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The State of the Union, Week 3 – politicalbetting.com

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  • TresTres Posts: 2,810
    Cookie said:

    But no, that's the point. The male youth of the 70s/80s/90s did not dress to look more affluent than they were. Baggy shirts and doc martens. Or heavy metal chic. Or punk. Or Mark E Smith out of the Fall. Or shell suits.
    The new romantics of the early 80s were a sort of exception to this, but even they didn't look affluent - they looked like they'd indiscriminately raided a charity shop to try to stage a pantomime.
    The football hooligan look clearly passed you by.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,045
    edited September 2024
    rcs1000 said:

    He is spot on about demographics.

    That said, his timings are likely wrong. Japan's demographics are about 20 years ahead of Germany's, and they are still a major industrial power.
    Or the ageing demographics means economic collapse trope is fallacious.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,651
    edited September 2024
    mercator said:

    Crooked Hillary...
    And the sequel, Crooked Joe. I think that was his first choice here too. Also tried out Lyin and Cacklin and Laughin and that quite off the wall one, Kamabala, but it looks like Comrade has got the nod.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,651
    nico679 said:

    Harris and Biden should call out Trump for his martyr routine and tell him to stfu . The gall to accuse others of inflammatory rhetoric when he does that on a daily basis . Regardless the bigger news this week will be the Fed cutting rates which will lead to a total Trump meltdown .

    Is a cut nailed on though?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,455
    kinabalu said:

    And the sequel, Crooked Joe. I think that was his first choice here too. Also tried out Lyin and Cacklin and Laughin and that quite off the wall one, Kambala, but it looks like Comrade has got the nod.
    Which UK politician would you equate to Harris in terms of leftyness?

    It seems to me she's Tugenhadt territory.
  • Brian Blessed.

    (Good things that are fat and hairy - couldn't find the original post.)
  • This is actually a good tweet from Trump.

    https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1835717567907787035

    I don't like the capitals at the end, and it needs a good edit, but the sentiment is fine.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,651
    Nigelb said:

    He's upset that "Kamabala" didn't catch on, apparently.
    Said that people thought he was just mispronouncing it. Weird, that.
    Yes, I don't know what he was playing at there.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    kinabalu said:

    Is a cut nailed on though?
    Nailed on but the size of the cut isn’t certain . It’s a close run thing between 0.25% and 0.50% .

  • Cookie said:

    I was agog that such a place existed. Still, it was very, very pleasant. The toilets were splendid, I wanted every food item, and they didn't seem to mind us parking for a walk up to see the waterfalls.
    In the end my wife and daughters each bought a Christmas decoration and I bought a tin of barley sugars.
    They rather grandly insist on calling their lavatories 'cloakrooms' and do not feature the obligatory symbols which leads to no end of confusion and annoyance. I love it - TUD shouldn't be so po-faced.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,765
    Omnium said:

    Which UK politician would you equate to Harris in terms of leftyness?

    It seems to me she's Tugenhadt territory.
    She strikes me as quite Nandy.
  • rcs1000 said:

    Woah... comment order has returned...

    "I like your attitude!"
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243

    Or the ageing demographics means economic collapse trope is fallacious.
    Collapse is certainly wrong. And of course, it might benefit them in some ways.

    If you know there are fewer workers coming on stream, it encourages you to invest more in automation. (Switzerland doesn't have the demographic challenges, but it certainly has extremely expensive labour costs, and it continued to be an industrial powerhouse.)

    On the other hand, places with inverted population pyramids (Japan and Italy being the most advanced in that trend), have tended to have slower economic growth.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    eek said:

    The downside for Germany is that this is occurring at a time when one of their biggest industries (cars) is in state of technological change where the newest competitor has a structural advantage.

    That isn't to say that the time frames are right (10 years is far too soon) but I suspect Germany is in for a rougher time than Japan..
    European Tesla's are all made in Germany, no?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,455
    Cookie said:

    She strikes me as quite Nandy.
    Yes, I can see that - she's surely to the right of Nandy though? I considered the 3 Eds - Balls was the closest I felt.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,765
    rcs1000 said:

    Collapse is certainly wrong. And of course, it might benefit them in some ways.

    If you know there are fewer workers coming on stream, it encourages you to invest more in automation. (Switzerland doesn't have the demographic challenges, but it certainly has extremely expensive labour costs, and it continued to be an industrial powerhouse.)

    On the other hand, places with inverted population pyramids (Japan and Italy being the most advanced in that trend), have tended to have slower economic growth.
    We have fewer workers coming on stream and all it's done is encourage successive governments to encourage massive low skilled immigration.
  • Brian Blessed.

