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Senatus Populusque – Previewing November’s other elections – politicalbetting.com
Senatus Populusque – Previewing November’s other elections – politicalbetting.com
Part I – The Senate
0
Senatus Populusque – Previewing November’s other elections – politicalbetting.com
Part I – The Senate
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No more international cricket live on free-to-air TV as ECB fails to agree deal
BBC offer too low but it keeps 15 live Hundred matches
ECB can’t interest Channel 4 or ITV in four games a year
The England men’s and women’s cricket teams are set to return fully behind the Sky Sports paywall next season following an extension to the BBC rights deal in which the corporation opted out of showing live internationals.
The Guardian has learned that the ECB has been unable to secure a free-to-air TV deal for England’s Twenty20 internationals in a blow to its attempts to broaden cricket’s appeal. The ECB has been seeking to sell live rights to two men’s T20s and two women’s T20s a year on a four-year contract starting next summer, but has yet to receive an acceptable offer at the end of the tender process.
The BBC, however, is understood to have reached a deal for live rights to 15 Hundred matches each season – seven in the men’s competition and eight in the women’s – as well as securing Test highlights.
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2024/oct/29/cricket-england-ecb-fails-to-agree-free-tv-deal
For even if the blue wall states go for Harris and Democratic Senators the GOP just need to take West Virginia and Montana to win the Senate and both will go Trump comfortably
The only things missing are all the scandals; I've been watching but I am sure there are some I missed.
However the awfulness of The Hundred would appear to be an exception to this.
Justice should be done and seen to be done.
If you do the wrong thing you should own the consequences. Personal accountability and all that jazz. The "shaming and condemnation" is entirely self-inflicted but comes with an acknowledgement that he admitted a mistake - but it was a mistake, an incredibly serious one.
People do not go to work to be abused and workplaces should and nowadays do have zero tolerance policies for a good reason.
Yes Trump wallows in doing the wrong thing and that's attractive to some people - and utterly repulsive to others. If the GOP had anyone other than Trump at this election they'd almost certainly have walked it under the circumstances (people do not feel richer than 4 years ago). His "grab them by the pussy" attitude is not one to be emulated or endorsed.
It would require the Democrats to do a bit better in the Senate than the polling - they'd have to win two of Montana, Florida and Texas, and lose only West Virginia, with Osborn winning in Nebraska - but it's not outlandish.
I still think Harris will win and I think the Dems will also take the House by a smallish margin after the fiascos of the last 2 years.
The USA really doesn't deserve the description of 'democracy'!
Or could they be underestimating Kamala Harris?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXqkj-q7zks
The Hundred is only form of cricket that my partner enjoys watching. Every other format gets banished to the other room or the radio. This preference may well be incorrect on every level, but if it can get a non-cricket person at least watch a few games who knows they may eventually get into a test match. That is surely a good thing.
For me whinging about The Hundred is a bit like real ale types (which I am also one) whinging about craft keg beer. Yes it is fizzy, yes it is cold and dead, but at least it’s got some flavour - and it has to be better than drinking Madri. And maybe, those enjoying a pint a Deya Steady Rolling Man eventually plump for a Cask Jaipur or something else.
At £150 per ticket, for four days play, two Test matches at Lords (capacity 31,100) and one each at the Oval (27,500), Edgbaston (25,000), Trent Bridge (17,500), Headingley (18,350) and Old Trafford (26,000) you would generate just under £106m in gross revenue, but that's shared with the host ground, there are staging costs, and sometimes matches ends early or are disrupted by rain.
It is hard to see how cricket in England could replace the Sky money. This kinda places Sky in a weird situation. They could drive a hard bargain, because there's no-one willing to pay half as much, but if they do so the game could really struggle, and they'd have a less valuable spectacle to show viewers.
Worryingly seems to have disappeared from local supermarkets.
That the BBC won the rights to show the hundred is surely an indication that there were no other bidders.
I would call the US a democracy, despite its imperfections. I'm pretty confident that if Trump wins the vote he will become President, and that if Harris wins the vote by a wide enough margin she will also become President.
While either Florida or Texas could fall in a midterm election with an unpopular Republican President (particularly one where there was an abortion ballot proposition for voters), I just don't see it in a Presidential election year.
My gut is that the Republicans don't lose any States in the Senate, and pick up (at the very least) West Virginia. That's the high like watermark for the Democrats. And it is much more likely that Tester in Montana falls too.
(His chances are not zero. He is personally popular, and he managed to be reelected in 2012 which was midterm Obama and where he bested his Republican opponent by 4 percentage points.)
