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Truss continues to be a 65% chance in the next PM betting – politicalbetting.com

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  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,548
    eek said:

    So you expect another election after Truss is found out and removed.

    And you expect that election will also allow a member's vote.

    The Tory party is utterly insane if that's the case.
    Yes. Just look at how few Tory MPs have backed her.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,418

    Perhaps someone should break it to Nads that the bust-up Church’s BJ favours currently cost £800-£1200.
    Unless Nadine next appears in public in a hessian sack, she is clearly a hypocrite.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,418

    Yes. Just look at how few Tory MPs have backed her.
    Will you be retaining your membership when they reappoint Boris as leader .... ?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Driver said:

    Oh dear. Have you not been reading my comments? I've made it clear several times.

    Boris and the Tories removed the restrictions. Many months too late, but they eventually did.

    When they did, Sir Keir and Labour objected to the restrictions being removed.
    I must congratulate you. I have never seen such a spectacular (but very unconvincing) ballet performed on the very smallest of pinheads
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,394
    Andrew Lilico
    @andrew_lilico
    ·
    2h
    No proper Conservative should object to how expensive Sunak's clothes are. He can spend his money how he chooses - that's what a Conservative should think.

    https://twitter.com/andrew_lilico/status/1551475224880848897
  • The logic seems to be that Johnson was okay to campaign because he actually didn't want lockdown
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,195
    edited July 2022

    Yes. Just look at how few Tory MPs have backed her.
    Who will get the votes together to remove Truss ?

    If they do, there's a strong chance Boris can cobble together 120 MPs. He wins very easily from that point.

    So the anti-Boris faction won't move against her, and neither will the Boris loyalists.

    I think she's secure till the next election.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,394
    Nigelb said:

    Will you be retaining your membership when they reappoint Boris as leader .... ?
    TSE is correct imho.

    Leadership election again next summer.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Nigelb said:

    Unless Nadine next appears in public in a hessian sack, she is clearly a hypocrite.
    I guess Nadine "attention span of a goldfish" Dorries has forgotten about certain rolls of wallpaper.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,210
    Taz said:

    So who was ORKA ?
    An insult worthy of Leon, a dyslexic vegetable.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,687
    DavidL said:

    In fairness it probably works in opposition but in government the Tories could really have done without this.
    Yep - if MPs had been left with a choice firstly the election would have been very different.
    Secondly we would have someone else as PM rather than 6 weeks of Bozo trying to complete his "wish list of things to do as PM"
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,195
    If the Rishi backers DO move against Truss, they'll get Boris back. So they won't.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    The "One law for politicians.." dweebs need to have a think about being careful what they wish for. Which would you rather, a law which says Our democratic institutions are special and carry on regardless, and too right candidates and those campaigning for them are privileged as fuck, or a law which says Democratic institutions including campaigning and voting are suspended indefinitely because of the humongous catastrophe engulfing us and us being all in this together, normal service to be resumed at a point to be decided by us? The Poster Currently Known As Bart gives it large about the primacy of democracy in other contexts.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,534
    IshmaelZ said:

    Are you somebody else, if you don't mind my asking?
    He is Boris Johnson’s driver, and I claim my £5.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560

    And before they removed the restrictions, they *introduced* the restrictions.

    Laws were written to stop you or I doing things but allowing political activists to do so.

    Were those written by:
    (a) Boris Johnson, or
    (b) Kier Starmer?

    I'll give you a clue. One of them was the Prime Minister, the other one wasn't. You are saying "well Starmer objected to the restrictions being removed. OK, but Johnson *wrote* the restrictions you are so upset about. Complete with the "loopholes" then exploited by one Boris Johnson amongst others.
    Boris isn't going to be a candidate for PM at the next election, so he's irrelevant anyway.
  • StereodogStereodog Posts: 828

    Bingo! Exactly the point I was making, well put.
    I don’t disagree with that although I suspect from the opposite end of the spectrum (as someone with a very sick mum I was and continue to be careful with COVID). The fact remains though that those exemptions did exist for political campaigns just as they existed for a whole host of activities. Picking on Kier Starmer for following the law just seems odd.
  • eek said:

    Yep - if MPs had been left with a choice firstly the election would have been very different.
    Secondly we would have someone else as PM rather than 6 weeks of Bozo trying to complete his "wish list of things to do as PM"
    In Government Labour skip the membership element
  • eekeek Posts: 29,687
    eek said:

    Yep - if MPs had been left with a choice firstly the election would have been very different.
    Secondly we would have someone else as PM rather than 6 weeks of Bozo trying to complete his "wish list of things to do as PM"
    Also if FPTP is a good enough system to select an MP and regional Mayor's it's good enough to pick the leader of the Tory party.

    Which means Rishi should have been in No 10 for 10 days now (FPTP) or 4 days (MPs only voting)
  • Driver said:

    Boris isn't going to be a candidate for PM at the next election, so he's irrelevant anyway.
    Are you just here on a wind up?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,418

    TSE is correct imho.

    Leadership election again next summer.
    He may well be - and I might also be correct about Boris winning it.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,687
    edited July 2022
    Pulpstar said:

    If the Rishi backers DO move against Truss, they'll get Boris back. So they won't.

    Depends if Bozo is forced out by the length of his public standards ban.... But yep - the risk of another leadership election is the return of Bozo.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Are you just here on a wind up?
    Certainly something elaborately contrarian about his posts
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    PUT OUT MORE FLAGS


  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284
    Leon said:

    PUT OUT MORE FLAGS


    He's trying to jack up his flagging prospects.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Sunak is cr*p

    Truss is cr*p.

    But with Truss, you get some of your money back.

    I'd go for the cheaper cr*p any day.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,148
    algarkirk said:

    It doesn't need more spending, it needs less spending on cakes. Why on earth does eating less and briskly walking more require spending?

    Obesity is not caused by gluttony. It's caused by our lifestyles becoming more sedentary. Average calorie consumption is down in the UK. But our physically activity has declined by more.

    If we spend money on our built environment differently we can encourage people to walk or cycle more and drive less, and therefore reduce obesity.

    https://hbkportal.co.uk/index.php/geography/resourcereliance6/
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,904
    MISTY said:

    Sunak is cr*p

    Truss is cr*p.

    But with Truss, you get some of your money back.

    I'd go for the cheaper cr*p any day.

    The AliExpress PM?

    Careful, you might get electrocuted.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,772

    Yes. Just look at how few Tory MPs have backed her.
    Yep:
    1. She has minimal and minority support amongst MPs
    2. She is bereft of a policy vision or clear ideas
    3. She is a dreadful communicator and looks set to appoint cabinet ministers who are worse

    It can't end well. The party could have had a clean start but instead opted to put up the dwarf and the cosplayer to engage in a brutally bitter hate war attacking their own government all summer whilst Bonzo squats in Downing Street doing nothing as the various crises burn hotter and hotter.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281

    TSE is correct imho.

    Leadership election again next summer.
    An interesting - and rarely advanced - perspective:

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-prime-minister-truss-might-surprise-us-all

  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,717
    IshmaelZ said:

    The "One law for politicians.." dweebs need to have a think about being careful what they wish for. Which would you rather, a law which says Our democratic institutions are special and carry on regardless, and too right candidates and those campaigning for them are privileged as fuck, or a law which says Democratic institutions including campaigning and voting are suspended indefinitely because of the humongous catastrophe engulfing us and us being all in this together, normal service to be resumed at a point to be decided by us? The Poster Currently Known As Bart gives it large about the primacy of democracy in other contexts.

    You miss the point entirely. It is either ok for ten people to have a meal together or its not. They could have gone out campaigning then eaten their takeaways back in their hotel room just as easily. The curry added absolutely nothing to the democratic process other than being the most sane thing in the room and for avoidance of doubt I equally blame every single politician that thought they were too important to have rules imposed on them that they insisted the rest of us follow
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,548
    Pulpstar said:

    Who will get the votes together to remove Truss ?

