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YouGov MRP poll has CON losing to LAB all but 3 of 88 marginals – politicalbetting.com

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,546
    Not sure that this premise is entirely correct, but it may not be entirely off base - a lot of things get very small details scrutinised, while big things go through on the nod, see many budgets for many authorities. People focus on what seems manageable.

    I don’t wish to sound apocalyptic about this, but one has the sense that at present our society is simultaneously characterized by wildly disproportionate accountability for trivial transgressions and zero accountability for profound institutional failure.
    https://twitter.com/polanskydj/status/1530242120778383360?cxt=HHwWgICw1b3GwbwqAAAA
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,936
    Carnyx said:

    Interestimg, though, as dinosaur = coeval with people is a standard creationist view, and some of the Unionists don't like geological time. So there is a curious inverted dilemma there - either interpretation is going to be unacceptable ...
    And there's that word again. The one I had to Google yesterday.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    kle4 said:

    Not sure that this premise is entirely correct, but it may not be entirely off base - a lot of things get very small details scrutinised, while big things go through on the nod, see many budgets for many authorities. People focus on what seems manageable.

    I don’t wish to sound apocalyptic about this, but one has the sense that at present our society is simultaneously characterized by wildly disproportionate accountability for trivial transgressions and zero accountability for profound institutional failure.
    https://twitter.com/polanskydj/status/1530242120778383360?cxt=HHwWgICw1b3GwbwqAAAA

    Well Cressida Dick is a prime example of zero accountability the more she fucks up the more she gets promoted
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729
    xxxxx5 said:

    Can someone explain this yougov poll to me - for the last seven- eight months we have had some fairly reasonable (not big) Labour leads but when these polls have been tested at elections Labour haven't done well enough. I'm not convinced Labour have sealed the deal with the electorate.

    As OGH wrote, these results are all consistent with a 10% swing. I don't know which elections you mean. They did well at the local elections relative to the 2018 baseline, which means a vast improvement on the much lower 2019 baseline.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,092
    Tres said:

    It was obvious from the very first time he appeared on HIGNFY that Johnson was a malignant shit. The curiosity for me is still why couldn't the English see it?
    Many of them could.

    And voted for him
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,926
    Leon said:

    If you’re using Vanilla to post photos, you have to post Landscape shots, Portrait shots arrive like that. On their side
    Ah, thanks. I’ll keep a look out for French motorway services with sweeping horizontal panoramas.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    Pagan2 said:

    Ok then we agree we want jobs to pay without government assistance and those working to not be living from hand to mouth.

    How do we get there without those people getting payrises which in your words will lead to an inflationary spiral I quote you here "and despite deliveries still being affected by it the transport costs are way higher for no real benefit. Great for the drivers, though they are contributing to the runaway price inflation they are being hit by."
    Payrises aren't the problem providing that they are balanced. Instead of Asda workers being subsidised by the state, how about we tax Asda more to pay for it? They can have their tax cut back if they pay proper wages.

    Done.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,589
    Leon said:

    It somehow seems to have escaped the endless-Stalinist-blocks and brutalist-towers-in-the-middle that blight most once-Soviet cities. The old town is near perfect in its preservation - and of course many old buildings are now being speedily turned into boutique hotels and chic wine bars, tho there are still plenty left in a state of greatly picturesque dilapidation. A brilliant mix

    I wonder if there was a tacit edict from Stalin, who must have known Tbilisi so well. “Don’t touch Tbilisi!”
    I liked Tbilisi as well, apparently in Soviet times it considered itself the third city of the Soviet Union and I believe did get special treatment. Hope you are enjoying the wine, the qvevri white is a revalation. The problem with reds is that too much goes into the production of boring semisweet and sedemidry blends, originally made for Russian tastes. You sometimes encounter people selling their homemade wine from roadside stalls, often from plastic bottles.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,092
    Tory MP thinks the number of no confidence letters sent in could now be in the “high 40s” (trigger is 54) and that Graham Brady may announce the threshold has been reached when MPs return from recess the week after next.
    https://twitter.com/KevinASchofield/status/1530565729988366337
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    TimS said:

    If Russia is to grind out a victory of sorts, which does seem more on the cards now than back in March, I hope the West and Ukraine will ensure it’s a grubby, expensive, Pyrrhic victory that leaves Russia exhausted and bankrupt.
    A ceasefire doesn't mean that the border dispute would disappear. We have disputed borders all over the world. Nobody has recognised the division of Cyprus. What is more likely is a larger area of disputed territory. Another frozen conflict. The idea that Ukraine conceding land for peace will end all this is naive though. Putin has made it clear he does not respect Ukraine as a sovereign independent nation. The idea that this is all about a couple of Oblasts is rubbish. Putin thinks a westwards facing Ukraine (i.e free, non-corrupt and democratic) is an existential threat to him in Russia and he is probably right. He has a permanent interest in Ukraine being a weak or failed state. I can well understand those in Ukraine who feel the only way to end this is to defeat Putin's Russia militarily.

