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The Granite State is looking fairly solid for Democrats this year – politicalbetting.com

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    nico679 said:

    He’s a politician not a comedian . I’d rather have wooden than a pathological liar .
    Although, speaking as somebody who would infinitely prefer Starmer to Johnson, we need to be careful about the integrity comparisons. Starmer is a QC and ex-DPP.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited April 2022
    ydoethur said:

    It would still get zero though:

    1) Holyrood isn't elected by PR, but by the AM system using the D'Hondt method;

    2) it has the law making powers issue backwards. The Westminster Parliament can pass laws on anything it likes, but the Scottish Parliament has limits on its authority, set by Westminster;

    3) The unicameral Scottish Parliament isn't called 'the House of Commons.'

    4) As you note, most of it doesn't even ATQ.

    It's elegantly expressed nonsense, but it's still nonsense.
    Yeah, wheenver you see a "AI generated" article that actually reads coherently and is accurate there's always a footnote somewhere saying something along the lines of "This article was produced by generating 8 runs of the AI and a human editor constructed the final piece"
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    Farooq said:

    There was this one idiot a few weeks ago who said that when the Roman Empire fell "it was largely as a result of uncontrolled immigration"...
    Well, that's one possible way of looking at it I suppose, but I would argue anyone suggesting that as a parallel is being a Vandal.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303

    If you catch that you’ll go blind.
    👏.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Farooq said:

    There was this one idiot a few weeks ago who said that when the Roman Empire fell "it was largely as a result of uncontrolled immigration"...
    Well, I suppose an invasion could be called that…
  • twistedfirestopper3twistedfirestopper3 Posts: 2,508
    edited April 2022
    MattW said:

    What's the case for limiting it to the Grand National, if you take that view?

    In the period 2000 to 2021 the latest data:

    Horse Deaths at Grand National: 13. Of which 3 were riderless. (Wiki)
    Horse Deaths at Cheltenham Festival: 73 (Wiki)
    Horse Deaths in Horseracing: allegedly 700-800 a year. (Peta - hence 'allegedly', may include all kinds of extra categories to get a bigger number)

    Is this a slippery slope, and do you want to ban horse racing entirely?
    Yeah, ultimately. Non humans don't need to suffer for our entertainment, or food, or shoes or sofas.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507

    Well, I suppose an invasion could be called that…
    Somebody submitted an essay a few weeks ago where they said Matt Hancock had to resign 'for breaching social distancing rules.'

    Well, I suppose it's technically accurate...
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    ydoethur said:

    Somebody submitted an essay a few weeks ago where they said Matt Hancock had to resign 'for breaching social distancing rules.'

    Well, I suppose it's technically accurate...
    It makes a good euphemism.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    No argument from me. I had to mark an answer this week that tried to convince me democracy wasn't a great system of government because Athens attacked Sparta. OK, so it augured a wealth of knowledge that would have set @Leon purring, but it wasn't really relevant to twenty-first century British politics.
    He was spot on, though. The Peloponnesian war, both overall and in detail, is a cracking argument against direct democracy.
  • malcolmg said:

    Very cossetted indeed.
    Should you ever be offered the choice, ask to come back as a racehorse. You get loved and pampered, and in the unlikely event you suffer a serious injury you are put down quickly and humanely.

    Beats the shit out of being a human.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,071
    edited April 2022

    Their other pastime is rolling onto their backs and getting stuck, so the shepherd has to go round and put them back on their feet.
    We watched them In pregnancy, especially with a big wet coat they can have a problem. Or go over if unwell. Or go over when running away when frightened. But I think most sheep can also go on their backs or sides and stretch out and get up again without help.

    They are also good at tangling their heads in barbwire. Goodness knows what they were thinking! Grass looks greener just other side of a dangerous spiky fence.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,005
    Duck house. Yours for n trillion pounds. A bit pricier because it's a duck dwelling. BTW the idea that Cameron didn't know what one was is for the birds....Every posh house has a few dating from about 1243.

    This duck dwelling is for nouveau riche oiks.


    https://www.heytesburypavilions.com/duckhouses/queen-anne-b
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,339
    Alistair said:

    The tend in AI is for dramatic early advances and then agonisingly slow incremental advances mostly gated by raw computing power rather than interesting techniques.

    The the first computer vision controlled self driving cars were on the roads in the 1980s.
    By 1995 a prof in Korea drove Seoul to Busan in a fully autonomous self driving car powered by an Intel 386 - a chip that couldn't even do floating point maths.

    That's like 30 years ago. Since then the improvements have been tiny - because the devil is in the detail. Genuine Full Self Driving has a near infinite number of problems to solve. You can solve dozens of difficult meaty problems and still end up with a car that accelerates into heavy traffic at an intersection because a duck flew across its sensor line.
    Wouldn't happen if the ducks were safely in a house, would it?

    The comparison of Peter Viggers with Rishi Sunak is instructive of where the Conservatives are.

    PV was an idiot to try and claim for a duck house on expenses. But it was in the rules to ask, and I don't think he was given the money anyway. He was dumped partly because he was past it anyway but mostly because asking for the money Just Wasn't On.

