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An ill fitting union – politicalbetting.com

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  • Options
    YokesYokes Posts: 1,209
    edited May 19
    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,666
    edited May 19
    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,325

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    megasaur said:

    Leon said:

    Matera is quite quite magical at night. Never been anywhere like it. And I’ve been EVERYWHERE

    OK I am going. I love inland Sicily and this sounds a match. Internet says check out the Sassi caves.
    I love Sicily but - honestly? - i reckon Puglia and southern Basicliata possibly beats it. Or at least it is close. Expect lots of litter, graffiti, bleak countryside, stretches of hideous industry, often derelict. Ie - just like Sicily

    And yet at its best Puglia is incredible. The Gargano, Lecce, Mont Sant Angelo. Polignano (touristy like Taormina), Otranto (ditto), and then you have Gallipoli and Taranto (oh my!), and now Gravino, Altamura and finally Matera which is like nowhere on earth. Stay overnight!

    The food is generally world class. the wine is great. the people are super friendly. And often you get a sense of true discovery (which you don’t in Sicily). Eg Altamura. Not even mentioned in any of my guidebooks apart from the Neanderthal/focaccia references in passing, yet a jewel of a medieval city in its core

    Fab
    Let's hope your stalker SeanT doesn't start megaphoning it and ruin it for everyone.
    Puglia has very definitely been “discovered”. Polignano and Otranto are overrun with tourists

    however it’s not hard to find gems nearby that are entirely overlooked. Altamura and Gravina. Taranto because of its absurdly bad rep

    Hopefully with my good work on the Gazette i can ruin everywhere
    Yes we went to Puglia on holiday about eight years ago, it is definitely not terra incognita. Beautiful old towns, lovely food, awful driving. Hot as fuck.
    Yeah the driving is insanely bad. They wander all over the lanes. I know I’ve scoffed at your fear of driving abroad but I can kinda empathise here

    The key is to lean into it. To drive as languidly and carelessly as them - like dancing on a crowded dance floor - somehow you all instinctively avoid colliding

    Nonetheless some people here are just basic twats. 180kph on the autostrada is not clever or brave. Nor is 30kph in a tiny fiat straddling both lanes

    In terms of discovery coastal Adriatic puglia is definitely on the tourist radar. Up here in northern puglia and Basilicata? Nope. Empty. Brilliant
    I had a similar experience down there and I think Basilicata lacks the tourists for a weirdly psychological reason: it’s the instep, not the heel or boot. So it’s seen as in between.

    I quite liked Puglia but didn’t see it in the best weather, found Calabria potentially pretty but despoiled by rubbish and mafia, and Basilicata better than both and completely off the track. My elderly parents are staying in Matera in a few months, in a cave hotel. Looks like it’s gentrified in the last few years but in a reasonable way.
    Matera is world class. Seriously. Amazebombs
    I took an overnight ferry once, many moons ago, from Yugoslavia as was to Bari.

    Can't remember anything about Bari but the ferry was lovely - a totally laid back saunter across the Adriatic in balmy late September weather. I was skint so slept on the floor rather than a cabin.

    Good times.

    Has anyone done the depart and go where serendipity takes you trip? It’s something I dream of: wet grey morning in London, cross the platform and take the train going out instead of in, passport and a few grand in hand, and head off on an unplanned adventure.

    Bari and Brindisi are two of the ferry ports you end up at on that sort of trip. You generally either go South to Tarifa and across to Morocco, or South East via Italy to Greece then Egypt, like Michael Palin, or the land route to Istanbul and beyond.

    It’s to my great regret that I’ve not done the serendipitous departure yet. The best two books for this are Laurie Lee’s When I walked out one Midsummer Morning, and Patrick Leigh Fermor’s A Time of Gifts.
    I basically did that for 4 months in spring/summer 2022. I had two gazette commissions - Epirus, Natchez trace, but I strung them together and ended up in superb places - the Caucasus of Armenia, inland Montenegro, wild Georgia, mad parts of Tennessee. Some days I would wake up and look at the weather and think “shit its rainy here where is it sunny” then fly out that day - eg Tbilisi to Yerevan simply on the basis of the weather and my mood on that day

    I loved it

    One day I want to do it for 6 months. Before I’m too old. I FIERCELY recommend it as a way of discovering the world - and yourself
    This was how inter-railing was back in my day.

    Wake up. Look at map of europe and check weather and general personal mood.

    I distinctly remember abandoning a rain-sodden Germany one September and fleeing to Nice.

    Nothing planned in advance. Get up, pack up the tent and then...



    You had a tent?
    What's the point of Interrailing if you don't sleep on trains?
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,325
    edited May 19
    Did that when I was 14. Got to the European train station each night (if I was sober enough) and selected which of the available destinations I'd like to wake up in. Two changes of clothes.
    Major safeguarding breach.
    Happy days.
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 28,325
    Andy_JS said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
    Surely though they should have some idea of the last communication point? Ipods?
  • Options
    YokesYokes Posts: 1,209
    edited May 19
    Andy_JS said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
    Andy_JS said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
    Probably that, its mountain territory, weather reportedly wasn't great and the Iranians dont have the greatest servicing, not a good combination. Turkiye has sent a recon UAV with useful search tech perhaps indicating that Iran hasnt got the best gear to carry out SAR, particularly where its reported weather conditions are not conducive, and that they still cant find the helicopter many hours afters its been lost.

