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Why I’m not convinced by LAB’S double digit poll leads – politicalbetting.com

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826
    Nigelb said:

    Wow.
    Fact Sheet On German Military Aid To #Ukraine 🇩🇪🇺🇦

    Newly PLEDGED equipment:

    - 4 IRIS-T SLM SAM Systems
    - 12 IRIS-T SLS SAM Launchers
    - 30 Leopard 1A5 MBTs
    - 20 Marder IFVs
    - 100 ''Armoured Fighting Vehicles''
    - 200 Reconnaissance UAVs

    https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1657328911653515264

    They're getting serious.

    For all the apparent dragging their feet early on, Germany appears to have performed a very significant shift from its pre-22 invasion position and are not messing about with the support they are providing. Well done them.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 54,668
    Carnyx said:

    Leon said:

    Talking of travels. Just had my fourth free mojito in Hurghada



    What's the food with whitish cuboids on the table?
    Some weird Caesar salad bollocks

    I’m reviewing a fairly generic 5 star on the Red Sea Coast. It’s all extremely forgettable, including the food

    However I’m with a hilarious bunch of British journalists. All at least 20 years younger than me and maybe slightly naive in these matters. So I’m having fun teaching them “Yes you really can drink as much as you like and it’s all free”

    Like a tribal elder handing down the old ways

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,706
    kle4 said:

    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    DavidL said:

    Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.

    Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.

    Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
    English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.

    Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
    Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?

    The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.

    Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.
    It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.
    I post this from time to time - but watch this and tell me whether what he have today or what we had then is better.
    https://youtu.be/WCm3bS6wXvk
    It looks like football but not in HD. The game is remarkably unchanged.
    One of the more obvious changes is that no one on that video is rolling around in agony because someone brushed past them.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,360
    '
    Cookie said:

    DavidL said:

    Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.

    Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.

    Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
    English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.

    Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
    Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?

    The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.

    Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.
    It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.
    My feelings are much the same about the 1970s - following Arsenal, then my local team. But when I pause and think about the casual and not so casual racism of crowds in the 1970s and 1980s it is shameful.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,706
    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    Carnyx said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.
    He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...
    Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.
    I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.

    Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
    Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.
    Britain needs to grow.

    This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
    Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.
    It really isn’t.
    It is so.
    Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.

    Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
    Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?
    Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.
    Weirdly obsessed by the environment, that sort of thing.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 49,586
    viewcode said:

    Sandpit said:

    viewcode said:

    Sandpit said:

    viewcode said:

    Sandpit said:

    Dialup said:

    https://twitter.com/globalaffairs/status/1657219168863756288

    In response to legal process and to ensure Twitter remains available to the people of Turkey, we have taken action to restrict access to some content in Turkey today.

    Elon Musk, defender of free speech. Not.

    Given the choice of either respecting Turkish law, or being banned in Turkey, what’s he supposed to do?
    Beam Twitter in directly via his Starlink satellites and tell the Turkish government to foxtrot alpha.
    Starlink has the same problem, in that it needs to downlink to local internet providers, who have their own government censorship issues.
    IIRC, weren't there small aerials you could buy to pick up satellite internet links directly without an intermediary?

    He should really go proper Bond villain (if he hasn't already). If he gave out such aerials free to the consumer then he would have the stranglehold on all tweets, and eventually all phone-based communication. Didn't satellite telly do something like that in the 90's with dishes/set-top boxes?
    The problem is that Starlink isn’t his main business, and he doesn’t want countries to ban imports of Tesla cars off the back of problems with Twitter.
    He has $450 billion and owns Twitter. If Turkey banned Tesla, how long do you think it would take before he could engineer a coup?

    D'y'know, the more I think of it, the more I think that...y'know, he really could do it... :(
    Making Starlink active in a country without getting that countries permission is a violation of ITU rules and could result in penalties. Which is why Starlink is only available in countries that have given explicit legal permission to operate. Except one country.

    Activating it in Iran, for use by protestors, only went ahead after some complex legal work by the US government.

    This isn’t necessarily to do with needing downlinks. Though a number of countries are mandating that Starlink for their territory downlinks within their borders and connects to the local internet. So the country in question can have control of the content.

    Starlink is increasingly using laser links on the satellite to bounce the signals round the world. Which means in theory they won’t need a local downlink, soon.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,360
    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 54,668
    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    Who in gods land of holy fuck would pay £1000 a year for the telegraph
  • LeonLeon Posts: 54,668
    Or indeed any paper
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,360
    edited May 2023
    .
    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    Who in gods land of holy fuck would pay £1000 a year for the telegraph
    That is the next question. As Matt is available free on Twitter I wouldn't pay £1 a year to use it as cat litter.

    But in 1966 you could read Peter Simple - beyond price - four times a week for a few pennies.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,353

    Tres said:

    Tres said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.

    She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.

    There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
    an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.
    “an argument refuted by real world events”

    You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.

    fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.

    The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.

    £65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.

    the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.

    UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.

    Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?

    Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.

    And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.
    8 paragraphs to defend the indefensible. Why do you bother? Sterling was plunging within minutes of the mini budget being announced.
    The budget was so dumb we saw through it immediately on PB. It was a WTF moment.
    Politically it jarred. But maybe that change is needed for our country at some point. But I just took apart your ignorance about the economic attack on it.
    I’d rather go back to where you are now, actually believing it did create mayhem and Truss crashed the economy. But that is not true, it’s ignorance to continue to believe it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826

    Tres said:

    Tres said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.

    She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.

    There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
    an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.
    “an argument refuted by real world events”

    You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.

    fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.

    The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.

    £65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.

    the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.

    UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.

    Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?

    Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.

    And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.
    8 paragraphs to defend the indefensible. Why do you bother? Sterling was plunging within minutes of the mini budget being announced.
    The budget was so dumb we saw through it immediately on PB. It was a WTF moment.
    Politically it jarred. But maybe that change is needed for our country at some point. But I just took apart your ignorance about the economic attack on it.
    I’d rather go back to where you are now, actually believing it did create mayhem and Truss crashed the economy. But that is not true, it’s ignorance to continue to believe it.
    If we need change it's the job of politicians to make us realise that and support it. Not put out a half baked idea then whinge when people raised questions about it, and being entirely unprepared to answer them.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,314
    algarkirk said:

    .

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    Who in gods land of holy fuck would pay £1000 a year for the telegraph
    That is the next question. As Matt is available free on Twitter I wouldn't pay £1 a year to use it as cat litter.

    But in 1966 you could read Peter Simple - beyond price - four times a week for a few pennies.
    I still laugh that Matt Pritchett gets paid more than the editor, and the publisher has made it clear to the editor that losing Matt would be a resigning issue. Oh, and he has standing offers from the Mail and the Sun.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826
    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    Carnyx said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.
    He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...
    Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.
    I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.

    Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
    Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.
    Britain needs to grow.

    This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
    Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.
    It really isn’t.
    It is so.
    Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.

    Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
    Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?
    Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.
    Weirdly obsessed by the environment, that sort of thing.
    They've hit on a winning formula - tie it to NIMYism - they could sweep a lot more councils



  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,314
    Nigelb said:

    Wow.
    Fact Sheet On German Military Aid To #Ukraine 🇩🇪🇺🇦

    Newly PLEDGED equipment:

    - 4 IRIS-T SLM SAM Systems
    - 12 IRIS-T SLS SAM Launchers
    - 30 Leopard 1A5 MBTs
    - 20 Marder IFVs
    - 100 ''Armoured Fighting Vehicles''
    - 200 Reconnaissance UAVs

    https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1657328911653515264

    They're getting serious.

    Fair play to Germany. It took them a while to be convinced, but now they’re four square behind Ukraine.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,344
    algarkirk said:

    .

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    Who in gods land of holy fuck would pay £1000 a year for the telegraph
    That is the next question. As Matt is available free on Twitter I wouldn't pay £1 a year to use it as cat litter.

    But in 1966 you could read Peter Simple - beyond price - four times a week for a few pennies.
    Just occasionally my wife and I have to buy postage stamps. A first class one is around £1. When we used to exchange messages of undying devotion in our early 20’s they were about 4 old pence!
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,706
    carnforth said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    A propos of nothing I’m on a little car trip from my French house and ticking off the villages. Just bought a few bottles from the eccentric Chateau in Savigny-Les-Beaune where there’s a huge outdoor collection of warplanes covering several hectares.

    In the course of about 45 mins I’ll be passing Aloxe Corton, Monthelie, Pommard, Volnay, Meursault and Puligny Montrachet. Before carrying on down via Rully, Mercurey, Givry and Montagny. It’s like a viticultural Hollywood walk of fame.

    Very envious.
    Most famous agricultural field in the world:


    DRC? A mere £9000 a bottle:

    https://www.bbr.com/products-20078119562-2007-montrachet-grand-cru-domaine-de-la-romanee-conti-burgundy
    My wife says Naked Wines is good enough for me.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,685

    Tres said:

    Tres said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.

    She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.

    There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
    an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.
    “an argument refuted by real world events”

    You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.

    fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.

    The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.

    £65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.

    the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.

    UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.

    Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?

    Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.

    And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.
    8 paragraphs to defend the indefensible. Why do you bother? Sterling was plunging within minutes of the mini budget being announced.
    The budget was so dumb we saw through it immediately on PB. It was a WTF moment.
    Politically it jarred. But maybe that change is needed for our country at some point. But I just took apart your ignorance about the economic attack on it.
    I’d rather go back to where you are now, actually believing it did create mayhem and Truss crashed the economy. But that is not true, it’s ignorance to continue to believe it.
    you are a big big fan of rivers in egypt i see
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,706
    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    Carnyx said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.
    He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...
    Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.
    I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.

    Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
    Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.
    Britain needs to grow.

    This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
    Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.
    It really isn’t.
    It is so.
    Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.

    Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
    Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?
    Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.
    Weirdly obsessed by the environment, that sort of thing.
    They've hit on a winning formula - tie it to NIMYism - they could sweep a lot more councils



    Not seen the banana one before.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,353
    edited May 2023
    kle4 said:

    Tres said:

    Tres said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    There’s an argument you can’t really assess her after only a few weeks, and she wasn’t given a chance.

    She would have enthused the Tory base and voters with her proper Toryism. She stood up to leaky Sue and sacked her.

    There’s an argument Truss wasn’t doing any harm.
    an argument refuted by real world events. Remember she was wandering around doped-up on gods know what for the last few weeks of her time in charge.
    “an argument refuted by real world events”

    You have a bent and ignorant view of what actually happened. On PB we like to stick to true history of politics and economics, which is why it’s a blessing I post here. The mini budget did not create a problem needing an intervention in the market. The intervention didn’t cost anything anyway, but that’s not the point - the mini budget didn’t cause a problem.

    fact it was not not only Tory haters who wanted to present Truss as bungling, many Tory MPs who preferred Sunak were happy to join in with the enemy! the economic arguments Labour and Tory used to attack Truss mini budget was bullshit. And blue on blue with these LIES left the Tory polling where it is today, it was Sunak and supporters who created the poll drop trashing the Tory brand.

    The mini budget was politically unpopular, but was replaced by Sunak doing nothing to create growth. Just finger hope for the best growth in years up to the General Election, and that could really be letting the Tory Party down in coming election.

    £65 billion is notional amount Bank of England willing to commit to buy UK government bonds (gilts) to stabilise market in the wake of mini-Budget. what actually happened, rise in gilt yields was exacerbated by the increased use of liability-driven investment (LDI) strategies by some pension funds, triggered spiral of margin calls and forced gilt sales driving up yields further.

    the mini-Budget CANNOT be blamed for the sustained increase in mortgage interest rates when mortgage rates (and mortgage spreads) also surged in many other countries including US. It all started when Sunak was chancellor.

    UK regulators should have been on top of pension issue, this weakness already in the market, The mini budget did not create the problem, it flushed out a problem already there. That’s why Labour and Sunak’s attack was actually lies and bulls hit, This problem NOT CREATED by the mini budget, was older, the interplay of leverage, liquidity risk and interconnectedness under weak regulatory regimes is more Sunak’s fault considering his longer time as chancellor of our country than Kwarteng or Truss, who merely flushed out Sunak’s crap supervision of the economy.

    Those of us on PB who are not here to spin, but maintain true history, don’t have to repeat lies and tropes do we?

    Why is this important to political betting? Because lying about what happened, what problem actually was, how created (where was risk management, where was supervision under Sunak and BOE) does not learn lessons. So let’s see what increase in interest rates may have on some other pockets of vulnerabilities in the UK financial sector - because ironically for Sunak, any second now other problems in the NBFI sector, affecting financial stability and the fight against inflation, can rip up his and his governments credibility.

    And that truly would be hoisted on own petard.
    8 paragraphs to defend the indefensible. Why do you bother? Sterling was plunging within minutes of the mini budget being announced.
    The budget was so dumb we saw through it immediately on PB. It was a WTF moment.
    Politically it jarred. But maybe that change is needed for our country at some point. But I just took apart your ignorance about the economic attack on it.
    I’d rather go back to where you are now, actually believing it did create mayhem and Truss crashed the economy. But that is not true, it’s ignorance to continue to believe it.
    If we need change it's the job of politicians to make us realise that and support it. Not put out a half baked idea then whinge when people raised questions about it, and being entirely unprepared to answer them.
    There’s nothing in your 2 sentences I can disagree with, Kwarteng and Truss prepared no ground work, the budget measures came as some surprise, and both were abysmal communicators.

    But it’s true there is nothing, zero, zilch in your 2 sentences to challenge the three economic fundamentals I laid out people lazily and ignorantly and politically blame Truss for

    1) issue with currency pressure was global, not wholly the mini budget
    2) issue with rates was global and predated Truss premiership
    3) issue with pensions was not crated by mini budget, it predated mini budget, mini budget provoked the revelation of it - but if Sunak had won instead, the same problem was lurking there for him. Fact.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,599
    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    Wow.
    Fact Sheet On German Military Aid To #Ukraine 🇩🇪🇺🇦

    Newly PLEDGED equipment:

    - 4 IRIS-T SLM SAM Systems
    - 12 IRIS-T SLS SAM Launchers
    - 30 Leopard 1A5 MBTs
    - 20 Marder IFVs
    - 100 ''Armoured Fighting Vehicles''
    - 200 Reconnaissance UAVs

    https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1657328911653515264

    They're getting serious.

