Record low temperatures forecast for Iowa’s polling day – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC0 -
Reading the article it would seem that the Horizon losses were central to the whole prosecution case. There was no pghysical evidence to link him to the crime and it all depended on him having been stealing the money and killing his wife to cover it up.Nigelb said:From the PO can of worms.
Post office owner says Horizon system was used to frame him for wife’s murder
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/jan/13/post-office-owner-says-horizon-system-was-used-to-frame-him-for-wifes-murder
Chuck in some police incompetence, on top of the unreliable Horizon evidence.
… North Yorkshire police officers lost key evidence, including a clump of hair found on the pillow in the couple’s bedroom. The hair, which was a different colour to both Diana’s and Robin’s, was never taken for forensic analysis and was lost.
..The murder weapon, a metal bar, was only found several days after the murder, on top of a high wall nearby. The jury heard it was contaminated by the police officer who handled it, and may have sneezed on it...
Hard to say without further detail if the conviction is so unsafe it should be quashed, but it’s likely there’ll be more than a handful of these tangential cases.
I have no idea whether it would be enough to exhonerate him but it certainly looks like it should be enough to have the case reopened.2 -
Tricky.Andy_JS said:
Being dishonest with the electorate is a good thing in your opinion?ThomasNashe said:
Let's hope so!isam said:Peter Oborne reckons Sir Keir is fibbing about Brexit at the moment, and will slowly take us back into the EU if he becomes PM. Probably right, he u-turns on every other pledge and we know what he really thinks on this one
https://x.com/timesradio/status/1746109837195563119?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
If good people being honest were a winning tactic, the country and world would be in a much better place. But most of the evidence of history is that being dishonest beats being honest in getting to the top. And that includes electoral politics.
Which puts people with a disposition to be honest in a difficult bind. Is it better to lose, knowing in your heart that you did the right thing, or to put your scruples to one side and do the evil necessary to win?
To which the only answer is, as we used to say on High Table, "search me guv, I only work here."1 -
Yep. If interest rates rise the capital value of your mortgages will fall wiping out your capital and then your solvency ( assuming you have to refinance the money you have lent).Malmesbury said:
What I mean is that having everyone on lifetime-of-the-mortgage portable fixed rates sounds like a no lose plan.pm215 said:
True, but as a society I think we should have preferences about where the risk ends up. In particular I think it's better if we design systems and regulations so that significant risks and especially hard to predict large downside risks largely land on big organisations who have the resources to make a better job of assessing them and to weather the consequences if they do come to pass, rather than on individuals. If individuals want to take on risks, that's fine, but we shouldn't set financial systems up so they are obliged to.Malmesbury said:
You can’t destroy risk in finance - just move it about.TheScreamingEagles said:Just imagine if you had locked yourself into a 25 year fixed mortgage in late 2006.
Rachel Reeves has pledged that Labour will oversee a “revolution” in home ownership by opening the door to 25-year fixed-rate mortgages for millions of people.
In an interview with The Times before a trip to the World Economic Forum in Davos, the shadow chancellor said that longer fixed-rate deals would enable people to buy houses with smaller deposits and with lower monthly repayments.
She has asked a Labour review of financial services, which is being run by a group of City grandees, to work with the mortgage industry to find ways to remove regulatory barriers and help trigger a broader cultural shift.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/rachel-reeves-interview-fixed-mortgage-house-uk-zqtvbkgxn
Except that this will mean someone holding a fuckton of 25 year swaps.
If not carefully thought out, that’s your next banking crisis.
The only way this works is a high enough interest rate on the loan to cover that risk with the effect of transferring the risk back from the lender to the borrower. Even for Reeves it is a peculiarly stupid idea.0 -
Projections showing KMT with 52, DPP 51, TPP on 8 and 2 independents.0
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When is the transfer window open?Nigelb said:
Lai is an impressive character.JosiasJessop said:
Of course China's pi**ed. Taiwan's shown China how to do democracy. I wonder why dictator-for-life Xi doesn't like that?Nigelb said:Lai seems to have won in Taiwan.
