Senatus Populusque – Previewing November’s other elections – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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Yes although I'm loathe to do it because it feels like jinx/double misery, I've got to lay Trump at those prices.Ratters said:Trump's chance of winning electoral college:
- 538: 53%
- Nate Silver: 54%
- Betfair: 65%
So the models project a coin toss with a slight Trump bias, while the betting market make Trump almost twice as likely to win as Harris.
It is a very significant divergence.0 -
kjh said:
Hmmmmm what? What do you think the issue is? Home Secretary and Mayor believe extra protection needed following Austrian terrorist issue. Police disagree. Home Secretary and Mayor get their way, possibly under pressure from Swift's team. Seems normal stuff.moonshine said:“Prime Minister, why was Taylor Swift given a special police escort?”
Hmmm
What new conspiracy are you trying to spread now?
How about… you don’t respond to me and I don’t respond to you. Since I can’t figure out how to mute you on here.kjh said:
Hmmmmm what? What do you think the issue is? Home Secretary and Mayor believe extra protection needed following Austrian terrorist issue. Police disagree. Home Secretary and Mayor get their way, possibly under pressure from Swift's team. Seems normal stuff.moonshine said:“Prime Minister, why was Taylor Swift given a special police escort?”
Hmmm
What new conspiracy are you trying to spread now?1 -
Last year I had meetings in London followed by Denmark, basically everything is cashless in Denmark (calm down there Ana), I can't say there was a big noticeable difference in cost of a drink as the notifications came through on my phone in £'s.williamglenn said:
I've been ready for that ever since my first trip to Scandinavia.MaxPB said:I just hope everyone's ready for the £9 pint.
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I genuinely want people to go back to reading entrails. I'm sure it's less accurate, but massively so? And it is more of spectacle, though it would probably need to be a fake animal to avoid cruelty.williamglenn said:
I didn't realise it was that scientific.Mexicanpete said:
Is his methodology the tried and trusted technique of throwing half a dozen playing cards in the air and those that land face up give us the Trump lead?rcs1000 said:TRAFALGAR GIVES TRUMP 3 POINT LEAD IN NORTH CAROLINA.
I know that's of no importance whatsoever, but I just wanted to mention it.0 -
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.0 -
Sadly yes. Bit gamey in places on here sometimes.Mexicanpete said:...
A great final paragraph.TimS said:
The question is what do these agitators want? What would they have liked to happen? Because I doubt that anything reasonable the police could have said or done would have sated their appetite.Mexicanpete said:...
What bollocks from Goodwin. Irrespective of whether the lad had terrorist sympathies, that did not give Farage the right to plageurise Andrew Tate's fake news nonsense for political gain.Andy_JS said:"Matt Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Could it be true that Prime Minister Keir Starmer, much of the political class and the state blamed protestors for “misinformation” while deliberately withholding information? There are so many questions that need answering."
Huge questions about Southport. How long were the police and CPS aware of this? Were they sitting on this information during the riots, protests and sentencing?"
https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1851288467847725277
Those morons who tried setting fire to Holiday Inns are not vindicated by this news,.
Whether BigG.finally has his Starmer gotcha is another question. Maybe he has.
Let’s been honest, given their and others’ messages during the riots. They would have liked the Police to name the murderer as a terrorist, to clearly state his race, to go easy on the rioters and those inciting violence online - perhaps just shrug it off as people blowing off steam. But that wouldn’t be enough. Nothing short of some sort of mass deportation would be enough, because what they want is - to echo some rhetoric that’s made its way on to this site in the last 24 hours - “not to see too many black or brown faces”. Yes, a poster actually wrote that last night, on here.
That’s the game Goodwin is playing. It’s also the pool Jenrick is dipping his toes into, whether out of ideology or cynicism. PB recently suggests to me that there’s a market for it even amongst people with, to channel another of this evening’s topics, decent A Levels.1 -
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
Ah but you joined in March 24, and have been a little hostile to people that suggested you might actually be CHB under another name! Which was weird as we rather liked CHB (well I did at least)BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly I think people writing off SKS at this point are incredibly naïve. You could have taken these posts and transplanted them back to 2020/2021 when people were saying Johnson would be PM for a decade. I think only @Anabobazina and myself were saying otherwise.
Of course I also thought Jezza would win in 2019 so...0 -
I stand to be corrected, but I think I read that with the rise in NLW some will lose Universal credit and be worse off or will cut their hours accordinglyDaveyboy1961 said:
That's good if they can both achieve a min wage job for 48 hours. On the good side they would be paying a lot of tax and Ni, and will probably have given up any in work benefits.algarkirk said:
A couple both working maximum (48) hours in FT employment on minimum wage (12.21) once the rise has taken effect will earn (gross) £61K. Which is great but also has interesting effects and pressures on the employment market. I think.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
I would appreciate those more familiar with the subject to comment0 -
Only 3, disappointing.kinabalu said:AAA
(old money)3 -
Interested to see if the Tories criticise this. Kemi might I think, she plays by her own rules.Anabobazina said:Good news on the National Minimum Wage increase. Well done Rachel.
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Pubs are already going out of business at record rates. With a few exceptions in big cities, you only really survive via your food these days. I presume we will also be better higher funday taxes on booze.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
That's not how I recall it. I've even used the same sequence of characters.Omnium said:
Ah but you joined in March 24, and have been a little hostile to people that suggested you might actually be CHB under another name! Which was weird as we rather liked CHB (well I did at least)BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly I think people writing off SKS at this point are incredibly naïve. You could have taken these posts and transplanted them back to 2020/2021 when people were saying Johnson would be PM for a decade. I think only @Anabobazina and myself were saying otherwise.
Of course I also thought Jezza would win in 2019 so...
I think I've confirmed like half a dozen times that I am, or represent Mr Horse Battery.0 -
New position or adding to an existing one?rkrkrk said:
Yes although I'm loathe to do it because it feels like jinx/double misery, I've got to lay Trump at those prices.Ratters said:Trump's chance of winning electoral college:
- 538: 53%
- Nate Silver: 54%
- Betfair: 65%
So the models project a coin toss with a slight Trump bias, while the betting market make Trump almost twice as likely to win as Harris.
It is a very significant divergence.0 -
The beneficiaries of the higher minimum wage will be private landlords who can probably whack on another 10% to the rent in areas of limited housing supply, to start to deal with all the new housing regulation in the private rented sector.2
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Starmer is there for the next 4 years plus unless he has a health issue or something entirely unexpectedBatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly I think people writing off SKS at this point are incredibly naïve. You could have taken these posts and transplanted them back to 2020/2021 when people were saying Johnson would be PM for a decade. I think only @Anabobazina and myself were saying otherwise.
Of course I also thought Jezza would win in 2019 so...0 -
This is not going to make any difference to that. But I do agree with you - and since the pub is my happy place, I find it very sad.FrancisUrquhart said:
Pubs are already going out of business at record rates.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
The moves tomorrow will put pubs out of business at no different a rate to supply and demand increasing wages by that amount.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
In fact more, as the minimum wage is national while supply and demand is local and more responsive.
