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Next PM betting, Farage remains the favourite – politicalbetting.com

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  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited February 5
    IMO, one of the big negatives in regards to wet market explanation has always been that the Chinese have failed to ever produce any evidence for this hypothesis. They were on the scene early, they claim that was the source of the outbreak, they certainly were looking for evidence and in many many previous situations were such vectors have been the primary source researchers have found hard evidence to connect a disease outbreak with such a location or the intermingling of species under such situations was responsible e.g evidence has been produced to give quite a clear picture of the origins of SARs. Yet no evidence has been produced that shows this for COVID, and for the Chinese this would be the most diplomatically acceptable explanation.

    There are of course many other possible scenarios which aren't deliberate or even accidental leak from a lab.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,898
    Cyclefree said:

    Of course it's barbaric. But let's get real about it. It also sometimes solves long-standing problems. That was why Germans were ethnically cleansed from lands they had lived in for centuries at the end of WW2. It's why the same happened to Greeks and Turks in Greece and Turkey at the end of WW1. What was acceptable and - oh the irony! - diverse in multi-ethnic Empires became a huge issue under nationalism.

    I do not advocate it. But let's not pretend that it hasn't been very convenient indeed for Western Europe. And we did not do anything about it not because we couldn't but because we did not want to, indeed encouraged it.
    And what could we have done at the time about the Armenian genocide, or Stalin's forcible redrawing of national boundaries and movement of populations at the end of WWII ?

    There are indeed some shameful events we had some part in, that we could have avoided - the repatriation of the Cossacks, many murdered or sent to the gulags, being one example. But that is what they are; utterly shameful.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    kinabalu said:

    Er, as I pointed out before when you (mis)claimed this ... no, I can't be bothered, life's too short and the cat won't feed itself.
    The cat will not only feed itself on one of the many mammals they have in leafy Hampstead, but would also feed on your dead body were, perish the thought, you to choke on your own self-righteousness.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    In other news, WTAF Trump.

    Is it some super-sophisticated play to force someone to do something about something.

    An Iranian (father = exile) friend of mine commented that he thinks it's a good idea, if that brings any cogent analysis to the issue.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,481
    TOPPING said:

    In other news, WTAF Trump.

    Is it some super-sophisticated play to force someone to do something about something.

    An Iranian (father = exile) friend of mine commented that he thinks it's a good idea, if that brings any cogent analysis to the issue.

    Las Vegas on the Med would be a yuge tourist attraction.
  • Bugger.

    Ferrari boss vows to crack down on ‘strange’ bling requests from super-rich buyers

    Italian carmaker says garish colour schemes damage the luxury brand


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/02/05/ferrari-boss-vows-crack-down-on-customisation-requests/
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited February 5

    Bugger.

    Ferrari boss vows to crack down on ‘strange’ bling requests from super-rich buyers

    Italian carmaker says garish colour schemes damage the luxury brand


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/02/05/ferrari-boss-vows-crack-down-on-customisation-requests/

    Its become very fashionable for super rich buyers to have a car made in a bespoke colour which they name and demand will be a 1 of 1.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,370
    Saudi Arabia says no to Trump's ideas on Gaza: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-says-it-wont-establish-ties-with-israel-without-creation-2025-02-05/

    Trump loves Bibi as a role model, but the Saudis give him lots of money, so I presume he'll reverse course now.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520
    TOPPING said:

    The cat will not only feed itself on one of the many mammals they have in leafy Hampstead, but would also feed on your dead body were, perish the thought, you to choke on your own self-righteousness.
    Very good. You've been practising, haven't you.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,846

    Bugger.

    Ferrari boss vows to crack down on ‘strange’ bling requests from super-rich buyers

    Italian carmaker says garish colour schemes damage the luxury brand


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/02/05/ferrari-boss-vows-crack-down-on-customisation-requests/

    Ferraris are red. That's the whole point. In fact, come to think of it, Ferraris are about the only car that is red, a colour that seems otherwise to have disappeared from our motorways.
  • This country is so anti-wealth it is unreal.

    Rich households with smart doorbells ‘to blame for unreliable jobs data’

    Office for National Statistics struggles with plunging survey response rates


    An increase in the use of smart doorbells by wealthy households is partly to blame for the crisis plaguing Britain’s jobs market data, the UK’s chief statistician has said.