No majority in the legislature, though, with the newish third party taking votes.
China pissed.
Raised by a single mother after his miner father died from carbon monoxide poisoning; has a masters degree in public health, and is a national expert of spinal injuries; hugely popular two term mayor of Tainan before entering national politics, and nominated ‘best legislator’ four times in a row while sitting in parliament.
Not your average party hack.0 -
To win it often is. At the least being carefully ambiguous is a winning strategy.Andy_JS said:
Being dishonest with the electorate is a good thing in your opinion?ThomasNashe said:
Let's hope so!isam said:Peter Oborne reckons Sir Keir is fibbing about Brexit at the moment, and will slowly take us back into the EU if he becomes PM. Probably right, he u-turns on every other pledge and we know what he really thinks on this one
https://x.com/timesradio/status/1746109837195563119?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q0 -
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.1 -
Sounds like a nightmare. Even if the Horizon evidence is only a small part of the murder conviction it will presumably be unsafe.Richard_Tyndall said:
Reading the article it would seem that the Horizon losses were central to the whole prosecution case. There was no pghysical evidence to link him to the crime and it all depended on him having been stealing the money and killing his wife to cover it up.Nigelb said:From the PO can of worms.
Post office owner says Horizon system was used to frame him for wife’s murder
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/jan/13/post-office-owner-says-horizon-system-was-used-to-frame-him-for-wifes-murder
Chuck in some police incompetence, on top of the unreliable Horizon evidence.
… North Yorkshire police officers lost key evidence, including a clump of hair found on the pillow in the couple’s bedroom. The hair, which was a different colour to both Diana’s and Robin’s, was never taken for forensic analysis and was lost.
..The murder weapon, a metal bar, was only found several days after the murder, on top of a high wall nearby. The jury heard it was contaminated by the police officer who handled it, and may have sneezed on it...
Hard to say without further detail if the conviction is so unsafe it should be quashed, but it’s likely there’ll be more than a handful of these tangential cases.
I have no idea whether it would be enough to exhonerate him but it certainly looks like it should be enough to have the case reopened.1 -
O/T
I love finding webpages that haven't been updated for many years, like this one about Green Park tube station.
https://mindspace.fi/mind/retro/lul/greenpark/greenparkstation.html1 -
DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
That somewhat assumes that relations with the PRC was the main driver of voting intention. It wasn't.DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
And that the KMT and TTP hold similar positions on the subject. They don't.0 -
Well, not necessarily. If, for example, there had been DNA evidence linking him to the murder weapon or CCTV footage showing nobody else was in the shop I'm thinking the fact Horizon was used to suggest he was stealing money might not be an issue.darkage said:
Sounds like a nightmare. Even if the Horizon evidence is only a small part of the murder conviction it will presumably be unsafe.Richard_Tyndall said:
Reading the article it would seem that the Horizon losses were central to the whole prosecution case. There was no pghysical evidence to link him to the crime and it all depended on him having been stealing the money and killing his wife to cover it up.Nigelb said:From the PO can of worms.
Post office owner says Horizon system was used to frame him for wife’s murder
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/jan/13/post-office-owner-says-horizon-system-was-used-to-frame-him-for-wifes-murder
Chuck in some police incompetence, on top of the unreliable Horizon evidence.
… North Yorkshire police officers lost key evidence, including a clump of hair found on the pillow in the couple’s bedroom. The hair, which was a different colour to both Diana’s and Robin’s, was never taken for forensic analysis and was lost.
..The murder weapon, a metal bar, was only found several days after the murder, on top of a high wall nearby. The jury heard it was contaminated by the police officer who handled it, and may have sneezed on it...
Hard to say without further detail if the conviction is so unsafe it should be quashed, but it’s likely there’ll be more than a handful of these tangential cases.