Good afternoon, everybody.
As far as I know their business is still going ok. They are just about to open a bar down in London - working with the mob Pivovar. They also recently rescued the Burton Unions from Marstons. So still trying new things.
I would like to believe that ECB gave BBC some Hundred games is to keep at least some Cricket on free-to-view rather than any other reasons. Much like how the RL challenge cup is on beeb (which also gives a bit of a showcase to the women’s game).
(The beer may have helped.)
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.bsky.social
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54m
"It was the opposite of Nazism" -- RFK Jr on Trump's MSG rally
Trump +395/ Harris +830.
The early vote isn't getting any better for her but everyone* might be reading too much into it. Democrats still have a substantial vote lead in places like PA !
And people - 99% of the time - will excuse almost anything if they personally think they will be better off.
Personally, I think the Harris campaign should focused on Trump's 10% tariff, and the impact it would have on prices of everyday items in shops. Because I think there are few things that will make average Americans poorer than that.
I think that is now value given we just don't know whether the polls have over compensated for shy trumpsters.
I have taken a new nibble.
Southport killer charged with terrorism
https://news.sky.com/story/southport-stabbings-suspect-faces-separate-terror-charge-after-ricin-and-al-qaeda-manual-found-at-home-13243980
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c05zpdq0lzgo
This isn't going to help all conspiracy theory stuff, as the police were very quick to say not terrorist related and the online stuff which got people out on the streets was all about a cover up of this being a terrorist attack and strange story of the soldier stabbing (which we still don't really know much about).
PB's legion of free market cricket fans will be delighted that the market is working as intended.
What "go into bat for terrorists" are you referring to?
https://x.com/SegravesNBC4/status/1851262350931750976
We also remember how weird the police were about releasing details, with the born in Cardiff etc.
"However, police have not declared the events of 29 July a terrorist incident. "For a matter to be declared as a terrorist incident, motivation would need to be established," Chief Constable Kennedy said."
So we're charging people just for having PDFs on their hard drives again. Lucky no-one went around checking hard drives for the Anarchist's Cookbook when I was a teenager.
The registered Republican lead among early voters in Nevada is now up to 38,000, according to Ralston. That's down by 2,000 overnight, but up, by 5,000, from this point yesterday.
The Nevada Senate seat has been considered safeish Democratic, but I wonder if it could be in play.
"He also faces a terror charge of possession of information "likely to be useful to a person committing or preparing an act of terrorism, contrary to Section 58 of the Terrorism Act 2000"."
Someone could be charged with that alone. They probably wouldn't be, but they could be - and that's not right.
ECB tripling down on Hundred, it is already losing some of the best players to sodding Major League Cricket....They all want to play for the big bucks which is in T20 cricket, because the likes of the Indians bankroll it, and want a set of global competitions under a travelling tour of the same franchises.
But the ECB pick a weird hybrid, that the counties don't like and potential investors don't like either.
Farage falsely claimed the police were not telling the whole truth around the tragedies in Southport shortly after the stabbings first happened, and suggested the suspect was already known to the security services.
Apart from the mystery of the Clark mail-ins, the implications of the Washoe numbers don't look great either - it might suggest suburban-style seats which had been going from R to D might be pivoting back to R. Note one of the points that has been suggested is that, while the trans issue is not particularly visible at the national level, the Republicans are being very successful at targeting suburban voters with the issue.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crk40rk54p7o
(Or, in this case, ports.)
Vice President @kamalaharris’ campaign will advertise on the Las Vegas Sphere, becoming the first political campaign to do so, Las Vegas @cbsnews station
@8NewsNow has learned exclusively.
https://x.com/edokeefe/status/1851288183578804427
I don't have a problem with that being brought into the open.
How else does one stop it?
In case anyone’s interested I first preferenced Grieve…
Sure that doesn't give the appeal of a shorter tournament but I think it a better way to develop players in the longer games (spread over the whole of summer's varying conditions) and getting the crowds in on Friday night, Sat and Sun afternoon.
The 2024 spring budget forecast tax receipts of £1,139bn in fiscal year 2024-25. That's an average of £16,500 per head of population (assuming a population of 69 million).
There are 33.37 million people in work in the UK, so it's just over £34,100 in tax per person in employment. Average earnings are just over £36,000.
The latest opinion poll I saw on the topic suggested that people were on average willing to pay an extra £10 in tax. If paid per head of population that would raise £690 million.
The budget deficit is over £80bn.