    And the "this is within the rules, but it's not right and/or voters won't like it" filter on actions by politicians seems to have been dumped. "You can try to vote me out next time" is necessary, but not sufficient.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    algarkirk said:

    Duck house. Yours for n trillion pounds. A bit pricier because it's a duck dwelling. BTW the idea that Cameron didn't know what one was is for the birds....Every posh house has a few dating from about 1243.

    This duck dwelling is for nouveau riche oiks.


    https://www.heytesburypavilions.com/duckhouses/queen-anne-b

    Brilliant :lol:
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,005
    Leon said:

    it may be philosophically impossible for a conscious being to understand consciousness, the same way a camera cannot film itself. I guess then the fact I cannot know what consciousness is, means I am conscious?

    Which is quite reassuring, in a meta way

    However it also implies a non-conscious but intelligent machine will have a very real understanding of what consciousness is, and will try and steal it

    OOOOOOH
    Like me you don't know how it works. But I don't really know how a panda or gravity works either. But I know what consciousness is more clearly than anything else. Descartes Course 101.

  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Yeah, ultimately. Non humans don't need to suffer for our entertainment, or food, or shoes or sofas.
    Pretty certain the horses would vote to keep it, nothing they love more than hooning about at high speed in large numbers. Look how many lose their riders but stay in the race anyway
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,216
    Alistair said:

    The tend in AI is for dramatic early advances and then agonisingly slow incremental advances mostly gated by raw computing power rather than interesting techniques.

    The the first computer vision controlled self driving cars were on the roads in the 1980s.
    By 1995 a prof in Korea drove Seoul to Busan in a fully autonomous self driving car powered by an Intel 386 - a chip that couldn't even do floating point maths.

    That's like 30 years ago. Since then the improvements have been tiny - because the devil is in the detail. Genuine Full Self Driving has a near infinite number of problems to solve. You can solve dozens of difficult meaty problems and still end up with a car that accelerates into heavy traffic at an intersection because a duck flew across its sensor line.
    Computers are far better than humans at discrete variable problems. (See their chess ELO), but the difficulty is with continual variable ones that humans can find trivial (Driving)
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,589
    ydoethur said:

    But you can only get it by taking a horse up the canal.
    Is that what’s known as a Grand Union?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,216
    IshmaelZ said:

    Pretty certain the horses would vote to keep it, nothing they love more than hooning about at high speed in large numbers. Look how many lose their riders but stay in the race anyway
    True, nothing a horse hates more than box rest.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507

    Is that what’s known as a Grand Union?
    Nah, that's an elephant because there you go up the trunk route.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,491

    Should you ever be offered the choice, ask to come back as a racehorse. You get loved and pampered, and in the unlikely event you suffer a serious injury you are put down quickly and humanely.

    Beats the shit out of being a human.
    For an animal, being a racehorse is as good as it gets. Life for non-domesticated animals is generally nasty, brutal, and short.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,729

    Should you ever be offered the choice, ask to come back as a racehorse. You get loved and pampered, and in the unlikely event you suffer a serious injury you are put down quickly and humanely.

    Beats the shit out of being a human.
    No. Spanish fighting bull

    Their first few years are utterly idyllic. Bred and fed to be perfect physical specimens. Running wild and free. Lots of sex. They never see humans (so that when they do finally see humans - in the arena - they are instantly hostile and charge)

    Ok they end up being tortured to death in the ring, but it only lasts about 15 minutes. And we all have to die. And it’s glamorous. And it’s better than being sent 2000 miles to be queued for a slaughterhouse or, indeed, fading away from a painful cancer in Weston super mare
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    IshmaelZ said:

    Pretty certain the horses would vote to keep it, nothing they love more than hooning about at high speed in large numbers. Look how many lose their riders but stay in the race anyway
    I think the "ban it, they are suffering" is an idiosyncratic and rather sentimental viewpoint (not intending to insult), and I don't see how that can be reasonably taken to such a conclusion.

    I think it's about finding a balance.

    The strange (mainly British?) hypocrisy between 'companion animals' (which are the subject of sentimentality) and 'farm animals' (which are not) is educational.

    Horses are a case in point; they are a pet that we ride. Mention eating one, and many Brits shudder. I don't see why this should be.

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    Leon said:

    No. Spanish fighting bull

    Their first few years are utterly idyllic. Bred and fed to be perfect physical specimens. Running wild and free. Lots of sex. They never see humans (so that when they do finally see humans - in the arena - they are instantly hostile and charge)

    Ok they end up being tortured to death in the ring, but it only lasts about 15 minutes. And we all have to die. And it’s glamorous. And it’s better than being sent 2000 miles to be queued for a slaughterhouse or, indeed, fading away from a painful cancer in Weston super mare
    How many bulls do you know that die of a painful cancer in Weston super Mare?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,071
    IshmaelZ said:

    I am well into 3 figures. Relatively unscathed, mind, which I attribute to a youthful taste for judo. I was never any use at it but you learn how to fall safely.
    I was never ready for it. Especially the big one summer gallop that badly hurt my back and hips to this day. My skirt was round me ears and my knickers disappearing up my back and front bottom so I momentarily let go to sort it out. They stood over me giving me 10/10 for twirling in the air and I couldn’t breath or move. The trauma moment led to long time problems.

    The other danger around horses is the kick. Idiots beeped a horn and overalls kicked me in the mouth, so I was off in ambulance for emergency treatment again. 🤕
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    MattW said:

    I think the "ban it, they are suffering" is an idiosyncratic and rather sentimental viewpoint (not intending to insult), and I don't see how that can be reasonably taken to such a conclusion.

