Biden needs to make clear now that he won’t run in 2024 – politicalbetting.com
Biden needs to make clear now that he won’t run in 2024 – politicalbetting.com
He’s malfunctioning again pic.twitter.com/MquEViqCZD
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Does he not lame duck himself by ruling out a 2nd term?
Biden would be 82 at the next election, and 86 when he leaves office. Ridiculous. He can barely talk coherently, now
This guy is never going to be a poster child for miscarriages of justice, but this is a ludicrous thing to happen. His initial sentence should have reflected 100% all the victim's suffering and her shortened life expectancy. Murder used to have a year and a day rule for a reason.
Also, what a disgusting and worthless film Reservoir Dogs is.
Though yes a younger more centrist candidate like Biden's Transport Secretary and 2020 candidate Buttigieg would be the Democrats best bet. Especially if De Santis beats Trump for the GOP nomination, as in 2020 a lot of Biden votes were anti Trump rather than for him
But seriously, the president is about to turn 80, it’s time to stand aside. The biggest problem with that, is how to stop Kamala Harris becoming the nominee by default.
DeDantis still likely beats anyone, so long as Trump doesn’t do a Ross Perot and fly solo.
Not sure why
But it would have been illegal up to 1996:
The rule known as the “year and a day rule” (that is, the rule that, for the purposes of offences involving death and of suicide, an act or omission is conclusively presumed not to have caused a person's death if more than a year and a day elapsed before he died) is abolished for all purposes.
Law Reform (Year and a Day Rule) Act 1996
That said, Biden ran twice before and failed for various reasons, people can probably surprise
If he was even 4 years younger Biden probably wouldn't be facing this concern - unless you're lucky those 4 years can make a really big difference at that age.
(No, not really).
RDS is very much a data guy. So, that is going to play into how he looks at things.
First off, I don't think he goes with the regular names - Cruz, Rubio, Cotton etc. None of thing bring anything extra in terms of votes either geographically or by demographic. Same goes for the likes of Abbott.
Second, I don't think he will go for a Hispanic running mate, despite the obvious play. He's not only won FL but massively expanding the GOP's hold. It's clear he can win Hispanic voters and they are trending in any case to the GOP in many areas. Where they are not is generally in areas where the unions are very strong (CA, NV etc) so there's no advantage.
That leaves three likely possibilities.
One is Tim Scott of SC. He's very good, experienced and, of course, Black. However, he doesn't bring a new geographical area. More to the point, the GOP has tried with a number of Black candidates and it doesn't seem to weaken the D's hold on the electorate (which is based on church in many cases).
The second is Nikki Hailey or someone similar. There the target is suburban women who have deserted the GOP. That's a definite option, so specially if the view cements that abortion cost the GOP votes.
The third, would be Lee Zeldin, given not only how close he ran Kathy Hochul in NY but also how he's credited with dragging several House candidates across the line (and arguably giving the GOP its House majority). No one is thinking NY would go DeSantis (though it's clear the foundations for the Ds are shakier than thought) but he would be seen as someone who would appeal to WWC voters who want someone tough on crime and speaks their language
Can anyone report back?
Trump has no loyalty to the Republican Party. He cares about himself and his family. He doesn't want DeSantis to succeed, even if DeSantis was doing Trump-y things.
This is what makes the coming year and a bit so difficult for the Republican Party.
There are several in CA with under 50% counted with Rep leads.
If most or all were to turn Dem then Dem could win - assuming Dem don't lose their current leads.
No idea re likelihood.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2022/results/house?election-data-id=2022-HG&election-painting-mode=projection&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false
The best president out of all those who are currently considered possibles would be Michelle Obama. She would actually seek to change important stuff for the better in the USA and she may well be as feared as Trump (who is feared for the diametrically opposite reason that he would wreck the place even further by starting a civil war).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strom_Thurmond
Okay so Joe Biden stumbles over a few words but seems pretty physically agile. I'd rather have him than a zippy younger evangelical zealot.
Very good article in today's i on ageing and about how it's a myth that ageing mean irreversible decline.
https://inews.co.uk/inews-lifestyle/how-reverse-age-reset-your-biological-clock-1961196
Don't be ageist @MikeSmithson !
This is Mexican songstress Natalia Lafourcade
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JODaYjDyjyQ
Bloomberg could go again, if only to constantly remind Trump what a reallllly rich guy is.
Dont think there is a realistic chance GOP dont take house
Biden seems in decent enough nick, physically, but the chances of a swift deterioration do increase quite markedly.
Trump running makes the Democrat candidate a dead cert, which I assume to be Biden (since he says so) unless he drops and they pick someone equally repellent - like Hillary Clinton.
So after the 1996 Act he can have a murder charge added to his previous GBH charge
HMQ went well into her 90s - albeit with increasing problems - and Biden will run and calibrate how he does the Presidency accordingly for his age if he wants to.
My point though about how they look after themselves way better than the UK equivalents stands. Ours have gone to seed and booze.
Joe Biden is positively sprightly.
It'd basically rely upon them to lose every single remaining close race.
