Biden edges up to become WH2024 betting favourite – politicalbetting.com
Biden edges up to become WH2024 betting favourite – politicalbetting.com
After his punchy State of the Union address this week the betting money has started to flow back onto Joe Biden to win the 2024 presidential election.
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There were some very lucky MPs who had rental agreements that looked extremely dodgy to say the least, no contract, no receipts, paid to mates.
That was possibly the worst SOTU of all time - and Tump did some of them.
He’s keeping his nose clean for 2028 or 2032, knows that 2024 is going to be dominated by the Trump sh!t-show.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhJRzQsLZGg
‘Chlamydia can be cured but there’s no cure for regret.’
Is De Santis made of wood? do we have a duck to weigh him against?
Starmer being middle of the road on policy is evidence that he is both a Hard Right Ultra Tory and A Communist To The Left of Mao?
https://youtube.com/@RubinReport/featured
I have to run away for a couple of hours, because I have a wife and dinner!
Unless both of the other two favourites are clearly out in the next six months, he’ll bide his time..
(Born 1978, same as your good self).
Trump meanwhile leads DeSantis 42% to 32% in new Yougov of GOP voters
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/feb/09/former-sheffield-hallam-mp-jared-omara-jailed-for-four-years
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/02/09/ftse-100-markets-live-news-energy-bills-housing-market-musk/
Squeaky bum time.
They were supposed to have Oliver Coppard - who is now Mayor of Sarf Yorkshire. But he had to drop out and as I understand it O'Mara was a Corbynite parachutee.
So it sounds like the vetting process was if he pledged fealty to Jezbollah and would wind up the constituency. Which happened a lot. In Stockton South we managed to avoid having Jessie Jessie Jessie Jo Jacobs imposed on us by doing a backroom deal with the regional director. So the "selection" of Dr Paul Williams over JJJ was literally a couple of us on the phone bagging him quicker than Momentum could get JJJJJ imposed over the regional director's head.
Who did the bagging for O'Mara then...?
And he does.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3849675-desantis-edges-closer-to-2024-decision/
If he chickens out, his numerous boosters in the GOP will be looking elsewhere in four years time. And there's no guarantee his governorship will look as shiny by then; quite the opposite.
Whether that makes him a Republican or just a loon is another question.
That turned out to be a mistake.
New European Super League announced, to replace Champions League
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/football/2023/02/09/european-super-league-new-tournament-to-replace-champions-league/
Beating Biden in 2024 may be the only chance Republicans get to become President for a generation
Mortgage flipping, for a start.
“Northern Ireland election delayed until January 2024, as government remains in limbo”
They think January elections are do able, despite campaigning over Christmas, risk of stay at home weather warnings etc.
40% - the "F*ck You Republicans". Typically rural whites or blue collar whites that actively delight in their politicians being active assholes to those outside their group.
45% - the "Strength and Decorum Republicans". Higher income folks that want their tax cuts and hate being imposed on. They want someone strong to fight back against Democrats but want it done in a way that doesn't make them embarrassed in polite company.
15% - the "Civil and Intellectual Republicans". People that have studies conservative theory, believe in liberal democracy and are intellectually consistent.
Trump obviously scoops up the 40% very quickly because he is the most unrestrained asshole out there. Now in theory the second two groups can join forces to defeat Trump, and polling sometimes suggests this.
But as soon as the primary starts, Trump tears down his rivals and it doesn't hurt him with his 40%, because they like him being an asshole. The victim is now screwed. If they don't fight back and remain above the fray, they seem weak and lose support among the second group. If they do fight back, the Trumpians hate him for attacking their guy, while the Strength and Decorum guys feel he is no better than Trump so he doesn't consolidate them. And the Civil ones go right off him.
And of course, if there are more than two opponents to Trump, Trump romps home in a divided field.
That's an odd sort of compliment.
Not to run would almost certainly be seen as chickening out, rather than playing the long game. Perceived cowardice is a fatal flaw in a politician.
The biggest take down of Griffin wasn't the QT appearance, it was when interviewed by Iain Dale. Where Dale said ok, we know your views on immigration etc, lets talk about your other ideas, and because it took him away from his stock area of race he totally blew up as he had no idea how any of the Corbynista type policies could be made possible.
Parties now have until 18 January 2024 to form an executive - if they fail, a new election will then be held within 12 weeks of that date.