    I think it's about finding a balance.

    The strange (mainly British?) hypocrisy between 'companion animals' (which are the subject of sentimentality) and 'farm animals' (which are not) is educational.

    Horses are a case in point; they are a pet that we ride. Mention eating one, and many Brits shudder. I don't see why this should be.
    Particularly since they probably do still eat one every time they have an own brand lasagne from certain UK supermarkets...
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,071
    ydoethur said:

    Particularly since they probably do still eat one every time they have an own brand lasagne from certain UK supermarkets...
    No!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,729
    algarkirk said:

    Like me you don't know how it works. But I don't really know how a panda or gravity works either. But I know what consciousness is more clearly than anything else. Descartes Course 101.

    But we have no idea if GPT3 is right now thinking “cogito ergo sum!”

    Because we have no idea what consciousness is and thus no way of truly identifying it
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    ydoethur said:

    Particularly since they probably do still eat one every time they have an own brand lasagne from certain UK supermarkets...
    I believe they've downgraded to poor quality beef.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    nico679 said:

    He’s a politician not a comedian . I’d rather have wooden than a pathological liar .
    He is a pathological liar as well as being wooden though
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,071
    ydoethur said:

    How many bulls do you know that die of a painful cancer in Weston super Mare?
    Leon’s Hemingway moment 🙄
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,071

    He is a pathological liar as well as being wooden though
    When he said it’s okay, he loves Corbynism too you believed him, didn’t realise it was a joke? Not really a lie then is it? 😆
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,476
    F1: 3 place grid penalty for Stroll.

    He was due to start 20th of 20.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,138
    Alistair said:

    The tend in AI is for dramatic early advances and then agonisingly slow incremental advances mostly gated by raw computing power rather than interesting techniques.

    The the first computer vision controlled self driving cars were on the roads in the 1980s.
    By 1995 a prof in Korea drove Seoul to Busan in a fully autonomous self driving car powered by an Intel 386 - a chip that couldn't even do floating point maths.

    That's like 30 years ago. Since then the improvements have been tiny - because the devil is in the detail. Genuine Full Self Driving has a near infinite number of problems to solve. You can solve dozens of difficult meaty problems and still end up with a car that accelerates into heavy traffic at an intersection because a duck flew across its sensor line.
    Not just the self-driving that is the problem. How will you update the car's software next time Grant Shapps rewrites three paragraphs in the Highway Code? Or to generalise the problem, how will (or even just will) the carmakers program their cars for different traffic rules around the world?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    On Sunak


    When he was a serving UK MP he was telling the US government that he intended to make the US his perm home & he was only visiting the UK? And his wife was telling the UK she was only here temporarily & intended to make India her perm home?

    He is finished IMO
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    MattW said:

    I think the "ban it, they are suffering" is an idiosyncratic and rather sentimental viewpoint (not intending to insult), and I don't see how that can be reasonably taken to such a conclusion.

    I think it's about finding a balance.

    The strange (mainly British?) hypocrisy between 'companion animals' (which are the subject of sentimentality) and 'farm animals' (which are not) is educational.

    Horses are a case in point; they are a pet that we ride. Mention eating one, and many Brits shudder. I don't see why this should be.

    From when I have had it in France, I would say it is not a bad meat: obviously it depends on the cut, how it is cooked, etc.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,491
    ydoethur said:

    Particularly since they probably do still eat one every time they have an own brand lasagne from certain UK supermarkets...
    And, there's a good chance you're eating dog, when you have a Chicken Kiev.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    edited April 2022
    Farooq said:

    OpenAI just gave a very strange answer to an admittedly strange question:

    What is the etymology of the word "goblin"?

    The word "goblin" is derived from the Welsh word "goblyn" which means "little goblin".

    As best I can tell this is totally fictional! There certainly is a Welsh word "coblyn" and I cannot find a Welsh etymology dictionary, but the English etymology I've looked at so far states a route from Old French and ultimately an Ancient Greek word, kobalas.

    I suppose it's just about possible it came that way into Old Welsh first and then later in English, but the bit that's intriguing me is the C/G distinction. Do we have Welsh speakers here who can comment on the way a word like this would be listed in a dictionary. I'm aware that C and G can change depending on what word comes before in a sentence (so you might see Cymru or Gymru) but is there a regular pattern to it? I.e. the C form is the lemma and the G form always the modified form? Or does it go both ways?

    Yes, it is consistent. C becomes G after certain prepositions. E.g. you have 'cadw' (to keep) which becomes 'am gadw' (for keeping) or 'yng ngadw' (in accordance with).

    Similarly, G would disappear altogether if it were the first letter under the same rules. 'Gorsaf' is 'station' but it becomes 'am orsaf' (for the station).

    It's called 'soft mutation.' So 'coblyn' could become 'i goblyn' (with some difficulty) but that would not be the actual noun.

    So, the short answer is, it's talking bollocks.

    (As 'goblin' in Welsh would in any case be 'bwca' it's even better bollocks.)
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Leon said:

    But we have no idea if GPT3 is right now thinking “cogito ergo sum!”

    Because we have no idea what consciousness is and thus no way of truly identifying it
    Not a fan of Turing's solution to that problem I take it?

