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2022 once again the betting favorite for BoJo’s exit – politicalbetting.com

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  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Heathener said:

    Um.

    How you managed to pull Nazis into my friend's comment about the CofE I have no idea but it says quite a lot about you and how you manage to alienate everybody on here. Sometimes think first.

    As for Putin, I loathe him. I almost alone suggested we should stop our mealy-mouthed disingenuity towards Ukraine by backing Zelensky's request for a No Fly Zone.

    I'm probably more anti-Putin than anyone on here. Anyone who supports the tory party is in no position to lecture others about being insufficiently anti-Putin. You have been trousering his money into your party coffers for years: freely associating with Putin's chums, giving them safe haven in London, playing tennis matches with them, going to their fundraising dinners, handing out peerages to them, and permitting them to wash Putin's dirty money through London, siphoning off large wodges of it into the CCHQ coffers.

    Physician heal thyself.
    Just noticed something about HYUFD's post. Tories, by implication, don't have "ideological agendas". Who knew?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,189
    Heathener said:

    Um.

    How you managed to pull Nazis into my friend's comment about the CofE I have no idea but it says quite a lot about you and how you manage to alienate everybody on here. Sometimes think first.

    As for Putin, I loathe him. I almost alone suggested we should stop our mealy-mouthed disingenuity towards Ukraine by backing Zelensky's request for a No Fly Zone.

    I'm probably more anti-Putin than anyone on here. Anyone who supports the tory party is in no position to lecture others about being insufficiently anti-Putin. You have been trousering his money into your party coffers for years: freely associating with Putin's chums, giving them safe haven in London, playing tennis matches with them, going to their fundraising dinners, handing out peerages to them, and permitting them to wash Putin's dirty money through London, siphoning off large wodges of it into the CCHQ coffers.

    Physician heal thyself.
    The Vatican has the problem of being a city state in a country where finance is err.... heavily influenced by the literal Mafia. Quite apart from the child abuse scandals.

    The CoE hasn't got anything like the same problems. They had their moments on the child abuse thing, but to a much lesser degree.

    Did you ever get your security problem resolved? - that your VPN exits to a fixed IP associated with a compromised PC is very, very worrying. I would change your VPN immediately. And probably rebuild my machine from a new hard disc....
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    ydoethur said:

    That's just as well given the example your political leaders are setting!
    Who are currently relentlessly attacking the sect which is Established under the ancient settlement the 'conservative' party favours.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    Two-thirds of Swedish vocab is *germanic*, not "from German"
    It's from Old Norse, which is North Germanic, not West Germanic.

    I think Danish has more German loan words.
    My bad. I miswrote. I meant to write “About one third of modern Swedish vocabulary is from German.”

    Over 80% of Swedish vocabulary is Germanic, but only about one third is directly attributable to German.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    If and if and if and how much is it going to cost ?

    And however much it costs to make public transport 'regular and affordable' it will still not be more convenient.

    This is a country where people work in different locations to where they live, their friends and relatives live in different locations, their kids go to school in different locations, they shop in different locations, they spend their leisure time in different locations.
    As long as they don't complain about "all the traffic" or mind getting fat because they never get off their arse, fine. Public transport won't work for every journey but it might work for some, and more people would use it if it weren't expensive and shit outside of London.
    It's good to have options - living in London we can take public transport a lot of the time, or walk or cycle easily, or drive when necessary. I do all of these, sometimes all on the same day. There are plenty of other urban or suburban environments where that would be feasible and I think many would welcome it if they had the option.
    Obviously those who live in the middle of nowhere have made that choice and will probably not have an option but to use a car. I think they're crazy to have chosen that lifestyle, personally, but that's their choice.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539

    If the internet existed and there was 24 hour news coverage then all PMs would have "fucked up" as bad. In the past most errors were hidden.

    Can you imagine what 24-hour news and Twitter would have made of Jim Callaghan's winter of discontent?

    Or Wilson and "Lady Falkender"?

    Or - God forbid - if Twitter had discovered about John and Edwina?

    But all would pale into insignificance compared to what a modern-day Twitterarmy would do to Fatcha!!!!!
  • If people had viable alternative options, like regular and affordable public transport and better cycling infrastructure, and if our towns were designed better, then car use would be lower and everyone would be happier. It's not about driving people off the roads, or at least it shouldn't be.
    So says an anti-car zealot.

    I think you will find that cars are the #1 transport choice in the overwhelming majority of the country precisely because people are happiest having their own transport that they can go from wherever they are, to wherever they want to be in. With their own private space.

    Driving on open roads from A to B is a far more pleasant experience than doing so in public transport for many people.

    Yes traffic, especially on badly designed roads, may be an issue but so is congestion on public transport - and I'd be far happier sat in traffic in my own vehicle listening to my own music with my own space than stood in a crowded public vehicle crammed next to somebody's sweaty armpit.

    For the vast majority of the time I drive, traffic is not a problem. Anti-car zealots seem to think that life is nothing other than traffic jams for drivers, it normally isn't.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    kamski said:

    You might have missed the FDP claiming last week that Germany couldn't introduce speed limits on the motorways (to encourage lower Russian fossil fuel imports) because they didn't have enough signs.

    Total disgrace of a party.