    And if they can't? Well Putin may not be around for much longer. Russia has completely destroyed its relations with its fellow Slavic countries. How will it ever be able to repair those whilst Ukraine feels (rightly) that Russia is occupying its territory. Here the west ought to be clear in its desire for a ceasefire NOT support for Russia's claim to territory. It should be made clear to Russia that theft of its neighbour's territory, resources even children(!) is inexcusable and they have a choice. Withdraw their troops or face continuing sanctions, frozen assets and a future as China's lapdog. It's up to them which they would prefer.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,581

    Welcome aboard. If you enjoy bickering you have come to the right place :D
    Thanks @Beibheirli_C (and @Stuartinromford from earlier).
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    Payrises aren't the problem providing that they are balanced. Instead of Asda workers being subsidised by the state, how about we tax Asda more to pay for it? They can have their tax cut back if they pay proper wages.

    Done.
    So you tax a company more to pay for handouts and the loss by the fuckwit civil servants handling it more than offsets that I doubt it by the time we pay not only their wages but the ludicrous 20% odd pension contributions. If the state is the positive answer you are asking the wrong question.

    Simply put wages =

    value of work = money brought in vs hours worked = productivity * % for wages

    in the last 20 years money brought in has increased....productivity has largely stayed the same and %age for wages has at best lagged cost of living if not downright been degraded due to a near infinite labour pool. What you are really complaining about with wage rises is the wages they would have got if wages had kept up with inflation.
  • https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-bids-jubilee-boost-27090524

    EXCLUSIVE: Boris Johnson bids for Jubilee boost with return of imperial measurements
    Downing Street will hope it shores up support among key Brexiteer voters in battleground seats which Tories are currently in danger of losing

    Really got their fingers on public opinion. I don't even understand imperial measurements
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    I liked Tbilisi as well, apparently in Soviet times it considered itself the third city of the Soviet Union and I believe did get special treatment. Hope you are enjoying the wine, the qvevri white is a revalation. The problem with reds is that too much goes into the production of boring semisweet and sedemidry blends, originally made for Russian tastes. You sometimes encounter people selling their homemade wine from roadside stalls, often from plastic bottles.
    Ta! Any more tips welcome

    What food delicacies/recipes should I seek out? Georgian cuisine is so unusual I don’t know where to start

    So far the red wines are great….
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320

    Terezin was upsetting.

    Not least because when I visited, there was a loud party of Czech school kids presuably on a compulsory school trip, busy with their phones and their music and unconcerned with what had happened at the place.

    Also, I was amazed to discover that the place -- 30 miles North of Prague -- had a German-speaking majority in the years before the Second World War.
    Trivial historical note, the fortress of Terezin was the place where the imprisoned Gavrilo Princip died of TB in 1918. Some places may feel that they’ve had their fill of history.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Pagan2 said:

    For ukranians the worst option is to stop resisting in their minds I suspect. They don't want to surrender to a regime that will rape their mothers and daughters, murder sons and husbands and abduct their children on a whim. I wouldn't want to surrender to such a regime either I suspect neither would you.
    YBarrdcwsc thinks it's all about the rights of the Ukrainian language - hence his comparison with Wales.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-bids-jubilee-boost-27090524

    EXCLUSIVE: Boris Johnson bids for Jubilee boost with return of imperial measurements
    Downing Street will hope it shores up support among key Brexiteer voters in battleground seats which Tories are currently in danger of losing

    Really got their fingers on public opinion. I don't even understand imperial measurements

    I can tell you straight off it's dead easy.

    1 acre = 4840 square yards = 1 chain x 10 chains = 1 x 10 cricket pitches.