    Fair play to Germany. It took them a while to be convinced, but now they’re four square behind Ukraine.
    Never write off the Germans.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,488
    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    Sadly The Times have finally noticed, after about five years, that the £5/month "international subscription" I took out whilst on holiday in the USA is being abused. They have raised it to £15, which is still better than the £26 ordinary price. I threatened to cancel and got £7.50 for three months, but alas that trick doesn't work twice.

    On a similar note, standard definition Netflix (£6.99) is now at a reasonable resolution for laptop / tablet viewing. If you don't use Netflix on a large screen, you can save £4 a month by downgrading.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    DavidL said:

    Sammy Allardiche once again weaves his magic at Leeds. His teams are hard to beat.

    Isn't this the problem with English football? The most successful coaches are bereft of imagination, style and flair.

    Why might this be? My own personal view is something deeper rooted in English culture. People with such qualities wouldn't dream of managing others but insist on treading their own path.
    English football has the best league in the world and one of the top 4 international teams in the world. Sure it has problems but plenty of very good coaches now at all levels, in a way that there was not twenty years ago.

    Why? We embraced immigration of people and new ideas, after decades of battling it and restricting the number of foreigners.
    Doesn't this just sum up what is wrong?

    The answer to everything is getting foreigners to do it. As for top 4 international side - they haven't won anything for 60 years. No English manager has won the League in 30 years and precious few have had success abroad. However none of this matters as there'll always be foreigners to do things for us.

    Maybe there are now actually good quality English coaches. We'll see, not many have made it to the top yet. The Premier League being the best in the world is due to money. Probably the global interest resulting from language and legacy of empire.
    It's hard to see in what respect Englosh football is 'better' than it was in, say, the late 80s/early 90s. I'd swap the overpriced, sugar-coated confection we have now for the affordable authenticity of those days in a heartbeat. I suspect most would do the same.
    I post this from time to time - but watch this and tell me whether what he have today or what we had then is better.
    https://youtu.be/WCm3bS6wXvk
    Goalkeeping has definitely improved.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826
    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    Carnyx said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.
    He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...
    Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.
    I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.

    Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
    Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.
    Britain needs to grow.

    This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
    Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.
    It really isn’t.
    It is so.
    Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.

    Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
    Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?
    Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.
    Weirdly obsessed by the environment, that sort of thing.
    They've hit on a winning formula - tie it to NIMYism - they could sweep a lot more councils



    Not seen the banana one before.
    They are the true evil. There are legitimte concerns to plenty of developments, especially when much of it is shoddily done and councils cannot afford to do any real enforcement action. Even stuff that really should get built can benefit from some raising of concerns to ensure genuine issues like flooding get addressed (though your average complainer will not understand the technicalities of how it is possible to address it).

    But the BANANAs just use the same language as an excuse. They become easy to spot as for all their protestation of not being against building in the right place or right way, their passionate rejection never wavers no matter how much is done, and they fall back more and more on, essentially, that they just don't like it. It is most obvious with really big, strategic projects where the motivation is easier to spot, but it gets revealed often enough elsewhere.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,599
    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    For the web edition I paid £49 for a year and got £20 cashback. Check what deals are out there!
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,360

    algarkirk said:

    .

    Leon said:

    algarkirk said:

    Inflation watch. Is this a record?

    In 1966 the Daily Telegraph cost 4d (old money). To buy it for a year cost around £6.

    A one year sub to the print edition (daily and Sunday) now costs around £1000 (£19 per week). More if you buy it the old fashioned way.

    Beat that.

    Who in gods land of holy fuck would pay £1000 a year for the telegraph
    That is the next question. As Matt is available free on Twitter I wouldn't pay £1 a year to use it as cat litter.

    But in 1966 you could read Peter Simple - beyond price - four times a week for a few pennies.
    Just occasionally my wife and I have to buy postage stamps. A first class one is around £1. When we used to exchange messages of undying devotion in our early 20’s they were about 4 old pence!
    Yes, I remember stamps, now £1, going up from 3d to 4d. But the 4d Daily Telegraph (1966) is now £3.

  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    DavidL said:

    carnforth said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    A propos of nothing I’m on a little car trip from my French house and ticking off the villages. Just bought a few bottles from the eccentric Chateau in Savigny-Les-Beaune where there’s a huge outdoor collection of warplanes covering several hectares.

    In the course of about 45 mins I’ll be passing Aloxe Corton, Monthelie, Pommard, Volnay, Meursault and Puligny Montrachet. Before carrying on down via Rully, Mercurey, Givry and Montagny. It’s like a viticultural Hollywood walk of fame.

    Very envious.
    Most famous agricultural field in the world:


    DRC? A mere £9000 a bottle:

    https://www.bbr.com/products-20078119562-2007-montrachet-grand-cru-domaine-de-la-romanee-conti-burgundy
    My wife says Naked Wines is good enough for me.
    The photo was I think domaine leflaive, whose Montrachet grand cru 2017 retails at an affordable £27,000 per bottle.

    But they all share the same 8 hectare field. The other side of the road is the downright cheap Batard Montrachet vineyard (Leflaive prices c.1.5-3k per bottle) and above is Chevalier Montrachet (similar prices).

    The whole thing is an expression of the madness of the edge cases of globalisation. It’s the 0.0001% mirror of the child sleeping in a box under a railway embankment in Dhaka.

    Yet it’s all bizarrely understated and modest looking. No fences, no security lights, no bling. Nothing even like the Bordeaux chateaux. And a few miles South in the Châlonnaise where I stopped off at the Cave Coop of Bissey you can buy decent Bourgogne rouge and blanc for €7 a bottle.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,980

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.
    Yes, it's terribly evil when Mrs. Biggins hoists one in her garden.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    Carnyx said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.
    He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...
    Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.
    I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.

    Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
    Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.
    Britain needs to grow.

    This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
    Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.
    It really isn’t.
    It is so.
    Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.

    Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
    Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?
    Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.
    Weirdly obsessed by the environment, that sort of thing.
    They've hit on a winning formula - tie it to NIMYism - they could sweep a lot more councils



    Not seen the banana one before.
    They are the true evil. There are legitimte concerns to plenty of developments, especially when much of it is shoddily done and councils cannot afford to do any real enforcement action. Even stuff that really should get built can benefit from some raising of concerns to ensure genuine issues like flooding get addressed (though your average complainer will not understand the technicalities of how it is possible to address it).

    But the BANANAs just use the same language as an excuse. They become easy to spot as for all their protestation of not being against building in the right place or right way, their passionate rejection never wavers no matter how much is done, and they fall back more and more on, essentially, that they just don't like it. It is most obvious with really big, strategic projects where the motivation is easier to spot, but it gets revealed often enough elsewhere.
    It’s an incredibly powerful force, and lobby, that seems to exist everywhere there are homeowners. Even on my street in tatty inner London there is uproar every time someone puts in an application to develop a mews house. I dare not pipe up on the local WhatsApp for fear of a pile on.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,980
    kle4 said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Each to their own. I personally find the idea use of the flag is often sinister to be bizarre, and whilst it can be amusing to note the use of flags next to or behind politicians (and I've had plenty of fun mocking very manufactured political imagery) and the like the 'flag shagging' complaints generally appear to be the more hysterical reaction, you'd think any use of a flag was akin to fascism the way some people react oneline.