    (Good things that are fat and hairy - couldn't find the original post.)

    Ernie’s legs (also short and sadly no longer with us).
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,765
    Omnium said:

    Yes, I can see that - she's surely to the right of Nandy though? I considered the 3 Eds - Balls was the closest I felt.
    Probably culturally quite Nandy. Economically perhaps more Balls.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,001
    rcs1000 said:

    European Tesla's are all made in Germany, no?
    All their bases are belong to Musk

    btw, what's with the apostrophe?

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,148
    edited September 2024
    Tres said:

    The football hooligan look clearly passed you by.
    Plus the suits-and-slicked-back hair of the, what, 1981/82? Just look at the cover of Penthouse and Pavement or Tony Hadley in Spandau Ballet after the kilt period, say around Gold or True.

    (how the hell did I become this burgh's expert on male fashion? Ho-hum)

    For decades, before we started copying the Americans slavishly, male gangs and fashion alternated between dressing down and dressing up: mods v rockers, glam v punk, casuals v miner chic. Consider the difference between Tony Hadley in Spandau Ballet and the brilliant Mark Hollis in Talk Talk . I'll have to throw some old copies of The Face and i-D at PB.

    I'd like to say those days were better, but they weren't: it was generally rubbish for the poor and less rubbish for the well off. But I think the dreams of the future were better.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,087

    They rather grandly insist on calling their lavatories 'cloakrooms' and do not feature the obligatory symbols which leads to no end of confusion and annoyance. I love it - TUD shouldn't be so po-faced.
    I think we have a venue for the PB Northern Conference.
  • rcs1000 said:

    European Tesla's are all made in Germany, no?
    Might have something to do with Ursula von der Leyen firing Musk's main European antagonist Thierry Breton.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,319

    This is actually a good tweet from Trump.

    https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1835717567907787035

    I don't like the capitals at the end, and it needs a good edit, but the sentiment is fine.

    Sir, an ok tweet from Trump is like a dog walking on his hind legs. It is not done well; but you are surprised to find it done at all
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,651
    Omnium said:

    Which UK politician would you equate to Harris in terms of leftyness?

    It seems to me she's Tugenhadt territory.
    Daisy Cooper?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,148
    viewcode said:

    Plus the suits-and-slicked-back hair of the, what, 1981/82? Just look at the cover of Penthouse and Pavement or Tony Hadley in Spandau Ballet after the kilt period, say around Gold or True.

    (how the hell did I become this burgh's expert on male fashion? Ho-hum)

    For decades, before we started copying the Americans slavishly, male gangs and fashion alternated between dressing down and dressing up: mods v rockers, glam v punk, casuals v miner chic. Consider the difference between Tony Hadley in Spandau Ballet and the brilliant Mark Hollis in Talk Talk . I'll have to throw some old copies of The Face and i-D at PB.

    I'd like to say those days were better, but they weren't: it was generally rubbish for the poor and less rubbish for the well off. But I think the dreams of the future were better.
    Oh, and before I forget

    Clive Owen in Chancer (1990): https://static01.nyt.com/images/2007/10/07/arts/07stew.large1.jpg
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,319
    Nigelb said:

    The effort to punctuate gets a thumbs up from me.
    Spoilt by the swerve into complaining about immigrants - is the shooter any more of an immigrant than Trump himself?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459

    Rather let down by the infantile need to capitalize.
    Nobody's perfect.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,651
    edited September 2024
    viewcode said:

    Oh, and before I forget

    Clive Owen in Chancer (1990): https://static01.nyt.com/images/2007/10/07/arts/07stew.large1.jpg
    Ultimate clothes horse. Looked good in anything, Clive Owen.

    I used to see him in the bookies.
  • They rather grandly insist on calling their lavatories 'cloakrooms' and do not feature the obligatory symbols which leads to no end of confusion and annoyance. I love it - TUD shouldn't be so po-faced.
    Some decent footwear which I can buy more cheaply elsewhere, otherwise chichi-ed up its hoo ha. I tend to feel a bit raped after a visit, particularly after paying £x for a scone and a cup of tea. Tbf that’s not uncommon in that stretch of the road to the Highlands.

    I quite like the sparrows flying about the conservatory style restaurant area.
  • kinabalu said:

    I try to fight 'things ain't what they used to be' feelings in myself but from ...

    "I have a dream that one day in America a man will be judged not by the colour of his skin but by the content of his character"

    to ...

