It is looking like a Kamala Harris coronation – politicalbetting.com

Michelle Obama backers please explain yourself! Because for those of us laying her it feels like we’re taking candy from a baby.
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Michelle Obama backers please explain yourself! Because for those of us laying her it feels like we’re taking candy from a baby.
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was running for the Democratsis running for the Republicans...I forgot to plant them before winter and only got them out at easter
1. Properly re-introduce herself to American voters. Not as the GOP-defined caricature. Kamala Harris the person. She does, I think, need to avoid that aloofness that set Hillary apart from voters. Her backstory is compelling - she needs to tell it.
2. She needs to hammer home talking points on women’s rights, the Supreme Court and the threat to democracy. Biden was not strong enough in forcing these points. She has typically been better.
3. As much as possible she should try to run for the next 4 years not on the record of the last 4. Yes she’ll get forced to defend/justify the administration’s actions on a whole host of things, but she should touch upon it briefly and then move on. She needs to give the impression that she will lead a new administration - not continuity Biden.
4. She needs an answer to the immigration issue. And that’s not going to be easy. But they need to come up with an effective line or a new policy position for her to take. Avoiding putting her on the back foot on the “border tsar” stuff will be critical.
5. Focus on the rust belt, but AZ and NV are important too. Don’t retreat to MI, WI, PA, MN. They are crucial states, but it would be far better if they can try and keep AZ and NV in play too. And even GA and NC if possible. Yes it’ll be tough, but they cant just play for 270. They need to play for a buffer too.
And it's not just the Democrats who need to sort out their messaging.
Senior Trump campaign advisor Jason Miller on NBC says that a major issue liability for @KamalaHarris is that “she wants to ban plastic straws.”
Republicans are completely lost right now.
https://x.com/mattmfm/status/1815168750724796470
The email drama and Comeys last minute intervention cost her the election .
Kamala Harris has one big advantage something which seems to have been missed by some in here . The abortion issue post the overturning of Roe v Wade .
There’s a reason the Dems did much better than expected in the last mid terms .
Trump has made a serious mistake picking a VP candidate who would be happy to see a national abortion ban , he also can’t run away from the fact he installed judges in the SC who were instrumental in overturning R v W .
(Didn’t Trump once say something inane about straws not being a problem because they were so small, not realising that was the whole fucking problem?)
Abolish that and instead of big, blocky, developments by the same oligopoly of developers we could have small developers building one or two houses at a time for whoever wants them, wherever they want them.
Plus, let us not forget, who also is recovering from an abscess operation whilst providing sufficient articles each day to give us a place where grown adults can bitch about their hobby horses. For free.
Why would Farage label a person born in Oakland, California as “a black African”?
https://x.com/brexit_sham/status/1815320300268949777
As for your articles, they're not bad
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/07/biden-endorse-harris-pelosi-obama-schumer-jeffries-democrats-nomination.html
As Howard, Brown, May and Sunak found here there are significant downsides to crowning a leader without a contest come a general election as their campaigning skills aren't probably tested
What else could it be?
https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/don't_look_a_gift_horse_in_the_mouth
Trump's was clearly a tool maker
You even beat my typo edit. 😊
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Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
#New General Election Poll - Post Dropout
🔴 Trump 51% (+8)
🔵 Harris 43%
SoCal (No Rank) - 800 RV - 7/21
The downside? She's been anonymous and that has allowed the right to throw stuff at her. The upside? She's been anonymous which allows here to tell her story with a largely blank slate to sketch it on.
The challenge for the Trump campaign is how to pivot. Culture war issues (straws, bathrooms etc) engage their lunatic base but are a distraction. The economy? Strong on paper and it would appear in reality, despite "its bad" distortions from the right. Reality usually beats disinformation as its hard to tell someone that their lived experience isn't their lived experience.
Or as I sadly suspect, they will go on the obvious. Who is this uppity immigrant woman telling us what to do?
I suspect the Democrats have slightly surprised themselves by how quickly they reached a consensus.