    Sir Ian Diamond told MPs that the Office for National Statistics’ (ONS) struggles with unreliable jobs data were partly caused by people in “advantaged areas” with camera doorbells who were ignoring its interviewers.

    The statistics chief was questioned by MPs on the Treasury select committee amid growing fears that poor data mean politicians and the Bank of England are flying blind when making policy and setting interest rates.

    Sir Ian said the ONS’s interviewers were having to contact twice as many people as before the pandemic to secure the same amount of data.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/02/04/rich-households-with-ring-doorbells-to-blame-for-unreliable/
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934

    Bugger.

    Ferrari boss vows to crack down on ‘strange’ bling requests from super-rich buyers

    Italian carmaker says garish colour schemes damage the luxury brand


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/02/05/ferrari-boss-vows-crack-down-on-customisation-requests/

    A Ferrari should be in any colour the buyer desires so long as it's red.
  • Ferraris are red. That's the whole point. In fact, come to think of it, Ferraris are about the only car that is red, a colour that seems otherwise to have disappeared from our motorways.
    My car is red. It makes it easy to find in car parks, and it's unlikely to be mistaken for a Ferrari.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,219
    edited February 5
    sarissa said:

    Not that significant according to More in Common:

    The bus fare rise (actually reducing prices from what was budgeted for going forwards by the previous government), IHT and WFA policies should have been sold a hell of a lot better to get them out of that bottom quadrant.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,342
    Nigelb said:

    And what could we have done at the time about the Armenian genocide, or Stalin's forcible redrawing of national boundaries and movement of populations at the end of WWII ?

    There are indeed some shameful events we had some part in, that we could have avoided - the repatriation of the Cossacks, many murdered or sent to the gulags, being one example. But that is what they are; utterly shameful.
    I've come to the conclusion that the Lienz Repatriations were mostly not unjust. The Cossack troops committed multiple atrocities against Italian and Soviet civilians.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 9,973
    kjh said:

    Beat you to it. Nice to know someone else had the same thought. It could however mean that it is not just me that is an idiot, but both of us. However I like to think that in reality we both put a little more thought into it. Something @leon should maybe think about before each of his posts.
    I think the key thing to understand is the oil you pull out if the ground is different around the world, so there is a huge amount of trade between countries to make sure everyone gets what they need. We export 80% of our domestic production, for example.

    Also that volume and value are different. On volume we've been a net importer of crude since 2005, and of refined oil since 2013. I guess that makes what we produce /refine more valuable per barrel than the stuff we import.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,313
    sarissa said:

    Not that significant according to More in Common:

    Before or after the price tag was announced?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    Badenoch should have a six nil win today.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,898
    .

    Ferraris are red. That's the whole point. In fact, come to think of it, Ferraris are about the only car that is red, a colour that seems otherwise to have disappeared from our motorways.
    Giallo Modena Yellow was the original Ferrari racing color before it was red.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,086
    Blimey. Starmer goes in with feet raised.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,898
    .
    Sean_F said:

    I've come to the conclusion that the Lienz Repatriations were mostly not unjust. The Cossack troops committed multiple atrocities against Italian and Soviet civilians.
    I've little doubt that true of a large number of them.
    But justice didn't come into it; we forcibly deported them all, men, women and children.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,086
    (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    2m
    Keir Starmer currently shredding Kemi Badenoch over the Chagos Islands.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113

    My car is red. It makes it easy to find in car parks, and it's unlikely to be mistaken for a Ferrari.
    Both our cars are red. Well, one of them is a sort of tomato orange-red.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,431
    Leon said:

    For anyone with a brain, a new Bayesian analysis has been done of “lab leak” versus “wet market”

    A very very basic “what are the chances, eh?”

    The answer is


    “The overall odds ratio is 14,900:1, indicating overwhelming evidence in favor of the hypothesis that the pandemic resulted from an accidental lab leak."

    https://x.com/robinhanson/status/1886512085346975910?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    https://www.nber.org/papers/w33428

    The halfwits still gamely batting for a non existent market origin are literally arguing against a hypothesis which is 14,900 times more likely

    Thats a crock of unscientific nonsense, a bit like the Drake equation. Four variables with selected values that we have no way of knowing if they are true.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757
    Someone may have already commented on this, but perhaps the most interesting thing about Keir From HR's voice coach is not the fact that thevoice coach is definitely not a keyworker, but the fact that they are obviously a really shit coach.