If he doesn't say he backs Harris that's a slam on her, and the party immediately starts sticking daggers in one another. If he does say he backs Harris they still do that
drinkingevening."If you are a Dem voter in Nevada / Clark County and have received a message to cure your ballot, please reach out and do so. The Clark County Elections Department has a hotline for those who receive a notice. That hotline is (702) 455-6552. EVERY VOTE COUNTS."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radio_Data_System
"Born in Jacksonville, DeSantis spent most of his childhood in Dunedin, Florida. He graduated from Yale University and Harvard Law School. DeSantis joined the United States Navy in 2004 and was promoted to lieutenant before serving as a legal advisor to SEAL Team One; he was deployed to Iraq in 2007.
During his military career, DeSantis has been awarded the Bronze Star Medal, the Navy and Marine Corps Commendation Medal, the Global War on Terrorism Service Medal, and the Iraq Campaign Medal.[20][21][22] As of 2022, he is still serving in the U.S. Navy Reserve.[1]
When he returned to the U.S. a year later, the U.S. Department of Justice appointed DeSantis to serve as a Special Assistant U.S. attorney..."
(Wiki)
And so on
And he has the perfect telegenic family
I agree that he would beat, soundly, almost any conceivable Democrat opponent. He just needs Trump to eff off
1. His social conservatism/ abortion views could energise the young and female vote just as it seems to have harmed the GOP this week.
2. It is not yet clear who his Dem opponent will be and it could result in a much stiffer challenge than an aged Biden would present, and there is no certainty whatsoever that it would be Harris.
3. You allude to Trump running as an independent and even if he doesn't he is not the sort of person that takes defeat gracefully. He will be a real thorn in DeSantis's side from here on in and his really fanatical supporters may well stay at home if he's not on the ballot on 2024. The issue of getting a conservative majority on the Supreme Court has become irrelevant
Their second best hope is they face Trump again, their worst scenario is DeSantis wins the GOP nomination clearly and Trump then reluctantly endorses him
I don't see a reason why Biden can't complete a second term. He's always said stupid shit too.
She seems like Penny Mordaunt to me, without the popularity.
There's a rock, paper, scissors thing going on.
https://twitter.com/ralstonreports/status/1590778229941379073?s=46&t=kWXfogyBD9pgrwB8FUQqKA
Joe Biden should retire gracefully, and furthermore what does it say about US politics that someone like Biden can be seen as the future
I should comment that I am delighted Trump has failed and hopefully both the Democrats and Republicans can field decent candidates in 2024 and not the tired old guard
6000 in Douglas.
That was not in the script
That's a route back to political sanity for the whole nation, and a long step away from the civil war precipice
De Santis is rightwing and anti-Woke enough to be entirely agreeable to the Republicans (apart from the outright QAnon nutters) BUT he is not an election denier, he's not mad, Trump dislikes and fears him (a good sign), and he might actually be a good, clever president. So the left can at least tolerate De Santis (apart from the ultra-woke, but they are as bad and as intractable as the QAnon types on the right, and should be ignored for the same reason)
Say De Santis wins two terms, by the end the Democrats should have purged their Marxist nutters and they will then offer a young centrist candidate who then wins for the Dems. And America is saved!
De Santis is the optimistic option for the USA. Trump remains the nightmare
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-some-democratic-voters-reluctant-to-support-a-gay-candidate/
Here's his own summary: "Writing this book has been an opportunity to collect and synthesize experiences over a fifteen-year journey in climate and energy. I began by believing we were in a race to save the planet from climate catastrophe. Since then, I've evolved to become a public critic of how The Science of climate science is presented." (p. 249)
For those impressed by credentials, I'll add that he is a theoretical physicist, was a vice president at Caltech, and "Undersecretary for Science in the U. S. Department of Energy under President Obama".
(You don't need to be a physicist to understand the book, though you would need to be to follow some of his many references.)
https://twitter.com/TheLeoTerrell/status/1586703602197864452
I have no doubt that google is institutionally warmist, but the first two results which are critiques of the book are very strongly critical
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/a-new-book-manages-to-get-climate-science-badly-wrong/
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2021/08/15/book-review-unsettled-what-climate-science-tells-us-what-it-doesnt-and-why-it-matters-by-steve-koonin/
At a critical juncture for his administration, party AND country. Ditto world.
IF Joe Biden decides (or is compelled) NOT to run in '24, then probably better for Democrats in general AND eventual Democratic nominee in this scenario) that official starting gun NOT sound for another six months and perhaps more.
Including for hopefuls currently members of the Biden administration.
And of course, PB itself.
So he brought the law in Florida in line with the EU average and is more liberal on the matter than for example Germany.
2) It’s not obvious there are Democrat politicians ready to break from the field who really would present a significantly stiffer challenge than Biden. Perhaps? I still think the Democrats best chance is a celebrity candidate rather than a serving politician. Michelle Obama or Matthew McConaughey. But they’re not yet desperate enough to cast aside the career politicians.
3) No Trump on the ballot might keep the fanatical MAGA and apathetic left leaning middle at home in equal measure.
#Fetterman24
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VAZZTjj6yM
John Edgar Hoover (January 1, 1895 – May 2, 1972)
On its own, nowhere near enough to change previous analysis but question is how much is left in all other rural counties?