    Agreed - though the 'excuse' did make me chuckle!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    That may or may not be true, you would have to look at the details. In London the housing would be built at a high density which would make a new transit line feasible. A similar but lower density housing development elsewhere probably wouldn't have an economical transit line, and the properties would be sold at a lower cost (because demand relative to supply is lower) so the economic case for the project would be lower.
    Setting up London vs the rest of the country is just Tory divide and rule, we should be able to support development everywhere it is needed.
    "A new transit line"? Surely another Crossrail. Not tactful in the current circs, surely?
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    Applicant said:

    I agree there's scope there - in fact, I said months ago that SKS had an opportunity to impress me and I was waiting for him to take it. And I'm still waiting...
    It's more a case of never interrupting your enemy when he is making a mistake. That mistake in the form of Johnson needs to continue until 2024.

    Remember that the policy offer that Labour fought on in 2017 was revealed only in the midst of a snap general election campaign, but still served its purpose by and large.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539

    The Vatican has the problem of being a city state in a country where finance is err.... heavily influenced by the literal Mafia. Quite apart from the child abuse scandals.

    The CoE hasn't got anything like the same problems.
    The CoE hasn't got anything like the same money!
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    There have been no new allegations, people already know whats happened, Labour may be pushing Partygate to far. The amount of time and money that is being wasted on it may be grating people, especially with the annoucement of yet another enquiry yesterday.

    What date will the Nuremberg type trials of Partygate take place?
    I agree it is a waste of time and money, but draw different conclusions as to who is to blame. Everyone knows broadly what happened. The PM broke the rules, some minor, some a bit more serious but not anything worthy of a prison sentence at all, and then repeatedly lied about it. We could have ten inquiries and that would not change.

    Tory MPs are happy enough with that, lets see what the electorate thinks.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    Carnyx said:

    "A new transit line"? Surely another Crossrail. Not tactful in the current circs, surely?
    Bakerloo extension is a lot cheaper and easier than Crossrail 2 (and makes a lot of sense - it's daft having a line that ends in zone 1 instead of running across the city) but neither will get built any time soon, sadly.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,189

    The CoE hasn't got anything like the same money!
    The level of problems is probably related to that. The fact that Vatican banking and money flows has been used corruptly since medieval times probably doesn't help....
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771
    ydoethur said:

    If you mean that literally, he still has a little way to go before hitting the heights of Lord Grafton.
    I wouldn't bet against him though, if the Party gives him enough time!
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,759
    Applicant said:

    Simple - Remain is no longer an option.
    Not quite that. I think the issue was that he didn’t have a strategy for getting us out of the EU negotiating bind. Flawed as Johnson’s strategy might have been (I’m not commenting) we are now out of the EU.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    edited April 2022

    It's more a case of never interrupting your enemy when he is making a mistake. That mistake in the form of Johnson needs to continue until 2024.

    Remember that the policy offer that Labour fought on in 2017 was revealed only in the midst of a snap general election campaign, but still served its purpose by and large.
    That last point its true, but possibly only because the snap general election was called so early - we're already deeper into this parliament than the 2015 parliament lasted. But even then there was the outline known of what Corbyn's vision was and therefore what sorts of policies he was likely to have. By comparison, SKS is a blank sheet of paper.

    I'm concerned by the reference to the opponent as the "enemy", too.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    So says an anti-car zealot.

    I think you will find that cars are the #1 transport choice in the overwhelming majority of the country precisely because people are happiest having their own transport that they can go from wherever they are, to wherever they want to be in. With their own private space.

    Driving on open roads from A to B is a far more pleasant experience than doing so in public transport for many people.

    Yes traffic, especially on badly designed roads, may be an issue but so is congestion on public transport - and I'd be far happier sat in traffic in my own vehicle listening to my own music with my own space than stood in a crowded public vehicle crammed next to somebody's sweaty armpit.

    For the vast majority of the time I drive, traffic is not a problem. Anti-car zealots seem to think that life is nothing other than traffic jams for drivers, it normally isn't.
    I'm hardly an anti-car zealot, I've got a car that I drive several times every week, and I enjoy driving. I just recognise that it's not always the best option, either for me or the rest of society, and am happy to have alternative options and would like to see those options available more widely. If that makes me a zealot in your book then I think you may have a rather skewed perspective.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited April 2022

    I agree it is a waste of time and money, but draw different conclusions as to who is to blame. Everyone knows broadly what happened. The PM broke the rules, some minor, some a bit more serious but not anything worthy of a prison sentence at all, and then repeatedly lied about it. We could have ten inquiries and that would not change.

    Tory MPs are happy enough with that, lets see what the electorate thinks.
    Hmm. Bit early to say that. We have to see who gets the legal blame for organising the lockdown breach social events. Party and Not A Party At all (etc) *organisers* could be and some were fined up to 10K. And not accepting guilt/paying the fine means prison.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539
    On the subject of money, those thinking Labour is on the up and up need to remember - it is broke, perhaps very broke indeed. It is likely to get heavily outspent in the six months run up to an election, selling a new PM to the voters with a very targeted social media spend.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,415
    edited April 2022

    I'm hardly an anti-car zealot, I've got a car that I drive several times every week, and I enjoy driving. I just recognise that it's not always the best option, either for me or the rest of society, and am happy to have alternative options and would like to see those options available more widely. If that makes me a zealot in your book then I think you may have a rather skewed perspective.
    "Not always the best option" - but in towns it typically is the best option.

    The mindset that it isn't, is the problem, and is the mindset that explains why too many involved in planning etc in too many places don't invest properly in roads.

    Just as you want sufficient investment in the rail lines, in order for rail to work properly, then there equally needs to be sufficient investment in the road network, in order for roads to work properly. Its the exact same principle.

