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Support for an elected head of state up by a quarter since Charles became king
Support for an elected head of state up by a quarter since Charles became king – politicalbetting.com
Two-thirds of Britons support the continuation of the monarchy, with little shift in opinion since Charles became KingMonarchy: 65% (-2, vs 14 September 2022)Elected head of state: 25% (+5)https://t.co/whCsW8tdDp pic.twitter.com/T7SGVW25wa
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https://x.com/LiverpoolPhotox/status/1830286176076681596
Those sort of figures suggest there are certain constituencies that are more strongly against with the bulk of the rest of the country pretty clearly in favour.
Comes across like a 6th form Tory Boy doing a turn at the debating union, with a slightly stilted and overrehearsed, and not particularly coherent, history listen.
Gone back a step now, in my eyes.
(Still the best ever TV historical drama series)
"The only parts of the public that are the exceptions are in Scotland, which evenly splits 41% in a favour of a monarchy and 43% in favour of an elected head of state, and 18-24 year olds, only a third of whom (35%) want to maintain a monarchy going forwards"
It's a waste of time and energy worrying about it.
I haven't got a subscription to the Wall Street Journal, so I can't provide much insight into the full piece, but it's good to know that news of the Bank's culpability in the minibudget kerfuffle is getting round.
Quite.
Chatting with my son who lives in Berlin. The rise of the so called far right is staggering. The AFD make Reform seem like a centrist party. The BSW would be banned in the UK but are seen as the reasonable right. As with France the biggest shift is the young white men. As with France the Government will try to continue to govern but without real authority. Crack downs such as in the UK will just make martyrs and accelerate the trend. The curtain is truly coming down across Europe.
I know this is a hostage to fortune as they won’t get into power until they do but I think there is still enough of a social memory in Europe where enough people from the spectrum will join together to keep the extremes out.
Don’t know how I types that, I’m shitfaced.
On the brain drain issues raised earlier, I think it certainly is a thing among sections of the highly paid. The people I hear it from most tend to be wealthy Continental Europeans, and it is more of a progressive disenchantment with the UK that started with Brexit and is now intensifying with the thought of higher CGT, VAT on school fees, etc. For wealthy Britons of a rightward leaning persuasion I imagine it is also a sense of disenchantment and alienation associated with political defeat, that sense of looking at the country with fresh eyes and not knowing if you belong there anymore. Giving up more of your hard earned money in those circumstances must feel like the icing on the cake! All I can say, as a left wing pro European, is that I know what that feels like, and the feeling does pass somewhat. But why not try living abroad for a bit, I've done it twice and gained a lot in both cases. You might also come back to the UK with a greater appreciation of its complexities and a renewed desire to contribute to its future prosperity.
Bailey has been uniquely poor as BoE Governor, and he can't escape by shifting blame around to other areas.
It's probably due for a big money remake tbh.
Maybe we have just been lucky enough to live in a brief window of freedom between the norm of government by tyranny.
Mild Republican here but take your point, now's not the time to mess with this stuff
So for all those reasons, the Baumol effect should not be a binding constraint on public sector pay. The reason it has risen so fast in the last few months is because the unions have got their puppets into office. Nothing more.
He makes my skin crawl and reminds me of that scene in Schindlers List where the commandment comes over all sweet and nice to the grannie before ........
The threat of union action is the response to that, and rebalances the power in the relationship. The other is the ongoing threat of countries like Australia paying doctors and nurses so much more, so we end up paying for all the training and reaping none of the benefit - it's not just mega-rich PBers who can take their work elsewhere.
Sunak would have ended up agreeing to the same pay increases, but 6 months later in the midst of the winter pressure in the NHS and tanking support among the pensioners upon which the Tory vote depends.
RFK Jr. Sues North Carolina to Get Off the Ballot
https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article291741375.html
The reason is obvious. Which political party will do the following (100% of this has to be achieved, with no mistakes):
1) Decide that party policy is to end the crown as it now stands
2) Stick it in a manifesto at a GE
3) Win the election
4) Legislate for, hold and win a referendum on the matter
5) Pass the relevant legislation (a constitutional drafting and parliamentary nightmare), bring it into force on date X and implement it.
Every single stage of this is obvious and complete unalloyed suicide.
As yet no party has ever thought about this even WRT disestablishment of the Church of England. It is simply filed under 'Too Difficult'. Monarchy is 100 times harder.
1. China 30 gold medals
2. Dear old Blighty 23
3. Brazil 8
4. USA, France, Australia, NL 6 each.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/olympics/paralympics-paris-2024/medals
Most interesting development, is formation AND initial performance of BSW = Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice, on platform of left socialist, anti-capitalist economics, anti-immigration and social conservatism, EU-skeptic nationalism.
What is quite unsettling/alarming from my point of view is that there are lots of people who, despite advanced education, and years of life experience, would still be quite happy to live in a authoritarian system which limits political expression; on the basis that they believe the government to hold similar views to their own.
Unless we manage to embrace democracy at some point in the next 80 years.
@KemiBadenoch
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1h
Tomorrow, I launch my
@renewal2030
campaign to be the next leader of our great Conservative Party.