    You look at most national leaders or diplomatic events and there's flags all over the place, it is pretty normal imagery, so if people don't personally like it being flown about the place then fine, that's their preference, but from my own position I just don't see it as a big deal.
    Exactly so, but you are normal.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,980
    viewcode said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.

    Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.

    The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.

    Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.

    The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
    I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.

    That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.

    Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.

    The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
    Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.

    Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
    Not quickly enough, though.

    But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)

    And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
    What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?
    The rather bleak answer is that (IIRC) when Jean-Claude Juncker offered to David Cameron that the UK be moved to a newly-made up outer rim position, giving the UK much if not all of what it wanted, Cameron said no. Cameron thought he could keep UK at the heart of Europe. And seven years later here we are... :(
    I remain to be convinced that actually happened, although I can fully believe Cameron's response if it did.

    Anyone have any actual evidence of this?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,307
    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,048
    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,412
    kle4 said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Each to their own. I personally find the idea use of the flag is often sinister to be bizarre, and whilst it can be amusing to note the use of flags next to or behind politicians (and I've had plenty of fun mocking very manufactured political imagery) and the like the 'flag shagging' complaints generally appear to be the more hysterical reaction, you'd think any use of a flag was akin to fascism the way some people react oneline.

    You look at most national leaders or diplomatic events and there's flags all over the place, it is pretty normal imagery, so if people don't personally like it being flown about the place then fine, that's their preference, but from my own position I just don't see it as a big deal.
    I’ve long held a theory, which could be bollocks, that the British don’t get overly excited about the flag because there is a combination of very rarely being genuinely threatened by invasion and national confidence from empire which has over-ridden any memories of the greatest threat of invasion in WW2.

    I used to notice clearly how when I went to school in the UK how few Union Flags I saw. Coming from Jersey you would see them everywhere but very rarely in the UK. Over time I figured that when you come from somewhere vulnerable or on the “edge” you cling to the symbols that indicate freedom or a culture much more strongly and visibly.

    Somewhere that is “British” such as Jersey has constantly been invaded by the French, occasionally Spaniards and of course the Germans. Even the old architecture developed as it did because wooden building would just be burnt by French raids. Throughout history somewhere like Jersey has relied on the British army and Navy to protect it and fight alongside the militia to keep the place British and not French.

    So in these places, the Channel Islands, Gibraltar, the Falklands and so on the flag means more than some jingoistic statement it’s an acknowledgement of safety and an age old fear that Britain protected from.

    If you are a country that’s been invaded a lot or gained independence then the flag again symbolises a freedom. People in Britain don’t really have that inbuilt sense of threat and fragility of their existence and so the flag doesn’t represent something that’s been hard won.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,488
    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
    Do you think the French or Germans would for one minute allow us to run their railways? Of course not, they are laughing at us.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,194

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.
    Yes, it's terribly evil when Mrs. Biggins hoists one in her garden.
    But the need to display the flag that prominently does indicate an insecure need to define an ‘us’ and a ‘them’ that can be manipulated in dangerous ways.

    We all have this need, but it’s not always healthy.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826
    maxh said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.
    Yes, it's terribly evil when Mrs. Biggins hoists one in her garden.
    But the need to display the flag that prominently does indicate an insecure need to define an ‘us’ and a ‘them’ that can be manipulated in dangerous ways.

    We all have this need, but it’s not always healthy.
    Many things are worth worrying about for where they could lead, but that doesn't mean we should overly worry at the first hint.

    One flag in the garden does not signify someone in imminent danger of nationalist manipulation. If anything, getting worried by the mere flying of a flag as if there is a major risk that it signifies such a thing seems counterproductive to me. It's not like the infamous Emily Thorberry house in terms of 'That's a bit excessive'. Most people don't fly, I don't, but I don't think most people would assume that level is something to worry about.

    Unless it was an English flag. I know several people who say if they see an English flag they assume the person flying it is racist. Sadly it's reputation is pretty shot with some.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    edited May 2023

    Tangible Brexit benefit alert: Google’s latest AI product is available in the UK but not the EU.

    https://9to5google.com/2023/05/11/google-bard-european-union/

    This was missed by everyone as it was the last comment on a thread at 3am a day and a half ago, but it is absolutely right.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    Farooq said:

    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
    There's no such thing as xenophobia anymore. The politically correct term is "legitimate concerns"
    Better than French or Germans (because a significant proportion of voters would think that sounds good - more reliable than British) what about just lying, Boris style.

    “Do you think the Russians should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does.”

    Or if the side-of-bus-style blatant lie doesn’t appeal, the subtler not actually a lie but devious:

    “Do you think rich Russian donors to the Tory party with links to the Kremlin should run our railways? Labour doesn’t.”
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    edited May 2023
    The British invented the train. And yet we now rely on the French to run our railways.

    We once again must have confidence in ourselves, to have agency and control over our own lives. Here in the UK. This is a great country, we can once again do great things. The Tories believe Britain is better ruled from abroad, Labour thinks we have a lot more to offer here.

    Labour can have that for free.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    rcs1000 said:

    Tangible Brexit benefit alert: Google’s latest AI product is available in the UK but not the EU.

    https://9to5google.com/2023/05/11/google-bard-european-union/

    This was missed by everyone as it was the last comment on a thread at 3am a day and a half ago, but it is absolutely right.
    Yes, one area where we can diverge is in not banning things that certain European countries have irrational hang ups about.

    Unfortunately that won’t work for GM crops which are one of the most irrationally feared phenomena of all, because we need access to EU agri markets.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826
    Parties will always be coalitions of a sort, but it feels to me that when you have organised factions be they ERG or TRG or whoever it just encourages feuding of a more dangerous kind.

    Strong, 'no true Conservative' vibes.


  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,190
    ...
    rcs1000 said:

    Tangible Brexit benefit alert: Google’s latest AI product is available in the UK but not the EU.

    https://9to5google.com/2023/05/11/google-bard-european-union/

    This was missed by everyone as it was the last comment on a thread at 3am a day and a half ago, but it is absolutely right.
    That doesn't really float this old man's boat.

    I'd much rather freedom of movement.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,344
    TimS said:

    Farooq said:

    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
    There's no such thing as xenophobia anymore. The politically correct term is "legitimate concerns"
    Better than French or Germans (because a significant proportion of voters would think that sounds good - more reliable than British) what about just lying, Boris style.

    “Do you think the Russians should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does.”

    Or if the side-of-bus-style blatant lie doesn’t appeal, the subtler not actually a lie but devious:

    “Do you think rich Russian donors to the Tory party with links to the Kremlin should run our railways? Labour doesn’t.”
    Just imagine the howls of indignation from the Express and Mail!
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    kle4 said:

    Parties will always be coalitions of a sort, but it feels to me that when you have organised factions be they ERG or TRG or whoever it just encourages feuding of a more dangerous kind.

    Strong, 'no true Conservative' vibes.


    The Tory Party is out of ideas and is fracturing at the middle.