    At this stage, its not looking good.
  • Options
    FarooqFarooq Posts: 11,324
    Andy_JS said:

    TimS said:

    Leon said:

    TimS said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    megasaur said:

    Leon said:

    Matera is quite quite magical at night. Never been anywhere like it. And I’ve been EVERYWHERE

    OK I am going. I love inland Sicily and this sounds a match. Internet says check out the Sassi caves.
    I love Sicily but - honestly? - i reckon Puglia and southern Basicliata possibly beats it. Or at least it is close. Expect lots of litter, graffiti, bleak countryside, stretches of hideous industry, often derelict. Ie - just like Sicily

    And yet at its best Puglia is incredible. The Gargano, Lecce, Mont Sant Angelo. Polignano (touristy like Taormina), Otranto (ditto), and then you have Gallipoli and Taranto (oh my!), and now Gravino, Altamura and finally Matera which is like nowhere on earth. Stay overnight!

    The food is generally world class. the wine is great. the people are super friendly. And often you get a sense of true discovery (which you don’t in Sicily). Eg Altamura. Not even mentioned in any of my guidebooks apart from the Neanderthal/focaccia references in passing, yet a jewel of a medieval city in its core

    Fab
    Let's hope your stalker SeanT doesn't start megaphoning it and ruin it for everyone.
    Puglia has very definitely been “discovered”. Polignano and Otranto are overrun with tourists

    however it’s not hard to find gems nearby that are entirely overlooked. Altamura and Gravina. Taranto because of its absurdly bad rep

    Hopefully with my good work on the Gazette i can ruin everywhere
    Yes we went to Puglia on holiday about eight years ago, it is definitely not terra incognita. Beautiful old towns, lovely food, awful driving. Hot as fuck.
    Yeah the driving is insanely bad. They wander all over the lanes. I know I’ve scoffed at your fear of driving abroad but I can kinda empathise here

    The key is to lean into it. To drive as languidly and carelessly as them - like dancing on a crowded dance floor - somehow you all instinctively avoid colliding

    Nonetheless some people here are just basic twats. 180kph on the autostrada is not clever or brave. Nor is 30kph in a tiny fiat straddling both lanes

    In terms of discovery coastal Adriatic puglia is definitely on the tourist radar. Up here in northern puglia and Basilicata? Nope. Empty. Brilliant
    I had a similar experience down there and I think Basilicata lacks the tourists for a weirdly psychological reason: it’s the instep, not the heel or boot. So it’s seen as in between.

    I quite liked Puglia but didn’t see it in the best weather, found Calabria potentially pretty but despoiled by rubbish and mafia, and Basilicata better than both and completely off the track. My elderly parents are staying in Matera in a few months, in a cave hotel. Looks like it’s gentrified in the last few years but in a reasonable way.
    Matera is world class. Seriously. Amazebombs
    I took an overnight ferry once, many moons ago, from Yugoslavia as was to Bari.

    Can't remember anything about Bari but the ferry was lovely - a totally laid back saunter across the Adriatic in balmy late September weather. I was skint so slept on the floor rather than a cabin.

    Good times.

    Has anyone done the depart and go where serendipity takes you trip? It’s something I dream of: wet grey morning in London, cross the platform and take the train going out instead of in, passport and a few grand in hand, and head off on an unplanned adventure.

    Bari and Brindisi are two of the ferry ports you end up at on that sort of trip. You generally either go South to Tarifa and across to Morocco, or South East via Italy to Greece then Egypt, like Michael Palin, or the land route to Istanbul and beyond.

    It’s to my great regret that I’ve not done the serendipitous departure yet. The best two books for this are Laurie Lee’s When I walked out one Midsummer Morning, and Patrick Leigh Fermor’s A Time of Gifts.
    Sounds like a fun idea, especially if you do it without any technology with you.
    I thought the whole point of travel was to sit all day on the terrace tediously narrating your dinner online to people, half of whom who don't care if you catch botulism and die. How can you do that without technology?
  • Options
    Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,929

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.


  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,666
    I think my year was one of the last to get free university education. Or perhaps another couple of years.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 27,666
    "Middle East and Africa | Turmoil from a helicopter crash
    The death of Iran’s president would spark a high-stakes power struggle
    Amid a regional war, a fight at home between the clerics and military looms"

    https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/05/19/the-death-of-irans-president-would-spark-a-high-stakes-power-struggle
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520
    "There is "no sign" of life coming from President Ebrahim Raisi's helicopter, state TV says.

    Reuters has also reported that the helicopter was "completely burned" in the crash, citing an Iranian official."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-middle-east-69035051
  • Options
    TazTaz Posts: 11,796
    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,438
    Taz said:

    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61

    Oh.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,073
    Good morning, everyone.

    F1: I blame the commentator claiming there was a '100% chance' of a safety car for the lack of crashing.

