Nikki Haley at 17/1 looks value for the WH2024 GOP nomination – politicalbetting.com
Nikki Haley at 17/1 looks value for the WH2024 GOP nomination – politicalbetting.com
We are getting to that time when possible contenders for next year’s White House race start putting there hats into the ring and indicating that they might be making a formal bid for the nomination of their parties.
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She is way too moderate for Trumpite white working class Republicans and evangelicals alike. The 2024 nomination battle will be between Trump and DeSantis with an outside chance for Pence still if he wins the evangelical dominated Iowa caucuses
I'd still say, from my very vague understanding, that PSG are favourites, but it's 3 points and the halfway mark in the season. Contrast La Liga, Real Madrid are 3 points off Barcelona and 2.87 for the title. Name recognition? Real Sociedad are 3 points further back (but have a game in hand) and 201 for the title... free bet, if you've got one, perhaps.
But (there is always a but) OGH may see this as a trading bet and thus wants to be able to lay off when the price contracts without tying up yet more money (or might just be banned by the books).
25/1, for the team 3 points off the lead in January, seems like a good bet to me. Especially if you can get an each-way.
From memory, Ligue 1 had the least competitive title market pre-season (Serie A was perhaps the best, then the EPL, with Bundesliga and Ligue 1 having very clear favourites). Suspect this may have some effect on the current market, perhaps. First season trying to bet fairly seriously (low stakes, but trying to get a decent rate of success) on football, so not sure.
The way even a hat can become part of a PR scheme:
https://twitter.com/AKamyshin/status/1618172049423495170
I agree with Mike; worth a trading bet at 17/1.
More chance than Pence.
Who among them can make the case that Trump lost the 2020 election and that's why they need a new candidate, and win that argument with Republican primary voters?
I’ll take a bet that the London Underground hat is going to go on a long tour of Ukraine, and be photographed next to every station and landmark they can find.
Well done Boris! A fun story, making lives of people in a sh!tty situation, that little bit better.
Given the differences of opinion as to whether PSG should be 1/10 or 1/100 for the title, perhaps that is where the value lies. Since few take Ligue 1 seriously as a betting proposition (look how far down it is buried on most sites) it is quite possible someone has got it wrong about a team whose forward line is Mbappe, Neymar and Messi. I shan't be playing.
If the announcements come today it will only be 11 days since the British announcement on sending Challenger 2 tanks.
Haley has no chance in Iowa or NH and probably not even her home state of South Carolina
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/25/microsoft-investigating-teams-and-outlook-outage-as-users-report-issues.html
Happy WFH on Burns Night Day.
I note it's reported the US tanks (30 plus) will not be from military stocks, but ordered from the manufacturer.
So Germany gets its political cover, and Ukraine won't have to deal with two sets of very complicated logistics this year.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-64397643
The first Russian terrorist mass missile attack on Mariupol. 31 people died, 117 were injured.
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1617915233326231552
For all those little shits who think this is somehow Ukraine's fault, that the west 'poked' Russia into it, that this is anything other than Russian imperialism.
https://twitter.com/MSFT365Status/status/1618178407316987905
https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/Decoder/2016/0202/The-two-numbers-that-explain-Iowa-caucus-vote
American political religion is a strange one - plenty of evangelicals will happily vote for a hard core Catholic, these days.
The detail in the linked thread is impressive.
https://mobile.twitter.com/jason_kint/status/1618029720599408643
ok, let's do this. I've now read all 153 pages of United States vs Google filed earlier today. As I've said earlier, Google is royally screwed.
The suit is super well-written building on prior work investigating Google’s market power abuse leveraging advertising technologies. ...
Ron DeSantis
-£446.22
Joe Biden
£959.21
Kamala Harris
£152.96
Gavin Newsom
-£868.34
Mike Pence
-£963.20
Michelle Obama
-£482.64
Hillary Clinton
-£457.84
Tulsi Gabbard
-£927.44
Dwayne Johnson
-£956.84
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
-£767.84
Liz Cheney
-£948.54
Nikki Haley & everyone else including the Donald.
£139.32
Betfair tells me this is worth -£6.71 to cash out at the moment.
Not sure that Google won't be facing the same thing.
She's also not a charisma free weirdo.
During the Wars of Religion, quite a few Catholics said that Protestants weren't Christians, IIRC. Some Protestants claimed that the Catholic Church was so corrupt, that it was really devil worship.
Same thing in Islam.
In American Religious politics, the who "culture war" + abortion thing has become a meeting ground. The litmus test is how hard core on those issues the politician is, not so much their denomination.
Much of the remaining support for Trump is because he delivered all the judges (and more) that he promised. Overturning Roe vs Wade was *the* victory these people wanted.
I've also got Biden for the nom at Smarkets at around 2-1. Those docs are a bigger worry than his age! but with Pence story coming out it could end up like MP's expenses.
