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Trump now an evens chance of winning the GOP WH2024 nomination – politicalbetting.com

The big move in US Politics of late has been back to Trump for the 2024 Republican Party nomination. At the same time, there has been a decline in the betting on the Florida governor, Ron DeSantis.
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I'm starting to think @Dura_Ace was right and only death will stop him from being the nominee.
It’s like some nightmare from which we cannot awake
Must be even worse if you’re American
The former CEO of Fujitsu is one Michael Keegan, husband of the Education Secretary. He is a Crown Representative in the Cabinet Office with special responsibility for managing contracts with BaE. The other company he was on the board of, Centerprise Ltd, was awarded some 17 governments contracts during 2019-20. His expertise is, according to him, in Technology, IT, Payment and Banking Services.
Quite why someone who was in charge of a company intimately involved in and partly responsible for possibly the worst and largest miscarriage of justice in British history is in such a comfortable position when sub-postmasters are having to fight for every scrap of compensation is one to ponder.
Johnson and Truss anti France is history as a new 'entente cordiale' begins and thank goodness for that
Pence will get a shock win in the evangelical heavy Iowa in the caucuses and DeSantis will win New Hampshire. Trump us soon forced to drop out and mends fences with his former VP who he endorses to ensure DeSantis doesn't get the nomination.
Biden moves Harris to State or the SC and makes Buttigieg his VP nominee instead.
Remember the last time a President lost after only 1 term of his party in the White House, Carter in 1980, the nominee ended up being his VP Mondale in 1984 to take on President Reagan who faced similar questions on his age as Biden did but famously quipped he 'would not use his opponent's youth and inexperience against him'
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention poll (8 Mar):
🔴 LAB: 42% (-3 from 1 Mar)
🔵 CON: 23% (-1)
🟢 GRN: 10% (+2)
🟠 LDM: 8% (-1)
🟣 RFM: 7% (=)
🟡 SNP: 4% (-1)
Odd silence over Lord Sugar's rants on Twitter, also employed by the BBC.
Since they owe their position To Merit, they are there by divine right. Unlike their aristocratic predecessors who were just their by divine right.
It is nothing less than their due that they receive a big payout and a better job each time they fail.
This is not limited to this country. The career of Ursula von der Leyen is a perfect example.
I like him a lot as a nature presenter but his online presence is irksome. He’s quite badly autistic (self described as such) so he probably doesn’t realise how much he can irritate
https://twitter.com/libe/status/1633904543820857352?t=yGAVtAbjaD75LqxbTIfhmg&s=19
Imagine having a building as beautiful as the Elysee Palace and then filling it with chairs as ugly as this
https://twitter.com/jrmaidment/status/1634137235174879232
Lab 50%
Con 19%
Grn 13%
LD 13%
Ref 5%
Rest of South
Lab 36%
Con 26%
LD 13%
Grn 11%
Ref 7%
Midlands and Wales
Lab 39%
Con 29%
Grn 11%
Ref 7%
PC 5%
LD 5%
North
Lab 50%
Con 20%
Ref 9%
Grn 7%
LD 3%
Scotland
SNP 47%
Lab 28%
Con 8%
Grn 6%
LD 6%
Ref 3%
(PeoplePolling/GB News; 1,231; 8 March)
“Go get the worst chairs possible. As an insult to our British friends”
Alternatively they sought the smallest lowest chairs possible, so no one will notice these two men are both three foot high
Looking at the quality of the Labour front bench, it might just work.
https://www.newsweek.com/justin-trudeau-and-emmanuel-macron-reunite-paris-and-are-closest-friends-888885
Ho ho.
At least on the evidence of this decision.
https://www.canlii.org/en/qc/qccq/doc/2023/2023qccq630/2023qccq630.html
… To be abundantly clear, it is not a crime to give someone the finger. Flipping the proverbial bird is a God-given, Charter enshrined right that belongs to every red-blooded Canadian. It may not be civil, it may not be polite, it may not be gentlemanly.
[169] Nevertheless, it does not trigger criminal liability. Offending someone is not a crime. It is an integral component of one’s freedom of expression. Citizens are to be thicker-skinned, especially when they behave in ways that are highly likely to trigger such profanity – like driving too fast on a street where innocent kids are playing. Being told to “fuck off” should not prompt a call to 9-1-1…
… 174] In the modern-day vernacular, people often refer to a criminal case “being thrown out”. Obviously, this is little more than a figurative expression. Cases aren’t actually thrown out, in the literal or physical sense. Nevertheless, in the specific circumstances of this case, the Court is inclined to actually take the file and throw it out the window, which is the only way to adequately express my bewilderment with the fact that Mr. Epstein was subjected to an arrest and a fulsome criminal prosecution. Alas, the courtrooms of the Montreal courthouse do not have windows.
[175] A mere verdict of acquittal will have to suffice.
Oddly, they now think R&W are superb chaps. Why would that be?
Plus ça change.
