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Being a convicted felon has consequences – politicalbetting.com

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  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,840
    edited June 2024
    Cookie said:

    I thought the whole point of Rotherham, Rochdale etc was that the perpetrators had been under-policed - i.e. largely left to their own devices, and the victims told to go away?
    Yes. In some cases the police threatened the complainers with action - against the complainer - if they didn’t stop making allegations.

    In one case a step-father (I think it was) was told by the police that if he continued with the allegations, he would be put on a register of racists, then the council would use the anti-social neighbours rules to have his family thrown out of their council house.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,139
    Cookie said:

    I don't think I'm being overly parochial to say that the North of England is the most beautiful part not only of England, but of the world. Around 40% of our geography (too keen to make a point to check exact figure) is made up of our four and a half national parks, with a good chunk more being any one of the multiple AONBs.

    But I think northerners also have a slightly jaded impression of the South. London forms a disproportionate part of our idea of the south, and the route to London from the North is through the least remarkable bit of the country. Look at this map:
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/image_data/file/51423/nat-parks-map-960x640.jpg

    Without wanting to deride the countryside around the southern half of the M1 and M6, it's not terribly exciting. But it's most northerners idea of what the south looks like (also a noisy traffic jam across Bromford Viaduct.)
    It is a bit parochial to say that. 🙂
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    Leon said:

    lol. The bus is suddenly full - including several obvious soldiers returning to the front - and there is now an almost jolly atmos

    Dark Noom dispelled. First impressions entirely wrong

    Was it anything like this.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bahJ1eVOELY
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,051
    TOPPING said:

    What is the timing for the demise of the Maldives out of interest.
    When Yahweh finishes with Gaza probably.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    Britain Trump latest...


    Tom Peck
    @tompeck

    He’s gonna win by miles

    https://x.com/tompeck/status/1797948238575870365

    Christ. The crowds in that last photo

    The only other contemporary poltiician who has/had this star quality is Boris

    My guess is he will indeed win in Clacton if only coz the locals will want the attention and the lolz
  • eekeek Posts: 29,537
    ToryJim said:

    Another Labour candidate jumps out of the race

    https://x.com/tomorrowsmps/status/1797952000061284693?s=61

    It’s not a good sign if candidates are abandoning the fight whatever the reasons. Suggests that not everything will be plain sailing on the good ship Starmer.

    Not really - I can see something that sounds like a great idea in theory quickly becomes a problem in reality - Great on her to realise it so early..
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    MattW said:

    He's been suspended I think.

    I am not aware of the details of that one.
    No, they have not been revealed. It is an old allegation apparently, and remarkably convenient timing to allow a guy called Chris Ward to be parachuted in.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,432

    The random capitalisation of a species made me think you were talking about deodorant.
    I was thinking of this fella...

    https://tardis.fandom.com/wiki/Jingo_Linx?file=Timewarrior_title.jpg
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,693
    Looks like today's Davey theme is Jenga

    https://x.com/scottygb/status/1797934539052040466
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,384

    ((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    22m
    Told Tory MPs phoning senior Reform officials pleading with them to withdraw candidates in their seats. Meanwhile Red Wall MPs outraged at "wet" Tory candidates being parachuted into safe seats. It's starting to come apart.

    https://x.com/DPJHodges/status/1797945342937506035

    He lost me at "Told" which is up here with "I'm hearing that" or "Sources at...say" in terms of unverifiable gossip. As we know, Twitter is the modern grapevine only much more effective and insidious.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,485
    edited June 2024

    Britain Trump latest...

    Tom Peck
    @tompeck

    He’s gonna win by miles

    https://x.com/tompeck/status/1797948238575870365

    There are a number of regions that could be natural strongholds for a party like Reform if it becomes an electoral force.

    Is @Essexit still on this forum? I wonder if he'll be voting for them.
  • pm215pm215 Posts: 1,222

    Trainline charged me £2.49 extra fee recently for 2 tickets purchased online. How much do you value an hour of your time?
    Given there are a ton of other online vendors who don't charge a fee for the same service, it's not a "save time or pay" question, in my view...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    148grss said:

    Look, nature tooth and claw. I don't think meat eating is inherently morally wrong as a human - I just think when we can sustain ourselves without harming animals and the method by which we do mass meat farming is contributing to massive deforestation and ecological destruction that it's a bad idea. If you keep chickens in your back garden and decide to eat them when they start getting old, or if you're poor and have no other choice, that's fine.

    I'm not an Auditor from the Discworld, demanding that all life stop to preserve order or my idea of what is moral. The natural world is immoral. Humans are able to stand against the pressures of nature in ways basically all other animals cannot, and we have the luxury and capability of developing and acting in moral ways.
    And a worthy sentiment. But we can't or choose not to. In the same way as it is absurd to breed and then eat living creatures then it is equally absurd for those who object to eating animals to step on ants.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Leon said:

    He’s a journalist looking for a story. Nowt wrong with that

    And if his info is even halfway right then that’s fascinating
    He's not looking for a story, his feed is nothing but increasingly hyperbolic claims of imminent apocalypse. And has been for weeks. The Civil War will play out after the election. As is normal with defeated entities
  • TOPPING said:

    What is the timing for the demise of the Maldives out of interest.
    Uninhabitable by the end of the century, most likely. Possibly a bit longer with major sea defences, but those probably won't be economically viable. In the long run, evacuation is the only realistic option.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,735

    Er, no, we really haven't. Thus far we have made virtually no impact whatsoever on the rate of increase of CO2 in the atmosphere and are currently heading for at least 3 degrees of warming. The Maldives are already doomed, but so too are large areas of coastal plains around the world, not to mention those areas that will be made uninhabitable by heat and shifts in weather patterns. None of this will be fixed by imploring people to "do their best".
    I mean that’s just not true. All sensible projections based on agreed measures get you to 2 or 2.5. Even if it was 3, 3 is fine. We’ve averted the truly catastrophic, and actually I think technology will see us do even better.

