'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
Liz Truss is - by any measure - an idiot. The worst leader in the Conservatives' history.
I'll raise you Alexander Johnson. He did of course facilitate Truss.
It's a pretty competitive field for worst ever Tory leader, but surely Sunak has the unique accolade of the heaviest defeat for the party since universal suffrage?
That would mean Churchill would be one of the worst Tory leaders ever too. Good luck arguing that case...
Fought three elections, lost two. Spent most of his time obsessing about foreign affairs to the neglect of important domestic policy. Failed to groom his successor properly. Spent most of his last 18 months in power in such a state of mental decay that the Cabinet used to come out of meetings swearing at his confusion.
He did a few good things too, but yeah, you could make that case.
Yes, just merely saved Britain from Nazi invasion in 1940 and helped defeat Hitler. Not much of a legacy really
Saved the country from the majority in the Tory Party that wanted to negotiate a surrender, I am sure you meant to say.
It was the warmongers in the Labour Party who insisted on Neville Chamberlain stepping down as Prime Minister.
Arizona and Georgia moving towards Trump vs 2020, whilst Wisconsin breaks the other way, with Nevada/Pennslyvania/Michigan static. Super tight.
If that one is spot on then the biggest movement would be Wisconsin at over 2%, I wonder if there is any particular reason it would (on the margins at play in these states) see a bigger swing than the others.
Let’s be fair - somewhat - to Labour (not something you’ll often hear me say).
The increases in Defence and Justice budgets are good things. Long overdue. @TSE was right that successive Conservative PM’s might be branded “guilty men” if we end up in a shooting war.
Scrapping the WFA is correct. And, the triple lock must go.
The last government was awful, and handed a ton of problems to Labour.
Labour has 412 MP’s. They can take any decision they wish. Let’s pray they make the right ones.
A noble sentiment but the Budget was fiscally and economically reckless, the increases in Defence and Justice are pitiful, and, sadly, they aren't making the right calls on the rest; they haven't touched the triple lock and are splurging on their client groups. And they're actively working against British interests in foreign policy.
You're right they can do what they like though. Let's just hope the judgement of the electorate rapidly chastens them.
In part, it’s directed at Conservatives. We have to own our mistakes, before we can expect the public to vote for us.
If I were Kemi I'd be brave and move to a double-lock early in this parliament, whilst pledging to keep other pensioner benefits.
As disdain and anger at this government grows I think it's a move she could get away with over 3-4 years, provided it was put in a strong political context of changing times and national challenges.
Arizona and Georgia moving towards Trump vs 2020, whilst Wisconsin breaks the other way, with Nevada/Pennslyvania/Michigan static. Super tight.
If that one is spot on then the biggest movement would be Wisconsin at over 2%, I wonder if there is any particular reason it would (on the margins at play in these states) see a bigger swing than the others.
Trump made an unscheduled visit to Michigan today.
It is amusing that with all the billions of dollars spent on campaigning, I imagine hundreds of millions on polls and doubtless billions of words written and spoken, a fair few of them on here, nevertheless tossing a $0.01 coin would probably be as good a way of predicting the result at the moment.
Which is why America needs an intervention to tell them you don't need to spent so damn much, or spend the entirety of the year essentially in campaign mode.
Meanwhile, in "not even bothering to get on the ship, which may say something for its seaworthiness" news,
Excellent lunch with the FT, you really get a sense of what Cleverly is like person-to-person. Plus Lucy gets an exclusive from him that he WON'T be staying in the Shadow Cabinet.
Gosh, that's quite the blow. What will frontline politics be without Jimmy Dimmly - a man so stupid he managed to lend enough voters to lose himself the election.
It's going to be interesting to see who gets a place in Kemi's shadow cabinet. It's a pretty thin pool to draw on.
Grab some complete newbies. Why not? Shadow Cabinet don't really face that much blowback if they do poorly, most people even a little interested won't know them, but someone might unexpectedly shine.
If Labour is going to spend more on defence, I'd like to see a proper strategic review which looks at why defence procurement, even by govt standards, is famously bad.
At why we have enormous white elephant aircraft carriers that don't seem to be of any use to... you know... defending the country as opposed to looking nice in pictures.
We try to do too much for too little. Now unfortunately the idiots in charge think "okay we'll either defend half of the country, or the whole country from half the threats". We need to massively increase defence spending. Probably back to somewhere in the region of where it was at the end of the Cold War at around 4%, and at least 3% (1997 levels) ASAP. Threats are rising all over the world, and we have utterly dismal amibitions of 2.5% by 2030.
If Trump gets elected we could be facing a real crisis regarding defence and security as early as next year. What are we doing to prepare? Sweet FA.
Yet again. Just waffling utter nonsense about himself. No pretence that he has to win over people or argue a case.
Acyn @Acyn · 2m Trump: That beautiful white skin that I have would be nice and tan. I have the whitest skin because I never have time to go out in the sun. I have that beautiful white. It could’ve been beautiful tan.
He does love to talk about himself true. What's less clear is why so many others love it as well, even he would tone it down a little if he was getting blowback for rambling about how great he is to himself.