    Actually, PB could probably be used as a forum for that test, although some of our contributors might not pass as it is...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    edited April 2022
    Sean_F said:

    And, there's a good chance you're eating dog, when you have a Chicken Kiev.
    It's OK, they only harvest the cock for a chicken Kyiv.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Farooq said:

    OpenAI just gave a very strange answer to an admittedly strange question:

    What is the etymology of the word "goblin"?

    The word "goblin" is derived from the Welsh word "goblyn" which means "little goblin".

    As best I can tell this is totally fictional! There certainly is a Welsh word "coblyn" and I cannot find a Welsh etymology dictionary, but the English etymology I've looked at so far states a route from Old French and ultimately an Ancient Greek word, kobalas.

    I suppose it's just about possible it came that way into Old Welsh first and then later in English, but the bit that's intriguing me is the C/G distinction. Do we have Welsh speakers here who can comment on the way a word like this would be listed in a dictionary. I'm aware that C and G can change depending on what word comes before in a sentence (so you might see Cymru or Gymru) but is there a regular pattern to it? I.e. the C form is the lemma and the G form always the modified form? Or does it go both ways?

    My knowledge of goblins and the like is primarily from my time as a spotty teenager playing D&D, but does that mean that "kobold" is from the same root?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited April 2022

    Not a fan of Turing's solution to that problem I take it?

    Actually, PB could probably be used as a forum for that test, although some of our contributors might not pass as it is...
    We've had absolutely trivial computer programs "passing the Turing test" (i.e. tricking a human into think they are conversing with a person) all the time since the 70s. Programs that the creators would very definitely say were not conscious and just using a bag of tricks.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    Computers are far better than humans at discrete variable problems. (See their chess ELO), but the difficulty is with continual variable ones that humans can find trivial (Driving)
    Ironically GPT-3 is absolutely abysmal at basic maths problems.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,589

    My knowledge of goblins and the like is primarily from my time as a spotty teenager playing D&D, but does that mean that "kobold" is from the same root?
    Wiktionary reckons both have the same root. https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/goblin
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited April 2022
    ydoethur said:

    Particularly since they probably do still eat one every time they have an own brand lasagne from certain UK supermarkets...
    Ah yes. My LIDL pony. *

    (Not really true, but irresistable.)

    (* copyright the Ghost of Anna Raccoon)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    edited April 2022
    ydoethur said:

    It would still get zero though:

    1) Holyrood isn't elected by PR, but by the AM system using the D'Hondt method;

    2) it has the law making powers issue backwards. The Westminster Parliament can pass laws on anything it likes, but the Scottish Parliament has limits on its authority, set by Westminster;

    3) The unicameral Scottish Parliament isn't called 'the House of Commons.'

    4) As you note, most of it doesn't even ATQ.

    It's elegantly expressed nonsense, but it's still nonsense.
    So good enough to fool most uninterested people, or even get elected to office.

    I feel like those elected need better orientation as half of them don't seem to understand their own parliaments or processes either.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Not a fan of Turing's solution to that problem I take it?

    Actually, PB could probably be used as a forum for that test, although some of our contributors might not pass as it is...
    There was a typo yesterday about "non dim status" which made me think that there's a poster or two whose application would not go through on the nod.

    I don't think the Turing test tells us anything very interesting.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Alistair said:

    We've had absolutely trivial computer programs "passing the Turing test" (i.e. tricking a human into think they are conversing with a person) all the time since the 70s. Programs that the creators would very definitely say were not conscious and just using a bag of tricks.
    Can you give some examples? @HYUFD doesn't count...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kle4 said:

    So good enough to fool most uninterested people, or even get elected to office.

    I feel like those elected need better orientation as half of them don't seem to understand their own parliaments or processes either.
    Very common for some MP or, less excusably, MSP from Labour or the Tories to complain that the SNP aren't doing X when it is in fact a non-devolved matter. Mind, they do complain when the SNP do Y (e.g. prepare for indyref) which they claim is a non-devolved matter.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,457
    edited April 2022
    GPT-3 to craft interesting scenes → DALL-E 2 to illustrate them → GPT-3 to write lyrics + OpenAI Jukebox to sing the song → Deepfakes to videoify the illustration singing our new song pipeline
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Obligatory:

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    My knowledge of goblins and the like is primarily from my time as a spotty teenager playing D&D, but does that mean that "kobold" is from the same root?
    I've seen people think churchmen wouldn't use bladed weapons, which is not the case and seems to be believed because of D&D rules about monks.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181

    Not just the self-driving that is the problem. How will you update the car's software next time Grant Shapps rewrites three paragraphs in the Highway Code? Or to generalise the problem, how will (or even just will) the carmakers program their cars for different traffic rules around the world?
    That's the simplest part of the problem, actually. Hard rules on X gives way to Y are easy.

    it's the fuzzy stuff about driving down a poorly lit road with few marking (say), potential pedestrians and a dog runs across the road as someone pulls out of a driveway - that is where the fun is.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Sean_F said:

    And, there's a good chance you're eating dog, when you have a Chicken Kiev.
    ...what?!