    Starmer still sounds like how AI might impersonate a Chartered Accountant reading out a tax return.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,559

    Both our cars are red. Well, one of them is a sort of tomato orange-red.
    My MGB Roadster is Brooklands Green. Also rarely mistaken for a Ferrari.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    The NHS is not the 'lifeblood of our country', FFS.

    It is a health service, not a religion.

    Is that the latest quote from Keir From HR?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,370

    IMO, one of the big negatives in regards to wet market explanation has always been that the Chinese have failed to ever produce any evidence for this hypothesis. They were on the scene early, they claim that was the source of the outbreak, they certainly were looking for evidence and in many many previous situations were such vectors have been the primary source researchers have found hard evidence to connect a disease outbreak with such a location or the intermingling of species under such situations was responsible e.g evidence has been produced to give quite a clear picture of the origins of SARs. Yet no evidence has been produced that shows this for COVID, and for the Chinese this would be the most diplomatically acceptable explanation.

    There are of course many other possible scenarios which aren't deliberate or even accidental leak from a lab.

    This is wrong. We have multiple lines of evidence for the wet market. Early cases clearly cluster around and are associated with the market. Environmental samples from the market show COVID and animals that could carry COVID together. https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.abp8715 is a key paper here. Abstract:

    “Understanding how severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) emerged in 2019 is critical to preventing future zoonotic outbreaks before they become the next pandemic. The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan, China, was identified as a likely source of cases in early reports, but later this conclusion became controversial. We show here that the earliest known COVID-19 cases from December 2019, including those without reported direct links, were geographically centered on this market. We report that live SARS-CoV-2–susceptible mammals were sold at the market in late 2019 and that within the market, SARS-CoV-2–positive environmental samples were spatially associated with vendors selling live mammals. Although there is insufficient evidence to define upstream events, and exact circumstances remain obscure, our analyses indicate that the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 occurred through the live wildlife trade in China and show that the Huanan market was the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic.”
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,612

    IMO, one of the big negatives in regards to wet market explanation has always been that the Chinese have failed to ever produce any evidence for this hypothesis. They were on the scene early, they claim that was the source of the outbreak, they certainly were looking for evidence and in many many previous situations were such vectors have been the primary source researchers have found hard evidence to connect a disease outbreak with such a location or the intermingling of species under such situations was responsible e.g evidence has been produced to give quite a clear picture of the origins of SARs. Yet no evidence has been produced that shows this for COVID, and for the Chinese this would be the most diplomatically acceptable explanation.

    There are of course many other possible scenarios which aren't deliberate or even accidental leak from a lab.

    There's loads of evidence for the wet market e.g.
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2448671-evidence-points-to-wuhan-market-as-source-of-covid-19-outbreak/
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,431
    Leon said:

    And yet the “religious certainty” all came from the wet marketeers for the first year

    Remember “lab leak is a racist conspiracy theory”.

    Remember when just talking about it got you banned from Facebook and Twitter

    You didn’t have a problem with “religious certainty” then, did you? Nor did @kinabalu when he was “99% wet market!!” You knew and you were CERTAIN

    Now the overwhelming evidence points the opposite way and suddenly it’s “oh well we will never know” and “it’s too late anyway” and “who cares it’s all long ago only 20 million died let’s talk about Lucy Letby” - @turbotubbs

    It’s putrid, it’s laughable, it’s wrong, it’s immoral - and worst of all it is intellectually feeble
    I'll tell you whats intellectually feeble - picking the more dramatic answer and declaring 100% that it must be right. Not looking at other evidence, just trawling your socials and reddit feed. Why not look at papers proposing the wet market as the source and understand why they come to the conclusions they do?

    The main type of people of who go 100% certainty tend to be religious fanatics. What's your excuse?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,135
    I'd like to know what the connection is between being a leftist and not believing the lab leak theory. I can't see it myself but there obviously must be one.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,370
    TOPPING said:

    The cat will not only feed itself on one of the many mammals they have in leafy Hampstead, but would also feed on your dead body were, perish the thought, you to choke on your own self-righteousness.
    They usually eat the lips first.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    The Davey-Starmer dialogue is very civilised and an answer is often elicited from the PM.