If Labour is going to spend more on defence, I'd like to see a proper strategic review which looks at why defence procurement, even by govt standards, is famously bad.
That won't happen because everybody knows that a big part of the reason is interference by politicians in matters they're not remotely competent to decide, and, if there's one characteristic of politicians, is that they never want to admit they're shit at what they do.
So they will keep the ability to direct public money to inefficient national champions and marginal constituencies, and the MoD will continue buying rubbish like SA80s or the Warrior upgrades.
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
It is amusing that with all the billions of dollars spent on campaigning, I imagine hundreds of millions on polls and doubtless billions of words written and spoken, a fair few of them on here, nevertheless tossing a $0.01 coin would probably be as good a way of predicting the result at the moment.
Which is why America needs an intervention to tell them you don't need to spent so damn much, or spend the entirety of the year essentially in campaign mode.
I am sure that the citizens will be glad to be back to watching pharma ads and no longer being robocalled 6 times a day.
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
Liz Truss is - by any measure - an idiot. The worst leader in the Conservatives' history.
I'll raise you Alexander Johnson. He did of course facilitate Truss.
It's a pretty competitive field for worst ever Tory leader, but surely Sunak has the unique accolade of the heaviest defeat for the party since universal suffrage?
The music stopped when Sunak was in charge. It should have stopped years earlier. Rishi Sunak was a lot better than his two predecessors and probably about equal with Theresa May.
If they'd picked Sunak before Truss detonated a dirty bomb under the economy, he would probably have lost - the legacy of Partygate made that inevitable - but it is highly unlikely he would have lost so badly.
Probably, but then that may also be true of if they had rumbled on with a rapidly declining Boris, or left Truss in place.
The damage caused by the removal to their credibility I think was much worse than they anticipated, and his own performance then compounded things. It could be the case that any option other than rapid turnover of leaders would have meant a somewhat lesser loss.
Let’s be fair - somewhat - to Labour (not something you’ll often hear me say).
The increases in Defence and Justice budgets are good things. Long overdue. @TSE was right that successive Conservative PM’s might be branded “guilty men” if we end up in a shooting war.
Scrapping the WFA is correct. And, the triple lock must go.
The last government was awful, and handed a ton of problems to Labour.
Labour has 412 MP’s. They can take any decision they wish. Let’s pray they make the right ones.
A noble sentiment but the Budget was fiscally and economically reckless, the increases in Defence and Justice are pitiful, and, sadly, they aren't making the right calls on the rest; they haven't touched the triple lock and are splurging on their client groups. And they're actively working against British interests in foreign policy.
You're right they can do what they like though. Let's just hope the judgement of the electorate rapidly chastens them.
In part, it’s directed at Conservatives. We have to own our mistakes, before we can expect the public to vote for us.
If I were Kemi I'd be brave and move to a double-lock early in this parliament, whilst pledging to keep other pensioner benefits.
As disdain and anger at this government grows I think it's a move she could get away with over 3-4 years, provided it was put in a strong political context of changing times and national challenges.
Which two locks?
I think my endpoint would be to average pay and inflation each year, but once basic pensions have reached a somewhat higher level than now. It would be good to get a shared agreement on what that level is.
(And, annoying as it is, I suspect that means-testing doesn't work. It risks clobbering any incentive for lots of people to save anything.)
Arizona and Georgia moving towards Trump vs 2020, whilst Wisconsin breaks the other way, with Nevada/Pennslyvania/Michigan static. Super tight.
If that one is spot on then the biggest movement would be Wisconsin at over 2%, I wonder if there is any particular reason it would (on the margins at play in these states) see a bigger swing than the others.
Trump made an unscheduled visit to Michigan today.
Well, every single one of those states is clearly in play for both sides.
What would be fun (depending on one's preferred outcome of course) is whether any other states could throw a curveball and shock everyone. Of course, to be such a shock there must not be obvious evidence of an upset, so it'd be very hard to predict from some less obvious signs.
The next closest states (or EC vote) were:
Florida - 3.36% - R Texas - 5.58% - R Nebraska's second congressional district - 6.50% - D Minnesota - 7.11% - D New Hampshire - 7.35% - D Main's second congressional disctrict - 7.44% - R
There's some ballot measures Dems are hoping will help in Florida I believe but I don't think anyone has suggested its genuinely in play, and the rest just look too much outside of landslide that the pollsters have all missed, sadly.
It was the unforced error of Truss’ demise that makes her standout as spectacularly abysmal. Sunak played a bad hand poorly, but Truss out of nowhere decided to destroy herself.
Obviously Boris is utterly malign, but within the narrow confines of his own standards by winning an election he stands ahead of both Sunak and Truss.
Truss forgot the first and most important Thatcherite lesson - you can't buck the market.
I remember quite clearly the astonishment I felt when, during one of the leadership debates, she blithely declared that she was going to renegotiate the interest paid on British government debt to pay for her tax cuts.
As I am finding out to my personal* cost, no-one is obliged to lend you money, or provide you with a service, but Truss seemed to think she could command the bond market to lend her more money, at a lower rate of interest. And they say that socialists don't understand the economy!
* A life insurance company has declined to provide us with the insurance we need to draw down a mortgage until after Christmas at the earliest, and I fear that the owners of the house we have agreed to buy will not wait any longer after waiting for nearly four months already.
