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The Tories edge up a touch in theTiverton and Honiton betting – politicalbetting.com
The Tories edge up a touch in theTiverton and Honiton betting – politicalbetting.com
There’s been bit of a move upwards for the Tories in the Tiverton and Honiton by-election betting. The election takes place a week on Thursday and already many postal voters are reported to have cast their ballots.
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Mainly so I get the price of a decent curry to make up for my deep disappointment if somehow Johnson scrambles over the line in T&H.
There’s a lack of buzz from OGC on this, and I suspect the LDs are finding it harder going than North Salop and C&A.
Mind you I failed to predict either of those.
If the LDs win it will be through a Tory voter strike.
Am I correct though in thinking that the stable cryptos are pegged to the $?
Is this the same as the way we were pegged to the German currency just before Black Wednesday?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/jun/10/tories-face-tough-test-as-they-try-to-hang-on-to-tiverton-and-honiton-seat
If you can't get your money out....
Underpinning crypto is a 🚀🚀🚀🚀 Number Goes Up 🚀🚀🚀🚀 mentality and once people lose faith, there's nothing behind the curtain. When each scam goes bust there's nothing left behind it.
For all the talk of fiat and inflation by crypto enthusiasts, the simple reality is that crypto always has been the most inflated and fiat 'currency' there is. Trillions of dollars of 'assets' created out of nothing, with nothing behind it. Many poor sods have got into a lot of debt with this, or spent money they don't have due to "assets" they think they have.
Crypto going pop could have quite a deflationary impact in some areas and countries as people find the money supply they thought they had, no longer exists.
buy drug off the dark webdo my investments?If turnout is about 50%, the Tories need about half of Parish's 35,000 to turn out for them to win. So i do agree its down to a voter strike or not.
They have managed expectations very well for T&H. I think they may well retain it, and that will be treated as "the moment Boris began his fightback".
There are multiple reasons that show the USDT doesn't have anything like the real world assets you would expect it to have if there was a 1:1 relationship between USDT and USD...
A fascinating look at what happened after the gold standard was abandoned in 1971...
https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/
NY Times blog
https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1536358803955863552
"They had a chance to install new leadership that would have given us some hope of a sense of grip on all this, but what did they do? ...
"They decided that the best person to turn the economy round, to sort out the chaos and backlogs, and to bring the qualities of focus, attention to detail and sustained delivery to these matters was the current PM"
Twitter is awash with rumours about a certain footballer. If those rumours are true, it'll be interesting to see what happens with his career.
Need maybe another 4 wickets tonight to have a decent chance of cleaing up the tail quickly enough tomorrow morning to have a chaseable target?
With that said, Bretton Woods and the Gold Standard were not panaceas either. They inevitably meant that - because of the necessity of not allowing the economy to run more than the most modest of deficits in any particular year - governments implemented extensive and illiberal controls over economies. They also encouraged mercantilism: running a current account deficit was so painful, that countries would often engage in "beggar thy neighbour" policies.
Crypto currencies are the Pyrite answer to fiat. If you're worried about money being printed, did you ever stop to think where the trillions of dollars worth of crypto 'assets' came from? BTC, Doge, Eth, Celsius, Luna, USDT, USDC and the plethora of other bollocks of crypto that exists, where have they come from apart from being "printed"? Nobody dug in the ground and got a vein of Etherium.
Gold has a value, because its valued physically and is physically required for industry and for jewellery and is in limited supply so you know people will need gold in the future which makes it valuable.
Fiat currencies have a value, because they are required to pay the taxes of the countries behind those currencies, so the citizens of those countries need to acquire those currencies in order to pay their taxes, meaning that you know in the future you can exchange dollars for the goods and labor [sic] of Americans.
Crypto assets are every bit as fiat as fiat currencies, but they have nothing of value behind them, except the expectation that some other mug will buy it off you next time thinking "number goes up" too.
On the other hand, since I'm not a Tory......
Don't you feel it in your bones too? They're going to have a relatively good patch. For no apparent reason other than possibly a dying down of the public outrage levels over partygate and a few people who had pretended to be minded to switch actually finding an excuse to come back home to the conservatives.