    The shouty Badenoch -Starmer nonsense elicits nothing. Both were poor, but Badenoch missed all her own goals.
  • sarissasarissa Posts: 2,092
    edited February 5

    How much does it cost to build a prison in Scotland?

    £1 billion. Yes, £1 billion. WTF. Country is broken.

    https://www.scotsman.com/news/crime/the-scandalous-ps1-billion-scottish-prison-as-costs-soar-10-times-over-the-original-estimate-4976352

    Q1 2025 functional unit price average UK location - £231k/prisoner. Plus design fees, site purchase, legal costs, all external work such as fences, roads, landscaping, drainage, new sub-station, decant costs etc. So £735k/place looks a bit high, perhaps it has London 2012 style three levels of contingency at construction+project+ministry levels?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,272
    Andy_JS said:

    I'd like to know what the connection is between being a leftist and not believing the lab leak theory. I can't see it myself but there obviously must be one.

    They think it's racist. They can only bring themselves to be critical of white westerners.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,232

    A Ferrari should be in any colour the buyer desires so long as it's red.
    There are other storied Ferrari colours like Giallo Modena and Bianco Avus. Artful colour selection can really help the resale value through rarity. Tour de France Blue is usually one such. I've seen a Pino Verde 308GTB go for mad money.

    It can also destroy value with a really obscure choice. That's how I got my 1 of 1 cheap (it's all relative).

    If I were buying an new one, I'd get a TdF Blue/Crema 12Cilindri with no carbon fibre tat.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    I'll tell you whats intellectually feeble - picking the more dramatic answer and declaring 100% that it must be right. Not looking at other evidence, just trawling your socials and reddit feed. Why not look at papers proposing the wet market as the source and understand why they come to the conclusions they do?

    The main type of people of who go 100% certainty tend to be religious fanatics. What's your excuse?
    Immovable IQ advantage
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113
    Andy_JS said:

    I'd like to know what the connection is between being a leftist and not believing the lab leak theory. I can't see it myself but there obviously must be one.

    I don't think there is such a link. I'm not exactly a 'leftist', and I don't 'believe' the lab leak theory. I don't 'believe' the wet market theory either.

    We're not dealing in faith; in certainties. We're dealing with probabilities, and the question is where you position that probability.

    Although if I see a split on here, I'd say those who were more scientifically-based are more sceptical of the lab leak theory...
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,086

    The NHS is not the 'lifeblood of our country', FFS.

    It is a health service, not a religion.

    See Times front page today.

    Some service. Not fit for purpose.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    The Davey-Starmer dialogue is very civilised and an answer is often elicited from the PM.

    The shouty Badenoch -Starmer nonsense elicits nothing. Both were poor, but Badenoch missed all her own goals.

    Isn't missing an own goal a good thing? Not a soccer fan but just saying.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,272
    Dura_Ace said:

    There are other storied Ferrari colours like Giallo Modena and Bianco Avus. Artful colour selection can really help the resale value through rarity. Tour de France Blue is usually one such. I've seen a Pino Verde 308GTB go for mad money.

    It can also destroy value with a really obscure choice. That's how I got my 1 of 1 cheap (it's all relative).

    If I were buying an new one, I'd get a TdF Blue/Crema 12Cilindri with no carbon fibre tat.

    Owning such a car would never bring me happiness. I'd spend every waking hour worried about it getting scratched.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113

    Is that the latest quote from Keir From HR?
    He said it at PMQs.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,086

    The Davey-Starmer dialogue is very civilised and an answer is often elicited from the PM.

    The shouty Badenoch -Starmer nonsense elicits nothing. Both were poor, but Badenoch missed all her own goals.

    Davey seems to be listened to with respectable silence on both sides.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,232

    My MGB Roadster is Brooklands Green. Also rarely mistaken for a Ferrari.
    I just sharted in horror.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    Stocky said:

    They think it's racist. They can only bring themselves to be critical of white westerners.
    Also, Trump was one of the first to propose Lab Leak, and this is a main reason the US Establishment tried to stifle discussion of it, let alone admit its high probability. The other reason is that the US, via Fauci, funded the Gain of Function bat coronavirus research at the Wuhan lab which led to a pathogenised bat coronavirus leaking out of the lab at Wuhan, which, of all cities in the world, is the one place the virus chose to emerge, well knock me down
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    See Times front page today.