Let’s be fair - somewhat - to Labour (not something you’ll often hear me say).
The increases in Defence and Justice budgets are good things. Long overdue. @TSE was right that successive Conservative PM’s might be branded “guilty men” if we end up in a shooting war.
Scrapping the WFA is correct. And, the triple lock must go.
The last government was awful, and handed a ton of problems to Labour.
Labour has 412 MP’s. They can take any decision they wish. Let’s pray they make the right ones.
A noble sentiment but the Budget was fiscally and economically reckless, the increases in Defence and Justice are pitiful, and, sadly, they aren't making the right calls on the rest; they haven't touched the triple lock and are splurging on their client groups. And they're actively working against British interests in foreign policy.
You're right they can do what they like though. Let's just hope the judgement of the electorate rapidly chastens them.
In part, it’s directed at Conservatives. We have to own our mistakes, before we can expect the public to vote for us.
If I were Kemi I'd be brave and move to a double-lock early in this parliament, whilst pledging to keep other pensioner benefits.
As disdain and anger at this government grows I think it's a move she could get away with over 3-4 years, provided it was put in a strong political context of changing times and national challenges.
Which two locks?
I think my endpoint would be to average pay and inflation each year, but once basic pensions have reached a somewhat higher level than now. It would be good to get a shared agreement on what that level is.
(And, annoying as it is, I suspect that means-testing doesn't work. It risks clobbering any incentive for lots of people to save anything.)
Inflation or 2.5%, so average earnings is excluded.
It would then track to 2.5% in general, since the government target is inflation at 2%.
It's like they deliberately want to tank the economy. Same with tariffs.
Utter pillocks.
Torch the earth. Nothing that Biden did must remain.
Indeed, nothing that any president has done in a hundred years must remain. The Cult wants to burn the republic to the ground and then worship the anointed one as he ushers in the Second Coming for the blessed. Round up the not real americans. Lock up the women. Let the billionaires decide all the laws.
In four days the future of the great experiment in democracy will be decided.
It's like they deliberately want to tank the economy. Same with tariffs.
Utter pillocks.
Torch the earth. Nothing that Biden did must remain.
Indeed, nothing that any president has done in a hundred years must remain. The Cult wants to burn the republic to the ground and then worship the anointed one as he ushers in the Second Coming for the blessed. Round up the not real americans. Lock up the women. Let the billionaires decide all the laws.
In four days the future of the great experiment in democracy will be decided.
It'll take more than four days, unless it's a landslide for Harris. Slow votes, ballots still coming in, dozens of legal challenges, uncertain top court - unless it's a clear Trump win, don't expect it to be decided until early January!
Let’s be fair - somewhat - to Labour (not something you’ll often hear me say).
The increases in Defence and Justice budgets are good things. Long overdue. @TSE was right that successive Conservative PM’s might be branded “guilty men” if we end up in a shooting war.
Scrapping the WFA is correct. And, the triple lock must go.
The last government was awful, and handed a ton of problems to Labour.
Labour has 412 MP’s. They can take any decision they wish. Let’s pray they make the right ones.
A noble sentiment but the Budget was fiscally and economically reckless, the increases in Defence and Justice are pitiful, and, sadly, they aren't making the right calls on the rest; they haven't touched the triple lock and are splurging on their client groups. And they're actively working against British interests in foreign policy.
You're right they can do what they like though. Let's just hope the judgement of the electorate rapidly chastens them.
In part, it’s directed at Conservatives. We have to own our mistakes, before we can expect the public to vote for us.
If I were Kemi I'd be brave and move to a double-lock early in this parliament, whilst pledging to keep other pensioner benefits.
As disdain and anger at this government grows I think it's a move she could get away with over 3-4 years, provided it was put in a strong political context of changing times and national challenges.
Which two locks?
I think my endpoint would be to average pay and inflation each year, but once basic pensions have reached a somewhat higher level than now. It would be good to get a shared agreement on what that level is.
(And, annoying as it is, I suspect that means-testing doesn't work. It risks clobbering any incentive for lots of people to save anything.)
Inflation or 2.5%, so average earnings is excluded.
It would then track to 2.5% in general, since the government target is inflation at 2%.
The state pension is around the same ballpark as the personal allowance and working a 16 hour week at the minimum wage. Could we link all three?
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
HIGNFY awful this evening. Barely a joke about Reeves and Starmer's budget beyond bus fares, still mainly at Tories expense.
Left leaning comedians still can't bring themselves to criticise an increasingly unpopular leftwing government
There was a whole round about the budget, and later they made fun of Starmer repeatedly calling Rishi Prime Minister. What do you want in half an hour?
Elon Musk lost a bid to move a lawsuit challenging his daily million-dollar giveaway to voters to federal court, putting the lawsuit filed by a progressive Philadelphia district attorney back in front of a state court judge.
I’m now starting to wonder whether @HYUFD ’s oft tipped Harris EC win PV loss could be VALUE.
For clarity, I think it’s unlikely to happen but BX has it available at 36.
Perhaps worth a tickle?