    "They're eating our cats, they're eating our dawgs"

    ... this is a slightly disappointing arc.
    Gotta compare like with like though. MLK was not a president.

    Someone who was, said some stuff about that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth. And the footnote to that seems to be, Unless the people choose someone totally unacceptable to a bunch of group thinking elders half the world away who think that if people have our skin colour and speak our language, we obviously know what is best for them better than they do.

    Democracy is democracy.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    He's calling for the mentally insane to be deported back to their countries of origin.

    Do Scotland want Trump? ;)
    Their counties of origin…
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459
    .
    kinabalu said:

    Is a cut nailed on though?
    Well it would pretty well amount to political interference if the FED didn't cut this month.

    Chances are it might avoid doing so in the month before the election.
  • Their counties of origin…
    Yeah I know that. But I'm sensible enough not to be that pedantic and actually address what he meant - in a pedantic way. ;)
  • Some decent footwear which I can buy more cheaply elsewhere, otherwise chichi-ed up its hoo ha. I tend to feel a bit raped after a visit, particularly after paying £x for a scone and a cup of tea. Tbf that’s not uncommon in that stretch of the road to the Highlands.

    I quite like the sparrows flying about the conservatory style restaurant area.
    Good story from about 20 years ago

    The owner of HoB got so pissed off with staff spilling coffee on his lovely carpets, walking about with a coffee was made an instant sacking offence. Day after the rule is introduced he finds someone breaking it. So he says You're fired. Then he says, you look the sort of bastard that hires lawyers for unfair dismissal claims. Here's 500 in cash and you won't be seeing a penny more.

    Then he says What do you do here anyway so I can hire a replacement. And the guy pockets the money and says I don't, I'm from BT and just here for the day to sort a phone problem.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,285
    The UK election was dull from a 'who will be the PM' perspective, because even if we had a larger-than-usual polling error, Starmer was going to have a majority and be in Number 10.

    The US election night will be exciting because - even if the polling is exactly right - either candidate can win. And that's before you factor in possible polling errors in either direction, in national or state polls. The result might not be close in practice.

    And the betting odds are fluctuating so close to 50:50, a 'back the favourite' trading strategy is probably best. I've laid off some of my long Harris position from much longer odds.

    Off topic:
    - There goes my 1,000th post
    - Ran my first half marathon yesterday - why do people do double that distance?!
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459

    Or the ageing demographics means economic collapse trope is fallacious.
    The they provided their biggest market with the manufacturing technology with which to outcompete them one is pretty well spot on, though.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,084
    Nigelb said:

    The they provided their biggest market with the manufacturing technology with which to outcompete them one is pretty well spot on, though.
    Ironically, one of Elon Musk’s rules of business is that “your product will be replaced by a better one. Either you will own it, or someone else will”.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953
    viewcode said:

    Oh, and before I forget

    Clive Owen in Chancer (1990): https://static01.nyt.com/images/2007/10/07/arts/07stew.large1.jpg
    First season was fantastic. Went a bit downhill in S2... Perhaps it's too lost in the mists of time now to sum up a decade, but absolutely everything about Clive Owen's character, the slimy Piers, the very lovely Susannah Harker, the cod-Caterham cars setup with Mr Bennett from Pride and Prejudice as the country gent... you can practically hear the Pet Shop Boys singing 'let's make lots of money' in the background.

    More than Mad Men, it's the show that makes you sad people don't wear suits any more.

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,084
    Nigelb said:

    The they provided their biggest market with the manufacturing technology with which to outcompete them one is pretty well spot on, though.
    While “AI” is largely bollocks, the combination of approximate learning and improved robotics does allow for better automation of menial jobs.

    Fruit picking, warehouse shelf work will go quite quickly. Limited range and terrain automated driving - such as trucks at opencast mines - is well under way.

    In old age care, various Japanese (no surprise there) prototypes for assistance are in the test phase.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,084
    mercator said:

    Good story from about 20 years ago

    The owner of HoB got so pissed off with staff spilling coffee on his lovely carpets, walking about with a coffee was made an instant sacking offence. Day after the rule is introduced he finds someone breaking it. So he says You're fired. Then he says, you look the sort of bastard that hires lawyers for unfair dismissal claims. Here's 500 in cash and you won't be seeing a penny more.

    Then he says What do you do here anyway so I can hire a replacement. And the guy pockets the money and says I don't, I'm from BT and just here for the day to sort a phone problem.
    When I was a student, I helped run the union.