    Society is not better off getting people off the road, that attitude stinks. I have absolutely no qualms with public transport as an alternative option if that is what people choose, I am all in favour of people having choices and making their own choices, but public transport should not be considered better or worse for society or the individual than private transport.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited April 2022

    I'm hardly an anti-car zealot, I've got a car that I drive several times every week, and I enjoy driving. I just recognise that it's not always the best option, either for me or the rest of society, and am happy to have alternative options and would like to see those options available more widely. If that makes me a zealot in your book then I think you may have a rather skewed perspective.
    This is reminding me of the debates around train privatisation in John Major's administration. Con MPs/ministers were saying much the same thing as our resident pirate - they didn't want to be cooped up with smelly proles. I remember the minister who demanded luxury fast trains for his ilk while the secretaries etc could be in cheap and cheerful and slow trains. He didn't explain how that was possible without quadrupling every commuter line in the country.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    On the subject of money, those thinking Labour is on the up and up need to remember - it is broke, perhaps very broke indeed. It is likely to get heavily outspent in the six months run up to an election, selling a new PM to the voters with a very targeted social media spend.

    Indeed. What a model democracy we live in.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156

    So says an anti-car zealot.

    I think you will find that cars are the #1 transport choice in the overwhelming majority of the country precisely because people are happiest having their own transport that they can go from wherever they are, to wherever they want to be in. With their own private space.

    Driving on open roads from A to B is a far more pleasant experience than doing so in public transport for many people.

    Yes traffic, especially on badly designed roads, may be an issue but so is congestion on public transport - and I'd be far happier sat in traffic in my own vehicle listening to my own music with my own space than stood in a crowded public vehicle crammed next to somebody's sweaty armpit.

    For the vast majority of the time I drive, traffic is not a problem. Anti-car zealots seem to think that life is nothing other than traffic jams for drivers, it normally isn't.
    I much prefer to use public transport. I get to knit, or read, instead of having to concentrate on driving.

    If I'm going for a walk I can do a linear walk, instead of having to return to where I parked my car.

    It's one of the great things about visiting London, the absolute freedom to go anywhere across a huge city using frequent public transport.
  • If only they had been tapping up ex Putin cronies for the last decade, eh?
    Instead they were led by a present Putin crony for half that time.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,442

    You’d have thought that the small “practicality” of breaking international law might concern a lawyer…
    Meet Suella Braverman QC ex of Dewey Cheatem and Howe
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Not quite that. I think the issue was that he didn’t have a strategy for getting us out of the EU negotiating bind. Flawed as Johnson’s strategy might have been (I’m not commenting) we are now out of the EU.
    I think that lack of strategy made him look like he wasn't committed to delivering on the referendum result, and that doomed him.

    But my point is simply that the last Tory leadership election was fought in circumstances when Remain was still an option, and the next one won't be. My feeling from listening to what actual Tory members are actually saying - not what their opponents think they believe - is that the pre-referendum position the candidates took will be at most a minor factor next time. And that in turn means that Hunt can't be automatically ruled out - there's not much liquidity but he's backable on Smarkets at 8 (lay 8.6) and that feels about right.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    Instead they were led by a present Putin crony for half that time.
    Corbyn is a prat who overly distrusts the West shocker. Lovely bit of whataboutery, just remember to switch to Blair was a liar or Clegg and tuition fees for the next episode.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    "Not always the best option" - but in towns it typically is the best option.

    The mindset that it isn't, is the problem, and is the mindset that explains why too many involved in planning etc in too many places don't invest properly in roads.

    Just as you want sufficient investment in the rail lines, in order for rail to work properly, then there equally needs to be sufficient investment in the road network, in order for roads to work properly. Its the exact same principle.

    Society is not better off getting people off the road, that attitude stinks. I have absolutely no qualms with public transport as an alternative option if that is what people choose, I am all in favour of people having choices and making their own choices, but public transport should not be considered better or worse for society or the individual than private transport.
    But it is better for society and the individual in many ways - it makes less intensive use of resources, takes up less space on the road, is better for people's health. Of course it can be less convenient, which is why I often drive too. I am not in favour of driving people off the roads (although I would like to see road charging to pay for road infrastructure) but I do think it is good to give people more options including by spending public money and making better planning decisions.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    "Not always the best option" - but in towns it typically is the best option.

    The mindset that it isn't, is the problem, and is the mindset that explains why too many involved in planning etc in too many places don't invest properly in roads.

    Just as you want sufficient investment in the rail lines, in order for rail to work properly, then there equally needs to be sufficient investment in the road network, in order for roads to work properly. Its the exact same principle.

    Society is not better off getting people off the road, that attitude stinks. I have absolutely no qualms with public transport as an alternative option if that is what people choose, I am all in favour of people having choices and making their own choices, but public transport should not be considered better or worse for society or the individual than private transport.
    You just sooo perfectly exhibit the NIMBY mindset. The congestion and fuel economy arguments for well ordered public transport vs private cars are just knockdown winners, but you don't want a lot of nasty new houses spoiling the view, sorry, a lot of nasty peasants in your personal travel space, so there.
  • Applicant said:

    I think that lack of strategy made him look like he wasn't committed to delivering on the referendum result, and that doomed him.

    But my point is simply that the last Tory leadership election was fought in circumstances when Remain was still an option, and the next one won't be. My feeling from listening to what actual Tory members are actually saying - not what their opponents think they believe - is that the pre-referendum position the candidates took will be at most a minor factor next time. And that in turn means that Hunt can't be automatically ruled out - there's not much liquidity but he's backable on Smarkets at 8 (lay 8.6) and that feels about right.
    Indeed, ironically the only present or former Tory on this website who seems to rule out MPs from being next leader based on their having been Remainers is HYUFD, who himself voted Remain and will be 100% loyal to the next leader whoever it is and whatever platform they have.