    If they do, there's a strong chance Boris can cobble together 120 MPs. He wins very easily from that point.

    So the anti-Boris faction won't move against her, and neither will the Boris loyalists.

    I think she's secure till the next election.
    Depends. If the privileges committee report seems him recalled and no longer an MP then there is no Boris return.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    The state of UK politics. This is Starmer’s new economic philosophy


    “Starmer sets out 5 economic principles of a Labour government

    - Financially responsible
    - Distinctively British
    - Partnership with business
    - Help mothers bake apple pie
    - Re-energise communities
    - Invest to boost productivity”



    Only one of those was added by me
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Taz said:

    So who was ORKA ?
    "Barty's" position on this is even more ludicrous than many of his views. He used his real name on here for years, and it is not as though it is a name that is particularly uncommon. In fact, I thought I would look up the number of people with "the name that shall not be named" on LinkedIn and there are literally thousands of them on there, including one bloke who is a cannabis engineer .
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    He's trying to jack up his flagging prospects.
    Just trying to maintain standards, shirley?

    On the substance, Limits to Growth was published in 1972 and its point seems to me to be sound, that you can't grow indefinitely in a finite world. Growth growth growth sounds like Global warming Global warming Global warming to me. Seriously I would join the Greens but for a marked disagreement with them on some aspects of wildlife management.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284
    Leon said:

    The state of UK politics. This is Starmer’s new economic philosophy


    “Starmer sets out 5 economic principles of a Labour government

    - Financially responsible
    - Distinctively British
    - Partnership with business
    - Help mothers bake apple pie
    - Re-energise communities
    - Invest to boost productivity”



    Only one of those was added by me

    You needn't have made it too obvious. We all know that Labour aren't interested in re-energising communities.
  • So are you saying we should have suspended the by-election?
    No I'm saying that lockdown should have been lifted instead of Keir saying lifting lockdown was reckless while engaging in campaigning and beer and korma that those he wanted locked down weren't having.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Grauniad Chief Political Correspondent sceptical:

    I'm somewhat sceptical that voters know what this means for them. Growth does not necessarily mean higher wages, better public services, although it can. How would Labour grow the economy and what does that mean for people's pockets and services?

    https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1551516908872155136

    How has the economy grown since the GFC?

    How have wages?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284
    IshmaelZ said:

    Just trying to maintain standards, shirley?

    On the substance, Limits to Growth was published in 1972 and its point seems to me to be sound, that you can't grow indefinitely in a finite world. Growth growth growth sounds like Global warming Global warming Global warming to me. Seriously I would join the Greens but for a marked disagreement with them on some aspects of wildlife management.
    He's emphasising he is the candidate of the union.

    UNITE, UNISON, Union Jack...
  • No I'm saying that lockdown should have been lifted instead of Keir saying lifting lockdown was reckless while engaging in campaigning and beer and korma that those he wanted locked down weren't having.
    But what he did was legal - and Johnson did the same thing.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    ydoethur said:

    You needn't have made it too obvious. We all know that Labour aren't interested in re-energising communities.
    I dunno. They are, at least, quite keen on facilitating the taxi-driving communities in Telford and Oldham
  • Nigelb said:

    .

    It is.

    Read the list of competing claims:
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/may/08/what-is-beergate-and-why-does-it-matter

    And reflect on the fact that the police have since settled the matter.

    That you and Barty are evidently disappointed doesn't factor into it.
    I never said it was illegal.

    I said that it should have been legal for the rest of us instead of illegal and "reckless".
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284
    Leon said:

    I dunno. They are, at least, quite keen on facilitating the taxi-driving communities in Telford and Oldham
    Did an Albanian tell you that?
  • UnpopularUnpopular Posts: 913
    Pulpstar said:

    Who will get the votes together to remove Truss ?

    If they do, there's a strong chance Boris can cobble together 120 MPs. He wins very easily from that point.

    So the anti-Boris faction won't move against her, and neither will the Boris loyalists.