  • TazTaz Posts: 17,198
    ToryJim said:

    Another Labour candidate jumps out of the race

    https://x.com/tomorrowsmps/status/1797952000061284693?s=61

    It’s not a good sign if candidates are abandoning the fight whatever the reasons. Suggests that not everything will be plain sailing on the good ship Starmer.

    Paper candidate in an unwinnable seat, Lib Dem Gain I reckon, for Witney.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,092
    Owen Jones
    @OwenJones84
    ·
    1h
    I tried to have a little chat with Labour's Shadow Cabinet minister Thangam Debbonaire in Bristol Central.

    It didn't go very well.

    https://x.com/OwenJones84/status/1797941391852527888
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392

    Trainline charged me £2.49 extra fee recently for 2 tickets purchased online. How much do you value an hour of your time?
    Seeing as it couldn't be bought on Trainline (see above) an hour of my time was well spent avoiding travelling without a ticket (I am travelling at 5.13 am before the ticket office is open) and there was no other way of getting a ticket.

    Honestly you can't type anything here these days without being put in your place as if you are an idiot.

    I'm not an idiot. I do buy online. I also have a station 5 min away and it made obvious sense to go there when there was an obvious problem buying the ticket. That problem continued at the station for an hour while the guy was on the phone trying to sort it.

    What smart alec is going to come out with the next suggestion of what I should have done.
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,728
    edited June 2024
    TOPPING said:

    And a worthy sentiment. But we can't or choose not to. In the same way as it is absurd to breed and then eat living creatures then it is equally absurd for those who object to eating animals to step on ants.
    There is obviously a difference in the degree of sentience of the animal in question. Very few people would argue that stepping on an ant is equivalent to, say, torturing a monkey to death.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    edited June 2024

    Err - there is no difference. She wants the world to have no nuclear weapons. The policy is for the UK to have nuclear weapons because other countries, including realistic potential enemies, have them. She agrees with the policy, her desire on something that is not going to happen in our lifetimes is irrelevant.
    Brooke is increasingly unbearable on this forum. He writes stupid things, is often weirdly creepy with it, and seemingly cannot be bothered to check his facts.

    Edit: and he also refuses to use punctuation. Which is even worse.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    edited June 2024
    Taz said:

    The Guardian does seem to have little time for the Labour Party. Plenty of articles having a dig.

    Sharon Graham of Unite. Critical of Labour who will not rebalance in favour of her demands the workers.

    Zero hours contracts are useful for some people. My wife has one and it is great for her.

    https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/will-labour-rebalance-the-country-in-favour-of-working-people-i-don-t-think-so/ar-BB1nB1t4?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=6a53ea6388f94e748c04b7df37122fda&ei=12

    Graham's union spends millions bankrolling the Labour Party. And then she herself actively campaigns against electing a Labour government, by trying to undermine its campaign pledges and joining the Conservatives in trying to foster disillusionment with politicians generally amongst working people.

    Likewise I don't mind Abbott being confirmed as a candidate, in fact I welcome it because proper process matters. It should have been the end of the matter. But no, then Abbott can't help herself and posts her "Starmer lies again" tweet, knowing it would make headlines however short lived its life. Again, she's still effectively campaigning against electing a Labour government, by doing her best to undermine its leader during an election and picking a fight for the sake of it.

    There are many others indulging in similar behaviour. Gone are the days when the party would rally around during the general election itself.

    The only interpretation is that Graham, Abbott and the others don't want Starmer to have more than a small majority, in order that the far left can hold the balance of power in parliament. They might as well be in league with the Conservatives. Sadly for them, it looks like being a majority of 100+. Labour will win big despite of them.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,243

    Trainline charged me £2.49 extra fee recently for 2 tickets purchased online. How much do you value an hour of your time?
    Strongly recommend the TrainSplit app. It doesn't charge you for normal tickets, just a "commission" of 10% of the saving if it finds you a cheap deal with split tickets, and it's super easy to use.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,766

    Uninhabitable by the end of the century, most likely. Possibly a bit longer with major sea defences, but those probably won't be economically viable. In the long run, evacuation is the only realistic option.
    So where do you put 500,000 jew haters ?

    https://apnews.com/article/maldives-israel-gaza-war-71d3b17d46dbcf9c06ba6c642763f36d
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    TOPPING said:

    Was it anything like this.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bahJ1eVOELY
    God I love that movie. A total masterpiece - maybe the greatest anti war movie ever made? And such great songs

    And the final sequence of the picnic and the crosses on the Downs can reduce me to pathetic tears even on the twentieth viewing
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Trainline charged me £2.49 extra fee recently for 2 tickets purchased online. How much do you value an hour of your time?
    Well exactly, and they automatically split the tickets without your needing to research it, which usually saves more than the booking fee. I use nothing else, and I travel by rail a lot.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    Britain Trump latest...


