JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
Well basically their most popular politicians are close acquaintances with jails, they've been caught using expenses in a very duck pond moat way, are flat broke and they're all round rubbish. Same story as south of the border.
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
The parcel of rogues that is the SNP.
Swinney bored on about bloody independence once too often. This is the result. Tonight has been a verdict on two clapped out Governments, not just the one.
We talk about our democracy being poor, but I feel quite proud of the way this election has been held, and the way the loser has simply conceded to the winner.
None of that January 6th nonsense here, thank God.
We talk about our democracy being poor, but I feel quite proud of the way this election has been held, and the way the loser has simply conceded to the winner.
None of that January 6th nonsense here, thank God.
I am not sure it will be so polite and peaceful in French if Le Pen wins in a few days.
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
The SNP detonated themselves.
Spectacular implosion - should never have got into bed with the Greens, then told their supporters to piss off. Which they then did.
Perhaps the biggest winner of the night are the Lib Dems; yet they seem to be forgotten on the BBC coverage.
Davey's done a blooming good job.
He really has. Orange LD GAINs flashing up repeatedly on the ticker in a whole bunch of stretch targets (Melksham the latest one).
And hopefully the new generation of LibDem MPs will be something for the party to build on - one of the consequences of the 2015 Cleggastrophe is that they've only ever had a handful of people who sound remotely convincing on TV/radio (Davey, Layla Moran, Tim Farron, Daisy Cooper).
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
The parcel of rogues that is the SNP.
Swinney bored on about bloody independence once too often. This is the result. Tonight has been a verdict on two clapped out Governments, not just the one.
Yes he is a decent man as is Hunt and they have at least got inflation down from the level they inherited and which Labour will now benefit from in government
Godalming is more or less the first LibDem target I’ve seen them lose.
Certainly not what i was expectng
Same here. There was an issue of a libellous post by a nutter on Nextdoor that could have done harm but it was removed by moderators quickly so I don't believe it could have made that much difference. I don't know how widely it is read.
Recount in Guildford, which should also be an easy win. .
JC - Labour are continuing to progress towards their expected landslide victory, winning previously safe Tory seats across the country.
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
So what on Earth has happened in Scotland? I never got the sense Labour were that popular up there now.
The SNP detonated themselves.
Do we opportunity of acquiring that SNP caravan as our very own PB By-Election Bottle Bus and Traveling Theatre of the Absurd?
Or perhaps a superfluous Boris bus for a song from some well-connected used bus salesman?
Perhaps the biggest winner of the night are the Lib Dems; yet they seem to be forgotten on the BBC coverage.
Davey's done a blooming good job.
He really has. Orange LD GAINs flashing up repeatedly on the ticker in a whole bunch of stretch targets (Melksham the latest one).
And hopefully the new generation of LibDem MPs will be something for the party to build on - one of the consequences of the 2015 Cleggastrophe is that they've only ever had a handful of people who sound remotely convincing on TV/radio (Davey, Layla Moran, Tim Farron, Daisy Cooper).
We talk about our democracy being poor, but I feel quite proud of the way this election has been held, and the way the loser has simply conceded to the winner.
None of that January 6th nonsense here, thank God.
It’s a cliche but the Tories lost this. Labour didn’t win it. Anyone talking about clever targeting or tactical voting is deluding themselves. What a strange landslide.
Comments
Their gains are largely on the back of a dramatic 20-point decline in Conservative support.
Labour's own vote is expected to be up by just under four points across the country, entirely as a result of a 20 point increase in support in Scotland.
In Wales, the party's vote has actually fallen back by four points, while in England the party's vote is largely unchanged from 2019.
---
So JC is saying 36% Labour, 24% Tory.
I did say golden rule used to be, take lowest Labour polling, highest Tory and you won't be far off.
Labour: 405 seats
Conservative: 154 seats
Liberal Democrat: 56 seats
Scottish National Party: 6 seats
Reform UK: 4 seats
Other 25
Lab -24.9%
Ind +25.5%
Con -12.3%
Ref +4.9%
LD -2.0%
Grn +2.2%
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001477
Unionism is hardening. Jim Allister of the TUV has beaten Ian Paisley in North Antrim.
To bed. Good morning all and thanks to the team for keeping PB going.
Davey's done a blooming good job.
They’ve had them for three elections and been wrong every time.
Lab 12709
Ref 8894
Con 7775
LD 6470
PC 5667
Grn 1744
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/W07000102
That's the real story of the night.
Now Melksham too….
I have to say @bigjohnowls called it, I hold my hands up.
None of that January 6th nonsense here, thank God.
Con 20968
Lab 17396
Ref 8280
LD 3026
Grn 2345
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001375
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001548
And hopefully the new generation of LibDem MPs will be something for the party to build on - one of the consequences of the 2015 Cleggastrophe is that they've only ever had a handful of people who sound remotely convincing on TV/radio (Davey, Layla Moran, Tim Farron, Daisy Cooper).
Or did he change his mind on that?
Recount in Guildford, which should also be an easy win.
.
Con - 34%
LD - 25%
Lab - 20%
Lib Dems were 50-1 - had one of those come in, so content with Labour not winning this one.
Or perhaps a superfluous Boris bus for a song from some well-connected used bus salesman?
Lost by 10k
Don't think so. Looked pretty good to me for a busy man up at 4am.
Bristol South
Bristol East
Bristol North East
Bristol North West
With all activists and volunteers diverted to Central.
@Edinburgh_CC
The #EdinGE2024 results for Edinburgh South West is our 4th constituency declaration. Scott Arthur wins with 18,663 votes. Turnout was 62.09%
Full results:
Scottish Labour Party – Arthur, Scott – 18,663
Scottish National Party (SNP) – Cherry, Joanna – 12,446
🔴 WORTHING WEST: Labour defeat Father of the House Sir Peter Bottomley - 49 years an MP, and win in Worthing for first time in history.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001599