    I think she's secure till the next election.
    Boris coming back before the next GE, after two divisive leadership contests, would be the most self-indulgent thing a party has done in Government, surely ever. It would surely end the Conservatives as a force in politics for a decade. As much as I kind of want to see them go there (for the entertainment value, though I feel a weird anxiety knot at the thought of the consequences of them fannying around like that), I don't think even they are mad enough to behave like that in Government.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,772
    Leon said:

    The state of UK politics. This is Starmer’s new economic philosophy


    “Starmer sets out 5 economic principles of a Labour government

    - Financially responsible
    - Distinctively British
    - Partnership with business
    - Help mothers bake apple pie
    - Re-energise communities
    - Invest to boost productivity”



    Only one of those was added by me

    You really should stop being so dismissive.

    British apples - we import far too many when we could be making Coxes Pippins (?) a global mega variety like Pink Lady
    British pastry - or crumble - made by all-British ingredients grown on CAP-free farms
    Exported all around the world and I-I-I can see see millions of consumers in new markets being happy to have found a slice of Glorious Great British Apple Pie.

    That's why we need the freeports.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284

    You really should stop being so dismissive.

    British apples - we import far too many when we could be making Coxes Pippins (?) a global mega variety like Pink Lady
    British pastry - or crumble - made by all-British ingredients grown on CAP-free farms
    Exported all around the world and I-I-I can see see millions of consumers in new markets being happy to have found a slice of Glorious Great British Apple Pie.

    That's why we need the freeports.
    Silliness.

    Who would buy a pie that didn't include good honest British blackberries?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Nigelb said:

    Unless Nadine next appears in public in a hessian sack, she is clearly a hypocrite.
    Easily enough done, only 50 quid or so ...

    https://www.redbubble.com/i/dress/Red-White-and-Blue-UK-Union-Jack-British-Burlap-Flag-by-podartist/22655351.V4WQ8
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Leon said:

    PUT OUT MORE FLAGS


    Fecking ridiculous. When we discover he has one in his sitting room or study like all ministers in Johnson's government we will know that flag virtue signalling has reached peak absurdity.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    You needn't have made it too obvious. We all know that Labour aren't interested in re-energising communities.
    Distinctively British is more than a bit ho hum.

    And why are we not building microprocessor factories so we don't mind so much about Taiwan? Duodecimal if necessary.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,148
    IshmaelZ said:

    So say I want restrictions against drunk driving, it is hypocritical of me to be taking advantage of the loophole in the restrictions which says I can drive when I am sober?

    The analogy would be to want the drink drive limit to be reduced to 50, but to be measured above 50, but below the current legal limit of 80.

    I don't think it's wholly unreasonable to expect someone who is advocating a change to, "be the change they want to see," as someone may once have said. It's more egregious to break the law that you've created, but I'd still file Starmer's actions under taking the piss.
  • But what he did was legal - and Johnson did the same thing.
    But you and I couldn't. That's my issue, not trying to split hairs between politicians.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,332

    You really should stop being so dismissive.

    British apples - we import far too many when we could be making Coxes Pippins (?) a global mega variety like Pink Lady
    British pastry - or crumble - made by all-British ingredients grown on CAP-free farms
    Exported all around the world and I-I-I can see see millions of consumers in new markets being happy to have found a slice of Glorious Great British Apple Pie.

    That's why we need the freeports.
    Nonsense. British pies for British mothers.
  • But you and I couldn't. That's my issue, not trying to split hairs between politicians.
    So yes you're saying that there shouldn't have been any by-elections or any political activity of any kind.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    You really should stop being so dismissive.

    British apples - we import far too many when we could be making Coxes Pippins (?) a global mega variety like Pink Lady
    British pastry - or crumble - made by all-British ingredients grown on CAP-free farms
    Exported all around the world and I-I-I can see see millions of consumers in new markets being happy to have found a slice of Glorious Great British Apple Pie.