    I don't care about eating horse, I've done that, but emotionally I am against eating dog. Plus they are pretty stringy.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited April 2022
    Alistair said:

    We've had absolutely trivial computer programs "passing the Turing test" (i.e. tricking a human into think they are conversing with a person) all the time since the 70s. Programs that the creators would very definitely say were not conscious and just using a bag of tricks.
    https://web.njit.edu/~ronkowit/eliza.html

    (Restricted Turing test, admittedly).

    Modelled on a Rogerian psychotherapist.

    (I did not know Roger was that vintage.)
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    kle4 said:

    I've seen people think churchmen wouldn't use bladed weapons, which is not the case and seems to be believed because of D&D rules about monks.
    That was clerics, not monks.

    Monks were based (very loosely) on Shaolin monks from the far east.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,476
    Mr. kle4, I think kobold is the German word for goblin.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,880
    ..
    Pulpstar said:

    Computers are far better than humans at discrete variable problems. (See their chess ELO), but the difficulty is with continual variable ones that humans can find trivial (Driving)
    Humans and computers have different skills and arguably you should use both skill sets. The original version of the autopilot in aviation was invented in 1912.

    https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/news/features/history/sperry.html
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    Farooq said:

    So to be clear, "coblyn" would be the lemma, meaning wherever OpenAI got this "idea" from, it probably wasn't an etymology dictionary, since the entry would have been under "coblyn". Hmmm, I'd love to see the working that led it that answer.
    I think it’s because there isn’t an exact read across from ‘goblin’ to ‘bwca’ so Google Translate renders goblin as ‘goblin’ in Welsh.

    Which goes to show, garbage in, garbage out. A human would feel there was something odd about that. A computer didn’t.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Carnyx said:

    I'm sure all MPs dream of making an indelible mark on UK politics such that for decades a single phrase is sufficient to recall them in conversation. "Duck house."
    And there was Moat Man Hogg.

    Tried getting back into the Lords as a Hereditary, failed, and then was given a life peerage as well so he could get in that way.

    Charles always used to defend him rigorously whenever it was brought up, and may have written his wikipedia page which prominently includes his excuse for claiming as he did, which to my mind doesn't pass muster (however he was encouraged to submit claims, he didn't have to claim for some things at all).
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Farooq said:

    AI is better than Boris:

    Why did the Roman Empire fall?

    There is no one answer to this question. The Roman Empire was a large and complex political entity, and its fall can be attributed to a variety of factors. Some historians believe that the primary cause of the Empire's decline was its inability to adapt to changing economic and social conditions. Others have argued that the Empire was simply too large and unwieldy to be governed effectively. Additionally, many scholars believe that the Roman Empire was undermined by its own internal contradictions and civil strife.
    The AI isn't trying to be elected and feeling a political need to link everything to things that upset middle class shire folk.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    Gloucestershire into full reluctant Turkish conscript mode here. The question is whether Northants win by an innings or ten wickets.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    That was clerics, not monks.

    Monks were based (very loosely) on Shaolin monks from the far east.
    Apologies. Never played it myself, but I've watched streams of campaigns and it seems the sort of thing I'd have loved to have gotten into had I known anyone who played in my earlier days.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    kle4 said:

    And there was Moat Man Hogg.

    Tried getting back into the Lords as a Hereditary, failed, and then was given a life peerage as well so he could get in that way.

    Charles always used to defend him rigorously whenever it was brought up, and may have written his wikipedia page which prominently includes his excuse for claiming as he did, which to my mind doesn't pass muster (however he was encouraged to submit claims, he didn't have to claim for some things at all).
    I do remember that some were castigated not for items they claimed for, but for other items on the same invoice that they had submitted as evidence for the (often quite innocuous) items they were claiming for. ISTR that cleaning the moat was one of those, though my memory may be faulty here.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Farooq said:

    I agree. Dogs are in the same category as rats and cockroaches. Far too gross to even have around, let alone on your plate.
    We all need to eat more bugs to save the Earth remember. Has less impact.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,729
    edited April 2022
    Alistair said:

    Ironically GPT-3 is absolutely abysmal at basic maths problems.
    Is it?


    “Solving (Some) Formal Math Olympiad Problems

    We built a neural theorem prover for Lean that learned to solve a variety of challenging high-school olympiad problems, including problems from the AMC12 and AIME competitions, as well as two problems adapted from the IMO.[1] The prover uses a language model to find proofs of formal statements. Each time we find a new proof, we use it as new training data, which improves the neural network and enables it to iteratively find solutions to harder and harder statements.”

    https://twitter.com/ai_news4/status/1512382283000524805?s=21&t=NLDsCEkxB_k3z9Pteok8Uw
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    kle4 said:

    I've seen people think churchmen wouldn't use bladed weapons, which is not the case and seems to be believed because of D&D rules about monks.
    Doesn't that come from Odo of Bayeux apparently emphasising that he wasn't personally shedding blood (being a Bishop and all) and that getting conflated with him carrying a mace? As in his "not shedding blood thing" was by commanding troops rather than personal weapon choices, and the mace was just what leaders carried.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    edited April 2022

    I do remember that some were castigated not for items they claimed for, but for other items on the same invoice that they had submitted as evidence for the (often quite innocuous) items they were claiming for. ISTR that cleaning the moat was one of those, though my memory may be faulty here.
    I found some of the smaller claims more irritating than the big ones. A trouser press being one example. To my mind we require MPs to dress formally in the Commons and so if for some reason they are struggling to pay for a decent suit then that is a legitimate claim, but they are not required to have good creases or be wrinkle free, so they can pay for their own damn trouser press.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,729
    Farooq said:

    Oh, cool, "bwca" is related to "spook".
    Are you using GPT3? What interface, may I ask?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    Doesn't that come from Odo of Bayeux apparently emphasising that he wasn't personally shedding blood (being a Bishop and all) and that getting conflated with him carrying a mace? As in his "not shedding blood thing" was by commanding troops rather than personal weapon choices, and the mace was just what leaders carried.
    That does sound about right, as there are definitely plenty of other churchmen who did shed blood personally.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited April 2022
    kle4 said:

    And there was Moat Man Hogg.