Yes things are good on my side thanks for asking, just been busy.0 -
I remember when it was around a couple of quid a pint in the Woodville and you got a politics tutorial too.MaxPB said:I just hope everyone's ready for the £9 pint.
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Well assuming you finally admit it, welcome back CHB! (I was simply a bit baffled some months ago to conflate you two, and then you got upset)BatteryCorrectHorse said:
That's not how I recall it. I've even used the same sequence of characters.Omnium said:
Ah but you joined in March 24, and have been a little hostile to people that suggested you might actually be CHB under another name! Which was weird as we rather liked CHB (well I did at least)BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly I think people writing off SKS at this point are incredibly naïve. You could have taken these posts and transplanted them back to 2020/2021 when people were saying Johnson would be PM for a decade. I think only @Anabobazina and myself were saying otherwise.
Of course I also thought Jezza would win in 2019 so...
I think I've confirmed like half a dozen times that I am, or represent Mr Horse Battery.0 -
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
I generally would support greater measures to keep pubs in business was but I agree, this on its own won’t make any measurable difference.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
This is not going to make any difference to that. But I do agree with you - and since the pub is my happy place, I find it very sad.FrancisUrquhart said:
Pubs are already going out of business at record rates.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
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I already had...but sure, hello again.Omnium said:
Well assuming you finally admit it, welcome back CHB! (I was simply a bit baffled some months ago to conflate you two, and then you got upset)BatteryCorrectHorse said:
That's not how I recall it. I've even used the same sequence of characters.Omnium said:
Ah but you joined in March 24, and have been a little hostile to people that suggested you might actually be CHB under another name! Which was weird as we rather liked CHB (well I did at least)BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly I think people writing off SKS at this point are incredibly naïve. You could have taken these posts and transplanted them back to 2020/2021 when people were saying Johnson would be PM for a decade. I think only @Anabobazina and myself were saying otherwise.
Of course I also thought Jezza would win in 2019 so...
I think I've confirmed like half a dozen times that I am, or represent Mr Horse Battery.0 -
The Woody was £3.50 for a pint when I used to frequent it, and happily no politics lectures I could see. Lots of rugby lads though.Mexicanpete said:
I remember when it was around a couple of quid a pint in the Woodville and you got a politics tutorial too.MaxPB said:I just hope everyone's ready for the £9 pint.
1 -
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.2 -
After tomorrow will it be cheaper to go and have a few pints and walk home, or drive and soda water…BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
Neither of my children frequent pubs. It's a lifestyle choice amongst twentysomethings. The piss trade is dead on its arse already. A milk tax on coffee sales would yield a better return.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.2 -
Adding to existing. I've been long Harris since Biden quit I think.kinabalu said:
New position or adding to an existing one?rkrkrk said:
Yes although I'm loathe to do it because it feels like jinx/double misery, I've got to lay Trump at those prices.Ratters said:Trump's chance of winning electoral college:
- 538: 53%
- Nate Silver: 54%
- Betfair: 65%
So the models project a coin toss with a slight Trump bias, while the betting market make Trump almost twice as likely to win as Harris.
It is a very significant divergence.
Was massively underwater because as I kept incorrectly telling you, Biden wasn't going to stand down.
Anyway as long as Michelle Obama doesn't somehow become President it won't be my worst result ever...3 -
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
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You're saying no it's not true that I don't go as much as I used to? Are you looking through my window right now?MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
To be honest in the summer, it's cheaper and nicer to go on sit on Parsons Green with a few tinnies and then sober up a bit and jump on a Lime bikemoonshine said:
After tomorrow will it be cheaper to go and have a few pints and walk home, or drive and soda water…BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.1 -
0
-
Idiots - one of the teachers should have adopted a pseudonym and got into partnership with the student to take over the market with high quality product....rcs1000 said:
One of the sixth formers at my school (who ended up at Oxford) used to make amphetamines in the school chemistry lab.Flatlander said:
In my day the students who knew what they were doing were allowed to brew up all kinds of things in the back of the chemistry lab at school.Malmesbury said:
When I was a teenager, you could get everything mail order. I still remember the thrill of getting the 100% Sulphuric acid. In those days the use of polystyrene foam round a bottle in a parcel was a bit exotic. Glass bottle of course.....FrancisUrquhart said:
When I was doing my A-Level chemistry I was paired up with this Chinese kid. Very smart, but had only just arrived in the UK and his English wasn't very good and had shall we say a very lax approach to health and safety....using the fume cupboard was seen as unnecessary hassle, as was bothering to measure things...150ml...300ml, same thing...i just double everything else...Malmesbury said:
To someone who has done chemistry, the world is full of "Put this, this and this in a bucket and you get...."turbotubbs said:
One of my colleagues used to be in possession of mg scale amounts of a drug CC1065 that would kill hundreds in the right environment and be almost undetectable (binds to DNA causing multi-organ failure a few months after administration). The way he talks about what terrorists ought to do is fascinating/scary at the same time.Selebian said:
A chemistry degree would appear to fall under that!carnforth said:
True, but:williamglenn said:
Producing ricin is not just possessing pdfs.carnforth said:
Also:carnforth said:
"Not being treated as terrorism". Not quite the same. I suppose they could start saying "Not currently being treated as terrorism".FrancisUrquhart said:
The teenager accused of the stabbing murders of three young girls in Southport has been charged with producing the poison ricin and possessing a military study of an Al Qaeda training manual.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky
Southport killer charged with terrorism
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c05zpdq0lzgo
This isn't going to help all conspiracy theory stuff, as the police were very quick to say not terrorist related.
"However, police have not declared the events of 29 July a terrorist incident. "For a matter to be declared as a terrorist incident, motivation would need to be established," Chief Constable Kennedy said."
So we're charging people just for having PDFs on their hard drives again. Lucky no-one went around checking hard drives for the Anarchist's Cookbook when I was a teenager.
"He also faces a terror charge of possession of information "likely to be useful to a person committing or preparing an act of terrorism, contrary to Section 58 of the Terrorism Act 2000"."
Someone could be charged with that alone. They probably wouldn't be, but they could be - and that's not right.
The 100% Nitric was fun as well.
My brother (slightly older) was a spoil sport and drew the line at Hydrofluoric......
Mind you, the bit where we teaching ourselves how to silver glass using silver nitrate... and the solution turned black.....
The usual amusement was NI3 which was mostly used to eat shoe soles one crackle at a time but other more exciting compounds may have been attempted.
It was kind of brought to a halt when some fool didn't cool a reaction vessel enough and the main classroom had to be cleared rather quickly.
I don't think anyone deliberately made any fulminates though!
Most of those committing such criminal acts went on to Oxbridge, of course.
[That's me on a list now]
This was discovered just before Easter in his upper sixth, and the school was faced with a choice...
As he was the only kid with an Oxbridge offer, they did exactly what you'd expect, and completely swept it under the carpet.3 -
Indeed.numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
But it's amusing how some people are perfectly OK with wages going up as long as it's the state determining that everyone's wages go up, with no regards to local market conditions.