    That's why we need the freeports.
    Cox is overrated. Also, at their best they are small and wrinkled when what the market wants is large and glossy. Pink Lady is a scam.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,831
    Unpopular said:

    Boris coming back before the next GE, after two divisive leadership contests, would be the most self-indulgent thing a party has done in Government, surely ever. It would surely end the Conservatives as a force in politics for a decade. As much as I kind of want to see them go there (for the entertainment value, though I feel a weird anxiety knot at the thought of the consequences of them fannying around like that), I don't think even they are mad enough to behave like that in Government.
    Preferred PM amongst 2019 Conservative voters in weekend Deltapoll

    Johnson 33%
    Truss 26%
    Sunak 24%

    https://twitter.com/MoS_Politics/status/1550881157511782402?s=20&t=6jOUXFtS_fprVmi9tPyB0g
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    edited July 2022
    ydoethur said:

    He's emphasising he is the candidate of the union.

    UNITE, UNISON, Union Jack...
    lol, you are on form today.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,072

    Obesity is not caused by gluttony. It's caused by our lifestyles becoming more sedentary. Average calorie consumption is down in the UK. But our physically activity has declined by more.

    If we spend money on our built environment differently we can encourage people to walk or cycle more and drive less, and therefore reduce obesity.

    https://hbkportal.co.uk/index.php/geography/resourcereliance6/
    In 2020 we had the same number of cycling miles as we did in the 1960s. Amazing what happened to our cities as cars became affordable.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,148

    Fecking ridiculous. When we discover he has one in his sitting room or study like all ministers in Johnson's government we will know that flag virtue signalling has reached peak absurdity.
    We won't know that Starmer is a patriot until we see his Union Flag duvet cover.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,148
    edited July 2022
    Eabhal said:

    In 2020 we had the same number of cycling miles as we did in the 1960s. Amazing what happened to our cities as cars became affordable.
    Is that total cycling miles, or cycling miles per person?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617
    edited July 2022
    DavidL said:

    I don't think its true that governments cannot help the economy to grow but the effects are more indirect than direct. So a government that provides adequate infrastructure will make the areas affected more attractive; a country with an education system that works for most of the population will definitely improve productivity and output. An economic policy that encourages investment and training can do likewise.

    Where I do agree with @kinabalu is that we should be deeply wary of politicians who promise both cake and the eating of cake. We have just tried that and it has not been a success. Most of the examples I have given above would almost certainly not bear fruit until the politician in question has left office. It is certainly not a justification for spending more on policy X right now.

    Yes. I don't mean zero positive impact, I mean on the margins cf factors outside their control, and yes it's over the long term and everything serious and new creates losers as well as winners. There's no win/win quick way to grow the economy.

    My silver bullet is a high quality egalitarian education system. This would be transformational imo - but it would take a long time, be difficult to achieve, and would be genuinely against the interests of some.
  • So yes you're saying that there shouldn't have been any by-elections or any political activity of any kind.
    I'm saying if it was safe for him to have that activity it was safe for you and I to have done the same.

    I'd have no objection if he'd wanted you and I to have the same liberties he did, but he didn't. He wanted us locked up at home still, forbidden by law from having a meal with friends or family etc but he could do that.

    Indeed months after he was doing that he was still saying lifted lockdown for you and I was reckless.

    He put his campaigning ahead of your or my mental health and liberty.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658
    edited July 2022
    If Boris broke the law then so did SKS.

    Or rather, that one did and the other didn't shows what truly despicable laws they were. Proposed by the government and supported by the Opposition (forgetting their primary role in life).

    It was an horrendous period for democracy and of course not just for us but globally.

    As I wrote moons ago fuck them all.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,772
    IshmaelZ said:

    Cox is overrated. Also, at their best they are small and wrinkled when what the market wants is large and glossy. Pink Lady is a scam.
    We're still talking about apples...?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284

    We won't know that Starmer is a patriot until we see his Union Flag duvet cover.
    Surely it's not his duvet cover?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FM6owwj7zPk
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Our country became great through its embrace of free trade, free enterprise and free markets.

