Categories
From a 70% chance to a 7% one – betting on BoJo as GE CON leader – politicalbetting.com
From a 70% chance to a 7% one – betting on BoJo as GE CON leader – politicalbetting.com
From the perspective of those who bet on politics. this makes an interesting betting chart showing how the former PM and GE2019 winner declined in the Conservative leader at the general election betting.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
It's like something out of the Running Man.
A jail in Washington has become the latest focal point of the US culture wars after a congressional delegation led by the Republican extremist Marjorie Taylor Greene visited defendants charged in 2021’s deadly January 6 insurrection at the US Capitol and championed them as “political prisoners”
Greene high-fived the detainees and shook their hands, according to the Associated Press. As the tour group was leaving, the defendants chanted “Let’s go Brandon!”, an offensive phrase denigrating Democratic president Joe Biden.
Greene was joined by fellow far-right Republican members of the House oversight committee during a two-hour tour of the DC jail on Friday. The group included extremist Colorado congresswoman Lauren Boebert, who embraced Micki Witthoeft, the mother of Ashli Babbitt, the woman shot dead by police as she participated in the Capitol riot, NBC News reported.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/mar/27/marjorie-taylor-greene-led-delegation-to-visit-capitol-attack-defendants-in-jail
Edit: That felt really harsh, actually. If I'd had a vote it would have gone to Humza (he can't be that bad!), though some of Forbes' ideas do intrigue me and I think she'd be a safe pair of hands - can't get past the gay (and other) stuff though.
I guess the great PB tradition of X or Y are both bad for the EssEnnPee is alive and well (won't bother with the laughable concept of Z Regan).
I'm going to miss this show.
You need some new material.
The battle between Spring and Winter in Tallinn is in full spate, with yesterday´s cool mist being replaced with a blizzard of wet snow. The weather in Kyiv is warmer and wetter, Spring is coming, uncertainly perhaps, but inevitably. When the season of mud is over then, equally inevitably, the Ukrainian counter-offensive will follow. The ZSU are preparing their logistics methodically and the steady flow of NATO standard equipment is equipping more and more brigades and increasingly divisions. Meanwhile Russia is forced to delve ever deeper into its stores for ever less effective equipment. The failure of the Russian offensive is not total, for it has certainly damaged the offensive capability of the Ukrainians in the Bakhmut sector, but the public disassociation of Wagner from Bakhmut and the announcement of more missions in central Africa reflects the fact the the Russian activity in the area is falling. It is falling because, whatever the costs to Ukraine, the costs to Russia were at least four times higher. The Russians know the counter-offensive is coming, but they do not know where or when, and for the time being, given the weather, neither do the Ukrainians. The costs of the battle of Bakhmut were increasing the risk of a Ukrainian breach of the line leading to a rout of Russian forces. The Russians broke off the battle to reduce these risks.
Nevertheless the ZSU remains cautious. When the counter-attack comes it needs to be decisive, and thus the high command prefers to wait until they have the kit and the newly trained personnel back on the line. Rumours of combined arms exercises in Poland may not be wide of the mark, and the reinforcement of the air force could not come at a better time.
In Tallinn the new coalition should be announced shortly and the new government is committed, no less than the old, to the support of Ukraine. Yet the mood has changed slightly. The Estonians are now telegraphing concern about the situation in Russia. The expectation is that a successful Ukrainian counter-offensive will cause major changes in the Kremlin, and although the Estonians are clearly in favour of this, there is also the recognition that NATO, and in particular the front line states, will need to be prepared for possible upheaval in Russia.
As the spring storms continue, we watch for the defeat of Russia like we watch for the end of Winter... we are resigned to the bad weather, but still we hope for better days ahead.
What else? And is this to catch potential illicit activity in the loos?
It is possible that either could surprise on the upside though, a poster a while back made the comment that people expressed similar sentiments when Sturgeon replaced Salmond. Additionally, the stickiness of the SNP vote could save the new leader. If you're of the independence persuasion, the SNP is probably still your best vehicle and so it'll be relatively easy to just sit back and cast your ballot for the SNP whenever required. Independence supporters of all political stripes have been doing it for almost a decade now.
And as far as you are concerned, it's unlikely there will be posters of SKS in the pocket of Forbes/Hamza because like me, 99% of people wouldn't recognise either if they were standing in front of them.
He said not to read anything into that
🤔
https://twitter.com/GlennBBC/status/1640333424811548672?s=20
People were only just getting used to the grumpy git at PMQs asking questions about Scotland like nothing so much as Pte Frazer off the telly's Dad's Army.
Whatever his name is/was.
As OGH will testify (and mentioned in TPP?), there is an example of a by-election when Labour was well in the lead a few minutes before declaration in the betting, but the Libs won
I will laugh like a drain if Regan wins
In 2022 he had good reason to be very confident that he would have won against Rishi, so the question was why did he choose not to return in triumph as Leader at that point?
While an opportunity to return could have emerged later - the May elections will probably still be brutal - his own words and actions were likely to return to cause him trouble, and turning things around would be hard, plus a new leader has a chance to bed in, so he almost certainly decided at that point that he did not want to be leader at the next GE. He may have changed his mind about that as time went on, but I think absent a collapse in Tory support he could pin at Rishi's door he accepted at that point he was not getting back this side of a GE.
I've staked my reputation as a Scottish expert on Humza though.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ITMRHJnaJY&ab_channel=jayyayyay
Maybe they could contemplate a bit of the old loyal opposition approach.
So they are representative enough.
Saying 'X does not represent Y' doesn't hold much water when they still walk hand in hand.
Asking on behalf of @tim, late of this parish
Humza is Kendall Roy, Kate is Shiv and Eck lives and breathes Logan..
If Ash wasn't so dim she could be Shiv, but rather the airhead half brother that wants to go into politics I think.
Forbes 20559
Yousaf 24336
Regan 5599
SKS fans please explain.
Forbes 23890
Yousaf 26032
So hapless Yousaf wins 53% to 47% and the Sturgeon SNP establishment celebrates victory for their candidate
Daily Mail parent company invokes Human Rights Act to stop naming of journalists
Lawyers working for Associated Newspapers successfully argue there is no justification for naming 73 journalists and executives
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/mar/27/daily-mail-parent-company-invokes-human-rights-act-to-stop-naming-of-journalists
Fucking catastrophe for the SNP
Apart from Starmer..
Probably with good cause.
The cursed ratio strikes again.