While being utterly horrified at supply and demand and local market conditions meaning that wages might locally go up above minimum wage if that is what is required.
The minimum wage should be a floor, not a ceiling, to wages.2 -
If more people start drinking at home, there is a risk that the pub garden smoking ban will be evaded. The government will have to tighten the rules, starting with smoking in private gardens. Detetctor vans could be used for enforcement.2
-
Labour don't give a fuck.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.1 -
Drink more beer?numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.3 -
🤭 - I get £75 if it's Michelle and I hereby pledge it to you if it happens.rkrkrk said:
Adding to existing. I've been long Harris since Biden quit I think.kinabalu said:
New position or adding to an existing one?rkrkrk said:
Yes although I'm loathe to do it because it feels like jinx/double misery, I've got to lay Trump at those prices.Ratters said:Trump's chance of winning electoral college:
- 538: 53%
- Nate Silver: 54%
- Betfair: 65%
So the models project a coin toss with a slight Trump bias, while the betting market make Trump almost twice as likely to win as Harris.
It is a very significant divergence.
Was massively underwater because as I kept incorrectly telling you, Biden wasn't going to stand down.
Anyway as long as Michelle Obama doesn't somehow become President it won't be my worst result ever...1 -
Rachel Reeves replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/0 -
The pollings all over the place . In Arizona a shock poll by Data Orbital gives Trump an 8 point lead , CNN have Harris in the lead by 1 point .
Earlier Susquehanna give Harris a 5 point lead in Michigan as opposed to Emerson who give Trump a 1 point lead .
And not poll related Trump just called his hate rally a love-fest !2 -
I certainly do my best to help on that front!Omnium said:
Drink more beer?numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/2 -
Most likely Guido Getting hold of it has forced them to go public today, otherwise it would still be under wraps.eek said:
The discovery of Ricin - alongside which Guido is claiming he knew on Friday and was ordered not to publish...bondegezou said:
What specifically had been covered up?tlg86 said:
"Not that I want it to kick off"maxh said:
That isn't how your previous post reads, to me at least.tlg86 said:
Nope, I'm saying the powers that be having to ask their officers to deal with shit deserve everything they get. (If I were rank and file, I'd refuse to go out there after this).maxh said:
I find some of the language and sentiments expressed by certain posters on here pretty unpleasant at the moment.tlg86 said:
The weather is set fair for the next week. Plenty of fireworks around too. (Not that I want it to kick off - I don't think it will - but if that was the thinking behind the lies, then the police deserve everything they get)maaarsh said:
It's cold and dark now, safe time to admit the hush up.Sandpit said:
So they’ve put “Tommy” in prison, and are now saying that this attack was terrorism after all?Razedabode said:
I can understand why the police didn’t want to release this pre whatever that Tommy Robinson march was, but the perception I.e what some groups will do with this won’t help.williamglenn said:
https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/security-services-may-look-at-russia-and-farage-in-riots-probe_uk_66ba2494e4b0eabd2393a9a1carnforth said:
The crux was that he was an immigrant, which he wasn't, IIRC.williamglenn said:
Wasn't the crux of the 'fake news' story that he was known to the security services?FrancisUrquhart said:
The teenager accused of the stabbing murders of three young girls in Southport has been charged with producing the poison ricin and possessing a military study of an Al Qaeda training manual.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky
Southport killer charged with terrorism
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c05zpdq0lzgo
This isn't going to help all conspiracy theory stuff, as the police were very quick to say not terrorist related and the online stuff which got people out on the streets was all about a cover up of this being a terrorist attack and strange story of the soldier stabbing (which we still don't really know much about).
Farage falsely claimed the police were not telling the whole truth around the tragedies in Southport shortly after the stabbings first happened, and suggested the suspect was already known to the security services.
Hope the police and Home Office are braced for the response, let’s all hope and pray it doesn’t get as ugly as it did earlier in the summer.
Are you really saying that individual police officers deserve to be attacked with fireworks? Pretty shameful imo.
Obviously, police don't have much of choice, so I will retract any suggestion that they deserve it. But this is a cover up. And it is an absolute fucking disgrace.
But the argument that will keep coming at them, why were you keeping it under wraps even this long? It seems like a long time to journalists.
If the answer to that question is, working on the assumption it wouldn’t be a fair trial, if public and jury knew about this, as public and jury would think it a terror related incident which might not be true or fair, it would point to keeping this news hushed up from public and jury for a very long time, a year or more till post trial?
I do get the argument, motive has not been proved by these facts - does this mean I should have gone to Cambridge, become a lawyer, and then a back bench Tory MP who’d become known as Handsy Jadey for my drunken antics in the bars? 🫣 On this occasion by all means tell me I’m wrong in all this supposition.0 -
Omg, you're in a foul mood tonightCasino_Royale said:
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/0 -
I don't mean you, I mean among the public and that's going to lead to closures which you've said won't happen due to the minimum wage rise.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
You're saying no it's not true that I don't go as much as I used to? Are you looking through my window right now?MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.1 -
When I were a lad I'd go to the pub with 1/6 for a pint of bitter. One penny short and it would have to be a pint of mild. Tuppence short and it would be half of lager and a bag of crisps. How are my grandchildren ever going to learn the value of money?FrancisUrquhart said:
Last year I had meetings in London followed by Denmark, basically everything is cashless in Denmark (calm down there Ana), I can't say there was a big noticeable difference in cost of a drink as the notifications came through on my phone in £'s.williamglenn said:
I've been ready for that ever since my first trip to Scandinavia.MaxPB said:I just hope everyone's ready for the £9 pint.
0 -
Fewer drunks clogging up the arteries of the NHS. It's great lateral thinking.Casino_Royale said:
Labour don't give a fuck.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
Come along. Would you really want a snap of Nigel Lawson on your wall? I wouldn't even want a snap of Nigella Lawson, and she's considerably easier on the eye than her father.Casino_Royale said:
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/6 -
Without productivity improvements minimum wage does act as a ceiling as well as a floor.BartholomewRoberts said:
Indeed.numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
But it's amusing how some people are perfectly OK with wages going up as long as it's the state determining that everyone's wages go up, with no regards to local market conditions.
While being utterly horrified at supply and demand and local market conditions meaning that wages might locally go up above minimum wage if that is what is required.
The minimum wage should be a floor, not a ceiling, to wages.
It does mean that pubs will need to careful manage the hours they open but the biggest issue for most won't be the minimum wage it will be the fact their business rates (which have been discounted since 2021) will be reverting back to their historic levels if the 75% relief that ends in March isn't extended.0 -
Sure but my question is, why are you looking through my window?MaxPB said:I don't mean you, I mean among the public and that's going to lead to closures which you've said won't happen due to the minimum wage rise.