    Can't get any more Brexistentialist, with a nod to John Major and the crack of leather on willow as the maiden aunt cycles past the village green on the way to Evensong (strictly C of E only).
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-bids-jubilee-boost-27090524

    EXCLUSIVE: Boris Johnson bids for Jubilee boost with return of imperial measurements
    Downing Street will hope it shores up support among key Brexiteer voters in battleground seats which Tories are currently in danger of losing

    Really got their fingers on public opinion. I don't even understand imperial measurements

    I understand them just fine as I do metric and I didn't even go to university, are you really saying its hard to convert in your head?
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    Pagan2 said:

    Well Cressida Dick is a prime example of zero accountability the more she fucks up the more she gets promoted
    Being pedantic, she is an example (one of many) of negative accountability. As you say, the worse she performs the higher sh rises.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Pagan2 said:

    I understand them just fine as I do metric and I didn't even go to university, are you really saying its hard to convert in your head?
    But what about those which can be both linear and areal? Rods and poles and perches.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-bids-jubilee-boost-27090524

    EXCLUSIVE: Boris Johnson bids for Jubilee boost with return of imperial measurements
    Downing Street will hope it shores up support among key Brexiteer voters in battleground seats which Tories are currently in danger of losing

    Really got their fingers on public opinion. I don't even understand imperial measurements

    We'll know they're getting really desperate/crazed/both when they decide to bring back the old money as well.
  • Pagan2 said:

    I understand them just fine as I do metric and I didn't even go to university, are you really saying its hard to convert in your head?
    But what's the point?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Carnyx said:

    I can tell you straight off it's dead easy.

    1 acre = 4840 square yards = 1 chain x 10 chains = 1 x 10 cricket pitches.

    Can't get any more Brexistentialist, with a nod to John Major and the crack of leather on willow as the maiden aunt cycles past the village green on the way to Evensong (strictly C of E only).
    Of course have to remember an acre made sense as it was the measure of how much land a man could plow in a day when it came about
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    pigeon said:

    We'll know they're getting really desperate/crazed/both when they decide to bring back the old money as well.
    The people just a very few years older tham me (ie OAPs) never understood decimal money. They blaned it for the 1970s inflation. So, abolish it and we won't have inflation ...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Pagan2 said:

    Of course have to remember an acre made sense as it was the measure of how much land a man could plow in a day when it came about
    With a horse or ox team, yes!

    So really one acre is 1 furrow long before the horses get kackered and you have to turn, x 1 cricket pitch. See. @CorrectHorseBattery , it's dead easy!
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Carnyx said:

    The people just a very few years older tham me (ie OAPs) never understood decimal money. They blaned it for the 1970s inflation. So, abolish it and we won't have inflation ...
    Bringing back old money L.s.d would be great for the tourist industry. The amount off short changing they could do when folk work from the assumption 100 pennies equals a pound
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    dixiedean said:

    How many bloody times have we heard this particular piece of bollocks announced?
    As often as the oldie Tory voters forget the last time? I really can't see any other reason.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Carnyx said:

    With a horse or ox team, yes!

    So really one acre is 1 furrow long before the horses get kackered and you have to turn, x 1 cricket pitch. See. @CorrectHorseBattery , it's dead easy!
    Say what you like about old measurements they did have a certain reason behind them whereas metric measurements are largely arbitrary
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Pagan2 said:

    Bringing back old money L.s.d would be great for the tourist industry. The amount off short changing they could do when folk work from the assumption 100 pennies equals a pound
    Oh yes, brings back memories of how the tourists used to give up and just tell the robber, sorry tourist industry provider, to pick the correct sum from their hand.
  • Anyone under the age of 900 will be like imperial measurements, wut
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-bids-jubilee-boost-27090524

    EXCLUSIVE: Boris Johnson bids for Jubilee boost with return of imperial measurements
    Downing Street will hope it shores up support among key Brexiteer voters in battleground seats which Tories are currently in danger of losing

    Really got their fingers on public opinion. I don't even understand imperial measurements

    Yeah. You may be struggling to pay your bills but you're going to vote Tory because you can now buy a firkin of ale - or could if you had any money.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012

    I think let's say 30-40% of the country are immune to Johnson. I consider myself one of those.

    Sadly the other lot are not.
    This all misses out the fact that 2019 GE was a contest between 2 unsuitable leaders, not between Boris and a centrist Labour leader who had a coherent worked out and popular policy on Brexit.

