@BBCPhilipSim Edinburgh South West is another Labour GAIN, so that's Joanna Cherry out too. Labour come from third with a 23.5% swing - their share was up 26.5 points, SNP share was down 20.4 points
It’s a cliche but the Tories lost this. Labour didn’t win it. Anyone talking about clever targeting or tactical voting is deluding themselves. What a strange landslide.
That may be true of Lab, but LD and Greens have targeted well, and so have Gaza independents.
Jess Phillips holds on by 700 votes. This is quite a weird one. I think this Labour government will end up more left wing than I thought - but out of fear of the electorate. Unless Reform and Cons merge, that split is going to continue - if a moderate wins the Con leadership it may even widen. Where Lab will really have to worry is if a new left party emerges or if this coalition of Indies and Greens merge.
Don't think so. Looked pretty good to me for a busy man up at 4am.
I cant stand Victoria Derbyshire. She's not a nice piece of work, and a poor presenter.
See ruined Fi Glovers career by having an affair with Fi's husband. At the time they followed one another on R5 and Glover was the super rising star of BBC radio. She refused to continue to work that slot after the affair and really set her career back for a long time.
It’s a cliche but the Tories lost this. Labour didn’t win it. Anyone talking about clever targeting or tactical voting is deluding themselves. What a strange landslide.
The right wing vote split in half, and if they wish to win again, they need to find a way to reunite.
That's not about "centrism" or anything else; it's about finding common themes that unite the right.
Hunt for leader? He could do the I will be the boring equivalent of Starmer routine. But would the members go for it?
Hunt has previously ruled out yet another run for the leadership. At single-figure prices, I'd take him at his word.
But I mean, if the ball came out the back of the scrum.....and he felt for the good of the party he had been asked to do a job....
One thought I would have is he has clearly worked really really hard to retain his seat. He has been in parliament a long time, he has done lots of the cabinet jobs, he is independently wealthy, why would you sit in opposition if not for the top job?
South Devon! Lib Dem clean up through Newton Abbot, Torbay and South Devon.
Now Melksham too….
Yes, surprisingly strong bounce-back in SW really. I thought Brexit would screw the Lib Dems in that area for a long time, but not so.
I wonder. How many oldies from places like London have moved down there to retire in the past 4-5 years?
Nowhere near enough to shift the demographic. Places like South Devon have always had that element, but nobody sells their townhouse in Richmond to move to Tiverton - it's not a unpleasant place but it's, er, agricultural. People from London think of the "posh bits" but huge parts of the SW just aren't like that in any way, and that's where the numbers are.
It’s a cliche but the Tories lost this. Labour didn’t win it. Anyone talking about clever targeting or tactical voting is deluding themselves. What a strange landslide.
The right wing vote split in half, and if they wish to win again, they need to find a way to reunite.
That's not about "centrism" or anything else; it's about finding common themes that unite the right.
If Reform continue, right wing voters will soon work out which of the two is best placed to defeat Labour.
It’s a cliche but the Tories lost this. Labour didn’t win it. Anyone talking about clever targeting or tactical voting is deluding themselves. What a strange landslide.
The right wing vote split in half, and if they wish to win again, they need to find a way to reunite.
That's not about "centrism" or anything else; it's about finding common themes that unite the right.
If Reform continue, right wing voters will soon work out which of the two is best placed to defeat Labour.
It took 14 years (1983 to 1997) for the Left to work it out. Now, I get the Right is not quite as stupid as the Left, but it is optimistic to assume it will happen in a single electoral cycle.
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https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2024/06/03/a-tale-of-two-seats-maidstone-and-macclesfield/
Edinburgh South West is another Labour GAIN, so that's Joanna Cherry out too. Labour come from third with a 23.5% swing - their share was up 26.5 points, SNP share was down 20.4 points
If Diane Abbott wins she is mother of the House too.
Incredibly profitable GE for me boosted by Jezza winning at Evs
Well done LAB. Most astonishing election of all time!
Goodnight er good morning all!
Other than lovely lady.
Jess Phillips has held on by 700 votes in Birmingham Yardley.
(Joke.)
Lab only 23%!
(Gaza?)
Big majority, too.
That's not about "centrism" or anything else; it's about finding common themes that unite the right.
One thought I would have is he has clearly worked really really hard to retain his seat. He has been in parliament a long time, he has done lots of the cabinet jobs, he is independently wealthy, why would you sit in opposition if not for the top job?
Lab 20739
Con 15342
Ref 7424
LD
Green 3222
Labour gain at 0500 exactly - were you up for Mogg? At the very minute the BBC declares the majority.
Just Truss to wait for, now
Jacob Rees Mogg defeated
Jacob Rees-Mogg loses Somerset NE!
Truss would be a bonus.
Last time John Swinney led the SNP the party had 5 MPs. As things stand right now they have 4.