    Presumably the vice president will assume the top (well, second to top) job?
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520
    viewcode said:

    Taz said:

    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61

    Oh.
    This could get very interesting - as in the Chinese curse .

    The president was a man responsible for brutal repression at home, and fomenting war and conflict abroad. For his role in the death committee during the 1988 prosecution of political prisoners alone, he deserves to have toasty feet in Hell.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_executions_of_Iranian_political_prisoners

    Do not mourn him; do not eulogise him.; but hope Iran can find a better way forwards.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,731
    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.


    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
  • Options
    RattersRatters Posts: 862

    viewcode said:

    Taz said:

    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61

    Oh.
    This could get very interesting - as in the Chinese curse .

    The president was a man responsible for brutal repression at home, and fomenting war and conflict abroad. For his role in the death committee during the 1988 prosecution of political prisoners alone, he deserves to have toasty feet in Hell.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_executions_of_Iranian_political_prisoners

    Do not mourn him; do not eulogise him.; but hope Iran can find a better way forwards.
    He was also the favourite to succeed the supreme leader who is 85.

    Creates a bit of a succession crisis for Iran.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520
    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,460
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    How much should a university course cost?

    I guess one reference point is the cost of schools and FE- in the state sector, that's about £7500 a head, for private schools rather more.

    You might be able to do a humanities degree cheaper than that (though I'd be a bit surprised even then), but the idea of doing science/engineering for that much is surely for the birds.
    I'd argue that the average state sector senior school student is receiving about 10 times the active education that a university student is getting. Plus being looked after in loco parentis. 30 to 1 or better teaching, 5+ hours a day, by people who actually care about them as people. Plus an absolute stack of work which doesn't assess itself.

    Compared against this, universities look bloody cheeky asking for more than about £2k a year.
    see https://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/what-we-do/policy-and-research/publications/higher-education-facts-and-figures-2021
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,306
    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
  • Options
    TazTaz Posts: 11,796

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
  • Options
    ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,050
    Very much off topic, but I just heard the Radio 3 news presenter pronounce 'Ofwat' as if it rhymed with 'Twat'. That is from now on going to be my preferred way of saying it.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,054
    edited May 20
    Ratters said:

    viewcode said:

    Taz said:

    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61

    Oh.
    This could get very interesting - as in the Chinese curse .

    The president was a man responsible for brutal repression at home, and fomenting war and conflict abroad. For his role in the death committee during the 1988 prosecution of political prisoners alone, he deserves to have toasty feet in Hell.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_executions_of_Iranian_political_prisoners

    Do not mourn him; do not eulogise him.; but hope Iran can find a better way forwards.
    He was also the favourite to succeed the supreme leader who is 85.

    Creates a bit of a succession crisis for Iran.
    Mojtaba Khamanei now favourite to be the main cleric in a collective leadership?

    But if the IRGC think he was behind this, he's likely to suffer an unfortunate accident himself.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520
    Sandpit said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
    I vaguely knew someone who died in exactly that manner: a shopkeeper from the village I was raised in:
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/627597.stm
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,089
    edited May 20
    Here's a question.

    Are UK wages too low, (and taxes too high) in order for the full commercialisation of student loans and finance to take place ?

    The main source of UK debt right now is property but that does mean you live, or at least have an asset here.
    If universities could charge what they like, and the loans fully commercial (No repayment threshold) would students flock en masse to the USA or Aus post graduation as staying in the UK wages would simply be too low for realistic repayments of the 100k student loan debt on top of rents or whatever ?
    Internally it'd surely send everyone to London or Cambridge new developments even more then is the case now ?
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,306
    edited May 20

    Sandpit said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
    I vaguely knew someone who died in exactly that manner: a shopkeeper from the village I was raised in:
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/627597.stm
    It happens more than people would like to think, because it’s basic human instinct to wish to complete the task assigned, in the face of evidence that it’s a bad idea, especially when you know that others are relying on you to complete it.

    Pilots call this get-there-itis, and resisting it is specifically trained on command courses. It’s very common in charter and VIP operations, and obviously the military where you do what you’re told or else. Airlines are mostly very good with it, and accept that sometimes a Captain needs to use his judgement to deviate from the planned trip, even if it costs money and causes inconvenience.

    See also the death of the president of Poland in 2010. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smolensk_air_disaster a classic example, where they flew into a thunderstorm because the President had important presidenty things to do, and diverting elsewhere was going to be frowned upon by the top brass.

    Another one was the helicopter that crashed into a crane in Vauxhall in 2013 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vauxhall_helicopter_crash He was on his way to pick up a customer and get caught out by deteriorating weather, but pressed on anyway rather than diverting until it was too late - even when the customer was happy to reschedule.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 6,441
    Sandpit said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
    I was once walking in deep clag on the Applecross peninsula when three army Pumas floated over at what felt like 10-15 metres. Perhaps the most impressive thing I've ever seen - it's tricky topography round there.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520
    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,495
    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    Some have been built with repurposing in mind, many have not and so would be way too big for most families
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,054
    Incidentally, today is another crucial day for Assange. The High Court are to consider whether he can appeal (again).