    Also that Boris would not have been in the frame if Parliament had done its job of dealing with the post Brexit referendum realities in a grown up, cross party and collaborative way.

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,936
    Pagan2 said:

    I understand them just fine as I do metric and I didn't even go to university, are you really saying its hard to convert in your head?
    I've worked in adult numeracy. A shockingly high number of the population can't add two double digit numbers together. Let alone convert from kilos to pounds.
    I don't care about metric. I am sick of the kneejerk predictability of the bollocks they come out with though. Must be at least 5 times we've discussed metric on here after an announcement like this.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Pagan2 said:

    Say what you like about old measurements they did have a certain reason behind them whereas metric measurements are largely arbitrary
    Yes, but it's like the C of E - the original reason has itself disappeared many years ago ...
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Pagan2 said:

    Say what you like about old measurements they did have a certain reason behind them whereas metric measurements are largely arbitrary
    Except to the ten-digited among us

  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    Yeah. You may be struggling to pay your bills but you're going to vote Tory because you can now buy a firkin of ale - or could if you had any money.
    I suspect for CHB it would need to be a firkin of shandy and we would still end up carrying him home
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320

    But what's the point?
    The point is 1/72 of an inch.

    Typography joke.
  • algarkirk said:

    This all misses out the fact that 2019 GE was a contest between 2 unsuitable leaders, not between Boris and a centrist Labour leader who had a coherent worked out and popular policy on Brexit.

    Also that Boris would not have been in the frame if Parliament had done its job of dealing with the post Brexit referendum realities in a grown up, cross party and collaborative way.

    I think Johnson would have beaten any Labour leader who was actually in the frame.

    But it was Corbyn that delivered him an 80 seat majority
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Yeah. You may be struggling to pay your bills but you're going to vote Tory because you can now buy a firkin of ale - or could if you had any money.
    One could make a joke about the Tories being so keen on retrograde evolution they'll end up with gills.
  • Pagan2 said:

    I suspect for CHB it would need to be a firkin of shandy and we would still end up carrying him home
    Is this English?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,145
    edited May 2022

    Being pedantic, she is an example (one of many) of negative accountability. As you say, the worse she performs the higher sh rises.
    Tbf to Cressida Dick, the police like her and London shootings are well down with no gun murders in six months (ironically, given CD's main claim to infamy) so she must be doing something right.
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/apr/25/no-london-shooting-deaths-in-six-months-as-police-stifle-gun-trade
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    IshmaelZ said:

    Except to the ten-digited among us

    Thats very ableist of you many folk have divergent numbers of digits especially in norfolk
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    IshmaelZ said:

    Except to the ten-digited among us

    Are you implying that the Tories are appealing to the, erm, inbred? The ones with 12 fingers?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Scott_xP said:

    Tory MP thinks the number of no confidence letters sent in could now be in the “high 40s” (trigger is 54) and that Graham Brady may announce the threshold has been reached when MPs return from recess the week after next.
    https://twitter.com/KevinASchofield/status/1530565729988366337

    In your own time, lads. No hurry.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    The point is 1/72 of an inch.

    Typography joke.
    One must draw the line somewhere. Except it's not at all clear where.

    Metrological imperial joke.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,145
    dixiedean said:

    I've worked in adult numeracy. A shockingly high number of the population can't add two double digit numbers together. Let alone convert from kilos to pounds.
    I don't care about metric. I am sick of the kneejerk predictability of the bollocks they come out with though. Must be at least 5 times we've discussed metric on here after an announcement like this.
    Why on earth would anyone want to convert between pounds and kilograms? Just use one or the other, then all you need to know is that 4 weighs more than 3 weighs more than 2.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012
    Carnyx said:

    The people just a very few years older tham me (ie OAPs) never understood decimal money. They blaned it for the 1970s inflation. So, abolish it and we won't have inflation ...
    If carpet is £3/14/2d a square yard how much will it cost to purchase thirteen and five eighths square yards before and after you have agreed a discount of two seventeenths of the price.

    A generation older then me (my dad for example) did that sort of thing in their heads.

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,684

    I've only seen evidence for the beer.
    Be grateful.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    algarkirk said:

    If carpet is £3/14/2d a square yard how much will it cost to purchase thirteen and five eighths square yards before and after you have agreed a discount of two seventeenths of the price.

    A generation older then me (my dad for example) did that sort of thing in their heads.

