Trump admits his polling is very bad – politicalbetting.com
Trump admits his polling is very bad – politicalbetting.com
New AP/NORC poll on Trump’s approval per @interactivepolls.bsky.social? Approve: 36%? Disapprove: 61%Trump's net approval on key issues? Border Security: +2? Crime: -12 (was +8 in Aug)? Immigration: -22 (new low)? Foreign policy: -23? The Economy: -36 (new low)? Healthcare: -40 (new low)
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Definitive proof that Die Hard is a Christmas Movie
If you watch Die Hard straight after Love Actually, Alan Rickman will be punished for what he did to Emma Thompson.
Do I have a first?
Rats. Just a second.
You didn't cheat, did you, TSE? Surely a man of your profession would do no such thing.....
So thanks @TSE 👍
Maybe Starmer needs to accept his ratings are dire just as Trump has
Depressing but all so predictable stat this morning providing more evidence that Reeves is completely out of her depth
https://news.sky.com/story/economy-shrinks-by-0-1-in-october-official-figures-show-13482426
Poll ratings are terrible. Economic numbers are bad.
Indiana redistricting, epic fail.
Letitia James indictment, epic fail. Alina Habba, epic fail.
Kristi Noem hearing, spectacular embarrassment.
Even Nazi Barbie had a hard time as the press pool. They are starting to call out some of her lies.
My Letterboxd review https://boxd.it/5jCVEp
And Die Hard is a Christmas Movie. https://boxd.it/5jCVEp
@gothburz
Last quarter I rolled out Microsoft Copilot to 4,000 employees. $30 per seat per month. $1.4 million annually. I called it "digital transformation." The board loved that phrase. They approved it in eleven minutes. No one asked what it would actually do. Including me. I told everyone it would "10x productivity." That's not a real number. But it sounds like one. HR asked how we'd measure the 10x. I said we'd "leverage analytics dashboards." They stopped asking. Three months later I checked the usage reports. 47 people had opened it. 12 had used it more than once. One of them was me. I used it to summarize an email I could have read in 30 seconds. It took 45 seconds. Plus the time it took to fix the hallucinations. But I called it a "pilot success." Success means the pilot didn't visibly fail. The CFO asked about ROI. I showed him a graph. The graph went up and to the right. It measured "AI enablement." I made that metric up. He nodded approvingly. We're "AI-enabled" now. I don't know what that means. But it's in our investor deck. A senior developer asked why we didn't use Claude or ChatGPT. I said we needed "enterprise-grade security." He asked what that meant. I said "compliance." He asked which compliance. I said "all of them." He looked skeptical. I scheduled him for a "career development conversation." He stopped asking questions. Microsoft sent a case study team. They wanted to feature us as a success story. I told them we "saved 40,000 hours." I calculated that number by multiplying employees by a number I made up. They didn't verify it. They never do. Now we're on Microsoft's website. "Global enterprise achieves 40,000 hours of productivity gains with Copilot." The CEO shared it on LinkedIn. He got 3,000 likes. He's never used Copilot. None of the executives have. We have an exemption. "Strategic focus requires minimal digital distraction." I wrote that policy. The licenses renew next month. I'm requesting an expansion. 5,000 more seats. We haven't used the first 4,000. But this time we'll "drive adoption." Adoption means mandatory training. Training means a 45-minute webinar no one watches. But completion will be tracked. Completion is a metric. Metrics go in dashboards. Dashboards go in board presentations. Board presentations get me promoted. I'll be SVP by Q3. I still don't know what Copilot does. But I know what it's for. It's for showing we're "investing in AI." Investment means spending. Spending means commitment. Commitment means we're serious about the future. The future is whatever I say it is. As long as the graph goes up and to the right.
https://x.com/gothburz/status/1999124665801880032?s=20
(Just ignore the sign)
This month it is 99.9% the size it was last month. If that is +/-1%, the claim that it has "shrunk by 0.1%" is nonsense on stilts.
🚨BREAKING: Donald Trump goes on a deranged rant claiming countries want him to serve as the leader of Europe.
This level of delusion is not normal.
https://x.com/CalltoActivism/status/1999304328860041301?s=20
I know I am elderly, but just having received an appointment to see the doctor in the 'geriatric department' over my mobility was rather amusing
Hope things improve for you into 2026
Namely that if Putin was in favour of Britain giving up strategic British colonial assets, would you switch your positive view on giving them up - as you seem to expect those in favour of Brexit to do?
That said, we are rolling out our version of AI (walled off from the internet, populated with paid for verified databases and our own proprietary information). I’ve only used it a little at the moment to ask some pretty obscure questions (“does X have Y capability?” “Who competes with Z’s product in this category in this market?”) and the answers have been good. I am an SME in my space, so I knew the answers to be correct but it is good that it verified them and provided the detailed backing that I could have found with time and effort.
It feels like there is a decent use case here if implemented properly.
(* cynical about companies playing the hype)
Given that that must be clear to everyone, including @Foxy, haven't you already got your answer?
Coincidentally delusional Don has convinced himself that European countries want him to lead us.
https://x.com/calltoactivism/status/1999304328860041301?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Edit: pipped!