    Tom Peck
    @tompeck

    He’s gonna win by miles

    https://x.com/tompeck/status/1797948238575870365

    1 day after announcing candidacy and a very limited left wing vote? It's going to be close. The big risk for the Tories is if candidates defect an hour before nominations close, which I could see happening.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    Well exactly, and they automatically split the tickets without your needing to research it, which usually saves more than the booking fee. I use nothing else, and I travel by rail a lot.
    Ditto. Trainline is a brilliant app. I am happy to give them a couple of quid for all the hassle saved
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kjh said:

    Seeing as it couldn't be bought on Trainline (see above) an hour of my time was well spent avoiding travelling without a ticket (I am travelling at 5.13 am before the ticket office is open) and there was no other way of getting a ticket.

    Honestly you can't type anything here these days without being put in your place as if you are an idiot.

    I'm not an idiot. I do buy online. I also have a station 5 min away and it made obvious sense to go there when there was an obvious problem buying the ticket. That problem continued at the station for an hour while the guy was on the phone trying to sort it.

    What smart alec is going to come out with the next suggestion of what I should have done.
    Good thing then that the ticket office wasn't closed last year, despite the chorus on PB demanding such an "efficiency".
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Strongly recommend the TrainSplit app. It doesn't charge you for normal tickets, just a "commission" of 10% of the saving if it finds you a cheap deal with split tickets, and it's super easy to use.
    The booking fee on Trainline is so trivial it's simply not worth faffing around.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392
    edited June 2024

    Well exactly, and they automatically split the tickets without your needing to research it, which usually saves more than the booking fee. I use nothing else, and I travel by rail a lot.
    Read the fucking posts. I am getting really annoyed now. I COULD NOT BUY IT ONLINE. It did not work. I had to go to the station.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,371
    On Leon’s Islamophobic parroting of Tommy Robinson, I think this is a good write-up of the flaws in the report that led to these numbers being claimed: https://policinginsight.com/feature/analysis/when-bad-evidence-is-worse-than-no-evidence-quilliams-grooming-gangs-report-and-its-legacy/
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,092
    Leon said:

    Christ. The crowds in that last photo

    The only other contemporary poltiician who has/had this star quality is Boris

    My guess is he will indeed win in Clacton if only coz the locals will want the attention and the lolz
    Mind you Corbyn pulled big crowds back in the day.

    But seems likely to go Farage - it was UKIP under Carswell for a while.

    However, I am on tories there at 4 - as this seems a tad of value.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kjh said:

    Read the fucking posts. I am getting really annoyed now. I COULD NOT BUY IT ONLINE. IT did not work. I had to go to the stration.
    Some folk do develop a certain agnosia. But I've never come across this. Shame Charcot is dead, likewise Oliver Sacks - he could have made an interesting chapter out of PB.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392
    edited June 2024

    The booking fee on Trainline is so trivial it's simply not worth faffing around.
    Aaaaggggggghhhhhhhh. I wasn't faffing around. The bloody ticket wasn't available.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    Uninhabitable by the end of the century, most likely. Possibly a bit longer with major sea defences, but those probably won't be economically viable. In the long run, evacuation is the only realistic option.
    Seriously? 80years away, possibly, a country, actually many, many tiny blips in the middle of the ocean a metre or three above sea level will apparently be submerged. At today's level of technological knowhow.

    I am failing to be motivated. As is most of the rest of the planet and I can understand why.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,243
    Very interesting comment on the local message board:

    "I did a market research survey last week on the day NF said he wouldn't be standing which was obviously funded by Reform from the way the parties were placed in the list of parties to choose from for each question. Among other election related questions it asked "would NF make a good leader of Reform?" And "would NF make a good leader of the opposition?", so I've been expecting this."
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    TOPPING said:

    Seriously? 80years away, possibly, a country, actually many, many tiny blips in the middle of the ocean a metre or three above sea level will apparently be submerged. At today's level of technological knowhow.

    I am failing to be motivated. As is most of the rest of the planet and I can understand why.
    In Mercury years, presumably. Actually, it's already starting.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Just seen the Farage Eminem video - it's very good a bit of showbiz glamour in an otherwise rizz-less election.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,192
    Leon said:

    Christ. The crowds in that last photo

    The only other contemporary poltiician who has/had this star quality is Boris

    My guess is he will indeed win in Clacton if only coz the locals will want the attention and the lolz
    Just because people (bloated by press) turn up to hear someone doesn’t mean they will turn up to vote for them. If the people of Clacton do elect him they may end up regretting it and quite possibly rather rapidly. I’m not sure he is going to want to deal with the casework, as an MEP he was docked half his salary to recoup irregularities in his expenses. You can easily see him being disciplined by the chair for refusing to retract unparliamentary language. Deep down he doesn’t want to actually win, as it suits him better to lose narrowly and throw a massive tantrum. Bottom line this is a monumental distraction, the election is about the future direction of the country not future opportunities for Farage to burnish his ego.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,092
    edited June 2024
    Chameleon said:

    1 day after announcing candidacy and a very limited left wing vote? It's going to be close. The big risk for the Tories is if candidates defect an hour before nominations close, which I could see happening.
    Can you change your nomination papers once they have been submitted (up until the 4pm deadline I mean)?

    So a quick rewrite to say Reform at the last minute?