    You've got to admire his legal team. Even Donald Trump hasn't dragged things out for this long and he's had a much more corrupt favourable judicial system to work with.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,089
    Sun rises in the east new research claims

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw4478wnjdpo
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,860
    Yokes said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
    Andy_JS said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
    Probably that, its mountain territory, weather reportedly wasn't great and the Iranians dont have the greatest servicing, not a good combination. Turkiye has sent a recon UAV with useful search tech perhaps indicating that Iran hasnt got the best gear to carry out SAR, particularly where its reported weather conditions are not conducive, and that they still cant find the helicopter many hours afters its been lost.

    At this stage, its not looking good.
    Given that they're the best of enemies, that's nice (and good diplomacy) by the Turks.
  • Options
    TazTaz Posts: 11,796

    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
    Couldn’t agree more.

    Instead of moaning about the death of the high street reinvigorate it. Pedestrianise them and repurpose the buildings. Newcastle council under Nick Forbes seems to be quite good at that, there are a couple of life sciences hub. Other councils, like Durham and Gateshead, just wanted to blame central govt and did little aside, in the case of Durham, their favoured two or three towns.

  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,670
    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,860
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
    Couldn’t agree more.

    Instead of moaning about the death of the high street reinvigorate it. Pedestrianise them and repurpose the buildings. Newcastle council under Nick Forbes seems to be quite good at that, there are a couple of life sciences hub. Other councils, like Durham and Gateshead, just wanted to blame central govt and did little aside, in the case of Durham, their favoured two or three towns.

    I'm hopeful that the new Government legislation will have a positive impact.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,495

    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
    There are simply too many shopping centres but the design of them is such that you can't convert them to residential use - Look at the Enoch Centre in Glasgow to see what you need to do - rebuilding is absolutely essential.

    Then once you have decided which part of the overgrown shopping estates (one example, Middlesborough has 4 and none of them are doing well) you then need to work out how to solve it. Very cheap rents as the government proposes is 1 bit, knocking some down to introduce green space as Stockton has done is another and a lot can become housing.

    But don't assume you can convert your average shopping centre or office block into housing - it doesn't make a pleasant space to live. There is someone in New York who makes their money converting old office blocks into accommodation - 1970s office blocks are just about convertable, the more modern massive open floors are not suitable as Windows don't exist. A windowless room is fine for a cheaper hotel in London for a day or 2 - it's no use for somewhere people permanently live.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,306
    edited May 20
    Eabhal said:

    Sandpit said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
    I was once walking in deep clag on the Applecross peninsula when three army Pumas floated over at what felt like 10-15 metres. Perhaps the most impressive thing I've ever seen - it's tricky topography round there.
    The other famous one, which I should have remembered, was the RAF Chinook that crashed into a foggy hill back in 1994, with a whole load of spooks and top brass on board. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Mull_of_Kintyre_Chinook_crash the military tried to put the blame entirely on the dead pilots, rather than look at wider cultural issues behind the accident or possible malfunction of the aircraft.

    Yes it’s impressive to watch them flying at low level in poor weather, and they have to be trained to fly only on instruments rather than looking outside - but it’s blooming dangerous, and when it goes wrong it goes very wrong indeed. Modern aircraft have extensive terrain databases and avoidance technology which should prevent CFIT (controlled flight into terrain, yes they even have an acromym for it because it happens that often) accidents, but like every tool it needs to be used properly.
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 15,005

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
  • Options
    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,228
    Sandpit said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sandpit said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
    I was once walking in deep clag on the Applecross peninsula when three army Pumas floated over at what felt like 10-15 metres. Perhaps the most impressive thing I've ever seen - it's tricky topography round there.
    The other famous one, which I should have remembered, was the RAF Chinook that crashed into a foggy hill back in 1994, with a whole load of spooks and top brass on board. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Mull_of_Kintyre_Chinook_crash the military tried to put the blame entirely on the dead pilots, rather than look at wider cultural issues behind the accident or possible malfunction of the aircraft.

    Yes it’s impressive to watch them flying at low level in poor weather, and they have to be trained to fly only on instruments rather than looking outside - but it’s blooming dangerous, and when it goes wrong it goes very wrong indeed. Modern aircraft have extensive terrain databases and avoidance technology which should prevent CFIT (controlled flight into terrain, yes they even have an acromym for it because it happens that often) accidents, but like every tool it needs to be used properly.
    CFIT in a functional aircraft. Aircraft commander's fault. Every time.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,670

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Whilst I don’t disagree, there is a death cult mentality about chunks of the Tory party. Voters do not want to live in a broken crumbling country where little works. The old argument about lower taxes just rings hollow - taxes are really high as everything goes to ruin.

    As always the question is where the money is going…
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 24,015

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 33,920
    @PickardJE

    the cost of implementing post-Brexit border arrangements will cost at least £4.7bn after repeated delays in implementing new controls, according to a report by Parliament’s spending watchdog
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,054

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Without disagreeing with your basic point, one of the reasons that unis are getting into trouble is the government keeps telling them to do things then changing their minds leaving them out of pocket. As here over international student visas.

    This is of course compounded by shockingly poor management and lack of oversight at the governance level. But the government manage HE almost as badly as they manage schools and that's saying something.
  • Options
    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,460

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,125

    viewcode said:

    Taz said:

    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61

    Oh.
    This could get very interesting - as in the Chinese curse .