"Our military pilots traveled to the US. The type of aircraft that will probably be provided to 🇺🇦 and the corresponding terms for pilot training have already been determined," - Yuriy Ignat, speaker of the Ukrainian Air Force.
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1617868545731465217
https://www.politico.com/amp/news/2022/06/24/pence-we-must-not-rest-until-abortion-is-outlawed-in-every-state-00042315
Maybe AI can save us. Let’s hope so. Because our politicians sure as hell don’t have a clue. We risk becoming a mix of Italy and Argentina but with worse migration problems and less sun. So, worse
The Trump case is very different - the deliberate removal of thousands of documents, some highly classified, from the WH, and a subsequent saga of deliberate lies and obstruction lasting years.
The Biden and Pence cases seriously muddy the water, but perhaps insufficiently to save Trump from the consequences of his actions.
SpaceX has repeatedly launched, now, competitors in the LEO data provision space to Starlink. At prices that are equal to those they've charged for other launches.
Which shuts down charges of monopoly abuse.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/jul/11/catholicism.religion
As we saw with Trump, the religious right are quite capable of voting for the candidate they think will win, rather than the fellow evangelical.
Pence is certainly not the former; Haley is at the very least a 5% chance to be so.
Might take 9 tonight
Most of the people complaining about Apple, are large multinational corporations worried that Apple is eating into their profit margins.
Sure, they’re a big company, but there’s a lot more companies well ahead of them in the evil stakes. First, look at the companies where those complaining are mostly small businesses and individuals.
The next few years will certainly be pretty grim, but what happens then isn't yet written.
‘Incredibly concerning’: Bird flu outbreak at Spanish mink farm triggers pandemic fears
Spread among captive mink could give the H5N1 strain opportunities to evolve and adapt to mammals
https://www.science.org/content/article/incredibly-concerning-bird-flu-outbreak-spanish-mink-farm-triggers-pandemic-fears
...But the episode, described in a paper in Eurosurveillance last week, has reignited long-smoldering fears that H5N1 could trigger a human pandemic. The virus is not known to spread well between mammals; people almost always catch it from infected birds, not one another. But now, H5N1 appears to have spread through a densely packed mammalian population and gained at least one mutation that favors mammal-to-mammal spread....
Forget animal rights; Europe should ban mink farming on public health grounds.
Mammalian serial passage in a biohazard level zero facility.
*well, within an easy typo, anyway
The Germans are the punchbag and their lack of action over Ukraine has been appalling. But the failure to plan for a GOP president in 2025, with all that implies for Europe’s defence, is a collective one. It’s moral and political cowardice. A total abdication of responsibility. A disaster in the making.
But as a CEO said to me: "How can we win? Apple have more lawyers than we have engineers."
Which, by a roundabout route, led to this:
http://www.fosspatents.com/2018/12/qualcomm-wins-envelope-tracker-patent_78.html
and I believe this:
https://9to5mac.com/2022/06/27/apple-vs-qualcomm-battle-over/
But it's a long story.
Sure, a zillion non-Apple phones are sold. But iPhone takes most of the profit in that market.
Same with computers. Tablets.
Throwing lawyers at small, innovative, companies, is a different matter though. That’s heading towards evil.
Scholz will probably now argue (at least to his coalition partners and critics within government) that his approach was the right one, if he has ensured a US commitment to tanks, and avoided what he would say was a potentially dangerous uncoupling of US and German/European support for Ukraine.
The German government has just confirmed that the decision to send 14 Leopard tanks to Ukraine was announced by Chancellor Scholz at a cabinet meeting this morning.
Germany will also approve the export of Leopards by third countries."
Huzzah!
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-64396659
"Those who believe in Christ and have been properly baptised (BTW this means by anyone at all with water invoking the trinity) are put in a certain, although imperfect, communion with the (Roman) Catholic Church".
Arizona: F-16
Oregon: F-15C
North Carolina: F-15E
California/Virginia: F/A-18
Arkansas: C-130
Florida: U-28 (fucking LOL)
Nevada: Su-27 (wildcard)
The M series chips are game changers for instance.
Plus that is under the current more liberal Pope Francis.
Many hardliners and traditionalist supporters of the late Pope Benedict and those who disagree with Vatican II would not even agree with that
Germany sends Leopards.
'They're doing it for all the wrong reasons.'
As predictable as Tory tax dodgers and BJ getting us to pay for his away days to Kiev..
https://www.counterpointresearch.com/us-market-smartphone-share/
*) What's available in enough numbers.
*) What UA pilots and ground crew can be trained on quickly.
*) What is good enough to make a real difference.
*) What price the US is willing to pay.
It'd be 'interesting' for them to get F16, and fly out of Poland (as Poland already has maintenance experience on F16's). After all, Russia attack from Belarussia...