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Is this going to be this year’s Portillo moment as Jeremy Hunt holds on. – politicalbetting.com
Is this going to be this year’s Portillo moment as Jeremy Hunt holds on. – politicalbetting.com
Itv saying looks like Liz Truss will lose, happy Christmas everyone
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Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
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So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
Labour: 405 seats
Conservative: 154 seats
Liberal Democrat: 56 seats
Scottish National Party: 6 seats
Reform UK: 4 seats
Other 25
Lab -24.9%
Ind +25.5%
Con -12.3%
Ref +4.9%
LD -2.0%
Grn +2.2%
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001477
Unionism is hardening. Jim Allister of the TUV has beaten Ian Paisley in North Antrim.
Davey's done a blooming good job.
To bed. Good morning all and thanks to the team for keeping PB going.
They’ve had them for three elections and been wrong every time.
Lab 12709
Ref 8894
Con 7775
LD 6470
PC 5667
Grn 1744
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/W07000102
That's the real story of the night.
Now Melksham too….
I have to say @bigjohnowls called it, I hold my hands up.
None of that January 6th nonsense here, thank God.
Con 20968
Lab 17396
Ref 8280
LD 3026
Grn 2345
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001375
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001548
And hopefully the new generation of LibDem MPs will be something for the party to build on - one of the consequences of the 2015 Cleggastrophe is that they've only ever had a handful of people who sound remotely convincing on TV/radio (Davey, Layla Moran, Tim Farron, Daisy Cooper).
Or did he change his mind on that?
Recount in Guildford, which should also be an easy win.
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Con - 34%
LD - 25%
Lab - 20%
Lib Dems were 50-1 - had one of those come in, so content with Labour not winning this one.
Or perhaps a superfluous Boris bus for a song from some well-connected used bus salesman?
Lost by 10k
Don't think so. Looked pretty good to me for a busy man up at 4am.
Bristol South
Bristol East
Bristol North East
Bristol North West
With all activists and volunteers diverted to Central.
@Edinburgh_CC
The #EdinGE2024 results for Edinburgh South West is our 4th constituency declaration. Scott Arthur wins with 18,663 votes. Turnout was 62.09%
Full results:
Scottish Labour Party – Arthur, Scott – 18,663
Scottish National Party (SNP) – Cherry, Joanna – 12,446
🔴 WORTHING WEST: Labour defeat Father of the House Sir Peter Bottomley - 49 years an MP, and win in Worthing for first time in history.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001599