (£)
https://www.economist.com/christmas-specials/2025/12/18/the-battle-to-stop-clever-people-betting
Maybe Vance just likes the UK and doesn't see it as Europe.