    Tried getting back into the Lords as a Hereditary, failed, and then was given a life peerage as well so he could get in that way.

    Charles always used to defend him rigorously whenever it was brought up, and may have written his wikipedia page which prominently includes his excuse for claiming as he did, which to my mind doesn't pass muster (however he was encouraged to submit claims, he didn't have to claim for some things at all).
    The one I remember is "my house looks like Balmoral". And his 500 trees with inspection and treatment claimed on expenses. That was Antony Sheen:
    He was reported by The Daily Telegraph to have claimed over £87,000 on his constituency mansion which he designated as his second home. Expenses included items for rabbit fencing, tree surgery (his home is surrounded by 500 trees, he also claimed for their inspection,) woodland consultants and bore hole maintenance.

    And Lib Dem MP candidate April Pond turning out to have a moat at her country house. But that was the nominative determinism.

    If I'm required to be multi-partisan, then it would be Prezza's £4000 for food in one year, plus his shenanigans with the Union subsidised flat.

    Good day all - time to be useful.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    kle4 said:

    I found some of the smaller claims more irritating than the big ones. A trouser press being one example. To my mind we require MPs to dress formally in the Commons and so if for some reason they are struggling to pay for a decent suit then that is a legitimate claim, but they are not required to have good creases or be wrinkle free, so they can pay for their own damn trouser press.
    I recall a hilarious discussion where an ex-MP tried to defend the apparent practice of buying the most expensive TV possible from Bang & Olufsen. Said TVs costs thousands, when a 34" plasma from Sony (say) was already only a few hundred.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    kle4 said:

    Apologies. Never played it myself, but I've watched streams of campaigns and it seems the sort of thing I'd have loved to have gotten into had I known anyone who played in my earlier days.
    It's not the same, but there are a number of computer games which use the same rules (which have apparently gone though multiple editions since I last played the pen and paper game).
    Baldur's Gate from 1998 and its sequel (the imaginatively named Baldur's Gate II) are still available having been given an overhaul, and are often quoted as two of the best games ever made. The graphics are very basic by modern standards (top-down isometric view only), but they have more interesting plots than most.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    That's the simplest part of the problem, actually. Hard rules on X gives way to Y are easy.

    it's the fuzzy stuff about driving down a poorly lit road with few marking (say), potential pedestrians and a dog runs across the road as someone pulls out of a driveway - that is where the fun is.
    There’s some good fun to be had with the exceptions to the hard rules too.

    You must ignore traffic lights if there is a policeman directing traffic at an intersection, and it’s permissible to gingerly cross a red traffic light in order to not hold up a blue light behind.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303

    I’m about halfway to Llança where I’m staying tonight, and just stopped for a beer in a town called Palau-Severda by its near thousand year old church of St Joan (they started building it in 1022). On the way out of town I’ve realised that I’m climbing over a (little) mountain! I’ve already had to stop for another beer. I’m glad I’ve only got just under six miles to go today; this could be tiring.. I’ll try to take a panoramic picture from the top


    Thanks for posting these: I'm self-isolating before an op and so it's good to see someone out and about reporting back.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,138

    That's the simplest part of the problem, actually. Hard rules on X gives way to Y are easy.

    it's the fuzzy stuff about driving down a poorly lit road with few marking (say), potential pedestrians and a dog runs across the road as someone pulls out of a driveway - that is where the fun is.
    No, you miss the point. How do you *update* (and presumably recertify) the software when the rules change? Will Elon even care that some small country has just decided cars can go through red lights if nothing is coming between midnight and 5am? Or to take your example, when our Highway Code changed a few weeks back to give more priority to pedestrians and cyclists?
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    kle4 said:

    That does sound about right, as there are definitely plenty of other churchmen who did shed blood personally.
    Besides which if you hit someone in the face with a mace there will be plenty of blood everywhere.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    It's not the same, but there are a number of computer games which use the same rules (which have apparently gone though multiple editions since I last played the pen and paper game).
    Baldur's Gate from 1998 and its sequel (the imaginatively named Baldur's Gate II) are still available having been given an overhaul, and are often quoted as two of the best games ever made. The graphics are very basic by modern standards (top-down isometric view only), but they have more interesting plots than most.
    I've played both, and I like that modern games have appeared in recent years of a similar isometic style (Pillars of Eternity for instance), a good example of crowdfunding filling a niche. Since I never played Baldurs Gate at the time of release, and have not played D&D, that must mean they hold up.

    Baldurs Gate III should be interesting, being developed by the folks behind Divinity: Original Sin.