    I can't think of a single person on this site who voted Leave in 2016 and Tory in 2019 that would be against a Remain-voting MP being next Tory leader. That should be indicative of the mood of many Tory members.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,415
    edited April 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    You just sooo perfectly exhibit the NIMBY mindset. The congestion and fuel economy arguments for well ordered public transport vs private cars are just knockdown winners, but you don't want a lot of nasty new houses spoiling the view, sorry, a lot of nasty peasants in your personal travel space, so there.
    Wrong, I entirely 100% support new houses being built and they can and should be built with accompanying investment in roads to go with the investment in education, healthcare and other amenities.

    People need transport. Investment in public transport is not a knockdown winner over investment in roads.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979

    Indeed, ironically the only present or former Tory on this website who seems to rule out MPs from being next leader based on their having been Remainers is HYUFD, who himself voted Remain and will be 100% loyal to the next leader whoever it is and whatever platform they have.

    I can't think of a single person on this site who voted Leave in 2016 and Tory in 2019 that would be against a Remain-voting MP being next Tory leader. That should be indicative of the mood of many Tory members.
    The leadership candidates themselves seem to think it's something of a big deal: think of Remainer Hunt's 'EUSSR' babblings to the Tory conference once he'd seen which way the wind was blowing.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Wrong, I entirely 100% support new houses being built and they can and should be built with accompanying investment in roads to go with the investment in education, healthcare and other amenities.

    People need transport. Investment in public transport is not a knockdown winner over investment in roads.
    Yes it is.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,340

    I much prefer to use public transport. I get to knit, or read, instead of having to concentrate on driving.

    If I'm going for a walk I can do a linear walk, instead of having to return to where I parked my car.

    It's one of the great things about visiting London, the absolute freedom to go anywhere across a huge city using frequent public transport.
    And the market doesn't lie. Pre-car (Victorian/Edwardian) suburbia, the sort of places where you might be lucky to park one car, but the things you want (including public transport into town) are within walking distance, are incredibly desirable, as shown by the house prices.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    edited April 2022
    Scott_xP said:

    It's not "our" war

    BoZo has tried to use it as a shield for his many and obvious faults, but it's not working.
    My point (in response to a comment you deleted) was that the news coverage could have been a lot more unfavourable to Johnson. Until very recently, Ukraine dominated the news coverage just as much as the Falklands did. And had an emboldened Putin rolled over Ukraine, the continuing threat to our interests (and even existence) would have been far greater by comparison, so that coverage was justified.

    But yes, I agree that the war hasn't bailed out Johnson, with the Tories remaining consistently behind in the polls. It could have, had a former Labour leader still been in charge of Labour's response, heaven forbid.
  • But it is better for society and the individual in many ways - it makes less intensive use of resources, takes up less space on the road, is better for people's health. Of course it can be less convenient, which is why I often drive too. I am not in favour of driving people off the roads (although I would like to see road charging to pay for road infrastructure) but I do think it is good to give people more options including by spending public money and making better planning decisions.
    LOL at the idea of road charges or the idea that public transport is a less intensive use of resources.

    I would be quite happy to see all road charges (fuel duty etc) being invested in the road network, but I think you will find that the Treasury makes a racket out of drivers and is worried about how to replace fuel duty taxes, while public transport is heavily invested in and cost the taxpayer a fortune and still we get annual whinges from rail commuters as to how expensive their heavily subsidised fairs are.

    Ideally road commuters should fully fund roads, while rail commuters should fully fund rails, without the Treasury using either as a golden goose or paying to subsidise them but I think you'd find if that happened that road prices would rapidly come down while rail prices would rapidly shoot up.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Yes it is.
    No, it isn't.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771

    My point (in response to a comment you deleted) was that the news coverage could have been a lot more unfavourable to Johnson. Until very recently, Ukraine dominated the news coverage just as much as the Falklands did. And had an emboldened Putin rolled over Ukraine, the continuing threat to our interests (and even existence) would have been far greater by comparison, so that coverage was justified.

    But yes, I agree that the war hasn't bailed out Johnson, with the Tories remaining consistently behind in the polls. It could have, had a former Labour leader still been in charge of Labour's response, heaven forbid.
    And we shouldn't discount that the Ukraine war may well have had a +ve impact on Tory polling. I imagine it to be possible that there are a measurable number of wavering voters who are bought in to the "not at this time" line.
  • And the market doesn't lie. Pre-car (Victorian/Edwardian) suburbia, the sort of places where you might be lucky to park one car, but the things you want (including public transport into town) are within walking distance, are incredibly desirable, as shown by the house prices.
    Because of their very limited supply.

    If 10% of people want something but there's only enough supply for 5% then supply exceeds demand and the price goes up, even if most people don't want it.

    The market doesn't lie, the overwhelming majority of the British public choose to drive.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Breaking:

    Boris Johnson announced that Britain will reopen its embassy in Kyiv

    ‘The extraordinary fortitude and success of Ukrainian people means I can announce we will next week reopen our embassy’

    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1517451351823122432
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,819
    German Chancellor Scholz says EU gas embargo would not end the war in Ukraine and justifies the country's reluctance to supply heavy weapons with the fear of a nuclear escalation

    https://www.spiegel.de/politik/olaf-scholz-und-der-ukraine-krieg-es-darf-keinen-atomkrieg-geben-a-ae2acfbf-8125-4bf5-a273-fbcd0bd8791c
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    Boris Johnson says he'll still be prime minister come October.
    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1517452504707248129
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    But it is better for society and the individual in many ways - it makes less intensive use of resources, takes up less space on the road, is better for people's health. Of course it can be less convenient, which is why I often drive too. I am not in favour of driving people off the roads (although I would like to see road charging to pay for road infrastructure) but I do think it is good to give people more options including by spending public money and making better planning decisions.
    There's already a form of road charging which could be used to fund road infrastructure...
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,442

    There have been no new allegations, people already know whats happened, Labour may be pushing Partygate to far. The amount of time and money that is being wasted on it may be grating people, especially with the annoucement of yet another enquiry yesterday.