    One day, a security guard defended a student from an attack by another student. The university was (for interesting reasons) horrified. They demanded we fire the security guard. And sent a drone (walking dead lawyer type) to see it done.

    So I fired someone in front of him. After the drone had left, the person I’d “fired” (student who worked in the bar, who was leaving the uni soon) shared the bonus I’d handed him with the actual security guard.

    I got the idea from a PG Wodehouse story, where he claimed that a posh New York department store did similar for serious customer complaints.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,436
    viewcode said:

    Oh, and before I forget

    Clive Owen in Chancer (1990): https://static01.nyt.com/images/2007/10/07/arts/07stew.large1.jpg
    Chris Morris in The Day Today

    I used to wear a suit like this to work. A small trade moulder at that.

    https://images.app.goo.gl/DawFAREarfybVSmFA

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    Cookie said:

    We have fewer workers coming on stream and all it's done is encourage successive governments to encourage massive low skilled immigration.
    Well, nobody's perfect.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    kamski said:

    Sir, an ok tweet from Trump is like a dog walking on his hind legs. It is not done well; but you are surprised to find it done at all
    It’s weirdly normal. Caps aside. Slightly discombobulating.

    If Trump got others to write all his tweets from now until 5 November, and they made them all seem very reasonable. And he promised big tax cuts. I reckon he’d probably win handsomely. He could still do some of the crazy stuff in his rallies.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    Nigelb said:

    The they provided their biggest market with the manufacturing technology with which to outcompete them one is pretty well spot on, though.
    Germany's biggest industry has always been capital goods (i.e. the machines that make machines). And Germany's boom over the last twenty years has been on the back of selling capital goods to China.

    If Germany the exporter is struggling now, the biggest reason is that the Chinese economy is not purchasing as many machines that make things, because it has slowed down itself.

    The question is - and I don't know the answer to this - whether the reindustrializing of the US creates demand for Siemens, Kuka and Bosch and co.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,831
    Test
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,436
    kyf_100 said:

    First season was fantastic. Went a bit downhill in S2... Perhaps it's too lost in the mists of time now to sum up a decade, but absolutely everything about Clive Owen's character, the slimy Piers, the very lovely Susannah Harker, the cod-Caterham cars setup with Mr Bennett from Pride and Prejudice as the country gent... you can practically hear the Pet Shop Boys singing 'let's make lots of money' in the background.

    More than Mad Men, it's the show that makes you sad people don't wear suits any more.

    Leslie Phillips in a straight role too and very good he was as well. I watched the Network release a few years back and enjoyed it.

    Also at the time there was Capital City with, IIRC, Douglas Hodge. A two series tribute and testament to yuppiedom.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,831
    Ooo... we're back to showing newest first on the embed.

    Awesome!!! Congrats OGH and @rcs1000 🎉🍾
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243

    Ironically, one of Elon Musk’s rules of business is that “your product will be replaced by a better one. Either you will own it, or someone else will”.
    Yep, if you don't cannabalize yourself, someone will do it for you. (A lesson Intel didn't learn.)
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,436
    rcs1000 said:

    Well, nobody's perfect.
    That was the reason the once great, now rapidly declining, Aussie Rugby Union team nicknamed John Eales, in his heyday, ‘nobody’
  • Close US elections are always decided by GOTV. The Republicans have 'privatised' their direct GOTV effort and the people they hired have either admitted defeat (Turning Point) or have a recent history of promising much and delivering little and late (Elon Musk).

    That does not mean that Trump will lose but it means that assuming he will perform way above the polls may not be the shoe-in many assume
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821

    I like this - does that make me bad?


    I am enjoying an experience akin to “BBC journalist visits red wall to gauge sentiment” this evening. A night in Darlington, in the mistakenly booked premier inn on the trading estate (where I’m tucking into a beefeater - this is like a British version of staying in the Kyriad St Quentin next to the autoroute des Anglais and popping into the Courtepaille for dinner).

    My taxi driver on the brief but fascinating drive from the station managed to confide that he’d lost his son due to a 2 hour ambulance wait earlier this year, that he’s run a boxing gym for decades catering to kids down on their luck from all backgrounds (“Asians, gypsies, blacks”), and that - and this was prefaced by a declaration that he’s not racist, and I believe him, the refugees are out of control and are why nobody can afford houses or get seen by a doctor.

    It’s interesting that the real focus in immigration discourse is on the very visible refugee / asylum seeker cohort rather than the far bigger legal immigrant group. Visibility is everything - if Cooper can clear the backlog and empty some of those hotels commandeered by the home office I think it’ll go a long way.
  • GIN1138 said:

    Ooo... we're back to showing newest first on the embed.