    Or do you have to withdraw and resubmit?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    pm215 said:

    Given there are a ton of other online vendors who don't charge a fee for the same service, it's not a "save time or pay" question, in my view...
    Do they automatically send a QR ticket to your Apple Wallet and are perfectly integrated with your watch too, and give real-time updates and basically every other brilliantly coded feature that Trainline has?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295

    On Leon’s Islamophobic parroting of Tommy Robinson, I think this is a good write-up of the flaws in the report that led to these numbers being claimed: https://policinginsight.com/feature/analysis/when-bad-evidence-is-worse-than-no-evidence-quilliams-grooming-gangs-report-and-its-legacy/

    I don’t want to spend the entire day banging on about the most depressing issue in British politics since the war. I’d far rather talk about Ukraine

    But just for the record I am not quoting Tommeh I am quoting the LABOUR MP for ROTHERHAM, Sarah Champion. And I have reduced her estimate by a factor of ten!

    Sadly; if you extrapolate the numbers of cases and the numbers of victims across the UK a total of 100,000 is absolutely credible indeed likely

    And that’s my last word on the subject. Now I’m going to try not to look at this absurdly beautiful Ukrainian woman and instead listen to my audible book about pogroms in the 1920s
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,432
    148grss said:

    Look, nature tooth and claw. I don't think meat eating is inherently morally wrong as a human - I just think when we can sustain ourselves without harming animals and the method by which we do mass meat farming is contributing to massive deforestation and ecological destruction that it's a bad idea. If you keep chickens in your back garden and decide to eat them when they start getting old, or if you're poor and have no other choice, that's fine.

    I'm not an Auditor from the Discworld, demanding that all life stop to preserve order or my idea of what is moral. The natural world is immoral. Humans are able to stand against the pressures of nature in ways basically all other animals cannot, and we have the luxury and capability of developing and acting in moral ways.
    "The natural world is immoral." - thats an odd phrase. Wouldn't amoral be a better choice? What does a snake know of morals? Or a lion? Or a fish? Morality is a human construct.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392
    Carnyx said:

    Some folk do develop a certain agnosia. But I've never come across this. Shame Charcot is dead, likewise Oliver Sacks - he could have made an interesting chapter out of PB.
    I need to calm down. I like these posters, but it does make me wonder if I am posting in an alien language.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Do they automatically send a QR ticket to your Apple Wallet and are perfectly integrated with your watch too, and give real-time updates and basically every other brilliantly coded feature that Trainline has?
    The features including not being able to promise KJH a ticket that would prevent him being thrown off the train somewhere like Forsinard or Berney Arms at 8pm?
  • biggles said:

    I mean that’s just not true. All sensible projections based on agreed measures get you to 2 or 2.5. Even if it was 3, 3 is fine. We’ve averted the truly catastrophic, and actually I think technology will see us do even better.

    The point is that nobody actually expects the agreed measures to be implemented. See for example Sabine Hossenfelder's recent video on the topic:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaaJqPCjNr4

    This will ultimately result in many metres of sea level rise.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    There was a YouGov Wales poll out last night BTW
    Lab 45 (+3 since Jan)
    Con 18 (-2)
    Ref 13
    PC 12
    LD 4 I think or 5
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,272
    edited June 2024

    I quite like Rayner, she'll provide endless amusement as SKS tries to make it look as he's in charge,
    Me too. When they first voted for her i thought they must be high as kites. I mean an ex student of Manchester Metropolitan (blue plaque on it's way) ......The old Regional Art college as was. But they knew what they were doing. She's got more bottle than the rest of the shadow cabinet put together.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    The point is that nobody actually expects the agreed measures to be implemented. See for example Sabine Hossenfelder's recent video on the topic:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaaJqPCjNr4

    This will ultimately result in many metres of sea level rise.
    Maybe. Sea level has risen 6-8 inches over the past 100 years, hasn't it?
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780

    Can you change your nomination papers once they have been submitted (up until the 4pm deadline I mean)?

    So a quick rewrite to say Reform at the last minute?

    Or do you have to withdraw and resubmit?
    Surely not. If you change any details on the nomination papers, those changes must surely have to be countersigned by all the signatories, the proposer and seconder and 10 other signatories that is. Easier and quicker just to resubmit another form and withdraw the original.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,432

    Uninhabitable by the end of the century, most likely. Possibly a bit longer with major sea defences, but those probably won't be economically viable. In the long run, evacuation is the only realistic option.
    Its not quite so settled though is it? I thought that some evidence exists of sediment deposition too?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Carnyx said:

    The features including not being able to promise KJH a ticket that would prevent him being thrown off the train somewhere like Forsinard or Berney Arms at 8pm?
    It's sounds like he has hit some weird fissure in the rail-space continuum, TBF (I don't know the details). But I have used Trainline exclusively for a decade and it's worked perfectly every time.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    Can you change your nomination papers once they have been submitted (up until the 4pm deadline I mean)?

    So a quick rewrite to say Reform at the last minute?

    Or do you have to withdraw and resubmit?
    Others will know better, but from my reading of the EC website representing a party is a two step process - first you get nominated, then you hand in a form with your party affiliation approved by the party, so I assume step 2 can be re-done.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Chameleon said:

    Just seen the Farage Eminem video - it's very good a bit of showbiz glamour in an otherwise rizz-less election.