    What date will the Nuremberg type trials of Partygate take place?
    You make a valid point. Voters are now so exasperated with Johnson's ducking and diving that they're turning their attention to mere associates. The poison is now spreading to the party as some of the wiser heads in it can see. If this continues much longer they're going to need more than just a replacement for Johnson. They're going to need a complete rebrand.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,415
    edited April 2022
    Actually since so many people are liking each other's smug posts about how great public transport is, how much more efficient it is and how much its a knockdown winner you've convinced me.

    Since public transport is so much more efficient a use of resources, lets have public transport as fully taxed as fuel and driving is. Since its so efficient, it will easily be able to handle those taxes. Lets also abolish all subsidies to rails, I don't get any subsidies for driving, since its so efficient it won't need subsidies. Lets get taxes on drivers spent on roads and not public transport, since public transport is so efficient it won't need subsidising by drivers anymore.

    Instead lets have everyone choose for themselves. Road users can pay for roads, with all their expenditure going just on roads - and public transport users can pay for public transport, with all their expenditure going just on public transport (including roads for buses). The taxpayer shouldn't net make a profit or subsidy out of either.

    Everybody gets to choose what they want and public transport as a knockout winner won't need subsidies since it is so efficient. Everybody happy with that?
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Scott_xP said:

    Boris Johnson says he'll still be prime minister come October.
    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1517452504707248129

    What's the significance of October?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    BoZo flew 4000 miles to avoid Partygate (failed) and announce a trade deal (failed)

    But he got to dress up again
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516

    Actually since so many people are liking each other's smug posts about how great public transport is, how much more efficient it is and how much its a knockdown winner you've convinced me.

    Since public transport is so much more efficient a use of resources, lets have public transport as fully taxed as fuel and driving is. Since its so efficient, it will easily be able to handle those taxes. Lets also abolish all subsidies to rails, I don't get any subsidies for driving, since its so efficient it won't need subsidies. Lets get taxes on drivers spent on roads and not public transport, since public transport is so efficient it won't need subsidising by drivers anymore.

    Instead lets have everyone choose for themselves. Road users can pay for roads, with all their expenditure going just on roads - and public transport users can pay for public transport, with all their expenditure going just on public transport (including roads for buses). The taxpayer shouldn't net make a profit or subsidy out of either.

    Everybody gets to choose what they want and public transport as a knockout winner won't need subsidies since it is so efficient. Everybody happy with that?

    Does using roads for free paid for out of general taxation not count as a subsidy?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    DougSeal said:

    What's the significance of October?
    BoZo says he wants a trade deal done by October. The Indians said no
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,539

    If only they had been tapping up ex Putin cronies for the last decade, eh?
    "The UK’s second largest trade union, Unite, is threatening to withhold financial support from the Labour Party unless Sir Keir Starmer obeys the wishes of the union’s new general secretary and intervenes in an obscure dispute in Coventry between refuse collectors and the local council."

    At least the Tories didn't get bought.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,415
    edited April 2022
    ydoethur said:

    Does using roads for free paid for out of general taxation not count as a subsidy?
    Last I checked VED and fuel duty much more than covers road expenditure, so no, absolutely not.

    The Exchequer makes tens of billions of profit annually from drivers and is worried about how to replace that money, it doesn't subsidise driving. If train passengers were facing a comparable duty instead of subsidies then perhaps we might see just how "efficient" public transport really is?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Because of their very limited supply.

    If 10% of people want something but there's only enough supply for 5% then supply exceeds demand and the price goes up, even if most people don't want it.

    The market doesn't lie, the overwhelming majority of the British public choose to drive.
    Thinking about my own experience, I'm not sure what could be done to make me drive less. Pretty much everywhere I go, either I already walk or public transport wouldn't make any sense (for example, shopping too heavy to carry needs a car, I'm not lugging it on a bus).

    About the only thing that I can think of, the occasional times I need to go to the office in London, the train times mean that I would have to get a train at around 5:30am to be in for 9am - the next one at around 6:30am gets me in at 9:15 on paper. And if I'm getting up at 5am I'd rather drive, knowing I can leave at 5:30am and be in on time even if traffic is bad (and if traffic isn't bad I'll either be early or can have a relaxing breakfast stop at a services). Plus, of course, if I go by train I only get the train fare paid in expenses, whereas if I drive I get HMRC mileage - which even with fuel costs as they are now more than covers the cost of the fuel.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098

    At least the Tories didn't get bought.

    ROFLMAO
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    'To see Boris to go off to India to beg them for IT workers. They've had years, and they've done nothing.'

    This Brexit voter tells James O'Brien he feels 'conned' by the government, after expecting mass re-industrialisation after leaving the EU.


    @mrjamesob https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1517451415350026241/video/1
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,340

    Because of their very limited supply.

    If 10% of people want something but there's only enough supply for 5% then supply exceeds demand and the price goes up, even if most people don't want it.