Although I am sure @HYUFD has made good calls and will do so again, I think that spot was spotted by one of the absolutely lovely and article-publishing mods of this parish.
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis · 31m TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Elon is absolutely right. Starmer and Reeves have betrayed our farmers, their families and our food security and a 100 Labour MPs in rural seats will be out of a job after the next GE as a result
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
Elon Musk lost a bid to move a lawsuit challenging his daily million-dollar giveaway to voters to federal court, putting the lawsuit filed by a progressive Philadelphia district attorney back in front of a state court judge.
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis · 31m TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Elon is absolutely right, Starmer and Reeves have betrayed our farmers, their families and our food security and a 100 Labour MPs in rural seats will be out of a job after the next GE as a result
I note your anger. I also note the anger of our farming and fishing communities who can detail - with reams of evidence - how YOUR party had ALREADY betrayed them.
Congratulations @Casino_Royale on the new job, glad to see you're out of the DEI shitfest. It was actually one of the final straws for me at my previous company. It was already going badly and then they made us sit through a mandatory black history month workshop, something I give absolutely zero fucks about because you know, I know loads of black people and don't need a workshop about "how to act around black people" as if it was some kind of mystery that needed investigating. I found the whole thing quite insulting and had there been any black people at it I'm sure they would have too.
So, what time does the surprise Jenrick win get announced tomorrow?
May have to be delayed if so to give CCHQ staff enough time to helicopter off the roof of the building to safety and exile in Sunak towers before Jenrick, Frost, Rees Mogg, Francois and Dorries and their ERG hordes storm the building and take over
I’m now starting to wonder whether @HYUFD ’s oft tipped Harris EC win PV loss could be VALUE.
For clarity, I think it’s unlikely to happen but BX has it available at 36.
Perhaps worth a tickle?
Although I am sure @HYUFD has made good calls and will do so again, I think that spot was spotted by one of the absolutely lovely and article-publishing mods of this parish.
My only memory is of @HYUFD tipping it (which he has done frequently). Apologies if I failed to credit its orginator?
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis · 31m TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Elon is absolutely right, Starmer and Reeves have betrayed our farmers, their families and our food security and a 100 Labour MPs in rural seats will be out of a job after the next GE as a result
I note your anger. I also note the anger of our farming and fishing communities who can detail - with reams of evidence - how YOUR party had ALREADY betrayed them.
So what is the point in you?
They got trade deals with Australia etc for exports, they also got a leaving of the CFP which fishing communities wanted.
This awful government has just taken most farm owners farms and most of their assets built up over generations and destroyed the agricultural industry in this country. There is no comparison
Once again, don't assume the Supreme Court will come to Trump's rescue.
"Supreme court rejects Republican argument on Pennsylvania ballot counting: AP
The supreme court on Friday rejected an emergency appeal from Republicans that could have led to thousands of provisional ballots not being counted in Pennsylvania, the Associated Press reports.
The justices left in place a state supreme court ruling that elections officials must count provisional ballots cast by voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected."
Have we worked out whether Kemi or Jenrick has won yet?
The results will be announced tomorrow.
If Kemi wins and it's true that four or five Cleverly supporters voted for her in error she's going to be leader with the support of only about 35 of her MPs. Not a very comfortable position I would have thought
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis · 31m TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Elon is absolutely right, Starmer and Reeves have betrayed our farmers, their families and our food security and a 100 Labour MPs in rural seats will be out of a job after the next GE as a result
I note your anger. I also note the anger of our farming and fishing communities who can detail - with reams of evidence - how YOUR party had ALREADY betrayed them.
So what is the point in you?
They got trade deals with Australia etc for exports, they also got a leaving of the CFP which fishing communities wanted.
This awful government has just taken most farm owners farms and most of their assets built up over generations and destroyed the agricultural industry in this country. There is no comparison
Clueless.
Neither of us voted for this government. And they have provided us an endless stream of comedy gold since getting MASSIVELY elected. Point is that however bad they are - and they are *bad* - your lot were so much worse.
Until you understand that, your party is utterly doomed.
Once again, don't assume the Supreme Court will come to Trump's rescue.
"Supreme court rejects Republican argument on Pennsylvania ballot counting: AP
The supreme court on Friday rejected an emergency appeal from Republicans that could have led to thousands of provisional ballots not being counted in Pennsylvania, the Associated Press reports.
The justices left in place a state supreme court ruling that elections officials must count provisional ballots cast by voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected."
I don't assume they definitely will. But I think the chance is higher than 4 years ago with the connivance of State houses and a lot of willing prep work from Trump supporters than last time, to give greater pretext.
If they do something, and it's not certain, they'll pick their moments carefully, as they are not dumb.
Arizona and Georgia moving towards Trump vs 2020, whilst Wisconsin breaks the other way, with Nevada/Pennslyvania/Michigan static. Super tight.
If that one is spot on then the biggest movement would be Wisconsin at over 2%, I wonder if there is any particular reason it would (on the margins at play in these states) see a bigger swing than the others.
Trump made an unscheduled visit to Michigan today.
Well, every single one of those states is clearly in play for both sides.
