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Latest Truss vote share betting as we wait for the election result – politicalbetting.com

1246

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  • Sky showing dire polling for Truss.

    She has a mountain to climb to rebuild her reputation after basically razing it to the ground in the hustings by refusing to say anything meaningful about CoL.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,824
    edited September 2022
    I like the fact that as Britain reveals its new prime minister, the biggest domestic politics story of the year, politicalbetting.com is deep into a conversation on the best way of peeling garlic, the correct time to spend cooking dinner, the 50 pest pubs in the country, and the use of stock in risottos


    And fancy cheese sandwiches with egg
  • I will die laughing.

    All the way to the bank.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272
    Have I tuned into PB, or to an episode of Ready, Steady, Cook?
  • CD13CD13 Posts: 6,378
    edited September 2022
    Mr Doof,

    "Are you suggesting the Guardian journalists should not criticise Truss's policies because they supported Johnson resigning?"

    I think I can make a safe prediction. The Guardian will criticise Ms Truss's policies whatever they are. It's the same with all newspapers - they are biased, and their biases are based on their readership. Facts never matter, they only get in the way sometimes.

    The 'I' began with a specialist science writer. I met him briefly before he disappeared forever. I watched a BBC journalist interview a specialist a few months ago.. He was extremely eloquant and scientific. She was thick, and kept interrupting to ask some extremely idiotic questions she had written down in front of her. It was embarrassing.

    And as for Professor Peston? Jeez.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,653
    Leon said:

    Definitely need to try this knife-crushing thing. Ta. It's the skin peeling bit that drives me nuts. You get papery-sticky bits of garlic skin on your fingers. Drives me nuts
    There's a youtube channel I watch sometimes ("Epicurious") while cooking - it had a short video on various ways of chopping garlic https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-2PGGNEfNM4
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    Candidates told the result.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,630

    I found that if you use a really heavy duty garlic crusher, you don’t need to peel the garlic. While clove goes in, crush, open, flick the skin etc out with the tip of a knife…

    Needs a bit of strength, though. And will destroy a flimsy garlic crusher.

    I have a Spanish made garlic grater - think a saucer with sharp bits all over. Simply rub the cloves over this, the skin comes away and garlic pulp is left behind. There is a little brush to decant the good stuff.

    Bought it at a chilli fair a couple of years ago.
  • Foxy said:

    Have I tuned into PB, or to an episode of Ready, Steady, Cook?

    Nothing much political happening today.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,824
    Dura_Ace said:

    I don't think I've ever cooked anything. Food is just fuel for cycling and to be highly optimised toward that end.
    Yeah, but you also told us in high style that you were "never going traveling again, fuck that foreign travel shit, you fucking cocksuckers" and about two weeks later you went to Cairo
  • Leon said:

    Definitely need to try this knife-crushing thing. Ta. It's the skin peeling bit that drives me nuts. You get papery-sticky bits of garlic skin on your fingers. Drives me nuts
    It works about 80-90% of the time. For some reason there are some cloves whose skin won't come off except with a knife. It is maddening, you are right. But I imagine that with your flint knapping skills this must be quick work for you!
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,920
    edited September 2022

    Sky showing dire polling for Truss.

    She has a mountain to climb to rebuild her reputation after basically razing it to the ground in the hustings by refusing to say anything meaningful about CoL.

    It doesn't say much for her political judgment that for weeks she's continued to play quite unnecessarily to the Tory gallery, thereby diminishing her popularity with the electorate.
  • Why have you got a shower head in your kitchen?
    Bath full of coal naturally.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Odds on St Francis of Assisi?
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited September 2022
    What Boris Johnson needs to do is buy himself a 25,000 artisanal wagon shed like Camerson's, hesitatingly write a few pages of his memoir, with some doodles and daydreams. and wait for the calls to come in.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Here we go!
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Tories apparently electing both the next PM and next LOTO today.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Announcement imminent.
  • Leon said:

    Yeah, but you also told us in high style that you were "never going traveling again, fuck that foreign travel shit, you fucking cocksuckers" and about two weeks later you went to Cairo
    I can imagine that cooking is less fun for vegans

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    Leon said:

    I like the fact that as Britain reveals its new prime minister, the biggest domestic politics story of the year, politicalbetting.com is deep into a conversation on the best way of peeling garlic, the correct time to spend cooking dinner, the 50 pest pubs in the country, and the use of stock in risottos


    And fancy cheese sandwiches with egg

    Used to share a flat with a chef in Taiwan.
    That method is how he chopped garlic. So I do too. But nowhere near as quickly or efficiently.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    Sandpit said:

    Here we go!

    Presumably we can tell the result from the candidates' faces.
  • Why a speech before the results

    Stupid
  • Get Andrew Stephenson off the stage. No-one cares.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    Why a speech before the results

    Stupid

    Weve not been irritated enough
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,924
    Dura_Ace said:

    I don't think I've ever cooked anything. Food is just fuel for cycling and to be highly optimised toward that end.
    Doesn't eating too many gels have after effects?