    The market doesn't lie, the overwhelming majority of the British public choose to drive.
    But we don't know that, because the majority of the British public don't have a realistic choice in the matter.

    We build very high density city flats (which aren't suitable for everyone), low density outer suburbs (where yes, people pretty much have to drive), and Poundbury. Which is delightful and popular, but scarce. In a sane world, we would be looking at what sells at a premium and making more of that. Which is probably the styling and proportions of Georgian town squares built to modern standards and a short walk from a tram stop on a route into a city centre.

    We don't know if lots of people drive because they love driving, or because most houses are arranged in ways that make it difficult not to. Once you have enough space allocated to roads and parking to make mass car use viable, it's not easy to stop it being manadatory.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    edited April 2022
    Scott_xP said:

    BoZo says he wants a trade deal done by October. The Indians said no
    No, they didn't. At least, not based on what you have duckspeaked.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    "The UK’s second largest trade union, Unite, is threatening to withhold financial support from the Labour Party unless Sir Keir Starmer obeys the wishes of the union’s new general secretary and intervenes in an obscure dispute in Coventry between refuse collectors and the local council."

    At least the Tories didn't get bought.
    Err, that story is about Starmer refusing to follow what Unite want....unless you have an update?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-60336606
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Because of their very limited supply.

    If 10% of people want something but there's only enough supply for 5% then supply exceeds demand and the price goes up, even if most people don't want it.

    The market doesn't lie, the overwhelming majority of the British public choose to drive.
    Under the current set up they do. That is irrelevant to discussions of what the set up should be.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    Applicant said:

    That last point its true, but possibly only because the snap general election was called so early - we're already deeper into this parliament than the 2015 parliament lasted. But even then there was the outline known of what Corbyn's vision was and therefore what sorts of policies he was likely to have. By comparison, SKS is a blank sheet of paper.

    I'm concerned by the reference to the opponent as the "enemy", too.
    My take on 2017 is somewhat different to yours. I think that Labour's offer did have some effect, and did surprise people. It was a break from the past but still surprisingly moderate in the form of a fairly traditional costed 1970s style social-democratic manifesto which much of the party could unite around. As such, it helped mitigate fears of and distract from Corbyn. (The far left, incidentally, took all the wrong lessons from that and decided that more extreme policies would be even more popular, leading to the basket case of the extremist 2019 manifesto.)

    Re "the enemy", I was quoting Napoleon. Not that I regard Johnson as anything but despicable.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516
    edited April 2022

    Last I checked VED and fuel duty much more than covers road expenditure, so no, absolutely not.

    The Exchequer makes tens of billions of profit annually from drivers and is worried about how to replace that money, it doesn't subsidise driving. If train passengers were facing a comparable duty instead of subsidies then perhaps we might see just how "efficient" public transport really is?
    Fuel duty is charged to rail operators as well. In fact, that probably means the government make a net profit out of the railways too...
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    If the Tories go into these elections with @BorisJohnson as leader then they’re asking voters to solve their problem rather than what they’re supposed to do which is solve voters problems 👇 https://twitter.com/haggis_uk/status/1517407599238561792
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,098
    The folly of Brexit, via @The_IoD:

    "42% of businesses that trade internationally are exporting less to the EU than the last five years."

    "UK businesses have lost EU clients & revenue. EU firms have pulled out of UK due to increased trade frictions."


    https://www.iod.com/news/eu-and-trade/iod-4-in-10-traders-are-now-exporting-less-to-the-eu/
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979

    Actually since so many people are liking each other's smug posts about how great public transport is, how much more efficient it is and how much its a knockdown winner you've convinced me.

    Since public transport is so much more efficient a use of resources, lets have public transport as fully taxed as fuel and driving is. Since its so efficient, it will easily be able to handle those taxes. Lets also abolish all subsidies to rails, I don't get any subsidies for driving, since its so efficient it won't need subsidies. Lets get taxes on drivers spent on roads and not public transport, since public transport is so efficient it won't need subsidising by drivers anymore.

    Instead lets have everyone choose for themselves. Road users can pay for roads, with all their expenditure going just on roads - and public transport users can pay for public transport, with all their expenditure going just on public transport (including roads for buses). The taxpayer shouldn't net make a profit or subsidy out of either.

    Everybody gets to choose what they want and public transport as a knockout winner won't need subsidies since it is so efficient. Everybody happy with that?

    I pay about three grand a year to commute to work by rail (three days a week). Out of interest, how much extra would I have to pay if the state wasn't subsidizing my journey to the extent it is?
  • I pay about three grand a year to commute to work by rail (three days a week). Out of interest, how much extra would I have to pay if the state wasn't subsidizing my journey to the extent it is?
    Good question - and don't forget the taxes too.

    Taxes are from memory ~50% of the cost of fuel (and most of the time that's closer to 70-75%) so if your commute wasn't subsidised and was as heavily taxed as fuel is then I would imagine it could be closer to six grand a year?

    Just a guess, others might be able to do the numbers better.

    Roads are a very efficient use of resources. Public transport is a very efficient use of space, but a very inefficient use of resources.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979
    Scott_xP said:

    The folly of Brexit, via @The_IoD:

    "42% of businesses that trade internationally are exporting less to the EU than the last five years."