Join me at 11.00am, here on X!
https://x.com/KemiBadenoch/status/1830296975079842209
Books actually (I, Claudius and Claudius the God). Graves tended to claim his fiction was what paid the bills while his real vocation was for poetry, but I think he probably cared more for it than he let on.
The far left is equally given to dispensing with democratic norms once they’ve served their purpose. See Venezuela. Or Hamas (though I’d describe them and Hezbollah as a mixture of far right and far left.)
Anyone who rails about elite conspiracies undermining the will of the people has what I’d describe as an existing comorbidity when it comes to antidemocratic instincts.
My concerns for democracy are wider than the potential resurgence of the far right though. The other warning signs include: polarisation of society; antipathy towards politics and politicians; the rapid promulgation of conspiracy theories and misinformation through social media; the rise of strong leaders (i.e. tyrants) around the world, many of whom love to undermine democracies through any means possible, the forced reversing of comment order on PB.com...
(Ok, maybe not that last point)
Unless they can appoint a genuine long term statesman/woman with top political nous and outstanding leadership ability who can unite the centre right, set the direction, be popular but not populist they are in very grave difficulty at a moment where the loss of 25 more seats to the LDs would put then third.
Of the 6: I would give Tugendhat and Stride an outside chance of having the relevant qualities. The others, virtually zero. For those who enjoy the show, Badenoch would be interesting, but character would tell in the end. Patel and Jenrick: no hope disasters, just awful. Cleverly: not much better. From the betting point of view, ignore all the above and DYOR. I don't see any value at the moment.
Even when the chap in charge of the firing squad says “take aim”.
The Scots Tories actually have a better choice in Russell Findlay and Murdo Fraser. Both are more credible than any of the Westminster candidates with the possible exception of Tugendhat.
Anyone born in 1470 and living to 90 experienced 10 monarchs (or nine if you don't count Lady Jane Grey).
A majority of voters in all the main UK parties, 55% of 2024 Labour voters, 60% of LDs, 81% of Reform and an overwhelming 94% of Tories want to keep the monarchy. The Prince of Wales is even more popular than his father, with a 75% favourable rating.
There is a big political divide on views of the Queen and the Sussexes however, 76% of Tories have a favourable view of Camilla but just 45% of Labour voters do. Just 14% of Tories and 12% of Reform voters have a positive view of Harry compared to 40% of Labour voters. Opinions of Meghan are even more polarised, a mere 7% of Tories and 7% of Reform voters have a positive view of the Duchess but 34% of Labour voters have a positive view of her
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/50427-how-do-britons-feel-about-the-royals-after-two-years-of-king-charles
Not for me to pick holes in any of this - members will rightly choose their leader on partisan grounds. Interesting interview nevertheless.
https://conservativehome.com/2024/08/19/cchqs-in-conversation-with-kemi-badenoch/
If I had to guess, I would suggest we wouldn't care for it and would say so. All the threats (as listed above) only affirm how necessary our boring and peaceful civil process is, so that the majority can constantly tell the lunatics to go away.
The price of liberty of course is constant vigilance, but that isn't new.
I think his Hitler saluting days were mostly after his abdication weren’t they? I believe being in thrall to the Singapore Grip was the main reason for him being exited.
The other issue is the likely response of the party if it loses in 2028. If that happens under a relative centrist, the pressure to go full-on Tory Id will be really hard to resist.
No doubt government should do fewer things. Which really big ones does she have in mind?
The case for capitalism does not need to be made in a country where all the main parties unequivocally support it.
Yes we need a clear narrative. Out of the confused mess of Tory policy, what is her narrative?
https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Internal_RoyalFavourability_240815.pdf
Asking for a friend (so to speak).
(Also, quite a lot of nekkid - so nsfw)
And she worked in big companies (Logica, RBS, Coutts), so not exactly being an entrepreneur.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn02w01xr2jo
Edward Windsor would have done a deal with anyone.
Ultimately the threat of authoritarianism is best countered by building a system that takes in to account all views/opinions. It just goes down to an issue of free speech. Aside from incitement to violence, attempting to outlaw speech/views because it is offensive is an assault on the basic principles of liberal democracy. The 'far right' is a highly predictable, almost inevitable reaction to this - they won't play ball with the system, and so become a threat to the system itself. This is why Nigel Farage is a largely unrecognised asset to British democracy, even though he is hated, he channels these views in to the democratic system.
I have been very influenced by the Finnish system, great efforts were made to bring the 'populist/far right' in to the political system over the last 20 years, they are part of the government now. It is not without its problems but Finland has been spared many of the problems other similar countries are currently going through.
BBC News - Post Office handles record amount of cash
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c36nrw02yy5o
Establishment also allows any resident of a C of E Parish to be baptised, married, blessed and have a funeral in their Parish church even if they never go to church normally
It's like the new Thatcher is upon us.
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@Dura_Ace will be lived I am looking at them. He has filled a quarry with Panthers to ensure I don't buy one of them. He now has to move onto Cobras. I would love a GT40 but realistically you can't take it to the pub.