    Awesome!!! Congrats OGH and @rcs1000 🎉🍾

    Yes well done indeed. It makes this excellent forum so much easier to use.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953
    Taz said:

    Leslie Phillips in a straight role too and very good he was as well. I watched the Network release a few years back and enjoyed it.

    Also at the time there was Capital City with, IIRC, Douglas Hodge. A two series tribute and testament to yuppiedom.
    Ah yes, he was Piers's boss, wasn't he?

    One of the old 80s XJ's parked up outside my place the other week and I was astonished at how *tiny* it was compared to modern cars.

    It seemed bigger in my memory.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    edited September 2024
    Looking at the map in Beefeater Darlington, I notice that we are pretty much exactly half way up the country here. And half way across England from East to West despite being near the East coast.

    I feel this deserves a @Leon style travel posting while I wait for my 8oz Sirloin, cooked “just the way you like it”.



    The sheer glamour.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,765

    When I was a student, I helped run the union.

    One day, a security guard defended a student from an attack by another student. The university was (for interesting reasons) horrified. They demanded we fire the security guard. And sent a drone (walking dead lawyer type) to see it done.

    So I fired someone in front of him. After the drone had left, the person I’d “fired” (student who worked in the bar, who was leaving the uni soon) shared the bonus I’d handed him with the actual security guard.

    I got the idea from a PG Wodehouse story, where he claimed that a posh New York department store did similar for serious customer complaints.
    What were the interesting reasons?
  • Their counties of origin…
    Dumbass Donald :lol:
  • mercator said:

    Good story from about 20 years ago

    The owner of HoB got so pissed off with staff spilling coffee on his lovely carpets, walking about with a coffee was made an instant sacking offence. Day after the rule is introduced he finds someone breaking it. So he says You're fired. Then he says, you look the sort of bastard that hires lawyers for unfair dismissal claims. Here's 500 in cash and you won't be seeing a penny more.

    Then he says What do you do here anyway so I can hire a replacement. And the guy pockets the money and says I don't, I'm from BT and just here for the day to sort a phone problem.
    Also part of an episode from 1980s comedy Slinger's Day:

    https://youtu.be/HZbxGq_TsCY?t=1286
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459
    .

    Ironically, one of Elon Musk’s rules of business is that “your product will be replaced by a better one. Either you will own it, or someone else will”.
    Tesla is only profitable with continuing Federal subsidies.
    BYD is now very profitable.

    And Tesla is the only western manufacturer anywhere near profitable in EV manufacturing.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,148
    Taz said:

    Leslie Phillips in a straight role too and very good he was as well. I watched the Network release a few years back and enjoyed it.

    Also at the time there was Capital City with, IIRC, Douglas Hodge. A two series tribute and testament to yuppiedom.
    I'd forgotten Joanna Kanska from a Very Peculiar Practice was in it..

    I used to know somebody who really wanted to be Max Lubin (from Capital City). Being a six-foot fat Brummie with a good hairline he couldn't pull it off, although he did have the ponytail. A manic-depressive drunk, he met a nice girl who looked like Lena Olin and migrated to Australia. True fact.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,084
    Cookie said:

    What were the interesting reasons?
    The student who did the assault was in the er... orbit of Mr Hook Hand and chums. Which may have been related to why he was out gay bashing with friends.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,653
    rcs1000 said:

    Germany's biggest industry has always been capital goods (i.e. the machines that make machines). And Germany's boom over the last twenty years has been on the back of selling capital goods to China.

    If Germany the exporter is struggling now, the biggest reason is that the Chinese economy is not purchasing as many machines that make things, because it has slowed down itself.

    The question is - and I don't know the answer to this - whether the reindustrializing of the US creates demand for Siemens, Kuka and Bosch and co.
    Have the chinese started making the machines that make machines? And are they any good at it?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,203
    TimS said:

    Looking at the map in Beefeater Darlington, I notice that we are pretty much exactly half way up the country here. And half way across England from East to West despite being near the East coast.

    I feel this deserves a @Leon style travel posting while I wait for my 8oz Sirloin, cooked “just the way you like it”.



    The sheer glamour.

    Kendall is pretty much halfway between lands end and John o groats. Darlo is about the same north south, if it's just England you're considering I think Sheffield is the halfway point. Darlo is definitely in the east however you are defining things in either the UK or England.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,651
    mercator said:

    Gotta compare like with like though. MLK was not a president.