Currently USA insulin price is around 8-15 times higher than Europe.
https://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/comparing-insulin-prices-us-other-countries
She was ok (ish) just say 3 months ago but now - no. Which illustrates what I think the real risk with Biden is and why he kind of is too old to run again in an ideal world. He's fine now but could be struggling at some point in a 2nd term.
https://twitter.com/eliothiggins/status/1623693699224829952
Biden's potential lifeline for Florida Democrats
“They have not given up. To the contrary, they are going to fight," said Rep. Kathy Castor.
https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/09/bidens-potential-lifeline-for-florida-democrats-00081954
I was going to ask RCS for a citation of great Democrat politicians who chickened out challenging Bush 92, but I have thought of a better question. If Biden didn’t run, the list of good Democrat presidential talent would be wafer thin wouldn’t it? On that basis, the future of the Whitehouse is in GOP hands isn’t it, Democrats locked out for several decades due to dearth of presidential material waiting in the wings?
This thread is very close to being one topic! Have we exhausted all there is to say about lavatory hygiene?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64579269
Fuckit. Shitting hell fuckit basteward.
You've laid out an argument, and elided the most significant bit of it.
EDIT: If you want to keep up with space stuff, read nasaspaceflight.com. Despite the name, it covers rocketry worldwide. The contributors include a lot of people in the industry.
And thanks too to RP, who I see provided the link as well.
Which sounds expensive for the US Government if they don't get at the supply side.
No impact on medical insurance companies.
Seymour Hersh's marbles have left the building.
I still convinced Biden the last Democratic President for quite a long while.
In fact the response to Buttelgeig, Harris, Sanders, Newsome, Klubacher, is more than no, it’s good grief!
What are you going to say, only recently elected Pritzker, flaky weirdo Shapiro, or the even more deeply untrustworthy libertarian Polis? Absolutely none of these names will ever get remotely near the presidency in a battle with a Republican candidate (we all saw how Hilary was turned into mincemeat). Except perhaps the anti lockdown chancer Polis. And even then as an outside bet.
Something happens somewhere in the world. Your task is to blame it on US/NATO. If it takes 28 steps, so be it. A 29th that takes the blame beyond US/NATO - that's WRONG.
When the Rwandan Genocide kicked off, the number of twats, who hadn't heard of Rwanda, but were utterly certain that the genocide was US run....
"My hands are shaking, don't let my heart keep breaking cos ...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XhwH_bYeNiE
I can’t really play any instrument, but I did learn how to play “Don’t Make Me Over” on the piano.
"WASHINGTON, D.C.— 66th U.S. Secretary of State Dr. Condoleezza Rice and Former President of the United Republic of Tanzania Dr. Jakaya Mrisho Kikwete will join President George W. Bush for a conversation during PEPFAR at 20, an event marking 20 years of the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) hosted by the George W. Bush Institute at the United States Institute of Peace on Feb. 24 starting at 9:00 a.m. ET. The trio will discuss the inception of PEPFAR, its enormous impact, and how the program is a win for both partner countries and for U.S. foreign policy."
source: https://www.bushcenter.org/newsroom/pepfar-at-20
This will annoy some people, but I think it nearly certain that Bush's Christian beliefs were why he proposed this program.
I hope there are no fights at the Guardian over who gets to attend this event.
(Bill Gates recently claimed -- in a Washington Post opinion piece -- that the program has saved 25 million lives, so far. Amazingly, neither Obama nor Trump screwed up the program, though Obama was thinking of doing so. He was, as I recall, discouaged from doing so by Bishop Tutu, among others.)
I've mentioned on here before that I've been receiving treatment for depression for a while, and during that period, about a year of which was spent in Scotland, I wasn't seen by a single doctor in person - all my consultations were over the phone.
In one of these consultations I mentioned that I'd been uncharacteristically tired, sleeping during the day, and I thought it might be a post-Covid symptom, but it was brushed off as a typical symptom of depression, though my depression had never presented in that way before.
I've recently moved to Ireland, which I'd always thought had an even worse health system than Britain, and had an appointment with a GP, in person, recently for a repeat prescription. They decided to order some blood tests, and the result of these tests is that I am severely iron-deficient, and the resulting anaemia would explain my extreme tiredness and lethargy, which hasn't helped to deal with my depression.
With iron supplements I should start to feel more energetic relatively quickly, but under the care of the NHS this would have remained undiagnosed.
My wife moved from Ireland to live with me in 2009, and her experience was the main reason I thought the Irish health system was worse than the NHS, but she says it is clear that it has deteriorated severely since then.
It's obvious to a lot of people in Britain that the NHS is struggling, but you don't know the half of it until you experience health care in another modern European country. It is so much worse then you realise. You deserve better.