0 -
Look on the bright side, if Starmer keeps going on like this he'll destroy Labour for ever.Casino_Royale said:
Labour don't give a fuck.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Look on the brights side, if Starmer keeps going on loiBatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
Result.3 -
I love them too. Have since I was 17BatteryCorrectHorse said:
This is not going to make any difference to that. But I do agree with you - and since the pub is my happy place, I find it very sad.FrancisUrquhart said:
Pubs are already going out of business at record rates.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
"There is a pub in Donny Market Square,
It's called the Woolpack Arms ..."0 -
If business rate relief isn't retained - it won't be the minimum wage that closes those pubs their new business rates bill will be the culprit.MaxPB said:
I don't mean you, I mean among the public and that's going to lead to closures which you've said won't happen due to the minimum wage rise.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
You're saying no it's not true that I don't go as much as I used to? Are you looking through my window right now?MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.0 -
Eng Lit is a dry, scholastic, subject, which bears no relation to the discussions people have about interesting books.rcs1000 said:
I think it's easier to get an A in English Lit if you don't read the set books, because then you've memorized the correct criticism without having it polluted by any actual knowledge of the text.KnightOut said:FrankBooth said:
Not everyone excels in their A Levels. A pretty daft way to judge someone with decades of work experience.maaarsh said:
She took her A levels in 1997 not 1970 - if you can only get a D in A level maths I don't want to rely on anything you've engineered.DecrepiterJohnL said:
In the old days, top grades were harder to get and not many people cared anyway.maaarsh said:After yesterday's tweets about 'engineer' Kemi's sub-par academic achievements (D in A Level maths), I've just spotted Keir only got BBC in his A levels.
Why are we ruled by idiots, and how was this not spotted when muppets were going on about his razor-sharp intellect - the clues of his inability to think on his feet were there all along.
Even when Keir was doing it 10% got As - out of the whole country we couldn't be bothered to pick someone in the top decile mentally - admittedly America has 2 similar choices, but it doesn't excuse us.
Said it before, I know, but I got an A in my English Lit. A level without properly reading any of the set books.
This destroyed whatever residual faith I may have had in teachers and teaching.
I'd estimate ~98% of everything I ever learned was picked up outside the so-called Education System.
3 -
I'd go further, I'd surcharge alcohol industries for the drunks who end up clogging A and E.Mexicanpete said:
Fewer drunks clogging up the arteries of the NHS. It's great lateral thinking.Casino_Royale said:
Labour don't give a fuck.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
We have a pub at the end of our street and we have th regular Friday/Saturday procession of drunkards from 10pm till gone midnight.1 -
I think Goodwin is just acting from a sense of belief in what he is saying - he really believes that we need to leave the ECHR and the other parts of his agenda. However since quitting his academic role he is becoming more of a political actor himself and so has to start pleasing the crowd, and inevitably the quality of his output is going downhill.TimS said:
The question is what do these agitators want? What would they have liked to happen? Because I doubt that anything reasonable the police could have said or done would have sated their appetite.Mexicanpete said:...
What bollocks from Goodwin. Irrespective of whether the lad had terrorist sympathies, that did not give Farage the right to plageurise Andrew Tate's fake news nonsense for political gain.Andy_JS said:"Matt Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Could it be true that Prime Minister Keir Starmer, much of the political class and the state blamed protestors for “misinformation” while deliberately withholding information? There are so many questions that need answering."
Huge questions about Southport. How long were the police and CPS aware of this? Were they sitting on this information during the riots, protests and sentencing?"
https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1851288467847725277
Those morons who tried setting fire to Holiday Inns are not vindicated by this news,.
Whether BigG.finally has his Starmer gotcha is another question. Maybe he has.
Let’s been honest, given their and others’ messages during the riots. They would have liked the Police to name the murderer as a terrorist, to clearly state his race, to go easy on the rioters and those inciting violence online - perhaps just shrug it off as people blowing off steam. But that wouldn’t be enough. Nothing short of some sort of mass deportation would be enough, because what they want is - to echo some rhetoric that’s made its way on to this site in the last 24 hours - “not to see too many black or brown faces”. Yes, a poster actually wrote that last night, on here.
That’s the game Goodwin is playing. It’s also the pool Jenrick is dipping his toes into, whether out of ideology or cynicism. PB recently suggests to me that there’s a market for it even amongst people with, to channel another of this evening’s topics, decent A Levels.
0 -
In a free market wage rises can lead to productivity rises.eek said:
Without productivity improvements minimum wage does act as a ceiling as well as a floor.BartholomewRoberts said:
Indeed.numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
But it's amusing how some people are perfectly OK with wages going up as long as it's the state determining that everyone's wages go up, with no regards to local market conditions.
While being utterly horrified at supply and demand and local market conditions meaning that wages might locally go up above minimum wage if that is what is required.
The minimum wage should be a floor, not a ceiling, to wages.
It does mean that pubs will need to careful manage the hours they open but the biggest issue for most won't be the minimum wage it will be the fact their business rates (which have been discounted since 2021) will be reverting back to their historic levels if the 75% relief that ends in March isn't extended.
If market conditions demand above minimum wage pay rates to fill vacancies but some firms can't afford the wage rise so go out of business, leading to consolidation of the market and customers from those firms now frequenting the surviving firms, then the surviving firms staff both have higher pay and are more productive (serving more customers per hour).
A rise led by diktat rather than market forces doesn't have the same productivity boost.0 -
“I am the one who comes knocking.”Malmesbury said:
Idiots - one of the teachers should have adopted a pseudonym and got into partnership with the student to take over the market with high quality product....rcs1000 said:
One of the sixth formers at my school (who ended up at Oxford) used to make amphetamines in the school chemistry lab.Flatlander said:
In my day the students who knew what they were doing were allowed to brew up all kinds of things in the back of the chemistry lab at school.Malmesbury said:
When I was a teenager, you could get everything mail order. I still remember the thrill of getting the 100% Sulphuric acid. In those days the use of polystyrene foam round a bottle in a parcel was a bit exotic. Glass bottle of course.....FrancisUrquhart said:
When I was doing my A-Level chemistry I was paired up with this Chinese kid. Very smart, but had only just arrived in the UK and his English wasn't very good and had shall we say a very lax approach to health and safety....using the fume cupboard was seen as unnecessary hassle, as was bothering to measure things...150ml...300ml, same thing...i just double everything else...Malmesbury said:
To someone who has done chemistry, the world is full of "Put this, this and this in a bucket and you get...."turbotubbs said:
One of my colleagues used to be in possession of mg scale amounts of a drug CC1065 that would kill hundreds in the right environment and be almost undetectable (binds to DNA causing multi-organ failure a few months after administration). The way he talks about what terrorists ought to do is fascinating/scary at the same time.Selebian said:
A chemistry degree would appear to fall under that!carnforth said:
True, but:williamglenn said:
Producing ricin is not just possessing pdfs.carnforth said:
Also:carnforth said:
"Not being treated as terrorism". Not quite the same. I suppose they could start saying "Not currently being treated as terrorism".FrancisUrquhart said:
The teenager accused of the stabbing murders of three young girls in Southport has been charged with producing the poison ricin and possessing a military study of an Al Qaeda training manual.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky
Southport killer charged with terrorism
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c05zpdq0lzgo
This isn't going to help all conspiracy theory stuff, as the police were very quick to say not terrorist related.