    It is time to leave Government.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,095

    viewcode said:

    Foxy said:

    Foxy said:

    Conservative just means you're cautious and a bit suspicious of change, and only want to do so if you have to, and then to do so gradually. If it ain't broke dont fix it.

    Of course, that in itself is reason enough why plenty of people don't like them.

    The other point of view is that many people don't like change and taking this approach to Government allows for stability, consistency, broad peace, preservation of tradition/ what works, predictability and thus extra space economic growth, and stops silly ideas and radical dogma that's poorly thought through from being put into practice.

    Which is why Brexit has pissed off so many natural Conservatives. Totally silly idea with radical dogma and poorly thought through.

    The Conservatives won't recover until they repent of Brexitism.
    I knew someone would respond (in seconds) with Brexit.

    That conflicted across the principle because many Conservatives thought it was riskier to stay because of the radical change that they felt would inevitably come, which was also against their values. If you believe in conserving national sovereignty and independence, and not steadily creeping towards a federal Europe, you won't have had a problem with this.

    Too many seem to miss this and focus just on the economic disruption, more often than not because they themselves aren't Conservatives.

    The only unConservative bit, in my view, was in the response to the vote itself, which became too dogmatic.
    Well, Brexit and its economic consequences is why the Red Wall thinks this government has failed, and why the Blue Wall hates it too.

    Brexit is the political monkeys paw. You get what you wish for and regret it very quickly.
    Not quickly enough, though.

    But yes, at some point the Conservatives stopped being conservative. Incremental change, think in generations, work out why the fence was put up before you tear it down, that sort of thing. It's not just about Brexit, for all that is totemic. (After all, a conservative approach to being Eurosceptic would have been to take Dave's deal and set it in concrete. It probably would have stuck.)

    And then there's Starmer's speech today (there's a link here; https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1657353519165321216). Large chunks of it read like the sort of thing that a One Nation Tory of previous generations- Iain Macleod, say, could have said. But it's really hard to see who is standing up for this sort of thing in the current setup.
    What was the "conservative" option to disengage with the EU given it had taken a "conservative" attitude to steadily ratcheting up integration over several decades to arrive at such a decidedly objectionable position to so many Conservatives?
    The rather bleak answer is that (IIRC) when Jean-Claude Juncker offered to David Cameron that the UK be moved to a newly-made up outer rim position, giving the UK much if not all of what it wanted, Cameron said no. Cameron thought he could keep UK at the heart of Europe. And seven years later here we are... :(
    I remain to be convinced that actually happened, although I can fully believe Cameron's response if it did.

    Anyone have any actual evidence of this?
    I believe it was a promise to look at it.

    But Merkel wasn’t a fan of the idea so Cameron knew it would never happen
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,955
    Since you all are discussing flags, I'll tell this story: Microsoft is within an easy bicycle ride, and recently Google set up a location a few blocks away. Microsoft flies the US and Washington state flags, though not ostentatiously; Google has one of those "rainbow" diversity symbols* at their main entrance.

    When COVID vaccines became widely available, Microsoft volunteered an auditorium, and staffed it with volunteers. (They were so nice that, when I came back for my second shot (jab, if you prefer), I brought them packages of cookies and mint teas.)

    Google did nothing for us, locally.

    (*It is probably not there to celebrate the Noah story, and, I am nearly certain that Google's, comitment to "diversity" is, shall we say, incomplete.)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,205
    Dialup said:

    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
    Do you think the French or Germans would for one minute allow us to run their railways? Of course not, they are laughing at us.
    You might want to Google "national express Germany" ... ;)
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    kle4 said:

    maxh said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Absolutely. Nationalism, like religion, is fine in moderation: it is often a force for good and provides people with a sense of belonging, shared values and comfort. But it can also be a force for terrible evil when it gets out of hand.
    Yes, it's terribly evil when Mrs. Biggins hoists one in her garden.
    But the need to display the flag that prominently does indicate an insecure need to define an ‘us’ and a ‘them’ that can be manipulated in dangerous ways.

    We all have this need, but it’s not always healthy.
    Many things are worth worrying about for where they could lead, but that doesn't mean we should overly worry at the first hint.

    One flag in the garden does not signify someone in imminent danger of nationalist manipulation. If anything, getting worried by the mere flying of a flag as if there is a major risk that it signifies such a thing seems counterproductive to me. It's not like the infamous Emily Thorberry house in terms of 'That's a bit excessive'. Most people don't fly, I don't, but I don't think most people would assume that level is something to worry about.

    Unless it was an English flag. I know several people who say if they see an English flag they assume the person flying it is racist. Sadly it's reputation is pretty shot with some.
    The classiest garden flag arrangement would be a sweep of flags lining the front garden wall, surrounding the driveway: UK, EU, various European flags, US, Canada, Japan, maybe the UN and NATO.

    Or perhaps just a NATO flag. That would get some fun Twitter conspiracies going.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,488
    edited May 2023
    Dialup said:

    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
    Do you think the French or Germans would for one minute allow us to run their railways? Of course not, they are laughing at us.
    That would be to the detriment of the French and Germans. Anyway, they'll be running each others railways soon enough:

    https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/single-eu-railway-area/

    And if we had stayed in the EU, we would have been forced to do by law what we do voluntarily now.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,662
    Spurs fail again..
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,488
    rcs1000 said:

    Tangible Brexit benefit alert: Google’s latest AI product is available in the UK but not the EU.

    https://9to5google.com/2023/05/11/google-bard-european-union/

    This was missed by everyone as it was the last comment on a thread at 3am a day and a half ago, but it is absolutely right.
    But no-one seems to know why. Can't be GDPR, because we still have that. Any idea?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,314
    edited May 2023
    Some of us of a certain age are suspicious of demonstrative flag(s) waving in this country for historical reasons. There was a time, particularly in the 70s and 80s, when the national flag(s) were appropriated by two particular groups. Firstly, the far right - the NF and then BNP. And secondly, the English abroad - both misbehaving holidaymakers, and football supporters/hooligans. Although those connotations have diminished, they have not entirely faded.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    edited May 2023
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Answer my point.

    Do you think the fact my train - the train I took - costing £60 and being 45 minutes late, is any better than it was in the past?

    As for train journeys, why don't we look at other countries? Oddly they've gone up too but they haven't privatised anything.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,069
    kle4 said:

    Parties will always be coalitions of a sort, but it feels to me that when you have organised factions be they ERG or TRG or whoever it just encourages feuding of a more dangerous kind.

    Strong, 'no true Conservative' vibes.


    Politer than "why don't you just f@#£ off and join the Tories" but the same energy. And likely to end the same way.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Do you have the graph for total state subsidy per passenger journey? I know, both stats are functions of a variable with a very tailed distribution, but even so ...
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,813
    A "genuine mistake"...

    More than 800 uncounted postal votes have been found following last week's local elections in North Lincolnshire.

    A total of 864 votes for the election in the Broughton and Scawby ward had been found, but only after the result had been declared, the council said.

    The law does not allow votes to be counted following a declaration.

    It was a "genuine mistake" and the election outcome in that ward had been referred to the Electoral Commission, North Lincolnshire Council said.