    My vote stays with Eminem for the biggest comeback of 2024.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,485
    ToryJim said:

    Just because people (bloated by press) turn up to hear someone doesn’t mean they will turn up to vote for them. If the people of Clacton do elect him they may end up regretting it and quite possibly rather rapidly. I’m not sure he is going to want to deal with the casework, as an MEP he was docked half his salary to recoup irregularities in his expenses. You can easily see him being disciplined by the chair for refusing to retract unparliamentary language. Deep down he doesn’t want to actually win, as it suits him better to lose narrowly and throw a massive tantrum. Bottom line this is a monumental distraction, the election is about the future direction of the country not future opportunities for Farage to burnish his ego.
    They're not electing a social worker. What's the downside from having an MP who is able to command national attention?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    kjh said:

    I need to calm down. I like these posters, but it does make me wonder if I am posting in an alien language.
    The answer is surely to never take a train journey where you can’t buy an online ticket

    I mean even this bus from Moldova to Ukraine IN THE MIDDLE OF A WAR had an easy online ticketing system
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    Do they automatically send a QR ticket to your Apple Wallet and are perfectly integrated with your watch too, and give real-time updates and basically every other brilliantly coded feature that Trainline has?
    I always go straight to the train companies. Split tickets are easy to calculate just go to Trainline (!) to see where to buy the tickets and then go and buy them directly and they send emails and the tickets are available in the app.

    Paying the Trainline fee is not a rational economic act.
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860
    Cookie said:

    What about Rochdale? Did that feel like home?

    I'm fascinated by the concept of home. I lived in the suburbs of Nottingham for 9 years - it was pleasant, I had good friends there, but it never felt like home. It seems churlish to complain about living too far south when you are only 50 miles south of where you are born, but there you are.
    But I've also lived in Sheffield and that DID feel like home.
    My own gwlad - the land which stirs my soul - is quite large. It encompasses almost all of the North West (with the exception of Cumbria west of Scafell, and Crewe), and about two thirds of Yorkshire (with the boundary roughly being the M1 up as far as Tadcaster, and some vague line somewhere in the North York Moors north of that). It doesn't include much of the North East, but does include the western fringes of County Durham and the south western bit of Northumberland (the Pennines, basically). Oh, and the northern half of the Peak District.

    I'd then add a tier-2 homeland which I don't feel I'm entitled to but which elictis the same sort of feelings: Western Shropshire, Herefordshire, Worcestershire, Gloucestershire, Devon, Somerset, the Scottish Borders, the Lothians, Stirlingshire, Perthshire. (I could claim ancestral connections to those areas of Scotland but I could also claim ancestral connections to South East London, and that doesn't feel the same).

    There is a danger of course in just saying that places which are nice are those which feel like home. But obviously as @RochdalePioneers points out it's much easier for somewhere to feel like home if it's nice!
    Really interesting post.

    Britain is very much my home; I love to travel and have indeed travelled reasonably widely, but the cultural and geographical space that is Northern England, most specifically what we inelegantly call 'The M62 Corridor' (it needs a better name, as parts north are distinct); Yorkshire (mostly the traditional West and East Ridings), urban Lancs and the overlapping bits of Derbyshire, Lincolnshire, Cheshire and Bassetlaw.

    My actual home town is Doncaster, but Manchester is definitely my heimat, where I've set roots and started a family.

    London, where I lived for a half decade and visit at least once a month, still has a homely, familiar feel to me. Beyond that... maybe Dumfries and Galloway, where I have family and we've holidayed as a family for a decade now.

    I have never, will never really understand the whole 'if xx gets elected I'll emigrate' nonsense. Being British, English, northern English and various other categories are both an accident of my birth and integral to who I am. I'm not a flag shagger or poppy fascist, but I am a patriot. I love my country in the way I love my family. I disagree often, I despair sometimes. We have differing ideas about what's best. And I certainly don't feel a need to advertise this complex love, by e.g. standing and singing our boring dirge of a national anthem. I have nothing to prove.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771
    Leon said:

    The answer is surely to never take a train journey where you can’t buy an online ticket

    I mean even this bus from Moldova to Ukraine IN THE MIDDLE OF A WAR had an easy online ticketing system
    The inability of Paris to deliver contactless tickets on the Metro is a national shame.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,766
    Roger said:

    Me too. When they first voted for her i thought they must be high as kites. I mean an ex student od Manchester Metropolitan (blue plaque on it's way) The old Regional Art college as was. But they knew what they werre doing. She's got more bottle than the rest of the shadow cabinet combined.
    Well it's girl on girl action this Friday Roger, Rayner versus Mordaunt.

    It will beat the snoozefest tonight
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,090
    Hubris for Modi, who's really had his wings clipped.

    Can't say I'm sorry about that although I hold no candle for Congress either.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,195
    algarkirk said:

    You are very balanced and quite right. And there is more. In Cumbria there is huge joy to be had entirely outside the national park areas, and it is mostly empty. Visited Long Meg (not in a national park) recently with no-one there at all, one of the great numinous neolithic sites. Free. Almost no signposts. No fences. No barriers. No-one cares. It's part of a real working farm.

    M1 and M6 not the greatest approach to London. Go A1 instead, and then you can stop off in Lincolnshire, no national park, a bit of AONB, have it completely to yourself (more noom than the whole of France) and change your mind about going to London.
    Being analytical, objective and data-based, and wearing my Derbyshire, not Nottinghamshire, hat - I'm waiting for a hill to appear in the Surrey Hills.

    The last I heard, they had to build a tower on the highest point to get it over 1000 feet. :smile:

    (Runs and hides)
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    TOPPING said:

    I always go straight to the train companies. Split tickets are easy to calculate just go to Trainline (!) to see where to buy the tickets and then go and buy them directly and they send emails and the tickets are available in the app.

    Paying the Trainline fee is not a rational economic act.
    It is because the cost of the booking fee < the cost of my time.
  • Prospect raised above of Tory candidate defections to Reform.

