politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the Betfair exchange is anything to go by it will be a g

Options
124»

Comments

  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    Iowa exit poll - Ernst 51%
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    CO called for GOP
  • Indigo
    Indigo Posts: 9,966
    edited November 2014
    RobD said:

    Why are there two GOPs on the ballot?

    Maness is a Tea Party type candidate backed by Sarah Palin, who feels that Cassidy "represents all that is wrong with mainstream Republicans."
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Looks like Warner will survive in Virginia.
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    Nobody thought VA would even be close
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    WI called for GOP
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    Georgia - Republicans both governor and senator get over 50% so no runoff. Phew
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited November 2014
    Ernst wins in Iowa - Republicans now control the Senate. There are still 4 more states, all of which are Democratic. LA will probably go Republican next month.

    This is much more an anti-Obama vote than a pro-Republican vote.

    Now can the Republicans govern and will Obama finally agree to compromise if the Republicans will do so too.

    The hog castrator won.

    North Carolina goes Republican too! This is huge
  • edmundintokyo
    edmundintokyo Posts: 17,735
    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    It'll be interesting to see which party wins the HoR popular vote, notwithstanding uncontested seats.

    Can't believe there are uncontested seats. Isn't one of the senate fights uncontested too? utterly barmy!!
    There are stackloads of uncontested seats for the House.
    Which is totally insane!! It's like having an uncontested constituency here at home.
    Leaving seats uncontested would actually be a good strategy for British parties. Unlike the American system, which sensibly assigns seats based on population, the British go by voter registration. Boycott elections in your opponents' heartlands, crash voter registration rates (why register if there's no opposition candidate?) and the Boundary Commission will eliminate your opponents' seats for you in the next boundary review.
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    That North Carolina win is huge and unexpected for the GOP.
  • Sean_F
    Sean_F Posts: 39,132
    Almost a clean sweep for the Republicans in the South.

    And, it looks as if they'll make a net gain of Governors.
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    I'm not sure what constitutes a wave election, but this has to be close.
  • MTimT
    MTimT Posts: 7,034
    TimB Not quite a wave - if it were, NH and VA would have fallen too. But it is good, especially on the Governors side. Maryland!!!!
    And why were the polls so wrong in KY, GA and KS?
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    MTimT said:

    TimB Not quite a wave - if it were, NH and VA would have fallen too. But it is good, especially on the Governors side. Maryland!!!!
    And why were the polls so wrong in KY, GA and KS?

    I didn't see a single Michelle Nunn sign driving around. Maybe there's a silent GOP segment - who knows?
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    MTimT said:

    TimB Not quite a wave - if it were, NH and VA would have fallen too. But it is good, especially on the Governors side. Maryland!!!!
    And why were the polls so wrong in KY, GA and KS?

    My wife got her US citizenship 6 weeks ago so I attribute this to her. it's much easier that way :-)
  • MTimT
    MTimT Posts: 7,034
    MA, IL and MD all falling to the GOP governors, and Mark Warner nearly losing is huge. Congratulate your wife on her influence! Looks like the GOP is having a good night in the House too. Most seats since 1920s?
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    MTimT said:

    MA, IL and MD all falling to the GOP governors, and Mark Warner nearly losing is huge. Congratulate your wife on her influence! Looks like the GOP is having a good night in the House too. Most seats since 1920s?

    Yup yup - how are the animals?
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    Ted Cruz looks sensitive and spraying empathy. Who knew?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    edmundintokyo said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    It'll be interesting to see which party wins the HoR popular vote, notwithstanding uncontested seats.

    Can't believe there are uncontested seats. Isn't one of the senate fights uncontested too? utterly barmy!!
    There are stackloads of uncontested seats for the House.
    Which is totally insane!! It's like having an uncontested constituency here at home.
    Leaving seats uncontested would actually be a good strategy for British parties. Unlike the American system, which sensibly assigns seats based on population, the British go by voter registration. Boycott elections in your opponents' heartlands, crash voter registration rates (why register if there's no opposition candidate?) and the Boundary Commission will eliminate your opponents' seats for you in the next boundary review.
    You evil bastard ;)
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Sean_F said:

    Almost a clean sweep for the Republicans in the South.

    And, it looks as if they'll make a net gain of Governors.

    I thought the governors were going to be the Dems consolation prize!
  • MTimT
    MTimT Posts: 7,034
    All still here, alas (save the doggies, who are welcome to live very long lives!). Warner would have lost if the Libertarian votes went to Gillespie.
    Possible we may move to Ocala, FL... Visiting this weekend to look at a place. Won't miss the winters. In TN next week to do Ebola training for the Dept of Health. Working with the guys from Emory.
  • MTimT
    MTimT Posts: 7,034
    TimB - How about you? How's Heidi?
  • Pong
    Pong Posts: 4,693
    RobD said:

    edmundintokyo said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    It'll be interesting to see which party wins the HoR popular vote, notwithstanding uncontested seats.

    Can't believe there are uncontested seats. Isn't one of the senate fights uncontested too? utterly barmy!!
    There are stackloads of uncontested seats for the House.
    Which is totally insane!! It's like having an uncontested constituency here at home.
    Leaving seats uncontested would actually be a good strategy for British parties. Unlike the American system, which sensibly assigns seats based on population, the British go by voter registration. Boycott elections in your opponents' heartlands, crash voter registration rates (why register if there's no opposition candidate?) and the Boundary Commission will eliminate your opponents' seats for you in the next boundary review.
    You evil bastard ;)
    Cunning.
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    MTimT said:

    TimB - How about you? How's Heidi?

    I'm fine. She is lying on my bed as we type. Make sure to take advice from Ms. Hickox on how to prevent the spread of ebola :-)
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    Pong said:

    RobD said:

    edmundintokyo said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    RobD said:

    AndyJS said:

    It'll be interesting to see which party wins the HoR popular vote, notwithstanding uncontested seats.

    Can't believe there are uncontested seats. Isn't one of the senate fights uncontested too? utterly barmy!!
    There are stackloads of uncontested seats for the House.
    Which is totally insane!! It's like having an uncontested constituency here at home.
    Leaving seats uncontested would actually be a good strategy for British parties. Unlike the American system, which sensibly assigns seats based on population, the British go by voter registration. Boycott elections in your opponents' heartlands, crash voter registration rates (why register if there's no opposition candidate?) and the Boundary Commission will eliminate your opponents' seats for you in the next boundary review.
    You evil bastard ;)
    Cunning.
    As in a cunning stunt?
  • Tim_B
    Tim_B Posts: 7,669
    I'm off to bed.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Tim_B said:

    I'm off to bed.

    Thanks for the updates, was a nice summary when I got off the plane (deplaned as the people here put it!)
  • Charles
    Charles Posts: 35,758
    Can I just do a quick shout out from my friend Seth Moulton?

    Just elected to Congress for the MA 6th - bit of a squeeker - but hope you all got on him at the tasty odds available when I tipped him 18m ago (he was trying to unseat a 7 term. Incumbent from his own party in a primary at that point)
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    RobD said:

    Sean_F said:

    Almost a clean sweep for the Republicans in the South.

    And, it looks as if they'll make a net gain of Governors.

    I thought the governors were going to be the Dems consolation prize!
    They were... but it's been a bad, bad night for the Dems, and a very good one for the Republicans.

This discussion has been closed.

Categories