    Two Conservatives were elected in the ward following the election on 4 May, with around 525 votes each.

    Labour came second with their two candidates gaining 367 and 355 votes.


    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-65570851
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,095
    Dialup said:

    The British invented the train. And yet we now rely on the French to run our railways.

    We once again must have confidence in ourselves, to have agency and control over our own lives. Here in the UK. This is a great country, we can once again do great things. The Tories believe Britain is better ruled from abroad, Labour thinks we have a lot more to offer here.

    Labour can have that for free.

    The Germans and the French demanded lower subsidies than the Brits.

    Do you think handing out tax payers money to greedy bankers wrapped in a Union Flag is a good use of scarce resources?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Answer my point.

    Do you think the fact my train - the train I took - costing £60 and being 45 minutes late, is any better than it was in the past?

    As for train journeys, why don't we look at other countries? Oddly they've gone up too but they haven't privatised anything.
    Yes, and it isn't even close.

    The train service, stations, price, safety and levels of subsidy required are all massively better than they were in the past.

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    Afghan fighter pilot who flow 30 combat missions and worked with the coalition forces is set to be deported to Rwanda as he came to the UK in a boat .

    Absolutely despicable . Is this who we are as a nation now ?

  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    I don't know if you heard of the Covid-19 pandemic? Apparently it dramatically cut travel down.

    And, to answer your question, if it costs less to have SNCF run our railways, and they do it better, then you are an idiot to want to change it for flag waving reasons.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,488
    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    Were they before the pandemic? Per mile? No.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561

    Dialup said:

    The British invented the train. And yet we now rely on the French to run our railways.

    We once again must have confidence in ourselves, to have agency and control over our own lives. Here in the UK. This is a great country, we can once again do great things. The Tories believe Britain is better ruled from abroad, Labour thinks we have a lot more to offer here.

    Labour can have that for free.

    The Germans and the French demanded lower subsidies than the Brits.

    Do you think handing out tax payers money to greedy bankers wrapped in a Union Flag is a good use of scarce resources?
    I think the railways here are a joke and we should cut the French out who have done a piss poor job. Yes
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,955
    Tim S said:"Yes, one area where we can diverge is in not banning things that certain European countries have irrational hang ups about.

    Unfortunately that won’t work for GM crops which are one of the most irrationally feared phenomena of all, because we need access to EU agri markets."

    It's been a few years, but, if I recall correctly, some Europeans were objecting to US food donated to starving Africans, because the Africans might plant some of the GMO grains, rather than eating them.

    From what I can tell, Green superstition has done even more damage to Europe than the US. And terrible damage to some developing nations. For example, the fight against "golden" rice.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
    I don't know if you know this, but a car crashed earlier today. WHICH PROVES CARS USED TO BE BETTER.

    That's the substance of your argument. An anecdote devoid of context.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,095
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:



    So back in the 50s?

    I guess UKIP will be happy!

  • eekeek Posts: 28,076
    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    We aren’t - we subsidise a rail route that we have given to SNCF to manage at a senior management level.

    It’s not different from elsewhere where I find it hilarious that what was the Sunderland Bus (Arriva) company runs trains in the Netherlands and buses in Copenhagen.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
    I don't know if you know this, but a car crashed earlier today. WHICH PROVES CARS USED TO BE BETTER.

    That's the substance of your argument. An anecdote devoid of context.
    I think the idea nationalising the railways will herald a return to BR is nonsense.

    You can support nationalisation whilst also accepting BR was shit - as I do.

    My point was that if you think 45 minutes and £60 is somehow "good" I am going to laugh at you. We can do an awful lot better.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    edited May 2023
    Carnyx said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Do you have the graph for total state subsidy per passenger journey? I know, both stats are functions of a variable with a very tailed distribution, but even so ...
    Here's the total subsidy from Wikipedia:



    When you combine inflation, economic growth and increased number of journeys, it is is incredibly obvious that subsidies have declined massively in real terms.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,796
    boulay said:

    kle4 said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    pigeon said:

    viewcode said:

    I suppose one way to deal with the red Tory patter is to lean right into it.


    Perhaps we owe @bigjohnowls an apology... :(
    Yep, it looks very much like Labour are going to go into the next election on a platform - if you ignore their rhetoric and a few eye-catching but token policy flourishes in areas like green energy - of managing the existing state of affairs less incompetently than the Tories. They're going to go our of their way to change as little as possible.
    Your march Left is heartening to see. I can't reassure you totally, since I don't know for sure, but my sense is Starmer is all about derisking the GE as far as he possibly can, and that once in power (assuming he does win) he'll prove a bit more radical than you think. So don't write him off comrade.
    That's exactly what I keep warning of on here: he's saying what he needs to say to get in.

    Others say it's the usual Tory scare tactics relating to a Labour leader in opposition.

    But, look at what his own side say - like your good self - and the evidence at how he behaved to his own base once he won the Labour leadership election.

    You don't know what you'll get with SKS.
    Cheer up, flag shagging may become a protected characteristic.


    There's no 'patronising contempt' from me, it's just that I don't like to see the Union Jack all over the place. It lowers the tone.
    It "lowers the tone".

    Jesus. It's the flag of your f-ing country.

    The only possible explanation for this is intellectual snobbery: you think you're above having any form of group social identity (save that of your education and values) and look down contemptuously on those that do.
    It really isn't that. There's a place for our national flag. Big international sports events, for example, flagship (pun not meant) government buildings. But I don't want to see it as a common feature of life, always behind politicians when they speak, on hats and tee shirts and umbrellas, in municipal premises, in shops, people flying it in their houses and gardens, flags flags flags all over the place. That gives me the willies. I find it tacky at best and at worst rather sinister.
    Each to their own. I personally find the idea use of the flag is often sinister to be bizarre, and whilst it can be amusing to note the use of flags next to or behind politicians (and I've had plenty of fun mocking very manufactured political imagery) and the like the 'flag shagging' complaints generally appear to be the more hysterical reaction, you'd think any use of a flag was akin to fascism the way some people react oneline.

    You look at most national leaders or diplomatic events and there's flags all over the place, it is pretty normal imagery, so if people don't personally like it being flown about the place then fine, that's their preference, but from my own position I just don't see it as a big deal.
    I’ve long held a theory, which could be bollocks, that the British don’t get overly excited about the flag because there is a combination of very rarely being genuinely threatened by invasion and national confidence from empire which has over-ridden any memories of the greatest threat of invasion in WW2.

    I used to notice clearly how when I went to school in the UK how few Union Flags I saw. Coming from Jersey you would see them everywhere but very rarely in the UK. Over time I figured that when you come from somewhere vulnerable or on the “edge” you cling to the symbols that indicate freedom or a culture much more strongly and visibly.

    Somewhere that is “British” such as Jersey has constantly been invaded by the French, occasionally Spaniards and of course the Germans. Even the old architecture developed as it did because wooden building would just be burnt by French raids. Throughout history somewhere like Jersey has relied on the British army and Navy to protect it and fight alongside the militia to keep the place British and not French.

    So in these places, the Channel Islands, Gibraltar, the Falklands and so on the flag means more than some jingoistic statement it’s an acknowledgement of safety and an age old fear that Britain protected from.