    I am determined to double down on levelling up so that everyone has the opportunity to succeed as part of an aspiration nation.

    https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1551442369287012354

    Reassuring stuff
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    edited July 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    Distinctively British is more than a bit ho hum.

    And why are we not building microprocessor factories so we don't mind so much about Taiwan? Duodecimal if necessary.
    “Distinctively British” is plain weird

    “Like South Korea but in tweed” makes as much sense

    And yet, here’s a thing: by incessantly banging on about his patriotism, by standing in front of 3000 floodlit Union Jacks, etc etc, Starmer IS making me warm to him, faintly, inasmuch as I now trust him to stand up for the Union, be nice about our Queen and country, not be a Corbyn style traitor

    I guess his focus groups have told him that, post Corbyn, he has to be this blunt and basic. “I’m British, too, and I love Britain too, despite its flaws, let’s make it better”

    Not a bad message, for a would-be Labour PM, in the context of Corbyn
  • We won't know that Starmer is a patriot until we see his Union Flag duvet cover.
    I think we need to see Emily Thornberry tweet a picture of a flag on his house
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited July 2022
    ydoethur said:

    You needn't have made it too obvious. We all know that Labour aren't interested in re-energising communities.
    I thought that “re-energising communities” was shorthand for letting the soap-dodgers and the BLM types carry on with the rioting and disruption peacefully protesting?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    We're still talking about apples...?
    Alas, old age is what it is...
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    Leon said:

    The state of UK politics. This is Starmer’s new economic philosophy


    “Starmer sets out 5 economic principles of a Labour government

    - Financially responsible
    - Distinctively British
    - Partnership with business
    - Help mothers bake apple pie
    - Re-energise communities
    - Invest to boost productivity”



    Only one of those was added by me

    It was your idol Boris Johnson and his partner in crime Jeremy Corbyn who are mainly responsible for "the state of British politics" Our politics are now approaching banana republic absurdity.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,772

    I'm saying if it was safe for him to have that activity it was safe for you and I to have done the same.

    I'd have no objection if he'd wanted you and I to have the same liberties he did, but he didn't. He wanted us locked up at home still, forbidden by law from having a meal with friends or family etc but he could do that.

    Indeed months after he was doing that he was still saying lifted lockdown for you and I was reckless.

    He put his campaigning ahead of your or my mental health and liberty.
    The problem with all this is that there were stacks of exemptions from day 1. We couldn't shut the entire economy down, so key workers were designated. Was a load of people in a factory a high risk factor of spreading the pox and potentially killing their colleagues? Yes - and for those of us running such factories it was a fucking nightmare.

    It was never about x is safe and y is unsafe. It was always about managing risk, and certain activities had to do so because just shutting them down was problematic.

    Political campaigning was on the list. Its easy for the people who either hated all restrictions or are pathological about Keir Starmer to retrospectively try and change the rules and the context, but it doesn't change reality. No matter how angry you are that most of us are ignoring your tirades.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284
    IshmaelZ said:

    Our country became great through its embrace of free trade, free enterprise and free markets.

    I am determined to double down on levelling up so that everyone has the opportunity to succeed as part of an aspiration nation.

    https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1551442369287012354

    Reassuring stuff

    Blimey.

    How's she got drunk at this time of the morning?
  • TOPPING said:

    If Boris broke the law then so did SKS.

    Or rather, that one did and the other didn't shows what truly despicable laws they were. Proposed by the government and supported by the Opposition (forgetting their primary role in life).

    It was an horrendous period for democracy and of course not just for us but globally.

    As I wrote moons ago fuck them all.

    Different laws at different times?