"However, police have not declared the events of 29 July a terrorist incident. "For a matter to be declared as a terrorist incident, motivation would need to be established," Chief Constable Kennedy said."
So we're charging people just for having PDFs on their hard drives again. Lucky no-one went around checking hard drives for the Anarchist's Cookbook when I was a teenager.
"He also faces a terror charge of possession of information "likely to be useful to a person committing or preparing an act of terrorism, contrary to Section 58 of the Terrorism Act 2000"."
Someone could be charged with that alone. They probably wouldn't be, but they could be - and that's not right.
The 100% Nitric was fun as well.
My brother (slightly older) was a spoil sport and drew the line at Hydrofluoric......
Mind you, the bit where we teaching ourselves how to silver glass using silver nitrate... and the solution turned black.....
The usual amusement was NI3 which was mostly used to eat shoe soles one crackle at a time but other more exciting compounds may have been attempted.
It was kind of brought to a halt when some fool didn't cool a reaction vessel enough and the main classroom had to be cleared rather quickly.
I don't think anyone deliberately made any fulminates though!
Most of those committing such criminal acts went on to Oxbridge, of course.
[That's me on a list now]
This was discovered just before Easter in his upper sixth, and the school was faced with a choice...
As he was the only kid with an Oxbridge offer, they did exactly what you'd expect, and completely swept it under the carpet.0 -
Do you live in Frodsham ?Daveyboy1961 said:
I'd go further, I'd surcharge alcohol industries for the drunks who end up clogging A and E.Mexicanpete said:
Fewer drunks clogging up the arteries of the NHS. It's great lateral thinking.Casino_Royale said:
Labour don't give a fuck.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
We have a pub at the end of our street and we have th regular Friday/Saturday procession of drunkards from 10pm till gone midnight.1 -
HeheAlanbrooke said:
Do you live in Frodsham ?Daveyboy1961 said:
I'd go further, I'd surcharge alcohol industries for the drunks who end up clogging A and E.Mexicanpete said:
Fewer drunks clogging up the arteries of the NHS. It's great lateral thinking.Casino_Royale said:
Labour don't give a fuck.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
We have a pub at the end of our street and we have th regular Friday/Saturday procession of drunkards from 10pm till gone midnight.0 -
So many of our society's problems arise from housing scarcity forcing costs to an absurdly high proportion of people's salaries.darkage said:The beneficiaries of the higher minimum wage will be private landlords who can probably whack on another 10% to the rent in areas of limited housing supply, to start to deal with all the new housing regulation in the private rented sector.
A few ideas:
1. Huge liberalisation in planning approval process. Pre-approve large areas for construction to reduce the scarcity and value of planning permission being granted.
2. Tax breaks to incentivise the building of homes. Aim to bring in new competition to the area.
3. Tax property ownership properly, and potentially land value as well. That means a much higher annual tax as a % property value, combined with scrapping stamp duty that discourages mobility and downsizing.
We can't have a productive economy if so much of our income generated is paid away to rent seekers. People with enough money to be a landlord should be investing in companies, not in homes.
I exclude build to rent in the above categorisation as that's actually helping things.3 -
My 4th wasn't an A. So it's cancelled.FrancisUrquhart said:
Only 3, disappointing.kinabalu said:AAA
(old money)0 -
I think at current rates it may in fact have the opposite effect as wage growth elsewhere in a business are sacrificed to pay for the minimum wage rises. So what ends up happening is highly productive people either leave or become less motivated/productive to retain people on lower wages. What worries me is that Labour are simultaneously increasing business costs in wages, NI and supposedly NI on pension contributions as well as small business rates relief being on the chopping block. It's going to lead to a lot of upheaval if they do all four of those. Lots won't survive and unemployment will go up, probably by a fair amount.BartholomewRoberts said:
In a free market wage rises can lead to productivity rises.eek said:
Without productivity improvements minimum wage does act as a ceiling as well as a floor.BartholomewRoberts said:
Indeed.numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
But it's amusing how some people are perfectly OK with wages going up as long as it's the state determining that everyone's wages go up, with no regards to local market conditions.
While being utterly horrified at supply and demand and local market conditions meaning that wages might locally go up above minimum wage if that is what is required.
The minimum wage should be a floor, not a ceiling, to wages.
It does mean that pubs will need to careful manage the hours they open but the biggest issue for most won't be the minimum wage it will be the fact their business rates (which have been discounted since 2021) will be reverting back to their historic levels if the 75% relief that ends in March isn't extended.
If market conditions demand above minimum wage pay rates to fill vacancies but some firms can't afford the wage rise so go out of business, leading to consolidation of the market and customers from those firms now frequenting the surviving firms, then the surviving firms staff both have higher pay and are more productive (serving more customers per hour).
A rise led by diktat rather than market forces doesn't have the same productivity boost.5 -
I'm not sure if it's just where I live and work, but there's still absolutely loads of pubs everywhere.1
-
Ellen Wilkinson (who I believe the portrait is of), is a fascinating character who, as an early female MP and cabinet minister, achieved a heck of a lot. On that basis, she's a reasonable person for a female chancellor to have on her wall.Omnium said:
Come along. Would you really want a snap of Nigel Lawson on your wall? I wouldn't even want a snap of Nigella Lawson, and she's considerably easier on the eye than her father.Casino_Royale said:
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/
Despite her also being a communist...0 -
Farage also on the bandwagonAndy_JS said:"Matt Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Could it be true that Prime Minister Keir Starmer, much of the political class and the state blamed protestors for “misinformation” while deliberately withholding information? There are so many questions that need answering."
Huge questions about Southport. How long were the police and CPS aware of this? Were they sitting on this information during the riots, protests and sentencing?"
https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1851288467847725277
'The Southport attacker has now been charged with Terrorism offences. Perhaps I was right all along.'
https://x.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1851297898610507807
Plus Jenrick
'The public had a right to know the truth straight away.
I am seriously concerned that facts may have been withheld from the public.
Keir Starmer must urgently explain what he knew about the Southport attack and when he learned it.'
https://x.com/RobertJenrick/status/18512947803048634490 -
Indeed, if you want higher wages and thriving firms and employment then NI is the last tax that should be raised, it's literally discouraging it.MaxPB said:
I think at current rates it may in fact have the opposite effect as wage growth elsewhere in a business are sacrificed to pay for the minimum wage rises. So what ends up happening is highly productive people either leave or become less motivated/productive to retain people on lower wages. What worries me is that Labour are simultaneously increasing business costs in wages, NI and supposedly NI on pension contributions as well as small business rates relief being on the chopping block. It's going to lead to a lot of upheaval if they do all four of those. Lots won't survive and unemployment will go up, probably by a fair amount.BartholomewRoberts said:
In a free market wage rises can lead to productivity rises.eek said:
Without productivity improvements minimum wage does act as a ceiling as well as a floor.BartholomewRoberts said:
Indeed.numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
But it's amusing how some people are perfectly OK with wages going up as long as it's the state determining that everyone's wages go up, with no regards to local market conditions.