America stands at a crossroads. We can see that the regime has two choices - fall next year, or embed itself for the long haul.
If they follow the constitution then MAGA loses control, a lot of them go to jail, and perhaps America will once again align itself with democracy instead of with dictators. But that means various people taking the brave pill and doing the right thing.
Or they do the other thing. The naughty list of media becomes the banned list. The opinion polls go the way of the economic measures he's dispensed with. And he provokes violence in cities by sending in blackshirts from out of state to create the excuse to send in more troops, arrest officials and "postpone" elections.
In either case, the World Cup will be symbolic of the state of things. A bloated absurdity of a tournament where officials want 5 years of penis size measurements and a pledge of fealty to the fuhrer before they let you into a country where tickets for the tournament cost $fuckoff.
I remember World Cup Italia 90, where for Egypt games there were a lot of Egyptian Navy personnel filling the seats. This time they will fill the seats with stormtroopers. With normals arrested at the end of the quarter...
Trumps decline and fall would be popcorn time if it wasn't for the danger to the democracies of the world.
Oh...
Is there a Mike Pence in the current Administration? I think Team MAGA learned their lesson, unfortunately.
... just as I have all the previous ones.
If the Republicans want to exorcise Trump from the party, then Pence would be the ideal candidate. He stood up for the Constitution when it needed it, and has executive experience.
@atrupar.com
MAGAZINER: How many veterans have you deported?
NOEM: We haven't deported veterans
MAGAZINER: We are now joined on Zoom by a combat veteran you deported to Korea
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3m7pyay4ndm2w
@thetnholler.bsky.social
🔥 @repdeliaramirez to @KristiNoem: “Bottom Line: You lie with impunity. You reject checks & balances. You ignore Congress & the courts… you can either resign, Trump will fire you, or you’ll be impeached.
You’re going to be held accountable. I’m going to make sure of that.”
https://bsky.app/profile/thetnholler.bsky.social/post/3m7rc2dcrmc2e
But only just.
I intend to boycott games played in the US and only watch games played in Canada/Mexico. If other people do the same the contrast will be obvious.
I think Robert Shrimsley is spot on here:
"In his endorsement of Brexit trade freedoms, Starmer resembles Alec Guinness’s half-mad colonel in The Bridge on the River Kwai, defending an edifice he has forgotten was built for the benefit of the other side."
https://www.ft.com/content/2d0003db-2c46-4926-9d47-0bd6723a9c9e
https://bsky.app/profile/robertshrimsley.bsky.social/post/3m7pok7aas22i
As for Pence, his replacement is a man who called the President a Nazi and then decided that he wanted to be Rudolf Hess. Could Vance oust the regime? Sure - to install himself as leader.
The big question remains Trump. We can say pretty confidently that he has serious health conditions. Will one of these incapacitate him and thus force a change? Or like previous mad dictators does he just step it up?
Sure, FIFA is corrupt, connives with dictators and rips off both fans and host countries, but we often get some decent entertainment.
Football is like sausagemaking. It's best not to look too closely at the ingredients.
https://x.com/ChristnNitemare/status/1999148455327830426
Yesterday someone on the BBC News asked the Russian UN representative (or someone on the team, it wasn't Nebenzya) about peace talks.
He gave the old bollocks about protecting the rights of Russian-speaking Ukrainians in the East.
Did she ask him why they were protecting Russian-speakers by murdering, raping and torturing them? Did she fuck.
No doubt they'll come round the the appropriate view of Die Hard, in due course.
There may be a market bubble, but gen AI is not a mirage.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2025/dec/12/uk-gdp-growth-october-economy-budget-jlr-stock-markets-pound-bonds-business-live-news-updates
And this is quite clearly government failure with their flagship house building policy.
..The 0.6% drop in construction output in October shows that the government is struggling to hit its goal of building lots more houses.
The ONS reports that this decrease came from decreases in both new work and repair and maintenance, which decreased by 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively.
At the sector level, the main contributor to the monthly decrease was private new housing, which fell by 2.4%...
Somehow I doubt that replacing Starmer with Rayner would improve the situation.
We can get things wrong much quicker than we could before...
No other Christmas film comes close.
Management: “but… AI!”
IT: “AI sucks”
Management: “use AI or else!”
Gartner: “block all AI browsers immediately!”
Management: “IT you must block all AI immediately!”
https://x.com/infosec_fox/status/1998649549859020837
It's never been explained to me why the UK could accept political union, and I say that as someone who has been to the EU on political trips a few times as well as sitting with MEP's listening to why EU membership was good for their respective countries.
There was one exception though which was Ireland who were pretty negative at the thought of having to take back Ulster and it economic issues through Brexit.
Nigel Farage = Jeremy Thorpe
Disappointing to see Farage attacking me, again, in the media. This time he claimed that MP meetings 'would end in three minutes' with me 'screaming at everybody' and that I can't act 'as part of a team'.
I would remind Farage that the Reform leadership tried to put me in prison. This was not some usual Westminster disagreement, and what he says is untrue regardless.