I have no idea whether it would be enough to exhonerate him but it certainly looks like it should be enough to have the case reopened.
But - it doesn't look like that was the case.
There may have been other aspects of motive, reading it, but with all the procedural flaws it does indeed seem like a retrial might be in order.1 -
I am not assuming anything (mainly because I don’t know nearly enough about Taiwanese politics) but I do find it hard to believe that an ever more aggressive and very large neighbour threatening invasion was not a fairly significant factor in the election.dixiedean said:DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
That somewhat assumes that relations with the PRC was the main driver of voting.DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
And that the KMT and TTP hold similar positions on the subject. They don't.0 -
.
That’s essentially the problem the Democrats (and old style Republicans) have with the current Trump party.Stuartinromford said:
Tricky.Andy_JS said:
Being dishonest with the electorate is a good thing in your opinion?ThomasNashe said:
Let's hope so!isam said:Peter Oborne reckons Sir Keir is fibbing about Brexit at the moment, and will slowly take us back into the EU if he becomes PM. Probably right, he u-turns on every other pledge and we know what he really thinks on this one
https://x.com/timesradio/status/1746109837195563119?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
If good people being honest were a winning tactic, the country and world would be in a much better place. But most of the evidence of history is that being dishonest beats being honest in getting to the top. And that includes electoral politics.
Which puts people with a disposition to be honest in a difficult bind. Is it better to lose, knowing in your heart that you did the right thing, or to put your scruples to one side and do the evil necessary to win?
To which the only answer is, as we used to say on High Table, "search me guv, I only work here."
But no one is going to beat him in the lying stakes.2 -
Yeah the reporting says the case against him was all circumstantial so it sounds on the face of it like a retrial.ydoethur said:
Well, not necessarily. If, for example, there had been DNA evidence linking him to the murder weapon or CCTV footage showing nobody else was in the shop I'm thinking the fact Horizon was used to suggest he was stealing money might not be an issue.darkage said:
Sounds like a nightmare. Even if the Horizon evidence is only a small part of the murder conviction it will presumably be unsafe.Richard_Tyndall said:
Reading the article it would seem that the Horizon losses were central to the whole prosecution case. There was no pghysical evidence to link him to the crime and it all depended on him having been stealing the money and killing his wife to cover it up.Nigelb said:From the PO can of worms.
Post office owner says Horizon system was used to frame him for wife’s murder
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/jan/13/post-office-owner-says-horizon-system-was-used-to-frame-him-for-wifes-murder
Chuck in some police incompetence, on top of the unreliable Horizon evidence.
… North Yorkshire police officers lost key evidence, including a clump of hair found on the pillow in the couple’s bedroom. The hair, which was a different colour to both Diana’s and Robin’s, was never taken for forensic analysis and was lost.
..The murder weapon, a metal bar, was only found several days after the murder, on top of a high wall nearby. The jury heard it was contaminated by the police officer who handled it, and may have sneezed on it...
Hard to say without further detail if the conviction is so unsafe it should be quashed, but it’s likely there’ll be more than a handful of these tangential cases.
I have no idea whether it would be enough to exhonerate him but it certainly looks like it should be enough to have the case reopened.
But - it doesn't look like that was the case.
There may have been other aspects of motive, reading it, but with all the procedural flaws it does indeed seem like a retrial might be in order.
Also he has been in prison for 12 years and maintained his innocence which is also a factor. Presumably if you are trying to convince the parole board to let you out after your minimum term it would be in your interest to admit your guilt.0 -
It is.DavidL said:
I am not assuming anything (mainly because I don’t know nearly enough about Taiwanese politics) but I do find it hard to believe that an ever more aggressive and very large neighbour threatening invasion was not a fairly significant factor in the election.dixiedean said:DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
That somewhat assumes that relations with the PRC was the main driver of voting.DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
And that the KMT and TTP hold similar positions on the subject. They don't.