    The point has been rightfully made that the best time to do this if you are a current Tory candidate is surely Friday, so that the Tories don’t have time to nominate another candidate in your place before nominations close.

    It also gives Reform a huge boost ahead of the Farage appearance in the 7-way debate on Friday.

    Will we see a mass defection? Perhaps not. But we will surely see at least one.

    The momentum may pick up if Sunak does poorly if tonight’s debate and some scared Tories get itchy feet.

    I think there are still value bets in a big defection this week and proxy bets accordingly.
  • ToryJimToryJim Posts: 4,192

    They're not electing a social worker. What's the downside from having an MP who is able to command national attention?
    If that MP uses the national attention to focus relentlessly on local issues of concern, then no problem. However that isn’t what is going to occur. He isn’t there in order to represent the people of Clacton, he’s there so the people of Clacton can represent his validation. It won’t work out well for either of them.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    mwadams said:

    The inability of Paris to deliver contactless tickets on the Metro is a national shame.
    There usually a funky back-story to these. Perhaps it’s the guy who owns the paper mill paying for the mayor’s re-election, or a union boss getting a kickback from the ticket machine supplier.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,660
    Farage will win Clacton
    RefUK will help the Tories get absolutely demolished
    The Tory MPs left will be Faragista
    Tory members are already Faragista

    Farage as the next Tory leader? Doable.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    edited June 2024

    It is because the cost of the booking fee < the cost of my time.
    Fair enough. £300/hr seems a reasonable enough rate to me but each to their own.

    Edit: if you are doing different journeys each time. For the same journey five times that would be £1,500/hr which should put you as lead counsel to the PO Inquiry.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    There was a YouGov Wales poll out last night BTW
    Lab 45 (+3 since Jan)
    Con 18 (-2)
    Ref 13
    PC 12
    LD 4 I think or 5

    A Welsh poll klaxon was surely required, pre-post, unless you are deliberately playing fast and loose with PB convention?
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Chameleon said:

    Others will know better, but from my reading of the EC website representing a party is a two step process - first you get nominated, then you hand in a form with your party affiliation approved by the party, so I assume step 2 can be re-done.
    If you are standing for a party you must provide a certificate of authority from said party. Nomination papers will probably be handed in by party officials to stop any shenanigans. The Returning Officer has the right to reject any nomination that they feel is clearly a sham /scam and knowingly providing false info is a criminal offence - this would include deliberately misleading your nominators
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    "The natural world is immoral." - thats an odd phrase. Wouldn't amoral be a better choice? What does a snake know of morals? Or a lion? Or a fish? Morality is a human construct.
    I mean, yes that is probably more apt. But I was thinking more on this quote from Unseen Academicals (in part, I'm sure, inspired by Darwin's own writings on wasps and caterpillars)

    The Patrician took a sip of his beer. “I have told this to few people, gentlemen, and I suspect I never will again, but one day when I was a young boy on holiday in Uberwald I was walking along the bank of a stream when I saw a mother otter with her cubs. A very endearing sight, I’m sure you will agree, and even as I watched, the mother otter dived into the water and came up with a plump salmon, which she subdued and dragged on to a half-submerged log. As she ate it, while of course it was still alive, the body split and I remember to this day the sweet pinkness of its roes as they spilled out, much to the delight of the baby otters who scrambled over themselves to feed on the delicacy. One of nature’s wonders, gentlemen: mother and children dining upon mother and children. And that’s when I first learned about evil. It is built into the very nature of the universe. Every world spins in pain. If there is any kind of supreme being, I told myself, it is up to all of us to become his moral superior.”
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392
    edited June 2024
    Leon said:

    The answer is surely to never take a train journey where you can’t buy an online ticket

    I mean even this bus from Moldova to Ukraine IN THE MIDDLE OF A WAR had an easy online ticketing system
    I'm sure you are just trying to wind me up @leon but it should not have been challenging. It was a straightforward journey. It was just a glitch of some sort involving the combinations involved. The ticket could not be bought online nor at the ticket office. But at the ticket office there is a man with a phone who does something about it.

    It was just one of those unlucky things that could happen to anyone on any mundane journey. The pricing structure here is just to complicated that the simple combination I had fell through the cracks.

    Train is the only option I have because I will be on a bike.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    edited June 2024
    TOPPING said:

    Fair enough. £300/hr seems a reasonable enough rate to me but each to their own.

    Edit: if you are doing different journeys each time. For the same journey five times that would be £1,500/hr which should put you as lead counsel to the PO Inquiry.
    Yeah, different journeys. I wouldn't repeat it for the same route, same time – that would indeed be silly!
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,735

    The point is that nobody actually expects the agreed measures to be implemented. See for example Sabine Hossenfelder's recent video on the topic:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaaJqPCjNr4

    This will ultimately result in many metres of sea level rise.
    Eh? You might not but I broadly would, or their equivalents at least.

    If you don’t think agreed measures via the COP process will be implemented then might as well all give up and go home. And the U.K., in particular, is small enough to conclude it might as well switch to coal and be a rounding error in the figures.

    We don’t do that, because we want to lead and get those measures embedded.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,660

    Prospect raised above of Tory candidate defections to Reform.

    The point has been rightfully made that the best time to do this if you are a current Tory candidate is surely Friday, so that the Tories don’t have time to nominate another candidate in your place before nominations close.

    It also gives Reform a huge boost ahead of the Farage appearance in the 7-way debate on Friday.