What would be fun (depending on one's preferred outcome of course) is whether any other states could throw a curveball and shock everyone. Of course, to be such a shock there must not be obvious evidence of an upset, so it'd be very hard to predict from some less obvious signs.
The next closest states (or EC vote) were:
Florida - 3.36% - R Texas - 5.58% - R Nebraska's second congressional district - 6.50% - D Minnesota - 7.11% - D New Hampshire - 7.35% - D Main's second congressional disctrict - 7.44% - R
There's some ballot measures Dems are hoping will help in Florida I believe but I don't think anyone has suggested its genuinely in play, and the rest just look too much outside of landslide that the pollsters have all missed, sadly.
Florida is like 5% Puerto Rican, and it seems like the garbage island thing really cut through. The polling has quite strong numbers for Trump with Latinos, but they're hard to poll so it could be wrong. Even if they happen it's hard to imagine those effects being big enough to make Florida go Dem while PA/MI/WI go GOP, but who knows.
Texas is one of those bombs that people say might go off one day but never actually goes off. It's not making any audible ticking sounds but maybe don't stand too close?
NH used to be quite unpredictable, they would give their electoral votes to Trump just to mess with you.
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis · 31m TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Elon is absolutely right, Starmer and Reeves have betrayed our farmers, their families and our food security and a 100 Labour MPs in rural seats will be out of a job after the next GE as a result
I note your anger. I also note the anger of our farming and fishing communities who can detail - with reams of evidence - how YOUR party had ALREADY betrayed them.
So what is the point in you?
They got trade deals with Australia etc for exports, they also got a leaving of the CFP which fishing communities wanted.
This awful government has just taken most farm owners farms and most of their assets built up over generations and destroyed the agricultural industry in this country. There is no comparison
Clueless.
Neither of us voted for this government. And they have provided us an endless stream of comedy gold since getting MASSIVELY elected. Point is that however bad they are - and they are *bad* - your lot were so much worse.
Until you understand that, your party is utterly doomed.
They aren't and already voters are starting to wake up to it, hence the first Tory poll lead in almost 3 years in the BMG poll tonight
Have we worked out whether Kemi or Jenrick has won yet?
The results will be announced tomorrow.
If Kemi wins and it's true that four or five Cleverly supporters voted for her in error she's going to be leader with the support of only about 35 of her MPs. Not a very comfortable position I would have thought
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
Have we worked out whether Kemi or Jenrick has won yet?
The results will be announced tomorrow.
If Kemi wins and it's true that four or five Cleverly supporters voted for her in error she's going to be leader with the support of only about 35 of her MPs. Not a very comfortable position I would have thought
Have we worked out whether Kemi or Jenrick has won yet?
The results will be announced tomorrow.
If Kemi wins and it's true that four or five Cleverly supporters voted for her in error she's going to be leader with the support of only about 35 of her MPs. Not a very comfortable position I would have thought
It wasn't an error, it was stupidity.
As opposed to the really clever errors everybody else makes? 😃
'Spreadsheet man' Rishi Sunak ran the Tory train into the buffers - he's to blame for the Conservative Party's worst defeat in two centuries, writes LIZ TRUSS
It's like they deliberately want to tank the economy. Same with tariffs.
Utter pillocks.
Torch the earth. Nothing that Biden did must remain.
Indeed, nothing that any president has done in a hundred years must remain. The Cult wants to burn the republic to the ground and then worship the anointed one as he ushers in the Second Coming for the blessed. Round up the not real americans. Lock up the women. Let the billionaires decide all the laws.
In four days the future of the great experiment in democracy will be decided.
Well there's that - but there's also the fact that tanking the CHIPS Act would cost several thousand jobs in Arizona. Not the smartest thing to emphasise a few days before the election.
What an absolute arse. (FWIW, my money would be on Cheney.)
Trump: Liz Cheney would not fight. I will go with her, wherever she wants, and we will fight. She doesn't have the guts to fight. She's all talk and no action. https://x.com/Acyn/status/1852473139227509129
The wuss wouldn't even debate Harris a second time.
F1: unsure when I'll post the pre-qualifying tosh. Will be today at some point, unless woe occurs.
The new Conservative leader has two jobs: retain or regain the party's 'natural' supporters and appeal, at least to some degree, to floating voters. Plenty of time to do that, provided the party stops trying to eat its own face.
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
Senior Harris campaign officials say campaign’s internal data show them winning by double digits among battleground state voters who made up their mind in the last week. Focus groups, officials say, show damage to Trump from Madison Square Garden rally and Puerto Rico comments.
Harris campaign clearly views Madison Square Garden rally as a turning point among late-breaking undecided voters, in ways that's giving them confidence in the final days. “It really broke through," senior campaign official says. "It’s helped gel their feeling about this race.”
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
If memory serves, weren’t some saying at this stage in 2016 that the trump campaign was erratic and desperate for making last min stops to the likes of Wisconsin? On the assumption that he takes NC and Georgia, a sweep of Az, Georgia and New Mexico gets him there. Or lose New Mexico and flip Virgina the same outcome. If nothing else it would be an irony if the rust belt abandoned him and he still got over the line. Something to bear in mind when the early results come in from Pa, Mi and Wi.