    Some service. Not fit for purpose.
    It never has been. It is an oligarchy of the self-interest groups, most particularly the BMA. It is run for the benefit of it's most highly paid staff. Patients are a necessary irritant.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,481
    Layla Moran says, “Gaza is our land.” If she’s speaking as a British politician then it’s imperialism and if she’s speaking as a Palestinian then it’s blood and soil nationalism.

    https://x.com/laylamoran/status/1887058366960161067
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,691

    The Davey-Starmer dialogue is very civilised and an answer is often elicited from the PM.

    The shouty Badenoch -Starmer nonsense elicits nothing. Both were poor, but Badenoch missed all her own goals.

    Badenoch was quite good last week. I wonder if the variability is down to how much she practises. This week she probably felt ultra confident - open goals all round, Starmer on the ropes etc. so breezed in without much preparation. Whereas he was presumably quite worried so prepared hard.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    He said it at PMQs.
    Groan
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,728
    edited February 5
    Andy_JS said:

    I'd like to know what the connection is between being a leftist and not believing the lab leak theory. I can't see it myself but there obviously must be one.

    I'm not sure I'd describe turbotubbs or JosiasJessop as leftists.

    No, the split is more between those who are and aren't scientifically minded. The latter believe stuff; the former don't.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    Dura_Ace said:

    There are other storied Ferrari colours like Giallo Modena and Bianco Avus. Artful colour selection can really help the resale value through rarity. Tour de France Blue is usually one such. I've seen a Pino Verde 308GTB go for mad money.

    It can also destroy value with a really obscure choice. That's how I got my 1 of 1 cheap (it's all relative).

    If I were buying an new one, I'd get a TdF Blue/Crema 12Cilindri with no carbon fibre tat.

    I remember the James Coburn Spyder in blue at the time was the World's most expensive Ferrari. I hate Ferraris in Ford Escort Daytona Yellow. They all look colour correct in red.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,431
    Leon said:

    Immovable IQ advantage
    More likely Dunning Kruger
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    edited February 5

    Isn't missing an own goal a good thing? Not a soccer fan but just saying.
    Fair point.

    Open, she scored an own goal when she didn't follow up on the £18b
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,955

    Layla Moran says, “Gaza is our land.” If she’s speaking as a British politician then it’s imperialism and if she’s speaking as a Palestinian then it’s blood and soil nationalism.

    https://x.com/laylamoran/status/1887058366960161067

    What characteristics does nationalism have to have before you find it acceptable?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113

    Groan
    Sorry, your point has obviously gone flying merrily over my head... :)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited February 5

    This is wrong. We have multiple lines of evidence for the wet market. Early cases clearly cluster around and are associated with the market. Environmental samples from the market show COVID and animals that could carry COVID together. https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.abp8715 is a key paper here. Abstract:

    “Understanding how severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) emerged in 2019 is critical to preventing future zoonotic outbreaks before they become the next pandemic. The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan, China, was identified as a likely source of cases in early reports, but later this conclusion became controversial. We show here that the earliest known COVID-19 cases from December 2019, including those without reported direct links, were geographically centered on this market. We report that live SARS-CoV-2–susceptible mammals were sold at the market in late 2019 and that within the market, SARS-CoV-2–positive environmental samples were spatially associated with vendors selling live mammals. Although there is insufficient evidence to define upstream events, and exact circumstances remain obscure, our analyses indicate that the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 occurred through the live wildlife trade in China and show that the Huanan market was the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic.”
    Sorry my post was very poorly worded. AFAIK, I was specifically talking about evidence of the genetic lineage rather than evidence of spread from that location. Previous diseases they have managed to trace the origins of the disease back to the exact animal(s) and then gone out and found it in those species e.g. SARs comes from camels, they traced it back through outbreaks and then were able to identify its origins in the wild.

    As far as I understand, the evidence for the wet market is susceptible animals were there and many cases have been found to originate there. That doesn't mean that was necessarily the original origin of the disease, rather its a busy crowded location so its unsurprising of high rates of spread.

    My point was that in previous disease, they find epicentres of outbreaks, found which animals were present, and managed to work back to find the exact animal(s) that produced it. AFAIK, 5 years on, this hasn't been achieved, rather everybody is still stuck at the point of there was a evidence of large spreading incident.