    Will we see a mass defection? Perhaps not. But we will surely see at least one.

    The momentum may pick up if Sunak does poorly if tonight’s debate and some scared Tories get itchy feet.

    I think there are still value bets in a big defection this week and proxy bets accordingly.

    This is doable, with some subterfuge
    1. Be on go slow with your Tory agent with regards to signing the paperwork
    2. Get signing the RefUK paperwork on the sly and get it checked by the LA election officials
    3. Go AWOL when the Tory agent is demanding an immediate signature as "you're going to miss the deadline"

    Result? Tory candidate is reborn as a Reform candidate, no Tory on the ballot.

    Do we have any Tory candidates in mind for such shenanigans?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,092

    Farage will win Clacton
    RefUK will help the Tories get absolutely demolished
    The Tory MPs left will be Faragista
    Tory members are already Faragista

    Farage as the next Tory leader? Doable.

    Farage as leader would be terrible for this country. Headed down the Trump route.

    But good for my wallet as I am on at 55/1
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    kjh said:

    I'm sure you are just trying to wind me up @leon but it should not have been challenging. It was a straightforward journey. It was just a glitch of some sort involving the combinations involved. The ticket could not be bought online nor at the ticket office. But at the ticket office there is a man with a phone who does something about it.

    It was just one of those unlucky things that could happen to anyone on any mundane journey. The pricing structure here is just to complicated that the simple combination I had fell through the cracks.

    Train is the only option I have because I will be on a bike.
    WHAT WAS THE JOURNEY
  • TOPPING said:

    Maybe. Sea level has risen 6-8 inches over the past 100 years, hasn't it?
    Yes, but the point is that it is accelerating as the temperature rises and the ice melts faster.

    We know that the sea level in the last interglacial period was around 6 meters higher than it is today, so it seems likely that this is the kind of rise to expect as the Earth warms again to those sort of temperatures. It takes a long time for that ice to melt, so sea level rise obviously lags behind the temperature rise. Even if we were to achieve net zero today, the sea level would continue rising for centuries to come.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,084
    edited June 2024
    ToryJim said:

    Just because people (bloated by press) turn up to hear someone doesn’t mean they will turn up to vote for them. If the people of Clacton do elect him they may end up regretting it and quite possibly rather rapidly. I’m not sure he is going to want to deal with the casework, as an MEP he was docked half his salary to recoup irregularities in his expenses. You can easily see him being disciplined by the chair for refusing to retract unparliamentary language. Deep down he doesn’t want to actually win, as it suits him better to lose narrowly and throw a massive tantrum. Bottom line this is a monumental distraction, the election is about the future direction of the country not future opportunities for Farage to burnish his ego.
    Sorry but this sounds precisely like the stuff that was on here prior to Rochdale. Farage is clearly taking Clacton.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,243
    Taz said:

    Paper candidate in an unwinnable seat, Lib Dem Gain I reckon, for Witney.
    Witney could have been a stretch target for Labour - they've come second a couple of times and the incumbent Tory is not liked. But the LibDems are throwing a lot at it.

    Labour have a couple of really obvious candidates locally - I'm surprised that neither of them stood for the selection.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    edited June 2024

    This is doable, with some subterfuge
    1. Be on go slow with your Tory agent with regards to signing the paperwork
    2. Get signing the RefUK paperwork on the sly and get it checked by the LA election officials
    3. Go AWOL when the Tory agent is demanding an immediate signature as "you're going to miss the deadline"

    Result? Tory candidate is reborn as a Reform candidate, no Tory on the ballot.

    Do we have any Tory candidates in mind for such shenanigans?
    Thank you - good to hear from someone who has knowledge of the process! I assume the traditional way of withdrawing and submitting new nominations would also work?

    People like Nick Fletcher (Don Valley & he's very right wing with no chance of being returned) would be my guess alongside maybe people in the NE & Barnsley.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Witney could have been a stretch target for Labour - they've come second a couple of times and the incumbent Tory is not liked. But the LibDems are throwing a lot at it.

    Labour have a couple of really obvious candidates locally - I'm surprised that neither of them stood for the selection.
    Labour have deliberately backed off the seat because they think the Liberals are better placed to take it. There is a lot of "you scratch my back, I'll scratch yours" going on, very wisely. One possible outcome is the Liberals significantly overperforming under FPP as they would under PR*, which would be great for the lolz.

    (*as yesterday's MRP showed).
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    Leon said:

    Ditto. Trainline is a brilliant app. I am happy to give them a couple of quid for all the hassle saved
    The individual train company websites are so painful to use. Every problem possible seems to happen. By contrast you can do the whole thing in 20 seconds on the trainline app.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 29,846
    ToryJim said:

    Another Labour candidate jumps out of the race

    https://x.com/tomorrowsmps/status/1797952000061284693?s=61

    It’s not a good sign if candidates are abandoning the fight whatever the reasons. Suggests that not everything will be plain sailing on the good ship Starmer.

    I'd not read too much into this. She was a paper candidate in a safe Conservative seat, David Cameron's old constituency. Except now, with current polling, there is a real risk she might actually win in, well, exactly one month from today. We've seen this before in landslides, where paper candidates get elected and then need to rush round to close down their old lives, resign from work or even close down their old businesses.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    Ghedebrav said:

    Really interesting post.