    "UK businesses have lost EU clients & revenue. EU firms have pulled out of UK due to increased trade frictions."


    https://www.iod.com/news/eu-and-trade/iod-4-in-10-traders-are-now-exporting-less-to-the-eu/

    We'll have to wait fifty years to see any benefits from Brexit. Leon was most adamant about that the other day.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,442

    But Roger, they’re still happening now! And nobody mentioned Brexit (unless that was what the old dude was ranting about)

    And I could be having as many monolingual conversations as I like here, with the massive number of Americans I’ve heard. On almost every street I’ve walked down I’ve noticed their (usually loudly voiced) accents.
    Go into one of the cafes off Les Ramblas and ask for a bar job as a non EU citizen or try to stay there for more than three months. There used to be as much chance of finding british students over there learning the language in a bar as finding an Italian. Now they need a permit. Brexit is shit.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    We'll have to wait fifty years to see any benefits from Brexit. Leon was most adamant about that the other day.
    I think that's overexaggerated, but it is Leon...

    The interesting thing is that Scott sees "42% are exporting less" and it triggers duckspeak, whereas I see it and read "58% aren't exporting less", and realise that 58 is more than 42.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979
    Applicant said:

    I think that's overexaggerated, but it is Leon...

    The interesting thing is that Scott sees "42% are exporting less" and it triggers duckspeak, whereas I see it and read "58% aren't exporting less", and realise that 58 is more than 42.
    Can I have 42% of all your money? Don't worry - you get to keep 58% of it and 58 is more than 42.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    Applicant said:

    I think that's overexaggerated, but it is Leon...

    The interesting thing is that Scott sees "42% are exporting less" and it triggers duckspeak, whereas I see it and read "58% aren't exporting less", and realise that 58 is more than 42.
    What's over-exaggerated as opposed to just exaggerated?

    Tbf I suspect 50 years is exaggerated; that's far too soon for there to be any benefits from Brexshite.
  • Scott_xP said:

    BoZo says he wants a trade deal done by October. The Indians said no
    Talking of lies - the Indians did not say no
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295

    "The UK’s second largest trade union, Unite, is threatening to withhold financial support from the Labour Party unless Sir Keir Starmer obeys the wishes of the union’s new general secretary and intervenes in an obscure dispute in Coventry between refuse collectors and the local council."

    At least the Tories didn't get bought.

    One can only assume you are being ironic?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Can I have 42% of all your money? Don't worry - you get to keep 58% of it and 58 is more than 42.
    Thank you, Mr Taxman.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Brexshite.

    Ooh, what a novel and clever word - that's a great way to persuade people!
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379


    One can only assume you are being ironic?
    Who bought the Tories, and what did they get for their money?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087
    Dura_Ace said:

    So beat Ukraine in the play offs, Iran and one of England/USA in the group, Netherlands in the Round of 16, Spain in the QF, Belgium in the Semis and France in the final.

    Seems do-able.
    Very do-able.
  • Can I have 42% of all your money? Don't worry - you get to keep 58% of it and 58 is more than 42.
    Only 42% would be a tax cut for many people, especially when you factor in both forms of National Insurance and/or "Student Loans"
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Applicant said:

    I think that's overexaggerated, but it is Leon...

    The interesting thing is that Scott sees "42% are exporting less" and it triggers duckspeak, whereas I see it and read "58% aren't exporting less", and realise that 58 is more than 42.
    "duckspeak." Your batterie de débat consists entirely of internet buzzwords, does it not? Heavy lifting. Feeding the troll. Duckspeak.

    If you hear that someone's blood cell count has fallen by 42% do you see that and read 58% of the cells are still there, and realise that 58 is more than 42? If 42% of a school's pupils fail to meet basic literacy standards do you see that and read 58% of the pupils meet the standard, and realise that 58 is more than 42? If 42% of a hospital's patients die of avoidable infections...
  • Roger said:

    Go into one of the cafes off Les Ramblas and ask for a bar job as a non EU citizen or try to stay there for more than three months. There used to be as much chance of finding british students over there learning the language in a bar as finding an Italian. Now they need a permit. Brexit is shit.
    My granddaughter is on a Japanese and Italian culture and language course at Leeds University and goes to Kyoto University in August then the year after spends a year in Tuscany
  • Penddu2Penddu2 Posts: 754
    Dura_Ace said:

    So beat Ukraine in the play offs, Iran and one of England/USA in the group, Netherlands in the Round of 16, Spain in the QF, Belgium in the Semis and France in the final.

    Seems do-able.
    You have missed off the more immediate requirement - beating Cymru in Cardiff in the play off final......
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Applicant said:

    I think that's overexaggerated, but it is Leon...

    The interesting thing is that Scott sees "42% are exporting less" and it triggers duckspeak, whereas I see it and read "58% aren't exporting less", and realise that 58 is more than 42.
    Hmm, you haven't allowed for "about the same".
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    IshmaelZ said:

    "duckspeak." Your batterie de débat consists entirely of internet buzzwords, does it not? Heavy lifting. Feeding the troll. Duckspeak.

    If you hear that someone's blood cell count has fallen by 42% do you see that and read 58% of the cells are still there, and realise that 58 is more than 42? If 42% of a school's pupils fail to meet basic literacy standards do you see that and read 58% of the pupils meet the standard, and realise that 58 is more than 42? If 42% of a hospital's patients die of avoidable infections...
    "Duckspeak" is an Orwell neologism, and perfectly describes Scott's tweet pasting.

    The differences between your attempted analogies and the case originally quoted include: (a) 42% of businesses is noth the same as 42% of trade; and (b) nothing is said about what proportion of the 58% of businesses are exporting more.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    My granddaughter is on a Japanese and Italian culture and language course at Leeds University and goes to Kyoto University in August then the year after spends a year in Tuscany
    Stop ruining people's agendas with facts
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited April 2022

    Talking of lies - the Indians did not say no
    You're unfair to Scott. They did. They can see a desperate Brexiter coming a kilometre off. Hence the holdout.