The budget gets worse and worse. Bashing NI was stupid when Rishi tried to do it, its even worse this time not so much for the rate rise (which is bad enough), but the threshold reduction.
Its takes a special kind of government to government £100bn's and get less growth in the short term. Normally the criticism is you will pay for that down the line when the bill finally comes in (and each government has kicked it further down the line).
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
If memory serves, weren’t some saying at this stage in 2016 that the trump campaign was erratic and desperate for making last min stops to the likes of Wisconsin? On the assumption that he takes NC and Georgia, a sweep of Az, Georgia and New Mexico gets him there. Or lose New Mexico and flip Virgina the same outcome. If nothing else it would be an irony if the rust belt abandoned him and he still got over the line. Something to bear in mind when the early results come in from Pa, Mi and Wi.
He takes Georgia twice? That’s impressive vote rigging even by his standards.
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
If memory serves, weren’t some saying at this stage in 2016 that the trump campaign was erratic and desperate for making last min stops to the likes of Wisconsin? On the assumption that he takes NC and Georgia, a sweep of Az, Georgia and New Mexico gets him there. Or lose New Mexico and flip Virgina the same outcome. If nothing else it would be an irony if the rust belt abandoned him and he still got over the line. Something to bear in mind when the early results come in from Pa, Mi and Wi.
He takes Georgia twice? That’s impressive vote rigging even by his standards.
Early morning typo alert! Az, Nevada and NM obvs :-)
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson @hendopolis · 31m TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Elon is absolutely right, Starmer and Reeves have betrayed our farmers, their families and our food security and a 100 Labour MPs in rural seats will be out of a job after the next GE as a result
I note your anger. I also note the anger of our farming and fishing communities who can detail - with reams of evidence - how YOUR party had ALREADY betrayed them.
So what is the point in you?
They got trade deals with Australia etc for exports, they also got a leaving of the CFP which fishing communities wanted.
This awful government has just taken most farm owners farms and most of their assets built up over generations and destroyed the agricultural industry in this country. There is no comparison
I don't think putting IHT on larger farms (100% Agricultural relief only dates back to the Major government) is quite the same as forced collectivisation of the kulaks. Any land sold as a result of IHT will go to other farmers, or be used for building.
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
If memory serves, weren’t some saying at this stage in 2016 that the trump campaign was erratic and desperate for making last min stops to the likes of Wisconsin? On the assumption that he takes NC and Georgia, a sweep of Az, Georgia and New Mexico gets him there. Or lose New Mexico and flip Virgina the same outcome. If nothing else it would be an irony if the rust belt abandoned him and he still got over the line. Something to bear in mind when the early results come in from Pa, Mi and Wi.
He takes Georgia twice? That’s impressive vote rigging even by his standards.
Early morning typo alert! Az, Nevada and NM obvs :-)
I was assuming it was a typo, but with Trump you never know.
Seems unlikely he will take New Mexico or Virginia - indeed, he’s probably got a better chance in New Hampshire. But it’s no higher than the chance of Harris taking Texas.
Once again, don't assume the Supreme Court will come to Trump's rescue.
"Supreme court rejects Republican argument on Pennsylvania ballot counting: AP
The supreme court on Friday rejected an emergency appeal from Republicans that could have led to thousands of provisional ballots not being counted in Pennsylvania, the Associated Press reports.
The justices left in place a state supreme court ruling that elections officials must count provisional ballots cast by voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected."
I think people misunderstand who the "conservative" judges on the Supreme Court are. Several are idealogical about the constitution laid down by the forefathers above all else, rather than simply being a Trump / GOP stooge. That means your "progressive" causes are always going to run into difficulties, but not a slam dunk every whinge from the right gets waved through.
Simon Rosenberg @SimonWDC · 45m Trump losing campaign vibes: - Travel to NM and VA. WTF???? - Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way - Darker shades of burnt orange - lashing out, violent speech - Defending NC, map shrinking - Teenie weenie crowds 👇
If memory serves, weren’t some saying at this stage in 2016 that the trump campaign was erratic and desperate for making last min stops to the likes of Wisconsin? On the assumption that he takes NC and Georgia, a sweep of Az, Georgia and New Mexico gets him there. Or lose New Mexico and flip Virgina the same outcome. If nothing else it would be an irony if the rust belt abandoned him and he still got over the line. Something to bear in mind when the early results come in from Pa, Mi and Wi.
He takes Georgia twice? That’s impressive vote rigging even by his standards.
Early morning typo alert! Az, Nevada and NM obvs :-)
I was assuming it was a typo, but with Trump you never know.
Seems unlikely he will take New Mexico or Virginia - indeed, he’s probably got a better chance in New Hampshire. But it’s no higher than the chance of Harris taking Texas.
Who the hell knows. They are two very strange candidacies without much modern precedent. One a “defeated incumbent”, the other an incumbent with a previously low profile chosen with no primaries.
Right, so having been told on here quite convincingly how reprehensible Trump is for wanting Liz Cheney put in front of a firing squad. I saw a meme on twitter that suggested this was, in actual fact fake news and he said no such thing. So I checked and guess what, Trump never said anything about a firing squad. The firing squad comments are what somebody else said his comments were, and thus they are now his comments. Derangement syndrome really is up there. Trump is bonkers, he says so many bonkers things, surely there are enough of the things he does say without inventing stuff.