    The president was a man responsible for brutal repression at home, and fomenting war and conflict abroad. For his role in the death committee during the 1988 prosecution of political prisoners alone, he deserves to have toasty feet in Hell.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_executions_of_Iranian_political_prisoners

    Do not mourn him; do not eulogise him.; but hope Iran can find a better way forwards.
    Who is likely to be his successor and will they be any better/less loony/less brutal?
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 24,015

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    Actually they are, they are education businesses.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520
    eek said:

    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
    There are simply too many shopping centres but the design of them is such that you can't convert them to residential use - Look at the Enoch Centre in Glasgow to see what you need to do - rebuilding is absolutely essential.

    Then once you have decided which part of the overgrown shopping estates (one example, Middlesborough has 4 and none of them are doing well) you then need to work out how to solve it. Very cheap rents as the government proposes is 1 bit, knocking some down to introduce green space as Stockton has done is another and a lot can become housing.

    But don't assume you can convert your average shopping centre or office block into housing - it doesn't make a pleasant space to live. There is someone in New York who makes their money converting old office blocks into accommodation - 1970s office blocks are just about convertable, the more modern massive open floors are not suitable as Windows don't exist. A windowless room is fine for a cheaper hotel in London for a day or 2 - it's no use for somewhere people permanently live.
    Shopping centres; yes. They are hard to repurpose (though it is being attempted - see the Grafton Centre here in Cambridge). But there are vast amounts of shops in our city centres that are empty or ill-used; many of which used to be housing.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,306
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sandpit said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sandpit said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    Don’t fly helicopters in the mountains when it’s foggy - no matter who is the customer, and no matter how insistent they might be that you go.

    (This one was probably military, so the pilot himself would have had little choice but to do what he was told to do).
    I was once walking in deep clag on the Applecross peninsula when three army Pumas floated over at what felt like 10-15 metres. Perhaps the most impressive thing I've ever seen - it's tricky topography round there.
    The other famous one, which I should have remembered, was the RAF Chinook that crashed into a foggy hill back in 1994, with a whole load of spooks and top brass on board. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Mull_of_Kintyre_Chinook_crash the military tried to put the blame entirely on the dead pilots, rather than look at wider cultural issues behind the accident or possible malfunction of the aircraft.

    Yes it’s impressive to watch them flying at low level in poor weather, and they have to be trained to fly only on instruments rather than looking outside - but it’s blooming dangerous, and when it goes wrong it goes very wrong indeed. Modern aircraft have extensive terrain databases and avoidance technology which should prevent CFIT (controlled flight into terrain, yes they even have an acromym for it because it happens that often) accidents, but like every tool it needs to be used properly.
    CFIT in a functional aircraft. Aircraft commander's fault. Every time.
    Oh indeed, a perfectly serviceable aircraft hitting the ground is always basically the fault of the person in charge of flying it - but often there’s wider issues behind the pilot f***ing up, and it’s important to learn those lessons and not put undue pressure on them to complete the mission when not fighting an actual war.

    It’s one of many cultural differences between military and civvie thinking.
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,378
    Andy_JS said:

    Yokes said:

    It appears the Iranians are having some trouble finding their president's helicopter

    What do you think's really going on? A simple accident is most likely I assume.
    With these dodgy gits it will b ehard to tell, either way they will lie through their teeth.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 24,015
    ydoethur said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Without disagreeing with your basic point, one of the reasons that unis are getting into trouble is the government keeps telling them to do things then changing their minds leaving them out of pocket. As here over international student visas.

    This is of course compounded by shockingly poor management and lack of oversight at the governance level. But the government manage HE almost as badly as they manage schools and that's saying something.
    The government does that with other businesses too, volatility is one of the issues every business faces. The universities face perhaps more government inteference, but thats just their domain same as say a water company or electricity, neither of which are particularly well run either.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 115,097

    NEW THREAD

  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,378

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    Actually they are, they are education businesses.
    Often very badly run businesses except for the top bananas who rate and pay themselves very highly.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 68,054

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Incidentally, your second sentence - we bailed out the banks...
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,378

    viewcode said:

    Taz said:

    Iranian state media confirms the deaths of the president and the foreign minister.

    https://x.com/skynews/status/1792413529330348235?s=61

    Oh.
    This could get very interesting - as in the Chinese curse .

    The president was a man responsible for brutal repression at home, and fomenting war and conflict abroad. For his role in the death committee during the 1988 prosecution of political prisoners alone, he deserves to have toasty feet in Hell.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_executions_of_Iranian_political_prisoners

    Do not mourn him; do not eulogise him.; but hope Iran can find a better way forwards.
    Who is likely to be his successor and will they be any better/less loony/less brutal?
    NO
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,460

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    Actually they are, they are education businesses.
    Under the Education Reform Act 1988 and the Charities Act 2011, they are not businesses.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 24,015
    ydoethur said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Incidentally, your second sentence - we bailed out the banks...
    Yes and we shouldnt have, that was a bad decision. Arent we meant to be learning the lessons ? Or some other mindless platitude.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,125

    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
    I agree with this in principle - indeed very strongly agree. This is currently being done in Nottingham with the Broadmarsh regeneration (although in that case they have completely demolished and rebuilt as the old shopping centre/car park/bus station were not fit fo purpose at all) and is being done in Newark with the old M&S site.

