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Just three days to go in the SNP leadership election – politicalbetting.com
Just three days to go in the SNP leadership election – politicalbetting.com
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Just three days to go in the SNP leadership election – politicalbetting.com
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Not my party, obviously, and I don't know the selectorate. But when other parties have elected leaders who don't necessarily speak to the wider electorate, they've done so because they represent an obvious strain of what that party believes. I would have thought the SNP equivalent would be more akin to Ash Regan. Yousaf strikes me as neither one to connect to the wider electorate nor one to boldly fight the battle for independence whatever public opinion believes.
For example:
https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/3907413-senate-republican-says-desantis-ukraine-remark-may-very-well-be-primary-politics/amp/
If nothing else, it does differentiate him from Trump.
Though if he's going to have any chance of the nomination, he'll have to take Trump on directly, rather than avoiding the confrontation as he's done up until now.
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 49% (+3)
CON: 23% (-4)
LDEM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 6% (-)
REF: 6% (-)
via
@YouGov
, this week
But in specific at the moment the previously already lower wages that junior doctors are getting paid aren't just being frozen in real terms, but a proposed substantial cut. While taxpayers money is going to pay others a double-digit rise, including the state pension of retired doctors on defined benefit schemes.
That's f***ed up is it not?
Should a retired doctor on a defined benefit scheme get a double-digit percentage increase in their state pension, while a junior doctor sees a nearly double-digit percentage cut in their real terms income from their already lower wage? Is that paying their dues?
Keeping lower wages flat, while other wages are flat, is entirely reasonable. But cutting some wages in real terms while increasing others by double digit percentages . . . that's a political choice, not necessity.
I don't think Forbes is impossible, but I don't understand Scottish politics - except that she is an obvious and stand out star. But then so was Boris.
Plus the NPV of a "junior doctors" wages is substantially higher than many others and as we know they are bright enough to have worked this out.
What happens to senior consultants or investment bankers is neither here nor there.
If I recall correctly we all went 'huh' and carried on.
That showed the Government we would not be pushed around...
https://twitter.com/VigJimmy/status/1639218632134893572?s=20
The obvious strain of party belief which Regan represents belongs to Alba, the bleedin’ obvious evidence of which is that her official endorsements remain Cherry, Salmond and Murray.
So like the UK, Scotland would have a darkie with the whip hand over the white man.
But someone will get the job.
If RDS wants to stand for the top job (and I’m still not sure he’s going for it in 2024, rather than waiting for 2028), then he’ll need to be spending a lot more time researching and getting briefings on world affairs.
Remains to be seen how good those adjustments are, but for habitual voters who don't know, the same vote as last time (at least for a fair minority) could be likely. The catch might be any rare voters who turned out last time for Boris and Brexit and might simply not bother this time.
https://m.koreatimes.co.kr/pages/article.asp?newsIdx=347689
It's taken longer (& probably cost more) for us to not deliver Ajax.
Looks pretty standard for military procurement.
Which will have very little influence at all on what he actually might do.
Though the Ukraine war has demonstrated, once again, that when the politics and other bullshit are out of the way, weapons procurement can go very fast.
See land launched Brimstone for Ukraine.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/KAI_KF-21_Boramae
If there's more qualified job applicants for the junior doctors role to replace them, rather than pay what they're demanding, then I have no qualms with that being done. Sack the strikers and replace them with those equally qualified who are willing to do the job at the offered rate instead of a higher rate.
But I'm curious about what you mean by surplus demand meaning wages should fall? Surplus demand for junior doctors would mean the wage rises, surplus supply of people willing to do the job would mean a fall, and I'm not sure there's any evidence that there's surplus supply of people wanting and qualified to do that role.
If there is surplus supply, let the market do its thing and let any who end up without a job consider how they might have acted differently. But I don't think there is.
edit: normally Ms J would cast her vote for the status quo.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/deutsche-bank-shares-slide-9-after-sudden-spike-in-the-cost-of-insuring-against-its-default/ar-AA191tDQ
That won’t happen when there’s an actual war going on, it will be a case of we’ll take what can be delivered yesterday, and make it work in the field.
Hopefully, this war has been a wake-up call to Europe, about the need to be less reliant on the US. No matter who is the next President, the States will in future be looking more to China than Russia as the enemy,
Europe will have a few years though, there’s pretty much nothing left of the Russian army at the moment. They are already pulling T-55 tanks out of museums, by the summer they’ll be pulling T-33s off WWII memorials.
The German government would do anything to prevent DB going down. Anything.
https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/3914607-trump-calls-for-removal-of-every-top-official-investigating-him/
The German government won’t let it happen though, and the EU will be told to get off should they try and intervene.
