Starmer’s set to have a challenging September – politicalbetting.com

Generally, leaders of the opposition have a good month in August because the government is not able to dominate the news agenda as much and they can often get a look in.
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I follow quite a lot of Trumpites on Twitter. Just as I follow quite a lot of Corbynites. People like Jack Posobiec and D'Souza
THEY are excited by Kari Lake. She has seized their imaginations. Which tells me something is up
The old 8 times breaching integrity bomb.
1.11 Liz Truss 90%
9.4 Rishi Sunak 11%
Next Conservative leader
1.11 Liz Truss 90%
10 Rishi Sunak 10%
So the challenge for the parts of America who aren't religious proto-fascists the challenge is having a candidate who can defeat Trump/Trump's candidate. I am more interested in who replaces the giffer for the Dems.
Am astonished at the newspapers and radio.
They seem to have had an overnight revelation that the economy is in some difficulty.
Probably because journalists have large mortgages.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GnY1PqjAZm8 (The Sun; other streaming sites exist)
Rishi's Youtube channel including a pre-hustings message
https://www.youtube.com/c/RishiSunakMP/videos
(Liz Truss's Youtube channel has not been updated in years although she is active on other social media platforms.)
Go attack him on his LibDem-esque fence sitting with regards to the strikes. That is much more fun & juicy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Valadao
(Something I hadn't known aboout Valadao: "During his first tenure in the House, Valadao consistently ranked as the poorest member of Congress by net worth, with over $17.5 million in debt in 2018, mainly loans to his family's dairy farm."
Not exactly a country club Republican then. (Neither are Beutler or Newhouse, for that matter.)
Hes a hypocrite and an oaf. Always worth pointing out.
But yes, i agree his laughable attempt to distance the Labour Party from the labour movement is endless gold
https://twitter.com/gamray/status/1555503640122691584?t=lJRrHgiCQVJTG8-GWDmCyA&s=19
If the above is repeated for Starmer he won't have to much to worry about. If a likely Truss led Tories are still ahead by Christmas, even despite rising cost of living etc, then he will
Though having said that Buttigieg is the Democrats best chance of holding the Oval Office in 2024
They should put it on the jars. EVEN BETTER THAN KARI LAKE BITCHSLAPPING THAT AUSSIE GUY
On the strikes, I know why he has set out his position as it is. Unions unaffiliated and not working towards a Labour victory, need to rise above it all etc etc. But he set a line in the sand that his own team can't toe. Which is silly.
"Labour movement" is pretty much meaningless these days. So many unions unaffiliated and uninterested in Labour being in government or not. Of the few wo remain affiliated at least one is openly bonkers.
"It's like, how much more Union Jack could this be? And the answer is none. None more Jack."
https://twitter.com/mikeysmith/status/1555598550930956289/photo/1
They also can't change the Constitution without overwhelming support in Congress and the state legislatures and the armed forces swear allegiance to the Constitution as much as the President
how many affordable homes did you build?
- I don't have the exact number
- It's easy to remember, it's zero
And
Nobody has changed their mind over brexit
- You did
- Yes I did
How is she going to survive her first PMQs?
Mistress Truss is an S&M dominatrix whose only firm grim is on her whip - so God help us all with the economic crash smashing its way down this autumn. Or we can have Rishi, who appears to be backing a "look I've already given you a shiny ha'penny what more do you people want?" strategy.
I've reached an age where I don't like parties. Indeed I reached it a decade ago, too noisy, too many people, too much faff, I can't use my dwindling charms on a laydee if I have to shout
Food wine women power and exotic holidays sounds a lot better
He didnt have to figuratively get his cock out and remark upon its integrity. But he did.
Actually I saw them at that Exeter hustings and was pleasantly surprised.
I only joined two years ago expressly to vote for Rishi, and in performance terms he is excellent, and he has a grip on even quite obscure issues. Starmer would struggle against him I think. I also think he is right about it being too early for tax cuts until inflation is under control. On the other hand why has he been appointing useless people to the BoE and not holding them to account.
Truss also has positives, quite close to being a classical liberal (like me). Annoys all the right people. I tend to think people who were active LibDems at Oxford should be running the country.. She has improved her presentation quite a lot and comes across as plain spoken which I like, but maybe that strays into shooting from the hip a bit too often (spent a lot of time with Boris I guess). Also disturbed by the continuity Boris thing. All seems a bit Trumpy and awful.
Undecided.
bOP!
It’s all here: cheaper food, lower NHS waiting times, more money for schools, good news for farming/fishing, higher wages, less red tape.