    My only concern with this is it has an adverse effect on other businesses if the council are not clear about rules they are enforcing/not enforcing.

    So in Newark, Castlegate has always had large numbers of pubs and bars. Recently some of the retail properties have been converted to residential and those new residents have now forced the council to ban live music from some of the pubs because of the noise. These are from establishments that have been very well regarded for their live music for decades (certainly since I was a youth). This further damages what is left of the town centre businesses.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 56,523
    Andy_JS said:

    I think my year was one of the last to get free university education. Or perhaps another couple of years.

    I had the 1.5k annual student fees plus the 3k per year maintenance loan.

    For a four year degree that totalled around about 18k but I was able to pay it all off before I was 30.

    That "9%" extra tax hurt a lot whilst I had it coming out my income. I was glad to clear it shortly after I bought my first home.
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    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 15,005

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    They were, just about, given the government cap on what they can charge, and government encouragement to get overseas students to make the finances add up.

    What we have here is a government U turn causing horrible financial problems for universities. Given that government actions are the cause of the problem, "just live with it" isn't entirely on.

    Another data point- Buckingham University, which is entirely private, currently charges 25k for two year degrees. One assumes that, as a business, they aren't wasting money. In any case, they mostly (only?) run the sort of subjects that are cheap to teach.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,670

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    And this is the reality. Free Market foamers may say "they're a business". But they are not free top act as such. They have to dance to the government's tune - which is hard to do when the government keeps changing radio station.

    Government either needs to free universities from its policies - tuition fee caps, international student restrictions - or fund them properly to meet those caps. Saying "you must do LOTS whilst we give you little" only works for a short time until the money runs out. Same with councils.

    Are Tories really that bad at business? Or maths for that matter? Whatever happened to them?
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,306

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    I was about to write something about the increase in non-academic staff over time, and the universities increasing the size of their own administration to match their income - but it does actually appear that they’ve been cutting these in recent years, around 15% down from 2019. There’s still nearly as many admins as academics though.

    https://www.hesa.ac.uk/news/17-01-2023/sb264-higher-education-staff-statistics
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 24,015

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    Actually they are, they are education businesses.
    Under the Education Reform Act 1988 and the Charities Act 2011, they are not businesses.
    If it walks like a duck .....
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,378

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    Actually they are, they are education businesses.
    Under the Education Reform Act 1988 and the Charities Act 2011, they are not businesses.
    Fools are easily fooled by ponzi schemes, if you believe that bollox , I have a nice bridge going a begging.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,378
    Sandpit said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    I was about to write something about the increase in non-academic staff over time, and the universities increasing the size of their own administration to match their income - but it does actually appear that they’ve been cutting these in recent years, around 15% down from 2019. There’s still nearly as many admins as academics though.

    https://www.hesa.ac.uk/news/17-01-2023/sb264-higher-education-staff-statistics
    whilst vastly expanding salaries at the top troughs
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    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 15,005

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Whilst I don’t disagree, there is a death cult mentality about chunks of the Tory party. Voters do not want to live in a broken crumbling country where little works. The old argument about lower taxes just rings hollow - taxes are really high as everything goes to ruin.

    As always the question is where the money is going…
    Some to middlemen, and some because something-for-nothing (which has been the story voters have voted for for most of my lifetime) is always followed by nothing-for-something.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,731
    edited May 20
    ydoethur said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Without disagreeing with your basic point, one of the reasons that unis are getting into trouble is the government keeps telling them to do things then changing their minds leaving them out of pocket. As here over international student visas.

    This is of course compounded by shockingly poor management and lack of oversight at the governance level. But the government manage HE almost as badly as they manage schools and that's saying something.
    Chances are Rishi will give them a final shafting before he leaves office, in order to hold on to a couple of extra seats.

    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    ...Last week, the Migration Advisory Committee reported that the graduate visa, which allows international students to stay in the UK for up to three years after completing a course, should be left alone. But the prime minister is said to be still considering further restrictions to bring international student numbers down...

    A government which actively encouraged universities to recruit more overseas students, as a substitute for keeping funding in line with inflation, is kicking that prop away.

    A party which is little more than an over sixties lobby group is not fit for government.
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,460

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    Actually they are, they are education businesses.
    Under the Education Reform Act 1988 and the Charities Act 2011, they are not businesses.
    If it walks like a duck .....
    It doesn’t walk like a duck, it doesn’t sound like a duck, it isn’t a duck.
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 15,005

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Universities are not businesses. To fulfil their functions, universities have costs. The government is the main funder of universities, both directly and indirectly (e.g. by controlling student visa numbers). The government can’t control what universities do and how much income they get, and then wash their hands of the situation.
    And this is the reality. Free Market foamers may say "they're a business". But they are not free top act as such. They have to dance to the government's tune - which is hard to do when the government keeps changing radio station.