Not because I want them to be, but because I suspect the spiral of silence is now even more pronounced than it was pre-Truss. It’s not exactly easy to say you support the government right now.
What I am not sure about is whether the relevant pollsters that are showing higher Tory ratings are adjusting more aggressively to counter that. I am sure someone more in tune with the methodology would be able to tell me!
The kind of seats from which all these comments projecting onto the Red Wall their own prejudices seem to be coming from anyway.
I can't think of a single commentator on this site from a Red Wall seat who is expressing those views or endorsing Suella Braverman. Those who seem to be doing so, seem to be in more typically safe blue seats than Red Wall seats.
Red Wall has become a flippant byline for people's own prejudices rather than thinking seriously about what people here actually want.
The new SNP leader might not have a majority, but nobody else will either.
It does now appear that the Grand Jury can’t be convinced to issue charges, in this particular case anyway.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/mediacentre/statements/bbc-singers-funding
Your repeated argument of "the new SNP leader isn't necessarily going to be the new FM" relies on all other parties coalescing around a single candidate.
Come on.
The problem was always that they don't care and vote for them anyway.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/24/top-lawyers-defy-bar-declare-will-not-prosecute-peaceful-climate-protesters
A new Scottish Ipsos poll for the Times gives Sturgeon a still healthy +8% rating. Forbes though is on -8%, behind Scottish Labour Leader Sarwar on -4%.
Yousaf is on an abysmal -20% with Scottish voters and Regan an even
worse -23%. Sir Keir by contrast is on -9% with Scots
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/snp-leadership-candidates-unpopular-with-voters-gkxmj5hwj
https://www.parliament.scot/chamber-and-committees/official-report/search-what-was-said-in-parliament/meeting-of-parliament-17-05-2016?meeting=10450&iob=96268
As the result is valid, and as Nicola Sturgeon has received more votes than the total number of votes for the other candidate, I declare that Nicola Sturgeon is selected as the Parliament’s nominee for appointment as First Minister. As required by the Scotland Act 1998, I shall now recommend to Her Majesty that she appoint Nicola Sturgeon as the First Minister.
All the SNP MSPs are going to vote for the new SNP leader. What "other candidate" is going to get more votes?
Techne
Labour 46 -1
Conservative 31 +1
People polling
Labour 43 -2
Conservative 22 +2
Additionally the conservatives increased their vote share last night
https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1639239824488972289?t=t2Q1mdiK-Kef9_kaVhEwdg&s=19
It seems their is an uptick for Sunak and his party but a long way to go
Well, there's a shock.
Here is the latest German news midday today:
https://www.tagesschau.de/sendung/letzte-sendung/
First item is the coming transport strikes in Germany on Monday.
Second: the EU summit discussing rules on when the sale ICE cars will be banned, and the banking crisis.
Third: war in Ukraine.
Fourth: arguments about the funding of future corona vaccinations in Germany.
Fifth: the financial markets.
Sixth: state of high-speed internet in Germany.
Seventh: Ramadan in Germany.
Eighth: Bayern reportedly parting with Nagelsmann.
I believe there is surplus demand for medical school places, but that is essentially a limiter preventing a surplus supply of potential junior doctors from existing.
If you want to increase the supply of potential junior doctors then expanding medical schools would be an option, but that would take time and money that is not in place today. To be a Junior Doctor requires you to be qualified for that role, not simply a medical school applicant.
If so, Keir Starmer must be the best lawyer ever. He's sold his soul to the devil and still swindled him.
In the real world, all SNP MSPs are going to vote for the new SNP leader to be FM and no other single candidate is going to get enough votes to overcome that. Why are you wasting time denying the obvious?
I've already said it many times, it's time for the government to lift the cap on medical school places so universities and hospitals can train as many doctors as are necessary and then we'll see what the NPV of doctoring actually is, if it turns out we train too many we end up becoming a next exporter of doctors for a while until the NPV rises again.
(Apropos of nothing: Apocryphal judge: "You leave this court with no stain on your character save that of an acquittal by a Snaresbrook jury")
From what I saw Forbes gets this rather simple concept and the others don't.
If you want to look at a free market in doctors looks like for pay, it is the USA.
Equally, whatever their approval ratings now, whoever becomes the new FM will immediately be seen differently. I suspect the winner will see some boost in his or her ratings.
It certainly is going to be true that some of the cases will be stronger than others and political DAs might try their luck - this New York one actually looks rather tricky to prove beyond a reasonable doubt. But there is legal recourse to deal with that sort of thing, it would not make its way through when there is money and clout fighting anything insufficient.
But ultimately, a medical degree is expensive to deliver, and the benefits to the NHS arrive around a decade later.
And we have a political system and culture that favours spending money on us now.