While being utterly horrified at supply and demand and local market conditions meaning that wages might locally go up above minimum wage if that is what is required.
The minimum wage should be a floor, not a ceiling, to wages.
It does mean that pubs will need to careful manage the hours they open but the biggest issue for most won't be the minimum wage it will be the fact their business rates (which have been discounted since 2021) will be reverting back to their historic levels if the 75% relief that ends in March isn't extended.
If market conditions demand above minimum wage pay rates to fill vacancies but some firms can't afford the wage rise so go out of business, leading to consolidation of the market and customers from those firms now frequenting the surviving firms, then the surviving firms staff both have higher pay and are more productive (serving more customers per hour).
A rise led by diktat rather than market forces doesn't have the same productivity boost.
We should be seeking to abolish NI instead. Currently making an income from rent seeking is not subject to NI while wages are, and that discrepancy is only going to get worse if the proposed NI rise goes ahead.
Make unearned incomes as taxed as earned ones are, both forms of NI rather than neither of them, and suddenly the market would look rather different.0 -
@RobertJenrick
Thank you,
@SirBillCash
for your support.
https://x.com/RobertJenrick/status/18513258328051713010 -
And if he wins, out comes a lettuce I suspect. Or maybe as it’s winter a cabbage.RobD said:
Only a few more days until he's consigned to the dustbin of history... hopefully.TimS said:
I don't think Jenrick cares about that sort of thing. He's trying to out-tweet Farage.noneoftheabove said:
Anyone who believes this is an idiot. The truth is not known straight away. It is good that the police take a bit of time and are cautious nowadays. Otherwise you get stuff like Hillsborough.Andy_JS said:"@RobertJenrick
The public had a right to know the truth straight away.
I am seriously concerned that facts may have been withheld from the public.
Keir Starmer must urgently explain what he knew about the Southport attack and when he learned it."
https://x.com/RobertJenrick/status/1851294780304863449
If Bobby J was a vegetable, what sort of vegetable would he be?0 -
Grubby little man.HYUFD said:
Farage also on the bandwagonAndy_JS said:"Matt Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Could it be true that Prime Minister Keir Starmer, much of the political class and the state blamed protestors for “misinformation” while deliberately withholding information? There are so many questions that need answering."
Huge questions about Southport. How long were the police and CPS aware of this? Were they sitting on this information during the riots, protests and sentencing?"
https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1851288467847725277
'The Southport attacker has now been charged with Terrorism offences. Perhaps I was right all along.'
https://x.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1851297898610507807
(Farage, I mean, H, not you. You're a gem compared to these national populist right horrors)1 -
There probably are good communists too. (And anyway the name Ellen Wilkinson rings a big bell somewhere which I can't immediately identify from a web search)JosiasJessop said:
Ellen Wilkinson (who I believe the portrait is of), is a fascinating character who, as an early female MP and cabinet minister, achieved a heck of a lot. On that basis, she's a reasonable person for a female chancellor to have on her wall.Omnium said:
Come along. Would you really want a snap of Nigel Lawson on your wall? I wouldn't even want a snap of Nigella Lawson, and she's considerably easier on the eye than her father.Casino_Royale said:
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/
Despite her also being a communist...0 -
The advent of the £9 pint won’t help boost the birth rate as we were discussing yesterday. Wrong decision chancellor - get young people drunk in close proximity to each other, and we’ll get more babies.2
-
The only entity that is going to build affordable housing is the state either directly or through housing associations.Ratters said:
So many of our society's problems arise from housing scarcity forcing costs to an absurdly high proportion of people's salaries.darkage said:The beneficiaries of the higher minimum wage will be private landlords who can probably whack on another 10% to the rent in areas of limited housing supply, to start to deal with all the new housing regulation in the private rented sector.
A few ideas:
1. Huge liberalisation in planning approval process. Pre-approve large areas for construction to reduce the scarcity and value of planning permission being granted.
2. Tax breaks to incentivise the building of homes. Aim to bring in new competition to the area.
3. Tax property ownership properly, and potentially land value as well. That means a much higher annual tax as a % property value, combined with scrapping stamp duty that discourages mobility and downsizing.
We can't have a productive economy if so much of our income generated is paid away to rent seekers. People with enough money to be a landlord should be investing in companies, not in homes.
I exclude build to rent in the above categorisation as that's actually helping things.
There could also be a shake-up of property taxes to improve liquidity in the housing market, the disincentives to downsize don't help, unlikely to happen though.0 -
Data Orbital called Arizona pretty well in 2020.nico679 said:The pollings all over the place . In Arizona a shock poll by Data Orbital gives Trump an 8 point lead , CNN have Harris in the lead by 1 point .
Earlier Susquehanna give Harris a 5 point lead in Michigan as opposed to Emerson who give Trump a 1 point lead .
And not poll related Trump just called his hate rally a love-fest !
That said, CNN -which was also broadly right in 2020- came out yesterday with a Harris +1 in AZ.
So you pays your money. Right now, the mood music suggests that Trump is ahead in AZ, NV, GA and NC... but that the rust belt is much tighter.2 -
Interesting how no-one has expressed any concern for the young woman in question. For the ex-MP and his family. But the woman - nothing. No wonder this is a woman-free forum. And then people wonder why this stuff continues to happen. You do not grope women; it's not just abuse of power; it makes them fearful. Why the hell should any woman have to put up such gross behaviour?BartholomewRoberts said:
What do you propose should be different and why?darkage said:
It seems like he admitted a mistake, participated in the process in good faith; but now gets the public shaming and condemnation anyway. I don't want to try and excuse what happened but how are you supposed to find a way forward with this report published in the public domain? It is a life changing event, it severely limits the opportunities available to him going forward. Is this really a proportionate punishment?SouthamObserver said:In a workplace situation you just don't start touching up women, let alone ones much younger than and more junior to you. Of course it's serious if you do it. Imagine being the woman. You don't know it's just mild flirtation. You just know some pissed-up, older bloke in a position of significant authority is touching you up. You have no idea what's coming next but you know what might be.
Even though I disagree with him politically, I think Aaron is generally a good guy and I feel very sorry for him that this has happened. But he not only crossed a red line but one that had flashing lights and huge warning signs above it.
I think that this is another reason why Trump is interesting, he shrugs off and rebuts accusations of various 'misconduct' and something like 50% of people vote for him anyway.
There is something about the appeal of the bad guy/risk taker that prevails over whatever the prevailing culture is; a feature of human nature.
Justice should be done and seen to be done.
If you do the wrong thing you should own the consequences. Personal accountability and all that jazz. The "shaming and condemnation" is entirely self-inflicted but comes with an acknowledgement that he admitted a mistake - but it was a mistake, an incredibly serious one.
People do not go to work to be abused and workplaces should and nowadays do have zero tolerance policies for a good reason.