Right, so having been told on here quite convincingly how reprehensible Trump is for wanting Liz Cheney put in front of a firing squad. I saw a meme on twitter that suggested this was, in actual fact fake news and he said no such thing. So I checked and guess what, Trump never said anything about a firing squad. The firing squad comments are what somebody else said his comments were, and thus they are now his comments. Derangement syndrome really is up there. Trump is bonkers, he says so many bonkers things, surely there are enough of the things he does say without inventing stuff.
He *did* talk about pointing 9 (gun) barrels at her and you can try to spin that away, but I don't see another reasonable interpretation.
Right, so having been told on here quite convincingly how reprehensible Trump is for wanting Liz Cheney put in front of a firing squad. I saw a meme on twitter that suggested this was, in actual fact fake news and he said no such thing. So I checked and guess what, Trump never said anything about a firing squad. The firing squad comments are what somebody else said his comments were, and thus they are now his comments. Derangement syndrome really is up there. Trump is bonkers, he says so many bonkers things, surely there are enough of the things he does say without inventing stuff.
He *did* talk about pointing 9 (gun) barrels at her and you can try to spin that away, but I don't see another reasonable interpretation.
He did say he would give her a rifle as well, which isn’t usual for somebody facing a firing squad.
But he talked about pointing ‘nine rifles at her face’ which isn’t exactly a normal thing to say and suggests he has some distinctly disturbing thoughts about her.
Mind you, the more amusing thing was he called her ‘revolting’ and ‘dumb.’ No irony there…
Rachel Reeves was given a rapturous reception by Labour MPs after her first budget on Wednesday. But already some of her cabinet colleagues are privately concerned at what they see as a “massive gamble”. “The reality remains that if we don’t get growth, we go bust,” our political team was told.
Comments
If that one is spot on then the biggest movement would be Wisconsin at over 2%, I wonder if there is any particular reason it would (on the margins at play in these states) see a bigger swing than the others.
As disdain and anger at this government grows I think it's a move she could get away with over 3-4 years, provided it was put in a strong political context of changing times and national challenges.
Starmer just isn't funny.
Comics aren't going to fall in love with the Tories any time soon - but they'll fall out of love with Labour before very long..
If Trump gets elected we could be facing a real crisis regarding defence and security as early as next year. What are we doing to prepare? Sweet FA.
So they will keep the ability to direct public money to inefficient national champions and marginal constituencies, and the MoD will continue buying rubbish like SA80s or the Warrior upgrades.
She was just utterly deranged.
The damage caused by the removal to their credibility I think was much worse than they anticipated, and his own performance then compounded things. It could be the case that any option other than rapid turnover of leaders would have meant a somewhat lesser loss.
I think my endpoint would be to average pay and inflation each year, but once basic pensions have reached a somewhat higher level than now. It would be good to get a shared agreement on what that level is.
(And, annoying as it is, I suspect that means-testing doesn't work. It risks clobbering any incentive for lots of people to save anything.)
What would be fun (depending on one's preferred outcome of course) is whether any other states could throw a curveball and shock everyone. Of course, to be such a shock there must not be obvious evidence of an upset, so it'd be very hard to predict from some less obvious signs.
The next closest states (or EC vote) were:
Florida - 3.36% - R
Texas - 5.58% - R
Nebraska's second congressional district - 6.50% - D
Minnesota - 7.11% - D
New Hampshire - 7.35% - D
Main's second congressional disctrict - 7.44% - R
There's some ballot measures Dems are hoping will help in Florida I believe but I don't think anyone has suggested its genuinely in play, and the rest just look too much outside of landslide that the pollsters have all missed, sadly.
* They need to be if they want to take part in the next election ....
I remember quite clearly the astonishment I felt when, during one of the leadership debates, she blithely declared that she was going to renegotiate the interest paid on British government debt to pay for her tax cuts.
As I am finding out to my personal* cost, no-one is obliged to lend you money, or provide you with a service, but Truss seemed to think she could command the bond market to lend her more money, at a lower rate of interest. And they say that socialists don't understand the economy!
* A life insurance company has declined to provide us with the insurance we need to draw down a mortgage until after Christmas at the earliest, and I fear that the owners of the house we have agreed to buy will not wait any longer after waiting for nearly four months already.
BREAKING: I asked @SpeakerJohnson if he’ll try to repeal the CHIPS Act if Trump wins and they have control of Congress.
“I expect that we probably will.”..
https://x.com/lukeradel/status/1852457020877582462
It's like they deliberately want to tank the economy. Same with tariffs.
Utter pillocks.
It would then track to 2.5% in general, since the government target is inflation at 2%.
Indeed, nothing that any president has done in a hundred years must remain. The Cult wants to burn the republic to the ground and then worship the anointed one as he ushers in the Second Coming for the blessed. Round up the not real americans. Lock up the women. Let the billionaires decide all the laws.
In four days the future of the great experiment in democracy will be decided.
Jeez.
A once great national newspaper reduced to this shite.