    You might have to stop by the roadside whilst winning the Giro.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,137

    It works about 80-90% of the time. For some reason there are some cloves whose skin won't come off except with a knife. It is maddening, you are right. But I imagine that with your flint knapping skills this must be quick work for you!
    Custom garlic knife...

    https://www.lamnia.com/en/p/127/knives/roselli-garlic-knife-peeling-knife-r770p
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945

    Get Andrew Stephenson off the stage. No-one cares.

    R5L cut away from him.
  • DynamoDynamo Posts: 651

    Why a speech before the results

    Stupid

    Because it's a rally.

    I love the lectern made from the masonic "Apprentice Pillar"!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,824

    I can imagine that cooking is less fun for vegans

    Good point

    I love doing fancy roast guinea fowl with bacon rashers on the top. Wouldn't be quite the same with celeriac
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited September 2022

    Why a speech before the results

    Stupid

    "All the competitors have been great, and no one should go home feeling like a loser. The entrants for Britain in Bloom this year have been of exceptionallly high quality, and I want to thank everyone for their baskets."
  • BBC R4 broadcasting live if you can’t access a screen.
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,945
    Leon said:

    I like the fact that as Britain reveals its new prime minister, the biggest domestic politics story of the year, politicalbetting.com is deep into a conversation on the best way of peeling garlic, the correct time to spend cooking dinner, the 50 pest pubs in the country, and the use of stock in risottos


    And fancy cheese sandwiches with egg

    Last night I downloaded The Bards Tale (remastered) from Gog.com.

    I've always wanted to play it, but could never get past the horrible 1980s interface.

    Now I can enjoy it with better graphics and a reasonably better interface.

    Anyone else tried this?
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited September 2022
    Quick episode of the Pink Panther then the results
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,774

    Are we sure he's not actually in Neasden, and using his vivid imagination?
    If not, I hope whatever he's posting on as he dives into the pool is waterproof.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    AlistairM said:

    Presumably we can tell the result from the candidates' faces.
    From the faces looks like Truss.
  • JameiJamei Posts: 59
    Thought this would be a 30-second Graham Brady announcement in the committee room. GET ON WITH IT!!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    Get Andrew Stephenson off the stage. No-one cares.

    I do.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,266

    "All the competitors have een great, and no one should go home feeling like a loser. The entrants for Britain in Bloom this year have been of exceptionallly high quality, and I want to thank everyone for their baskets."
    Basket cases, in this instance?
  • Get Andrew Stephenson off the stage. No-one cares.

    I had no idea who he was. Brady on now.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,774

    Risotto in the microwave has two huge advantages - it's quick so I can cook a healthy and tasty family meal from scratch in 40 minutes after getting home from work. But more importantly, it really triggers precious foodie types.
    It takes me 40 mins using a hob.
    How are you doing it in the microwave ?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    Brady now telling us the interminable details of the last 2 months.
    We know only too well.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Ted Crilly on stage
  • GhedebravGhedebrav Posts: 3,860

    I can imagine that cooking is less fun for vegans

    Not so :)

    Though the austere protestant idea of food-as-fuel-alone is about as far from my outlook of eating as you can get.
  • Truss has won, can see it on her face, opposite for Sunak.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,682
    edited September 2022
    Yup, you can tell the result


  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,559
    Foxy said:

    Have I tuned into PB, or to an episode of Ready, Steady, Cook?

    It's Leon.

    So Ready, Steady, Cock.....
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,920
    edited September 2022
    Nigelb said:

    It takes me 40 mins using a hob.
    How are you doing it in the microwave ?
    Tips please on the easiest five-course meal that you can prepare while waiting for the result of a Tory leadership contest.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited September 2022
    Nigelb said:

    It takes me 40 mins using a hob.
    How are you doing it in the microwave ?
    Putting the microwave on the hob. How else?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,559
    PM Truss.

    Gawd help us.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367
    FFS.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,160
    Cookie said:

    That's a fun list. A bit London-heavy - I concede that London does have some very good pubs, but I think it may also owe a bit to the location of the journalists.
    The pub at the top of the list looks a tad discouraging from the outside!
    I've been to Nos 5, 6 and 13.
    I can certainly vouch enthusiastically for The Marble Arch, Manchester, and the pub in Old Radnor is the one pub where I've had a Sunday lunch as good as a home cooked Sunday lunch.
    The canny man's is good - they let me in when I had a severe case of runners diarrhea on the way back from a long run in the Pentlands.

    Now, on Liz Truss ...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    edited September 2022
    Conservative Leadership Contest result

    Sunak 60,399
    Truss 81,326

    Truss elected
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,137
    NEW:

    Twelve Conservative MPs are planning to submit letters of no confidence in Liz Truss to force a leadership election and get Boris Johnson back as leader by Christmas.

    Source:
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/tory-mps-plot-bring-back-27901163
  • Why a speech before the results

    Stupid

    After months of messing the country around. Now some bloke is giving a speech making the country wait, again. Get to the result, get on with it.

    https://twitter.com/iainmartin1/status/1566751647899975680
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    Not an overwhelming margin at all.
  • Liz Truss.