Is that the poll done with actuarial precision by the top notch firm,Redfield&Wilton Strategies…2employees,Director Bruno Augusto Kormann Rodrigues,no office ,assets of £846 &exempt from audit.Those polling experts??Nats.You’re having a laugh,surely?
https://twitter.com/marthasupermum/status/1598092466607263746?s=46
Who won't take the better job and the pile of money as a reward for abject failure?
If you can find one, Diogenes can put down his lantern at long, long, last.
I can see Trump abandoning Ukraine though. Either that or a nuclear first strike on Russia.
Trump in the WH would see the rest of Europe looking at copying Poland’s 4-5% GDP defence spending.
In any event, Ukraine’s likely fate will be decided well before November next year.
And again, it’s not impossible for Russia to rebuild its forces within five, not ten years. Given the right circumstances (Trump lifting sanctions, for example).
Monbiot learns to read character, but a little late in the day.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/10/russell-brand-politics-public-figures-responsibility
Plus taking part in UN and NATO operations
Instead, we have relied heavily on the US, who are now looking to the East rather than the West, and the bear is awake and angry.
You do seem to have forgotten however the US invaded Canada in the War of 1812 and the Canadians pushed them back only with support from Britain
And “taking part in NATO operations” doesn’t determine what aspects of its capabilities we decide to fund. It’s rather the other way around.
I'd be mighty pissed if the King of Canada (if there was such a thing*) prosecuted me for flipping the bird in the UK. Will KCIII be done for wasting court time?
*Yes, I know, there is - KCIII - but you get what I mean, hopefully
Not a Harley model. Just some arsehole with limited imagination and faulty sense of aesthetics.
I have a Harley Pan America and love it. It's got an Akrapovic can and link pipe on it to annoy Leon.
https://twitter.com/petronellawyatt/status/1633779516559466497?s=46
There are plenty of people in top jobs who got them on merit, work hard, have ethics, do not abjectly fail, and if they did would not expect to be rewarded for it, of course there are. And my question - a serious one since I want to know what you're on about with this - is are these good ones in top jobs pukka members of your New Upper 10,000?
Or can you only be in the New Upper 10,000 if you're one of the bad 'abjectly fail and expect reward for it' ones?
Trump is even more pro Taiwan and anti Xi's China than Biden is
As a matter of interest do you support my comments abovr
Or, to put it another way, the bear that worries the US most at the moment is Winnie The Pooh.
If we want to deal with some the structural issues we talk about in this country, it will require not shuffling the failures in circles.
EDIT: It rather resembles the question of Starmer under Corbyn. These people sit on the boards, and watch as the guilty are praised, the innocent punished and uninvolved rewarded. Yet they do not speak out. Why?
[8] For reasons explained below, the Court is resoundingly acquitting the accused. Since I’m hesitant to draft an entire decision in bold and caps-lock characters, I offer the following observations instead.
The EU fees from the UK have stopped. This leaves the EU with a budget problem. The massive fines we coughed up for importing things from China (or something) will tide them over for a while, but they will need some form of wheeze. Sunak will do his best to oblige. His own brand of rigid fiscal responsibility only seems to apply when considering tax cuts for the UK.
Difficult days for @StuartDickson not only in the civil war in the SNP but Sweden being the worse performing country in the EU
Lab 28%
Con 8%
Grn 6%
LD 6%
Ref 3%
(PeoplePolling/GB News; 1,231; 8 March)
Tories in single figures and the SNP near 50%, after 15 years in government and eleven election victories in a row.
The lack of self-awareness is stunning.
As the article points out, we have some hard choices about what capabilities we can afford to fund within the budget constraints.
… In 2021, the Ministry of Defence’s command paper stated: ‘The Army will be designed to operate globally on a persistent basis.’ Such talk has faded since February 2022. Within months of Russia’s onslaught on Kyiv, General Sanders emphasised that Europe would now be the army’s ‘singular focus’.
Lacking a clear sense of purpose would be less of a problem if the British Army could still field a full suite of capabilities. After all, defence spending is akin to an expensive insurance premium. The UK armed forces have long tried to maintain their status as a ‘tier one’ military, able to deter or tackle any threat – from non-state actors to peer adversaries. The British Army has traditionally prided itself as a ‘reference army’ for many allies and partners. Yet, after decades of falling defence spending (in relative terms), the decision not to specialise seems questionable at best and negligent at worst. For years, the army has traded mass for the promise of better technology (for example, the Ajax reconnaissance vehicle) and has now reached a critical point where it cannot meaningfully do it all…
We simply can’t afford a full suite of capabilities without doubling what we spend on defence.
We’ve pretended that we can for the last decade, but as equipment obsoletes, or gets used in Ukraine, we’ve reached the point we have to make those choices.
https://distancecalculator.globefeed.com/Distance_Between_Countries_Result.asp?fromplace=Russia&toplace=Canada
The shortest distance between Canada and Russia is 1253 km.
And between the UK and Russia is 1198 km.