They’ll play this in museums in future.
https://twitter.com/scotfoodjames/status/1555249564663398401/video/1
They may not succeed. Who knows. But the process will tear the republic to pieces imho.
Happy confusing times before bands had to announce their pronouns.
Most recent public polling, by Alaska Survey Research, projects that Palin will NOT win special congressional election on August 16, for remainder of late Don Young's term. That she will lose on transfers (in ranked choice election) to either fellow Republican Nick Begich (most likely scenario) OR to Democrat Mary Sattler Peltola.
Incidentally, the pollster just released survey for the REGULAR general election for the full term, with essentially same result.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_in_Alaska
https://www.ft.com/content/7144a19a-0d8a-4b11-9981-46b7cda3c1df?shareType=nongift
'US authorities have charged a significant donor to the Tory party, alleging that he illegally provided campaign donations to a former governor of Puerto Rico in a scheme to remove a senior banking regulator from his post.
The charges brought by the US Department of Justice against Julio Herrera Velutini, a Venezuelan banker who relocated to London in recent years, threaten to rekindle controversy over Tory party fundraising.
He has donated more than half a million pounds to the party since Boris Johnson took office, including £100,000 days before the 2019 general election. The donations were made through Britannia Financial, the Venezuelan financier’s London-based financial services group'
However elections would still have to be held in future under the Constitution for both President and Congress, although Congress and the states can choose the time for the latter, unless they changed the Constitution which would require the support of the vast majority of the states too.
They would also need the armed forces behind them and the armed forces swear allegiance to the Constitution as much as the President
But actually I'm a bit busy now, so it might have to wait
Seattle Times ($) - Tim Eyman forced to sell house to pay campaign finance fines, debts
Tim Eyman, the longtime anti-tax advocate and serial initiative promoter who was found liable last year for “numerous and particularly egregious” violations of campaign finance law, has been forced to sell his house to help pay off millions of dollars of fines and debt.
A federal bankruptcy judge Thursday approved a resolution requiring Eyman to sell his portion of a Mukilteo house to his ex-wife. The $900,000 in proceeds will go toward paying off the more than $5.6 million in sanctions and legal fees he owes the state of Washington and other creditors.
Eyman did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Eyman was fined more than $2.6 million in February 2021 after a Thurston County judge found he had enriched himself by laundering political donations, had accepted kickbacks from a signature-gathering company, secretly shuttled money between initiative campaigns and concealed the source of other political contributions.
In the history of Washington state’s campaign finance law, “it would be difficult for the Court to conceive of a case with misconduct that is more egregious or more extensive,” Thurston County Superior Court Judge James Dixon wrote.
Eyman was subsequently ordered to pay more than $2.9 million in legal fees to cover the cost of Attorney General Bob Ferguson’s yearslong investigation and prosecution of the case.
Eyman has paid about $538,000 in fines and fees but still owes more than $5.6 million, including accrued interest, according to Ferguson’s office. . . .
SSI - Just another proto-Putinist GOP grifter, a worthy precursor for Donald Trump, Alex Jones, etc., etc.
Betfair next prime minister
1.11 Liz Truss 90%
9.6 Rishi Sunak 10%
Next Conservative leader
1.11 Liz Truss 90%
9.4 Rishi Sunak 11%
Though if the GOP controlled the White House and Congress and set the next election for both to 50 years, inevitably the Democrat voting states would leave the Union, which would already be GOP dominated anyway
UK's ability to train fast jet pilots in crisis as threats grow from Russia and China, leaked documents suggest
RAF recruits are spending months flying desks instead of warplanes as they wait for training slots to open. The delays could hamper the future availability of crews to operate frontline squadrons at a time of growing threats from Russia and China, and with a war raging in Europe.
https://news.sky.com/story/uks-ability-to-train-fast-jet-pilots-in-crisis-due-to-faulty-aircraft-and-instructors-shortage-leaked-documents-suggest-12666275
Just give us the Taj Mahal story
https://twitter.com/WillOremus/status/1555551099620401152?t=fisgQ1YpMtfcenTFhJe1QA&s=09
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/UK_Military_Flying_Training_System
Turned up after a two day journey from Pushkar Camel Fair and absolutely couldn’t wait to wallow in splendour and get totally drunk only to find out there was some State Visit so the hotel was dry for two days.
Never had such a bad holiday disappointment.
Not sure if you agree but found the Agra Oberoi very soulless and only rescued by those views - the Taj Mahal of course, not the other.
Heckler alert.
Very submissive and super kinky Camden policewoman aged about 25 and looked 21. I was 53. For shame
She could REDACTED REDACTED OMG REDACTED
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6OamjBYCAz4