    Someone who was, said some stuff about that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth. And the footnote to that seems to be, Unless the people choose someone totally unacceptable to a bunch of group thinking elders half the world away who think that if people have our skin colour and speak our language, we obviously know what is best for them better than they do.

    Democracy is democracy.
    It's up to them, yes. If that's your point.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,084
    carnforth said:

    Have the chinese started making the machines that make machines? And are they any good at it?
    Machine tools? Yes, they've been making the lower grades for years. Steadily working their way up.

    The US has had a long standing government policy of considering high end machine tools as strategic. So breaking into their market would be very difficult at the high end.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    Pulpstar said:

    Kendall is pretty much halfway between lands end and John o groats. Darlo is about the same north south, if it's just England you're considering I think Sheffield is the halfway point. Darlo is definitely in the east however you are defining things in either the UK or England.
    Darlo halfway up UK. Halfway East-West England.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,252
    edited September 2024
    I rather like the idea of Trump being sent back to Queens -- while he is waiting to be sent to prison.

    (I suppose a few might not know that five counties (which are called boroughs) make up New York City: Manhattan, Brooklyn, the Bronx, Queens, and Staten Island. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boroughs_of_New_York_City )
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,007
    edited September 2024
    62% believe Lady Starmer/ Keir Starmer should buy her own clothes

    https://x.com/YouGov/status/1835721558507258058?t=RBhJDde4pKuZxkrszAspig&s=19
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,942
    TimS said:

    Looking at the map in Beefeater Darlington, I notice that we are pretty much exactly half way up the country here. And half way across England from East to West despite being near the East coast.

    I feel this deserves a @Leon style travel posting while I wait for my 8oz Sirloin, cooked “just the way you like it”.



    The sheer glamour.

    Keep going, you have the good half to go, and there's a Premier Inn at Thurso.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    TimS said:

    Darlo halfway up UK. Halfway East-West England.
    Interesting (to me) that the accent here is very definitely north east, but the accent in nearbyish Northallerton is very definitely Yorkshire. 19 miles and no national border but a completely clear cut accent boundary. In the Midlands (especially the North Midlands into South Yorks and Cheshire) it’s much more of a gradual transition.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,546

    62% believe Lady Starmer/ Keir Starmer should buy her own clothes

    https://x.com/YouGov/status/1835721558507258058?t=RBhJDde4pKuZxkrszAspig&s=19

    The Primark Premier.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    edited September 2024

    62% believe Lady Starmer/ Keir Starmer should buy her own clothes


    https://x.com/YouGov/status/1835721558507258058?t=RBhJDde4pKuZxkrszAspig&s=19

    Personally, and I’m sure I’m in the minority, I think a new prime minister should get the following:

    - immediate wardrobe transformation guided by a government employee fashion consultant, with both the PM and spouse strongly encouraged / coerced to wear an expensively tailored wardrobe by exclusively British designers
    - Prime ministerial car that’s the top of the range of whichever British (or foreign owned but UK owns the IP) automotive outfit wins the competition to provide the car free of charge.
    - Private chef cooking multi-star Michelin quality cuisine, chosen from among the country’s top restaurateurs
    - holidays for the family in the poshest and most desirable British destinations money can buy

    We’ve forgotten how to market UK design and hospitality. Every pound spent on pampering the PM and cabinet is money seriously well spent.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,546
    TimS said:

    Interesting (to me) that the accent here is very definitely north east, but the accent in nearbyish Northallerton is very definitely Yorkshire. 19 miles and no national border but a completely clear cut accent boundary. In the Midlands (especially the North Midlands into South Yorks and Cheshire) it’s much more of a gradual transition.
    There is an even more sudden accent boundary between Carlisle and Gretna (10 miles) or Berwick and Eyemouth (9 miles).
  • The Primark Premier.
    Who will be the Next Prime Minister?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459
    carnforth said:

    Have the chinese started making the machines that make machines? And are they any good at it?
    They are, though German machine tools are still in another level.
    The big money in German exports, though, was cars. And they're getting crushed now in the Chinese market.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,252
    On Harris's ideology: I have started calling her a "shape shifter", since I suspect she fits her views to match her political environment. Which implies that, if elected, she will pursue policies that will enhance her chances of re-election.