But voting on that basis tends to be identitarian.
As such, the rise of the TTP as a Centrist force (at least on this issue), could be seen as a positive.0 -
I was asking that at the start of the pandemic, too.MarqueeMark said:
When is the transfer window open?Nigelb said:
Lai is an impressive character.JosiasJessop said:
Of course China's pi**ed. Taiwan's shown China how to do democracy. I wonder why dictator-for-life Xi doesn't like that?Nigelb said:Lai seems to have won in Taiwan.
No majority in the legislature, though, with the newish third party taking votes.
China pissed.
Raised by a single mother after his miner father died from carbon monoxide poisoning; has a masters degree in public health, and is a national expert of spinal injuries; hugely popular two term mayor of Tainan before entering national politics, and nominated ‘best legislator’ four times in a row while sitting in parliament.
Not your average party hack.
But I think we’ll need to sort out our own messes.0 -
Boeings going boing.TimS said:
Boeing’s had a poor few years.williamglenn said:A domestic flight of Japan's All Nippon Airways returned to its departure airport after a crack was found on the cockpit window of a Boeing 737-800 aircraft
https://x.com/rtenews/status/17461596530109399250 -
Back from the gin class I just thought I’d check who would try to get me bannedkinabalu said:
Which means he's banned. We have a "no AI pics" rule.boulay said:
That ghost baby is clearly AI, you can tell by the hands.Leon said:This is almost but not quite as spooky as my night at the Destrehan Hotel in Louisiana. Which was unquestionably the closest I have come to a paranormal experience of “haunting”
A photo I took during my night at the Destrehan. Even now - thinking about it - makes me shudder
Et voila
You and @bondegezou and a few others. You are inadequates
0 -
More importantly, did you learn how to drink gin?Leon said:
Back from the gin class I just thought I’d check who would try to get me bannedkinabalu said:
Which means he's banned. We have a "no AI pics" rule.boulay said:
That ghost baby is clearly AI, you can tell by the hands.Leon said:This is almost but not quite as spooky as my night at the Destrehan Hotel in Louisiana. Which was unquestionably the closest I have come to a paranormal experience of “haunting”
A photo I took during my night at the Destrehan. Even now - thinking about it - makes me shudder
Et voila
You and @bondegezou and a few others. You are inadequates0 -
The third party also support genuine independence, unlike the KMT.dixiedean said:
It is.DavidL said:
I am not assuming anything (mainly because I don’t know nearly enough about Taiwanese politics) but I do find it hard to believe that an ever more aggressive and very large neighbour threatening invasion was not a fairly significant factor in the election.dixiedean said:DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
That somewhat assumes that relations with the PRC was the main driver of voting.DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
And that the KMT and TTP hold similar positions on the subject. They don't.
But voting on that basis tends to be identitarian.
As such, the rise of the TTP as a Centrist force (at least on this issue), could be seen as a positive.
And given shifting electoral fortunes over the last few cycles, it’s unclear how much of the electorate is indentitarian.
Domestic stuff like cost and availability of housing seems to be pretty important, too.
Do we have any PB experts ?0 -
I think one of Davey's problems is that he says he was lied to by the PO. But the voters are a cynical bunch. They expect their politicians to lie - and more to the point, to know when they are being lied to.kle4 said:
To win it often is. At the least being carefully ambiguous is a winning strategy.Andy_JS said:
Being dishonest with the electorate is a good thing in your opinion?ThomasNashe said:
Let's hope so!isam said:Peter Oborne reckons Sir Keir is fibbing about Brexit at the moment, and will slowly take us back into the EU if he becomes PM. Probably right, he u-turns on every other pledge and we know what he really thinks on this one
https://x.com/timesradio/status/1746109837195563119?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Davey not knowing he was being lied to marks his card as a politician.0 -
Not exactly. The cocktails were lovely but the mixologist did actually say “wow, you drink fast”Benpointer said:
More importantly, did you learn how to drink gin?Leon said:
Back from the gin class I just thought I’d check who would try to get me bannedkinabalu said:
Which means he's banned. We have a "no AI pics" rule.boulay said:
That ghost baby is clearly AI, you can tell by the hands.Leon said:This is almost but not quite as spooky as my night at the Destrehan Hotel in Louisiana. Which was unquestionably the closest I have come to a paranormal experience of “haunting”
A photo I took during my night at the Destrehan. Even now - thinking about it - makes me shudder
Et voila
You and @bondegezou and a few others. You are inadequates
So maybe I don’t need much education?