I will repeat myself - they tried to put me in prison on false allegations. With the state of British prisons, run by Muslim gangs? I could have been stabbed to death.
A very realistic possibility.
Don't want to work with me? Fine. Have the balls to say so. That's how I operate. Evidently, the lies on which they expelled were total bullshit - as he admits below.
I certainly don't try to put colleagues in prison on false allegations. Not exactly playing as part of a 'team', is it?
Only a very special type of snake would try to do that.
https://x.com/rupertlowe10/status/1999151997673443709?s=61&t=c6bcp0cjChLfQN5Tc8A_6g
This is why people hate congressional hearings and don’t trust the media.
ICE didn’t deport a veteran. Sae Joon Park self-deported to South Korea.
He never pursued citizenship during his decades here and his green card was revoked under Obama in 2009 due to drug possession.
https://x.com/ljmoynihan/status/1999336182203797991
BREAKING: Democrats CAUGHT in massive fake news operation in DHS Sec. Kristi Noem hearing - lying that President Trump deported a Veteran to South Korea
Rep. Magaziner tried a "gotcha": "We are now joined on Zoom by a veteran YOU deported."
HE SELF-DEPORTED.
Sae Joon Park had a removal order over felony drug charges and bail jumping - and was NOT a citizen, but a green card holder.
Democrats lie, lie, LIE.
https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1999200511820763484
The polling should be much worse!
Robert Peston
@Peston
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18h
JONATHAN FREEDLAND: Why Britain's Jewish leaders are silent on Farage’s schoolyard antisemitism - Jewish News
https://x.com/Peston/status/1999126741218926705?s=20
This does not seem like a good strategy.
'A more truthful explanation for the Jewish organisations’ silence comes in private conversations. In those, communal figures will admit that they believe the accusations against Farage are true, but that they have made a pragmatic calculation. “He’s the coming man and right now he’s not hostile to us,” was how one senior official put it to me. They don’t want to make an enemy of a politician who, polls suggest, is heading to Downing Street.'
The most effective tyranny is the one that doesn't need physical force to impose its will.
It will surely only be a few more weeks before Trump will be polling negative on every single possible measure, with an overall disapproval rating way beyond any previous low.
Major investigation into GMP officers and staff making 'non-legitimate' contact with sex workers
EXCLUSIVE: Three people have been sacked and another 10 are being investigated amid a probe into 'non-legitimate contact' with sex workers, the Manchester Evening News can reveal
A major investigation into Greater Manchester Police officers and staff allegedly making 'non-legitimate' contact with sex workers has been launched. Three people have been sacked and another 10 are being investigated by the force's Anti-Corruption Unit.
The probe into 'non-legitimate' police contact with sex workers was triggered by the case of Inspector Toby Knight. The disgraced cop scheduled hundreds of meetings with sex workers on his force-issued phone, including some while he was on duty.
After serving nearly 30 years with GMP, Knight retired in May this year, the day before a gross misconduct hearing concluded that had he still been serving he would have been dismissed without notice.
The force said eight police officers - including a Superintendent who has been suspended - and two staff members are under investigation. Knight and two staff members have already been dismissed. The two sacked civilian staff members have not been named.
Four of those under investigation have been served with misconduct papers. Bosses do not believe the alleged actions of the 13 people are linked, other than by the nature of their alleged behaviour.
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/major-investigation-gmp-officers-staff-33039651#
Matthew Parris’ verdict was:
“I don’t know how Thorpe refrained from murdering him. I would have done.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_of_German_National_Jews
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/German_Vanguard
If our Police are not to be allowed to make non-legitimate contact with sex workers, the sex industry will collapse.
Bombshell: Oliver Sacks (a humane man & a fine essayist) made up many of the details in his famous case studies, deluding neuroscientists, psychologists, & general readers for decades. The man who mistook his wife for a hat? The autistic twins who generated multi-digit prime numbers? The institutionalized, paralyzed man who tapped out allusions to Rilke? Made up to embellish the stories. Probably also: the aphasic patients who detected lies better than neurologically intact people, including Ronald Reagan's insincerity.
https://x.com/sapinker/status/1999297395478106310?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
The debate was not about the economics. It was then, and has been ever since about the politics. The people who have been dishonest are those who claim they were fooled into a political project, when they wished to limit integration - if that were even possible- solely to economics. The only way to develop economic cooperation was to establish a clear political dimension. The idea that the Common Law and Roman law systems were somehow fundamentally incompatible is also horseshit. Within the UK itself, the Scottish, Roman law system functions perfectly well, with appropriate adjustments with the wider Common Law system.
Those opposed to the European project have hidden behind the delusion that "nobody told us". Yes they did, and now, whether through the Macron suggestion of a new European Political Community, or some enhanced Council of Europe, or by re-entry into some or all of the EU structure themselves, the UK now has little choice but to accept reality.
The Atlantic Alliance is fatally wounded. Trump is not a partner that we can trust, and the whole basis of trust with the USA has been fatally undermined. The choices are increasingly clear to the British people and we must act accordingly and quickly.
I suspect that with a less talented lead than Stewart, it just wouldn't have worked.