Neil Henderson
@hendopolis
·
31m
TELEGRAPH: Musk: PM is wrong on farm tax raid #TomorrowsPapersToday
Some of us predicted it.
And there she is.
TRUSS.
For clarity, I think it’s unlikely to happen but BX has it available at 36.
Perhaps worth a tickle?
He also failed to turn up in Court, when the Judge had required that all parties be there.
'A government’s first Budget sets the tone for the whole Parliament – Reeves has flunked it'
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/11/01/a-governments-first-budget-sets-the-tone/
So what is the point in you?
This awful government has just taken most farm owners farms and most of their assets built up over generations and destroyed the agricultural industry in this country. There is no comparison
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/nov/01/splits-in-reform-uk-as-senior-figures-defend-tommy-robinson-supporters
"Supreme court rejects Republican argument on Pennsylvania ballot counting: AP
The supreme court on Friday rejected an emergency appeal from Republicans that could have led to thousands of provisional ballots not being counted in Pennsylvania, the Associated Press reports.
The justices left in place a state supreme court ruling that elections officials must count provisional ballots cast by voters whose mail-in ballots were rejected."
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2024/nov/01/kamala-harris-donald-trump-swing-states-campaign-us-politics-latest-updates
https://swampthevoteusa.com/
Neither of us voted for this government. And they have provided us an endless stream of comedy gold since getting MASSIVELY elected. Point is that however bad they are - and they are *bad* - your lot were so much worse.
Until you understand that, your party is utterly doomed.
If they do something, and it's not certain, they'll pick their moments carefully, as they are not dumb.
Texas is one of those bombs that people say might go off one day but never actually goes off. It's not making any audible ticking sounds but maybe don't stand too close?
NH used to be quite unpredictable, they would give their electoral votes to Trump just to mess with you.
https://x.com/baoigheallain/status/1852267677948997717
(VW Golf, everyone OK, except the driver's insurance premium next year.)
If the house had been wearing Hi Viz, he wouldn't have hit it - obviously.
Gilead.
Simon Rosenberg
@SimonWDC
·
45m
Trump losing campaign vibes:
- Travel to NM and VA. WTF????
- Escalation of red wave polls - only needed if election not going his way
- Darker shades of burnt orange
- lashing out, violent speech
- Defending NC, map shrinking
- Teenie weenie crowds 👇
https://x.com/SimonWDC/status/1852488442048864415
A new owner cometh.
Dems still 44k behind - Rep lead is holding very steady.
But today is last day of in person voting (good for Rep) whereas mail (good for Dems) will continue to come in and a lot more is expected.
But big picture is it looks as if Harris will have to win Independents by approx 5% to win the State.
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024
If only this could have been forseen….
Not the smartest thing to emphasise a few days before the election.
Enough to swing the state, or not ?
(FWIW, my money would be on Cheney.)
Trump: Liz Cheney would not fight. I will go with her, wherever she wants, and we will fight. She doesn't have the guts to fight. She's all talk and no action.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1852473139227509129
The wuss wouldn't even debate Harris a second time.
F1: unsure when I'll post the pre-qualifying tosh. Will be today at some point, unless woe occurs.
The new Conservative leader has two jobs: retain or regain the party's 'natural' supporters and appeal, at least to some degree, to floating voters. Plenty of time to do that, provided the party stops trying to eat its own face.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cje0vp790eqo
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2024/11/brazil-pre-qualifying-2024.html
Bearman replacing Magnussen is a shame for the Dane but the young Briton's certainly had a surprisingly active role this year.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1852543627534414086
Senior Harris campaign officials say campaign’s internal data show them winning by double digits among battleground state voters who made up their mind in the last week. Focus groups, officials say, show damage to Trump from Madison Square Garden rally and Puerto Rico comments.
Harris campaign clearly views Madison Square Garden rally as a turning point among late-breaking undecided voters, in ways that's giving them confidence in the final days. “It really broke through," senior campaign official says. "It’s helped gel their feeling about this race.”
@MollyJongFast
If @TonyHinchcliffe ends up costing Donald Trump the election it will be the funniest thing he’s ever done
https://x.com/MollyJongFast/status/1852448078474662062
Its takes a special kind of government to government £100bn's and get less growth in the short term. Normally the criticism is you will pay for that down the line when the bill finally comes in (and each government has kicked it further down the line).
Seems unlikely he will take New Mexico or Virginia - indeed, he’s probably got a better chance in New Hampshire. But it’s no higher than the chance of Harris taking Texas.
So I checked and guess what, Trump never said anything about a firing squad. The firing squad comments are what somebody else said his comments were, and thus they are now his comments.
Derangement syndrome really is up there.
Trump is bonkers, he says so many bonkers things, surely there are enough of the things he does say without inventing stuff.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/11/01/the-economic-blob-that-brought-me-down-is-shielding-reeves/
Do we think Truss was always this bonkers, or her experience as PM has driven this mad?
But he talked about pointing ‘nine rifles at her face’ which isn’t exactly a normal thing to say and suggests he has some distinctly disturbing thoughts about her.
Mind you, the more amusing thing was he called her ‘revolting’ and ‘dumb.’ No irony there…
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/rachel-reeves-autumn-budget-backlash-s989hn288