    Britain is very much my home; I love to travel and have indeed travelled reasonably widely, but the cultural and geographical space that is Northern England, most specifically what we inelegantly call 'The M62 Corridor' (it needs a better name, as parts north are distinct); Yorkshire (mostly the traditional West and East Ridings), urban Lancs and the overlapping bits of Derbyshire, Lincolnshire, Cheshire and Bassetlaw.

    My actual home town is Doncaster, but Manchester is definitely my heimat, where I've set roots and started a family.

    London, where I lived for a half decade and visit at least once a month, still has a homely, familiar feel to me. Beyond that... maybe Dumfries and Galloway, where I have family and we've holidayed as a family for a decade now.

    I have never, will never really understand the whole 'if xx gets elected I'll emigrate' nonsense. Being British, English, northern English and various other categories are both an accident of my birth and integral to who I am. I'm not a flag shagger or poppy fascist, but I am a patriot. I love my country in the way I love my family. I disagree often, I despair sometimes. We have differing ideas about what's best. And I certainly don't feel a need to advertise this complex love, by e.g. standing and singing our boring dirge of a national anthem. I have nothing to prove.
    I travel so much I’m not sure I have a home. But if I do I have quite a few around the world, and they are specific

    Cornwall, especially the creekside church of St Clement near Truro, and the idyllic waterside footpath to Malpas

    London. But not all of London. No no. West and south london feel like the prairies or eastern Poland. Vast areas of occasional interest but certainly not home. London for me is a stretch of central london going from the Groucho club up through Fitzrovia and Bloomsbury to through Regent’s Park to Camden, Primrose Hill, Belsize Park and Hampstead. Ends abruptly at kenwood

    Gobekli Tepe and the Tas Tepeler

    The deserts of the USA especially around Moab in southern Utah

    Sois 4-8 in Khlong toei in Bangkok

    San Pedro de atacama

    POSSIBLY bassac lane in Phnom Penh, Cambodia

    These are places I feel instantly relaxed. Chilled. Peaceful. Yet also somehow energised. Home
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,139

    Use the Trainline app – far easier than paper tickets.
    I always buy a paper ticket for the tube when I'm in London because it's the only way to avoid being fined if you spend more than about 80 minutes in the system without touching out.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    darkage said:

    The individual train company websites are so painful to use. Every problem possible seems to happen. By contrast you can do the whole thing in 20 seconds on the trainline app.
    The virgin one is great - as smooth as trainline and usually run 7% cashback.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617

    Yes, but the point is that it is accelerating as the temperature rises and the ice melts faster.

    We know that the sea level in the last interglacial period was around 6 meters higher than it is today, so it seems likely that this is the kind of rise to expect as the Earth warms again to those sort of temperatures. It takes a long time for that ice to melt, so sea level rise obviously lags behind the temperature rise. Even if we were to achieve net zero today, the sea level would continue rising for centuries to come.
    Sure but what time period. You said "many metres of sea level rise".

    Plus "in the last interglacial". The one 12,000 years ago?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    darkage said:

    The individual train company websites are so painful to use. Every problem possible seems to happen. By contrast you can do the whole thing in 20 seconds on the trainline app.
    Indeed.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,538
    TOPPING said:

    WHAT WAS THE JOURNEY
    As I think kjh said he was cycling somewhere exotic, I would guess it is a CIV ticket to London International which indeed can't usually be bought online, as they can ask to see your Eurostar ticket
  • This is doable, with some subterfuge
    1. Be on go slow with your Tory agent with regards to signing the paperwork
    2. Get signing the RefUK paperwork on the sly and get it checked by the LA election officials
    3. Go AWOL when the Tory agent is demanding an immediate signature as "you're going to miss the deadline"

    Result? Tory candidate is reborn as a Reform candidate, no Tory on the ballot.

    Do we have any Tory candidates in mind for such shenanigans?
    There was a list circulating earlier of 60 seats where Reform had yet to declare candidates I think - and a lot of them had potentially sympathetic Tories. I really think that something major might be in the offing.


  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Andy_JS said:

    I always buy a paper ticket for the tube when I'm in London because it's the only way to avoid being fined if you spend more than about 80 minutes in the system without touching out.
    I live here and haven't used a paper ticket or been fined... since time immemorial. It's all contactless by phone now. Paper is for tourists, a waste of money, and should be abolished.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,295
    Also west and south west Herefordshire

    And the beaches and river systems north of Sydney
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,612
    LibDems talking about personal care for the elderly today.

    As a stunt, Ed Davey should have sat in a pool of his own piss all day.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,617
    darkage said:

    The individual train company websites are so painful to use. Every problem possible seems to happen. By contrast you can do the whole thing in 20 seconds on the trainline app.
    Rubbish they are all super-efficient. Probably user error.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,392
    edited June 2024
    TOPPING said:

    WHAT WAS THE JOURNEY
    Hi @Topping. I'm not going to get into this because I can't believe the comments it stirred up already over such an insignificant story of me complaining that the rail fare set up we have here is far too complicated, which I think everyone accepts.

    Just to say it was not a complicated journey (4 trains, 3 changes) but the time combinations and going in and out of London across peak/off peak times with a Senior Railcard made smoke come out of the machine. It wasn't an online failure but a failure of the system not being able to handle the combination, which to be honest wasn't that unrealistic. The system either couldn't produce a price or came up with a random price. Needless to say the highest price is the one everyone settled on.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,401

    They're not electing a social worker. What's the downside from having an MP who is able to command national attention?
    Regular visits from trainee politicians and/or political journalists seeking stories?
This discussion has been closed.