    We do know that bats from a region far from Wuhan have been found to carry things diseases similar to COVID and they had been collected and taken to the labs in Wuhan in the past. We don't know if those bats carry were the origins of COVID itself. Do we know if those rare bats in the wet market?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    A lot of people have a psychological need for certainty, maybe rooted in their childhood experiences. Personally I am very comfortable with uncertainty - I have always thought a lab leak is the most likely explanation for Covid but the wet market theory could be right and I doubt we will ever know either way.
    I think that is the most sensible position that many of us have taken all along. There were some vested interests who wanted to deny the possibility, but there were/are also a number of nutters with no knowledge of science who oh so want to believe that it MUST be a lab leak even though they have no evidence and wouldn't stand a chance of understanding it even if some bulletproof Chinese lab worker wafted said evidence under their unscientific nose.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    I'm not sure I'd describe turbotubbs or JosiasJessop as leftists.

    No, the split is more between those who are and aren't scientifically minded. The latter believe stuff; the former don't.
    Is it scientifically minded to publish a letter in February 2020 in the Lancet dismissing all lab leak theories as “racist conspiracy”?

    Is it scientifically minded to declare, for all the co-signatories of that letter, that you have no conflict of interest - thereby NOT revealing to the readers of that letter that the guy who organized the letter and co-signed it was director of EcoHealth Alliance, who funded the bat coronavirus gain of function research at Wuhan?

    Was that “scientifically minded”? Was it? Well was it? Or was it in fact a fucking cover up by a bunch of scientists terrified of getting blamed for the plague they made and leaked?

    “Under-fire Lancet admits conflict of interest on lab-leak letter
    After criticism that it failed to declare Peter Daszak’s work with the Wuhan Institute of Virology, journal has also ‘recused’ zoologist from its coronavirus origins taskforce”

    https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/under-fire-lancet-admits-conflict-interest-lab-leak-letter
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934

    Layla Moran says, “Gaza is our land.” If she’s speaking as a British politician then it’s imperialism and if she’s speaking as a Palestinian then it’s blood and soil nationalism.

    https://x.com/laylamoran/status/1887058366960161067

    I suspect she is speaking as a Gazan. Are you gaslighting?
  • Fair point.

    Open, she scored an own goal when she didn't follow up on the £18b
    Think you need to work a bit more on this lol.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    Sorry, your point has obviously gone flying merrily over my head... :)
    I was groaning at Starmer's typically cringey quote.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    Fair point.

    Open, she scored an own goal when she didn't follow up on the £18b
    Did she mock Starmer for having a voice coach and still sounding like Keir From HR? Or did she miss that very obvious goal too?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,481
    edited February 5

    I suspect she is speaking as a Gazan. Are you gaslighting?
    A Gazan? She was born in Hammersmith.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934

    Think you need to work a bit more on this lol.
    Charlie, I aim to emulate your the clarity of your posts once the Alzheimer's fully takes hold.
  • A Gazan? She was born in Hammersmith.
    She’s frequently described herself as British-Palestinian.

    IIRC one of her parents is a Palestinian.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,481

    She’s frequently described herself as British-Palestinian.

    IIRC one of her parents is a Palestinian.
    So she’s not 100% British because of her ethnicity?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757

    A Gazan? She was born in Hammersmith.
    From the Thames to the sea?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934

    A Gazan? She was born in Hammersmith.
    Her family still lived there until at least October 7th.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,414
    edited February 5

    So she’s not 100% British because of her ethnicity?
    It’s possible to be both, try not be dense about this.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131

    Sorry my post was very poorly worded. AFAIK, I was specifically talking about evidence of the genetic lineage rather than evidence of spread from that location. Previous diseases they have managed to trace the origins of the disease back to the exact animal(s) and then gone out and found it in those species e.g. SARs comes from camels, they traced it back through outbreaks and then were able to identify its origins in the wild.

    As far as I understand, the evidence for the wet market is susceptible animals were there and many cases have been found to originate there. That doesn't mean that was necessarily the original origin of the disease, rather its a busy crowded location so its unsurprising of high rates of spread.

    My point was that in previous disease, they find epicentres of outbreaks, found which animals were present, and managed to work back to find the exact animal(s) that produced it. AFAIK, 5 years on, this hasn't been achieved, rather everybody is still stuck at the point of there was a evidence of large spreading incident.