    Government either needs to free universities from its policies - tuition fee caps, international student restrictions - or fund them properly to meet those caps. Saying "you must do LOTS whilst we give you little" only works for a short time until the money runs out. Same with councils.

    Are Tories really that bad at business? Or maths for that matter? Whatever happened to them?
    Crudely, the Brexit Mentality happened to them. This isn't about the rights or wrongs of EU membership, but the approach taken. Denying tradeoffs, demanding that the other party in the conversation should just do what we want. Promotion of feels over arithmetic. That sort of thing.

    I wondered about mentioning the echoes with what's happening to councils. Lumber them with the costs of social care whilst taking away their ability to increase revenue. Then, as social care costs move towards 100% of possible income, getting cross as everything else is cut in desperation.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,520

    Taz said:

    Nigelb said:

    Pro_Rata said:

    Cookie said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Glen O'Hara
    @gsoh31
    ·
    1h
    Student visas are already down nearly 30%, and I would say between 10 and 20 universities are going to get into deep trouble. Another 10 to 20 will follow rapidly. Imagine sending a further signal that you want the numbers down... (1/2)

    https://x.com/gsoh31/status/1792131030658269402

    We could do with a fundamental restructuring of FE in this county. Clearly I don’t want there to be a collapse of institutions (that serves no-one) but we could do with moving away from the New Labour model of degrees for all.
    All want degrees (or many do). It's aspirational, which is supposed to be good. People with degrees, including many in this board, saying other people shouldn't have them is a poor look.

    But yes higher education does need restructuring. To be specific undergraduate education needs to be a lot, lot cheaper. Education factories in other words, efficiency two year degrees, longer semesters and more part time degrees. Anyone who starts talking about Oxbridge, world rankings etc is self serving
    Perhaps “degrees for all” was a bad choice of words. I believe that we need to look at making sure all qualifications are high quality and that everyone has the chance to access them. Where I am not convinced, is that a university degree in the traditional academic sense is appropriate for all trades, professions and wants/needs of young people. We need to move away from elitist interpretations of universities needing to be the places to go to get on in life, and see that there is better careers advice and more flexible pathways for the future workforce.
    I agree with everything you say but that doesn't address the affordability issue. The problem is we can't afford 50% of young people going to university at current costs and prices. Employability is fine. In general graduates can find jobs more easily than non graduates. The cost isn't fine.

    So that gives us three choices I think:

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    3 seems obviously the right answer to me but that will need radical changes to universities. They need become Premier Inns (where the bed and shower are better anyway) and no longer pretend to be the Savoy.

    I am taking about undergraduate education. Postgraduate is a different requirement entirely.
    As I was saying...

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding: Vice-chancellors suggest fee rise of £2,000 to £3,500 a year, but others say that is ‘politically impossible’

    Vice-chancellors and former ministers are warning that the cash crisis facing universities is so serious that the next government will have to urgently raise tuition fees or increase funding to avoid bankruptcies within two years.

    They said the state of university finances was more dire than revealed in last week’s report by the Office for Students, which forecast 40% of England’s universities would end this year in the red.

    Vice-chancellors said that increases of between £2,000 to £3,500 a year for each student would be needed
    .


    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    I wonder about the pension scheme..........

    Could the sector be managed down?
    The UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight, and a major driver for innovation and growth. We are never going to improve productivity by reacting to everything with an attitude of managing down.
    For the reasons I set out above I don't think, at the undergraduate level, that the UK should pretend to have a "world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight".

    It should aim to educate anyone who is qualified, and could benefit from it, to a decent standard and at an affordable cost. Something the sector is utterly failing to do and so it's heading towards bankruptcy.
    It's not pretending that the UK has a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. We do have a world-leading university sector, punching far above our weight. That's true in terms of research and it's true in terms of our ability to attract fees from overseas students. UK degrees are highly valued.

    The universities do not get to decide whether to take "anyone who is qualified". That is determined by government policy. It's the government that controls that, not the sector. University education in the UK is not unaffordable. The sector is heading towards bankruptcy because its income is very heavily determined by the government, and the government chooses to cut corners, as always.
    Costs are higher than fees, when the price of going through university is generally regarded as too high already. I set out what I think are the options for a sustainable university sector

    1. Increase the fees so only the wealthy can afford them
    2. Limit the numbers and subsidise these
    3. Reduce the cost so more people can go to university who are qualified and could benefit from it

    We have choices. I would choose (3). What is your choice? It could be something I missed.
    Question: does the £9k amount to more than just the cost of the course? i.e. is there a cross-subsidy of research, etc? £9k seems preposterously expensive for a few lectures a week and membership of a nice library.
    If so, the *right* option might be to charge students a fair fee and fund research from other sources e.g. the state.
    Universities currently lose money on the average home undergrad. Before the recent period in inflation, universities made a small margin on home undergrads that helped subsidise research, although the much bigger margins are in postgrad teaching and overseas students. However, the fee level has not changed, despite inflation, so now home undergrads lose money.