Yes Trump wallows in doing the wrong thing and that's attractive to some people - and utterly repulsive to others. If the GOP had anyone other than Trump at this election they'd almost certainly have walked it under the circumstances (people do not feel richer than 4 years ago). His "grab them by the pussy" attitude is not one to be emulated or endorsed.
There was a report on this sort of misbehaviour in 2018 then another report in2019. Recommendations were made by the two reports (and another one for the House of Lords). Some changes were made but in 2022 staff were still reporting significant problems. This MP had no excuse for not knowing that this was wrong.
6 -
Nope. Each time you spout or link to conpiracies I am going to out you. You have a track record of doing so, some of it appalling. When you linked to QAnon here and then later to an appalling racist anti Semite you deserved it and I'm not going to let you off the hook.moonshine said:kjh said:
Hmmmmm what? What do you think the issue is? Home Secretary and Mayor believe extra protection needed following Austrian terrorist issue. Police disagree. Home Secretary and Mayor get their way, possibly under pressure from Swift's team. Seems normal stuff.moonshine said:“Prime Minister, why was Taylor Swift given a special police escort?”
Hmmm
What new conspiracy are you trying to spread now?
How about… you don’t respond to me and I don’t respond to you. Since I can’t figure out how to mute you on here.kjh said:
Hmmmmm what? What do you think the issue is? Home Secretary and Mayor believe extra protection needed following Austrian terrorist issue. Police disagree. Home Secretary and Mayor get their way, possibly under pressure from Swift's team. Seems normal stuff.moonshine said:“Prime Minister, why was Taylor Swift given a special police escort?”
Hmmm
What new conspiracy are you trying to spread now?1 -
People who love racist rioters are trying to come up with reasons why racist rioters being wrong about the attacker's name and immigration status are somehow now right. It is depressing.Andy_JS said:"Matt Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Could it be true that Prime Minister Keir Starmer, much of the political class and the state blamed protestors for “misinformation” while deliberately withholding information? There are so many questions that need answering."
Huge questions about Southport. How long were the police and CPS aware of this? Were they sitting on this information during the riots, protests and sentencing?"
https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/18512884678477252772 -
I’m usually one of a small group trying to persuade them to actually stay open until closing time, after too many other groups leave early (make your own jokes about the effect of my presence).moonshine said:
There’s almost none around me. They’re mostly restaurants masquerading as pubs.Ratters said:I'm not sure if it's just where I live and work, but there's still absolutely loads of pubs everywhere.
0 -
Served in Churchill's wartime government as well.JosiasJessop said:
Ellen Wilkinson (who I believe the portrait is of), is a fascinating character who, as an early female MP and cabinet minister, achieved a heck of a lot. On that basis, she's a reasonable person for a female chancellor to have on her wall.Omnium said:
Come along. Would you really want a snap of Nigel Lawson on your wall? I wouldn't even want a snap of Nigella Lawson, and she's considerably easier on the eye than her father.Casino_Royale said:
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/
Despite her also being a communist...
Allowing right wingers to make themselves look silly by criticising her is just a bonus.2 -
Tale as old as time. Minor fame destroys.darkage said:
I think Goodwin is just acting from a sense of belief in what he is saying - he really believes that we need to leave the ECHR and the other parts of his agenda. However since quitting his academic role he is becoming more of a political actor himself and so has to start pleasing the crowd, and inevitably the quality of his output is going downhill.TimS said:
The question is what do these agitators want? What would they have liked to happen? Because I doubt that anything reasonable the police could have said or done would have sated their appetite.Mexicanpete said:...
What bollocks from Goodwin. Irrespective of whether the lad had terrorist sympathies, that did not give Farage the right to plageurise Andrew Tate's fake news nonsense for political gain.Andy_JS said:"Matt Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Could it be true that Prime Minister Keir Starmer, much of the political class and the state blamed protestors for “misinformation” while deliberately withholding information? There are so many questions that need answering."
Huge questions about Southport. How long were the police and CPS aware of this? Were they sitting on this information during the riots, protests and sentencing?"
https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1851288467847725277
Those morons who tried setting fire to Holiday Inns are not vindicated by this news,.
Whether BigG.finally has his Starmer gotcha is another question. Maybe he has.
Let’s been honest, given their and others’ messages during the riots. They would have liked the Police to name the murderer as a terrorist, to clearly state his race, to go easy on the rioters and those inciting violence online - perhaps just shrug it off as people blowing off steam. But that wouldn’t be enough. Nothing short of some sort of mass deportation would be enough, because what they want is - to echo some rhetoric that’s made its way on to this site in the last 24 hours - “not to see too many black or brown faces”. Yes, a poster actually wrote that last night, on here.
That’s the game Goodwin is playing. It’s also the pool Jenrick is dipping his toes into, whether out of ideology or cynicism. PB recently suggests to me that there’s a market for it even amongst people with, to channel another of this evening’s topics, decent A Levels.0 -
...
You and the Telegraph have tapped into a rich seam over these portraits. I am not sure Nigel Lawson is the slam dunk picture removal gotcha it might first appear.williamglenn said:Rachel Reeves replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/1 -
Liberate the market and anyone can build affordable properties - and if any firm refuses, someone else will grab the custom instead.Dopermean said:
The only entity that is going to build affordable housing is the state either directly or through housing associations.Ratters said:
So many of our society's problems arise from housing scarcity forcing costs to an absurdly high proportion of people's salaries.darkage said:The beneficiaries of the higher minimum wage will be private landlords who can probably whack on another 10% to the rent in areas of limited housing supply, to start to deal with all the new housing regulation in the private rented sector.
A few ideas:
1. Huge liberalisation in planning approval process. Pre-approve large areas for construction to reduce the scarcity and value of planning permission being granted.
2. Tax breaks to incentivise the building of homes. Aim to bring in new competition to the area.
3. Tax property ownership properly, and potentially land value as well. That means a much higher annual tax as a % property value, combined with scrapping stamp duty that discourages mobility and downsizing.
We can't have a productive economy if so much of our income generated is paid away to rent seekers. People with enough money to be a landlord should be investing in companies, not in homes.
I exclude build to rent in the above categorisation as that's actually helping things.
There could also be a shake-up of property taxes to improve liquidity in the housing market, the disincentives to downsize don't help, unlikely to happen though.