    'The pair appeared to differ on how rapidly an agreement could be made – Johnson suggested it could be ready by the festival of Diwali in late October, but Modi pointed to the end of the year.

    Johnson said: “As the next round of talks begin here next week, we are telling our negotiators, get it done by Diwali in October.”

    Modi said there had been “good progress and we have decided to make all efforts to conclude the FTA [free trade agreement] by the end of this year”. Three rounds of talks had already been held.'

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/22/india-and-uk-to-press-ahead-with-talks-on-free-trade-deal-modi-johnson
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,310
    Applicant said:

    "Duckspeak" is an Orwell neologism, and perfectly describes Scott's tweet pasting.

    The differences between your attempted analogies and the case originally quoted include: (a) 42% of businesses is noth the same as 42% of trade; and (b) nothing is said about what proportion of the 58% of businesses are exporting more.
    This is like Barty Bobs on a half dose of Red Bull.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    edited April 2022

    Stop ruining people's agendas with facts
    It is a fact and we are very proud that she has learnt Japanese since starting at Leeds in September sufficient to go to one of Kyoto's universities in August
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Carnyx said:

    Hmm, you haven't allowed for "about the same".
    I noticed that "about the same" wasn't mentioned, as it happens, and thought the fact was significant. I can rely on the IOD and Scott to select the most anti-Brexit statistic.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Applicant said:

    I noticed that "about the same" wasn't mentioned, as it happens, and thought the fact was significant. I can rely on the IOD and Scott to select the most anti-Brexit statistic.
    The actual report is quite damning.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Carnyx said:

    You're unfair to Scott. They did. They can see a desperate Brexiter coming a kilometre off. Hence the holdout.

    'The pair appeared to differ on how rapidly an agreement could be made – Johnson suggested it could be ready by the festival of Diwali in late October, but Modi pointed to the end of the year.

    Johnson said: “As the next round of talks begin here next week, we are telling our negotiators, get it done by Diwali in October.”

    Modi said there had been “good progress and we have decided to make all efforts to conclude the FTA [free trade agreement] by the end of this year”. Three rounds of talks had already been held.'

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/22/india-and-uk-to-press-ahead-with-talks-on-free-trade-deal-modi-johnson
    "by October" is included in "by the end of the year".
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Applicant said:

    "by October" is included in "by the end of the year".
    So is last week. I think it's clear what Mr Modi means. Hogmanay.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,819
    @Steven_Swinford
    Breaking:

    Britain will supply Poland with tanks so it can send T72s to Ukraine, Boris Johnson announces

    It represents intensification of the UK military support for Ukraine

    He also says that the conflict could last for years as Russia continues brutal and grinding assault


    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1517457629630455808
  • Applicant said:

    "by October" is included in "by the end of the year".
    Oh dear, another agenda being ruined by facts.

    Whatever next, someone complaining that one person says by next Easter while the other says by next Spring?
  • Carnyx said:

    You're unfair to Scott. They did. They can see a desperate Brexiter coming a kilometre off. Hence the holdout.

    'The pair appeared to differ on how rapidly an agreement could be made – Johnson suggested it could be ready by the festival of Diwali in late October, but Modi pointed to the end of the year.

    Johnson said: “As the next round of talks begin here next week, we are telling our negotiators, get it done by Diwali in October.”

    Modi said there had been “good progress and we have decided to make all efforts to conclude the FTA [free trade agreement] by the end of this year”. Three rounds of talks had already been held.'

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/22/india-and-uk-to-press-ahead-with-talks-on-free-trade-deal-modi-johnson
    Sorry but I just do not agree

    Scott could have quoted as you have done but he wanted to paint it as a failure as he cannot help himself
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,512
    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    1h
    The Russian Army just declared that one of their goals in the new phase of the war is to take all of Ukraine’s coastal regions & create a land bridge to Transnistria (de jure part of Moldova).

    They also claim that Russian-speakers are persecuted in Transnistria.

    Moldova next?

    https://twitter.com/visegrad24
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited April 2022

    Sorry but I just do not agree

    Scott could have quoted as you have done but he wanted to paint it as a failure as he cannot help himself
    You wouldn't, would you? This was a joint press release all about agreement. The fact that Mr M immediately corrected Mr J is the key point. Mr J is in a panic. Mr M can screw what he likes out of Mr J.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    edited April 2022
    Applicant said:

    Who bought the Tories, and what did they get for their money?
    Super-rich donors (including Russian oligarchs), and they got: multiple tax exemptions including non-dom, ridiculous PPE contracts that fleeced the country, jobs for which they were not qualified, seats in the HoL, direct access to the PM through 'private events', etc., etc., etc...
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,087
    edited April 2022

    I much prefer to use public transport. I get to knit, or read, instead of having to concentrate on driving.

    If I'm going for a walk I can do a linear walk, instead of having to return to where I parked my car.

    It's one of the great things about visiting London, the absolute freedom to go anywhere across a huge city using frequent public transport.
    Yes , if only they had spent a fraction of the money spent on London transport/infrastructure in other areas of the countries we could all say that.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979
    Carnyx said:

    You wouldn't, would you? This was a joint press release all about agreement. The fact that Mr M immediately corrected Mr J is the key point. Mr J is in a panic. Mr M can screw what he likes out of Mr J.
    The Australian deal having sown the seeds of the destruction of British agriculture, I wonder what British industry this one will destroy.
This discussion has been closed.