    You sure? My memory is that they had pre-printed books on the counter of their shops etc. called 'ready reckoners' with tables to do all that sort of thing. Like log tables but for non-log arithmetic.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ready_reckoner
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Pagan2 said:

    Will send you a private message as no need to burden the board
    I think that's a crocodile not a dinosaur
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    pigeon said:

    We'll know they're getting really desperate/crazed/both when they decide to bring back the old money as well.
    Imperial units made about as much sense as Brexit itself.
    Brexit has hit this country financially, using Imperial units should continue that direction.
    Does anyone believe it will give Boris a boost?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited May 2022

    Tbf to Cressida Dick, the police like her and London shootings are well down with no gun murders in six months (ironically, given CD's main claim to infamy) so she must be doing something right.
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/apr/25/no-london-shooting-deaths-in-six-months-as-police-stifle-gun-trade
    I believe the reason for gun crime down is the plod / security services across europe bust the major suppliers of weapons to the uk (i think another encrochat victim). Not sure encrochat getting hacked is much to do with Cressida Dick.

    Knife crime on the other hand....nobody thinks that is going well in London.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Farooq said:

    A gram is the weight of 1cm^3 of water.
    Celsius is 1/100 of the temperature change between the freezing point and boiling point of water.
    A litre is 1kg of water.

    These things make perfect sense
    actually no they dont because you left out a lot of stuff

    a gram is the weight of 1cm^3 of water under standard temperature and pressure. Reduce the water temperature to 1% celsius for example and 1 cm^3 of water will weigh more

    same with a litre of water weighing 1kg depends on the temperatur and pressure

    Celsius the same water boils at a lot lower temperature at the top of everest than at ground level by several tens of degrees.

    A man with a team of ox's however ploughs the same amount of land where at 10000 metres or 0 metres
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Carnyx said:

    The people just a very few years older tham me (ie OAPs) never understood decimal money. They blaned it for the 1970s inflation. So, abolish it and we won't have inflation ...
    Or it could, at least, be used to heavily disguise inflation by confusing people hopelessly. If a penny retained its current value then every new-old pound would be worth 240 existing pence instead of 100. Mr & Mrs Average would then have to be content with having 2.4x fewer pounds in the bank, but each one would be worth 2.4x more.

    Attempting constantly to compare wages and prices between current values and those after de-decimalisation would be so exhausting, for compilers of relevant statistics and ordinary households alike, that they might well simply give up and fail fully to notice inflation at all.

    There might be something to this idea...
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,936
    algarkirk said:

    If carpet is £3/14/2d a square yard how much will it cost to purchase thirteen and five eighths square yards before and after you have agreed a discount of two seventeenths of the price.

    A generation older then me (my dad for example) did that sort of thing in their heads.

    If you were very good you got a job as a bookie's settler, too.
    But now we don't.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Why on earth would anyone want to convert between pounds and kilograms? Just use one or the other, then all you need to know is that 4 weighs more than 3 weighs more than 2.
    Exporting from Brexitland to the rest of thr world. Which does like its rolls of e.g. tweed in nice metric dimensions, so we will have to learn things like how to multiply and divide 25.4 very, very many times.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    pigeon said:

    Or it could, at least, be used to heavily disguise inflation by confusing people hopelessly. If a penny retained its current value then every new-old pound would be worth 240 existing pence instead of 100. Mr & Mrs Average would then have to be content with having 2.4x fewer pounds in the bank, but each one would be worth 2.4x more.

    Attempting constantly to compare wages and prices between current values and those after de-decimalisation would be so exhausting, for compilers of relevant statistics and ordinary households alike, that they might well simply give up and fail fully to notice inflation at all.

    There might be something to this idea...
    Quite. The people a little older than me were absolutely convinced it was a Labour conspiracy to hide the effect of inflation, or a Tory one for the capitalists to rob the public blind, or both at the same time, as I recall.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    Why on earth would anyone want to convert between pounds and kilograms? Just use one or the other, then all you need to know is that 4 weighs more than 3 weighs more than 2.
    Actually dont think ever discussed it as really dont care that much. I can convert back and forth quite easily. Maybe you are thinking of someone else and only reason I am talking about it now is someone brought it up
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Pagan2 said:

    actually no they dont because you left out a lot of stuff

    a gram is the weight of 1cm^3 of water under standard temperature and pressure. Reduce the water temperature to 1% celsius for example and 1 cm^3 of water will weigh more

    same with a litre of water weighing 1kg depends on the temperatur and pressure

    Celsius the same water boils at a lot lower temperature at the top of everest than at ground level by several tens of degrees.