    If you are a country that’s been invaded a lot or gained independence then the flag again symbolises a freedom. People in Britain don’t really have that inbuilt sense of threat and fragility of their existence and so the flag doesn’t represent something that’s been hard won.
    On that basis certain pubs in Glasgow must be absolutely shiteing themselves over the threat of invasion.

    I take your point about an inbuilt sense of threat and fragility.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    I don't know if you heard of the Covid-19 pandemic? Apparently it dramatically cut travel down.

    And, to answer your question, if it costs less to have SNCF run our railways, and they do it better, then you are an idiot to want to change it for flag waving reasons.
    I want to run our railways here and not have the French do it because I think we could do it better than the French do. But the Tories believe that we're incapable of doing so.

    The current model is broken, laughably so. The companies have all gone or are going, bust.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 8,095

    Tim S said:"Yes, one area where we can diverge is in not banning things that certain European countries have irrational hang ups about.

    Unfortunately that won’t work for GM crops which are one of the most irrationally feared phenomena of all, because we need access to EU agri markets."

    It's been a few years, but, if I recall correctly, some Europeans were objecting to US food donated to starving Africans, because the Africans might plant some of the GMO grains, rather than eating them.

    From what I can tell, Green superstition has done even more damage to Europe than the US. And terrible damage to some developing nations. For example, the fight against "golden" rice.

    You should read Seed Capital.

    Monsanto behaved despicably. GE food can work very well - GMO is less obvious. But there’s a reason it has a bad name.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,076
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
    Have you claimed your £30 refund yet - it’s nationwide but this is the first site that had the time boundaries and refund levels clearly detailed https://www.scotrail.co.uk/plan-your-journey/our-delay-repay-guarantee
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,344
    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    carnforth said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    A Third Way on Xenophobia. Even New Labour never managed that.
    Do you think the French or Germans would for one minute allow us to run their railways? Of course not, they are laughing at us.
    That would be to the detriment of the French and Germans. Anyway, they'll be running each others railways soon enough:

    https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/single-eu-railway-area/

    And if we had stayed in the EU, we would have been forced to do by law what we do voluntarily now.
    Are you having some sort of mental disturbance?
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    eek said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
    Have you claimed your £30 refund yet - it’s nationwide but this is the first site that had the time boundaries and refund levels clearly detailed https://www.scotrail.co.uk/plan-your-journey/our-delay-repay-guarantee
    I have automatic delay repay so it does it for me. But thanks :)
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
    I don't know if you know this, but a car crashed earlier today. WHICH PROVES CARS USED TO BE BETTER.

    That's the substance of your argument. An anecdote devoid of context.
    I think the idea nationalising the railways will herald a return to BR is nonsense.

    You can support nationalisation whilst also accepting BR was shit - as I do.

    My point was that if you think 45 minutes and £60 is somehow "good" I am going to laugh at you. We can do an awful lot better.
    Also, improved standards don't mean much per se - they were based very much on BR's developmental work and BR would have achieved much the same.

    It was privatisation and Railtrack which seriously endangered safety by letting maintenance run down so far. It was nationalisation which rescued the infrastructure. In some ways the railways still haven't returned to BR standards, for instance in economics of electrification, or in the very simple matter of actually having operational flexibility to have and to run spare coaches or even spare trains.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    rcs1000 said:

    Carnyx said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Do you have the graph for total state subsidy per passenger journey? I know, both stats are functions of a variable with a very tailed distribution, but even so ...
    Here's the total subsidy from Wikipedia:



    When you combine inflation, economic growth and increased number of journeys, it is is incredibly obvious that subsidies have declined massively in real terms.
    Let's put this in context for a second.

    In 1990, the UK government spent £200bn. And of this, about £2.5bn was on British Rail. That's 1.25% of government spending.


    In 2019, total government spending was £842bn. Of which £7bn was on rail subsidies (including HS2). WHich is 0.8% of spending.

    And, of course, we get twice as many journeys for our money.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,076
    rcs1000 said:

    Carnyx said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Do you have the graph for total state subsidy per passenger journey? I know, both stats are functions of a variable with a very tailed distribution, but even so ...
    Here's the total subsidy from Wikipedia:



    When you combine inflation, economic growth and increased number of journeys, it is is incredibly obvious that subsidies have declined massively in real terms.
    And remember that those recent figures include massive infrastructure costs for HS2 and Crossrail.

    The simple reality is we don’t build / improve enough new projects, even Paris had signs for this new residential development is on the new metro line (15).
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    I don't know if you heard of the Covid-19 pandemic? Apparently it dramatically cut travel down.

    And, to answer your question, if it costs less to have SNCF run our railways, and they do it better, then you are an idiot to want to change it for flag waving reasons.
    I want to run our railways here and not have the French do it because I think we could do it better than the French do. But the Tories believe that we're incapable of doing so.

    The current model is broken, laughably so. The companies have all gone or are going, bust.
    So, shareholder losses have paid for our railways? You should be overjoyed.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    I don't know if you heard of the Covid-19 pandemic? Apparently it dramatically cut travel down.

    And, to answer your question, if it costs less to have SNCF run our railways, and they do it better, then you are an idiot to want to change it for flag waving reasons.
    I want to run our railways here and not have the French do it because I think we could do it better than the French do. But the Tories believe that we're incapable of doing so.

    The current model is broken, laughably so. The companies have all gone or are going, bust.
    So, shareholder losses have paid for our railways? You should be overjoyed.
    Do you accept a model that keeps failing is in need of overhaul or not.
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 5,830
    Dialup said:

    eek said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Those who look upon the British Rail age with anything other than utter horror are deluding themselves.

    45 minute delay and £60 for the privilege, ROFL you are deluded!

    Nationalising the railways would not return us to BR days. Unless you think LNER today is like British Rail
    Have you claimed your £30 refund yet - it’s nationwide but this is the first site that had the time boundaries and refund levels clearly detailed https://www.scotrail.co.uk/plan-your-journey/our-delay-repay-guarantee
    I have automatic delay repay so it does it for me. But thanks :)
    So you effectively got paid forty quid an hour for doing nothing?
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Carnyx said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Do you have the graph for total state subsidy per passenger journey? I know, both stats are functions of a variable with a very tailed distribution, but even so ...
    Here's the total subsidy from Wikipedia:



    When you combine inflation, economic growth and increased number of journeys, it is is incredibly obvious that subsidies have declined massively in real terms.
    Let's put this in context for a second.

    In 1990, the UK government spent £200bn. And of this, about £2.5bn was on British Rail. That's 1.25% of government spending.


    In 2019, total government spending was £842bn. Of which £7bn was on rail subsidies (including HS2). WHich is 0.8% of spending.

    And, of course, we get twice as many journeys for our money.
    And public transport has a direct positive impact on employment and GDP.

    Which brings us on to Buses. Always the bridesmaid. Evidence suggests the best value for money of any public transport subsidy, though unglamorous. Easily electrified, cheap, and social benefits across society.