    There are worse ways for an elected official to behave -- though it might not get them into the next version of "Profiles in Courage".
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821

    There is an even more sudden accent boundary between Carlisle and Gretna (10 miles) or Berwick and Eyemouth (9 miles).
    But that’s understandable. There’s a national border. Same between Pontrilas and Abergavenny. No national border here.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,084

    62% believe Lady Starmer/ Keir Starmer should buy her own clothes

    https://x.com/YouGov/status/1835721558507258058?t=RBhJDde4pKuZxkrszAspig&s=19

    All the people out there who have to do the training on how anything over £50 must be elaborately reported/refused will not be impressed by this.

    Especially since gifts to family are in the training....
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    edited September 2024

    On Harris's ideology: I have started calling her a "shape shifter", since I suspect she fits her views to match her political environment. Which implies that, if elected, she will pursue policies that will enhance her chances of re-election.

    There are worse ways for an elected official to behave -- though it might not get them into the next version of "Profiles in Courage".

    It’s interesting though what policies are considered politically acceptable to swing voters in America compared with here. If Labour going into the last election had a policy of increasing corporation tax to 28% they’d have got crucified.

    (Personally I hope the Dems do this. It’ll be good news for European FDI by US multinationals, which has rather dried up in recent years).
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,170

    Who will be the Next Prime Minister?
    Honest Bob Jenrick.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,603
    Taz said:

    Leslie Phillips in a straight role too and very good he was as well. I watched the Network release a few years back and enjoyed it.

    Also at the time there was Capital City with, IIRC, Douglas Hodge. A two series tribute and testament to yuppiedom.
    There is a rather forgotten UK TV show called 'Mr. Palfrey of Westminster' (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr._Palfrey_of_Westminster) (and I very much recommend watching the pilot, even if the following series was a little hit'n'miss).

    There is a wonderful episode in the 2nd series called "Return to Sender" with Leslie Phillips playing a Kim Philby-esque character. He does it marvellously. Highly recommend it if you can find it.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    Beefeater. Not a fan. Friendly staff and all that but.

    I honestly think I’d have been better off at McDonalds round the corner. When you visit Maccie Ds you’re getting a precise, largely faultless rendition of a particular cuisine and style. One of the great underrated cuisines of the world: McDonalds. They don’t serve booze though.
  • Honest Bob Jenrick.
    The run off will be Superdry vs super wet.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,148
    ohnotnow said:

    There is a rather forgotten UK TV show called 'Mr. Palfrey of Westminster' (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mr._Palfrey_of_Westminster) (and I very much recommend watching the pilot, even if the following series was a little hit'n'miss).

    There is a wonderful episode in the 2nd series called "Return to Sender" with Leslie Phillips playing a Kim Philby-esque character. He does it marvellously. Highly recommend it if you can find it.
    Two episodes of A Very British Coup are on YouTube

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ACg6IuFfMJE
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oANMGT0IK-A
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,603
    TimS said:

    Personally, and I’m sure I’m in the minority, I think a new prime minister should get the following:

    - immediate wardrobe transformation guided by a government employee fashion consultant, with both the PM and spouse strongly encouraged / coerced to wear an expensively tailored wardrobe by exclusively British designers
    - Prime ministerial car that’s the top of the range of whichever British (or foreign owned but UK owns the IP) automotive outfit wins the competition to provide the car free of charge.
    - Private chef cooking multi-star Michelin quality cuisine, chosen from among the country’s top restaurateurs
    - holidays for the family in the poshest and most desirable British destinations money can buy

    We’ve forgotten how to market UK design and hospitality. Every pound spent on pampering the PM and cabinet is money seriously well spent.
    Somewhere there is a TV exec furiously penning a series called something like 'Cooking for Ten' (big close of up 10 Downing Street, for the thicks). Celebrity chef in a cramped kitchen, shouting at some amateur home cooks who are competing against each other to make supper, OH NO Jill has spilled the Edamame foam on the floor! Will we still manage 'Oriental beans on a sourdough sliver with organic sea-salt and samphire infused crust' in time for the PM's team?!?!?!?!

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459
    ohnotnow said:

    Somewhere there is a TV exec furiously penning a series called something like 'Cooking for Ten' (big close of up 10 Downing Street, for the thicks). Celebrity chef in a cramped kitchen, shouting at some amateur home cooks who are competing against each other to make supper, OH NO Jill has spilled the Edamame foam on the floor! Will we still manage 'Oriental beans on a sourdough sliver with organic sea-salt and samphire infused crust' in time for the PM's team?!?!?!?!

    "You Starter for 10".
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,122
    TimS said:

    Beefeater. Not a fan. Friendly staff and all that but.

    I honestly think I’d have been better off at McDonalds round the corner. When you visit Maccie Ds you’re getting a precise, largely faultless rendition of a particular cuisine and style. One of the great underrated cuisines of the world: McDonalds. They don’t serve booze though.