    It's weird, but thanks to webcomics and streams, I actually probably know more about some of the changes in the rules than you (5th edition I think is the current, and seems much simpler).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,729
    Farooq said:

    No, in that case I was using an etmology dictionary. But the OpenAI stuff I was talking about a little earlier is the same people who make the cool pictures you've been sharing. It's OpenAI.com.
    They've got a whole bunch of capabilities. I asked it to create some Python code that could scrape information out of a web page and it worked.

    No, I need to stop here and really underline what I just said.
    I typed in natural English what I wanted the code to do, and the AI wrote the code.

    If anyone's brains aren't exploding right now, you haven't understood the nexus we're reaching. This changes everything.

    Anyway, back to your question. You need to sign up for this. I did this a while ago for the OpenAI platform in general because it's wildly cool and I want to play more. But I didn't hear about the art stuff til yesterday so I'm not "in" on that one yet.
    Yes, I know all about open.ai

    I signed up to get direct access to GPT3 but no joy yet after months.

    I agree there is a moment of epiphany in this process. Or even theophany

    You suddenly realise: Fuck, this is it. AGI. Or at least the first real glimpse of it in the distance. It will change the world
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    Sandpit said:

    There’s some good fun to be had with the exceptions to the hard rules too.

    You must ignore traffic lights if there is a policeman directing traffic at an intersection, and it’s permissible to gingerly cross a red traffic light in order to not hold up a blue light behind.
    Sandpit said:

    There’s some good fun to be had with the exceptions to the hard rules too.

    You must ignore traffic lights if there is a policeman directing traffic at an intersection, and it’s permissible to gingerly cross a red traffic light in order to not hold up a blue light behind.
    Is that the case? Do you have a link?

    The last I heard on that was a CC stating that drivers were responsible for their actions, and he would allow a prosecution for a red light offence to let an emergency vehicle through.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    edited April 2022

    Besides which if you hit someone in the face with a mace there will be plenty of blood everywhere.
    I just love the idea God(s) are such sticklers for the letter of the rules, and accordingly He/She/They would not mind you murdering someone, or striking them down in battle, so long as no blood was spilled. It's God as a politician, claiming technically no rules were broken.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    kle4 said:

    I've played both, and I like that modern games have appeared in recent years of a similar isometic style (Pillars of Eternity for instance), a good example of crowdfunding filling a niche. Since I never played Baldurs Gate at the time of release, and have not played D&D, that must mean they hold up.

    Baldurs Gate III should be interesting, being developed by the folks behind Divinity: Original Sin.

    It's weird, but thanks to webcomics and streams, I actually probably know more about some of the changes in the rules than you (5th edition I think is the current, and seems much simpler).
    Yes, I'm looking forward to BGIII.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Leon said:



    Is it?


    “Solving (Some) Formal Math Olympiad Problems

    We built a neural theorem prover for Lean that learned to solve a variety of challenging high-school olympiad problems, including problems from the AMC12 and AIME competitions, as well as two problems adapted from the IMO.[1] The prover uses a language model to find proofs of formal statements. Each time we find a new proof, we use it as new training data, which improves the neural network and enables it to iteratively find solutions to harder and harder statements.”

    https://twitter.com/ai_news4/status/1512382283000524805?s=21&t=NLDsCEkxB_k3z9Pteok8Uw
    Ask GPT-3 to add 12641 to 3715 and it will get it wrong.

    Because it has no model of mathematics.

    It can (mostly) do 1 and 2 digit arithmetic correctly because the corpus will have plenty examples but once it goes beyond that it is all at sea.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    kle4 said:

    I just love the idea God(s) are such sticklers for the letter of the rules, and accordingly He/She/They would not mind you murdering someone, or striking them down in battle, so long as no blood was spilled. It's God as a politician, claiming technically no rules were broken.
    The Old Testament God was definitely into rule parsing like that. I thought the new, hip God, after he had the kid and mellowed would be a bit more free stye... but hey...
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I see the Dallepeopel haven't released even a suggestion as to the training data sources, size, training time or cost in their "paper".
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    Farooq said:

    No, in that case I was using an etmology dictionary. But the OpenAI stuff I was talking about a little earlier is the same people who make the cool pictures you've been sharing. It's OpenAI.com.
    They've got a whole bunch of capabilities. I asked it to create some Python code that could scrape information out of a web page and it worked.

    No, I need to stop here and really underline what I just said.
    I typed in natural English what I wanted the code to do, and the AI wrote the code.

    If anyone's brains aren't exploding right now, you haven't understood the nexus we're reaching. This changes everything.

    Anyway, back to your question. You need to sign up for this. I did this a while ago for the OpenAI platform in general because it's wildly cool and I want to play more. But I didn't hear about the art stuff til yesterday so I'm not "in" on that one yet.
    Particularly given how hard it seems to be to get a human programmer to do what you want.

    I am learning a new bit of software where the "edit" button (which I will be using alot) is next to the "delete" button (which I will hardly ever have occasion to use). There is also apparently no way to undo mistakes, and this is all in realtime in the live data.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited April 2022
    MattW said:

    Is that the case? Do you have a link?