    A man with a team of ox's however ploughs the same amount of land where at 10000 metres or 0 metres
    oxen

    No he doesn't, not without supplementary oxygen
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    IshmaelZ said:

    oxen

    No he doesn't, not without supplementary oxygen
    And a thermal suit for the oxen too.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,790
    algarkirk said:

    A sane view of the 2nd amendment for today's world, whatever was intended, is that it means that countries need armies, sadly, and that therefore any pacifists and Quakers around the place are free to think there shouldn't be a state militia, but but the state can't compel everyone to think so. Read it not as a pro-gun provision but an anti-pacifist one.

    "A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed."

    How does that "well regulated" caveat kick in?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    I am not sure there are good options for Ukraine, there are just different shades of bad options.
    The least bad option, is for the Russians to feck off back to Russia with their tails between their legs, their army completely destroyed by Western weapons. Let’s all work together to make that happen.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    Carnyx said:

    Are you implying that the Tories are appealing to the, erm, inbred? The ones with 12 fingers?
    ... and 14, 16 or 20 toes?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,684
    .
    Dura_Ace said:

    Yeah, that Jack Russell really has dug up 200 mines.
    Sure… and Russia hasn’t levelled a couple of major cities and several dozen towns.

    @Luckyguy1983 ’s both sides-ism is a load of baloney.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,936
    edited May 2022
    Pagan2 said:

    actually no they dont because you left out a lot of stuff

    a gram is the weight of 1cm^3 of water under standard temperature and pressure. Reduce the water temperature to 1% celsius for example and 1 cm^3 of water will weigh more

    same with a litre of water weighing 1kg depends on the temperatur and pressure

    Celsius the same water boils at a lot lower temperature at the top of everest than at ground level by several tens of degrees.

    A man with a team of ox's however ploughs the same amount of land where at 10000 metres or 0 metres
    Hang on. All men with oxen are equally capable of ploughing exactly the same area in a day?
    That would be remarkable, as it applies in no other human endeavour.
    It's like saying a yard is the length of your arm.
    It isn't at all.
  • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmeGPudmSjs

    Bill Gates gives a masterclass in how to not answer questions
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Carnyx said:

    Quite. The people a little older than me were absolutely convinced it was a Labour conspiracy to hide the effect of inflation, or a Tory one for the capitalists to rob the public blind, or both at the same time, as I recall.
    One of the complaints when the euro came in was businesses using it to hike prices where for examp something cost 12000 lira and it was 10000 lira to a euro the new price would be 1.5 euros. (figures are illustrative I have no idea what they were at the time)
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,071
    Pagan2 said:

    Say what you like about old measurements they did have a certain reason behind them whereas metric measurements are largely arbitrary
    You got to remember Pagan, for those born after 1969 (yes I know it’s Heath and 71 but aged 2 your haven’t been thought much else) under 53 don’t know anything else especially in terms of money, so policy like this is not to be taken lightly and joking around like you are doing - rather than give Tories a poll boost they are thinking Boris is a nut for suggesting this. And desperate. A desperate nutcase.

    But to answer your question, metric is base ten so very straightforward, what base is imperial using for you to say it’s got clear reasoning and easy to work out?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kinabalu said:

    How does that "well regulated" caveat kick in?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GkZL71zAWQ
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    Pagan2 said:

    I suspect for CHB it would need to be a firkin of shandy and we would still end up carrying him home
    How many rods, poles, perches, chains or furlongs would that be?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,684

    So they'd make up 'silly propaganda stories', but definitely not make up big things that could actually command the news agenda and push the overton window?

    We had the maternity hospital attack, in which in transpired that (tragically) three people lost their lives.

    We had the theatre attack where there were alleged to be over a thousand buried in the rubble, then it got very vague and mealy mouthed….
    Have you been watching what has happened to Mariupol ?

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,188
    Pagan2 said:

    If there is a negotiated peace do you think it will stop ukranians being killed, I don't believe so, the ukranians don't believe so. I don't think many western governements believe so though some like germany are willing to turn a blind eye
    I wonder what the advocates of peace now, will make of the inevitable Revanche movement in Ukraine? Inevitable once a peace which involves Russia taking territory, is established.