    It’s one of the things London does right. And is funded properly for. Replicate TFL’s operating model (even without the tube) across the country and you’ve got a decent public transit infrastructure.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,813
    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    kle4 said:

    DavidL said:

    Carnyx said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    Chris said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Jonathan said:

    Radicals: Thatcher, Blair, Brown
    Conservatives: May, Cameron, Major
    Populists: Johnson, Truss
    Managers: Sunak, Callaghan

    Hard to say what various LoO might be or might have become once in office. Corbyn liked to think of himself as radical, but was very conservative albeit from an old skool left wing perspective.

    Hmm... For a "populist" Truss was remarkably unpopular... 😂
    You can be a crap populist. Boris ended up pretty unpopular.
    He ended up unpopular but for most of his political career he was popular. I can't think of one moment where Truss has been popular... She just always came across as being as nutty as a fruitcake lol...
    Truss was prepared to be unpopular; she said so many times - presumably her idea was that when her policies resulted in economic growth, she would become popular enough to win a GE on her record. That was always wildly ambitious, and perhaps to even attempt it was nutty, though I find it faintly heroic. I'm not sure why it's making you 'lol' so much though, given that she's been replaced by someone who isn't trying to make the economy grow at all (the opposite seems to be the case, unless he's just plain thick as shit), and frankly doesn't seem to be trying to make a decent fist of the General Election either.
    I'm sorry - I can't help being curious, because you seem to be pretty much the only person on earth who can't see what an unmitigated disaster Liz Truss was.

    Please relieve my curiosity and tell me whether it's a sexual thing or what?
    Liz, despite being loony, got one big thing right.
    Britain needs to grow.

    This sounds incredibly obvious, but it seems that it’s a truth that evades almost all of the governing party and likely most of the Opposition.
    Right. That would be why economic growth is the unquestioned mantra of every elected politician in this country.
    It really isn’t.
    It is so.
    Green Party is a sufficient counterexample, in at least one important sense of 'economic growth' - which they do question, at least in its nature.

    Edit: and add the Scottish Green Party, too. That's two parties.
    Do the Scottish Greens actually care about anything other than gender?
    Presumably not since it is that issue, in part, which has led to them criticising the English and Welsh Greens. Who I'm sure are just hard right troglydites or something.
    Weirdly obsessed by the environment, that sort of thing.
    They've hit on a winning formula - tie it to NIMYism - they could sweep a lot more councils

    The Green uprisings in Mid Suffolk and East Herts were both about assiduous campaigning against development, in areas where the Lib Dems weren't already strong. In the latter case it's actually evident from the changed electoral map:

    https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1654834401149337600

    In the south of the district, where a number of despised new developments have recently been proposed or approved, the Greens swept the board. Further north, right out in the sticks where no such development is in the works, they made no net progress at all.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,826

    Tim S said:"Yes, one area where we can diverge is in not banning things that certain European countries have irrational hang ups about.

    Unfortunately that won’t work for GM crops which are one of the most irrationally feared phenomena of all, because we need access to EU agri markets."

    It's been a few years, but, if I recall correctly, some Europeans were objecting to US food donated to starving Africans, because the Africans might plant some of the GMO grains, rather than eating them.

    From what I can tell, Green superstition has done even more damage to Europe than the US. And terrible damage to some developing nations. For example, the fight against "golden" rice.

    You should read Seed Capital.

    Monsanto behaved despicably. GE food can work very well - GMO is less obvious. But there’s a reason it has a bad name.
    I recall a sci-fi show with a dystopic corporation run future, and one of the evil corporations was called Sonmanto which produced agricultural products. It was so subtle I almost missed it.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    rcs1000 said:

    Carnyx said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    CatMan said:

    Dialup said:

    Dialup said:

    Let us be a proud self-governing nation.

    That can run its own services rather than paying the Germans to do it for us.

    That might be a fruitful line for Keir Starmer to take: "End French and German ownership of our public services!"
    William I have been saying it for years, this would be a great line for SKS to take. The politics are strong.
    It's the rare combination of being a policy that would be popular, and something the Tories wouldn't nick
    "Do you believe the French should run our railways? Rishi Sunak does."

    It writes itself.
    The railways, though, do seem to be rather better than they were. So I'm not sure any of us should be complaining.

    Although they did do better adverts in the 1980s: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YEYQROkuuOU
    I don't know, my train was 45 minutes late on Tuesday and cost £60 for a return, is that better than it was in the past? Really?
    Did you actually take trains in the past?

    They were fearsomely expensive, they were dirty and they were unreliable.

    But you know what. Don't take my word for it. Let's simply look at the number of rail passenger journeys:


    Do you have the graph for total state subsidy per passenger journey? I know, both stats are functions of a variable with a very tailed distribution, but even so ...
    Here's the total subsidy from Wikipedia:



    When you combine inflation, economic growth and increased number of journeys, it is is incredibly obvious that subsidies have declined massively in real terms.
    Mm, thanks. But I don't recall inflation being 700% between 1996 and 2006 ... also it omits the pre-82 years.

    The total number of journeys is a tricky thing - it's not like cars, there is a limit to how many one can cram into a train, and current design certainly favours that - the revised 125s are noticeably less humane than the old ones. So there is a somewhat elastic relationship between passengers and costs.

    And plainly there is some reason why renationalisation is necessary - LNER, Scotrail, now TransPennine (which were cencelling up to a quarter of trains ...).
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,872
    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    I don't know if you heard of the Covid-19 pandemic? Apparently it dramatically cut travel down.

    And, to answer your question, if it costs less to have SNCF run our railways, and they do it better, then you are an idiot to want to change it for flag waving reasons.
    I want to run our railways here and not have the French do it because I think we could do it better than the French do. But the Tories believe that we're incapable of doing so.

    The current model is broken, laughably so. The companies have all gone or are going, bust.
    So, shareholder losses have paid for our railways? You should be overjoyed.
    Do you accept a model that keeps failing is in need of overhaul or not.
    That's like saying: tech companies keep failing, we need to change the model.

    Can I tell you a secret: economic growth is correlated with business failure. The more business failure there, is the more economic growth.
  • DialupDialup Posts: 561
    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Dialup said:

    If the railways are so good, why is subsidy at its highest level ever? Why are we subsidising the French Government?

    I don't know if you heard of the Covid-19 pandemic? Apparently it dramatically cut travel down.

    And, to answer your question, if it costs less to have SNCF run our railways, and they do it better, then you are an idiot to want to change it for flag waving reasons.
    I want to run our railways here and not have the French do it because I think we could do it better than the French do. But the Tories believe that we're incapable of doing so.

    The current model is broken, laughably so. The companies have all gone or are going, bust.
    So, shareholder losses have paid for our railways? You should be overjoyed.
    Do you accept a model that keeps failing is in need of overhaul or not.
    That's like saying: tech companies keep failing, we need to change the model.

    Can I tell you a secret: economic growth is correlated with business failure. The more business failure there, is the more economic growth.
    Then why don't we let the companies go bust rather than bailing them out.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 12,720
    Leaving the posh wine slopes of the Cote de Beaune and slightly less posh ones of the châlonnaise and returning to the Mâconnais is like a more viticultural version of leaving the Cotswolds and crossing the Malverns into Herefordshire. One of France’s great landscapes.



    Should be an obligatory stop for anyone driving down to the South of France.
This discussion has been closed.