    That's all on average. That does depend a lot on the course and on the university. Some courses are much cheaper to teach than others. Medicine is much more expensive than philosophy. The government does top up fees for some courses because of that. Where do all the costs come from? This govt report from a few years back itemises it: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f356650e90e0732e4bd8c79/Understanding_costs_of_undergraduate_provision_in_higher_education.pdf
    So, summarising a few of the early bits ás I understand them.

    At 2016/17 prices, the full costs to the universities of providing degrees per student per year (I presume some elements are funded out with tuition fees):

    - Around £8800 for write on paper degrees
    - Around 15-30% more for degrees with consumables budgets (STEM, but also art, design, archaeology etc. etc.)
    - Double for medicine

    The split is in somewhat technical accountancy categories but for the paper based subjects is something like:

    30% staff costs and overheads
    20% buildings and running costs
    30% central student facing costs (libraries, IT including teaching IT, admissions, welfare, students unions, but afaict additional bursaries are the main cost. A lot dictated by statute)
    20% central university running and "sustainability adjustment".

    Even if it is includes a myriad of things, those central costs do seem a chunky percentage.
    The financial situation is apparently even worse than previously reported.

    Ex-ministers warn UK universities will go bust without higher fees or funding
    https://www.theguardian.com/education/article/2024/may/19/ex-ministers-warn-uk-universities-will-go-bust-without-higher-fees-or-funding
    Incidentally; what would this mean for the (what feels like) millions of student flats that have been built in city centres up and down the nation? Are some developers going to be worried?
    Could they be repurposed as city centre accomodation to help with the property shortage we currently have 🤔
    I watched a video this morning from someone who goes around the country looking at near-empty shopping centres. He bemoans this change; and I can see why. Change is bad, and empty shops are mostly soulless and depressing.

    But I cannot see why this cannot be used as a regeneration: change shops into residential accommodation - which many smaller ones were in the first place, anyway. But I fear councils are afraid of change, and will miss the business rates (which they are not getting anyway if the units are empty).

    In Cambridge, there are plans for the emptying Grafton Centre to become a life sciences hub; and the nearby Beehive Centre to become... something I don't quite understand. ;)

    Councils need to become braver.
    I agree with this in principle - indeed very strongly agree. This is currently being done in Nottingham with the Broadmarsh regeneration (although in that case they have completely demolished and rebuilt as the old shopping centre/car park/bus station were not fit fo purpose at all) and is being done in Newark with the old M&S site.

    My only concern with this is it has an adverse effect on other businesses if the council are not clear about rules they are enforcing/not enforcing.

    So in Newark, Castlegate has always had large numbers of pubs and bars. Recently some of the retail properties have been converted to residential and those new residents have now forced the council to ban live music from some of the pubs because of the noise. These are from establishments that have been very well regarded for their live music for decades (certainly since I was a youth). This further damages what is left of the town centre businesses.
    You might be interested to know that he covered Grantham in the same video:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YR5pmC0innQ

    It'll be interesting to see how the Broadmarsh Centre redevelopment works. I used to know it fairly well, and it felt there was noting but shops as you walked from the station to the Victoria Centre.
  • Options
    eekeek Posts: 25,495

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Sandpit said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    I was about to write something about the increase in non-academic staff over time, and the universities increasing the size of their own administration to match their income - but it does actually appear that they’ve been cutting these in recent years, around 15% down from 2019. There’s still nearly as many admins as academics though.

    https://www.hesa.ac.uk/news/17-01-2023/sb264-higher-education-staff-statistics
    When talking about admin staff we need to be careful - remember one of the issues in the NHS is a lack of admin staff so expensive consultants have to do their own paperwork inefficiently
  • Options
    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,550
    eek said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Sandpit said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    I was about to write something about the increase in non-academic staff over time, and the universities increasing the size of their own administration to match their income - but it does actually appear that they’ve been cutting these in recent years, around 15% down from 2019. There’s still nearly as many admins as academics though.

    https://www.hesa.ac.uk/news/17-01-2023/sb264-higher-education-staff-statistics
    When talking about admin staff we need to be careful - remember one of the issues in the NHS is a lack of admin staff so expensive consultants have to do their own paperwork inefficiently
    Non-academic staff includes a lot more than admin. Lab technicians, caterers, security, marketing (to meet the Government's demands), and so on.
  • Options
    nico679nico679 Posts: 5,245
    Does anyone believe that net migration won’t go back up again if the Tories win the election .

    The current clampdown is for “ election year “.

    After that with social care imploding and other sectors badly effected the visa requirements will be changed .

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,608
    ydoethur said:

    On the university funding row, regardless of whether we have some dubious “universities” or not it would be politically bad if the Tories let them go bust.

    Surely the Tories get this? Totemic of a broken country? One where they have been in government breaking it?

    Bernard Ingham on Tony Benn applies here(*).

    Once you add those who think that there are too many universities full stop and those who want to cut immigration, whatever the consequences, it's a lot of Today's Conservative Party.

    (*)For those who don't know the anecdote, Ingham was Benn's press secretary, and was asked why the minister had said something. His response was that the minister had said whatever it was because he was stark, staring mad.
    Universities just need to live within their means. We dont bail out businesses who cant, so why bail out universities ?
    Incidentally, your second sentence - we bailed out the banks...
    Not all, see Lehmans
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