Despite all the Khmer Rouge weirdness and spooky sense of doom I can honestly recommend this hotel. It’s properly world class. Soothingly lovely in all respects (ghosts apart)0 -
Or they’re just winding you up.Leon said:
Back from the gin class I just thought I’d check who would try to get me bannedkinabalu said:
Which means he's banned. We have a "no AI pics" rule.boulay said:
That ghost baby is clearly AI, you can tell by the hands.Leon said:This is almost but not quite as spooky as my night at the Destrehan Hotel in Louisiana. Which was unquestionably the closest I have come to a paranormal experience of “haunting”
A photo I took during my night at the Destrehan. Even now - thinking about it - makes me shudder
Et voila
You and @bondegezou and a few others. You are inadequates
With some success.
How much were you able to teach the class ?1 -
The fact a clear pro Taiwanese independence candidate has won the Taiwanese presidency will be noted by Beijing. He will have to tread carefully to avoid antagonising themdixiedean said:
Doesn't seem to.Nigelb said:Lai seems to have won in Taiwan.
No majority in the legislature, though, with the newish third party taking votes.
China pissed.
Election conceded hours ago.
The Legislature, in the sense of largest Party, is still all to play for.0 -
She would certainly be Davey's main challenger in his constituency as a strong, local Independent with a popular campaign issue, rather than the ToriesStuartinromford said:
Worth noting that she's already a Kingston councillor. Whether that helps or hinders her, I'm not sure.TimS said:
I wouldn’t be too sure. Particularly if she’s the only such candidate in the country. She’ll become a lightning rod for protest votes. Davey lost the seat in 2015 remember.Foxy said:
Nah, Davey will win.TimS said:
Tory win in K&S incoming.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought0 -
There's a nuanced distinction between "We're Taiwanese and think we would benefit from a better relationship with China" and "We're Taiwanese, have no interest in China, but don't want to do anything stupid".DavidL said:
According to Bloomberg 60% have voted for candidates who wanted closer relationships with China and 40% for the candidate who did not, making him the winner.Andy_JS said:
Damn, I missed this election count. Well I can always watch it non-live.DoubleCarpet said:Taiwan
Polls close 8am GMT
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-taiwan-election/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ypa-4xxd0Iw
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Taiwanese_presidential_election
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_p8gVlJLmnw
https://udn.com/vote2024/open
Note that system is FPTP (as per presidencies of Mexico, Philippines, South Korea) - will this be Taiwan's last ever free and fair election for president?
Will post more links if I find any good ones.
Many thanks,
DC
Doesn’t strike me as the most stable of situations.
The Chinese government doesn't do nuance however.
Should add that the opposition parties seem to loathe each other. The DPP are just the government.0 -
...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought0 -
They might end up with this Trump guy in charge.Luckyguy1983 said:
Boeings going boing.TimS said:
Boeing’s had a poor few years.williamglenn said:A domestic flight of Japan's All Nippon Airways returned to its departure airport after a crack was found on the cockpit window of a Boeing 737-800 aircraft
https://x.com/rtenews/status/1746159653010939925
Trump’s ‘Mr. Fix-It’ lands in a Boeing storm
Patrick Shanahan, once Trump’s acting Pentagon chief, is CEO of Spirit AeroSystems, the company at the center of Boeing’s latest air safety debacle.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/13/trump-pentagon-boeing-spirit-shanahan-00135415
Who, tbf, seems competent.