    Boom. My bet lost, but the right choice was made.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272

    Ted Crilly on stage

    Chris said:

    Tips please on the easiest five-course meal that you can prepare while waiting for the result of a Tory leadership contest.
    First turn on the Aga...
  • 81326 v 60,399
  • Under 60% for Liz
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,266

    Yup, you can tell the result


    New PM announced 'live'? I should hope so! But also 'short' - shock Sunak win?
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,653
    This is where Truss tears her skin off and reveals herself to be a Lizard, right?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    edited September 2022
    81.3k (57%)
    60.4k (43%)
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,327
    HYUFD said:

    Conservative Leadership Contest result

    Truss 60,399
    Sunak 81,326

    Truss elected

    On 19,000 less than Sunak?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,824
    Chris said:

    Tips please on the easiest five-course meal that you can prepare while waiting for the result of a Tory leadership contest.
    From now on, a Nick Palmer Supper will be the PB equivalent of a "New York Minute"
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,160
    Fucking hell she didn't even acknowledge Sunak on the way up?!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Truss 81,326
    Sunak 60,399

    Truss 57.4%
    Sunak 42.6%
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,867
    In Liz We Trusst
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,559
    Female PMs:

    Conservatives 3

    Labour 0
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    HYUFD said:

    Conservative Leadership Contest result

    Truss 60,399
    Sunak 81,326

    Truss elected

    Truss gets fewer votes and wins!

    57.4 vs 42.6
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,233
    HYUFD said:

    Conservative Leadership Contest result

    Truss 60,399
    Sunak 81,326

    Truss elected

    How very Lib Dem of you. Wining Here!
  • Y'all be careful out there!

    😈👿
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,920
    HYUFD said:

    Conservative Leadership Contest result

    Truss 60,399
    Sunak 81,326

    Truss elected

    Some mistake surely.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    HYUFD said:

    Conservative Leadership Contest result

    Truss 60,399
    Sunak 81,326

    Truss elected

    Truss wins 57% to 43% for Sunak so a clear win but a bit closer than expected, in fact the closest membership vote of any Tory leadership contest since Tory members got a vote after the 1997 general election
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Yeeeesssssssssssssw
  • Jolyon Maugham is going to be unbearable today.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,075
    Eabhal said:

    Fucking hell she didn't even acknowledge Sunak on the way up?!

    Should have shaken his hand.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,824
    THE NECKLACE
  • AlistairM said:

    Truss gets fewer votes and wins!

    57.4 vs 42.6
    Appalling numbers for Truss considering what we have been told about how she had swept the membership off their feet.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,362
    Chris said:

    Some mistake surely.
    That's how the Tories count votes.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,266

    On 19,000 less than Sunak?
    81-60 = 19? They say education standards are slipping, but given the relative (I think) ages of you two we can safely assume they've always been awful :tongue:
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,559
    Oh dear. Waiting for the applause that doesn't come.

    Sign of things to come....
  • With Boris, I had a firm view before he became PM that he was totally unsuited for the job, and used his time as MoL as evidence.

    I get no such feeling with Truss: I don't think she'll be very good in the role (and I hope for the sake of the country that I'm wrong), but it's much more likely that she'll surprise on the upside than Boris. Say, 0.02% compared to 0.00001% ;)

    But good luck to her. It's a tough job at a very tough time.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,824
    I miss Boris. @HYUFD is right

    The Tories have made a mahoosive error
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,106
    I think Truss can’t appoint a cabinet full of her right wingers based on those numbers.

    She’s fecked from day one. Not really a strong mandate from the membership , none from the country
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    Sunak should be pleased with that. Lost with honour.

    Puts him in a strong position if Truss fucks it tbh. That was not an especially convincing win.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    Truss started with a tribute to Boris, now setting out her own plans
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367
    This is a crap speech. Did she not prepare it?
  • This speech is a little bit "cheese", isn't it?
  • OnboardG1 said:

    Puts him in a strong position if Truss fucks it tbh. That was not an especially convincing win.
    Yep. He should stick around now rather than piss off to CA. He has a great chance to the 'I bloody told you all so' candidate in a year.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,160

    81.3k (57%)
    60.4k (43%)

    That's kinda close. Just wonder if Sunak had stuck to his guns on competence/realism, he might have squeezed through.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,106
    Oh - and I’d be well chuffed if I were Sunak. I’d sit out this next phase of govt and make a comeback when it all goes inevitably tits up
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,920
    Leon said:

    I miss Boris. @HYUFD is right

    The Tories have made a mahoosive error

    Six months of Truss followed by more of Boris could be really good - for Labour.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    RobD said:

    That's how the Tories count votes.
    They've learnt it from Trump!
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,075
    Leon said:

    I miss Boris. @HYUFD is right

    The Tories have made a mahoosive error

    Compared to the gravitas and charm the previous speakers on this podium, this is awful speech making. It’s as bad as the cheese speech. 🫣
  • Ooft, this is a bit cringey. That awkward pause after saying Boris is loved from Kyiv to Carlisle...
This discussion has been closed.