    You can get beer in Maccy Ds in Germany. It's not great, but it is beer.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,603
    viewcode said:

    Two episodes of A Very British Coup are on YouTube

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ACg6IuFfMJE
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oANMGT0IK-A
    Also a very good programme.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459
    TimS said:

    Beefeater. Not a fan. Friendly staff and all that but.

    I honestly think I’d have been better off at McDonalds round the corner. When you visit Maccie Ds you’re getting a precise, largely faultless rendition of a particular cuisine and style. One of the great underrated cuisines of the world: McDonalds. They don’t serve booze though.

    They do in Europe.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    edited September 2024
    Nigelb said:

    They are, though German machine tools are still in another level.
    The big money in German exports, though, was cars. And they're getting crushed now in the Chinese market.
    China doesn't import that many German cars, or indeed cars generally. Of the $550bn market, only around $50bn is imported vehicles. And of those that are imported, it is mostly the really high end marques: Aston Martin, Ferrari, Lamourghini.

    Most cars sold in China, irrespective of the badge, were made there. So, while German car companies might be getting crushed in China, it doesn't have that much impact on factories in Wolfsberg.

    (Stat for you: German exports of cars to China in 2023 were EUR15.2bn, which is less than 1% of their total exports of EUR1,590bn.)
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,597
    kamski said:

    Spoilt by the swerve into complaining about immigrants - is the shooter any more of an immigrant than Trump himself?
    It still looks like Trump is confused between offering a refugee asylum and mental asylums.

    Trump’s mum was an immigrant. Trump’s paternal grandparents were both immigrants. Two of Trump’s 3 wives have been immigrants, and his parents-in-law have also immigrated to the US, following their daughter. JD Vance’s parents-in-law are immigrants. Trump’s backers include Elon Musk (immigrant) and Peter Thiel (immigrant). Ted Cruz is an immigrant. All of Ron DeSantis’s great-grandparents were immigrants, and his wife is the granddaughter of an immigrant. Donald Trump Jr.’s fiancée is the daughter of two immigrants, while his ex-wife is the granddaughter of an immigrant. Ivanka’s husband, Jared Kushner, his paternal grandparents were immigrants (refugees). Nikki Haley’s parents are immigrants. Vivek Ramaswamy’s are immigrants. Marco Rubio’s parents are immigrants.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    Nigelb said:

    They do in Europe.
    Heineken, generally. Yes, limited but still alcohol. Never tried ordering a top up though.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,821
    Nigelb said:

    "You Starter for 10".
    I think we’re on to something here.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,186
    Foxy said:

    You can get beer in Maccy Ds in Germany. It's not great, but it is beer.
    You can get beer at Taco Bell in the UK. Never tried it myself though.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,333

    It still looks like Trump is confused
    I'd have left it there.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,653
    TimS said:

    Beefeater. Not a fan. Friendly staff and all that but.

    I honestly think I’d have been better off at McDonalds round the corner. When you visit Maccie Ds you’re getting a precise, largely faultless rendition of a particular cuisine and style. One of the great underrated cuisines of the world: McDonalds. They don’t serve booze though.

    Ordering a steak was a bit ambitious of you. The Lasagna would probably have been tolerable.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,333
    rcs1000 said:

    They did. And in fact, they were actually worse in 2020 than in 2016, overstating Biden's lead - on average - by 3.6%. If there is a similar overstatement this time, then it will be President Trump again.

    On the other hand, if the polling error is the other way around, then it will be a comfortable Biden victory.

    The one thing I am 100% sure of is that there will be no Biden victory.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,459
    rcs1000 said:

    China doesn't import that many German cars, or indeed cars generally. Of the $550bn market, only around $50bn is imported vehicles. And of those that are imported, it is mostly the really high end marques: Aston Martin, Ferrari, Lamourghini.

    Most cars sold in China, irrespective of the badge, were made there. So, while German car companies might be getting crushed in China, it doesn't have that much impact on factories in Wolfsberg.

    (Stat for you: German exports of cars to China in 2023 were EUR15.2bn, which is less than 1% of their total exports of EUR1,590bn.)
    Machine tool sales were just over a tenth of that.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243
    Nigelb said:

    Machine tool sales were just over a tenth of that.
    You think machine tools/capital equipment was just EUR1.5bn in 2023? Given total German exports China were about EUR100bn, and cars were EUR15bn, I find that very surprising.

This discussion has been closed.