0 -
O/T, the Labour lead didn't drop below 10% in any poll throughout 2023, yet 36 out of 81 entries to the PB prediction competition suggested a lead below 10% would occur in Q1 2024.
Strange that.0 -
Really? Link?Mexicanpete said:...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought0 -
Ah, but nm and kn are just metric, only different. Based on subdividing the circumference of the earth, or a notional value thereof. Notdhing to do with Anglo-Norman kings' dangly or other bits.Casino_Royale said:
What's the assumption we will ever rush in?kle4 said:
Sometimes we do. We don't want to rush in too quickly.Casino_Royale said:
The UK doesn't have the metric system.TheScreamingEagles said:Heh
Both shipping and aviation use forms of imperial measures as the baseline - knots, feet and nautical miles - and that's absolutely established.0 -
https://x.com/ToryVote_/status/1745890663453852111?s=20Benpointer said:
Really? Link?Mexicanpete said:...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought0 -
How can that be "fibbing about Brexit"? If you need to use a political acronym it would be fibbing about Brejoin.isam said:Peter Oborne reckons Sir Keir is fibbing about Brexit at the moment, and will slowly take us back into the EU if he becomes PM. Probably right, he u-turns on every other pledge and we know what he really thinks on this one
https://x.com/timesradio/status/1746109837195563119?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q0 -
There's also a deeply cultural strand as well as cross-strait relations and the economy.
The DPP are progressive and quasi-libertarian. Some might say "woke". Harking back to the Polynesian communitarianism and loose, fluid family structures of the native population, Chan (or Zen Buddhist) ultrarelativism, the island's long tradition of piracy, and a lax view of legal niceties. There's a hearty disrespect for authority. Hence it's the only country in Asia with legalised same sex marriage. They had a trans health Minister during the pandemic. Laws tend to be considered advisory.
The KMT are rooted in Confucian values of order, family and respect for tradition.
Economically they are both pretty right wing.
Interestingly, the TTP have attacked, and garnered votes from the left. They are talking about wealth re-distribution.2 -
I think everyone expects some swingback, but actually there has been further swing to Lab.Benpointer said:O/T, the Labour lead didn't drop below 10% in any poll throughout 2023, yet 36 out of 81 entries to the PB prediction competition suggested a lead below 10% would occur in Q1 2024.
Strange that.0 -
The way Oborne kept talking about the single currency made him sound very confused. It's as if he thinks we're still in 1997 and the question is whether or not Blair will go for the Euro.eristdoof said:
How can that be "fibbing about Brexit"? If you need to use a political acronym it would be fibbing about Brejoin.isam said:Peter Oborne reckons Sir Keir is fibbing about Brexit at the moment, and will slowly take us back into the EU if he becomes PM. Probably right, he u-turns on every other pledge and we know what he really thinks on this one
https://x.com/timesradio/status/1746109837195563119?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q0 -
You can make the same argument about the mile, yard and pound.Carnyx said:
Ah, but nm and kn are just metric, only different. Based on subdividing the circumference of the earth, or a notional value thereof. Notdhing to do with Anglo-Norman kings' dangly or other bits.Casino_Royale said:
What's the assumption we will ever rush in?kle4 said:
Sometimes we do. We don't want to rush in too quickly.Casino_Royale said:
The UK doesn't have the metric system.TheScreamingEagles said:Heh
Both shipping and aviation use forms of imperial measures as the baseline - knots, feet and nautical miles - and that's absolutely established.