    We do know that bats from a region far from Wuhan have been found to carry things diseases similar to COVID and they had been collected and taken to the labs in Wuhan in the past. We don't know if those bats carry were the origins of COVID itself. Do we know if those rare bats in the wet market?
    Correction - Not SARs, MERS-CoV was camels. SARs was bats.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,898
    edited February 5

    So she’s not 100% British because of her ethnicity?
    Do you have a MAGA parent ?
    If not, what's your excuse ?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113
    Dura_Ace said:

    I just sharted in horror.

    When they were teenagers, my brother bought my sister a lovely green MG Midget. It had a tiny bit of rust in the footwell, so he started to tackle it with his welder. The rust was everywhere, and in the end he patched out the vast majority of the bottom of the bodyshell.

    When he came to do his own MG B, he just bought a new bodyshell...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,481

    It’s possible to be both, try not be dense about this.
    Maybe a restoration of the British mandate would be the best of both worlds from her perspective.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729

    A Gazan? She was born in Hammersmith.
    Your strategy here is to play the fool in defence of the indefensible. At least Leon states it directly: for Stephen Yaxley Lennon, against Muslims in Europe, etc.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,898
    Hundreds of women raped and burned to death after Goma prison set on fire
    Atrocity follows escape of thousands of male inmates amid chaos as Rwandan-backed M23 rebels seize eastern DRC city
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/05/democratic-republic-congo-goma-women-raped-burned-death-prison-m23-rebels-rwanda
  • Maybe a restoration of the British mandate would be the best of both worlds from her perspective.
    I see you continue to be dense.

    I am not going to waste my time with you.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,190

    She’s frequently described herself as British-Palestinian.

    IIRC one of her parents is a Palestinian.
    Correct. Her Mom was born in Jerusalem.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,757
    Nigelb said:

    Do you have a MAGA parent ?
    If not, what's your excuse ?
    I think it must have been something he ate, some time after 2016
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,195
    Really scummy from Tice at PMQ, using a released Israeli hostage as a prop for a claim that the UK fund Hamas.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    edited February 5

    Did she mock Starmer for having a voice coach and still sounding like Keir From HR? Or did she miss that very obvious goal too?
    If the voice coach story has legs wouldn't a question have been helpful? The conflation of Chagos and Milliband's net zero policy seemed odd too. I can understand the relationship, but her statements were very clunky. Starmer was better prepared than Badenoch today. She should have aced him.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,431
    Leon said:

    Is it scientifically minded to publish a letter in February 2020 in the Lancet dismissing all lab leak theories as “racist conspiracy”?

    Is it scientifically minded to declare, for all the co-signatories of that letter, that you have no conflict of interest - thereby NOT revealing to the readers of that letter that the guy who organized the letter and co-signed it was director of EcoHealth Alliance, who funded the bat coronavirus gain of function research at Wuhan?

    Was that “scientifically minded”? Was it? Well was it? Or was it in fact a fucking cover up by a bunch of scientists terrified of getting blamed for the plague they made and leaked?

    “Under-fire Lancet admits conflict of interest on lab-leak letter
    After criticism that it failed to declare Peter Daszak’s work with the Wuhan Institute of Virology, journal has also ‘recused’ zoologist from its coronavirus origins taskforce”

    https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/under-fire-lancet-admits-conflict-interest-lab-leak-letter
    The Lancet has a long history of being a bit rubbish. On the 'its racist' stuff, to be honest I suspect quite a lot of what goes on in other countries is not being done to the same levels of safety that we expect in the UK. (And I include the USA in that, certainly in areas of research that are my expertise - chemistry. They are notorious in US Unis for poor chemical safety). I also suspect a lot of research from everywhere has at best 'tidied up' data, and at worst fabricated or fake data. Retraction watch probably has the tip of the ice berg because so many papers are hardly read by anyone and the science tends to self correct.
    As an example I came across fake data (impossible data, really) in a decent journal. The editor was not that helpful and the lead author was very shifty. The things he published were essentially made up. We later published the genuine information. I was angry that the editor hadn't wanted to take action, but life is too short.
    Lab leak has many guises. To the thriller writer you have Fauci getting the Chinese to perform gain of function experiments on viruses to see what happens if they become more infectious to humans, it works, a lab worker becomes infected and, visbibly ill (sweating, got the shakes, grey pallour) visits the market on the way home to buy his fish. He recovers (most young people did) but the modified virus is now out there and the source is that wet market.
    Plausible for sure. As is a naturally mutated covid emerging from the lab via the same route.
    As is covid emerging naturally in the way that SARS and MERS did.

