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The French election looking even more likely to be a 2017 re-run – politicalbetting.com

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  • glwglw Posts: 10,363

    Does anyone believe Ange?

    "Corbyn would have sent missiles to Ukraine, says Angela Rayner"
    https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/andrew-marr/corbyn-send-missiles-to-ukraine-angela-rayner/

    What a load of BS.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398

    Truth is the first casualty of war. But there is a problem with your statement about the truth 'lying somewhere in the middle.' It's the kind of thinking that the Russians love to exploit.

    Western official says something halfway sensible
    Russian official says something completely outrageous

    The truth lies somewhere in the middle? Hmmmm.
    Putin's regime are liars and provocateurs.
    Everything they say is deceptive and cannot be trusted.
    They use our naive belief in the truth, to confuse and weaken us.
    It is a sad end to a once great civilisation.
    However bad things seem to have got in the west, it is not as bad as the misfortune that has befallen Russia.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    MattW said:

    You under 35? Ye Gods :smile:

    That it is poetry is v important. And - tbh - in a church setting it may be better read as poetry to be considered by a talk.

    And of course the first verse hints at either legends of visits here by Joseph of Arithimea etc, or visions around creating a new society or whatever, as it can be tied into the visions in Revelation.

    I have not read the history, but I would expect the New Jerusalem to be a theme for the non-comformist tradition in socialism / trade unionism. Perhaps especially for Tony Benn or Donald Soper.
    I loved the first part of your post. But then you move into the projection thing.

    The history on Blake’s Jerusalem is difficult for us because the historical facts are sketchy. What to do in science when you have gaps that don’t join up, and I regard history as a science, is to make the best educated guess to join up the gaps and view a bigger picture.

    To me, the best guesses have Joseph in England (that is a fact) perhaps Jesus before his ministry, and his Mother after His death, also here because it was too dangerous back there. We tend to overlook the sectarian conflict. And how Jesus was born into it.

    As an historical person Jesus is certainly not wholly owned by Christianity. Not that his own religion cares to make much fuss of him. He was a Jew, called Yeshua, likely born into an extended family with Hellenised (Greek influenced) views, Why is Christianity so Greek? It was a language most widely used, so Romans utilised Greek to promote their empire, that was essentially a commercial project. The language of the Roman Empire was Greek. The first Christian documents, those of Paul, were written in Greek whilst in Greece. In the sectarian make up of Judea at the time of Yeshua’s birth there is likely to have been contention between Hellenised Jews, looking to adopt Greek Platonic philosophy along with the Torah, versus Orthodox Jews, such as the Pharisee, opposing this approach.

    Before the time of his ministry that is recounted thoroughly in Christian documents like The Bible, there is something like a “gap year” of about a decade and a half, where we have little evidence what young Yeshua was up to, other than he was associate of Joseph of Arimathea - this is someone who may have been Yeshua’s relative such as his Mother’s Uncle, in any case for the considerate in loco parentis he showed Yoshua throughout remainder of his life and death I think we can call him Uncle. Uncle Joseph was a wealthy Rabbi, with trading links all around the Mediterranean, Western Europe including Britain, also worked on building projects in pursuit of “the kingdom”. He may have been an Essenes - the sect who wrote the Dead Sea scrolls. It’s widely documented Uncle Joseph swapped the sunny skies of Judea for our clouded hills and pastures green at least once, because he died at Glastonbury. And not simply in exile or in missionary position, its quite possible for someone with his wealth and business links he owned the settlement and the surrounding lands.

    If Joseph was a leading Essene, and on the top council representing those views, perhaps Jesus born not just into a family of wealth, religious and political leadership, but born moreover into sectarian disagreement. There are references to his extended family being princesses.

    I think this is the Jesus Blake is researching and writing about. And it’s much more exciting also interesting than a lot of peoples projections on it?
  • glw said:

    What a load of BS.
    What an unbelievably silly thing to say and to open the debate over Corbyn
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    TOPPING said:

    Much of PB collectively ponders the logistics of nipping down to @NickPalmer's local Waitrose to see for themselves.
    .

    Maybe I could go on a special excursion to Godalming tomorrow since I'm staying in London atm. (Only joking).
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,641
    "Russia, meanwhile, has continued to compliment India for not joining the “the closely-knit Western clique’’ even though Russian ambassador Denis Alipov said earlier this week that Moscow would like more “pronounced support’’ from India."
    https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/pressure-on-india-as-russia-west-seek-un-vote-on-ukraine/articleshow/90383696.cms
  • But there is a large dollop of both hindsight and schadenfreude being displayed here. Yes Germany was daft to get themselves into that position but, given they are not fortunate enough to have access to their own hydrocarbons it was probably not something they had that much choice about at the time. Deciding to cripple yourself when faced with outright aggression is one thing. Deciding to do it when there is still a hope - however ill founded - that the aggression may never come to pass is perhaps naive but understandable.