The problem is our current planning system which grants permission to developers to develop entire estates while denying permission to others.2 -
Max you are discussing with a turnip.MaxPB said:
I think at current rates it may in fact have the opposite effect as wage growth elsewhere in a business are sacrificed to pay for the minimum wage rises. So what ends up happening is highly productive people either leave or become less motivated/productive to retain people on lower wages. What worries me is that Labour are simultaneously increasing business costs in wages, NI and supposedly NI on pension contributions as well as small business rates relief being on the chopping block. It's going to lead to a lot of upheaval if they do all four of those. Lots won't survive and unemployment will go up, probably by a fair amount.BartholomewRoberts said:
In a free market wage rises can lead to productivity rises.eek said:
Without productivity improvements minimum wage does act as a ceiling as well as a floor.BartholomewRoberts said:
Indeed.numbertwelve said:
There are other things we should be doing to help the industry rather than keeping wages low.MaxPB said:
No that's not true, the demand for pubs at £9 per pint will be noticeably lower than £7 per pint. Pubs are going to close and anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
Sadly going to the pub is so expensive that I don't go as much as I used to, despite earning significantly more. Corner shop is just so much cheaper.MaxPB said:
I mean pubs will definitely go out of business in a wage/price spiral. Not enough people on the minimum wage go to pubs so there won't be much additional demand but prices will have to go up to pay for the increased rates. Booze in pubs has got very elastic demand.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
I am opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business. The moves tomorrow are not going to put pubs out of business though.BartholomewRoberts said:
A while back when London restauranteurs were in the news for not being able to fill vacancies and saying more migrants were needed to fill them.BatteryCorrectHorse said:
When did I say that then?BartholomewRoberts said:
Which isn't what you were saying not long ago when you were demanding that employers be able to bring in people on minimum wage into the country to evade pay rises to fill vacancies.BatteryCorrectHorse said:Frankly if a UK business can’t afford to pay people a living wage then I would not be happy supporting them.
Specifically you said local hospitality couldn't fill vacancies unless people were allowed to migrate on the existing minimum wage rather than put up wages.
I said they should just let supply and demand sort the labour market and pay a higher wage. You said they couldn't afford to pay higher wages.
I said if they can't afford higher wages then the least productive firms should go out of business and the more productive ones would gain the customers of the other ones and be able to afford the higher wages. You said you were opposed to the idea of pubs going out of business.
Anyway, is everything alright on your side? We haven't crossed paths recently and I always used to see you post frequently.
But it's amusing how some people are perfectly OK with wages going up as long as it's the state determining that everyone's wages go up, with no regards to local market conditions.
While being utterly horrified at supply and demand and local market conditions meaning that wages might locally go up above minimum wage if that is what is required.
The minimum wage should be a floor, not a ceiling, to wages.
It does mean that pubs will need to careful manage the hours they open but the biggest issue for most won't be the minimum wage it will be the fact their business rates (which have been discounted since 2021) will be reverting back to their historic levels if the 75% relief that ends in March isn't extended.
If market conditions demand above minimum wage pay rates to fill vacancies but some firms can't afford the wage rise so go out of business, leading to consolidation of the market and customers from those firms now frequenting the surviving firms, then the surviving firms staff both have higher pay and are more productive (serving more customers per hour).
A rise led by diktat rather than market forces doesn't have the same productivity boost.0 -
I have no idea. Could be either. Unlike @moonshine I don't assume there is some sort of conspiracy. But then unlike her I don't go down the alt-right rabbit holes.boulay said:
Are we sure Taylor Swift was threatened by a terrorist in Austria or someone with mental health issues? I guess our gov would know without doubt I suppose.kjh said:
Hmmmmm what? What do you think the issue is? Home Secretary and Mayor believe extra protection needed following Austrian terrorist issue. Police disagree. Home Secretary and Mayor get their way, possibly under pressure from Swift's team. Seems normal stuff.moonshine said:“Prime Minister, why was Taylor Swift given a special police escort?”
Hmmm
What new conspiracy are you trying to spread now?0 -
I presume you are referring to https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5005818/#Comment_5005818 ?BatteryCorrectHorse said:@TimS can you link this post? That's shocking to see overt racism on this board now.
Things really have descended. Sad.0 -
Stafford Cripps also served in Churchill's wartime government, and he turned out to be a shitty little traitor.Stuartinromford said:
Served in Churchill's wartime government as well.JosiasJessop said:
Ellen Wilkinson (who I believe the portrait is of), is a fascinating character who, as an early female MP and cabinet minister, achieved a heck of a lot. On that basis, she's a reasonable person for a female chancellor to have on her wall.Omnium said:
Come along. Would you really want a snap of Nigel Lawson on your wall? I wouldn't even want a snap of Nigella Lawson, and she's considerably easier on the eye than her father.Casino_Royale said:
Sad, Woke, Left-wing shit by juveniles playing at government.williamglenn said:Rachel Reevs replaces portrait of Nigel Lawson with community party founder.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/10/29/rachel-reeves-replaces-portrait-nigel-lawson-communist-uk/
Despite her also being a communist...
Allowing right wingers to make themselves look silly by criticising her is just a bonus.0 -
All my life I've heard they're closing in large numbers. I'm sure it's true, but there's still loads, there were clearly way more than needed, even if trends meant they were more used before.Ratters said:I'm not sure if it's just where I live and work, but there's still absolutely loads of pubs everywhere.
0 -
Hmmm. I suspect people whose job is to look for ricin and other such terrorist chemistry sets know pretty much in seconds that they are dealing with an attempt ricin manufacture.turbotubbs said:
The manual could have been encrypted and significant time taken to decrypt etc. The ricin would have needed samples taken and testing. We don't know when the first inklings were that maybe it was terror related.bondegezou said:
Do you know when they were found? What's your source?MoonRabbit said:
Seriously? It’s not just this week the rice in the Tupperware and a manual was found is it? These were found hours after the attack.spudgfsh said:
I suspect she found out quite late on. even with high profile cases like this there'd be little to no communication with the home secretary about operational matters.Big_G_NorthWales said:No 10 denying prior knowledge of the decision by the CPS to charge the suspect with terrorism
I expect an urgent question to the Home Secretary asking when she knew ricin and the Al Quaeda manual had been discovered in the suspects house
I’m with Big G on this one. Urgent Ricingate questions for Cooper to answer, what did she know and when.0 -
I’m still confident of NC, I think that’s more likely for Harris than Georgia. Nevada looks weird , I think the Indy’s are breaking heavily for Harris . I think Michigan and Pennsylvania are looking good for Harris . Wisconsin I think is going to be incredibly close .rcs1000 said:
Data Orbital called Arizona pretty well in 2020.nico679 said:The pollings all over the place . In Arizona a shock poll by Data Orbital gives Trump an 8 point lead , CNN have Harris in the lead by 1 point .
Earlier Susquehanna give Harris a 5 point lead in Michigan as opposed to Emerson who give Trump a 1 point lead .
And not poll related Trump just called his hate rally a love-fest !
That said, CNN -which was also broadly right in 2020- came out yesterday with a Harris +1 in AZ.
So you pays your money. Right now, the mood music suggests that Trump is ahead in AZ, NV, GA and NC... but that the rust belt is much tighter.1 -
There is no such thing as “more than needed” when it comes to pubs. I currently only really have three pubs near my house, which isn’t enough for “one pub, one pint” as I was brought up to do.kle4 said:
All my life I've heard they're closing in large numbers. I'm sure it's true, but there's still loads, there were clearly way more than needed, even if trends meant they were more used before.Ratters said:I'm not sure if it's just where I live and work, but there's still absolutely loads of pubs everywhere.
1