    Incidently, and most know this already, we have had leaks in the UK, such as Foot and Mouth from Pirbright. I also know of an incident at DSTL (Porton Down - the group that did all the Novichock work) where someone contaminated entire corridors of the building with nerve agent from a lab... Its no coincidence that emergency repsonse at Salisbury where able to treat victims of a nerve agent attack - they've seen similar symptoms before...
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,222
    TOPPING said:

    In other news, WTAF Trump.

    Is it some super-sophisticated play to force someone to do something about something.

    An Iranian (father = exile) friend of mine commented that he thinks it's a good idea, if that brings any cogent analysis to the issue.

    Nah. He just wants to build more sea-front property.

    On the cheap.

    (Although, if built I suspect it would be a destination for terrorism tourism for many decades to come...)
  • If the voice coach story has legs wouldn't a question have been helpful? The conflation of Chagos and Milliband's net zero policy seemed odd too. I can understand the relationship, but her statements were very clunky. Starmer was better prepared than Badenoch today. She should have aced him.
    The thing I haven’t understood is why

    1) Labour talked about a £22 billion Tory black hole then announced a £22 billion carbon capture plan

    2) Why the Tories haven’t linked the two?

    We are led by pygmies.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520

    They usually eat the lips first.
    I'm sure mine wouldn't. He'd grieve and make the necessary arrangements.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    I suspect she is speaking as a Gazan. Are you gaslighting?
    Interesting. Would you expect Joy Morrissey to talk about "her land" when discussing, say, Greenland.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,006
    If you're the Leader of the Opposition and you are offered security briefings, don't you take them?
  • Taz said:

    Correct. Her Mom was born in Jerusalem.
    Ta.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    A Gazan? She was born in Hammersmith.
    She must be absolutely fuming. When are they going to reopen the goddamn bridge.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited February 5

    The thing I haven’t understood is why

    1) Labour talked about a £22 billion Tory black hole then announced a £22 billion carbon capture plan

    2) Why the Tories haven’t linked the two?

    We are led by pygmies.
    There are loads of open goals like that....all the talk of putting AI first, while cutting funding for super computer that would have made UK 1 of only 3 in the world capable of working towards solving very complex scientific problems and cutting maths scheme.

    Not stumping up another fiver for the vaccine plant in Liverpool

    etc.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,190
    edited February 5
    Kay Burley has announced, live on air, her departure from the increasingly irrelevant Sky News.



  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,934
    edited February 5
    TOPPING said:

    Interesting. Would you expect Joy Morrissey to talk about "her land" when discussing, say, Greenland.
    If you English were about to invade Wales I would talk about "my land".*

    * And I was born in Solihull.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,898

    If you're the Leader of the Opposition and you are offered security briefings, don't you take them?

    Does rather play into the lazy meme.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,520

    Davey seems to be listened to with respectable silence on both sides.
    Well I would too. He's that sort of guy. But it could also be because neither side consider him a threat.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    Her family still lived there until at least October 7th.
    From a Christian background, Wiki tells me.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,113
    If the Chagos deal has been debated in parliament in Mauritius, it is vital that we get our own parliamentary debate and vote *before* anything is signed.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited February 5
    Taz said:

    Kay Burley has announced, live on air, her departure from the increasingly irrelevant Sky News.

    Retirement or heave-ho? Ian King has been given his P45 in the past week. Talk is plenty more of the high profile ones are going to be also out of a job due to loses of £100 million a year.

    I believe the deal new owners struck with government to ensure Sky News exists runs out in 2-3 years.
  • If you're the Leader of the Opposition and you are offered security briefings, don't you take them?

    It’s one of the things that works really well in our country.

    PMs and their governments give LOTOs and other party leaders/relevant spokesman security briefings on Privy Council terms and LOTOs can request them.

    I know David Cameron invited Ed Miliband and Jim Murphy into a National Security Council meeting in 2011 ahead of the Libya intervention.

    Jeremy Corbyn refused them, the one he attended was the Salisbury attack one, and every other party including the SNP were all in agreement that Russia was behind it and the evidence confirmed that but Corbyn was like nah.
This discussion has been closed.