They've all been standardised by reference to their metric equivalents.0 -
I would be content to see post masters/ mistresses to stand in every conservative seat and indeed if Alan Bates stood it would be in a present conservative seatMexicanpete said:...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought
Whatever the official conservative x page does is nothing to do with me as I am no longer a member and do not support any party0 -
Three-word campaign slogan: "Send A Message"Mexicanpete said:...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought1 -
But the mile, yard and pound were always English (in their modern form). The nm was in contrast always international ab initio, and the knot therefore. In its modern form (60 nm to 1 degree lat) it's from Continental sources - versions of Ptolemy's Geography. Claiming it as imperial is about as logical as claiming that curry was invented by the British (chicken tikka masala etc aside).Casino_Royale said:
You can make the same argument about the mile, yard and pound.Carnyx said:
Ah, but nm and kn are just metric, only different. Based on subdividing the circumference of the earth, or a notional value thereof. Notdhing to do with Anglo-Norman kings' dangly or other bits.Casino_Royale said:
What's the assumption we will ever rush in?kle4 said:
Sometimes we do. We don't want to rush in too quickly.Casino_Royale said:
The UK doesn't have the metric system.TheScreamingEagles said:Heh
Both shipping and aviation use forms of imperial measures as the baseline - knots, feet and nautical miles - and that's absolutely established.
They've all been standardised by reference to their metric equivalents.0 -
A truly huge fire in St. Petersburg at a distribution centre. The night-time shots of something cooking off suggests there may have been ammo stored there.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H9Ny-EQeGLM&ab_channel=Kanal130 -
How about a four word slogan. "Davey, stamp him out".williamglenn said:
Three-word campaign slogan: "Send A Message"Mexicanpete said:...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought0 -
How wrong can a person be. I was trying to head off you being banned. That was the whole point of my intervention. And it looks like I succeeded because here you are, still posting, still contributing. Praise be.Leon said:
Back from the gin class I just thought I’d check who would try to get me bannedkinabalu said:
Which means he's banned. We have a "no AI pics" rule.boulay said:
That ghost baby is clearly AI, you can tell by the hands.Leon said:This is almost but not quite as spooky as my night at the Destrehan Hotel in Louisiana. Which was unquestionably the closest I have come to a paranormal experience of “haunting”
A photo I took during my night at the Destrehan. Even now - thinking about it - makes me shudder
Et voila
You and @bondegezou and a few others. You are inadequates
You can thank me by PM if you don't want to say it in front of people.0 -
Yes that's one I'd probably change if it were allowed. I'd go for 12% not 8%.Benpointer said:O/T, the Labour lead didn't drop below 10% in any poll throughout 2023, yet 36 out of 81 entries to the PB prediction competition suggested a lead below 10% would occur in Q1 2024.
Strange that.0 -
Watching the snooker. Rob Walker is such an annoying t**t.0
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Rob Walker is a trot?Mexicanpete said:Watching the snooker. Rob Walker is such an annoying t**t.
0 -
"Return to sender"Mexicanpete said:
How about a four word slogan. "Davey, stamp him out".williamglenn said:
Three-word campaign slogan: "Send A Message"Mexicanpete said:...
Perhaps Tory donors could bankroll the Justice for Postmasters Party and stand candidates in every current Labour and LD seat giving Rishi the win. I noticed that the official Conservative X page hasn't given up on demanding Starmer's resignation for being DPP.Big_G_NorthWales said:Postmistress confirms she is to stand against Davey at the GE
https://twitter.com/YvonneNewMalden/status/1745975752531534126?t=Zu_eZZPNQwI4ac_U7dEybg&s=19
I would be delighted if Alan Bates stood in our constituency as with boundary changes he now does and I would vote for him without a second thought1 -
This thread has lost the PB caucus0
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Some of the pictures on this joker's list date from 2008 (or even 2007 in a few cases!), but I hear he's updated most of the more interesting rebuilding of (eg.) station buildings:Andy_JS said:O/T
I love finding webpages that haven't been updated for many years, like this one about Green Park tube station.
https://mindspace.fi/mind/retro/lul/greenpark/greenparkstation.html
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/User:Sunil060902
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