They're like the Russians. No matter the setback, they just keep blasting away with unguided artillery until the political landscape is a shell-pocked wasteland and everyone decides "they're all as bad as each other so I might as well do as I'm told and vote Tory".
Thats if they are playing to win
Who do the Tories have? And what is their route to a majority?
Sources say the EU will adopt a carrot and stick approach, with the unfreezing of legal action being accompanied by the publication of a “model for the flexible implementation of the protocol based on durable solutions.”
https://twitter.com/tconnellyRTE/status/1536364852691746818
The way I look at this is to ask: does this coin have any additional utility over Bitcoin? - to which the answer is that Monero (privacy) and Ethereum (smart contracts) do, and everything else does not.
The price of every other cryptocurrency (Ripple, Bitcoin Gold, etc.) is going to zero.
And the price of what remains is determined by how much underlying currency is required to facilitate anonymous payments (and smart contracts in the case of ethereum). And I'd reckon it's probably somewhere in the $20-30bn range right now. So that means the market cap of BTC should probably be $15bn, Monero $2bn and Ethereum $6bn.
"Appeal court judges have refused to stop the government's first flight taking asylum seekers to Rwanda on Tuesday."
I am going for Lab lead of 3% from 8% last Thursday
It’s quite possible he could get ticked off and not exonerated as he hopes, from both Investigation by the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards and by the Police is it not? if not a commons suspension or FPN, still a ticking off for not having done the right thing in both instances.
And How quickly will the Investigation by the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards conclude, could both these ticking offs for wrong doing, drop the same week in early July?
Could Starmer even survive a vote of no confidence after that? It would only need a hundred MPs against him? and there’s a big voting block of Corbynites even before a few more disgruntled MPs in the fact Labour have zero cut through so preferring someone else?
Why is this important to me? Because I pride myself correctly guessing the next poll from each firm, and have boldly stated no Tory Lead in June or July, on basis I couldn’t see the Tory % increasing, the one 36 we called a rogue poll is only time Tory have managed above 34 since Mid May. Starmer could mess up that prediction up for me. There could be greens on 10 or 11 libdems on 15 at Labours expense pushing Labour below Tories, if Starmer and his front bench can’t cut out these gaffs and start making some polling breakthrough soon. 😡
Do they do Monday and Thursday polls different then? Trialling two different ways each week?
Which is frankly ridiculous as he needs to be spending 24/7 trying to get a grip of Labour's actual message. Leave the policy books to the wonks.
The attack on Charles was just about getting the word 'Rwanda' all over the front pages yet again.
And your boy Bozza has been smashing it out of the park over the last week...but then the economy?
But so am I. I fully expected it to be stopped, and I suspect they did too.
It appears that essentially all the "dark markets" now require its use. (Which means that - unlike with other cryptos - there is fundamental demand for it.)
It also has dramatically smaller transaction fees than either Eth or BTC, and much faster times for transactions to get confirmed.
And its market cap it only about $2bn. Which means it's mostly being purchased by people who want to do actual (albeit illegal) transactions with it.
In fact this current situation may be worst case for the government. The flights go ahead but with so few people that the whole thing works out as an eye wateringly expensive waste of time, with a bit of callousness thrown in for good measure to keep those blue wall professional types off side.
Highest % for the Lib Dems that we've recorded.
Westminster Voting Intention (12 June):
Labour 39% (-1)
Conservative 32% (–)
Liberal Democrat 15% (+2)
Green 6% (+1)
Scottish National Party 5% (+1)
Reform UK 2% (-2)
Other 3% (+1)
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Highest % for the Lib Dems that we've recorded.
Westminster Voting Intention (12 June):
Labour 39% (-1)
Conservative 32% (–)
Liberal Democrat 15% (+2)
Green 6% (+1)
Scottish National Party 5% (+1)
Reform UK 2% (-2)
Other 3% (+1)
Westminster Voting Intention (12 June):
Labour 39% (-1)
Conservative 32% (–)
Liberal Democrat 15% (+2)
Green 6% (+1)
Scottish National Party 5% (+1)
Reform UK 2% (-2)
Other 3% (+1)
Blue wall pressuretastic
Changes +/- 8 June
https://t.co/kvQdY3wyuK https://t.co/oF4pDSGV79