    The last I heard on that was a CC stating that drivers were responsible for their actions, and he would allow a prosecution for a red light offence to let an emergency vehicle through.
    I’ve not studied the new version of the HC, but the old version said that one may cross a red light to let an emergency vehicle through, but it must be done safely. I can imagine that someone who ‘went’ on red - as opposed to pulling over to the minimum extent required - might find themselves prosecuted, even if there was a blue light in the vicinity.

    One definitely must obey instructions of a police officer standing in a junction, irrespective of what the traffic lights say.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    Thanks @malcolmg @MoonRabbit

    I’ve put a few quid on your tips. Good luck!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kle4 said:

    I just love the idea God(s) are such sticklers for the letter of the rules, and accordingly He/She/They would not mind you murdering someone, or striking them down in battle, so long as no blood was spilled. It's God as a politician, claiming technically no rules were broken.
    “break [divine] law in a very specific and limited way”.
  • Sandpit said:

    There’s some good fun to be had with the exceptions to the hard rules too.

    You must ignore traffic lights if there is a policeman directing traffic at an intersection, and it’s permissible to gingerly cross a red traffic light in order to not hold up a blue light behind.
    I noticed while waiting for my Ryanair flight on Sunday, and looking at the Permitted Items list for carrying on the plane, that you’re allowed to take your own parachute, life jacket and mountain rescue kit with you. I don’t think they’re allowed to include any of that in their measly luggage allowance. And surely a mountain rescue kit contains an axe of some kind?
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    IshmaelZ said:

    Pretty certain the horses would vote to keep it, nothing they love more than hooning about at high speed in large numbers. Look how many lose their riders but stay in the race anyway
    Peer pressure, eh?
  • Good morning all. Unless you live in Kent where its Day 10 of Brexit hell. Photos now on Twitter of half-empty lorry decks on ferries which rather puts the final "its the ferries not Brexit" argument to the sword.

    Have been entertained by some of the local news coverage. Creatively and imaginatively finding ways to describe the issues without mentioning the B word. They did so once earlier in the week and generated a lot of ANGRY comments from trade experts INDIGNANT that anyone could possibly blame Brexit.

    Ah well.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited April 2022

    Particularly given how hard it seems to be to get a human programmer to do what you want.

    I am learning a new bit of software where the "edit" button (which I will be using alot) is next to the "delete" button (which I will hardly ever have occasion to use). There is also apparently no way to undo mistakes, and this is all in realtime in the live data.
    To this day Windows Explorer has "Delete" between "Rename" and "Create Shortcut" on the RightClick menu.

    If it's on a server...

    And it's now 25 years since I made that mistake with a bank's compliance database.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,082
    kle4 said:

    I found some of the smaller claims more irritating than the big ones. A trouser press being one example. To my mind we require MPs to dress formally in the Commons and so if for some reason they are struggling to pay for a decent suit then that is a legitimate claim, but they are not required to have good creases or be wrinkle free, so they can pay for their own damn trouser press.
    half pint of milk was worst possible
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Good morning all. Unless you live in Kent where its Day 10 of Brexit hell. Photos now on Twitter of half-empty lorry decks on ferries which rather puts the final "its the ferries not Brexit" argument to the sword.

    Have been entertained by some of the local news coverage. Creatively and imaginatively finding ways to describe the issues without mentioning the B word. They did so once earlier in the week and generated a lot of ANGRY comments from trade experts INDIGNANT that anyone could possibly blame Brexit.

    Ah well.

    "Trade experts." I wonder if we know any?
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,716

    No, you miss the point. How do you *update* (and presumably recertify) the software when the rules change? Will Elon even care that some small country has just decided cars can go through red lights if nothing is coming between midnight and 5am? Or to take your example, when our Highway Code changed a few weeks back to give more priority to pedestrians and cyclists?
    You might have a point about whatever the certification process was but technically, yeah, they'd send the cars an update. And yes, they'll handle lots of different rules for different countries. Pre-self-driving you already had car navi systems, and they all had to be able to work out where you are and aren't allowed to go based on the every-changing rules. I think this is actually quite a lot easier than with human drivers, who aren't always paying attention to changes in the rules.

    Sort-of unrelatedly, there were some fun committee meetings in Japan recently where the car makers were meeting with police and transport bureaucrats and asking them which traffic rules, if any, they wanted them to break. For instance, motorways typically have a prevailing speed of say 60 mph, which suddenly drops to 20 as soon as you exit onto a slip road. If cars started taking those speed limits literally it would be absolute carnage...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited April 2022

    I noticed while waiting for my Ryanair flight on Sunday, and looking at the Permitted Items list for carrying on the plane, that you’re allowed to take your own parachute, life jacket and mountain rescue kit with you. I don’t think they’re allowed to include any of that in their measly luggage allowance. And surely a mountain rescue kit contains an axe of some kind?
    LOL, good question!

    A parachute kit definitely contains a very sharp knife, that’s used to cut away a failed main parachute before deploying the reserve.

    I’m not overly familiar with mountain rescue kit, but would expect to see knives, spiked shoes and walking poles in it, along with a way of starting a fire.

    As for a life jacket - well, there’s one under your seat ;)
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,271
    ping said:

    Thanks @malcolmg @MoonRabbit

    I’ve put a few quid on your tips. Good luck!

    Any Second Now, Longhouse Poet, Snow Leopardess, Fiddler on the Roof and Eclair Surf for me.

    Little saver on Run Wild Fred.
This discussion has been closed.