    Will they demand that Ukraine shouldn’t be armed so as not to upset Russia?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    ... and 14, 16 or 20 toes?
    Going right back to the earliest land vertebrates in the Devonian? The use of gills would certainly be consistent with that.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,188

    I believe the reason for gun crime down is the plod / security services across europe bust the major suppliers of weapons to the uk (i think another encrochat victim). Not sure encrochat getting hacked is much to do with Cressida Dick.

    Knife crime on the other hand....nobody thinks that is going well in London.
    At a discussion on crime I went to some years ago, a police representative said that the major criminal gangs were fairly well armed, but that they’d kept supply to general criminals down by making it clear they would your anti-terrorism legislation, if required, against people bringing “serious” weapons into the country… things like real AKs from the Balkans.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,493

    100g of water = 100ml of water.

    This is alone why metric is clearly superior

    A pint of water weighs a pound and a quarter......
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    We can go back to imperial measures. Marvellous. And warm beer. Mmmm. Will match the rationing that people are already having to do to pay their leccy bills.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    You got to remember Pagan, for those born after 1969 (yes I know it’s Heath and 71 but aged 2 your haven’t been thought much else) under 53 don’t know anything else especially in terms of money, so policy like this is not to be taken lightly and joking around like you are doing - rather than give Tories a poll boost they are thinking Boris is a nut for suggesting this. And desperate. A desperate nutcase.

    But to answer your question, metric is base ten so very straightforward, what base is imperial using for you to say it’s got clear reasoning and easy to work out?
    Old money for example used base 12

    1 pound = 20 shillings = 240 pence.

    The advantage of this is you got a bill and you could split it easily between 2,3,4,6,8 people

    in base ten you can split a bill easily only betwen 2,4,5,10 people

    One advantage too it for a start.

    Plus not all people exclusively work normally with base 10. Thats just what you have been taught. Children handled old money just fine and possibly were better for it because they didn't think base 10 arithmetic was the be all and end all of life.

    In addition I find for example when I goto a checkout a lot of younger people can't even handle base 10. The bill comes to for example 9.87 I hand them 10.37 they dont seem to get they just give me 50 pence back
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited May 2022

    You got to remember Pagan, for those born after 1969 (yes I know it’s Heath and 71 but aged 2 your haven’t been thought much else) under 53 don’t know anything else especially in terms of money, so policy like this is not to be taken lightly and joking around like you are doing - rather than give Tories a poll boost they are thinking Boris is a nut for suggesting this. And desperate. A desperate nutcase.

    But to answer your question, metric is base ten so very straightforward, what base is imperial using for you to say it’s got clear reasoning and easy to work out?
    My dear lagomorphous colleague, what election audience/cosntituency is Mr Johnson going to be most dependent on, very, very soon? The Tory Party members. That's what. Not you (I presume). Or me. Or CHB, who is quite understandably completely bewildered by it.

    And many of them are older than I, and absolutely convinced that decimal currency and the metric system started the rot
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Sure… and Russia hasn’t levelled a couple of major cities and several dozen towns.

    @Luckyguy1983 ’s both sides-ism is a load of baloney.
    Asymmetrical innit? Invaders always atrocify more than invadees for obv reasons. Plus, They started it is sometimes portrayed as a playground argument but it seems spot on to me, happy to give the Ukes any amount of leeway.

    But nobody is immune from savagery, and we have a good example from the Russians about When invadees become invaders.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,092
    ...
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    YBarrdcwsc thinks it's all about the rights of the Ukrainian language - hence his comparison with Wales.
    It is Y Bardd Cwsc not Y Barrd Cwsc

    I am sure you get Chicken Kyiv right, thus neatly proving my point.

    (Cwsc is archaic for Cwsg, I have been sleeping for a long time :) )
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    I think we should go back to the Julian Calendar. Modern dates for a Modern Britain.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464
    edited May 2022

    At a discussion on crime I went to some years ago, a police representative said that the major criminal gangs were fairly well armed, but that they’d kept supply to general criminals down by making it clear they would your anti-terrorism legislation, if required, against people bringing “serious” weapons into the country… things like real AKs from the Balkans.
    The UK authorities have always been much stronger in regards to guns, but the encrochat hack has been a huge disruptor though....this just a sample of the past 2 years, and just the British end. Encrochat (and the other 2-3 comprised systems) obviously gave the authorities worldwide a good window into the organised crime and their gun connections.