    If Germany alone were the only country in Europe that had done this then it might be a valid criticism. But practically every central and Eastern European country is in the same boat. There is a whole raft of them who get not 50% but 100% of their energy from Russia.

    Sitting relatively pretty on our island and throwing rocks at our less fortunate neighbours (as far as energy goes) is a pretty childish thing to do.
    Merkel's policy on nuclear power stations post Fukushima was a huge error
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,641
    IshmaelZ said:

    Movt 2?

    The signal's weird. There must be some intereference or something. There's movement all over the place!
    Boy's definitely got a corncob up his ass!
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,808
    ydoethur said:

    I never knew Mrs Sunak was a teacher.
    I never knew that Macron was a dark hollow in her eyeball.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,161
    The Royal Navy are busy rearranging the few remaining spots of pink left on the map. Puts some of our pedantry into perspective, perhaps.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,517

    Christo Grozev
    @christogrozev
    ·
    1h
    Is it just me or did Peskov appear on the verge of saying "f*** this, can't do this anymore".

    https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1506365361385578507

    ===

    Definitely has the air of 'this is all bollx and I know it and I am tired.'
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,196

    Merkel's policy on nuclear power stations post Fukushima was a huge error
    The road to Nord Stream 2 was decades long. Dropping nuclear power was the last in a series of bad decisions.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550

    Merkel's policy on nuclear power stations post Fukushima was a huge error
    Yes, being spooked by a tsunami was not her finest hour (especially when I would be amazed if that risk hadn't at least been considered and dismissed/provided for in the initial planning stage of such nuclear power stations).
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Boy's definitely got a corncob up his ass!
    Sunil, I don't have bad dreams about you because I'm just a piece of plastic.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,161

    But there is a large dollop of both hindsight and schadenfreude being displayed here. Yes Germany was daft to get themselves into that position but, given they are not fortunate enough to have access to their own hydrocarbons it was probably not something they had that much choice about at the time. Deciding to cripple yourself when faced with outright aggression is one thing. Deciding to do it when there is still a hope - however ill founded - that the aggression may never come to pass is perhaps naive but understandable.

    If Germany alone were the only country in Europe that had done this then it might be a valid criticism. But practically every central and Eastern European country is in the same boat. There is a whole raft of them who get not 50% but 100% of their energy from Russia.

    Sitting relatively pretty on our island and throwing rocks at our less fortunate neighbours (as far as energy goes) is a pretty childish thing to do.
    It's also completely counter-productive. The important thing is to source as much in the way of alternative supplies as quickly as possible. Doing the first 50% as soon as possible will have half the total impact of doing the whole thing, but will be by far the easiest half, and so I would have thought that trying to help that happen would be of much more importance than trying to get countries completely reliant on Russian energy supplies to switch with no idea where they will find alternative sources of supply.

    And then once the first half is done - do the second half.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550

    I sort of trust him to have his reasons. The wrongiest thing is to have from a budget of short termism, political traps for opponents, and geared for next days headlines? The saddest thing right now I think is the bonfire of cop agreements in rush for fossil fuels, which the UN has called bonkers. The people who argued for this direction all along, quite possibly pirate capitalists and climate change deniers who stand to make oodles from this shameless u turn are having the best war of anyone. ☹️

    That’s my position and I will stand by it.
    If he goes off on a Pasty Tax like TSE's hero, we really will be in trouble....
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,808
    edited March 2022

    Truth is the first casualty of war. But there is a problem with your statement about the truth 'lying somewhere in the middle.' It's the kind of thinking that the Russians love to exploit.

    Western official says something halfway sensible
    Russian official says something completely outrageous

    The truth lies somewhere in the middle? Hmmmm.
    I didn't say it lies equidistant, just that it lies between the two versions. In this case, it actually lies extremely far from the official Ukrainian one. No people dying; hardly any civilians being present, is not the same as thousands of huddled innocents being obliterated by Russian bombs we've just been presented with. That really is how wars get started. I don't blame Ukraine - it's seen as a matter of survival for many there to provoke the West into war with Russia. But I do blame our media, and us, for being carried along with it, just as we profess astonishment about the Russians believing their own media's tall tales.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,035

    Nonsense re Boris

    I have been clear for months he needs to go and indeed have said so on many occasions

    If Johnson is still leader of the Tories at the next GE I can almost guarantee that you will vote Tory and come up with some lame excuse for doing so along the lines of " our local Tory MP is such a good egg I am voting for him but my vote must categorically not be interpreted as a vote for Boris".
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,343
    MaxPB said:

    The bigger problem is that Rishi hasn't understood electoral timing very well at all, he seems to be waiting for "something" to turn up and help rather than making active moves to get the economy moving so that when 2024 rolls around we're in a jobs, wages and living standards boom and people have forgotten how expensive petrol was in summer 2022.

    Pork barrel politics will only get the Tories so far, spreading economic gains across the country and ensuring millions across marginal benefit rather than a select few in a few constituencies is how to win elections. I fear that the Tories are in for a real drubbing in 2024. The reputation for economic competence will be lost and be very difficult to win back.
    Saving tax cuts for when they have an electoral payoff, and doing the unpleasant but necessary stuff early-to-midterm isn't stupid in itself. Thatcher did it very effectively.