    I had the lights on without any curtains last night - during WW2 that could have been aiding the enemy...
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    We're still talking about apples...?
    They are trying to a-peel to their *core* vote
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,418

    We're still talking about apples...?
    We'd better be, if we don't want suing by Sir Geoffrey.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    “Distinctively British” is plain weird

    “Like South Korea but in tweed” makes as much sense

    And yet, here’s a thing: by incessantly banging on about his patriotism, by standing in front of 3000 floodlit Union Jacks, etc etc, Starmer IS making me warm to him, faintly, inasmuch as I now trust him to stand up for the Union, be nice about our Queen and country, not be a Corbyn style traitor

    I guess his focus groups have told him that, post Corbyn, he has to be this blunt and basic. “I’m British, too, and I love Britain too, despite its flaws, let’s make it better”

    Not a bad message, for a would-be Labour PM, in the context of Corbyn
    Tend to agree. Now that the hunting issue is a dead duck anyway I can see myself voting for him. Not that it makes any difference given the safety of the tory seat I live in.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560

    They are trying to a-peel to their *core* vote
    Which would, of course, be Granny Smith, amongst other grannies.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284

    They are trying to a-peel to their *core* vote
    But they can only manage it by finding a windfall.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,772
    Leon said:

    “Distinctively British” is plain weird

    “Like South Korea but in tweed” makes as much sense

    And yet, here’s a thing: by incessantly banging on about his patriotism, by standing in front of 3000 floodlit Union Jacks, etc etc, Starmer IS making me warm to him, faintly, inasmuch as I now trust him to stand up for the Union, be nice about our Queen and country, not be a Corbyn style traitor

    I guess his focus groups have told him that, post Corbyn, he has to be this blunt and basic. “I’m British, too, and I love Britain too, despite its flaws, let’s make it better”

    Not a bad message, for a would-be Labour PM, in the context of Corbyn
    As I said yesterday, I find flag-shagging to be baffling. If you want to use it as an emblem of the country and a marketing tool, that's great! We sell so much Chinese-made union jack covered tat to tourists and we could do a lot more. There have been waves of "Cool Britannia" style export bonanzas. Which are also great.

    The problem is when the flag-shaggers take over. The flag ceases to be an emblem of identity and trade but instead a token of exclusion and hate and division.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658

    Different laws at different times?

    I had the lights on without any curtains last night - during WW2 that could have been aiding the enemy...
    Yeah and those laws as now here and by you right this minute are accepted with no question. Seatbelts, you say; lights on in WW2.

    The government told us who and how many people we were allowed to have in our homes and you cheer them on because they had fifty pages of legislation explaining it all.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    ydoethur said:

    But they can only manage it by finding a windfall.
    Or else, as Dennis Healey didn't say, "squeeze them until the pips squeak"
  • ydoethur said:

    Blimey.

    How's she got drunk at this time of the morning?

    It is wine and cheese day 🍷🧀
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,072

    Is that total cycling miles, or cycling miles per person?
    Total miles I think? Which makes it even more extraordinary.

    On the obesity thing, I'm quite sceptical that a lack of exercise is the reason for our obesity crisis. You need to do an awful lot of running to burn off a fish supper.

    Perhaps manual labour (mining etc) meant that people could get away with eating more in the past, rather than recreational exercise? Would explain the average calorie difference.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,092
    Don’t worry guys - the revenge of the Millennials will drag us back into the EU at some point and it will be glorious.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,284

    It is wine and cheese day 🍷🧀
    Still not a good day for a Party though...
  • SandraMcSandraMc Posts: 727

    You really should stop being so dismissive.

    British apples - we import far too many when we could be making Coxes Pippins (?) a global mega variety like Pink Lady
    British pastry - or crumble - made by all-British ingredients grown on CAP-free farms
    Exported all around the world and I-I-I can see see millions of consumers in new markets being happy to have found a slice of Glorious Great British Apple Pie.

    That's why we need the freeports.
    You haven't mentioned British apple pie pastry made with English cheese - that is a DISGRACE.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    edited July 2022
    The Boris court action, the two-tier voting system, the seven week process, the rumour mill about personal lives and personal conduct and personal spending. The cavernous gap between the MPs and the members.