Most striking thing I heard from Trump allies yesterday was the second-guessing of JD Vance—a selection, they acknowledged, that was borne of cockiness, meant to run up margins with the base in a blowout rather than persuade swing voters in a nail-biter.
https://x.com/TimAlberta/status/1815377270657237080
Its over HYUFD.
Kamala should be favourite now to be next POTUS.
Unless you imagine Barack is going to endorse Michelle?
An 8% popular vote win for Trump would lead to an EC landslide and be even bigger than the 53% to 46% margin by which Bush Snr beat Dukakis in 1988. It would be the biggest GOP win in a presidential election since Reagan beat Mondale in a landslide in 1984
https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-trump-harris-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire/
Would be the first time a Republican has won NH since Bush won it in 2000 over Gore
But it's not a good poll for her.
Of course, that may not tip the states in question to the Dems so may be moot.
But if it continues to cause unease among independents particularly with Vance on the ticket it's going to be a problem for the Republicans.
https://ennhri.org/news-and-blog/european-court-of-human-rights-issues-landmark-judgment-on-access-to-abortion-and-rule-of-law-in-poland/#:~:text=case is about?-,The case of M.L.,the basis of foetal abnormalities.
Politics UK
@PolitlcsUK
🚨 NEW: Nigel Farage describes Kamala Harris as a "black African woman" and says Donald Trump would be "delighted" to have her as his opponent
Kamala Harris is not African - her parents are Indian and Jamaican
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@LBC
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It now looks like Eluned Morgan will be the only nominee and could be selected as Welsh Labour Leader on Wednesday. Still needs to be approved as First Minister but that should be a formality.
But for a fascinating background read on how we got here, take a read of this blog from Lee Waters - MS who was arguably the first to stab VG in the back...
https://amanwy.blogspot.com/2024/07/dygsu-gwersi.html?spref=tw&m=1
Rather, it looks like it will be a Cakewalk.
Note that yours truly is awaiting determination & announcement of actual rules that will govern nomination proceedings at the 2024 Democratic National Convention, virtual OR in-person.
Which will be established in first instance by the Democratic National Committee, subject to ratification or revision by the Convention.
Kamala, Kamala, Kamala, Kamala, Kamala coronation
Biden he go, Biden he go-oh-oh-oh
Winning would be easy if voters were like my dreams
Red, GOP: not keen; red, GOP: not kee-eeen
In Wales the Labour government is also in face-eating mode. But who is going to replace them - a Plaid + Tory ticket?
The main issue is the Polish constitutional court and how judges were appointed .
He afterwards based his prisons policies, as Home Sec, on his experiences there.
So yes, three times is technically correct.
Anyone who enjoys this website should be thankful we have TSE to keep the show on the road... Even if he does have terrible taste in shoes and he remains a Posh Boys fanboy!
Will it last?
RFK Jr's ballot access is being litigated in some of the above, most notably Nevada, where state election officials initial gave his campaign erroneous info as to legal requirement; but reckon courts will rule in his favor due to screwup by state election officials.
Another, more clear cut example, is Washington State, where legal requirement for independent or minor party POTUS candidates is petition signatures from 1,000 registered voters; RFK Jr campaign submitted 4,181 which gives him a cushion that should prove more than adequate after WA Secretary of State verifies his sigs.
In addition look for RFK Jr to qualify in some of the states which are currently listed as "not on ballot" as of now:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_F._Kennedy_Jr._2024_presidential_campaign
Further note that his campaign has devoted lion's share of effort INCLUDING spending to ballot access efforts, targeted in first instance to battleground states. Of these, ones that he's "not on ballot) are Arizona, Florida, Maine and Wisconsin; other states in that category include Massachusetts and Virginia.
A Democrat in a red state with the balls to take this kind of position - and to be re-elected - deserves it, IMO.
Gov. Andy Beshear (D-KY) on his re-election and vetoing anti-trans bills:
"All children are children of God … I was going to stand up for the most marginalized children who didn't deserve either a state legislature or an entire campaign picking on them."
https://x.com/HeartlandSignal/status/1726806702421610566