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/merseysides-underworld-gun-factories-brought-18612559

    https://www.nationalcrimeagency.gov.uk/news/seven-men-jailed-after-military-grade-weapons-recovered-in-encrochat-probe

    https://news.sky.com/story/encrochat-man-charged-with-drugs-and-firearms-offences-after-massive-criminal-network-bust-12020717

    https://www.warringtonguardian.co.uk/news/19783881.encrochat-pair-jailed-29-years-gun-drugs-offences/
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Y Bardd Cwsc not Y Barrd Cwsc

    what am I missing they look the same?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    A pint of water weighs a pound and a quarter......
    And a fl oz is an oz, approx

    Also

    Two and a quarter pounds of ham
    Weighs about a kilogram
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,684

    If you want 300 miles of range, that’s ballistic missiles (or cruise missiles), not guns.

    The West doesn’t go for short range ballistic missiles, in general.
    There’s quite a few of these things out there:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M270_Multiple_Launch_Rocket_System

    Which strike the balance between sufficient range to counter and outrange Russian batteries, and not too much to directly threaten Russia.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Pagan2 said:

    Y Bardd Cwsc not Y Barrd Cwsc

    what am I missing they look the same?

    One sounds like the English bath prounced by a Scot, the other like sonething you don't like to hear in a pub.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    edited May 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    And a fl oz is an oz, approx

    Also

    Two and a quarter pounds of ham
    Weighs about a kilogram
    Bacon always has a value of yum
    (unless you are ed milibrand in which case it has a value of facepalm)
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    How about some other traditions like the workhouse and reintroducing feudal lords? I think Bonzo has already being doing research on that one, the lordly right to shag whatever you want.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703
    edited May 2022
    Pagan2 said:

    Old money for example used base 12

    1 pound = 20 shillings = 240 pence.

    The advantage of this is you got a bill and you could split it easily between 2,3,4,6,8 people

    in base ten you can split a bill easily only betwen 2,4,5,10 people

    One advantage too it for a start.

    Plus not all people exclusively work normally with base 10. Thats just what you have been taught. Children handled old money just fine and possibly were better for it because they didn't think base 10 arithmetic was the be all and end all of life.

    In addition I find for example when I goto a checkout a lot of younger people can't even handle base 10. The bill comes to for example 9.87 I hand them 10.37 they dont seem to get they just give me 50 pence back
    You hand the person on the checkout £10.37.

    So you're the f#cker holding everyone up. How long does it take to count that out and who has £10.37 on them these days anyway.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729
    It is just about screaming the sneering supremacy of the old over the young, backed by the rage against mortality of the biggest age cohort ever.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    TOPPING said:

    You hand the person on the checkout £10.37.

    So you're the f#cker holding everyone up. How long does it take to count that out and who has £10.37 on them these days.
    I have a 10£ note and some loose change the bill is 9.87....regardless of what I proffer they are going to have to add it up on the till
    and yes I pay cash at supermarkets sorry not sorry
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    How about some other traditions like the workhouse and reintroducing feudal lords? I think Bonzo has already being doing research on that one, the lordly right to shag whatever you want.

    Droit de seigneur is the one you want.

    Also Speenhamland System, for what you were talking about earlier today; that was a bit later, but not so much later if one believes T. Hardy on Dorset rustic life, e.g. Tess of the d'Us.

    [Useless trivia of the day: the d'Urberville farm is the fine place next to the river bridge over the Piddle as one walks from the railway station at Wool to the Tank Museum.]

    *goes off to finish the extremely tedious decluttering I am supposed to be doing, after checking there is some white in the fridge*

  • Genuinely, I haven't carried cash in about 10 years.

    Apple Pay all the way
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    EPG said:

    It is just about screaming the sneering supremacy of the old over the young, backed by the rage against mortality of the biggest age cohort ever.

    Youth is wasted on the young its true
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,464

    Genuinely, I haven't carried cash in about 10 years.

    Apple Pay all the way

    Whats cash?
  • Between the Labour Party and the Conservative Party, which party do Britons associate with the following characteristics:

    Advocates for lower taxes?

    Conservative Party 19%
    Labour Party 36%
    Both 8%
    Neither 18%

    ROFL
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    Pagan2 said:

    Youth is wasted on the young its true
    but know one is sneering here at the young rather we are saying they have been badly educated and that it down to us not them
This discussion has been closed.