    This leadership election could go very seriously pear-shaped for the tories.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    IshmaelZ said:

    Tend to agree. Now that the hunting issue is a dead duck anyway I can see myself voting for him. Not that it makes any difference given the safety of the tory seat I live in.
    Likewise. Unless the Tories can come up with a radically different proposal I expect Labour to be the next govt and I’m quite reconciled to it. A bit like 1997 (but in more dangerous times)

    I’ll never vote for Labour, but if they are basically patriotic, and they tell the SNP to fuck off, and they won’t wreck the economy: let them have a go. The Tories need time on the bench to rethink

    The one possible fly-in-this-ointment is Wokeness
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,418
    RIP David Warner.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    BREAKING NEWS: Tory leadership candidate @RishiSunak to be interviewed live by @afneil on @channel4 this Friday, 29th July, at 7.30pm @ITNProductions

    https://twitter.com/ijrumsey/status/1551520372708839424
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785

    Don’t worry guys - the revenge of the Millennials will drag us back into the EU at some point and it will be glorious.

    I am not in favour of rejoin (note @Leon ) but if it happens I hope @Leon and I are still alive (he is a few years older than me) and I will laugh and laugh and laugh. It will be even more amusing than watching Boris Johnson defenestrated.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,658

    The problem with all this is that there were stacks of exemptions from day 1. We couldn't shut the entire economy down, so key workers were designated. Was a load of people in a factory a high risk factor of spreading the pox and potentially killing their colleagues? Yes - and for those of us running such factories it was a fucking nightmare.

    It was never about x is safe and y is unsafe. It was always about managing risk, and certain activities had to do so because just shutting them down was problematic.

    Political campaigning was on the list. Its easy for the people who either hated all restrictions or are pathological about Keir Starmer to retrospectively try and change the rules and the context, but it doesn't change reality. No matter how angry you are that most of us are ignoring your tirades.
    The government as you say had to go through a difficult exercise which lead to some of the absurdities we saw (X is allowed, Y is not). Because in aggregate that seeming anomaly brought about a decrease in overall activity which was the required aim.

    But that persisted far, far beyond what was reasonable or consistent with a liberal democracy.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617
    IshmaelZ said:

    Cox is overrated. Also, at their best they are small and wrinkled when what the market wants is large and glossy. Pink Lady is a scam.
    You know what you're getting with a pink lady though. Same every time. I'd say they're like not risking the real ale and going with the pint of keg.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,482
    IshmaelZ said:

    Tend to agree. Now that the hunting issue is a dead duck anyway I can see myself voting for him. Not that it makes any difference given the safety of the tory seat I live in.
    Not really sure what is wrong with "Distinctively British", unless you are perhaps a Citizen of Nowhere.

    We have distinctively French, and distinctively Italian.

    I just don't see the problem.

    There is perhaps a problem apply it to Sir Starmer, though. He needs to explain and demonstrate.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,482
    IshmaelZ said:

    Tend to agree. Now that the hunting issue is a dead duck anyway I can see myself voting for him. Not that it makes any difference given the safety of the tory seat I live in.
    It is if you are duck hunting.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560
    Nigelb said:

    RIP David Warner.

    Had to google this to find out you didn't mean the cricketer...
  • UnpopularUnpopular Posts: 913
    Leon said:

    “Distinctively British” is plain weird

    “Like South Korea but in tweed” makes as much sense

    And yet, here’s a thing: by incessantly banging on about his patriotism, by standing in front of 3000 floodlit Union Jacks, etc etc, Starmer IS making me warm to him, faintly, inasmuch as I now trust him to stand up for the Union, be nice about our Queen and country, not be a Corbyn style traitor

    I guess his focus groups have told him that, post Corbyn, he has to be this blunt and basic. “I’m British, too, and I love Britain too, despite its flaws, let’s make it better”

    Not a bad message, for a would-be Labour PM, in the context of Corbyn
    Part 2 of the plan. Announce sensible, credible policies (vanilla with a few chocolate chips), essentially asking the electorate to trust Labour with the shop .
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,785
    MattW said:

    It is if you are duck hunting.
    I always end up picking up the bill when I do that.
This discussion has been closed.