    The trouble with Rishi is twofold, I reckon. For a start, he gives the impression of having read the Thatcher books but not understood that Maggie was a much subtler operator than even she admitted. Rolling back the State, sure, but not in the mindless way that the Altanticist right would.

    Second, there's not much evidence of him changing tack in response to new data. Events if you like. There's a bit too much of the football manager with one system they play.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758

    But there is a large dollop of both hindsight and schadenfreude being displayed here. Yes Germany was daft to get themselves into that position but, given they are not fortunate enough to have access to their own hydrocarbons it was probably not something they had that much choice about at the time. Deciding to cripple yourself when faced with outright aggression is one thing. Deciding to do it when there is still a hope - however ill founded - that the aggression may never come to pass is perhaps naive but understandable.

    If Germany alone were the only country in Europe that had done this then it might be a valid criticism. But practically every central and Eastern European country is in the same boat. There is a whole raft of them who get not 50% but 100% of their energy from Russia.

    Sitting relatively pretty on our island and throwing rocks at our less fortunate neighbours (as far as energy goes) is a pretty childish thing to do.
    I seem to remember the issue of over-dependence on Russian supplies being raised many times by critics over a long period of time - including when decision to close nuclear was taken. The German delegation laughed openly at bloody Trump warning them at the UN in 2018!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,354

    Saving tax cuts for when they have an electoral payoff, and doing the unpleasant but necessary stuff early-to-midterm isn't stupid in itself. Thatcher did it very effectively.

    The trouble with Rishi is twofold, I reckon. For a start, he gives the impression of having read the Thatcher books but not understood that Maggie was a much subtler operator than even she admitted. Rolling back the State, sure, but not in the mindless way that the Altanticist right would.

    Second, there's not much evidence of him changing tack in response to new data. Events if you like. There's a bit too much of the football manager with one system they play.
    It's been steady as she goes since Feb 2020, hasn't it?
  • OllyT said:

    If Johnson is still leader of the Tories at the next GE I can almost guarantee that you will vote Tory and come up with some lame excuse for doing so along the lines of " our local Tory MP is such a good egg I am voting for him but my vote must categorically not be interpreted as a vote for Boris".
    If he is leader he is there because his mps have kept him there

    My vote in 2024 will depend entirely on the offers from the parties as I have said many times
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,354
    New thread.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,696

    I didn't say it lies equidistant, just that it lies between the two versions. In this case, it actually lies extremely far from the official Ukrainian one. No people dying; hardly any civilians being present, is not the same as thousands of huddled innocents being obliterated by Russian bombs we've just been presented with. That really is how wars get started. I don't blame Ukraine - it's seen as a matter of survival for many there to provoke the West into war with Russia. But I do blame our media, and us, for being carried along with it, just as we profess astonishment about the Russians believing their own media's tall tales.
    And you evidence for any of this ?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072
    Farooq said:

    "The language of the Roman Empire was Greek"
    That statement needs a bit of modification for it not to be misleading
    What was it then if not Greek? 🙂

    We never agree Farooq!

    The Roman Empire was a commercial empire, and the most common shared tongue around the med was Greek, Roman Business was conducted in Greek. The language of the Roman Empire was Greek,

    If I didn’t have a history lesson at school, I didn’t go to school that day. If I had a science lesson or maths lesson or geography lesson next to history lesson I would go to library and read a history book instead.

    A lot of people don’t know science though, I never went to a science lesson but I still managed to explain to my girlfriend how dinosaurs turned to oil.

    I liked playing rugby as well and getting covered in mud.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072

    I’m not in the slightest bit religious but it’s a beautiful poem and song. I hear it as a poignant love letter to England. It is no dirge. It’s the quintessential anthem of this country.
    The artist didn’t write it as a song, or even a poem. It was used as a preamble to a longer work of prose and not even illustrative of the work which followed. It fits to music not just because of the scanning but the rhythm within it.

    To understand what it is saying, imagine Blake sat stark naked in his garden, engaging us in conversation, and hitting us with all those question marks in the first two verses. Genuine questions from someone currently researching, chiefly through oral histories not just in Britain but Europe, old handed down stories of Jesus in England.

    And in the second two verses I asked whose sword will not sleep in hand? We can place the hand of Joseph or Jesus around the sword, in answer to the question marks in the first two verses, for Blake’s Jesus was a tale of courage and bravery for being marked for early death at birth by being born into the heart of sectarian conflict.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,072

    It's a Masonic song?
    Yes and perceptive of you Sunil. There are Masonic themes in Blake’s work.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,830
    Macron's had another hour on the phone with Putin today.
  • PensfoldPensfold Posts: 191

    Macron's had another hour on the phone with Putin today.

    Getting advice about how to win elections.
This discussion has been closed.